{ "forecast_id": "to_fcst_20260412_0552", "hazard": "tornado", "issued_at": "2026-04-12T05:52:05Z", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_hours": 24, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "scoring_tier_label": "Analytic coherence model (physics-only, no ML)", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "n_active_storms": 80, "top_probability": 0.4872, "source_artifacts": [ "/data/live-tornadoes.json", "/data/tornado-storms.geojson" ], "storms": [ { "storm_id": "250378", "lat": 44.0758, "lon": -90.7467, "motion_east": 7.9, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4872, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 558.0, "ebshear": 32.0, "srh01": 494.0, "maxllaz": 0.009, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.4872 }, "coherence_score": 0.4872, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6346038579940796, "grad_tau": 0.04926368594169617, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.12118867039680481, "S_field": 0.23140756785869598, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9256302714347839, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.75, 44.14 ], [ -90.71, 44.14 ], [ -90.69, 44.12 ], [ -90.68, 44.08 ], [ -90.72, 44.03 ], [ -90.76, 44.01 ], [ -90.78, 44.01 ], [ -90.79, 44.02 ], [ -90.79, 44.05 ], [ -90.77, 44.07 ], [ -90.77, 44.1 ], [ -90.75, 44.14 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250226", "lat": 45.096, "lon": -90.654, "motion_east": 6.4, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.436, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 525.0, "ebshear": 24.0, "srh01": 469.0, "maxllaz": 0.008, "mesh": 0.17, "flash_rate": 2.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.436 }, "coherence_score": 0.436, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6572891473770142, "grad_tau": 0.028964528813958168, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.0642288476228714, "S_field": 0.24190080165863037, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9676032066345215, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.69, 45.15 ], [ -90.65, 45.15 ], [ -90.61, 45.1 ], [ -90.6, 45.08 ], [ -90.6, 45.05 ], [ -90.62, 45.03 ], [ -90.66, 45.03 ], [ -90.71, 45.09 ], [ -90.71, 45.13 ], [ -90.69, 45.15 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250563", "lat": 32.2885, "lon": -99.2433, "motion_east": 6.4, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4104, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1227.0, "ebshear": 42.0, "srh01": 179.0, "maxllaz": 0.014, "mesh": 0.11, "flash_rate": 3.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.4104 }, "coherence_score": 0.4104, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6291821002960205, "grad_tau": 0.029995528981089592, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.026696020737290382, "S_field": 0.23229046165943146, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9291618466377258, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.13, 32.77 ], [ -99.12, 32.77 ], [ -99.11, 32.77 ], [ -99.1, 32.77 ], [ -99.09, 32.77 ], [ -99.08, 32.77 ], [ -99.07, 32.77 ], [ -99.06, 32.77 ], [ -99.05, 32.76 ], [ -99.04, 32.76 ], [ -99.03, 32.75 ], [ -99.03, 32.74 ], [ -99.02, 32.73 ], [ -99.01, 32.72 ], [ -99.0, 32.71 ], [ -98.99, 32.7 ], [ -98.99, 32.69 ], [ -98.98, 32.68 ], [ -98.98, 32.67 ], [ -98.97, 32.66 ], [ -98.97, 32.65 ], [ -98.97, 32.64 ], [ -98.97, 32.63 ], [ -98.97, 32.62 ], [ -98.97, 32.61 ], [ -98.97, 32.6 ], [ -98.97, 32.59 ], [ -98.98, 32.58 ], [ -98.98, 32.57 ], [ -98.99, 32.56 ], [ -99.0, 32.55 ], [ -99.01, 32.54 ], [ -99.01, 32.53 ], [ -99.02, 32.52 ], [ -99.03, 32.51 ], [ -99.03, 32.5 ], [ -99.03, 32.49 ], [ -99.03, 32.48 ], [ -99.03, 32.47 ], [ -99.04, 32.46 ], [ -99.05, 32.45 ], [ -99.06, 32.44 ], [ -99.06, 32.43 ], [ -99.06, 32.42 ], [ -99.07, 32.41 ], [ -99.07, 32.4 ], [ -99.07, 32.39 ], [ -99.07, 32.38 ], [ -99.07, 32.37 ], [ -99.07, 32.36 ], [ -99.07, 32.35 ], [ -99.08, 32.34 ], [ -99.08, 32.33 ], [ -99.08, 32.32 ], [ -99.08, 32.31 ], [ -99.09, 32.3 ], [ -99.09, 32.29 ], [ -99.09, 32.28 ], [ -99.1, 32.27 ], [ -99.1, 32.26 ], [ -99.11, 32.25 ], [ -99.12, 