{ "forecast_id": "to_fcst_20260820_0433", "hazard": "tornado", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_hours": 24, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "scoring_tier_label": "ML (pre-trained gradient-boosted trees)", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "n_active_storms": 115, "top_probability": 0.0167, "source_artifacts": [ "/data/live-tornadoes.json", "/data/tornado-storms.geojson" ], "storms": [ { "storm_id": "321051", "lat": 36.8031, "lon": -88.8777, "motion_east": 10.2, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0167, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2027.0, "ebshear": 51.0, "srh01": 160.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.06, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 160.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.6664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.9081 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6382 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.6561 }, "coherence_score": 1.6381852626800537, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6381852626800537, "grad_tau": 0.22195927798748016, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.908083438873291, "S_field": 0.8848680257797241, "Gamma_field": 0.7458646893501282, "S_over_Gamma": 1.1863653659820557, "Da": 44.61284255981445, "E_coh": 0.7265824675559998, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.88, 36.85 ], [ -88.84, 36.84 ], [ -88.83, 36.82 ], [ -88.83, 36.78 ], [ -88.84, 36.78 ], [ -88.86, 36.76 ], [ -88.89, 36.76 ], [ -88.91, 36.77 ], [ -88.91, 36.79 ], [ -88.92, 36.8 ], [ -88.91, 36.81 ], [ -88.91, 36.83 ], [ -88.88, 36.85 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.6561, "confidence_lo": 0.0162, "confidence_hi": 0.0167, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "1342ac7ce5a174669305dc6ffe67622e3f4af14f0ef0dd486358e6a23e5839e5", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.6561, "probability": 0.016652, "confidence_lo": 0.016209, "confidence_hi": 0.016659, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c3d5863ea594ac157f1a06a4b741b613b1e18e883d5cd57d625e0702448de557", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f31f248c91353555bccc1c258e9ae853729122947c6fc7c95340e83005aa4a2834cebb80e0252bead3d6bfe1455307fdd587d8d4c200c33b03cd4d7705217a0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c3d5863ea594ac157f1a06a4b741b613b1e18e883d5cd57d625e0702448de557" }, { "storm_id": "321078", "lat": 36.8758, "lon": -89.0017, "motion_east": 10.2, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0167, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2101.0, "ebshear": 51.0, "srh01": 159.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.17, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 159.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.6664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.9081 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6382 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.6561 }, "coherence_score": 1.6381852626800537, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6381852626800537, "grad_tau": 0.22195927798748016, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.908083438873291, "S_field": 0.8848680257797241, "Gamma_field": 0.7458646893501282, "S_over_Gamma": 1.1863653659820557, "Da": 44.61284255981445, "E_coh": 0.7265824675559998, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.99, 36.95 ], [ -88.97, 36.95 ], [ -88.95, 36.93 ], [ -88.95, 36.87 ], [ -88.96, 36.86 ], [ -88.96, 36.84 ], [ -88.98, 36.81 ], [ -89.06, 36.81 ], [ -89.06, 36.82 ], [ -89.08, 36.84 ], [ -89.07, 36.88 ], [ -88.99, 36.95 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.6561, "confidence_lo": 0.0162, "confidence_hi": 0.0167, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "1342ac7ce5a174669305dc6ffe67622e3f4af14f0ef0dd486358e6a23e5839e5", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.6561, "probability": 0.016652, "confidence_lo": 0.016209, "confidence_hi": 0.016659, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c3d5863ea594ac157f1a06a4b741b613b1e18e883d5cd57d625e0702448de557", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f31f248c91353555bccc1c258e9ae853729122947c6fc7c95340e83005aa4a2834cebb80e0252bead3d6bfe1455307fdd587d8d4c200c33b03cd4d7705217a0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c3d5863ea594ac157f1a06a4b741b613b1e18e883d5cd57d625e0702448de557" }, { "storm_id": "321131", "lat": 36.9515, "lon": -88.8008, "motion_east": 10.1, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0167, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1710.0, "ebshear": 53.0, "srh01": 143.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 143.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.6664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.9081 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6382 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.6561 }, "coherence_score": 1.6381852626800537, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6381852626800537, "grad_tau": 0.22195927798748016, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.908083438873291, "S_field": 0.8848680257797241, "Gamma_field": 0.7458646893501282, "S_over_Gamma": 1.1863653659820557, "Da": 44.61284255981445, "E_coh": 0.7265824675559998, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.86, 37.0 ], [ -88.74, 36.99 ], [ -88.71, 36.97 ], [ -88.71, 36.93 ], [ -88.73, 36.91 ], [ -88.77, 36.91 ], [ -88.78, 36.92 ], [ -88.81, 36.92 ], [ -88.84, 36.94 ], [ -88.86, 36.94 ], [ -88.87, 36.95 ], [ -88.87, 36.99 ], [ -88.86, 37.0 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.6561, "confidence_lo": 0.0162, "confidence_hi": 0.0167, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "1342ac7ce5a174669305dc6ffe67622e3f4af14f0ef0dd486358e6a23e5839e5", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.6561, "probability": 0.016652, "confidence_lo": 0.016209, "confidence_hi": 0.016659, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c3d5863ea594ac157f1a06a4b741b613b1e18e883d5cd57d625e0702448de557", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f31f248c91353555bccc1c258e9ae853729122947c6fc7c95340e83005aa4a2834cebb80e0252bead3d6bfe1455307fdd587d8d4c200c33b03cd4d7705217a0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c3d5863ea594ac157f1a06a4b741b613b1e18e883d5cd57d625e0702448de557" }, { "storm_id": "320978", "lat": 37.514, "lon": -88.4147, "motion_east": 11.4, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0104, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1252.0, "ebshear": 46.0, "srh01": 129.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.1, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 129.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.031 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8297 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.5883 }, "coherence_score": 1.8296822309494019, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8296822309494019, "grad_tau": 0.04770207032561302, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.0309942960739136, "S_field": 1.2647498846054077, "Gamma_field": 0.1816979944705963, "S_over_Gamma": 6.960725784301758, "Da": 10.518647193908691, "E_coh": 0.8644917607307434, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.4, 37.58 ], [ -88.38, 37.58 ], [ -88.34, 37.56 ], [ -88.31, 37.56 ], [ -88.3, 37.55 ], [ -88.3, 37.5 ], [ -88.41, 37.42 ], [ -88.45, 37.42 ], [ -88.49, 37.44 ], [ -88.5, 37.46 ], [ -88.5, 37.49 ], [ -88.49, 37.5 ], [ -88.49, 37.52 ], [ -88.46, 37.55 ], [ -88.4, 37.58 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.5883, "confidence_lo": 0.01, "confidence_hi": 0.0105, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "5589f5a664cd3992063af6e1eb367bd19726f0643a110f32b3e283b827d3be2f", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.5883, "probability": 0.010446, "confidence_lo": 0.010048, "confidence_hi": 0.01045, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d531110878a7776ce844f8dd4fa075e0ea46fb0a4d0f0d90f90d26bc8aa2b61c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bcc93eb842e009c6b9d77fed9e561e61469cd194c2729487773b16918d8f3309811b6432eca39c6dd2ca1c162beb36a7cf6462af2b3eb9df74d5f42b7b39a80e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d531110878a7776ce844f8dd4fa075e0ea46fb0a4d0f0d90f90d26bc8aa2b61c" }, { "storm_id": "321102", "lat": 37.3147, "lon": -89.2055, "motion_east": 10.1, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0099, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1717.0, "ebshear": 51.0, "srh01": 151.0, "maxllaz": 0.008, "mesh": 0.76, "flash_rate": 53.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 151.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.031 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8297 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.008 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.5723 }, "coherence_score": 1.8296822309494019, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8296822309494019, "grad_tau": 0.04770207032561302, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.0309942960739136, "S_field": 1.2647498846054077, "Gamma_field": 0.1816979944705963, "S_over_Gamma": 6.960725784301758, "Da": 10.518647193908691, "E_coh": 0.8644917607307434, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.19, 37.61 ], [ -89.13, 37.61 ], [ -89.09, 37.58 ], [ -89.09, 37.52 ], [ -89.1, 37.51 ], [ -89.1, 37.49 ], [ -89.12, 37.47 ], [ -89.12, 37.45 ], [ -89.15, 37.42 ], [ -89.17, 37.38 ], [ -89.16, 37.35 ], [ -89.13, 37.32 ], [ -89.14, 37.24 ], [ -89.1, 37.19 ], [ -89.1, 37.16 ], [ -89.12, 37.13 ], [ -89.12, 37.09 ], [ -89.13, 37.08 ], [ -89.13, 37.05 ], [ -89.14, 37.04 ], [ -89.18, 37.04 ], [ -89.23, 37.09 ], [ -89.24, 37.09 ], [ -89.26, 37.11 ], [ -89.3, 37.12 ], [ -89.33, 37.18 ], [ -89.33, 37.2 ], [ -89.32, 37.21 ], [ -89.32, 37.24 ], [ -89.33, 37.26 ], [ -89.32, 37.27 ], [ -89.32, 37.33 ], [ -89.31, 37.34 ], [ -89.31, 37.39 ], [ -89.29, 37.43 ], [ -89.29, 37.47 ], [ -89.28, 37.48 ], [ -89.28, 37.5 ], [ -89.26, 37.54 ], [ -89.19, 37.61 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.5723, "confidence_lo": 0.0058, "confidence_hi": 0.01, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "9cc250f9d12428fd1d2912eb93dcfc5c20d80cf05554c6f69cffaa52cea74e3e", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.5723, "probability": 0.009931, "confidence_lo": 0.005847, "confidence_hi": 0.009972, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "737527215a73041983a8aaeec13c11420f2a7c68488dc851dbbcbd001087d7de", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7591e096373ae90bbf5b64e97e764145766a10189cb30505daaf901be62e8c48dbc451ec142a1b9d7e36e306dee52995f4ca0cdab1cb9b5c5ed72879cfb96102" } }, "receipt_sha256": "737527215a73041983a8aaeec13c11420f2a7c68488dc851dbbcbd001087d7de" }, { "storm_id": "320996", "lat": 36.5456, "lon": -88.8889, "motion_east": 9.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0099, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2050.0, "ebshear": 48.0, "srh01": 168.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 168.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.6664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.9081 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6382 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.5722 }, "coherence_score": 1.6381852626800537, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6381852626800537, "grad_tau": 0.22195927798748016, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.908083438873291, "S_field": 0.8848680257797241, "Gamma_field": 0.7458646893501282, "S_over_Gamma": 1.1863653659820557, "Da": 44.61284255981445, "E_coh": 0.7265824675559998, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.9, 36.58 ], [ -88.87, 36.58 ], [ -88.85, 36.56 ], [ -88.85, 36.53 ], [ -88.88, 36.5 ], [ -88.91, 36.5 ], [ -88.92, 36.51 ], [ -88.92, 36.57 ], [ -88.9, 36.58 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.5722, "confidence_lo": 0.0058, "confidence_hi": 0.01, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "91d211cb0c8b8a878b5b38e59fdba708991d9efef08442dafb12e82a9c8f7bb5", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.5722, "probability": 0.009931, "confidence_lo": 0.005847, "confidence_hi": 0.009972, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8541878f3e19592ddf2df1d9daa22ff7b3be1534df328bdea438ef2949a5f172", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "83dc688a3a6d14171230096c06c037e533091cfff5b87711db410f5fd6c7b2453ae903695b05cc6630ee6541b5436978f84f7090cfe9e11933b1138073575302" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8541878f3e19592ddf2df1d9daa22ff7b3be1534df328bdea438ef2949a5f172" }, { "storm_id": "320832", "lat": 39.5381, "lon": -86.3744, "motion_east": 10.4, "motion_south": 2.3, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0077, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1461.0, "ebshear": 50.0, "srh01": 86.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 86.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 53.0414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.1476 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.3059 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.007 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.5706 }, "coherence_score": 1.3058797121047974, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.3058797121047974, "grad_tau": 0.18692772090435028, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.147587537765503, "S_field": 0.8284059762954712, "Gamma_field": 0.17836466431617737, "S_over_Gamma": 4.644451141357422, "Da": 10.486248970031738, "E_coh": 0.8443554043769836, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -86.4, 39.73 ], [ -86.34, 39.73 ], [ -86.31, 39.7 ], [ -86.23, 39.67 ], [ -86.2, 39.62 ], [ -86.2, 39.6 ], [ -86.24, 39.59 ], [ -86.28, 39.55 ], [ -86.29, 39.51 ], [ -86.31, 39.49 ], [ -86.3, 39.47 ], [ -86.31, 39.46 ], [ -86.32, 39.42 ], [ -86.35, 39.39 ], [ -86.38, 39.38 ], [ -86.42, 39.35 ], [ -86.48, 39.38 ], [ -86.48, 39.41 ], [ -86.47, 39.42 ], [ -86.46, 39.49 ], [ -86.48, 39.51 ], [ -86.52, 39.51 ], [ -86.53, 39.52 ], [ -86.54, 39.57 ], [ -86.44, 39.64 ], [ -86.43, 39.69 ], [ -86.4, 39.73 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.5706, "confidence_lo": 0.0058, "confidence_hi": 0.0078, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "fa49f5fb741da0e9cbb88d50892ee24e21d223832f911cf7dc9a8389358d549f", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.5706, "probability": 0.007737, "confidence_lo": 0.005847, "confidence_hi": 0.007752, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "456f2eb9a2740097cd5694e12b4747e6859518cb8cab7278321eec05ec4c81ca", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "63081992994c891fc662bbb4232a6ae8f24537ad255c6757259bf69d197d57aa854f1fd2f06bf979fb3ee94a4c4c40913b91ff7f9a7f9fd82f565325ce8ed806" } }, "receipt_sha256": "456f2eb9a2740097cd5694e12b4747e6859518cb8cab7278321eec05ec4c81ca" }, { "storm_id": "320946", "lat": 39.4256, "lon": -85.7925, "motion_east": 10.2, "motion_south": 4.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0059, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1103.0, "ebshear": 52.0, "srh01": 134.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 134.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 53.0414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.1476 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.3059 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.5609 }, "coherence_score": 1.3058797121047974, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.3058797121047974, "grad_tau": 0.18692772090435028, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.147587537765503, "S_field": 0.8284059762954712, "Gamma_field": 0.17836466431617737, "S_over_Gamma": 4.644451141357422, "Da": 10.486248970031738, "E_coh": 0.8443554043769836, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -85.77, 39.53 ], [ -85.73, 39.53 ], [ -85.73, 39.49 ], [ -85.72, 39.48 ], [ -85.72, 39.41 ], [ -85.78, 39.38 ], [ -85.8, 39.4 ], [ -85.82, 39.37 ], [ -85.83, 39.33 ], [ -85.85, 39.33 ], [ -85.86, 39.35 ], [ -85.85, 39.38 ], [ -85.81, 39.4 ], [ -85.82, 39.42 ], [ -85.82, 39.48 ], [ -85.77, 39.53 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.5609, "confidence_lo": 0.0058, "confidence_hi": 0.0059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "dcd28ed96ba5eb335ec6ef8d93a6ae2cb8ecb0668e7a0642f1ba1828147b1a72", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.5609, "probability": 0.005936, "confidence_lo": 0.005847, "confidence_hi": 0.005937, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a47f54aaa4b4a2e88f2231ccb9fcf69db2a4b713593bea4347ec63830ad732c3", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "27f687feb3680b1f88c8d7447b6f16a26ab87f7946add937beda804379c48d199093920a0557c2782d2d3933929a7929fa108877d88b9790966591f4a8026e0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a47f54aaa4b4a2e88f2231ccb9fcf69db2a4b713593bea4347ec63830ad732c3" }, { "storm_id": "320777", "lat": 37.2233, "lon": -87.5467, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0059, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 970.0, "ebshear": 40.0, "srh01": 79.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.05, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 79.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 48.1664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.8202 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.4156 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4992 }, "coherence_score": 1.415561318397522, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.415561318397522, "grad_tau": 0.12542013823986053, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.820187568664551, "S_field": 0.8282851576805115, "Gamma_field": 1.3433645963668823, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6165751218795776, "Da": 78.0140609741211, "E_coh": 0.6722712516784668, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.55, 37.27 ], [ -87.51, 37.25 ], [ -87.51, 37.21 ], [ -87.5, 37.2 ], [ -87.51, 37.18 ], [ -87.53, 37.17 ], [ -87.56, 37.17 ], [ -87.6, 37.2 ], [ -87.6, 37.24 ], [ -87.58, 37.26 ], [ -87.56, 37.26 ], [ -87.55, 37.27 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.4992, "confidence_lo": 0.0058, "confidence_hi": 0.0059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "46abe3c326d4a74643329bd42060ec86b3826869e5b39191036968c0e557c539", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.4992, "probability": 0.005936, "confidence_lo": 0.005847, "confidence_hi": 0.005937, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "66a745f11e905f2240a86f95ce4c8410a55eceeacc3aa468abf03317dca49d95", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3277cbd51d64a3b146dcae64ae606f98e1519c74fa382c4085581dbf82404ecb32f9c2242d7237551587492138aec53d3188602d9523b8961f8123121a33a80c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "66a745f11e905f2240a86f95ce4c8410a55eceeacc3aa468abf03317dca49d95" }, { "storm_id": "320995", "lat": 36.9742, "lon": -90.1716, "motion_east": 9.6, "motion_south": 0.5, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0059, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2410.0, "ebshear": 45.0, "srh01": 172.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.32, "flash_rate": 8.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 172.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 48.4164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.3854 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8198 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4634 }, "coherence_score": 1.8198260068893433, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8198260068893433, "grad_tau": 0.06890621036291122, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.3853737115859985, "S_field": 1.5233935117721558, "Gamma_field": 0.2783646583557129, "S_over_Gamma": 5.472654342651367, "Da": 16.326213836669922, "E_coh": 0.9400004148483276, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.16, 37.06 ], [ -90.11, 37.06 ], [ -90.09, 37.05 ], [ -90.05, 37.0 ], [ -90.05, 36.96 ], [ -90.06, 36.94 ], [ -90.11, 36.93 ], [ -90.15, 36.9 ], [ -90.17, 36.9 ], [ -90.2, 36.88 ], [ -90.24, 36.88 ], [ -90.27, 36.92 ], [ -90.27, 36.94 ], [ -90.26, 36.95 ], [ -90.26, 36.99 ], [ -90.23, 37.02 ], [ -90.23, 37.03 ], [ -90.19, 37.04 ], [ -90.16, 37.06 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.4634, "confidence_lo": 0.0058, "confidence_hi": 0.0059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "7ee07a3fc38330f9b4bfa18614b777214da7dc70cf4f35369a4d996db028b096", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.4634, "probability": 0.005936, "confidence_lo": 0.005847, "confidence_hi": 0.005937, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9977d0d8ad11bdce6bc9e3cb4385deba496a873d867db9657a9fb983235217f2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "37875e899d4227416923c51f66014bc61d1dbd782304c8a61ba08d1399961234d1fdce810ba4edb00fd4bb5a9114992bc3496a31abb54e2d77d6872c20591a0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9977d0d8ad11bdce6bc9e3cb4385deba496a873d867db9657a9fb983235217f2" }, { "storm_id": "320920", "lat": 37.0926, "lon": -89.6559, "motion_east": 9.9, "motion_south": 1.1, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0059, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1930.0, "ebshear": 51.0, "srh01": 155.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 0.84, "flash_rate": 112.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 155.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 48.4164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.3854 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8198 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.007 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.453 }, "coherence_score": 1.8198260068893433, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8198260068893433, "grad_tau": 0.06890621036291122, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.3853737115859985, "S_field": 1.5233935117721558, "Gamma_field": 0.2783646583557129, "S_over_Gamma": 5.472654342651367, "Da": 16.326213836669922, "E_coh": 0.9400004148483276, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.5, 37.27 ], [ -89.41, 37.27 ], [ -89.4, 37.26 ], [ -89.4, 37.2 ], [ -89.43, 37.17 ], [ -89.43, 37.16 ], [ -89.49, 37.11 ], [ -89.48, 37.09 ], [ -89.48, 37.04 ], [ -89.49, 37.03 ], [ -89.59, 37.03 ], [ -89.64, 36.99 ], [ -89.65, 36.99 ], [ -89.68, 36.96 ], [ -89.69, 36.96 ], [ -89.76, 36.9 ], [ -89.78, 36.9 ], [ -89.79, 36.89 ], [ -89.82, 36.89 ], [ -89.84, 36.9 ], [ -89.87, 36.94 ], [ -89.86, 36.99 ], [ -89.83, 37.02 ], [ -89.83, 37.04 ], [ -89.81, 37.06 ], [ -89.81, 37.08 ], [ -89.84, 37.11 ], [ -89.84, 37.16 ], [ -89.83, 37.17 ], [ -89.78, 37.17 ], [ -89.76, 37.16 ], [ -89.71, 37.21 ], [ -89.67, 37.21 ], [ -89.63, 37.17 ], [ -89.6, 37.17 ], [ -89.57, 37.2 ], [ -89.57, 37.21 ], [ -89.52, 37.26 ], [ -89.5, 37.27 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.453, "confidence_lo": 0.0058, "confidence_hi": 0.0059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "f7eefcd101a7b567b58261941463a33dedb8ae052926e15727ebefaf6ccc7a8f", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.453, "probability": 0.005936, "confidence_lo": 0.005847, "confidence_hi": 0.005937, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "735e4540c48f368814eae2cf686f2628397dccfcd5f5e62cabc777fff3b7e38f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "787fd050a4978ef86fa0e6ee72dc8820fe250e52d20015c11b8fcd5985a03b43ac607619212490fe069dda3951b9b7c1871d23791eb323d51b8a99dbbf84dd07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "735e4540c48f368814eae2cf686f2628397dccfcd5f5e62cabc777fff3b7e38f" }, { "storm_id": "320803", "lat": 37.254, "lon": -91.454, "motion_east": 8.0, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0038, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2383.0, "ebshear": 42.0, "srh01": 160.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.32, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 160.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 33.0414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.2785 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.2303 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3788 }, "coherence_score": 1.2302908897399902, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.2302908897399902, "grad_tau": 0.12531451880931854, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.278478145599365, "S_field": 0.6989963054656982, "Gamma_field": 0.7733647227287292, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9038378596305847, "Da": 43.69809341430664, "E_coh": 0.7024011015892029, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -91.54, 37.33 ], [ -91.47, 37.33 ], [ -91.43, 37.3 ], [ -91.4, 37.29 ], [ -91.37, 37.26 ], [ -91.36, 37.26 ], [ -91.35, 37.24 ], [ -91.35, 37.21 ], [ -91.38, 37.19 ], [ -91.5, 37.19 ], [ -91.51, 37.2 ], [ -91.53, 37.2 ], [ -91.53, 37.23 ], [ -91.55, 37.25 ], [ -91.54, 37.33 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3788, "confidence_lo": 0.003, "confidence_hi": 0.0038, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "ffbe42f07a8aeab4fd92b647f9a137699bf26c0d23edae51508f7926326a15e8", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.3788, "probability": 0.003759, "confidence_lo": 0.003043, "confidence_hi": 0.003762, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "71c6374d7973401d2c3bee42212471e0fbbb099b64e9de539f8fb5e6f2ee6de3", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "316427c978ff8d81c181e9723709160384403717849682ba904e46a6d280b2f6c7f635020014bc84a326b4772f78a11335ab0391c387f1a5e4848f03a419b203" } }, "receipt_sha256": "71c6374d7973401d2c3bee42212471e0fbbb099b64e9de539f8fb5e6f2ee6de3" }, { "storm_id": "320162", "lat": 39.4038, "lon": -85.3606, "motion_east": 13.7, "motion_south": 6.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0033, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 743.0, "ebshear": 56.0, "srh01": 152.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.12, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 152.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 44.4164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 5.5782 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.3106 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3751 }, "coherence_score": 1.3105717897415161, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.3105717897415161, "grad_tau": 0.1392957866191864, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 5.5782036781311035, "S_field": 0.5371806025505066, "Gamma_field": 0.19003133475780487, "S_over_Gamma": 2.8268001079559326, "Da": 11.552614212036133, "E_coh": 0.41771090030670166, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 6, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -85.35, 39.57 ], [ -85.32, 39.57 ], [ -85.3, 39.55 ], [ -85.28, 39.51 ], [ -85.28, 39.48 ], [ -85.27, 39.47 ], [ -85.27, 39.39 ], [ -85.29, 39.36 ], [ -85.29, 39.31 ], [ -85.3, 39.3 ], [ -85.3, 39.28 ], [ -85.33, 39.25 ], [ -85.35, 39.24 ], [ -85.38, 39.24 ], [ -85.39, 39.23 ], [ -85.44, 39.23 ], [ -85.47, 39.26 ], [ -85.47, 39.31 ], [ -85.42, 39.36 ], [ -85.41, 39.38 ], [ -85.43, 39.4 ], [ -85.44, 39.43 ], [ -85.43, 39.45 ], [ -85.41, 39.45 ], [ -85.4, 39.46 ], [ -85.39, 39.46 ], [ -85.37, 39.43 ], [ -85.35, 39.45 ], [ -85.34, 39.47 ], [ -85.36, 39.5 ], [ -85.36, 39.56 ], [ -85.35, 39.57 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3751, "confidence_lo": 0.003, "confidence_hi": 0.0033, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "019ff87011f64b33da5df0d296c8fd506689faf854e1895b797ce4c91aaf8ba6", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.3751, "probability": 0.003315, "confidence_lo": 0.003043, "confidence_hi": 0.003316, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "416acf24e9143f9eedc48c345af99041d49fbc138f602746e1784c1c06de1527", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "fce251e662f1ba6fce1d5f8056fa97eae1feedc34359e06d28d762ac4597bdcceb19f40ffe00b4082e8f767340b0a5def1fe28285685514809c8b1662fbde202" } }, "receipt_sha256": "416acf24e9143f9eedc48c345af99041d49fbc138f602746e1784c1c06de1527" }, { "storm_id": "321130", "lat": 37.4869, "lon": -90.2523, "motion_east": 9.