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Always follow official NWS/USGS guidance.", "updated_at": "2026-10-18T19:12:00.209910Z", "recent_predictions": [ { "timestamp": "2026-10-18T17:10:45.834284Z", "n_storms": 11, "max_prob": 0.0003, "hash": "6f89d9d351407234..." }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-18T15:09:45.465305Z", "n_storms": 11, "max_prob": 0.0003, "hash": "7fc6dfd9f3ac1e8c..." }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-18T13:08:22.247946Z", "n_storms": 10, "max_prob": 0.0008, "hash": "7b5f3a43ca9c672c..." }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-18T11:07:04.973317Z", "n_storms": 18, "max_prob": 0.001, "hash": "6ff7fd272a5837ca..." }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-18T09:05:57.594910Z", "n_storms": 19, "max_prob": 0.0005, "hash": "47b5748182bf450e..." }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-18T06:55:30.787944Z", "n_storms": 15, "max_prob": 0.0011, "hash": "c869327b10ef30f0..." }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-18T04:54:24.803406Z", "n_storms": 24, "max_prob": 0.0007, "hash": "c2a24a2de4fab9c7..." }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-18T02:52:58.569817Z", "n_storms": 22, "max_prob": 0.0002, "hash": "9fa3efb1c7d93aed..." }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-18T00:51:38.792312Z", "n_storms": 36, "max_prob": 0.0014, "hash": "266cbdf4d0a109c2..." }, { "timestamp": "2026-10-17T22:50:04.230932Z", "n_storms": 38, "max_prob": 0.0006, "hash": "9f307e632c6e80b1..." } ], "data_valid_time": "2026-10-18T19:08:37Z", "input_age_at_issue_min": 3.4, "input_gaps": { "census": "newest file", "feed_valid_time": "20261018_190837 UTC", "n_objects": 11, "n_feed_attributes": 48, "absent": [ { "input": "p_ps", "label": "ProbSevere severe probability", "source": [ "PS" ], "fed": "zero", "model_splits": 196 }, { "input": "p_vil_density", "label": "VIL density", "source": [ "VIL_DENSITY", "VILD" ], "fed": "zero", "model_splits": 486 }, { "input": "p_maxrc_icecf", "label": "satellite glaciation rate", "source": [ "MAXRC_ICECF" ], "fed": "missing", "model_splits": 0 } ], "partial": [], "changed_format": [ { "input": "p_avg_beam_hgt", "label": "radar beam height", "source": [ "AVG_BEAM_HGT" ], "fed": "the bare number", "model_splits": 0, "documented_format": "'4.09 kft / 1.25 km'", "n_objects_not_in_format": 11 }, { "input": "p_maxrc_emiss", "label": "satellite cloud-top growth", "source": [ "MAXRC_EMISS" ], "fed": "the bare number", "model_splits": 0, "documented_format": "'2251Z 1.5%/min (weak)'", "n_objects_not_in_format": 11 } ] }, "product_coherence": { "rule": "p30 <= p60 <= p90 and p_ef2 <= p60; a product outside its nesting is clipped to p60", "n_storms_with_products": 11, "clipped": { "p30": 0, "p90": 7, "p_ef2": 0 }, "clipped_rate": { "p30": 0.0, "p90": 0.6364, "p_ef2": 0.0 } }, "t2b_shadow": { "status": "ok", "program": "docs/TORNADO_MODEL_PROGRAM.md amendment 11", "published": false, "artifact": "results/models/tornado_v3_recal_t2b.json", "artifact_sha256": "ef146847cc503ce32e5ec9b9939e6f1efb189b9ccfa26ad5ac0384f7b46f079e", "candidates": { "p30": { "a": 1.0546101322649928, "b": -6.4929595908093924, "served_a": 1.0327819630637114, "served_b": -6.886199715574037, "payload": "tornado_v3_w_30.json", "payload_sha256": "c45167a49056eb64fe01c1eecfb8acd8e35f2cae95d9e4f84a01913782864676" }, "p60": { "a": 1.1186053395021356, "b": -6.226284145081627, "served_a": 1.0169782457791356, "served_b": -6.397412256436702, "payload": "tornado_v3.json", "payload_sha256": "9005905f08b71b640a8e9dfe143be93e9ecee2606740c9a361f6c1999f75ac79" }, "p60_w": { "a": 1.0681296534661402, "b": -6.345613713334546, "served_a": 1.0059279986219851, "served_b": -6.390856370704651, "payload": "tornado_v3_w.json", "payload_sha256": "05a06c843c87c99e10e95bfea8f7d542b9d9e5ec14151cfe4dc1252715b3a4ba" }, "p90": { "a": 1.1105434631672604, "b": -6.196455112526138, "served_a": 1.012410296694961, "served_b": -6.219510416751649, "payload": "tornado_v3_w_90.json", "payload_sha256": "58208efc4bb403bb62f6fe630581588c1342eeaf0ccde867c180bafbadca74fa" } } } }