32.24 ], [ -99.12, 32.23 ], [ -99.13, 32.22 ], [ -99.13, 32.21 ], [ -99.14, 32.2 ], [ -99.14, 32.19 ], [ -99.14, 32.18 ], [ -99.15, 32.17 ], [ -99.16, 32.16 ], [ -99.17, 32.15 ], [ -99.18, 32.15 ], [ -99.19, 32.15 ], [ -99.2, 32.16 ], [ -99.21, 32.16 ], [ -99.22, 32.15 ], [ -99.23, 32.14 ], [ -99.24, 32.13 ], [ -99.25, 32.12 ], [ -99.26, 32.12 ], [ -99.27, 32.12 ], [ -99.28, 32.13 ], [ -99.29, 32.13 ], [ -99.3, 32.13 ], [ -99.31, 32.12 ], [ -99.32, 32.11 ], [ -99.33, 32.11 ], [ -99.34, 32.1 ], [ -99.35, 32.09 ], [ -99.36, 32.09 ], [ -99.37, 32.09 ], [ -99.38, 32.09 ], [ -99.39, 32.08 ], [ -99.4, 32.07 ], [ -99.4, 32.06 ], [ -99.4, 32.05 ], [ -99.4, 32.04 ], [ -99.39, 32.03 ], [ -99.38, 32.02 ], [ -99.37, 32.01 ], [ -99.37, 32.0 ], [ -99.36, 31.99 ], [ -99.36, 31.98 ], [ -99.35, 31.97 ], [ -99.34, 31.97 ], [ -99.33, 31.97 ], [ -99.32, 31.97 ], [ -99.31, 31.96 ], [ -99.31, 31.95 ], [ -99.3, 31.94 ], [ -99.29, 31.94 ], [ -99.28, 31.94 ], [ -99.28, 31.93 ], [ -99.29, 31.93 ], [ -99.3, 31.94 ], [ -99.31, 31.95 ], [ -99.32, 31.94 ], [ -99.33, 31.94 ], [ -99.34, 31.94 ], [ -99.35, 31.93 ], [ -99.36, 31.92 ], [ -99.36, 31.91 ], [ -99.36, 31.9 ], [ -99.36, 31.89 ], [ -99.36, 31.88 ], [ -99.37, 31.87 ], [ -99.38, 31.86 ], [ -99.39, 31.86 ], [ -99.4, 31.86 ], [ -99.41, 31.86 ], [ -99.42, 31.86 ], [ -99.43, 31.87 ], [ -99.44, 31.88 ], [ -99.45, 31.89 ], [ -99.46, 31.9 ], [ -99.46, 31.91 ], [ -99.47, 31.92 ], [ -99.47, 31.93 ], [ -99.47, 31.94 ], [ -99.47, 31.95 ], [ -99.48, 31.96 ], [ -99.48, 31.97 ], [ -99.48, 31.98 ], [ -99.48, 31.99 ], [ -99.48, 32.0 ], [ -99.48, 32.01 ], [ -99.49, 32.02 ], [ -99.49, 32.03 ], [ -99.49, 32.04 ], [ -99.48, 32.05 ], [ -99.48, 32.06 ], [ -99.47, 32.07 ], [ -99.46, 32.08 ], [ -99.47, 32.09 ], [ -99.47, 32.1 ], [ -99.47, 32.11 ], [ -99.47, 32.12 ], [ -99.47, 32.13 ], [ -99.48, 32.14 ], [ -99.49, 32.15 ], [ -99.49, 32.16 ], [ -99.49, 32.17 ], [ -99.48, 32.18 ], [ -99.48, 32.19 ], [ -99.48, 32.2 ], [ -99.48, 32.21 ], [ -99.48, 32.22 ], [ -99.48, 32.23 ], [ -99.47, 32.24 ], [ -99.46, 32.25 ], [ -99.45, 32.25 ], [ -99.44, 32.26 ], [ -99.43, 32.26 ], [ -99.42, 32.26 ], [ -99.41, 32.26 ], [ -99.4, 32.26 ], [ -99.39, 32.26 ], [ -99.38, 32.25 ], [ -99.37, 32.24 ], [ -99.36, 32.23 ], [ -99.35, 32.22 ], [ -99.34, 32.21 ], [ -99.34, 32.2 ], [ -99.33, 32.19 ], [ -99.32, 32.18 ], [ -99.31, 32.17 ], [ -99.3, 32.17 ], [ -99.29, 32.17 ], [ -99.28, 32.17 ], [ -99.27, 32.18 ], [ -99.27, 32.19 ], [ -99.26, 32.2 ], [ -99.25, 32.21 ], [ -99.25, 32.22 ], [ -99.25, 32.23 ], [ -99.25, 32.24 ], [ -99.24, 32.25 ], [ -99.23, 32.25 ], [ -99.22, 32.26 ], [ -99.21, 32.27 ], [ -99.2, 32.28 ], [ -99.2, 32.29 ], [ -99.2, 32.3 ], [ -99.2, 32.31 ], [ -99.2, 32.32 ], [ -99.2, 32.33 ], [ -99.21, 32.34 ], [ -99.22, 32.35 ], [ -99.22, 32.36 ], [ -99.23, 32.37 ], [ -99.23, 32.38 ], [ -99.23, 32.39 ], [ -99.23, 32.4 ], [ -99.23, 32.41 ], [ -99.23, 32.42 ], [ -99.22, 32.43 ], [ -99.22, 32.44 ], [ -99.22, 32.45 ], [ -99.21, 32.46 ], [ -99.21, 32.47 ], [ -99.21, 32.48 ], [ -99.21, 32.49 ], [ -99.21, 32.5 ], [ -99.21, 32.51 ], [ -99.2, 32.52 ], [ -99.2, 32.53 ], [ -99.2, 32.54 ], [ -99.19, 32.55 ], [ -99.18, 32.55 ], [ -99.17, 32.55 ], [ -99.16, 32.56 ], [ -99.15, 32.57 ], [ -99.15, 32.58 ], [ -99.16, 32.59 ], [ -99.16, 32.6 ], [ -99.16, 32.61 ], [ -99.16, 32.62 ], [ -99.17, 32.63 ], [ -99.17, 32.64 ], [ -99.17, 32.65 ], [ -99.17, 32.66 ], [ -99.17, 32.67 ], [ -99.17, 32.68 ], [ -99.17, 32.69 ], [ -99.17, 32.7 ], [ -99.17, 32.71 ], [ -99.17, 32.72 ], [ -99.17, 32.73 ], [ -99.17, 32.74 ], [ -99.16, 32.75 ], [ -99.15, 32.76 ], [ -99.14, 32.76 ], [ -99.13, 32.77 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250541", "lat": 45.0546, "lon": -91.2554, "motion_east": 5.9, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3904, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 590.0, "ebshear": 23.0, "srh01": 443.