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0033, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2031.0, "ebshear": 45.0, "srh01": 138.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.41, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 138.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.1664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.0662 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.3406 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3714 }, "coherence_score": 1.3405567407608032, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.3405567407608032, "grad_tau": 0.2228003442287445, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.0661845207214355, "S_field": 0.513304591178894, "Gamma_field": 0.7116979956626892, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7212393283843994, "Da": 40.46786117553711, "E_coh": 0.6562486886978149, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.29, 37.53 ], [ -90.28, 37.52 ], [ -90.22, 37.52 ], [ -90.2, 37.51 ], [ -90.19, 37.5 ], [ -90.19, 37.45 ], [ -90.2, 37.44 ], [ -90.25, 37.44 ], [ -90.26, 37.45 ], [ -90.29, 37.45 ], [ -90.31, 37.47 ], [ -90.31, 37.52 ], [ -90.29, 37.53 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3714, "confidence_lo": 0.003, "confidence_hi": 0.0033, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "2c9ce7802ce5c0a62372c8ab4fa2f45a622475c0286844d7fbbc0320fb0c5647", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.3714, "probability": 0.003315, "confidence_lo": 0.003043, "confidence_hi": 0.003316, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "19198723fd0ea9bf345a28c33ecc58b502aa6951dccf240d8f213e59df37ba0c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "09125afb232d7573fef58c6f1669220c9b19e3a1360c3ae57b9a267843a44efe1543b77be66170e54111ab76da155a3391d5563ab98b1fb5e98462ea3d26da0c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "19198723fd0ea9bf345a28c33ecc58b502aa6951dccf240d8f213e59df37ba0c" }, { "storm_id": "320863", "lat": 37.4269, "lon": -90.0092, "motion_east": 9.5, "motion_south": 0.2, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0033, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2412.0, "ebshear": 44.0, "srh01": 151.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.3, "flash_rate": 4.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 151.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 37.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.7386 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6044 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.37 }, "coherence_score": 1.6043587923049927, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6043587923049927, "grad_tau": 0.32539981603622437, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.7385568618774414, "S_field": 0.7040656805038452, "Gamma_field": 0.49086466431617737, "S_over_Gamma": 1.4343376159667969, "Da": 28.19278335571289, "E_coh": 0.820412278175354, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.07, 37.49 ], [ -90.0, 37.49 ], [ -89.98, 37.47 ], [ -89.97, 37.44 ], [ -89.93, 37.4 ], [ -89.93, 37.38 ], [ -89.94, 37.37 ], [ -89.97, 37.37 ], [ -89.99, 37.39 ], [ -90.08, 37.39 ], [ -90.1, 37.4 ], [ -90.09, 37.47 ], [ -90.07, 37.49 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.37, "confidence_lo": 0.003, "confidence_hi": 0.0033, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "a64721f252c5e374ef452662b31a1b6d95f600f9bb01f8d871d6899383819a1c", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.37, "probability": 0.003315, "confidence_lo": 0.003043, "confidence_hi": 0.003316, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "752f205689091f3f63e119828746247fa8eca91ff6f60c6e95c007f2023c01f6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e7f50dad90b1a7861b9637d4171be1969f727cd88c5c556fab28e9f3921e9a818932d1bddb055a2ea66c5d7e151535272780b8773880c0524d94327888115d0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "752f205689091f3f63e119828746247fa8eca91ff6f60c6e95c007f2023c01f6" }, { "storm_id": "320357", "lat": 36.4557, "lon": -90.9252, "motion_east": 8.5, "motion_south": 0.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0031, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3598.0, "ebshear": 38.0, "srh01": 160.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.16, "flash_rate": 3.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 160.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.4164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.5702 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.3775 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3313 }, "coherence_score": 1.377514123916626, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.377514123916626, "grad_tau": 0.42987683415412903, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.5701688528060913, "S_field": 1.4373254776000977, "Gamma_field": 0.711698055267334, "S_over_Gamma": 2.0195720195770264, "Da": 41.01982498168945, "E_coh": 0.9534163475036621, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 5, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.87, 36.51 ], [ -90.81, 36.5 ], [ -90.8, 36.49 ], [ -90.8, 36.46 ], [ -90.81, 36.45 ], [ -90.85, 36.45 ], [ -90.92, 36.4 ], [ -90.94, 36.4 ], [ -90.95, 36.39 ], [ -90.99, 36.39 ], [ -91.0, 36.4 ], [ -91.02, 36.4 ], [ -91.04, 36.42 ], [ -91.04, 36.46 ], [ -91.02, 36.48 ], [ -91.0, 36.48 ], [ -90.99, 36.49 ], [ -90.92, 36.49 ], [ -90.91, 36.5 ], [ -90.88, 36.5 ], [ -90.87, 36.51 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3313, "confidence_lo": 0.003, "confidence_hi": 0.0031, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "e03319cbf92fecacbfb1654ac244e1fefb99f1b72eb129dc31bbb2c9a5037aa2", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.3313, "probability": 0.003128, "confidence_lo": 0.003043, "confidence_hi": 0.003128, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f058730ccdac85a12b98d0ba14d1c1b4df8eba4a80d9d6e256cdbc905181ddf2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b321204be4203a5085871ad12e95b7252db7be30822435ef07740b913bafeb52760e2e1abede87e062c34f0aea87b569e549312a7c2c803898111569a7ba870d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f058730ccdac85a12b98d0ba14d1c1b4df8eba4a80d9d6e256cdbc905181ddf2" }, { "storm_id": "320918", "lat": 37.2589, "lon": -90.1044, "motion_east": 9.6, "motion_south": 0.3, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0031, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2818.0, "ebshear": 44.0, "srh01": 141.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.24, "flash_rate": 16.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 141.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 37.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.7386 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6044 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3304 }, "coherence_score": 1.6043587923049927, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6043587923049927, "grad_tau": 0.32539981603622437, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.7385568618774414, "S_field": 0.7040656805038452, "Gamma_field": 0.49086466431617737, "S_over_Gamma": 1.4343376159667969, "Da": 28.19278335571289, "E_coh": 0.820412278175354, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.12, 37.3 ], [ -90.05, 37.3 ], [ -90.04, 37.29 ], [ -90.04, 37.24 ], [ -90.09, 37.2 ], [ -90.14, 37.2 ], [ -90.17, 37.23 ], [ -90.17, 37.27 ], [ -90.12, 37.3 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3304, "confidence_lo": 0.003, "confidence_hi": 0.0031, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "28a64755943e189b71d73582b32ef45c0d62265d38e44371df72d0263b66f34b", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.3304, "probability": 0.003128, "confidence_lo": 0.003043, "confidence_hi": 0.003128, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5aafe9b779deab7f2078990d02447450eb73e1aaebae88c871df1d01b961a7f5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6ffd3e4ea08d853005ebe9f17f871d20d0148fa8bd8733d4933853bb178007ad5afdd7049b413703adbea288d32882e6d286cc596788abd6cd2882bdf8b3e900" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5aafe9b779deab7f2078990d02447450eb73e1aaebae88c871df1d01b961a7f5" }, { "storm_id": "320963", "lat": 37.2158, "lon": -90.9273, "motion_east": 9.2, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0031, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2135.0, "ebshear": 45.0, "srh01": 165.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.62, "flash_rate": 24.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 165.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.777 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5004 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3275 }, "coherence_score": 1.5003749132156372, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5003749132156372, "grad_tau": 0.32970884442329407, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.776982069015503, "S_field": 1.1261690855026245, "Gamma_field": 0.6091980338096619, "S_over_Gamma": 1.848609209060669, "Da": 34.94986343383789, "E_coh": 0.9225167036056519, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.81, 37.29 ], [ -90.77, 37.29 ], [ -90.73, 37.26 ], [ -90.73, 37.22 ], [ -90.76, 37.19 ], [ -90.81, 37.18 ], [ -90.87, 37.15 ], [ -90.92, 37.15 ], [ -90.93, 37.16 ], [ -91.01, 37.16 ], [ -91.03, 37.2 ], [ -91.05, 37.19 ], [ -91.05, 37.17 ], [ -91.06, 37.16 ], [ -91.07, 37.16 ], [ -91.09, 37.18 ], [ -91.09, 37.21 ], [ -91.08, 37.22 ], [ -91.04, 37.21 ], [ -90.97, 37.26 ], [ -90.94, 37.26 ], [ -90.93, 37.25 ], [ -90.88, 37.25 ], [ -90.86, 37.27 ], [ -90.82, 37.28 ], [ -90.81, 37.29 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3275, "confidence_lo": 0.003, "confidence_hi": 0.0031, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "7759f04b3861474c58e3da999aa9481acfa93408e8f818718fa17153a02bb3a4", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.3275, "probability": 0.003128, "confidence_lo": 0.003043, "confidence_hi": 0.003128, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e203f9db6a5c03d211d42d652fc3e47ceeee0c0f84f2ece13100733578b5f868", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1eafb80a2ddcec493708e12827ea20fccdc26d5aa99bf2e7a57677d59c53b445826547950a756933e65a0258dd148779c01d860260773fdc010c5b3bbbcc0502" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e203f9db6a5c03d211d42d652fc3e47ceeee0c0f84f2ece13100733578b5f868" }, { "storm_id": "320343", "lat": 37.0383, "lon": -90.5817, "motion_east": 9.6, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0031, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2194.0, "ebshear": 46.0, "srh01": 235.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.83, "flash_rate": 31.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 235.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.777 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5004 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3249 }, "coherence_score": 1.5003749132156372, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5003749132156372, "grad_tau": 0.32970884442329407, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.776982069015503, "S_field": 1.1261690855026245, "Gamma_field": 0.6091980338096619, "S_over_Gamma": 1.848609209060669, "Da": 34.94986343383789, "E_coh": 0.9225167036056519, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 5, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.54, 37.14 ], [ -90.48, 37.14 ], [ -90.46, 37.12 ], [ -90.45, 37.12 ], [ -90.43, 37.1 ], [ -90.43, 37.06 ], [ -90.45, 37.04 ], [ -90.48, 37.04 ], [ -90.53, 36.99 ], [ -90.53, 36.98 ], [ -90.58, 36.94 ], [ -90.65, 36.93 ], [ -90.66, 36.94 ], [ -90.69, 36.94 ], [ -90.71, 36.95 ], [ -90.72, 36.96 ], [ -90.72, 37.0 ], [ -90.71, 37.01 ], [ -90.72, 37.02 ], [ -90.68, 37.09 ], [ -90.65, 37.11 ], [ -90.57, 37.12 ], [ -90.54, 37.14 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3249, "confidence_lo": 0.003, "confidence_hi": 0.0031, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "1762c9ab495c100a56ea24b4751cf0dab0451df3da2aebb8e053abca83abb0be", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.3249, "probability": 0.003128, "confidence_lo": 0.003043, "confidence_hi": 0.003128, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "18f6846206b1fa1cd6c477d641deec56448ad1b3268cccf2afebb23f90b13778", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9258f5d5ef7a4d2b0a0d8cd9a401ffc97ef22904e5a0faf2ee654a2175967af219d4e2006fbd5bde6df6e4ff8d6f90f69a76ac9fb400cbd991c904dc34512401" } }, "receipt_sha256": "18f6846206b1fa1cd6c477d641deec56448ad1b3268cccf2afebb23f90b13778" }, { "storm_id": "320584", "lat": 47.6311, "lon": -97.9967, "motion_east": 7.4, "motion_south": 2.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0031, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 622.0, "ebshear": 43.0, "srh01": 120.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.05, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 120.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 20.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 10.6067 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4253 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.295 }, "coherence_score": 0.4253351092338562, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4253351092338562, "grad_tau": 0.14793114364147186, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 10.606718063354492, "S_field": 0.08128204941749573, "Gamma_field": 0.20836466550827026, "S_over_Gamma": 0.39009517431259155, "Da": 11.304512023925781, "E_coh": 0.451005756855011, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.0, 47.68 ], [ -97.94, 47.68 ], [ -97.93, 47.67 ], [ -97.93, 47.62 ], [ -98.0, 47.57 ], [ -98.05, 47.57 ], [ -98.06, 47.58 ], [ -98.06, 47.63 ], [ -98.0, 47.68 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.295, "confidence_lo": 0.003, "confidence_hi": 0.0031, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "c31174581adf1f2ad58adc6745dd0468e01d8cdb489efaf065e96b0287646ef9", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.295, "probability": 0.003128, "confidence_lo": 0.003043, "confidence_hi": 0.003128, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "97c11d74393b6b0ba790553616eeace57f4e4295fe64dbc8779da939a4e940ce", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "20423ab59c1aa1259cbc77a99d8db3875d15da9feb53c6f443826c7c7cacaf1df29ffecd9ecf2e7f9f9d781933e4e9250ae02f8ad0daeef052c14b6e121c0700" } }, "receipt_sha256": "97c11d74393b6b0ba790553616eeace57f4e4295fe64dbc8779da939a4e940ce" }, { "storm_id": "321016", "lat": 48.1081, "lon": -97.8606, "motion_east": 9.8, "motion_south": 4.9, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0023, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 395.0, "ebshear": 40.0, "srh01": 141.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 141.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 22.5414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 9.1512 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.2823 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2727 }, "coherence_score": 0.2822595238685608, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.2822595238685608, "grad_tau": 0.22985665500164032, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 9.151190757751465, "S_field": 0.14646372199058533, "Gamma_field": 0.209197998046875, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7001200914382935, "Da": 12.08346939086914, "E_coh": 0.7263699173927307, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.92, 48.19 ], [ -97.88, 48.19 ], [ -97.86, 48.18 ], [ -97.8, 48.11 ], [ -97.77, 48.1 ], [ -97.76, 48.09 ], [ -97.76, 48.04 ], [ -97.77, 48.03 ], [ -97.81, 48.03 ], [ -97.82, 48.04 ], [ -97.86, 48.05 ], [ -97.9, 48.09 ], [ -97.99, 48.09 ], [ -97.99, 48.14 ], [ -97.96, 48.17 ], [ -97.92, 48.19 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2727, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0023, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "76ce26fff04becddad430f68b9ab5d62b7b8a4f547b71973400f618733945a4d", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.2727, "probability": 0.002259, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002259, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "323c20f4c71f19fd769d0af9129b47ba5c3b77847d48508e36f366a2c84912d7", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e667237bd7344b7f379de1595c84669ecd79411c2014064096b946cc90ae8f67935aa9a9413c16504d176909f215e8354e42aabefc4875c686cdff37c1b30903" } }, "receipt_sha256": "323c20f4c71f19fd769d0af9129b47ba5c3b77847d48508e36f366a2c84912d7" }, { "storm_id": "320708", "lat": 47.66, "lon": -97.7118, "motion_east": 9.5, "motion_south": 4.9, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0023, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 415.0, "ebshear": 42.0, "srh01": 91.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.1, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 91.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 24.6664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 11.7859 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.5776 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2672 }, "coherence_score": 0.5776323676109314, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5776323676109314, "grad_tau": 0.20582498610019684, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 11.78586196899414, "S_field": 0.3024478852748871, "Gamma_field": 0.38836467266082764, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7787728905677795, "Da": 22.96769142150879, "E_coh": 0.2583528161048889, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.69, 47.69 ], [ -97.67, 47.69 ], [ -97.66, 47.68 ], [ -97.66, 47.65 ], [ -97.71, 47.61 ], [ -97.76, 47.61 ], [ -97.77, 47.62 ], [ -97.77, 47.66 ], [ -97.75, 47.68 ], [ -97.7, 47.68 ], [ -97.69, 47.69 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2672, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0023, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "1dbd1f44d5334be9f65feaeb0d8e3c58c367ea7b1f440a5d6f351aa72356918e", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.2672, "probability": 0.002259, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002259, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "da264140bcdb1e5b803c691ae050be848be2588f1564330e6a38901c7906f897", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "96587452fbbd031d6981270ab8fa965442e878c82ae7716e3c3e653416b8991049bf4911f87744b20670d6720f88155632418c36f580e946742b8bcd936ec701" } }, "receipt_sha256": "da264140bcdb1e5b803c691ae050be848be2588f1564330e6a38901c7906f897" }, { "storm_id": "320952", "lat": 47.9335, "lon": -97.5235, "motion_east": 9.8, "motion_south": 5.2, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 344.0, "ebshear": 41.0, "srh01": 116.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.14, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 116.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 24.6664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 11.7859 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.5776 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2507 }, "coherence_score": 0.5776323676109314, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5776323676109314, "grad_tau": 0.20582498610019684, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 11.78586196899414, "S_field": 0.3024478852748871, "Gamma_field": 0.38836467266082764, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7787728905677795, "Da": 22.96769142150879, "E_coh": 0.2583528161048889, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.54, 48.05 ], [ -97.46, 48.02 ], [ -97.45, 48.0 ], [ -97.45, 47.96 ], [ -97.47, 47.94 ], [ -97.47, 47.92 ], [ -97.48, 47.91 ], [ -97.48, 47.87 ], [ -97.5, 47.83 ], [ -97.53, 47.8 ], [ -97.58, 47.8 ], [ -97.61, 47.84 ], [ -97.61, 47.92 ], [ -97.57, 47.97 ], [ -97.58, 47.98 ], [ -97.58, 48.01 ], [ -97.54, 48.05 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2507, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "bf286d04994e354465aa836b2310147d9d51714a899262716c2d14372de16751", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.2507, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "052ce0b74c37be2d102f6463db7dea398251d49ce0ebb90e30e0777e284064ef", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3571d9e094e92bf28393b5374e8d4e8a60660cdc885c11db028b041752da4a8399c7b5d0fc6eaa6f07526f2d7ae6abb35d8c964b7d7a2e95b533013352420f03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "052ce0b74c37be2d102f6463db7dea398251d49ce0ebb90e30e0777e284064ef" }, { "storm_id": "320571", "lat": 36.472, "lon": -91.565, "motion_east": 9.3, "motion_south": 1.2, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3449.0, "ebshear": 39.0, "srh01": 187.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.26, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 187.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.802 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9571 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2403 }, "coherence_score": 0.9571250081062317, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9571250081062317, "grad_tau": 0.403729110956192, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.8019577264785767, "S_field": 0.6549926996231079, "Gamma_field": 1.0033646821975708, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6527962684631348, "Da": 57.76920700073242, "E_coh": 0.8257597088813782, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -91.59, 36.52 ], [ -91.55, 36.52 ], [ -91.51, 36.49 ], [ -91.51, 36.45 ], [ -91.53, 36.43 ], [ -91.55, 36.42 ], [ -91.58, 36.42 ], [ -91.62, 36.45 ], [ -91.62, 36.5 ], [ -91.59, 36.52 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2403, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "568a7792a927b3ae12e390692e2dc579ccecf6c3c913cf3941c5cbd0451920a6", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.2403, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ca34c9eeb79a545cdb4f23c16bd939af74ff1c605af1157c9c86a7a2aab3a4ae", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a07367a8636f75a9d3a4822c8ee0d65109fdb3d396f4d960c94cbf3ebd82dd5b1078c44d6ad8254f9045971153d984fce21a58df7559240e5b26e8d70e84280a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ca34c9eeb79a545cdb4f23c16bd939af74ff1c605af1157c9c86a7a2aab3a4ae" }, { "storm_id": "320867", "lat": 36.4862, "lon": -92.0631, "motion_east": 9.4, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3278.0, "ebshear": 42.0, "srh01": 210.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.14, "flash_rate": 3.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 210.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.802 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9571 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2363 }, "coherence_score": 0.9571250081062317, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9571250081062317, "grad_tau": 0.403729110956192, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.8019577264785767, "S_field": 0.6549926996231079, "Gamma_field": 1.0033646821975708, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6527962684631348, "Da": 57.76920700073242, "E_coh": 0.8257597088813782, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -92.07, 36.56 ], [ -92.03, 36.55 ], [ -92.0, 36.52 ], [ -92.0, 36.51 ], [ -91.98, 36.49 ], [ -91.97, 36.49 ], [ -91.97, 36.45 ], [ -92.01, 36.41 ], [ -92.05, 36.39 ], [ -92.11, 36.4 ], [ -92.18, 36.45 ], [ -92.17, 36.46 ], [ -92.17, 36.49 ], [ -92.13, 36.52 ], [ -92.1, 36.53 ], [ -92.07, 36.56 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2363, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "3f472007b8405163e76fc7f2cf7d0854b8b6962b713b3f9eab502d488ae386f9", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.2363, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4dc52e5cfa592c9fbca4726126fa7830b1c31d42cfee31cc799edb175f620279", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1ee94bd7dfb05003ed4647d7e8f60d569092a662ece216928062713ef3c86b943c9eb4a3e8263b2dccd785cd63274d29b71afc16d7d0bd3b14cdc4e535453300" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4dc52e5cfa592c9fbca4726126fa7830b1c31d42cfee31cc799edb175f620279" }, { "storm_id": "320778", "lat": 36.4842, "lon": -91.2889, "motion_east": 10.3, "motion_south": 1.1, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3296.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 196.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.17, "flash_rate": 2.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 196.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.802 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9571 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2228 }, "coherence_score": 0.9571250081062317, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9571250081062317, "grad_tau": 0.403729110956192, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.8019577264785767, "S_field": 0.6549926996231079, "Gamma_field": 1.0033646821975708, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6527962684631348, "Da": 57.76920700073242, "E_coh": 0.8257597088813782, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -91.42, 36.54 ], [ -91.36, 36.54 ], [ -91.3, 36.51 ], [ -91.28, 36.52 ], [ -91.25, 36.52 ], [ -91.24, 36.53 ], [ -91.16, 36.53 ], [ -91.15, 36.52 ], [ -91.15, 36.46 ], [ -91.19, 36.44 ], [ -91.21, 36.42 ], [ -91.23, 36.42 ], [ -91.24, 36.41 ], [ -91.31, 36.41 ], [ -91.35, 36.43 ], [ -91.4, 36.48 ], [ -91.41, 36.48 ], [ -91.42, 36.5 ], [ -91.42, 36.54 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2228, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "0a4833500d972333071319a43d69c969aaa3213420cea90a8c5b7e15fe83290b", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.2228, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aeac51484cee96ddf2f42be540e86b368b3ed39231227e1891829d3b987e2142", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a4e2316657773ba3985e60739c5e636525e53d0fdddf639d532d9f67e3306a237af8ed4c131417b2aaae6f9962f44043c38438ecf41da58ec77c47a6f13b0b08" } }, "receipt_sha256": "aeac51484cee96ddf2f42be540e86b368b3ed39231227e1891829d3b987e2142" }, { "storm_id": "321037", "lat": 35.5667, "lon": -92.98, "motion_east": 7.6, "motion_south": 1.4, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2259.0, "ebshear": 30.0, "srh01": 110.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 110.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 43.0414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.4207 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6395 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2212 }, "coherence_score": 0.6394681930541992, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6394681930541992, "grad_tau": 0.13878442347049713, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.42065954208374, "S_field": 0.6375349760055542, "Gamma_field": 0.927531361579895, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6873459815979004, "Da": 54.61677551269531, "E_coh": 0.9093776345252991, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -93.0, 35.6 ], [ -92.94, 35.6 ], [ -92.93, 35.59 ], [ -92.93, 35.56 ], [ -92.97, 35.52 ], [ -93.01, 35.52 ], [ -93.02, 35.53 ], [ -93.02, 35.58 ], [ -93.0, 35.6 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2212, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "ba7203d9ca2ee7d10681012e239e36ac74f4c370778d5edc9f7bab0cf45f4e55", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.2212, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2414c7ffe10a81583150e0e781d2bb2f6e64bd7277a0353647077efda9acae2b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2b7abb27f220e2bf567eb1e7c3ed04f50f1ce39576c743870fc070b951f08abb31066493397ec81c1a0223de77e40740a859e60a74330e4c75345a6ed4886505" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2414c7ffe10a81583150e0e781d2bb2f6e64bd7277a0353647077efda9acae2b" }, { "storm_id": "321109", "lat": 49.21, "lon": -96.465, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 30.0, "ebshear": 9.0, "srh01": 121.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 121.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 29.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -6.1781 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2191 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.48374706506729126, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -6.178129196166992, "S_field": 0.27626878023147583, "Gamma_field": 0.20753133296966553, "S_over_Gamma": 1.3312147855758667, "Da": 12.979257583618164, "E_coh": 0.43625199794769287, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.48, 49.24 ], [ -96.44, 49.24 ], [ -96.43, 49.23 ], [ -96.43, 49.18 ], [ -96.44, 49.17 ], [ -96.47, 49.17 ], [ -96.49, 49.18 ], [ -96.49, 49.22 ], [ -96.5, 49.23 ], [ -96.48, 49.24 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2191, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "d221a4edc871a595bf96f5f6d4068012663495927427cebf059ee986ffb43ad0", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.2191, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3cd72d752dee08ab5ab4728cae47ce7cfa6d6b23c1b1a9a0fb51091dbe2595e2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8c025e44e1f39ae4e0f4f4bca8bc7dd44539d4da8afc61ea547bb697206987be3151e29f052e3e88ff95461c0b8c60ed02b9331b63f3ab31cf70b4450fdfc80e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3cd72d752dee08ab5ab4728cae47ce7cfa6d6b23c1b1a9a0fb51091dbe2595e2" }, { "storm_id": "321087", "lat": 28.8467, "lon": -87.86, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3082.0, "ebshear": 11.0, "srh01": 72.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 72.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 33.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.2404 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.5677 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2105 }, "coherence_score": 2.5677006244659424, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.5677006244659424, "grad_tau": 0.24855835735797882, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.2404297590255737, "S_field": 0.8582687973976135, "Gamma_field": 0.32586467266082764, "S_over_Gamma": 2.633819818496704, "Da": 20.302589416503906, "E_coh": 0.9616014361381531, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.89, 28.9 ], [ -87.84, 28.9 ], [ -87.79, 28.84 ], [ -87.79, 28.8 ], [ -87.81, 28.78 ], [ -87.83, 28.8 ], [ -87.87, 28.8 ], [ -87.89, 28.82 ], [ -87.9, 28.86 ], [ -87.91, 28.87 ], [ -87.91, 28.89 ], [ -87.89, 28.9 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2105, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "b39ba58ca68bb9261d0e8cba767bc6118c6062cf6c20eb6d2b68870d0b99a233", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.2105, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7ec2a797bd625ec66cf5f444cc34bdf8d971b918f5ad29a4697385a6506b7228", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ea399750efc34c038e823f50b113a2d0859524b77ca1fd6222108ce81b8b19186c11f38d553c214b388000112943f6cd2297e02d7bcdf667f5a5a9fc3580a005" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7ec2a797bd625ec66cf5f444cc34bdf8d971b918f5ad29a4697385a6506b7228" }, { "storm_id": "320493", "lat": 47.9918, "lon": -96.3064, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 39.0, "ebshear": 8.0, "srh01": 126.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.03, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 126.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 25.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.6541 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7708 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2068 }, "coherence_score": 0.7708317041397095, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.7708317041397095, "grad_tau": 0.15654468536376953, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.6540660858154297, "S_field": 0.6917067170143127, "Gamma_field": 0.18003132939338684, "S_over_Gamma": 3.842146396636963, "Da": 11.460716247558594, "E_coh": 0.8033314943313599, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 4, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.33, 48.04 ], [ -96.26, 48.04 ], [ -96.23, 48.01 ], [ -96.22, 47.98 ], [ -96.25, 47.95 ], [ -96.32, 47.95 ], [ -96.33, 47.96 ], [ -96.36, 47.96 ], [ -96.37, 47.97 ], [ -96.37, 48.01 ], [ -96.33, 48.04 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2068, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "ccf1ae641a542a63c799e891be932f38c68b3b30ebb0a521dbbd7dd1d0c4bcaf", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.2068, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4481997dc050f9307a5657893135e21b5ef4af4af9d9b975383342624a41f855", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f742a92c57b2e8872f9c136660e81a5b57e43326d8c0e3e0d0441dee1c59d6171f9b59a9f430708e28fd79649e849a0aa47e639e6918f1d0737665d4e31f5901" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4481997dc050f9307a5657893135e21b5ef4af4af9d9b975383342624a41f855" }, { "storm_id": "321122", "lat": 48.3709, "lon": -96.9464, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 61.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 205.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 205.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 25.5414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.0646 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3983 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2 }, "coherence_score": 0.39831632375717163, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.39831632375717163, "grad_tau": 0.3058824837207794, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.064620494842529, "S_field": 0.3501366972923279, "Gamma_field": 0.209197998046875, "S_over_Gamma": 1.6737096309661865, "Da": 13.045239448547363, "E_coh": 0.6746313571929932, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.93, 48.4 ], [ -96.9, 48.4 ], [ -96.91, 48.39 ], [ -96.91, 48.33 ], [ -96.92, 48.32 ], [ -96.99, 48.32 ], [ -96.99, 48.36 ], [ -97.0, 48.38 ], [ -96.99, 48.39 ], [ -96.94, 48.39 ], [ -96.93, 48.4 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "ec361add5afbcdb8b62bf8daef0ed186d18714095ea66df0b460266669a7c753", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.2, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1c3cef34d9ac427f492be4e49a2cba1bf4f16495dbd9c0ebce347c2406f97658", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ebead0c4b5c66c90b3ff7a513c3794526a71414a693b9fa7b1053ade25f06eb65b912b52757bd057a8db712e2ac652022783b6d3952a6119da010a3b6cb85602" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1c3cef34d9ac427f492be4e49a2cba1bf4f16495dbd9c0ebce347c2406f97658" }, { "storm_id": "321132", "lat": 36.1178, "lon": -91.7733, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3398.0, "ebshear": 34.0, "srh01": 150.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 150.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.802 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9571 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1986 }, "coherence_score": 0.9571250081062317, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9571250081062317, "grad_tau": 0.403729110956192, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.8019577264785767, "S_field": 0.6549926996231079, "Gamma_field": 1.0033646821975708, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6527962684631348, "Da": 57.76920700073242, "E_coh": 0.8257597088813782, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -91.81, 36.15 ], [ -91.74, 36.15 ], [ -91.73, 36.14 ], [ -91.72, 36.08 ], [ -91.77, 36.08 ], [ -91.78, 36.09 ], [ -91.8, 36.09 ], [ -91.8, 36.13 ], [ -91.81, 36.15 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1986, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "9ede689d3a6071afeb5899bbfc103dfc37f4982a8eea83243de50575714266b6", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1986, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dc9770284821f6165512cfcf768583dd93abd75384d33fec5a2917728a625386", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e87cd9e7280fd35bced18bc85d688da7cf16be794b1173610e1f8b39df1d18ddf744bd3871885ab4f4754fe66c4b886e150863acd2c3c5ae72e99e386b533f03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "dc9770284821f6165512cfcf768583dd93abd75384d33fec5a2917728a625386" }, { "storm_id": "321007", "lat": 39.7144, "lon": -84.1256, "motion_east": 6.1, "motion_south": 1.7, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 649.0, "ebshear": 45.0, "srh01": 82.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 82.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 6.9671 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.2599 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1957 }, "coherence_score": 1.2598931789398193, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.2598931789398193, "grad_tau": 0.1598498523235321, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 6.967060089111328, "S_field": 0.3880116939544678, "Gamma_field": 0.4083646833896637, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9501597881317139, "Da": 23.993778228759766, "E_coh": 0.3760240375995636, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -84.15, 39.75 ], [ -84.11, 39.74 ], [ -84.08, 39.72 ], [ -84.08, 39.68 ], [ -84.09, 39.67 ], [ -84.15, 39.68 ], [ -84.16, 39.7 ], [ -84.16, 39.74 ], [ -84.15, 39.75 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1957, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "369aba6869fefd037410446cf847391f3bb5b19453288e1153e38b16be7796d9", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1957, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "11a216f3a025211711a9104809783ef13a110393e6bf228f25ac876eef341e38", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5d37c2eba9df98aa80eef97fd7e991cd4ba0424f4d91a4a801eb2c8fbe5a87fdb89baa4af50cedb24dd817c2da1240e594331531c778e3296dc8f56f87fe7302" } }, "receipt_sha256": "11a216f3a025211711a9104809783ef13a110393e6bf228f25ac876eef341e38" }, { "storm_id": "320871", "lat": 35.3865, "lon": -94.0865, "motion_east": 10.0, "motion_south": 1.6, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 938.0, "ebshear": 31.0, "srh01": 86.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.38, "flash_rate": 3.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 86.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.0414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.6831 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6287 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.006 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1956 }, "coherence_score": 0.6287349462509155, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6287349462509155, "grad_tau": 0.1621984988451004, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.6831016540527344, "S_field": 0.5893257260322571, "Gamma_field": 0.6841980218887329, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8613379597663879, "Da": 40.68485641479492, "E_coh": 0.843108057975769, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -94.08, 35.45 ], [ -94.01, 35.45 ], [ -94.0, 35.44 ], [ -94.0, 35.38 ], [ -94.01, 35.36 ], [ -94.02, 35.36 ], [ -94.05, 35.33 ], [ -94.08, 35.33 ], [ -94.09, 35.32 ], [ -94.1, 35.33 ], [ -94.17, 35.33 ], [ -94.19, 35.37 ], [ -94.18, 35.38 ], [ -94.18, 35.41 ], [ -94.14, 35.44 ], [ -94.09, 35.44 ], [ -94.08, 35.45 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1956, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "3e0fd2753afbe5c38b615f6e5ea8d8fc026a120fcfc4f3173bc645b6652bd124", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1956, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c93196067d76d1a5140521521ff80a0089f13d795af0e89a9817eecccab20a4b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "83e3b5aa27edb2c72b9502568c53edf51cd6ddd037bc92bfdbceb2019cc47a57420710f21a78041615fd95180230deef43b3569ce3464d8d152300f1c3112a02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c93196067d76d1a5140521521ff80a0089f13d795af0e89a9817eecccab20a4b" }, { "storm_id": "320275", "lat": 35.2935, "lon": -94.3276, "motion_east": 8.8, "motion_south": 1.7, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 861.0, "ebshear": 35.0, "srh01": 73.0, "maxllaz": 0.009, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 73.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.0414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.6831 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6287 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.009 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1954 }, "coherence_score": 0.6287349462509155, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6287349462509155, "grad_tau": 0.1621984988451004, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.6831016540527344, "S_field": 0.5893257260322571, "Gamma_field": 0.6841980218887329, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8613379597663879, "Da": 40.68485641479492, "E_coh": 0.843108057975769, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 5, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -94.29, 35.35 ], [ -94.27, 35.35 ], [ -94.25, 35.33 ], [ -94.25, 35.29 ], [ -94.29, 35.25 ], [ -94.31, 35.24 ], [ -94.35, 35.24 ], [ -94.36, 35.23 ], [ -94.37, 35.24 ], [ -94.39, 35.24 ], [ -94.4, 35.26 ], [ -94.4, 35.3 ], [ -94.37, 35.32 ], [ -94.35, 35.32 ], [ -94.33, 35.34 ], [ -94.3, 35.34 ], [ -94.29, 35.35 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1954, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "f05c645b6e1b0c78d6ffc316e13ccb0098a348bb7a3a35716b415b7573f5fe5b", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1954, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7166ebf52bbc150a47f3ddb8b38e1bbde73d3588d74a0b218d93dd5daac89e38", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a5dc357233db79c31fd87e7bd778a8999dcae594eb2c66c41db2f0760f32c65c5786ec5a495d24c012ae95f00dfab3db3fb139ea6adaf8b9d64e1e22cc428409" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7166ebf52bbc150a47f3ddb8b38e1bbde73d3588d74a0b218d93dd5daac89e38" }, { "storm_id": "320972", "lat": 30.2556, "lon": -81.3024, "motion_east": 2.2, "motion_south": 0.3, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2182.0, "ebshear": 31.0, "srh01": 83.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.37, "flash_rate": 10.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 83.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 46.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -7.1133 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7574 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.006 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1931 }, "coherence_score": 0.7573766112327576, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.7573766112327576, "grad_tau": 0.2245769053697586, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -7.113292694091797, "S_field": 0.2374678999185562, "Gamma_field": 1.2183645963668823, "S_over_Gamma": 0.194907084107399, "Da": 74.7973403930664, "E_coh": 0.12055118381977081, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -81.32, 30.33 ], [ -81.28, 30.33 ], [ -81.27, 30.32 ], [ -81.23, 30.32 ], [ -81.22, 30.33 ], [ -81.16, 30.33 ], [ -81.15, 30.32 ], [ -81.15, 30.3 ], [ -81.16, 30.29 ], [ -81.22, 30.28 ], [ -81.26, 30.24 ], [ -81.25, 30.22 ], [ -81.25, 30.18 ], [ -81.27, 30.15 ], [ -81.31, 30.15 ], [ -81.34, 30.13 ], [ -81.4, 30.13 ], [ -81.44, 30.15 ], [ -81.47, 30.19 ], [ -81.47, 30.23 ], [ -81.45, 30.25 ], [ -81.45, 30.26 ], [ -81.39, 30.31 ], [ -81.33, 30.32 ], [ -81.32, 30.33 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1931, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "b61998d77c6318ea9211bf1a7a6f7adafdc08cab9769ed7142a5db6b47f402e3", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1931, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f34d0d37eb3e975a1457e166e6e49761698c11e9eae8f9f88ecbcde6635463b7", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "33afa8c0dffccc498826be5324c8d9570d1a439cb20a18c9aa609d89663ca9db8bff45e8f3df46dfbef785e8474ddf6f151a7d7d55778e8c2a3f1f3fa2458b01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f34d0d37eb3e975a1457e166e6e49761698c11e9eae8f9f88ecbcde6635463b7" }, { "storm_id": "321057", "lat": 47.6583, "lon": -98.4142, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 496.0, "ebshear": 44.0, "srh01": 140.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 140.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 20.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 10.6067 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4253 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1886 }, "coherence_score": 0.4253351092338562, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4253351092338562, "grad_tau": 0.14793114364147186, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 10.606718063354492, "S_field": 0.08128204941749573, "Gamma_field": 0.20836466550827026, "S_over_Gamma": 0.39009517431259155, "Da": 11.304512023925781, "E_coh": 0.451005756855011, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.4, 47.7 ], [ -98.38, 47.68 ], [ -98.33, 47.66 ], [ -98.33, 47.62 ], [ -98.35, 47.59 ], [ -98.45, 47.6 ], [ -98.49, 47.62 ], [ -98.49, 47.67 ], [ -98.48, 47.68 ], [ -98.46, 47.69 ], [ -98.41, 47.69 ], [ -98.4, 47.7 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1886, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "6a97cc8b7ebeb8ff4f4bd544ad5f155c30283189c3219873e68d9a1a0a2f2ead", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1886, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e0e51dbb61ebf3e09a31c64c75de8a05eaa467730eaf7768520082a568649087", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d17f46a0fabde3cd47e761b1d7ea4c38b51f8176ea5c7237aa1f8e453bf9e2ce2f748e7d60954bb107da308b399f4bfaee60fba2112db954f03e129b5f81ca0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e0e51dbb61ebf3e09a31c64c75de8a05eaa467730eaf7768520082a568649087" }, { "storm_id": "321103", "lat": 35.4649, "lon": -93.4281, "motion_east": 9.4, "motion_south": 0.9, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2320.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 117.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.09, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 117.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.4164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.4462 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.5488 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1861 }, "coherence_score": 0.5488145351409912, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5488145351409912, "grad_tau": 0.14186659455299377, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.446230411529541, "S_field": 0.23249709606170654, "Gamma_field": 1.0891979932785034, "S_over_Gamma": 0.2134571522474289, "Da": 64.71282196044922, "E_coh": 0.6141646504402161, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -93.48, 35.55 ], [ -93.43, 35.55 ], [ -93.38, 35.51 ], [ -93.36, 35.51 ], [ -93.32, 35.49 ], [ -93.29, 35.49 ], [ -93.28, 35.48 ], [ -93.24, 35.49 ], [ -93.21, 35.52 ], [ -93.2, 35.51 ], [ -93.17, 35.51 ], [ -93.16, 35.5 ], [ -93.16, 35.48 ], [ -93.18, 35.45 ], [ -93.19, 35.45 ], [ -93.22, 35.42 ], [ -93.24, 35.42 ], [ -93.25, 35.41 ], [ -93.3, 35.41 ], [ -93.31, 35.42 ], [ -93.36, 35.42 ], [ -93.37, 35.43 ], [ -93.55, 35.44 ], [ -93.56, 35.43 ], [ -93.64, 35.42 ], [ -93.67, 35.38 ], [ -93.72, 35.38 ], [ -93.74, 35.4 ], [ -93.74, 35.42 ], [ -93.75, 35.43 ], [ -93.74, 35.44 ], [ -93.74, 35.46 ], [ -93.69, 35.5 ], [ -93.6, 35.5 ], [ -93.59, 35.51 ], [ -93.53, 35.52 ], [ -93.48, 35.55 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1861, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "b1ddddb66bd7425aecbd063eac23ea028acd239adfa8346e109a0e6fb56addcb", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1861, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cd7836ba510f87000f9f2fdaf7111e87b7ec7f742726f93ac511b2da64830af5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "37c31aed748e4d3f38d7c749c2fa60d3d583a40f5396e0ac5382b29f1c71f427ff3a806d2a098a45cef2fc72dc905bd66708a8ee3e4f62723418a7f75cd4b101" } }, "receipt_sha256": "cd7836ba510f87000f9f2fdaf7111e87b7ec7f742726f93ac511b2da64830af5" }, { "storm_id": "319902", "lat": 39.9614, "lon": -83.1048, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 306.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 64.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.09, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 64.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.5414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 9.2698 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.2841 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1856 }, "coherence_score": 1.2840938568115234, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.2840938568115234, "grad_tau": 0.11595215648412704, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 9.269815444946289, "S_field": 0.4261864423751831, "Gamma_field": 0.1650313287973404, "S_over_Gamma": 2.5824577808380127, "Da": 9.834040641784668, "E_coh": 0.7056321501731873, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 7, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -83.05, 40.07 ], [ -82.99, 40.07 ], [ -82.99, 40.04 ], [ -82.98, 40.03 ], [ -82.98, 40.01 ], [ -83.03, 39.97 ], [ -83.02, 39.96 ], [ -83.03, 39.95 ], [ -83.03, 39.93 ], [ -83.02, 39.92 ], [ -83.02, 39.88 ], [ -83.04, 39.87 ], [ -83.08, 39.87 ], [ -83.09, 39.88 ], [ -83.12, 39.88 ], [ -83.13, 39.89 ], [ -83.15, 39.88 ], [ -83.19, 39.88 ], [ -83.22, 39.91 ], [ -83.26, 39.93 ], [ -83.26, 39.97 ], [ -83.25, 39.99 ], [ -83.23, 40.0 ], [ -83.22, 39.99 ], [ -83.2, 39.99 ], [ -83.19, 40.0 ], [ -83.13, 40.0 ], [ -83.09, 40.05 ], [ -83.05, 40.07 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1856, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "a30f31d0103ae7489093e4644d11a20430581814e6596d16ef602a1bce0b0b3d", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1856, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "770b2ae84bc3b893ed945fa322b3d38db8415971c6f0a73fdeb30eff69284ed0", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3b7098cf7ca4ad662eb6052146b3044fccc31d89422ddd685bc3ea630b84c0fde59c15626d6a911f44b1114f24015264aec3a25e6042f2a282b4ec01de54dd0d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "770b2ae84bc3b893ed945fa322b3d38db8415971c6f0a73fdeb30eff69284ed0" }, { "storm_id": "321079", "lat": 36.5833, "lon": -92.4025, "motion_east": 7.4, "motion_south": 1.1, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3200.0, "ebshear": 41.0, "srh01": 219.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 219.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.4674 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8537 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1825 }, "coherence_score": 0.8537499904632568, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8537499904632568, "grad_tau": 0.2970331609249115, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.4674038887023926, "S_field": 0.2387373447418213, "Gamma_field": 0.9500313401222229, "S_over_Gamma": 0.25129416584968567, "Da": 55.40285110473633, "E_coh": 0.5514527559280396, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -92.46, 36.62 ], [ -92.4, 36.62 ], [ -92.38, 36.61 ], [ -92.38, 36.6 ], [ -92.36, 36.58 ], [ -92.35, 36.58 ], [ -92.36, 36.54 ], [ -92.38, 36.53 ], [ -92.42, 36.54 ], [ -92.42, 36.56 ], [ -92.46, 36.6 ], [ -92.46, 36.62 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1825, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "4bac77eabf292b7f3c5e48d3fe92c334092a11e625370fb58ad14e31165b8abd", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1825, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8dd14a6a5857ee0d6a13528f2d973d2a90acd254b0cada37a891ad2a621eaee1", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b918e6a6843560260f1bf2499583bcb7bc3d935a6a96a0f57dbe6b67b87239ebc97a590d35ccb324676e3775a085dcf3817598f33cbafe0dd9eaf16ae9c0030f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8dd14a6a5857ee0d6a13528f2d973d2a90acd254b0cada37a891ad2a621eaee1" }, { "storm_id": "321092", "lat": 38.4756, "lon": -101.3044, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2151.0, "ebshear": 50.0, "srh01": 92.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.14, "flash_rate": 3.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 92.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 21.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 6.4256 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6479 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1744 }, "coherence_score": 0.6479036211967468, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6479036211967468, "grad_tau": 0.11164695024490356, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 6.425607681274414, "S_field": 0.2766202986240387, "Gamma_field": 0.7891980409622192, "S_over_Gamma": 0.35050809383392334, "Da": 49.64870071411133, "E_coh": 0.5480102300643921, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -101.32, 38.52 ], [ -101.27, 38.52 ], [ -101.26, 38.5 ], [ -101.26, 38.45 ], [ -101.28, 38.42 ], [ -101.33, 38.42 ], [ -101.35, 38.45 ], [ -101.35, 38.48 ], [ -101.32, 38.52 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1744, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "7a6871c1a960de23899ccf67fe41908e001c2b6b28bfb3289c8e8e89f4f05a8f", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1744, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "97dc6302131d6c1bc89729963d22f100570500a7c3068bf2703f4459f3c9e9ef", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "be4145f1dc3c06e687c52e7ae1df0dcd5295bfab353cb58b0047c684e44a78e3d99de5d9e8ab8302a1aa04bd0fdefde6525f3aad48ec3fe1a1d9042c9a31aa03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "97dc6302131d6c1bc89729963d22f100570500a7c3068bf2703f4459f3c9e9ef" }, { "storm_id": "320954", "lat": 42.7531, "lon": -78.1415, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 410.0, "ebshear": 34.0, "srh01": 71.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.03, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 71.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 20.1664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.2712 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.1304 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1657 }, "coherence_score": 1.1303598880767822, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.1303598880767822, "grad_tau": 0.05516551434993744, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.2711732387542725, "S_field": 0.21827532351016998, "Gamma_field": 0.22586466372013092, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9663987159729004, "Da": 12.777363777160645, "E_coh": 0.6255133748054504, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.15, 42.79 ], [ -78.14, 42.78 ], [ -78.11, 42.78 ], [ -78.1, 42.77 ], [ -78.1, 42.74 ], [ -78.09, 42.73 ], [ -78.12, 42.7 ], [ -78.16, 42.69 ], [ -78.18, 42.7 ], [ -78.2, 42.76 ], [ -78.18, 42.78 ], [ -78.16, 42.78 ], [ -78.15, 42.79 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1657, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "fa1ee98a190ea4334b174a8125f5dfe6bfcd9252c4a0c8122a190d737648db9f", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1657, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c418d73467ce1b67021a068b6e5967054961c884b07f5b32c0b75f3ac900549c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6357eb45909f9a28d30c09c6cd8e09db016f76af9a8a4702684f7a2e93bd07f9f966efed1461614ab58c0accc89b7b03fe48a49a3ffd5597f821d82595d5a809" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c418d73467ce1b67021a068b6e5967054961c884b07f5b32c0b75f3ac900549c" }, { "storm_id": "321108", "lat": 50.17, "lon": -97.9171, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 258.