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 0.2, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.3904 }, "coherence_score": 0.3904, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6090817451477051, "grad_tau": 0.06278720498085022, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.13907365500926971, "S_field": 0.2174500972032547, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8698003888130188, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -91.23, 45.11 ], [ -91.22, 45.1 ], [ -91.17, 45.1 ], [ -91.23, 45.04 ], [ -91.23, 45.02 ], [ -91.27, 45.0 ], [ -91.28, 45.01 ], [ -91.3, 45.01 ], [ -91.31, 45.02 ], [ -91.3, 45.03 ], [ -91.3, 45.07 ], [ -91.25, 45.09 ], [ -91.23, 45.11 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250376", "lat": 44.7434, "lon": -89.502, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3876, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 126.0, "ebshear": 27.0, "srh01": 415.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 0.08, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.3876 }, "coherence_score": 0.3876, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6666256785392761, "grad_tau": 0.011517021805047989, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.021565623581409454, "S_field": 0.2463514357805252, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9854057431221008, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.78, 44.89 ], [ -89.74, 44.89 ], [ -89.72, 44.88 ], [ -89.64, 44.81 ], [ -89.59, 44.81 ], [ -89.57, 44.79 ], [ -89.53, 44.79 ], [ -89.51, 44.77 ], [ -89.49, 44.77 ], [ -89.46, 44.75 ], [ -89.42, 44.75 ], [ -89.41, 44.74 ], [ -89.39, 44.74 ], [ -89.35, 44.72 ], [ -89.33, 44.7 ], [ -89.27, 44.69 ], [ -89.26, 44.68 ], [ -89.23, 44.68 ], [ -89.21, 44.66 ], [ -89.21, 44.61 ], [ -89.22, 44.6 ], [ -89.3, 44.6 ], [ -89.31, 44.61 ], [ -89.39, 44.63 ], [ -89.44, 44.66 ], [ -89.46, 44.66 ], [ -89.53, 44.7 ], [ -89.59, 44.71 ], [ -89.66, 44.75 ], [ -89.69, 44.79 ], [ -89.73, 44.79 ], [ -89.76, 44.81 ], [ -89.8, 44.82 ], [ -89.8, 44.88 ], [ -89.78, 44.89 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250403", "lat": 44.2192, "lon": -90.4368, "motion_east": 8.5, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3428, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 405.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 490.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.06, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.3428 }, "coherence_score": 0.3428, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6346038579940796, "grad_tau": 0.04926368594169617, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.12118867039680481, "S_field": 0.23140756785869598, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9256302714347839, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.37, 44.33 ], [ -90.37, 44.31 ], [ -90.38, 44.3 ], [ -90.38, 44.26 ], [ -90.4, 44.24 ], [ -90.4, 44.22 ], [ -90.39, 44.21 ], [ -90.38, 44.17 ], [ -90.36, 44.15 ], [ -90.36, 44.1 ], [ -90.39, 44.05 ], [ -90.44, 44.05 ], [ -90.45, 44.06 ], [ -90.45, 44.1 ], [ -90.53, 44.17 ], [ -90.53, 44.19 ], [ -90.55, 44.22 ], [ -90.55, 44.25 ], [ -90.53, 44.27 ], [ -90.53, 44.28 ], [ -90.5, 44.3 ], [ -90.45, 44.3 ], [ -90.44, 44.31 ], [ -90.42, 44.31 ], [ -90.37, 44.33 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250542", "lat": 44.7138, "lon": -90.899, "motion_east": 8.5, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3413, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 458.0, "ebshear": 30.0, "srh01": 418.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.3413 }, "coherence_score": 0.3413, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6572891473770142, "grad_tau": 0.028964528813958168, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.0642288476228714, "S_field": 0.24190080165863037, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9676032066345215, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.82, 44.85 ], [ -90.81, 44.84 ], [ -90.79, 44.85 ], [ -90.76, 44.84 ], [ -90.75, 44.8 ], [ -90.77, 44.77 ], [ -90.77, 44.75 ], [ -90.79, 44.73 ], [ -90.83, 44.71 ], [ -90.85, 44.71 ], [ -90.89, 44.67 ], [ -90.93, 44.66 ], [ -90.94, 44.64 ], [ -90.96, 44.63 ], [ -90.96, 44.61 ], [ -90.98, 44.61 ], [ -91.01, 44.58 ], [ -91.01, 44.57 ], [ -91.04, 44.57 ], [ -91.04, 44.62 ], [ -91.02, 44.64 ], [ -91.0, 44.65 ], [ -90.97, 44.65 ], [ -90.96, 44.66 ], [ -90.95, 44.74 ], [ -90.91, 44.82 ], [ -90.91, 44.84 ], [ -90.83, 44.84 ], [ -90.82, 44.85 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250656", "lat": 31.622, "lon": -99.2717, "motion_east": 8.5, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3258, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1346.0, "ebshear": 44.0, "srh01": 166.0, "maxllaz": 0.009, "mesh": 0.06, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.3258 }, "coherence_score": 0.3258, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6393895149230957, "grad_tau": 0.020523881539702415, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.017804468050599098, "S_field": 0.23720616102218628, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9488246440887451, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.26, 31.87 ], [ -99.25, 31.86 ], [ -99.22, 31.86 ], [ -99.2, 31.84 ], [ -99.2, 31.82 ], [ -99.19, 31.81 ], [ -99.19, 31.77 ], [ -99.18, 31.76 ], [ -99.18, 31.69 ], [ -99.19, 31.68 ], [ -99.19, 31.64 ], [ -99.2, 31.63 ], [ -99.2, 31.6 ], [ -99.21, 31.59 ], [ -99.21, 31.57 ], [ -99.22, 31.56 ], [ -99.22, 31.54 ], [ -99.24, 31.5 ], [ -99.3, 31.44 ], [ -99.32, 31.44 ], [ -99.35, 31.41 ], [ -99.35, 31.39 ], [ -99.38, 31.36 ], [ -99.4, 31.37 ], [ -99.41, 31.39 ], [ -99.41, 31.43 ], [ -99.38, 31.46 ], [ -99.35, 31.53 ], [ -99.33, 31.55 ], [ -99.32, 31.65 ], [ -99.31, 31.66 ], [ -99.31, 31.68 ], [ -99.29, 31.72 ], [ -99.29, 31.83 ], [ -99.26, 31.87 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250524", "lat": 33.1343, "lon": -99.024, "motion_east": 4.7, "motion_south": -7.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3192, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1258.0, "ebshear": 40.0, "srh01": 160.0, "maxllaz": 0.009, "mesh": 0.11, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.3192 }, "coherence_score": 0.3192, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5881098508834839, "grad_tau": 0.054275769740343094, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.043420616537332535, "S_field": 0.21236607432365417, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8494642972946167, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.02, 33.39 ], [ -98.99, 33.39 ], [ -98.98, 33.38 ], [ -98.98, 33.33 ], [ -99.0, 33.31 ], [ -99.0, 33.28 ], [ -98.99, 33.27 ], [ -98.99, 33.16 ], [ -98.98, 33.15 ], [ -98.97, 33.1 ], [ -98.99, 33.07 ], [ -98.99, 33.05 ], [ -98.94, 33.01 ], [ -98.94, 32.99 ], [ -98.93, 32.98 ], [ -98.93, 32.86 ], [ -98.95, 32.82 ], [ -98.97, 32.8 ], [ -99.0, 32.8 ], [ -99.01, 32.81 ], [ -99.01, 32.83 ], [ -99.02, 32.84 ], [ -99.03, 32.88 ], [ -99.09, 32.96 ], [ -99.09, 33.01 ], [ -99.04, 33.05 ], [ -99.04, 33.08 ], [ -99.06, 33.1 ], [ -99.07, 33.14 ], [ -99.09, 33.16 ], [ -99.11, 33.2 ], [ -99.11, 33.23 ], [ -99.12, 33.24 ], [ -99.12, 33.28 ], [ -99.11, 33.3 ], [ -99.1, 33.31 ], [ -99.08, 33.31 ], [ -99.06, 33.33 ], [ -99.04, 33.33 ], [ -99.02, 33.35 ], [ -99.03, 33.37 ], [ -99.02, 33.39 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250069", "lat": 43.392, "lon": -90.77, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3042, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 502.0, "ebshear": 36.0, "srh01": 507.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.05, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.3042 }, "coherence_score": 0.3042, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.576785147190094, "grad_tau": 0.07544668018817902, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.19983939826488495, "S_field": 0.2039416879415512, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8157667517662048, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 4, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.81, 43.43 ], [ -90.74, 43.43 ], [ -90.72, 43.4 ], [ -90.72, 43.36 ], [ -90.73, 43.35 ], [ -90.78, 43.35 ], [ -90.79, 43.36 ], [ -90.79, 43.4 ], [ -90.81, 43.41 ], [ -90.81, 43.43 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250629", "lat": 43.3856, "lon": -90.6088, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3042, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 450.0, "ebshear": 34.0, "srh01": 524.