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 117.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.08, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 117.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 29.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.1156 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1609 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.2822595238685608, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.11562919616699219, "S_field": 0.3040723502635956, "Gamma_field": 0.48086464405059814, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6323450207710266, "Da": 29.283281326293945, "E_coh": 0.13618800044059753, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.93, 50.21 ], [ -97.9, 50.21 ], [ -97.86, 50.19 ], [ -97.86, 50.17 ], [ -97.85, 50.16 ], [ -97.86, 50.14 ], [ -97.88, 50.14 ], [ -97.92, 50.12 ], [ -97.97, 50.12 ], [ -97.99, 50.14 ], [ -97.99, 50.17 ], [ -97.96, 50.2 ], [ -97.94, 50.2 ], [ -97.93, 50.21 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1609, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "a03724dfe5bd63312371de68c19eb52740ba1b966a538ec8e45703722c3c2a3f", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1609, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "04da008c0cc1db1ba5151372e7303a74bf100503e4e2c7e232930eafaa110a1b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8ba719cad1e365811a6476f5155e3aac1a483379f2988bc2519ba7db00c7ea7e53e94c2b7a55ae3961f3e5c5108b4777a84a614ecd2c367cc9a09852f24ec807" } }, "receipt_sha256": "04da008c0cc1db1ba5151372e7303a74bf100503e4e2c7e232930eafaa110a1b" }, { "storm_id": "321054", "lat": 34.51, "lon": -104.2489, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1154.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 72.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 72.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 29.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.1927 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.38 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1603 }, "coherence_score": 0.3799562454223633, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.3799562454223633, "grad_tau": 0.04402638226747513, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.1926937103271484, "S_field": 0.30186668038368225, "Gamma_field": 1.0425313711166382, "S_over_Gamma": 0.28955164551734924, "Da": 64.19442749023438, "E_coh": 0.41651803255081177, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -104.28, 34.54 ], [ -104.21, 34.54 ], [ -104.2, 34.52 ], [ -104.21, 34.51 ], [ -104.22, 34.47 ], [ -104.26, 34.46 ], [ -104.29, 34.48 ], [ -104.29, 34.53 ], [ -104.28, 34.54 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1603, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "c5496f80ee282fd6bc91522da906c9fdf0e16bf8e08c6e9087e899ab130d6ee1", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1603, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c4ce031d5858097b81ccc80acc1da5bd611082b3dec8e5986b0c051ef3c3d1a4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "aebca40778eb4e4a2871651ac9c526c876c73c1cff82f80c62db223ea612b41c11b4d4b29332305cacff3630abae29043b06be06bc5c8aad6b81613de126c50b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c4ce031d5858097b81ccc80acc1da5bd611082b3dec8e5986b0c051ef3c3d1a4" }, { "storm_id": "320812", "lat": 50.3628, "lon": -98.0411, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 214.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 91.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 91.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 29.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.1156 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1528 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.2822595238685608, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.11562919616699219, "S_field": 0.3040723502635956, "Gamma_field": 0.48086464405059814, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6323450207710266, "Da": 29.283281326293945, "E_coh": 0.13618800044059753, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.98, 50.43 ], [ -97.94, 50.43 ], [ -97.94, 50.35 ], [ -97.96, 50.31 ], [ -97.97, 50.32 ], [ -97.98, 50.31 ], [ -98.05, 50.31 ], [ -98.08, 50.29 ], [ -98.14, 50.29 ], [ -98.15, 50.3 ], [ -98.15, 50.35 ], [ -98.13, 50.36 ], [ -98.09, 50.4 ], [ -98.09, 50.41 ], [ -98.06, 50.41 ], [ -98.05, 50.42 ], [ -98.0, 50.41 ], [ -97.98, 50.43 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1528, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "2686de9d13ec387899f2b5792d089025b4ed558b39d3128621cb7dc4887430c9", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1528, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d8b4c62723e83f587e91701158ba98b339d9d64c6f9ad682e151bb0d6422a0c9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "88f75230db89b9576dd5150322021cf49102d9218e08dd086d1511b20bf9d932c6cf526bf63fd050962ab56e50903d224743eef89749a6db1139924822b44d01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d8b4c62723e83f587e91701158ba98b339d9d64c6f9ad682e151bb0d6422a0c9" }, { "storm_id": "321061", "lat": 50.461, "lon": -100.225, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 66.0, "ebshear": 6.0, "srh01": 260.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 260.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 23.0414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 7.4469 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.007 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1504 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.20394837856292725, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 7.446870803833008, "S_field": 0.14086320996284485, "Gamma_field": 0.4150313436985016, "S_over_Gamma": 0.33940377831459045, "Da": 22.926401138305664, "E_coh": 0.16053402423858643, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.23, 50.5 ], [ -100.19, 50.48 ], [ -100.18, 50.46 ], [ -100.18, 50.43 ], [ -100.23, 50.43 ], [ -100.24, 50.42 ], [ -100.26, 50.43 ], [ -100.26, 50.47 ], [ -100.25, 50.49 ], [ -100.23, 50.5 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1504, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "0698c95d188cc06dbf0f04dd8b3f2eb9d345f08ef6161fc6500458efbf216fca", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1504, "probability": 0.002141, "confidence_lo": 0.002114, "confidence_hi": 0.002141, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ffb48d064b7c466886d703f5af5754dc84d9a9b6cc2f100535dc990558c2cf1c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f2b6f0f1d532e8a7e4546bfbef70abb4a8cbb7a27af4350e697f51548865cbd370fd9868cd1a4f35ab4c2445a7ba8019869dbd057337855eab6a543f0cdd5d0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ffb48d064b7c466886d703f5af5754dc84d9a9b6cc2f100535dc990558c2cf1c" }, { "storm_id": "321099", "lat": 39.799, "lon": -86.504, "motion_east": 10.3, "motion_south": 2.3, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 946.0, "ebshear": 44.0, "srh01": 58.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 58.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.6895 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9901 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1437 }, "coherence_score": 0.9901002645492554, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9901002645492554, "grad_tau": 0.17829911410808563, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.6895406246185303, "S_field": 0.27297061681747437, "Gamma_field": 1.0191980600357056, "S_over_Gamma": 0.2678288221359253, "Da": 59.19322204589844, "E_coh": 0.011545113287866116, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -86.52, 39.84 ], [ -86.5, 39.84 ], [ -86.46, 39.82 ], [ -86.46, 39.77 ], [ -86.48, 39.77 ], [ -86.49, 39.76 ], [ -86.53, 39.76 ], [ -86.54, 39.77 ], [ -86.54, 39.82 ], [ -86.52, 39.84 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1437, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "03d7b702ff326b6ad28c8d9c161280b4113843fcd1da91cc6df14b7098200043", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1437, "probability": 0.001919, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.001919, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e7874179d421487a38164a0ff959f6262c4bf41e8ba87ad75e50e9d3731e9e9d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4f73d14d8d0057404b89586c2b3fde22e1ea371d1a813c763d3b0ea0ba2556bca0fc933f9722af2a70098ebde55fe7659027c3b4d932cd4660b69cb6c3f4d10a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e7874179d421487a38164a0ff959f6262c4bf41e8ba87ad75e50e9d3731e9e9d" }, { "storm_id": "321129", "lat": 39.5133, "lon": -86.7711, "motion_east": 10.0, "motion_south": 2.2, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1352.0, "ebshear": 52.0, "srh01": 59.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 59.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.6895 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9901 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1437 }, "coherence_score": 0.9901002645492554, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9901002645492554, "grad_tau": 0.17829911410808563, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.6895406246185303, "S_field": 0.27297061681747437, "Gamma_field": 1.0191980600357056, "S_over_Gamma": 0.2678288221359253, "Da": 59.19322204589844, "E_coh": 0.011545113287866116, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -86.78, 39.56 ], [ -86.74, 39.55 ], [ -86.72, 39.52 ], [ -86.73, 39.48 ], [ -86.77, 39.46 ], [ -86.78, 39.46 ], [ -86.82, 39.5 ], [ -86.82, 39.53 ], [ -86.78, 39.56 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1437, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "03d7b702ff326b6ad28c8d9c161280b4113843fcd1da91cc6df14b7098200043", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1437, "probability": 0.001919, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.001919, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e7874179d421487a38164a0ff959f6262c4bf41e8ba87ad75e50e9d3731e9e9d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4f73d14d8d0057404b89586c2b3fde22e1ea371d1a813c763d3b0ea0ba2556bca0fc933f9722af2a70098ebde55fe7659027c3b4d932cd4660b69cb6c3f4d10a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e7874179d421487a38164a0ff959f6262c4bf41e8ba87ad75e50e9d3731e9e9d" }, { "storm_id": "321088", "lat": 28.68, "lon": -87.6931, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2457.0, "ebshear": 11.0, "srh01": 65.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 65.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 33.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.2404 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.5677 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1427 }, "coherence_score": 2.5677006244659424, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.5677006244659424, "grad_tau": 0.24855835735797882, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.2404297590255737, "S_field": 0.8582687973976135, "Gamma_field": 0.32586467266082764, "S_over_Gamma": 2.633819818496704, "Da": 20.302589416503906, "E_coh": 0.9616014361381531, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.71, 28.72 ], [ -87.67, 28.72 ], [ -87.65, 28.7 ], [ -87.64, 28.68 ], [ -87.64, 28.64 ], [ -87.66, 28.63 ], [ -87.7, 28.63 ], [ -87.72, 28.64 ], [ -87.73, 28.66 ], [ -87.73, 28.69 ], [ -87.72, 28.7 ], [ -87.73, 28.71 ], [ -87.71, 28.72 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1427, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "3cfa0d36564864654b12db75dfc959ea1714ad9a7762b99bc4ce7685e2c943b0", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1427, "probability": 0.001919, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.001919, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9421f46206762a04638ff961b557b5ce22e1ea5c47d4332fd84652e7d57ab271", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8c6c3474b4cc23ff227f7314f21d765eb6b16bb06a9a7422d3ee26fb58d8ad2b915a3c684ab61241633088b035188860a6eea3273955ec6c8c506b17d8abec0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9421f46206762a04638ff961b557b5ce22e1ea5c47d4332fd84652e7d57ab271" }, { "storm_id": "321121", "lat": 33.09, "lon": -110.8936, "motion_east": -4.0, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1674.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 54.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.19, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 54.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 46.1664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.6402 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.696 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1387 }, "coherence_score": 0.6959970593452454, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6959970593452454, "grad_tau": 0.07665523886680603, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.6402151584625244, "S_field": 0.5144672393798828, "Gamma_field": 0.8316980004310608, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6185745596885681, "Da": 50.82353591918945, "E_coh": 0.7523698210716248, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -110.93, 33.15 ], [ -110.89, 33.15 ], [ -110.87, 33.13 ], [ -110.84, 33.07 ], [ -110.84, 33.05 ], [ -110.86, 33.03 ], [ -110.88, 33.03 ], [ -110.9, 33.05 ], [ -110.94, 33.07 ], [ -110.95, 33.11 ], [ -110.93, 33.15 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1387, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "dfd3358bda8a2b2180e5ada412245e13135098835552528b5ea21aa043f893c3", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1387, "probability": 0.001919, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.001919, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "db443a0746d5f3c9c5235686f783413fa2f0970cc300dacc9fce229d21fcd000", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0b00592d4564eb32e4eff1cda7ab1f4b063156d1fa3a6d988544a375c41c1a968294e6b61c28faf2c1c6cb05c51f925dcf60393ca50f502526804c1a17b5c006" } }, "receipt_sha256": "db443a0746d5f3c9c5235686f783413fa2f0970cc300dacc9fce229d21fcd000" }, { "storm_id": "321042", "lat": 50.3835, "lon": -99.9665, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 83.0, "ebshear": 7.0, "srh01": 306.0, "maxllaz": 0.013, "mesh": 0.12, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 306.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 23.0414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 7.4469 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.013 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1382 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.20394837856292725, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 7.446870803833008, "S_field": 0.14086320996284485, "Gamma_field": 0.4150313436985016, "S_over_Gamma": 0.33940377831459045, "Da": 22.926401138305664, "E_coh": 0.16053402423858643, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.13, 50.45 ], [ -100.06, 50.45 ], [ -100.04, 50.44 ], [ -100.02, 50.41 ], [ -99.99, 50.41 ], [ -99.98, 50.42 ], [ -99.93, 50.42 ], [ -99.89, 50.4 ], [ -99.83, 50.4 ], [ -99.82, 50.39 ], [ -99.77, 50.38 ], [ -99.77, 50.36 ], [ -99.78, 50.35 ], [ -99.78, 50.31 ], [ -99.85, 50.31 ], [ -99.86, 50.32 ], [ -99.93, 50.32 ], [ -99.94, 50.33 ], [ -100.03, 50.33 ], [ -100.03, 50.35 ], [ -100.04, 50.36 ], [ -100.1, 50.36 ], [ -100.15, 50.4 ], [ -100.14, 50.41 ], [ -100.14, 50.44 ], [ -100.13, 50.45 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1382, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "ccf00b37f74fbcf11ef7c42cfe0bd1f75f39c13d0fc63248b17f4ad3fca65347", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1382, "probability": 0.001919, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.001919, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6fd1fbcee856589a705202b94762a76b0d0514d17d5edffa42c75b28a1f7c9c8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8bff682af8dda99e47f25a4b91cbe289ea9b4829db8013deafae69c191148f0777ee2b5b76636f8840a74572a692e66c3b83be331c36c5b4c50adae8cf3fe70a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6fd1fbcee856589a705202b94762a76b0d0514d17d5edffa42c75b28a1f7c9c8" }, { "storm_id": "321133", "lat": 35.6463, "lon": -102.8625, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1780.0, "ebshear": 17.0, "srh01": 3.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.22, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 3.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 25.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.1858 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.5061 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1354 }, "coherence_score": 0.5060895085334778, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5060895085334778, "grad_tau": 0.025850040838122368, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.1858019828796387, "S_field": 0.4440045952796936, "Gamma_field": 0.30753135681152344, "S_over_Gamma": 1.443770170211792, "Da": 19.691593170166016, "E_coh": 0.6876140832901001, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -102.88, 35.67 ], [ -102.84, 35.67 ], [ -102.83, 35.66 ], [ -102.83, 35.63 ], [ -102.85, 35.61 ], [ -102.89, 35.61 ], [ -102.9, 35.65 ], [ -102.88, 35.67 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1354, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "770893f2ac2c9fc669f29d98cf566f33aadf9cbadacb8f6acc630e21c59fb857", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1354, "probability": 0.001919, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.001919, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0b473f35d66b95caffe16d81d504c771c1e02e92cb9ee4bf16a6632042b0bb6e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e236c1f8b971c873ffea2f1de00389d890fbb326f34f38b677ce5458e6edc3665f73c452f03db4ff3acc5e74f6ae579b9f4e065102738cf0db0207018881c40e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0b473f35d66b95caffe16d81d504c771c1e02e92cb9ee4bf16a6632042b0bb6e" }, { "storm_id": "321086", "lat": 30.2091, "lon": -88.86, "motion_east": 8.8, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 4667.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 47.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.06, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 47.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.7456 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.5718 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1335 }, "coherence_score": 2.5718374252319336, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.5718374252319336, "grad_tau": 0.17962636053562164, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.745607614517212, "S_field": 1.1021945476531982, "Gamma_field": 0.2908646762371063, "S_over_Gamma": 3.789372205734253, "Da": 18.136098861694336, "E_coh": 0.9725913405418396, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.88, 30.25 ], [ -88.83, 30.25 ], [ -88.81, 30.23 ], [ -88.81, 30.18 ], [ -88.82, 30.17 ], [ -88.84, 30.16 ], [ -88.87, 30.16 ], [ -88.91, 30.19 ], [ -88.91, 30.23 ], [ -88.9, 30.23 ], [ -88.88, 30.25 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1335, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "ae2f3a1877bf57ee0000fcb337b35f9883342cf1dd29cb8aec00782c49f63bda", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1335, "probability": 0.001919, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.001919, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8ae4b5cd8b5e60063e4e2c4cb79ce83f27db310c46109012e78a1ccc798fb58c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3b554ce898b275b67c58d58bb3cdad7cfc41daad6321df7db0ffc718213698de5ce6ee5ed8e70288ccc9da03586ac2b2c7034af93c9493394e68e35194147a0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8ae4b5cd8b5e60063e4e2c4cb79ce83f27db310c46109012e78a1ccc798fb58c" }, { "storm_id": "321107", "lat": 50.8038, "lon": -100.4431, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 71.0, "ebshear": 8.0, "srh01": 196.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 196.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 23.0414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 7.4469 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1317 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.20394837856292725, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 7.446870803833008, "S_field": 0.14086320996284485, "Gamma_field": 0.4150313436985016, "S_over_Gamma": 0.33940377831459045, "Da": 22.926401138305664, "E_coh": 0.16053402423858643, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.47, 50.85 ], [ -100.43, 50.85 ], [ -100.41, 50.84 ], [ -100.41, 50.81 ], [ -100.39, 50.79 ], [ -100.39, 50.78 ], [ -100.4, 50.77 ], [ -100.43, 50.77 ], [ -100.44, 50.76 ], [ -100.5, 50.77 ], [ -100.51, 50.78 ], [ -100.51, 50.83 ], [ -100.47, 50.85 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1317, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "dc1f252a1905b1f88df8446af86a5eb7495145e65c2547358ebd83b22e0dd0aa", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1317, "probability": 0.001919, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.001919, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dfb349031b91bdac678ee09909938278fbf18a6be3a542378e6eb7e8af62d4d9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d570d726797fbb3237e0aad15bfe9780bf13237716cd04575c79e414a7a78f6fd3ff203a7688d36780cb32f1c18a94238f8e05754b37c63fef8f24c0c601a505" } }, "receipt_sha256": "dfb349031b91bdac678ee09909938278fbf18a6be3a542378e6eb7e8af62d4d9" }, { "storm_id": "320851", "lat": 39.5519, "lon": -86.9152, "motion_east": 8.6, "motion_south": 2.1, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1418.0, "ebshear": 51.0, "srh01": 43.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 43.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.6895 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9901 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1316 }, "coherence_score": 0.9901002645492554, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9901002645492554, "grad_tau": 0.17829911410808563, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.6895406246185303, "S_field": 0.27297061681747437, "Gamma_field": 1.0191980600357056, "S_over_Gamma": 0.2678288221359253, "Da": 59.19322204589844, "E_coh": 0.011545113287866116, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -86.94, 39.64 ], [ -86.92, 39.63 ], [ -86.88, 39.63 ], [ -86.87, 39.61 ], [ -86.87, 39.58 ], [ -86.86, 39.57 ], [ -86.86, 39.54 ], [ -86.84, 39.51 ], [ -86.84, 39.49 ], [ -86.85, 39.49 ], [ -86.89, 39.46 ], [ -86.93, 39.47 ], [ -86.95, 39.49 ], [ -86.95, 39.51 ], [ -86.97, 39.53 ], [ -86.98, 39.53 ], [ -86.98, 39.54 ], [ -86.96, 39.55 ], [ -86.97, 39.57 ], [ -86.97, 39.61 ], [ -86.94, 39.64 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1316, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "5293becf94ba7141b222ea2ca25b06de3ed0c2cddc4966269056ecb35ee113aa", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1316, "probability": 0.001919, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.001919, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "17f708bba29c829a2740ae436314ef00094aac5d4c3dae3b93a6147c035dbcbc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "047e19d4574e439ed0e809a58e01de834905ca6e98746f1792e329266385397b67913a50d77371d34d874464870a8e226da02131d4b0212e2fd391807f05240a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "17f708bba29c829a2740ae436314ef00094aac5d4c3dae3b93a6147c035dbcbc" }, { "storm_id": "321115", "lat": 39.7044, "lon": -103.4911, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2366.0, "ebshear": 56.0, "srh01": 117.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.69, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 117.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 18.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.6871 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.383 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1304 }, "coherence_score": 0.38303399085998535, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.38303399085998535, "grad_tau": 0.09053707867860794, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.6870782375335693, "S_field": 0.26960474252700806, "Gamma_field": 0.5783646702766418, "S_over_Gamma": 0.46615007519721985, "Da": 34.94712829589844, "E_coh": 0.4690813720226288, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -103.51, 39.73 ], [ -103.47, 39.73 ], [ -103.46, 39.72 ], [ -103.46, 39.68 ], [ -103.47, 39.67 ], [ -103.5, 39.67 ], [ -103.52, 39.69 ], [ -103.52, 39.72 ], [ -103.51, 39.73 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1304, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "aeab0d91428c4a919d0f9387e55bc531ba17087b23fa9ab1cdda1c134911b560", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1304, "probability": 0.001888, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.001888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9a86a647cf47518f8c60cf93a533fac4d113e9727f08037bf21d6be0862defca", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9ff83bf916b0f581318fc88c1651eb6d95b02e83003dff2bb55ff574b2a573b8517f79659ad57f21987335324f8f3ae542aa382f7f1322f6b69ad44e76a99f07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9a86a647cf47518f8c60cf93a533fac4d113e9727f08037bf21d6be0862defca" }, { "storm_id": "321117", "lat": 38.7682, "lon": -104.6173, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2224.0, "ebshear": 40.0, "srh01": 96.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.06, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 96.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 17.0414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.3077 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.2995 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1301 }, "coherence_score": 0.29945847392082214, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.29945847392082214, "grad_tau": 0.03907397389411926, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.3076722621917725, "S_field": 0.12333329021930695, "Gamma_field": 0.6400313377380371, "S_over_Gamma": 0.19269883632659912, "Da": 36.64838409423828, "E_coh": 0.6382278203964233, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -104.62, 38.81 ], [ -104.57, 38.81 ], [ -104.57, 38.76 ], [ -104.59, 38.76 ], [ -104.6, 38.74 ], [ -104.64, 38.71 ], [ -104.65, 38.72 ], [ -104.65, 38.76 ], [ -104.64, 38.77 ], [ -104.64, 38.8 ], [ -104.62, 38.81 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1301, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "67db2b50b5d37922101771f049a099b703b3669e1fc2b9b7833c9a5b51014319", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1301, "probability": 0.001888, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.001888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0d81b4fb43f6a95e818e500d0fd155a33e65665188aed510f4bc4e919f59b878", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "070fda9968fddb546156bcdbafb8125100c263204ef0f8ea4ad3f8884e84e20e4e3ce289dcde7424290dde060d8b23a3b0b76361d2341c34dd306e8cdff32302" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0d81b4fb43f6a95e818e500d0fd155a33e65665188aed510f4bc4e919f59b878" }, { "storm_id": "320568", "lat": 39.6662, "lon": -84.5533, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": 0.3, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 636.0, "ebshear": 47.0, "srh01": 92.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 92.