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.3042 }, "coherence_score": 0.3042, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.576785147190094, "grad_tau": 0.07544668018817902, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.19983939826488495, "S_field": 0.2039416879415512, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8157667517662048, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.6, 43.46 ], [ -90.57, 43.46 ], [ -90.55, 43.44 ], [ -90.54, 43.44 ], [ -90.53, 43.42 ], [ -90.53, 43.39 ], [ -90.63, 43.3 ], [ -90.65, 43.3 ], [ -90.66, 43.31 ], [ -90.67, 43.3 ], [ -90.67, 43.31 ], [ -90.65, 43.32 ], [ -90.65, 43.38 ], [ -90.62, 43.43 ], [ -90.62, 43.45 ], [ -90.6, 43.46 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250640", "lat": 43.582, "lon": -90.958, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3042, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 564.0, "ebshear": 31.0, "srh01": 557.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.3042 }, "coherence_score": 0.3042, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.576785147190094, "grad_tau": 0.07544668018817902, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.19983939826488495, "S_field": 0.2039416879415512, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8157667517662048, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.98, 43.62 ], [ -90.95, 43.62 ], [ -90.93, 43.6 ], [ -90.93, 43.57 ], [ -90.92, 43.56 ], [ -90.93, 43.53 ], [ -90.96, 43.53 ], [ -91.0, 43.56 ], [ -91.0, 43.61 ], [ -90.98, 43.62 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250599", "lat": 31.1547, "lon": -99.2384, "motion_east": 11.0, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 814.0, "ebshear": 50.0, "srh01": 142.0, "maxllaz": 0.009, "mesh": 0.22, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.3 }, "coherence_score": 0.3, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6168047189712524, "grad_tau": 0.04363631457090378, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.03098178468644619, "S_field": 0.22617092728614807, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9046837091445923, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.26, 31.29 ], [ -99.22, 31.28 ], [ -99.19, 31.25 ], [ -99.19, 31.22 ], [ -99.18, 31.21 ], [ -99.18, 31.11 ], [ -99.19, 31.1 ], [ -99.19, 31.08 ], [ -99.22, 31.05 ], [ -99.23, 31.05 ], [ -99.26, 31.02 ], [ -99.28, 31.02 ], [ -99.29, 31.03 ], [ -99.29, 31.09 ], [ -99.27, 31.13 ], [ -99.27, 31.22 ], [ -99.28, 31.23 ], [ -99.28, 31.27 ], [ -99.26, 31.29 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "249901", "lat": 43.8211, "lon": -90.0611, "motion_east": 8.0, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2979, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 410.0, "ebshear": 29.0, "srh01": 437.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2979 }, "coherence_score": 0.2979, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6441975831985474, "grad_tau": 0.04147455096244812, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.09062188863754272, "S_field": 0.23626886308193207, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9450754523277283, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 5, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.07, 43.87 ], [ -90.04, 43.87 ], [ -90.01, 43.84 ], [ -90.01, 43.8 ], [ -90.04, 43.76 ], [ -90.09, 43.76 ], [ -90.11, 43.8 ], [ -90.11, 43.82 ], [ -90.07, 43.87 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250652", "lat": 43.4133, "lon": -90.4644, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2636, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 403.0, "ebshear": 30.0, "srh01": 531.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2636 }, "coherence_score": 0.2636, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.576785147190094, "grad_tau": 0.07544668018817902, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.19983939826488495, "S_field": 0.2039416879415512, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8157667517662048, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.49, 43.45 ], [ -90.45, 43.45 ], [ -90.42, 43.42 ], [ -90.42, 43.4 ], [ -90.44, 43.36 ], [ -90.47, 43.36 ], [ -90.5, 43.39 ], [ -90.5, 43.44 ], [ -90.49, 43.45 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250600", "lat": 30.8258, "lon": -99.5537, "motion_east": 7.9, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2569, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 827.0, "ebshear": 50.0, "srh01": 139.0, "maxllaz": 0.008, "mesh": 0.09, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2569 }, "coherence_score": 0.2569, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6168047189712524, "grad_tau": 0.04363631457090378, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.03098178468644619, "S_field": 0.22617092728614807, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9046837091445923, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.53, 30.95 ], [ -99.49, 30.95 ], [ -99.49, 30.94 ], [ -99.47, 30.93 ], [ -99.47, 30.87 ], [ -99.48, 30.87 ], [ -99.49, 30.85 ], [ -99.54, 30.81 ], [ -99.54, 30.7 ], [ -99.58, 30.66 ], [ -99.6, 30.65 ], [ -99.65, 30.69 ], [ -99.65, 30.73 ], [ -99.62, 30.77 ], [ -99.62, 30.79 ], [ -99.6, 30.82 ], [ -99.6, 30.85 ], [ -99.57, 30.91 ], [ -99.53, 30.95 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250183", "lat": 29.634, "lon": -100.4936, "motion_east": 8.5, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2401, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1450.0, "ebshear": 59.0, "srh01": 161.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 0.18, "flash_rate": 7.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2401 }, "coherence_score": 0.2401, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4986807703971863, "grad_tau": 0.07842878997325897, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.06313517689704895, "S_field": 0.172700896859169, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.690803587436676, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.41, 29.75 ], [ -100.37, 29.75 ], [ -100.34, 29.73 ], [ -100.33, 29.71 ], [ -100.34, 29.7 ], [ -100.34, 29.67 ], [ -100.4, 29.61 ], [ -100.4, 29.6 ], [ -100.43, 29.59 ], [ -100.48, 29.54 ], [ -100.51, 29.53 ], [ -100.54, 29.5 ], [ -100.56, 29.49 ], [ -100.59, 29.49 ], [ -100.61, 29.5 ], [ -100.63, 29.52 ], [ -100.64, 29.59 ], [ -100.63, 29.6 ], [ -100.63, 29.64 ], [ -100.59, 29.69 ], [ -100.59, 29.72 ], [ -100.57, 29.74 ], [ -100.52, 29.74 ], [ -100.48, 29.7 ], [ -100.41, 29.75 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250536", "lat": 46.808, "lon": -87.6453, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2297, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 16.0, "ebshear": 8.0, "srh01": 229.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2297 }, "coherence_score": 0.2297, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4382375478744507, "grad_tau": 0.10476268827915192, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.10764366388320923, "S_field": 0.15611575543880463, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6244630217552185, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.67, 46.89 ], [ -87.63, 46.88 ], [ -87.61, 46.83 ], [ -87.59, 46.81 ], [ -87.6, 46.8 ], [ -87.6, 46.77 ], [ -87.61, 46.75 ], [ -87.63, 46.74 ], [ -87.64, 46.74 ], [ -87.66, 46.76 ], [ -87.66, 46.77 ], [ -87.7, 46.8 ], [ -87.71, 46.82 ], [ -87.7, 46.87 ], [ -87.67, 46.89 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250650", "lat": 45.2067, "lon": -92.2892, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2277, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 807.0, "ebshear": 18.0, "srh01": 511.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.13, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2277 }, "coherence_score": 0.2277, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5197161436080933, "grad_tau": 0.08640625327825546, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.22076797485351562, "S_field": 0.1749853491783142, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6999413967132568, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -92.31, 45.26 ], [ -92.3, 45.24 ], [ -92.26, 45.23 ], [ -92.24, 45.21 ], [ -92.24, 45.17 ], [ -92.25, 45.15 ], [ -92.3, 45.15 ], [ -92.31, 45.16 ], [ -92.31, 45.19 ], [ -92.33, 45.22 ], [ -92.31, 45.24 ], [ -92.31, 45.26 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250628", "lat": 43.4454, "lon": -89.1631, "motion_east": 7.8, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2259, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 51.