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 6.9671 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.2599 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1299 }, "coherence_score": 1.2598931789398193, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.2598931789398193, "grad_tau": 0.1598498523235321, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 6.967060089111328, "S_field": 0.3880116939544678, "Gamma_field": 0.4083646833896637, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9501597881317139, "Da": 23.993778228759766, "E_coh": 0.3760240375995636, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -84.43, 39.76 ], [ -84.42, 39.75 ], [ -84.42, 39.72 ], [ -84.43, 39.71 ], [ -84.45, 39.71 ], [ -84.47, 39.69 ], [ -84.48, 39.66 ], [ -84.53, 39.61 ], [ -84.55, 39.6 ], [ -84.62, 39.6 ], [ -84.63, 39.59 ], [ -84.66, 39.59 ], [ -84.69, 39.57 ], [ -84.75, 39.57 ], [ -84.76, 39.58 ], [ -84.73, 39.64 ], [ -84.65, 39.67 ], [ -84.58, 39.74 ], [ -84.48, 39.74 ], [ -84.46, 39.73 ], [ -84.43, 39.76 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1299, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "fc287c482dbb7290e167e0e84b3664f7c363cbeb86a5ac7837364d9e5e878796", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1299, "probability": 0.001888, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.001888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a380d7fcde1f2da3f2b9743c733c8224faa3556879c972e809ece20c7c178d44", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "fb5927aa855a492a6dbb2700f412b282461b77f71e23befeca226186f82496f30632edc6f14901fd5919c6bb290f93461ac922701de200a4d4307f2195fa030c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a380d7fcde1f2da3f2b9743c733c8224faa3556879c972e809ece20c7c178d44" }, { "storm_id": "320925", "lat": 30.4895, "lon": -88.859, "motion_east": 8.8, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 4275.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 36.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.33, "flash_rate": 4.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 36.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.7456 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.5718 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1299 }, "coherence_score": 2.5718374252319336, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.5718374252319336, "grad_tau": 0.17962636053562164, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.745607614517212, "S_field": 1.1021945476531982, "Gamma_field": 0.2908646762371063, "S_over_Gamma": 3.789372205734253, "Da": 18.136098861694336, "E_coh": 0.9725913405418396, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.92, 30.57 ], [ -88.89, 30.57 ], [ -88.88, 30.56 ], [ -88.84, 30.56 ], [ -88.82, 30.55 ], [ -88.81, 30.53 ], [ -88.81, 30.5 ], [ -88.8, 30.49 ], [ -88.8, 30.46 ], [ -88.76, 30.39 ], [ -88.77, 30.35 ], [ -88.83, 30.35 ], [ -88.88, 30.39 ], [ -88.89, 30.39 ], [ -88.92, 30.42 ], [ -88.92, 30.5 ], [ -88.9, 30.53 ], [ -88.9, 30.55 ], [ -88.92, 30.56 ], [ -88.92, 30.57 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1299, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "fc287c482dbb7290e167e0e84b3664f7c363cbeb86a5ac7837364d9e5e878796", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1299, "probability": 0.001888, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.001888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a380d7fcde1f2da3f2b9743c733c8224faa3556879c972e809ece20c7c178d44", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "fb5927aa855a492a6dbb2700f412b282461b77f71e23befeca226186f82496f30632edc6f14901fd5919c6bb290f93461ac922701de200a4d4307f2195fa030c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a380d7fcde1f2da3f2b9743c733c8224faa3556879c972e809ece20c7c178d44" }, { "storm_id": "321033", "lat": 39.6327, "lon": -88.2009, "motion_east": 8.7, "motion_south": 0.5, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1046.0, "ebshear": 51.0, "srh01": 62.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 62.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 40.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.4117 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9622 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1272 }, "coherence_score": 0.962246835231781, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.962246835231781, "grad_tau": 0.07851122319698334, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.4117255210876465, "S_field": 0.217845618724823, "Gamma_field": 0.7125313878059387, "S_over_Gamma": 0.3057347536087036, "Da": 41.703277587890625, "E_coh": 0.44244664907455444, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.25, 39.69 ], [ -88.15, 39.68 ], [ -88.13, 39.66 ], [ -88.13, 39.62 ], [ -88.15, 39.6 ], [ -88.18, 39.59 ], [ -88.19, 39.57 ], [ -88.22, 39.57 ], [ -88.28, 39.63 ], [ -88.28, 39.66 ], [ -88.25, 39.69 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1272, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "e215bc37e71b15f32ac5c491f7d13d68d29ee3986510c800bb61671edcb00223", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1272, "probability": 0.001888, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.001888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f6faf4f0f9dbdc3aec304136334bab8985b786e0a9234da2b6dd07e7bee967ba", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "666a7c18aae3f20459447029fb88f2109e73269887030a10b96075aa6bef68649c059f3a252d24208e335c34077120adc0e951820ab366cea7efe0606304a301" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f6faf4f0f9dbdc3aec304136334bab8985b786e0a9234da2b6dd07e7bee967ba" }, { "storm_id": "320795", "lat": 38.67, "lon": -101.4789, "motion_east": 6.6, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2814.0, "ebshear": 38.0, "srh01": 62.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.06, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 62.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 21.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 6.4256 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6479 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1264 }, "coherence_score": 0.6479036211967468, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6479036211967468, "grad_tau": 0.11164695024490356, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 6.425607681274414, "S_field": 0.2766202986240387, "Gamma_field": 0.7891980409622192, "S_over_Gamma": 0.35050809383392334, "Da": 49.64870071411133, "E_coh": 0.5480102300643921, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -101.49, 38.71 ], [ -101.45, 38.71 ], [ -101.44, 38.69 ], [ -101.44, 38.65 ], [ -101.46, 38.62 ], [ -101.5, 38.62 ], [ -101.52, 38.65 ], [ -101.52, 38.67 ], [ -101.49, 38.71 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1264, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "e3fcdaf7594a5cf68d37a8e1acbb9012ef3d5e90eac29992781c94740f6a2d34", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1264, "probability": 0.001888, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.001888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6b1969eb8c8d09f6a61f724f318daad17e0d40925be154e8ea26a8ce7ca37005", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c08d32963950511e95ba49ce7557ee561d134d72d28019d764abe4d2f390b4c6770daf1b6e4326f244c82512ff0b702b6a556864546f37f0687ce138924a7a0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6b1969eb8c8d09f6a61f724f318daad17e0d40925be154e8ea26a8ce7ca37005" }, { "storm_id": "321093", "lat": 35.5631, "lon": -105.22, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0018, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 345.0, "ebshear": 17.0, "srh01": 32.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 32.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 21.0414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 6.9648 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3936 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1223 }, "coherence_score": 0.39360156655311584, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.39360156655311584, "grad_tau": 0.030237384140491486, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 6.964820384979248, "S_field": 0.2824307978153229, "Gamma_field": 0.6600313186645508, "S_over_Gamma": 0.4279051423072815, "Da": 38.690608978271484, "E_coh": 0.40185150504112244, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -105.25, 35.62 ], [ -105.22, 35.62 ], [ -105.17, 35.59 ], [ -105.16, 35.55 ], [ -105.15, 35.54 ], [ -105.17, 35.5 ], [ -105.21, 35.5 ], [ -105.23, 35.51 ], [ -105.23, 35.52 ], [ -105.27, 35.55 ], [ -105.28, 35.59 ], [ -105.27, 35.61 ], [ -105.25, 35.62 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1223, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "653b8861840971b6dcf988db13d43a3c5f687ee18d5cbef9ad304797110d2181", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1223, "probability": 0.00185, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.00185, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a162b49bb30e6e21cdecb6855a804106dc83bb42ef6ff40ed48878e30199c767", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3719395d26410d403d60a5741bfc9bff41c5a113b4f6f8fb25c5956f755d3bc249f36a7c5afe952de913bc62dc12c6c82b90097f8a3c71ef4bd4acc3e331b604" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a162b49bb30e6e21cdecb6855a804106dc83bb42ef6ff40ed48878e30199c767" }, { "storm_id": "320828", "lat": 31.7067, "lon": -109.9307, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0018, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1097.0, "ebshear": 24.0, "srh01": 83.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 0.36, "flash_rate": 3.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 83.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.1664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.7866 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9221 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.007 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1187 }, "coherence_score": 0.9220585227012634, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9220585227012634, "grad_tau": 0.21939881145954132, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.786614418029785, "S_field": 1.2291151285171509, "Gamma_field": 0.7341980338096619, "S_over_Gamma": 1.6740920543670654, "Da": 46.31915283203125, "E_coh": 0.9198606610298157, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -109.98, 31.76 ], [ -109.94, 31.74 ], [ -109.92, 31.74 ], [ -109.89, 31.72 ], [ -109.87, 31.72 ], [ -109.85, 31.7 ], [ -109.85, 31.67 ], [ -109.86, 31.65 ], [ -109.91, 31.65 ], [ -109.92, 31.67 ], [ -109.95, 31.69 ], [ -110.0, 31.69 ], [ -110.02, 31.7 ], [ -110.02, 31.74 ], [ -109.98, 31.76 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1187, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "1ead32b83c5c17f81455d1d3a1fc6b25c3e1ea951520cc18378d79674b71667a", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1187, "probability": 0.00185, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.00185, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "90a8276a2a7c725bca92d60683f908db0ad101382dd2557ddfd8112cc361e318", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "50900ed0a79a56ce182f2a394c25156f40972ac8857a757a2746d11ea095b03c00c9bb7e97d459868ecdd547c0e57e5d019b56f925c7fb725ffd05edbea42807" } }, "receipt_sha256": "90a8276a2a7c725bca92d60683f908db0ad101382dd2557ddfd8112cc361e318" }, { "storm_id": "320898", "lat": 50.8767, "lon": -100.575, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0018, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 68.0, "ebshear": 9.0, "srh01": 179.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 179.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 22.6664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.7594 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1187 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.2021051049232483, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.759370803833008, "S_field": 0.188607320189476, "Gamma_field": 0.2975313365459442, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6339074373245239, "Da": 16.523591995239258, "E_coh": 0.28890377283096313, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.6, 50.92 ], [ -100.57, 50.92 ], [ -100.55, 50.91 ], [ -100.54, 50.9 ], [ -100.54, 50.87 ], [ -100.53, 50.86 ], [ -100.54, 50.84 ], [ -100.58, 50.82 ], [ -100.6, 50.82 ], [ -100.63, 50.84 ], [ -100.62, 50.9 ], [ -100.6, 50.92 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1187, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "1ead32b83c5c17f81455d1d3a1fc6b25c3e1ea951520cc18378d79674b71667a", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1187, "probability": 0.00185, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.00185, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "90a8276a2a7c725bca92d60683f908db0ad101382dd2557ddfd8112cc361e318", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "50900ed0a79a56ce182f2a394c25156f40972ac8857a757a2746d11ea095b03c00c9bb7e97d459868ecdd547c0e57e5d019b56f925c7fb725ffd05edbea42807" } }, "receipt_sha256": "90a8276a2a7c725bca92d60683f908db0ad101382dd2557ddfd8112cc361e318" }, { "storm_id": "320874", "lat": 33.3038, "lon": -74.8076, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0018, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 4235.0, "ebshear": 11.0, "srh01": 5.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.06, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 5.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.4339 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.0459 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1174 }, "coherence_score": 2.045886754989624, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.045886754989624, "grad_tau": 0.5564309358596802, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.4338765144348145, "S_field": 0.5718311667442322, "Gamma_field": 0.4683646857738495, "S_over_Gamma": 1.2209100723266602, "Da": 29.094690322875977, "E_coh": 0.9110640287399292, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.82, 33.39 ], [ -74.79, 33.37 ], [ -74.77, 33.37 ], [ -74.74, 33.34 ], [ -74.72, 33.3 ], [ -74.72, 33.26 ], [ -74.73, 33.25 ], [ -74.75, 33.26 ], [ -74.76, 33.25 ], [ -74.77, 33.26 ], [ -74.81, 33.26 ], [ -74.82, 33.25 ], [ -74.86, 33.26 ], [ -74.87, 33.25 ], [ -74.9, 33.25 ], [ -74.87, 33.28 ], [ -74.89, 33.32 ], [ -74.87, 33.33 ], [ -74.84, 33.36 ], [ -74.84, 33.38 ], [ -74.82, 33.39 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1174, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "a781d612ccc97b37ce76a2dfadb6e77d7cb5a8ca30182a8b8a3383c84b0e07fc", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1174, "probability": 0.00185, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.00185, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7e52ad0ea56c8b7d92112dbdb87f9bc6414a7ab279f7458db552596829b78e2c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ab143cdbe8b3772f7d71a9242f55ec904471e264e1701610ab77b0c2e77cbdbd882331c974fdd61a8b4f1ebdc122286429461f0cb09f1ce7b6b595d9084e2a01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7e52ad0ea56c8b7d92112dbdb87f9bc6414a7ab279f7458db552596829b78e2c" }, { "storm_id": "320771", "lat": 32.8955, "lon": -75.62, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0018, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 4190.0, "ebshear": 11.0, "srh01": 12.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.1, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 12.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 48.1664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.8109 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5846 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1172 }, "coherence_score": 1.5845942497253418, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5845942497253418, "grad_tau": 0.47209787368774414, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.81089448928833, "S_field": 0.9523980617523193, "Gamma_field": 0.35836467146873474, "S_over_Gamma": 2.6576225757598877, "Da": 22.35564613342285, "E_coh": 0.8968400359153748, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -75.65, 32.94 ], [ -75.61, 32.94 ], [ -75.59, 32.93 ], [ -75.55, 32.85 ], [ -75.56, 32.84 ], [ -75.6, 32.84 ], [ -75.64, 32.86 ], [ -75.66, 32.88 ], [ -75.65, 32.9 ], [ -75.66, 32.93 ], [ -75.65, 32.94 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1172, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "23c42b64af2b46130034ed0bd0653da61feec99751a966dc35d39e9de51d2f21", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1172, "probability": 0.00185, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.00185, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "01f30b3f6bb123dc4e721311d6e2d46f2367f20cd387572e058a6288b5f3955c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7aa958bf422f6ab522cf4bd074fadc45835ad0dd4cb5e8d966f9d7744fb07befb794ef7a26f0b1980b7dc7c6e78c581d1dab19cfb994142c5368892fcab3fb03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "01f30b3f6bb123dc4e721311d6e2d46f2367f20cd387572e058a6288b5f3955c" }, { "storm_id": "321027", "lat": 34.0767, "lon": -110.2262, "motion_east": -5.0, "motion_south": 3.2, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0018, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3074.0, "ebshear": 43.0, "srh01": 120.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.17, "flash_rate": 4.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 120.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.3275 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7526 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.116 }, "coherence_score": 0.7526219487190247, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.7526219487190247, "grad_tau": 0.060458146035671234, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.327484130859375, "S_field": 0.7219546437263489, "Gamma_field": 0.759198009967804, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9509438276290894, "Da": 46.58789825439453, "E_coh": 0.9908536672592163, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -110.22, 34.17 ], [ -110.17, 34.17 ], [ -110.14, 34.15 ], [ -110.11, 34.15 ], [ -110.09, 34.14 ], [ -110.08, 34.13 ], [ -110.08, 34.09 ], [ -110.11, 34.09 ], [ -110.13, 34.08 ], [ -110.19, 34.01 ], [ -110.19, 34.0 ], [ -110.3, 34.01 ], [ -110.33, 33.98 ], [ -110.35, 33.98 ], [ -110.37, 34.0 ], [ -110.36, 34.01 ], [ -110.35, 34.05 ], [ -110.33, 34.07 ], [ -110.32, 34.07 ], [ -110.31, 34.09 ], [ -110.22, 34.17 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.116, "confidence_lo": 0.0018, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "ea79663ce3edb52231e4649771e466f8afa068885ebf9306d70471e6dade5139", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.116, "probability": 0.00185, "confidence_lo": 0.00179, "confidence_hi": 0.00185, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fdb30154b0c4ab5be023e929bb0e83636db527f383572fe717e8a521c1afb742", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "fc4cc72898665da3d545b3b5e11198283f193d3e1ff5cf2d6bc930db1afedd2c3a242e3957d48280c14b64c8c07a9932891ae7078836fb1513f7ac0d4749be08" } }, "receipt_sha256": "fdb30154b0c4ab5be023e929bb0e83636db527f383572fe717e8a521c1afb742" }, { "storm_id": "321014", "lat": 29.975, "lon": -88.7973, "motion_east": 8.8, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0012, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 4481.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 47.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.26, "flash_rate": 2.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 47.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 35.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.8058 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.6961 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1068 }, "coherence_score": 2.6960976123809814, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.6960976123809814, "grad_tau": 0.04952990636229515, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.8057898283004761, "S_field": 1.1210451126098633, "Gamma_field": 0.2583646774291992, "S_over_Gamma": 4.339003086090088, "Da": 16.23056411743164, "E_coh": 0.9690285325050354, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.86, 30.12 ], [ -88.82, 30.12 ], [ -88.78, 30.08 ], [ -88.77, 30.03 ], [ -88.72, 29.98 ], [ -88.71, 29.96 ], [ -88.7, 29.9 ], [ -88.71, 29.89 ], [ -88.71, 29.81 ], [ -88.72, 29.8 ], [ -88.76, 29.8 ], [ -88.77, 29.81 ], [ -88.76, 29.84 ], [ -88.82, 29.91 ], [ -88.83, 29.95 ], [ -88.86, 29.99 ], [ -88.87, 30.03 ], [ -88.89, 30.05 ], [ -88.89, 30.06 ], [ -88.86, 30.09 ], [ -88.87, 30.11 ], [ -88.86, 30.12 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1068, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0012, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "b79ebe9f0b2ee7fc7082685ce598c63841633e13dcf8bb82aeca0a081dd6220e", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1068, "probability": 0.001224, "confidence_lo": 0.001102, "confidence_hi": 0.001224, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bdd7cc57008f2a268a520ffd485651e057b6110cc23d9e1e3ccb8b4116254d98", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b74fbe493e2dda951b89e9bc6e703a908aa649901bdd63404823fac2cf07e50b366b6b0559b7b8c28899e2ab835534f503d38c29855d782c970c9aacfd12ea0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "bdd7cc57008f2a268a520ffd485651e057b6110cc23d9e1e3ccb8b4116254d98" }, { "storm_id": "321127", "lat": 39.8036, "lon": -88.1018, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": 0.3, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0012, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 714.0, "ebshear": 48.0, "srh01": 59.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.06, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 59.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 40.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.4117 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9622 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1057 }, "coherence_score": 0.962246835231781, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.962246835231781, "grad_tau": 0.07851122319698334, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.4117255210876465, "S_field": 0.217845618724823, "Gamma_field": 0.7125313878059387, "S_over_Gamma": 0.3057347536087036, "Da": 41.703277587890625, "E_coh": 0.44244664907455444, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.12, 39.84 ], [ -88.08, 39.84 ], [ -88.07, 39.83 ], [ -88.06, 39.79 ], [ -88.08, 39.77 ], [ -88.1, 39.77 ], [ -88.11, 39.76 ], [ -88.13, 39.77 ], [ -88.13, 39.81 ], [ -88.12, 39.82 ], [ -88.12, 39.84 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1057, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0012, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "98f2ac6aa54154107c6c15a8299d63ab2ed8ae24eb13af7c7c101e1173f5e3ed", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1057, "probability": 0.001224, "confidence_lo": 0.001102, "confidence_hi": 0.001224, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b40dc5c31f0ab7ad61862776631196d611fa3976f36d1bf6420679e9278a42a6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1fda377461d88eb9f469a13ab47109f969fcb58e33d203864701661fbf8bd231409e84a9002a3661c3c1836bd7d36f63ee39532f716bb216f9d01c8965738a05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b40dc5c31f0ab7ad61862776631196d611fa3976f36d1bf6420679e9278a42a6" }, { "storm_id": "320562", "lat": 31.48, "lon": -109.7, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0012, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1209.0, "ebshear": 32.0, "srh01": 72.0, "maxllaz": 0.01, "mesh": 0.42, "flash_rate": 6.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 72.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.1664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.7866 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9221 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.01 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1043 }, "coherence_score": 0.9220585227012634, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9220585227012634, "grad_tau": 0.21939881145954132, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.786614418029785, "S_field": 1.2291151285171509, "Gamma_field": 0.7341980338096619, "S_over_Gamma": 1.6740920543670654, "Da": 46.31915283203125, "E_coh": 0.9198606610298157, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 4, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -109.73, 31.57 ], [ -109.68, 31.57 ], [ -109.68, 31.55 ], [ -109.7, 31.55 ], [ -109.71, 31.54 ], [ -109.69, 31.5 ], [ -109.65, 31.49 ], [ -109.64, 31.48 ], [ -109.62, 31.48 ], [ -109.58, 31.46 ], [ -109.57, 31.42 ], [ -109.58, 31.4 ], [ -109.63, 31.36 ], [ -109.68, 31.36 ], [ -109.7, 31.37 ], [ -109.73, 31.4 ], [ -109.74, 31.4 ], [ -109.78, 31.45 ], [ -109.78, 31.47 ], [ -109.79, 31.48 ], [ -109.78, 31.49 ], [ -109.78, 31.51 ], [ -109.77, 31.51 ], [ -109.74, 31.54 ], [ -109.74, 31.56 ], [ -109.73, 31.57 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1043, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0012, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "02673136a2a60a2885dc81cd4e8121d869c152f06e16f048256bde7210f7a0bb", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1043, "probability": 0.001224, "confidence_lo": 0.001102, "confidence_hi": 0.001224, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ded69a03993178df24d1a1e3e5358d216eba4b4121a16e106bbc54d630f5e443", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b55303368edaf700eec3671695ab5f0908b172d120783a0e2c4585020447fad3b97f07b577f4a3718eb52d2eb3e1ea8ad51db1496cbd744a98de33719dada70a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ded69a03993178df24d1a1e3e5358d216eba4b4121a16e106bbc54d630f5e443" }, { "storm_id": "321002", "lat": 28.601, "lon": -82.535, "motion_east": 9.5, "motion_south": 0.2, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0012, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3755.0, "ebshear": 14.0, "srh01": 33.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.38, "flash_rate": 14.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 33.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 47.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.6659 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.1416 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1002 }, "coherence_score": 1.1416172981262207, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.1416172981262207, "grad_tau": 0.1579979509115219, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.6659421324729919, "S_field": 0.08124938607215881, "Gamma_field": 0.6316980123519897, "S_over_Gamma": 0.12862060964107513, "Da": 36.80549240112305, "E_coh": 0.6288320422172546, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.56, 28.64 ], [ -82.52, 28.64 ], [ -82.51, 28.63 ], [ -82.5, 28.59 ], [ -82.49, 28.58 ], [ -82.51, 28.54 ], [ -82.54, 28.54 ], [ -82.58, 28.59 ], [ -82.58, 28.62 ], [ -82.56, 28.64 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1002, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0012, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "688454ccc93028bcbfba3745087bdd635c0f48363c6f6aad024be5dc786bb161", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.1002, "probability": 0.001189, "confidence_lo": 0.001102, "confidence_hi": 0.001189, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f76860e0d394b12cfd0836f951317304d8c8fe0120b32414e8d2f7316c0a5a32", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a726317055268c17446736cb2e884baa7230018ccfb5abb6aa53956998bc873a9ab0bb71bc09d50396f342e3075c50229dad7e744c396a5b0c76b794fb84ae0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f76860e0d394b12cfd0836f951317304d8c8fe0120b32414e8d2f7316c0a5a32" }, { "storm_id": "321039", "lat": 31.8936, "lon": -89.3593, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0012, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2246.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 13.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 13.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 43.1664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.0528 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.839 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0992 }, "coherence_score": 1.8390159606933594, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8390159606933594, "grad_tau": 0.4834619462490082, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.0527520179748535, "S_field": 0.7204731702804565, "Gamma_field": 0.3708646893501282, "S_over_Gamma": 1.9426847696304321, "Da": 23.436298370361328, "E_coh": 0.9576312303543091, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.38, 31.94 ], [ -89.35, 31.93 ], [ -89.33, 31.91 ], [ -89.34, 31.9 ], [ -89.33, 31.89 ], [ -89.33, 31.85 ], [ -89.32, 31.84 ], [ -89.35, 31.84 ], [ -89.35, 31.87 ], [ -89.36, 31.88 ], [ -89.4, 31.89 ], [ -89.4, 31.91 ], [ -89.41, 31.92 ], [ -89.38, 31.94 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0992, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0012, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "2b23082bd71649ea493aaccf14a83f2eb8dfd83513512e0a9af0cfc002af958f", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0992, "probability": 0.001189, "confidence_lo": 0.001102, "confidence_hi": 0.001189, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "edaf4b2ec5f4a9d29bfe6ad5f85ef8e0319f44f284d1301851135602bce558fa", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "357fd2097c97dac61c5b7666a9de0284fd9ad0fce248bf69414c0adaa0923a9fc92d5beb006df8efa2948ed9732b914413f442d66b57dc4391d7f946d461ac05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "edaf4b2ec5f4a9d29bfe6ad5f85ef8e0319f44f284d1301851135602bce558fa" }, { "storm_id": "320728", "lat": 34.0806, "lon": -104.7781, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0012, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 633.0, "ebshear": 18.0, "srh01": 44.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.13, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 44.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 21.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.4287 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3795 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0983 }, "coherence_score": 0.3794865906238556, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.3794865906238556, "grad_tau": 0.020170683041214943, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.428739070892334, "S_field": 0.11556673049926758, "Gamma_field": 0.25919800996780396, "S_over_Gamma": 0.44586271047592163, "Da": 15.491928100585938, "E_coh": 0.5115891098976135, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -104.81, 34.15 ], [ -104.77, 34.15 ], [ -104.75, 34.13 ], [ -104.75, 34.09 ], [ -104.74, 34.08 ], [ -104.74, 34.05 ], [ -104.73, 34.04 ], [ -104.73, 34.02 ], [ -104.74, 34.01 ], [ -104.78, 34.01 ], [ -104.8, 34.03 ], [ -104.82, 34.07 ], [ -104.82, 34.09 ], [ -104.83, 34.1 ], [ -104.83, 34.12 ], [ -104.81, 34.15 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0983, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0012, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "d095f53ca16275d0d523f8c40e694ab400fb5cdd4f76e3fb663c1824f8f1cce0", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0983, "probability": 0.001163, "confidence_lo": 0.001102, "confidence_hi": 0.001163, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2e05646189c698b6e4b5633cc224fcb4911e943ccd113871f7094b12e990f6e5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "790f9a4b80cb317cf3c3fe52955a1a5970169b4120b55a9ce6da03dc987ab74ae2343835c1890298a1701d6f0ce01dfc27decebf70c08e563b2ac571cb787f0d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2e05646189c698b6e4b5633cc224fcb4911e943ccd113871f7094b12e990f6e5" }, { "storm_id": "321080", "lat": 35.2692, "lon": -103.4377, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0012, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1260.0, "ebshear": 16.0, "srh01": 17.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 0.67, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 17.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 27.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.2736 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4271 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.007 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.098 }, "coherence_score": 0.4270605444908142, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4270605444908142, "grad_tau": 0.05652105435729027, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.273599624633789, "S_field": 0.5388017296791077, "Gamma_field": 1.2591979503631592, "S_over_Gamma": 0.427892804145813, "Da": 75.48017883300781, "E_coh": 0.20637299120426178, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -103.46, 35.31 ], [ -103.43, 35.31 ], [ -103.44, 35.3 ], [ -103.44, 35.28 ], [ -103.43, 35.27 ], [ -103.4, 35.27 ], [ -103.39, 35.25 ], [ -103.4, 35.22 ], [ -103.45, 35.22 ], [ -103.47, 35.24 ], [ -103.47, 35.25 ], [ -103.45, 35.27 ], [ -103.46, 35.31 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.098, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0012, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "b0729433b057422f2af75d478d6036d225cafef14dc0ba278f13141a1663dc06", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.098, "probability": 0.001163, "confidence_lo": 0.001102, "confidence_hi": 0.001163, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "577190458059cd157b7578866623b1af963e9af8f6c2c6c42cfe9153f588f9b4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0c5788c27560d07292f91ab3eeacb77657a375213e346fc47130f9008ed2c1996d924cbc19e515c0720bb86c7b8862b162dc39748f7f0cbb6c38ed7500d18a0d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "577190458059cd157b7578866623b1af963e9af8f6c2c6c42cfe9153f588f9b4" }, { "storm_id": "320810", "lat": 29.35, "lon": -82.3467, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0012, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2348.0, "ebshear": 26.0, "srh01": 5.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.12, "flash_rate": 4.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 5.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 53.0414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.6307 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9582 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.097 }, "coherence_score": 0.9582096338272095, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9582096338272095, "grad_tau": 0.21194463968276978, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.6307004690170288, "S_field": 0.0965956375002861, "Gamma_field": 0.8458647131919861, "S_over_Gamma": 0.1141975000500679, "Da": 50.423587799072266, "E_coh": 0.3482336699962616, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.37, 29.39 ], [ -82.34, 29.39 ], [ -82.3, 29.36 ], [ -82.3, 29.31 ], [ -82.31, 29.3 ], [ -82.35, 29.3 ], [ -82.39, 29.34 ], [ -82.39, 29.37 ], [ -82.37, 29.39 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.097, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0012, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "4f5c53ad6fbd65a01724d0626d167bf31f7cde792ff746ce6b81c155976332ee", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.097, "probability": 0.001163, "confidence_lo": 0.001102, "confidence_hi": 0.001163, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "923c59ee4c2e4bc41280055e3276fd022bcf2bb43df8c10704f25b15dd3fba57", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "766b00b1b5065baf14acc38933188980017bd935a9184791cf930739f4da079584625f7a28bd18fc6e4186ba9fcda990e541f3ce9a1129a7527aa309b0271a0c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "923c59ee4c2e4bc41280055e3276fd022bcf2bb43df8c10704f25b15dd3fba57" }, { "storm_id": "320222", "lat": 29.0227, "lon": -88.1033, "motion_east": 6.5, "motion_south": 1.6, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 4465.0, "ebshear": 14.0, "srh01": 34.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.13, "flash_rate": 6.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 34.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 33.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.2404 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.5677 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0888 }, "coherence_score": 2.5677006244659424, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.5677006244659424, "grad_tau": 0.24855835735797882, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.2404297590255737, "S_field": 0.8582687973976135, "Gamma_field": 0.32586467266082764, "S_over_Gamma": 2.633819818496704, "Da": 20.302589416503906, "E_coh": 0.9616014361381531, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 5, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.12, 29.09 ], [ -88.09, 29.09 ], [ -88.07, 29.07 ], [ -88.06, 29.07 ], [ -88.05, 29.03 ], [ -88.04, 29.02 ], [ -88.04, 28.94 ], [ -88.08, 28.91 ], [ -88.11, 28.91 ], [ -88.13, 28.92 ], [ -88.18, 28.99 ], [ -88.18, 29.05 ], [ -88.15, 29.08 ], [ -88.13, 29.08 ], [ -88.12, 29.09 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0888, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "31e4b33a5c787f8a7c4db510cda0c4a5a31aec47e5a6bd80cf76b7feb6095848", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0888, "probability": 0.001147, "confidence_lo": 0.001091, "confidence_hi": 0.001147, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "141e26e7333c365b7adcd8cb0c490314d0024a051339334560ad561770b4155f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8fa1cfab382201cab4eea05f51fb4d02725925cd02c89ab54e46324553a194b3e5a7675a7618748af452de73f920fd42456628cd1888be39d49f3ba155613f0c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "141e26e7333c365b7adcd8cb0c490314d0024a051339334560ad561770b4155f" }, { "storm_id": "320450", "lat": 39.6377, "lon": -88.6519, "motion_east": 8.4, "motion_south": 6.1, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1196.0, "ebshear": 42.0, "srh01": 47.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.11, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 47.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.5423 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.0859 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0885 }, "coherence_score": 1.0859408378601074, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.0859408378601074, "grad_tau": 0.17048709094524384, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.542259931564331, "S_field": 0.2663953900337219, "Gamma_field": 0.38836467266082764, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6859413385391235, "Da": 23.497814178466797, "E_coh": 0.545000433921814, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 4, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.68, 39.71 ], [ -88.66, 39.69 ], [ -88.63, 39.69 ], [ -88.62, 39.71 ], [ -88.57, 39.71 ], [ -88.56, 39.69 ], [ -88.53, 39.68 ], [ -88.53, 39.64 ], [ -88.54, 39.63 ], [ -88.52, 39.61 ], [ -88.54, 39.61 ], [ -88.55, 39.6 ], [ -88.56, 39.61 ], [ -88.55, 39.62 ], [ -88.57, 39.64 ], [ -88.62, 39.64 ], [ -88.64, 39.63 ], [ -88.65, 39.61 ], [ -88.69, 39.58 ], [ -88.71, 39.58 ], [ -88.72, 39.57 ], [ -88.76, 39.57 ], [ -88.77, 39.56 ], [ -88.81, 39.56 ], [ -88.8, 39.58 ], [ -88.8, 39.61 ], [ -88.76, 39.66 ], [ -88.76, 39.67 ], [ -88.73, 39.7 ], [ -88.7, 39.7 ], [ -88.68, 39.71 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0885, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "35885584a111431504cf34b51b8261bac59b43a26d81540ff61d8ca3238e3188", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0885, "probability": 0.001147, "confidence_lo": 0.001091, "confidence_hi": 0.001147, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2094bf5688b800daf0d09a9038a925d466a93baa2af7cffdbb24ca418473f774", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6a42b87e7d44fec9575526c8df11f3172f28688600ec90564420624e812ff73370dc9ed32441775005b356eb889381dfa699fe288b3a5234a580cf2df466070b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2094bf5688b800daf0d09a9038a925d466a93baa2af7cffdbb24ca418473f774" }, { "storm_id": "320852", "lat": 38.7644, "lon": -101.2856, "motion_east": 6.7, "motion_south": 1.9, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2561.0, "ebshear": 44.0, "srh01": 29.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 29.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 25.6664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.6752 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7543 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.088 }, "coherence_score": 0.7542739510536194, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.7542739510536194, "grad_tau": 0.18750548362731934, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.675227403640747, "S_field": 0.46385282278060913, "Gamma_field": 0.7333646416664124, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6324995756149292, "Da": 44.4119987487793, "E_coh": 0.5916270017623901, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -101.31, 38.8 ], [ -101.27, 38.8 ], [ -101.24, 38.77 ], [ -101.24, 38.74 ], [ -101.26, 38.72 ], [ -101.3, 38.72 ], [ -101.32, 38.74 ], [ -101.32, 38.79 ], [ -101.31, 38.8 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.088, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "c01c257e9f8eed4e55385b8eb63d8bdff430b53cefb425935b49368171f2eb96", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.088, "probability": 0.001147, "confidence_lo": 0.001091, "confidence_hi": 0.001147, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d72db4fa9bb2e556d5fb165f1e1135c4d43891da53c3bba4745582c170a49658", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c72c5cf15895c7d95b33bbf8583a34fe7f243eeda8b1e03ee0d1b36d161ee2624c7ef4f78f6c4d6f6b6abca5161f8e76b0bbe502199c3cb2a54afeda7bf00a0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d72db4fa9bb2e556d5fb165f1e1135c4d43891da53c3bba4745582c170a49658" }, { "storm_id": "321120", "lat": 33.8111, "lon": -110.7589, "motion_east": 1.8, "motion_south": 2.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1349.0, "ebshear": 19.0, "srh01": 86.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.06, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 86.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.3275 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7526 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.087 }, "coherence_score": 0.7526219487190247, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.7526219487190247, "grad_tau": 0.060458146035671234, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.327484130859375, "S_field": 0.7219546437263489, "Gamma_field": 0.759198009967804, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9509438276290894, "Da": 46.58789825439453, "E_coh": 0.9908536672592163, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -110.78, 33.84 ], [ -110.74, 33.84 ], [ -110.73, 33.83 ], [ -110.72, 33.81 ], [ -110.72, 33.77 ], [ -110.78, 33.77 ], [ -110.79, 33.78 ], [ -110.79, 33.82 ], [ -110.78, 33.84 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.087, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "3d426f48801132d15200e2a248dd4ba1ee293266ae6015bebfa628d0a243c7e5", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.087, "probability": 0.001147, "confidence_lo": 0.001091, "confidence_hi": 0.001147, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ecc5901c0db0807e8e65bd608cbc8d4f80f8eb1ae4a667ba9ab92875ee9bc8ad", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b667f11a946615ed9fc3cf2c5e20a7ae89ce30148f3dc10f9c97379ad62da6c6c504b552150f213ad09947d4655ba66f9015b7325b392f11822c94198e83e70a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ecc5901c0db0807e8e65bd608cbc8d4f80f8eb1ae4a667ba9ab92875ee9bc8ad" }, { "storm_id": "320986", "lat": 32.5411, "lon": -110.8811, "motion_east": -4.0, "motion_south": 2.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1747.0, "ebshear": 24.0, "srh01": 81.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.8, "flash_rate": 8.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 81.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 40.0414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.0239 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6121 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0861 }, "coherence_score": 0.6120955944061279, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6120955944061279, "grad_tau": 0.13357694447040558, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.023871898651123047, "S_field": 0.5054839253425598, "Gamma_field": 1.0950313806533813, "S_over_Gamma": 0.4616159200668335, "Da": 64.43984985351562, "E_coh": 0.8890141844749451, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -110.89, 32.57 ], [ -110.86, 32.57 ], [ -110.84, 32.55 ], [ -110.84, 32.5 ], [ -110.9, 32.5 ], [ -110.91, 32.51 ], [ -110.91, 32.54 ], [ -110.89, 32.56 ], [ -110.89, 32.57 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0861, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "0b4fac672ad5b02b499c6a378c0138d0912227ba91f2dc8e8b695e0e8c1e6177", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0861, "probability": 0.001147, "confidence_lo": 0.001091, "confidence_hi": 0.001147, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a656daefa11ec8ee8850f806e873515614345947b641c7bb065e7cb02d71df57", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b84f75ddfdd16e59b9a4699be3e5cdcf22f7945c3d6cbcc5a1abc3a34e1c09e40e59abc6460247e5856186ae950704a9f9c886e751ecd3b82c6f605b36dd2004" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a656daefa11ec8ee8850f806e873515614345947b641c7bb065e7cb02d71df57" }, { "storm_id": "321056", "lat": 29.4658, "lon": -88.4384, "motion_east": 8.8, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3456.0, "ebshear": 15.0, "srh01": 32.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.11, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 32.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 35.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.8058 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.6961 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0824 }, "coherence_score": 2.6960976123809814, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.6960976123809814, "grad_tau": 0.04952990636229515, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.8057898283004761, "S_field": 1.1210451126098633, "Gamma_field": 0.2583646774291992, "S_over_Gamma": 4.339003086090088, "Da": 16.23056411743164, "E_coh": 0.9690285325050354, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.53, 29.58 ], [ -88.48, 29.58 ], [ -88.47, 29.57 ], [ -88.47, 29.53 ], [ -88.43, 29.48 ], [ -88.36, 29.47 ], [ -88.35, 29.43 ], [ -88.33, 29.41 ], [ -88.33, 29.39 ], [ -88.35, 29.39 ], [ -88.36, 29.38 ], [ -88.41, 29.38 ], [ -88.42, 29.39 ], [ -88.45, 29.39 ], [ -88.48, 29.42 ], [ -88.48, 29.43 ], [ -88.55, 29.49 ], [ -88.55, 29.56 ], [ -88.53, 29.58 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0824, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "d80a79413ab5a8621a8877fba7b3332df4906a4cefdd3f0f254c8e979ffc9b8d", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0824, "probability": 0.001108, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.001109, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bf971c3082b1b8f8e680dee89fdcd59465d24cde9ca207f0881eced632137139", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ab0bc04917d1a6d4204171e6051977f149037f8542aaac2df444b426a5d8baf58031dc2b00738bea0b71af9ac8144807c398b1cbfe231c9e2b02de068d45460e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "bf971c3082b1b8f8e680dee89fdcd59465d24cde9ca207f0881eced632137139" }, { "storm_id": "320821", "lat": 39.9579, "lon": -88.0321, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": 0.2, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0008, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 601.0, "ebshear": 41.0, "srh01": 44.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.26, "flash_rate": 4.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 44.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 40.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.4117 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9622 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0812 }, "coherence_score": 0.962246835231781, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.962246835231781, "grad_tau": 0.07851122319698334, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.4117255210876465, "S_field": 0.217845618724823, "Gamma_field": 0.7125313878059387, "S_over_Gamma": 0.3057347536087036, "Da": 41.703277587890625, "E_coh": 0.44244664907455444, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.0, 40.02 ], [ -87.95, 40.02 ], [ -87.93, 40.01 ], [ -87.92, 40.0 ], [ -87.91, 39.95 ], [ -87.96, 39.91 ], [ -88.01, 39.91 ], [ -88.02, 39.9 ], [ -88.05, 39.9 ], [ -88.09, 39.87 ], [ -88.15, 39.88 ], [ -88.17, 39.9 ], [ -88.15, 39.94 ], [ -88.12, 39.97 ], [ -88.08, 39.99 ], [ -88.06, 39.99 ], [ -88.03, 40.01 ], [ -88.01, 40.01 ], [ -88.0, 40.02 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0812, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0008, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "3d3a36ab71a4377d051f680af0fc86b5931150cbcf237c97761297d6bc6e6a1b", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0812, "probability": 0.000768, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.000768, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0305d8e03354a3dafd6f5a9e1917426098d8b1bc6679b68ed1759f7e830b0261", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ee01119ee8ca7bd1209578661799eeff2bb46ea591d4d0f56494a0f1586495b9d1c156d7a23c9785ce127d5b85098897fc56587a7b80b6bd7c5c26903bec4b0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0305d8e03354a3dafd6f5a9e1917426098d8b1bc6679b68ed1759f7e830b0261" }, { "storm_id": "320561", "lat": 33.0587, "lon": -111.2517, "motion_east": -4.0, "motion_south": 1.6, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0008, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1992.0, "ebshear": 31.0, "srh01": 61.0, "maxllaz": 0.008, "mesh": 0.73, "flash_rate": 32.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 61.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 39.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.8406 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6798 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.008 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0798 }, "coherence_score": 0.679775059223175, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.679775059223175, "grad_tau": 0.13491961359977722, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.8405590057373047, "S_field": 0.5973489284515381, "Gamma_field": 0.9950313568115234, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6003317832946777, "Da": 59.11415100097656, "E_coh": 0.8336516618728638, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 4, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -111.33, 33.17 ], [ -111.25, 33.17 ], [ -111.24, 33.16 ], [ -111.21, 33.16 ], [ -111.19, 33.15 ], [ -111.15, 33.11 ], [ -111.15, 33.04 ], [ -111.16, 33.03 ], [ -111.15, 33.01 ], [ -111.15, 32.97 ], [ -111.17, 32.94 ], [ -111.2, 32.94 ], [ -111.22, 32.96 ], [ -111.22, 33.0 ], [ -111.24, 33.02 ], [ -111.28, 33.03 ], [ -111.31, 33.01 ], [ -111.34, 33.01 ], [ -111.37, 33.04 ], [ -111.37, 33.06 ], [ -111.38, 33.07 ], [ -111.38, 33.13 ], [ -111.33, 33.17 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0798, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0008, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "61e024f510bd67b138c992b0f4353de88a029a097f149c23632b9b4c71ae8df5", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0798, "probability": 0.000768, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.000768, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "43a96f32145391f73e04f077b0347432547a97dfdd36a3eca87cb6f3b57a26de", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "826b4ac11c0130cbabc5be035dd95d6ff0cc2f0fc54ec739d9eb9d8fd95bab6c74d3bd6370c025bdea82e3d0ea0cb626a68799ab433b2860fbdd67e0403c8407" } }, "receipt_sha256": "43a96f32145391f73e04f077b0347432547a97dfdd36a3eca87cb6f3b57a26de" }, { "storm_id": "321091", "lat": 39.6444, "lon": -84.3611, "motion_east": 3.9, "motion_south": 0.4, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0008, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 792.0, "ebshear": 53.0, "srh01": 51.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 51.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 6.9671 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.2599 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0793 }, "coherence_score": 1.2598931789398193, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.2598931789398193, "grad_tau": 0.1598498523235321, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 6.967060089111328, "S_field": 0.3880116939544678, "Gamma_field": 0.4083646833896637, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9501597881317139, "Da": 23.993778228759766, "E_coh": 0.3760240375995636, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -84.38, 39.67 ], [ -84.33, 39.67 ], [ -84.32, 39.66 ], [ -84.32, 39.63 ], [ -84.33, 39.62 ], [ -84.39, 39.61 ], [ -84.4, 39.62 ], [ -84.4, 39.65 ], [ -84.38, 39.67 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0793, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0008, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "f95325e3b67648cdfec930f4b2ea59b7f78c2a8fbc3388454a501228bcc94dca", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0793, "probability": 0.000768, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.000768, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "51cc30cf744a00895973675965e1b256adf149d17f544f1fe15acf5c74648cfd", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b67fe1143315ca7b466d0796a3e170d25b5ead0d7c9a68a0364bc05d3e4a91b5c45419d46235228cbc7cfb92cc67ee74bbccd661d38313f03625054c1ee2c60c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "51cc30cf744a00895973675965e1b256adf149d17f544f1fe15acf5c74648cfd" }, { "storm_id": "320746", "lat": 32.5038, "lon": -111.7459, "motion_east": -2.0, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0008, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1668.0, "ebshear": 42.0, "srh01": 94.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.1, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 94.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.1664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.0422 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.5311 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0792 }, "coherence_score": 0.5310971140861511, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5310971140861511, "grad_tau": 0.09037845581769943, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.0422117710113525, "S_field": 0.41098883748054504, "Gamma_field": 1.517531394958496, "S_over_Gamma": 0.2708272337913513, "Da": 88.51853942871094, "E_coh": 0.8771146535873413, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -111.72, 32.62 ], [ -111.69, 32.61 ], [ -111.68, 32.59 ], [ -111.65, 32.57 ], [ -111.64, 32.54 ], [ -111.66, 32.52 ], [ -111.66, 32.5 ], [ -111.68, 32.48 ], [ -111.7, 32.47 ], [ -111.73, 32.47 ], [ -111.75, 32.45 ], [ -111.76, 32.45 ], [ -111.79, 32.39 ], [ -111.8, 32.38 ], [ -111.84, 32.37 ], [ -111.85, 32.39 ], [ -111.84, 32.39 ], [ -111.81, 32.42 ], [ -111.81, 32.44 ], [ -111.75, 32.47 ], [ -111.76, 32.48 ], [ -111.76, 32.51 ], [ -111.78, 32.54 ], [ -111.78, 32.56 ], [ -111.77, 32.57 ], [ -111.77, 32.59 ], [ -111.75, 32.61 ], [ -111.73, 32.61 ], [ -111.72, 32.62 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0792, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0008, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "4c4433ba1be14ff2119d5dd8ff53d28766de0812e930998f5629f03691279452", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0792, "probability": 0.000768, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.000768, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "544320851aa9ccea55a4fd9e9c13efef18ee08f295b9bd526b63c31631e80e7e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9da01b62c46876747bacf60d38bd1f390164777a50173d121c195ca29ac5adc481e01e2661540c38c56dd86039a98bb95e1a70b4d8e99081eefd0e3f981e750a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "544320851aa9ccea55a4fd9e9c13efef18ee08f295b9bd526b63c31631e80e7e" }, { "storm_id": "320937", "lat": 33.9785, "lon": -111.1954, "motion_east": -1.0, "motion_south": 2.1, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1479.0, "ebshear": 23.0, "srh01": 69.