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 468.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2259 }, "coherence_score": 0.2259, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5595383048057556, "grad_tau": 0.0792321264743805, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.18540316820144653, "S_field": 0.19585250318050385, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7834100127220154, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.21, 43.49 ], [ -89.16, 43.49 ], [ -89.12, 43.46 ], [ -89.11, 43.46 ], [ -89.1, 43.44 ], [ -89.1, 43.41 ], [ -89.13, 43.4 ], [ -89.14, 43.41 ], [ -89.19, 43.41 ], [ -89.21, 43.42 ], [ -89.22, 43.43 ], [ -89.22, 43.48 ], [ -89.21, 43.49 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250649", "lat": 46.385, "lon": -90.475, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2249, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 139.0, "ebshear": 15.0, "srh01": 448.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2249 }, "coherence_score": 0.2249, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5883394479751587, "grad_tau": 0.07419710606336594, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.16620151698589325, "S_field": 0.21468040347099304, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8587216138839722, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.51, 46.43 ], [ -90.49, 46.43 ], [ -90.46, 46.41 ], [ -90.44, 46.41 ], [ -90.42, 46.37 ], [ -90.42, 46.34 ], [ -90.43, 46.32 ], [ -90.47, 46.33 ], [ -90.51, 46.36 ], [ -90.52, 46.38 ], [ -90.52, 46.41 ], [ -90.51, 46.43 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "249902", "lat": 43.6877, "lon": -89.6158, "motion_east": 8.5, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2244, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 59.0, "ebshear": 23.0, "srh01": 439.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2244 }, "coherence_score": 0.2244, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5862516164779663, "grad_tau": 0.07157819718122482, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.1571141481399536, "S_field": 0.2089710682630539, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8358842730522156, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 5, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.58, 43.84 ], [ -89.45, 43.84 ], [ -89.43, 43.8 ], [ -89.45, 43.75 ], [ -89.49, 43.71 ], [ -89.49, 43.7 ], [ -89.55, 43.7 ], [ -89.56, 43.71 ], [ -89.58, 43.71 ], [ -89.59, 43.7 ], [ -89.59, 43.68 ], [ -89.57, 43.66 ], [ -89.53, 43.66 ], [ -89.51, 43.68 ], [ -89.5, 43.68 ], [ -89.49, 43.67 ], [ -89.46, 43.67 ], [ -89.44, 43.65 ], [ -89.43, 43.65 ], [ -89.43, 43.58 ], [ -89.53, 43.51 ], [ -89.58, 43.51 ], [ -89.6, 43.53 ], [ -89.61, 43.55 ], [ -89.6, 43.56 ], [ -89.61, 43.57 ], [ -89.61, 43.6 ], [ -89.62, 43.61 ], [ -89.7, 43.61 ], [ -89.71, 43.62 ], [ -89.74, 43.62 ], [ -89.77, 43.64 ], [ -89.79, 43.64 ], [ -89.83, 43.66 ], [ -89.85, 43.68 ], [ -89.85, 43.72 ], [ -89.83, 43.74 ], [ -89.81, 43.74 ], [ -89.8, 43.75 ], [ -89.78, 43.75 ], [ -89.77, 43.74 ], [ -89.7, 43.74 ], [ -89.66, 43.77 ], [ -89.66, 43.8 ], [ -89.65, 43.81 ], [ -89.61, 43.83 ], [ -89.59, 43.83 ], [ -89.58, 43.84 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250472", "lat": 43.2389, "lon": -88.0683, "motion_east": 3.9, "motion_south": 0.3, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2243, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 26.0, "ebshear": 11.0, "srh01": 345.