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.68, "flash_rate": 4.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 69.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 40.4164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.3335 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8006 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0777 }, "coherence_score": 0.8005720376968384, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8005720376968384, "grad_tau": 0.06851331889629364, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.33349305391311646, "S_field": 0.7762307524681091, "Gamma_field": 0.7116979956626892, "S_over_Gamma": 1.0906744003295898, "Da": 42.4524040222168, "E_coh": 0.9816673994064331, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -111.17, 34.04 ], [ -111.12, 34.03 ], [ -111.12, 34.0 ], [ -111.13, 33.98 ], [ -111.14, 33.97 ], [ -111.16, 33.97 ], [ -111.22, 33.92 ], [ -111.26, 33.92 ], [ -111.27, 33.93 ], [ -111.27, 33.96 ], [ -111.26, 33.98 ], [ -111.25, 33.98 ], [ -111.17, 34.04 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0777, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "38709471c7dddff55e8f158d63dffb297ed1d9c5549c2ff29526316a92b6c07f", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0777, "probability": 0.000714, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.000714, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "74df1fe406d7f588f1a8981f8893538b4cfcb2175fc054ac9ed3b8f3c52bb1e6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f411a1a055e446a6d19fbb0f0568b7ce062f9145170f5da378c3b70f65354276082d10d125b7565e8cd9838fb7d32d29f3d3b2335f312ee0600da37c5f30000b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "74df1fe406d7f588f1a8981f8893538b4cfcb2175fc054ac9ed3b8f3c52bb1e6" }, { "storm_id": "321067", "lat": 35.0764, "lon": -95.1364, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 583.0, "ebshear": 29.0, "srh01": 44.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 44.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 29.6664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.9576 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4432 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0777 }, "coherence_score": 0.4431869387626648, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4431869387626648, "grad_tau": 0.07457268983125687, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.957603693008423, "S_field": 0.12048713862895966, "Gamma_field": 0.4516980051994324, "S_over_Gamma": 0.26674267649650574, "Da": 28.08664321899414, "E_coh": 0.3401106894016266, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.15, 35.11 ], [ -95.14, 35.1 ], [ -95.12, 35.11 ], [ -95.1, 35.09 ], [ -95.11, 35.07 ], [ -95.1, 35.04 ], [ -95.11, 35.03 ], [ -95.15, 35.03 ], [ -95.18, 35.05 ], [ -95.19, 35.1 ], [ -95.15, 35.11 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0777, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "38709471c7dddff55e8f158d63dffb297ed1d9c5549c2ff29526316a92b6c07f", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0777, "probability": 0.000714, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.000714, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "74df1fe406d7f588f1a8981f8893538b4cfcb2175fc054ac9ed3b8f3c52bb1e6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f411a1a055e446a6d19fbb0f0568b7ce062f9145170f5da378c3b70f65354276082d10d125b7565e8cd9838fb7d32d29f3d3b2335f312ee0600da37c5f30000b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "74df1fe406d7f588f1a8981f8893538b4cfcb2175fc054ac9ed3b8f3c52bb1e6" }, { "storm_id": "321123", "lat": 40.135, "lon": -87.8657, "motion_east": 9.0, "motion_south": 0.3, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 585.0, "ebshear": 30.0, "srh01": 28.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.05, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 28.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.4872 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9814 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0773 }, "coherence_score": 0.9813788533210754, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9813788533210754, "grad_tau": 0.016653746366500854, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.48717522621154785, "S_field": 0.25595545768737793, "Gamma_field": 0.3575313687324524, "S_over_Gamma": 0.715896487236023, "Da": 21.454317092895508, "E_coh": 0.0784812644124031, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.87, 40.18 ], [ -87.82, 40.18 ], [ -87.79, 40.15 ], [ -87.79, 40.12 ], [ -87.81, 40.09 ], [ -87.83, 40.09 ], [ -87.84, 40.08 ], [ -87.9, 40.08 ], [ -87.95, 40.12 ], [ -87.94, 40.14 ], [ -87.93, 40.14 ], [ -87.9, 40.17 ], [ -87.88, 40.17 ], [ -87.87, 40.18 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0773, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "89408c1b864e5fc66c3ee9b40a14507a9f8266eb092b64014a971aec253e97c1", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0773, "probability": 0.000714, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.000714, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "82d467ce33d63fe2ecf58eca5166f5e8916bb43846f775f66cb0367d6e5f2967", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8be6684eb1ad3a5041326025c0c2ce5c36ef8a2778f06c7edbe06986f58e41fe87f0dedf229fda59a05787d86d8485901c5ec9bc593add8f6c5a5e2474b28a0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "82d467ce33d63fe2ecf58eca5166f5e8916bb43846f775f66cb0367d6e5f2967" }, { "storm_id": "321065", "lat": 38.9789, "lon": -100.8984, "motion_east": 9.7, "motion_south": 2.7, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2604.0, "ebshear": 55.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 0.42, "flash_rate": 7.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 25.6664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.6752 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7543 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.007 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0768 }, "coherence_score": 0.7542739510536194, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.7542739510536194, "grad_tau": 0.18750548362731934, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.675227403640747, "S_field": 0.46385282278060913, "Gamma_field": 0.7333646416664124, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6324995756149292, "Da": 44.4119987487793, "E_coh": 0.5916270017623901, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.96, 39.05 ], [ -100.92, 39.03 ], [ -100.91, 39.04 ], [ -100.85, 39.04 ], [ -100.84, 39.03 ], [ -100.82, 39.03 ], [ -100.78, 38.98 ], [ -100.78, 38.95 ], [ -100.79, 38.93 ], [ -100.83, 38.91 ], [ -100.86, 38.91 ], [ -100.87, 38.9 ], [ -100.94, 38.9 ], [ -100.98, 38.93 ], [ -100.99, 38.93 ], [ -101.0, 38.95 ], [ -101.0, 39.01 ], [ -100.99, 39.03 ], [ -100.96, 39.05 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0768, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "c6394141b9b401a741098a9da17ffa0a18d9e830d1c7234290e2d3e9ac53da41", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0768, "probability": 0.000714, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.000714, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "42f8dfbf47ac591de9a2fe94302a1f68afaaf8b0f871cc146e440c8b373655c5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9de1a4796dd01ae4f08bac995057e9583feea8cfa59c65394046990c7ad74ee16b3460b2df5af607706402b9923dffd72a065141c806ac8e79b3e55b95984607" } }, "receipt_sha256": "42f8dfbf47ac591de9a2fe94302a1f68afaaf8b0f871cc146e440c8b373655c5" }, { "storm_id": "320668", "lat": 32.7263, "lon": -111.0611, "motion_east": -4.0, "motion_south": 2.6, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1716.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 61.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.58, "flash_rate": 6.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 61.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.1664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.0422 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.5311 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.006 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0746 }, "coherence_score": 0.5310971140861511, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5310971140861511, "grad_tau": 0.09037845581769943, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.0422117710113525, "S_field": 0.41098883748054504, "Gamma_field": 1.517531394958496, "S_over_Gamma": 0.2708272337913513, "Da": 88.51853942871094, "E_coh": 0.8771146535873413, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -111.07, 32.83 ], [ -111.02, 32.83 ], [ -111.0, 32.81 ], [ -111.0, 32.8 ], [ -110.96, 32.75 ], [ -110.96, 32.71 ], [ -110.98, 32.67 ], [ -111.02, 32.66 ], [ -111.04, 32.64 ], [ -111.06, 32.64 ], [ -111.07, 32.63 ], [ -111.11, 32.63 ], [ -111.15, 32.66 ], [ -111.16, 32.68 ], [ -111.16, 32.72 ], [ -111.14, 32.73 ], [ -111.1, 32.77 ], [ -111.09, 32.81 ], [ -111.07, 32.83 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0746, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "af29cc8f78171231d685fac77023b8a992f54183f4214acdeb7a6ee684c9645b", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0746, "probability": 0.000714, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.000714, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c8685e1aefcce5cd58f3a45b775f58909d691e7cf71c80d1cce63aab2d683841", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "184951354768a341f1cb36fd950921f414091a812cd79055973b75c39561953e79090202e1dcc41e8965f9e6080e5b36b05f6ccd000f65105281674b235c290d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c8685e1aefcce5cd58f3a45b775f58909d691e7cf71c80d1cce63aab2d683841" }, { "storm_id": "321105", "lat": 33.394, "lon": -106.088, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 104.0, "ebshear": 26.0, "srh01": 30.0, "maxllaz": 0.017, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 30.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 24.4164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.8129 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4232 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.017 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0742 }, "coherence_score": 0.42324298620224, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.42324298620224, "grad_tau": 0.04539459943771362, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.8128957748413086, "S_field": 0.15789471566677094, "Gamma_field": 0.27253133058547974, "S_over_Gamma": 0.5793635249137878, "Da": 16.937692642211914, "E_coh": 0.5099531412124634, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -106.12, 33.43 ], [ -106.04, 33.43 ], [ -106.04, 33.34 ], [ -106.12, 33.34 ], [ -106.12, 33.43 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0742, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "f1671f7cd3cac5fc647a93175f906e53e487884cc45be582a492ce04475cfc33", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0742, "probability": 0.000714, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.000714, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "73049c74adbe7d26e16df077821d6730d5d3102ca11e89816185220e63e45942", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "39183767bf2f0cacfaeb56a4145858010f21a158deb596625b1538a6d90b27b0db4e8bf6d14f1747c60e63264166a58aa3ed6a2e612f2c956f2c38931f06e50e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "73049c74adbe7d26e16df077821d6730d5d3102ca11e89816185220e63e45942" }, { "storm_id": "321097", "lat": 39.9629, "lon": -87.7095, "motion_east": 8.7, "motion_south": 0.5, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 544.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 28.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.27, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 28.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 40.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.4117 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9622 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0724 }, "coherence_score": 0.962246835231781, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.962246835231781, "grad_tau": 0.07851122319698334, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.4117255210876465, "S_field": 0.217845618724823, "Gamma_field": 0.7125313878059387, "S_over_Gamma": 0.3057347536087036, "Da": 41.703277587890625, "E_coh": 0.44244664907455444, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.66, 40.02 ], [ -87.64, 40.02 ], [ -87.6, 39.99 ], [ -87.6, 39.96 ], [ -87.61, 39.95 ], [ -87.65, 39.94 ], [ -87.66, 39.93 ], [ -87.68, 39.93 ], [ -87.69, 39.92 ], [ -87.73, 39.92 ], [ -87.74, 39.91 ], [ -87.76, 39.92 ], [ -87.79, 39.92 ], [ -87.82, 39.94 ], [ -87.82, 39.97 ], [ -87.81, 39.98 ], [ -87.79, 39.99 ], [ -87.75, 39.99 ], [ -87.74, 40.0 ], [ -87.7, 40.0 ], [ -87.66, 40.02 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0724, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "b5c4802bd6ade64996badb0842854352c1a409d89d05266cd4d45e72bc06b872", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0724, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "17c08ebb40600bf69b6e071f3846b70f150adaf51f994dbdbb3997704d002bdd", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6dfd5ecdd10a377a27877e41303ea153d3d6ceb8670a420aea6c8aa3916ada6330915e0422a398ae7d9ae7e9435efe172cd9f2134c9e44f7b45bde44bd714500" } }, "receipt_sha256": "17c08ebb40600bf69b6e071f3846b70f150adaf51f994dbdbb3997704d002bdd" }, { "storm_id": "321096", "lat": 43.08, "lon": -76.181, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 372.0, "ebshear": 30.0, "srh01": 30.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 30.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.1664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.6156 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.104 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0709 }, "coherence_score": 1.103952169418335, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.103952169418335, "grad_tau": 0.046513330191373825, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.6156041622161865, "S_field": 0.19582578539848328, "Gamma_field": 0.2508646845817566, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7806032299995422, "Da": 14.192298889160156, "E_coh": 0.4947361648082733, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -76.2, 43.12 ], [ -76.17, 43.12 ], [ -76.15, 43.11 ], [ -76.14, 43.09 ], [ -76.14, 43.05 ], [ -76.17, 43.02 ], [ -76.2, 43.02 ], [ -76.22, 43.06 ], [ -76.22, 43.09 ], [ -76.2, 43.12 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0709, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "3d7b22c61ad7509152bcddf2f7c3587a388e5cd4b02f53e07f079b29f52bc31a", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0709, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ee3f95b9a078fa4fc6600cb7adf3177f5f118a41db3a844537d9ba99b023b3a0", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bd751978a9afe7922cc91bb8c47847abc06658c7708430c7f4ca47d1c38ca12ce2375081f9006c5d0bd406f2928173369579fd1f18e6f0f78d384d98b3c5d50e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ee3f95b9a078fa4fc6600cb7adf3177f5f118a41db3a844537d9ba99b023b3a0" }, { "storm_id": "321125", "lat": 39.9133, "lon": -87.47, "motion_east": 6.6, "motion_south": 1.6, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 654.0, "ebshear": 36.0, "srh01": 33.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.05, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 33.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 40.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.4117 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9622 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0686 }, "coherence_score": 0.962246835231781, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.962246835231781, "grad_tau": 0.07851122319698334, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.4117255210876465, "S_field": 0.217845618724823, "Gamma_field": 0.7125313878059387, "S_over_Gamma": 0.3057347536087036, "Da": 41.703277587890625, "E_coh": 0.44244664907455444, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.49, 39.95 ], [ -87.46, 39.95 ], [ -87.43, 39.93 ], [ -87.43, 39.88 ], [ -87.44, 39.87 ], [ -87.49, 39.87 ], [ -87.5, 39.88 ], [ -87.5, 39.94 ], [ -87.49, 39.95 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0686, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "958d72078d5ded8620f8e8813c51f1e57495f761b44c908608a3dc8c8811c5be", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0686, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4fec568a86f6c54283c3cdc10080ca4c79e2c6474812b476dedfb10f8ea9e29f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "317f5b92e9677486ce212e177fbc67efa7cab00f87419e33a97035c4db559323162b526aec1d4c6a14ef9cb249ae033fae31b16a56a518932185a3df06e09609" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4fec568a86f6c54283c3cdc10080ca4c79e2c6474812b476dedfb10f8ea9e29f" }, { "storm_id": "319142", "lat": 45.4539, "lon": -73.1228, "motion_east": 6.7, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 653.0, "ebshear": 45.0, "srh01": 22.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 22.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 30.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.0424 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.0695 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0673 }, "coherence_score": 1.0694987773895264, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.0694987773895264, "grad_tau": 0.035984236747026443, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.042419672012329, "S_field": 0.3331338167190552, "Gamma_field": 0.24003133177757263, "S_over_Gamma": 1.3878763914108276, "Da": 14.10794734954834, "E_coh": 0.26002511382102966, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 9, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -73.12, 45.54 ], [ -73.07, 45.54 ], [ -73.02, 45.5 ], [ -73.01, 45.44 ], [ -73.04, 45.41 ], [ -73.06, 45.4 ], [ -73.08, 45.4 ], [ -73.12, 45.42 ], [ -73.16, 45.4 ], [ -73.18, 45.4 ], [ -73.19, 45.41 ], [ -73.19, 45.42 ], [ -73.17, 45.43 ], [ -73.19, 45.44 ], [ -73.19, 45.46 ], [ -73.15, 45.5 ], [ -73.15, 45.52 ], [ -73.12, 45.54 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0673, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "9f089161db9c8206745601db3ab2b8fe44bcd5ea2658614470fa5e1840564ab7", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0673, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "20a03e75b478cc341088664ae2779f38912ecb6f258841ba2c356b9ca10ce954", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bd18bee0d781cbd2e4c2111fef97156b792d831b15e4e37e9b4a6c667400c9afb78f60d58edb66e2101551c9dfd9e2705248e3a32f1240ae0ab037ffa0788303" } }, "receipt_sha256": "20a03e75b478cc341088664ae2779f38912ecb6f258841ba2c356b9ca10ce954" }, { "storm_id": "319722", "lat": 39.2824, "lon": -101.6967, "motion_east": 11.6, "motion_south": 2.5, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2132.0, "ebshear": 52.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.5, "flash_rate": 9.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 15.4164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 5.7577 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6484 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0673 }, "coherence_score": 0.6483870148658752, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6483870148658752, "grad_tau": 0.136235311627388, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 5.757664203643799, "S_field": 0.2581624984741211, "Gamma_field": 0.34253135323524475, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7536901235580444, "Da": 20.308012008666992, "E_coh": 0.15645146369934082, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 8, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -101.73, 39.37 ], [ -101.69, 39.37 ], [ -101.68, 39.36 ], [ -101.66, 39.36 ], [ -101.62, 39.32 ], [ -101.62, 39.31 ], [ -101.6, 39.29 ], [ -101.6, 39.22 ], [ -101.61, 39.2 ], [ -101.66, 39.19 ], [ -101.71, 39.16 ], [ -101.76, 39.16 ], [ -101.77, 39.18 ], [ -101.77, 39.23 ], [ -101.75, 39.25 ], [ -101.73, 39.29 ], [ -101.74, 39.3 ], [ -101.73, 39.31 ], [ -101.73, 39.34 ], [ -101.74, 39.35 ], [ -101.73, 39.37 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0673, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "9f089161db9c8206745601db3ab2b8fe44bcd5ea2658614470fa5e1840564ab7", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0673, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "20a03e75b478cc341088664ae2779f38912ecb6f258841ba2c356b9ca10ce954", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bd18bee0d781cbd2e4c2111fef97156b792d831b15e4e37e9b4a6c667400c9afb78f60d58edb66e2101551c9dfd9e2705248e3a32f1240ae0ab037ffa0788303" } }, "receipt_sha256": "20a03e75b478cc341088664ae2779f38912ecb6f258841ba2c356b9ca10ce954" }, { "storm_id": "321068", "lat": 35.1414, "lon": -105.4136, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 305.0, "ebshear": 15.0, "srh01": 39.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.18, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 39.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 22.5414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.1473 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4044 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0667 }, "coherence_score": 0.4044126272201538, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4044126272201538, "grad_tau": 0.052015602588653564, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.147308349609375, "S_field": 0.38719668984413147, "Gamma_field": 0.6875313520431519, "S_over_Gamma": 0.5631694793701172, "Da": 43.40665054321289, "E_coh": 0.5449259281158447, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -105.46, 35.19 ], [ -105.42, 35.19 ], [ -105.4, 35.17 ], [ -105.39, 35.17 ], [ -105.39, 35.16 ], [ -105.35, 35.12 ], [ -105.35, 35.08 ], [ -105.36, 35.07 ], [ -105.4, 35.07 ], [ -105.43, 35.1 ], [ -105.44, 35.13 ], [ -105.47, 35.16 ], [ -105.47, 35.18 ], [ -105.46, 35.19 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0667, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "c871ef2432e1db28bd5a9dba5769eefccacb7dc08a91386e64389d9febdb95ed", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0667, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "df50aaf0662ca6064cba30ad54fa7d6c0d42b94fb278c4bcf2c58f00f8164b83", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "12567b0bd5003cb62032b55285b84184e154056c9c9ce59fa41c8af394349f429b5f01a50f41821365bec5f57c38f071748202986025c17e5e6f40459c9e6100" } }, "receipt_sha256": "df50aaf0662ca6064cba30ad54fa7d6c0d42b94fb278c4bcf2c58f00f8164b83" }, { "storm_id": "321081", "lat": 33.5067, "lon": -110.9567, "motion_east": -4.0, "motion_south": 2.2, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1639.0, "ebshear": 17.0, "srh01": 62.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.15, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 62.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 39.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.8406 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6798 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.065 }, "coherence_score": 0.679775059223175, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.679775059223175, "grad_tau": 0.13491961359977722, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.8405590057373047, "S_field": 0.5973489284515381, "Gamma_field": 0.9950313568115234, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6003317832946777, "Da": 59.11415100097656, "E_coh": 0.8336516618728638, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -110.97, 33.54 ], [ -110.94, 33.54 ], [ -110.92, 33.52 ], [ -110.92, 33.48 ], [ -110.93, 33.47 ], [ -110.98, 33.47 ], [ -110.99, 33.48 ], [ -110.99, 33.52 ], [ -110.97, 33.54 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.065, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "e3dd12f96876c999399a65af0d946bff56203dc8540b391b062a8aae05bf06e4", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.065, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c7299f21583af8fed17e4edd90f2e1e101d12165f149187eb1dc268a63d56ca6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "adf0def3108f749b5f7fb7be6e8f7ffec9052da5d7a3a563a0f27b721a2d5f0921534284495af02ccd269413e47ab63c2544ad6a4be4255d0fe46d1e236c9404" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c7299f21583af8fed17e4edd90f2e1e101d12165f149187eb1dc268a63d56ca6" }, { "storm_id": "320805", "lat": 33.4738, "lon": -111.2781, "motion_east": -4.0, "motion_south": 2.2, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1781.0, "ebshear": 18.0, "srh01": 60.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 0.52, "flash_rate": 16.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 60.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 39.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.8406 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6798 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.007 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0649 }, "coherence_score": 0.679775059223175, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.679775059223175, "grad_tau": 0.13491961359977722, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.8405590057373047, "S_field": 0.5973489284515381, "Gamma_field": 0.9950313568115234, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6003317832946777, "Da": 59.11415100097656, "E_coh": 0.8336516618728638, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -111.39, 33.59 ], [ -111.33, 33.59 ], [ -111.32, 33.58 ], [ -111.3, 33.58 ], [ -111.28, 33.56 ], [ -111.26, 33.56 ], [ -111.2, 33.53 ], [ -111.16, 33.49 ], [ -111.16, 33.46 ], [ -111.14, 33.43 ], [ -111.14, 33.42 ], [ -111.17, 33.39 ], [ -111.17, 33.38 ], [ -111.21, 33.35 ], [ -111.24, 33.35 ], [ -111.25, 33.36 ], [ -111.27, 33.36 ], [ -111.29, 33.38 ], [ -111.34, 33.39 ], [ -111.36, 33.41 ], [ -111.36, 33.47 ], [ -111.35, 33.48 ], [ -111.35, 33.5 ], [ -111.4, 33.54 ], [ -111.4, 33.58 ], [ -111.39, 33.59 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0649, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "c6bead25ca10d1522fce4627e56c6cc7ebc977cbfc4a62b498a5291d7e0a76d6", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0649, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a90327f49bb0319d58785ba3aa3e0112d63863245edb414654be046adf58bd16", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f8f759ec632301c3216e174aad6561475a85aec8dbdb1eaf6102fc7fbe4fae903fe358a9db6987fc1c373f1494c8b71a5094197b8b29c78a65ab7da5f8c2db09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a90327f49bb0319d58785ba3aa3e0112d63863245edb414654be046adf58bd16" }, { "storm_id": "321116", "lat": 39.6489, "lon": -103.0778, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3303.0, "ebshear": 62.0, "srh01": 15.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.11, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 15.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 14.4164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 5.3847 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4564 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0645 }, "coherence_score": 0.4564363956451416, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4564363956451416, "grad_tau": 0.13167129456996918, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 5.384739875793457, "S_field": 0.1352226585149765, "Gamma_field": 0.7458646893501282, "S_over_Gamma": 0.18129649758338928, "Da": 43.173683166503906, "E_coh": 0.22062478959560394, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -103.09, 39.69 ], [ -103.06, 39.69 ], [ -103.03, 39.67 ], [ -103.03, 39.63 ], [ -103.05, 39.6 ], [ -103.11, 39.6 ], [ -103.12, 39.61 ], [ -103.12, 39.66 ], [ -103.09, 39.69 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0645, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "b5030ef219b78370b6cdc64089f4a0464ded614deb2840f8f4375e2dbddc2da6", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0645, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dd900dca1f33303e07bf657653b3bddbed9debcd40653bf27e02a168f5c321c3", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8f6a7befc78be77ece9e692402bf0d713a044af74732a0ccc863a64ac62f4549030aa2d2b5dba14320c4a86fba5a08f1b45397947ba1e45d61f36ef950558b0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "dd900dca1f33303e07bf657653b3bddbed9debcd40653bf27e02a168f5c321c3" }, { "storm_id": "320582", "lat": 28.3468, "lon": -82.6812, "motion_east": 9.5, "motion_south": 0.1, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3441.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 17.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 0.69, "flash_rate": 51.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 17.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.1392 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.2668 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.007 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0638 }, "coherence_score": 1.266842246055603, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.266842246055603, "grad_tau": 0.09112533181905746, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.1391559839248657, "S_field": 0.5511192679405212, "Gamma_field": 0.4916979968547821, "S_over_Gamma": 1.1208491325378418, "Da": 28.98261833190918, "E_coh": 0.9262853264808655, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.72, 28.49 ], [ -82.7, 28.49 ], [ -82.67, 28.47 ], [ -82.63, 28.47 ], [ -82.62, 28.48 ], [ -82.55, 28.49 ], [ -82.55, 28.48 ], [ -82.53, 28.46 ], [ -82.54, 28.4 ], [ -82.56, 28.36 ], [ -82.59, 28.33 ], [ -82.61, 28.32 ], [ -82.64, 28.32 ], [ -82.66, 28.3 ], [ -82.66, 28.28 ], [ -82.64, 28.25 ], [ -82.65, 28.23 ], [ -82.65, 28.2 ], [ -82.69, 28.16 ], [ -82.71, 28.15 ], [ -82.73, 28.15 ], [ -82.76, 28.19 ], [ -82.76, 28.22 ], [ -82.74, 28.26 ], [ -82.72, 28.28 ], [ -82.72, 28.3 ], [ -82.76, 28.32 ], [ -82.78, 28.34 ], [ -82.78, 28.36 ], [ -82.8, 28.4 ], [ -82.78, 28.43 ], [ -82.78, 28.45 ], [ -82.76, 28.47 ], [ -82.72, 28.49 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0638, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "050a729023091a21b7d601c7bc654dded753b76ea99c0c6283388d1fc7460805", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0638, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1939d3a043ef79321c4eeb002d94a86b114784f596013a9464944c796f3fc928", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "07e26018f932c4ba707a5b28bf0f431a405f95a6394b13e8752ae2e2deb1adce018fdb0ab9865aeb1bbec468aa2019a8370339eab2a87f800404990fdcf38400" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1939d3a043ef79321c4eeb002d94a86b114784f596013a9464944c796f3fc928" }, { "storm_id": "321124", "lat": 40.13, "lon": -88.12, "motion_east": 9.0, "motion_south": 0.3, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 721.0, "ebshear": 38.0, "srh01": 21.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 21.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.4872 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9814 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0575 }, "coherence_score": 0.9813788533210754, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9813788533210754, "grad_tau": 0.016653746366500854, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.48717522621154785, "S_field": 0.25595545768737793, "Gamma_field": 0.3575313687324524, "S_over_Gamma": 0.715896487236023, "Da": 21.454317092895508, "E_coh": 0.0784812644124031, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.12, 40.17 ], [ -88.08, 40.17 ], [ -88.07, 40.16 ], [ -88.07, 40.12 ], [ -88.11, 40.07 ], [ -88.16, 40.07 ], [ -88.18, 40.11 ], [ -88.17, 40.13 ], [ -88.12, 40.17 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0575, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "ea30661422b2f14730ec4d751fb9543da439a5e87b851f77a649f2f48fae0be0", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0575, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "01f6a1ba9381aa07722abdbce53648b470386e527828ada749e4250faa56900c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "cf0f396b33bea0e1a8a6af11a1a2d2c035f905aa9a52d0de84406a5e33a369fba0879b3a7771d15433b01c7c97b1a0eaeeb5141f77c1242bc8f3a8a74f493c0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "01f6a1ba9381aa07722abdbce53648b470386e527828ada749e4250faa56900c" }, { "storm_id": "321126", "lat": 39.904, "lon": -91.268, "motion_east": 7.8, "motion_south": 0.1, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 469.0, "ebshear": 44.0, "srh01": 4.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 4.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 33.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.4835 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.3317 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0562 }, "coherence_score": 1.3317162990570068, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.3317162990570068, "grad_tau": 0.05284791812300682, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.4835221767425537, "S_field": 0.5839860439300537, "Gamma_field": 0.23586466908454895, "S_over_Gamma": 2.4759368896484375, "Da": 14.02708625793457, "E_coh": 0.8463812470436096, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -91.28, 39.94 ], [ -91.25, 39.94 ], [ -91.23, 39.93 ], [ -91.25, 39.89 ], [ -91.25, 39.87 ], [ -91.26, 39.86 ], [ -91.28, 39.86 ], [ -91.3, 39.89 ], [ -91.3, 39.92 ], [ -91.28, 39.94 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0562, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "f548c40a96b668a9e85d1b302c6be3c55a34fbe5c9a834ac4af394169efba132", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0562, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "53b1ead86a7cc412fa98349745defb8011e8ad115d460051d4069e39ec926927", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "aaafe6cc84986b265c65dc01a81310b55e8d01208c60cec4e0d30bb837688f942739f654b9b56d5a213ebf7c9be1e9e4be3e4cc43af49924ae3b62be75848305" } }, "receipt_sha256": "53b1ead86a7cc412fa98349745defb8011e8ad115d460051d4069e39ec926927" }, { "storm_id": "321106", "lat": 29.122, "lon": -88.2232, "motion_east": 7.9, "motion_south": 0.5, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 4053.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 17.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 17.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 33.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.2404 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.5677 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0544 }, "coherence_score": 2.5677006244659424, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.5677006244659424, "grad_tau": 0.24855835735797882, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.2404297590255737, "S_field": 0.8582687973976135, "Gamma_field": 0.32586467266082764, "S_over_Gamma": 2.633819818496704, "Da": 20.302589416503906, "E_coh": 0.9616014361381531, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.2, 29.18 ], [ -88.19, 29.18 ], [ -88.18, 29.18 ], [ -88.17, 29.18 ], [ -88.16, 29.18 ], [ -88.15, 29.18 ], [ -88.14, 29.17 ], [ -88.14, 29.16 ], [ -88.14, 29.15 ], [ -88.14, 29.14 ], [ -88.14, 29.13 ], [ -88.14, 29.12 ], [ -88.15, 29.11 ], [ -88.16, 29.11 ], [ -88.17, 29.12 ], [ -88.18, 29.12 ], [ -88.19, 29.12 ], [ -88.2, 29.12 ], [ -88.21, 29.12 ], [ -88.22, 29.12 ], [ -88.23, 29.12 ], [ -88.24, 29.12 ], [ -88.25, 29.11 ], [ -88.26, 29.1 ], [ -88.27, 29.09 ], [ -88.27, 29.08 ], [ -88.26, 29.07 ], [ -88.27, 29.06 ], [ -88.28, 29.06 ], [ -88.29, 29.06 ], [ -88.3, 29.06 ], [ -88.31, 29.06 ], [ -88.3, 29.07 ], [ -88.29, 29.07 ], [ -88.28, 29.08 ], [ -88.27, 29.09 ], [ -88.28, 29.1 ], [ -88.28, 29.11 ], [ -88.28, 29.12 ], [ -88.28, 29.13 ], [ -88.27, 29.13 ], [ -88.26, 29.13 ], [ -88.25, 29.13 ], [ -88.24, 29.13 ], [ -88.23, 29.13 ], [ -88.22, 29.14 ], [ -88.21, 29.15 ], [ -88.21, 29.16 ], [ -88.21, 29.17 ], [ -88.2, 29.18 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0544, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "83c9ab833087cb223c6b5d0b06985f322f9b7037aef757bce8792392e9aca212", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0544, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0289aeb983f61f1c302f57a73e906063ba4757305d3a080fc27e941b0c32405a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bc367a9dfce98486914d1effa2e6128e75e65ca9215781e1b402fd101766b0c1cf13e6a5a0deade5cb0490bf56c15ce35776c198f843e8c914992b3e3746a003" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0289aeb983f61f1c302f57a73e906063ba4757305d3a080fc27e941b0c32405a" }, { "storm_id": "321119", "lat": 33.9312, "lon": -111.375, "motion_east": -2.0, "motion_south": 2.2, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1758.0, "ebshear": 23.0, "srh01": 37.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.19, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 37.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 40.4164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.3335 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8006 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0542 }, "coherence_score": 0.8005720376968384, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8005720376968384, "grad_tau": 0.06851331889629364, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.33349305391311646, "S_field": 0.7762307524681091, "Gamma_field": 0.7116979956626892, "S_over_Gamma": 1.0906744003295898, "Da": 42.4524040222168, "E_coh": 0.9816673994064331, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -111.39, 33.96 ], [ -111.36, 33.96 ], [ -111.34, 33.95 ], [ -111.34, 33.89 ], [ -111.38, 33.88 ], [ -111.4, 33.9 ], [ -111.4, 33.95 ], [ -111.39, 33.96 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0542, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "6f171aa2a52b21fb4f5be4813b289459abad54cb2d064d2df7791390c16e19f4", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0542, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f28a28ea3e034d446b6c843d05ebfb272791e3ff2f5d7ac00ed8973cddc27eed", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "40ea67d1f26941c00fefbca1b6097db107f94922e3175f22cd45f486c05f8246c58a4da36d546857fb84f2cf5799743c17d3d6e3460ee8c0ab37aa91c6e96f05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f28a28ea3e034d446b6c843d05ebfb272791e3ff2f5d7ac00ed8973cddc27eed" }, { "storm_id": "321006", "lat": 39.9406, "lon": -91.0206, "motion_east": 7.8, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 268.0, "ebshear": 39.0, "srh01": 1.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.15, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 1.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.5414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.8031 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.2974 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0517 }, "coherence_score": 1.2974151372909546, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.2974151372909546, "grad_tau": 0.08234529942274094, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.803088188171387, "S_field": 0.6286236047744751, "Gamma_field": 0.302531361579895, "S_over_Gamma": 2.0778791904449463, "Da": 17.71623420715332, "E_coh": 0.7342395782470703, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -91.05, 40.0 ], [ -90.99, 40.0 ], [ -90.94, 39.97 ], [ -90.9, 39.96 ], [ -90.89, 39.94 ], [ -90.91, 39.92 ], [ -90.91, 39.9 ], [ -90.92, 39.89 ], [ -90.99, 39.89 ], [ -91.0, 39.9 ], [ -91.03, 39.9 ], [ -91.04, 39.89 ], [ -91.11, 39.89 ], [ -91.19, 39.95 ], [ -91.19, 39.97 ], [ -91.17, 39.99 ], [ -91.09, 39.97 ], [ -91.05, 40.0 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0517, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "de5ade4daec259a2c332853371d30f9fd92878c1a49cfe3fda34ccd87411d74e", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0517, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "303e2c4fe11f8b75dd0a48d13481eaf2d88bf5ccddd45fa712860ae00c55218f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c3d497f83cbd4dab93bb935cc3a817bd96f00a5ad567816285d64300142fbc4dfa33bbb356445052ce673476ce020e8dc91f57e74f65c9e5bd54b9d7e44bb307" } }, "receipt_sha256": "303e2c4fe11f8b75dd0a48d13481eaf2d88bf5ccddd45fa712860ae00c55218f" }, { "storm_id": "321112", "lat": 40.46, "lon": -85.5344, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 710.0, "ebshear": 46.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.6366 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.0955 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.051 }, "coherence_score": 1.0955491065979004, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.0955491065979004, "grad_tau": 0.14205946028232574, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.6365885734558105, "S_field": 0.2376611828804016, "Gamma_field": 0.3091980218887329, "S_over_Gamma": 0.768637478351593, "Da": 18.557647705078125, "E_coh": 0.5019106864929199, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -85.55, 40.49 ], [ -85.51, 40.49 ], [ -85.5, 40.48 ], [ -85.5, 40.44 ], [ -85.52, 40.42 ], [ -85.54, 40.42 ], [ -85.57, 40.44 ], [ -85.57, 40.47 ], [ -85.55, 40.49 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.051, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "9a93d70f7945e83ea376d13a813ce4e24806d84d0011ec59ca4fd281863be00b", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.051, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cbeb61d1fef54bc5ef358bcbef64d62fb592fa990b779dddf4facd20b2212007", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3cccbd0068ad1d569fbbfbc4b60c070726f783545fe87b6f9774df14fbb4380125b1412fbdb41d9b58908bc9bd02dba3f627d1489c8cfa74d9a27dbdfdd35a0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "cbeb61d1fef54bc5ef358bcbef64d62fb592fa990b779dddf4facd20b2212007" }, { "storm_id": "321114", "lat": 39.8614, "lon": -105.2114, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1456.0, "ebshear": 44.0, "srh01": 2.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 2.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 17.6664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.4162 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.2757 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0506 }, "coherence_score": 0.275691419839859, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.275691419839859, "grad_tau": 0.043453820049762726, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.41622862219810486, "S_field": 0.061361245810985565, "Gamma_field": 1.1033647060394287, "S_over_Gamma": 0.05561283975839615, "Da": 64.94418334960938, "E_coh": 0.049229227006435394, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -105.25, 39.9 ], [ -105.17, 39.9 ], [ -105.16, 39.89 ], [ -105.16, 39.81 ], [ -105.24, 39.81 ], [ -105.25, 39.82 ], [ -105.25, 39.9 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0506, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "f3551fb2036b6305d20af0a0306f688f0f8c32bc0df7d0e4b19f803f823c85cc", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0506, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "38a7668cc57ad6d415ed9cf7b86cf0ffab7fef06d14831e521cf49ce4fcbbdd9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "140475d386347ab85ecb15b051d7dc6b72cb129f07ef012df55a843dc2d922eda10ea88aca547830a20bbbe9b6e11cba09a4de3a7c6e0cac8d43f62e7975ff00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "38a7668cc57ad6d415ed9cf7b86cf0ffab7fef06d14831e521cf49ce4fcbbdd9" }, { "storm_id": "320876", "lat": 29.2882, "lon": -88.2945, "motion_east": 8.7, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3315.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 11.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 11.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 33.7914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.2404 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.5677 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0485 }, "coherence_score": 2.5677006244659424, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.5677006244659424, "grad_tau": 0.24855835735797882, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.2404297590255737, "S_field": 0.8582687973976135, "Gamma_field": 0.32586467266082764, "S_over_Gamma": 2.633819818496704, "Da": 20.302589416503906, "E_coh": 0.9616014361381531, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.27, 29.33 ], [ -88.25, 29.32 ], [ -88.24, 29.3 ], [ -88.24, 29.26 ], [ -88.3, 29.23 ], [ -88.34, 29.23 ], [ -88.36, 29.24 ], [ -88.36, 29.29 ], [ -88.33, 29.32 ], [ -88.28, 29.32 ], [ -88.27, 29.33 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0485, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "06d7e0c2fea624da103b30578091dd348e959d3066d749bf55c9753255530bf3", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0485, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f7a2cfeb0af335081c43e86840ace55afc3396529989a908466ce87c1ee74ec3", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e0e03922734235ad53fe9a5a36f67745cb35dbe40db79b350427b178dbb715b4ba4493c9de3721af0e4c8fe005d5114e69aa692ef098931f2e9b3dddaacc7503" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f7a2cfeb0af335081c43e86840ace55afc3396529989a908466ce87c1ee74ec3" }, { "storm_id": "321020", "lat": 40.5683, "lon": -87.5883, "motion_east": 11.0, "motion_south": 0.7, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 897.0, "ebshear": 35.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.4872 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9814 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0474 }, "coherence_score": 0.9813788533210754, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9813788533210754, "grad_tau": 0.016653746366500854, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.48717522621154785, "S_field": 0.25595545768737793, "Gamma_field": 0.3575313687324524, "S_over_Gamma": 0.715896487236023, "Da": 21.454317092895508, "E_coh": 0.0784812644124031, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.52, 40.64 ], [ -87.48, 40.64 ], [ -87.46, 40.62 ], [ -87.46, 40.59 ], [ -87.48, 40.56 ], [ -87.52, 40.54 ], [ -87.55, 40.54 ], [ -87.56, 40.53 ], [ -87.62, 40.53 ], [ -87.67, 40.5 ], [ -87.71, 40.5 ], [ -87.73, 40.51 ], [ -87.73, 40.54 ], [ -87.7, 40.58 ], [ -87.65, 40.58 ], [ -87.64, 40.59 ], [ -87.59, 40.6 ], [ -87.52, 40.64 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0474, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "4595dbd941bebad076e5c01020131c71faf04b17c2318ad2aabcb5bdda8d1fc3", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0474, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "22377e18ab1c0ccee4ac0a7a539e3772365471c38a91196cf4467161adb83fdb", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d3b7c2444475d4ee59060db20d43d6f1d50cba1fa45592bb08976e9ec2eff126716b4e7e4e2e37f2ef9b9ef43a117686f9e58ab52740a8a2217db5ac79f0a502" } }, "receipt_sha256": "22377e18ab1c0ccee4ac0a7a539e3772365471c38a91196cf4467161adb83fdb" }, { "storm_id": "321072", "lat": 40.4112, "lon": -88.34, "motion_east": 8.0, "motion_south": 3.3, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1252.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 2.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 2.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.4872 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9814 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0473 }, "coherence_score": 0.9813788533210754, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9813788533210754, "grad_tau": 0.016653746366500854, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.48717522621154785, "S_field": 0.25595545768737793, "Gamma_field": 0.3575313687324524, "S_over_Gamma": 0.715896487236023, "Da": 21.454317092895508, "E_coh": 0.0784812644124031, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.45, 40.46 ], [ -88.39, 40.46 ], [ -88.37, 40.44 ], [ -88.33, 40.42 ], [ -88.28, 40.46 ], [ -88.26, 40.46 ], [ -88.24, 40.44 ], [ -88.22, 40.4 ], [ -88.23, 40.38 ], [ -88.23, 40.35 ], [ -88.26, 40.33 ], [ -88.33, 40.32 ], [ -88.39, 40.35 ], [ -88.44, 40.39 ], [ -88.46, 40.43 ], [ -88.45, 40.44 ], [ -88.45, 40.46 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0473, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "86538dfe073952bac335c19e6cc9b56b596c0ec753a3295aec32a018b193af0b", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0473, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "803c22ff7d6f244153c7127c3aaa4effa05f6d48330988213b446fd519dc485b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2415fcdf2b577a075b2443eca6eb2a5a47a3bbb69e6c7393b096a086b864960e541ac20d40c1180740b756ffb8757379bd3c4f0be9f4852dd929ca573bf3250f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "803c22ff7d6f244153c7127c3aaa4effa05f6d48330988213b446fd519dc485b" }, { "storm_id": "321055", "lat": 31.9967, "lon": -111.8953, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1484.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 22.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.18, "flash_rate": 4.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 22.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 35.5414 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.6694 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.538 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0471 }, "coherence_score": 0.5380236506462097, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5380236506462097, "grad_tau": 0.07704900950193405, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.669373631477356, "S_field": 0.39354127645492554, "Gamma_field": 1.2958647012710571, "S_over_Gamma": 0.303690105676651, "Da": 74.56363677978516, "E_coh": 0.8775732517242432, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -111.95, 32.05 ], [ -111.93, 32.05 ], [ -111.9, 32.03 ], [ -111.85, 32.03 ], [ -111.84, 32.02 ], [ -111.82, 32.02 ], [ -111.82, 31.99 ], [ -111.81, 31.97 ], [ -111.86, 31.91 ], [ -111.9, 31.91 ], [ -111.94, 31.94 ], [ -111.94, 31.96 ], [ -111.96, 31.98 ], [ -111.96, 32.04 ], [ -111.95, 32.05 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0471, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "0b2282f1f13653deea1fd26bcc29bf6169128f4cc87b31a6af9dd4655a40adb1", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0471, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "935413a13da2d315b6ec974618e610aa985069ad9b010a36b492dd50afe9115a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8ca7121c424508d331afbd40c9854ff725c4f926e8b4ee455686fcd571f1dfbbd0aebe1a4b24bedabb2546f2e6a9561da1e5f3ab9f79a169cb35bce6ee532d05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "935413a13da2d315b6ec974618e610aa985069ad9b010a36b492dd50afe9115a" }, { "storm_id": "321134", "lat": 34.805, "lon": -109.5125, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1413.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 33.1664 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.1745 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6002 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0469 }, "coherence_score": 0.6002330780029297, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6002330780029297, "grad_tau": 0.17525245249271393, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.17453235387802124, "S_field": 0.4321245551109314, "Gamma_field": 0.5783646702766418, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7471489310264587, "Da": 35.62564468383789, "E_coh": 0.9271311163902283, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -109.53, 34.84 ], [ -109.48, 34.84 ], [ -109.46, 34.81 ], [ -109.5, 34.75 ], [ -109.52, 34.75 ], [ -109.54, 34.78 ], [ -109.54, 34.83 ], [ -109.53, 34.84 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0469, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "e0bbfb32ef30524422e5be7bbe4ad8f9da1ef0da9fa21ac26491b4eadcb1c2b7", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0469, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "25ec6527f7e70704177735c8ec7e4284ae94501b153fa22f46c2c9d2452f4c2b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d3dfdc0fd6bf1e7b1d426dc70092aa55786cfe910fb54e83b5ac5d054df8d408695bd8d627a54c84d65f86829459056b7381362ae89f4dabbf568e6bdb3fd809" } }, "receipt_sha256": "25ec6527f7e70704177735c8ec7e4284ae94501b153fa22f46c2c9d2452f4c2b" }, { "storm_id": "321128", "lat": 39.6169, "lon": -91.5512, "motion_east": 6.4, "motion_south": 1.7, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1163.0, "ebshear": 45.0, "srh01": 8.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 8.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 33.2914 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.4835 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.3317 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0451 }, "coherence_score": 1.3317162990570068, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.3317162990570068, "grad_tau": 0.05284791812300682, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.4835221767425537, "S_field": 0.5839860439300537, "Gamma_field": 0.23586466908454895, "S_over_Gamma": 2.4759368896484375, "Da": 14.02708625793457, "E_coh": 0.8463812470436096, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -91.52, 39.66 ], [ -91.48, 39.66 ], [ -91.5, 39.64 ], [ -91.5, 39.61 ], [ -91.49, 39.6 ], [ -91.53, 39.58 ], [ -91.55, 39.56 ], [ -91.6, 39.56 ], [ -91.62, 39.58 ], [ -91.62, 39.59 ], [ -91.6, 39.61 ], [ -91.6, 39.63 ], [ -91.59, 39.63 ], [ -91.57, 39.65 ], [ -91.53, 39.65 ], [ -91.52, 39.66 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0451, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "f856fbeeca726b5d2057b5a9ccb1a789ded0403c4215833e01df893a3994feaa", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0451, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "928ba20b8e554c755051da425fa2101c00de63e7ae1f3a0013a317a7e40478b2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4fa35e86429b501e31f5d9664e9ae251fef059654fdfd720eb721ccf63cdec44b8c605eb3b94f9e3d1688ceeef77ff794a305619a3c2507c0ac2697b61019f0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "928ba20b8e554c755051da425fa2101c00de63e7ae1f3a0013a317a7e40478b2" }, { "storm_id": "321110", "lat": 48.7914, "lon": -121.8271, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260820_040041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 593.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 12.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 12.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 25.9164 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.3844 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0424 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.17758908867835999, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.3843708038330078, "S_field": 0.053742095828056335, "Gamma_field": 0.16169799864292145, "S_over_Gamma": 0.3323609232902527, "Da": 9.697314262390137, "E_coh": 0.24773694574832916, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -121.86, 48.83 ], [ -121.77, 48.83 ], [ -121.77, 48.75 ], [ -121.79, 48.74 ], [ -121.87, 48.74 ], [ -121.87, 48.82 ], [ -121.86, 48.83 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0424, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "dd8e19f2e91fe5ba934d8cc2d73b535767126d96805b175bbaf7d735894a493e", "input_sha256": "a223d13bb6a34ce163a70a9ec02aee07eda08701370ea2d4981be6179bec485f", "issued_at": "2026-08-20T04:33:07Z", "raw_probability": 0.0424, "probability": 0.00068, "confidence_lo": 0.000667, "confidence_hi": 0.00068, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d1e0676a218f7b27027e71389092fb3a8a8ca2f40d5d5fb60e07c4150bf84117", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "aa222ed0a7f7244b629ad5ff5bcf9d18517970145b828a9c7c9b213666cad7dc546fb88b9f085b6377892181de01e2826eaddef5062ece72a04100aa2b33970d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d1e0676a218f7b27027e71389092fb3a8a8ca2f40d5d5fb60e07c4150bf84117" } ] }