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2243 }, "coherence_score": 0.2243, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5018888711929321, "grad_tau": 0.09016060084104538, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.1555270403623581, "S_field": 0.168007031083107, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.672028124332428, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.09, 43.32 ], [ -88.0, 43.32 ], [ -87.98, 43.29 ], [ -87.98, 43.23 ], [ -87.99, 43.22 ], [ -87.99, 43.2 ], [ -88.0, 43.18 ], [ -88.01, 43.18 ], [ -88.05, 43.15 ], [ -88.09, 43.15 ], [ -88.11, 43.16 ], [ -88.15, 43.21 ], [ -88.15, 43.23 ], [ -88.16, 43.24 ], [ -88.16, 43.28 ], [ -88.13, 43.31 ], [ -88.1, 43.31 ], [ -88.09, 43.32 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250557", "lat": 43.7287, "lon": -89.1006, "motion_east": 7.8, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2237, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 34.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 479.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2237 }, "coherence_score": 0.2237, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6140962243080139, "grad_tau": 0.06028655916452408, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.14438630640506744, "S_field": 0.22089983522891998, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8835993409156799, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.08, 43.8 ], [ -89.05, 43.8 ], [ -89.03, 43.77 ], [ -89.03, 43.75 ], [ -89.08, 43.68 ], [ -89.08, 43.64 ], [ -89.12, 43.64 ], [ -89.12, 43.66 ], [ -89.13, 43.67 ], [ -89.15, 43.67 ], [ -89.17, 43.71 ], [ -89.15, 43.73 ], [ -89.14, 43.76 ], [ -89.11, 43.79 ], [ -89.09, 43.79 ], [ -89.08, 43.8 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "249677", "lat": 45.2314, "lon": -90.115, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2214, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 260.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 394.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.23, "flash_rate": 2.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2214 }, "coherence_score": 0.2214, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6502593755722046, "grad_tau": 0.036433495581150055, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.07177398353815079, "S_field": 0.23909024894237518, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9563609957695007, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 6, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.18, 45.32 ], [ -90.12, 45.31 ], [ -90.08, 45.29 ], [ -90.05, 45.26 ], [ -90.04, 45.21 ], [ -90.02, 45.18 ], [ -90.02, 45.15 ], [ -90.09, 45.15 ], [ -90.1, 45.16 ], [ -90.14, 45.16 ], [ -90.17, 45.18 ], [ -90.21, 45.26 ], [ -90.21, 45.29 ], [ -90.18, 45.32 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250401", "lat": 45.645, "lon": -99.2092, "motion_east": 8.6, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2214, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1187.0, "ebshear": 35.0, "srh01": 370.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.86, "flash_rate": 18.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2214 }, "coherence_score": 0.2214, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.10513275861740112, "grad_tau": 0.02094537392258644, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.03874894231557846, "S_field": 0.02926565334200859, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.11706261336803436, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.2, 45.7 ], [ -99.16, 45.7 ], [ -99.13, 45.67 ], [ -99.13, 45.65 ], [ -99.15, 45.61 ], [ -99.2, 45.56 ], [ -99.28, 45.56 ], [ -99.31, 45.59 ], [ -99.31, 45.62 ], [ -99.23, 45.69 ], [ -99.21, 45.69 ], [ -99.2, 45.7 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250414", "lat": 44.5471, "lon": -88.8564, "motion_east": 5.6, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2214, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 31.0, "ebshear": 17.0, "srh01": 309.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2214 }, "coherence_score": 0.2214, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6350670456886292, "grad_tau": 0.04899875074625015, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.06467834860086441, "S_field": 0.2299930453300476, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9199721813201904, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.87, 44.6 ], [ -88.83, 44.6 ], [ -88.81, 44.59 ], [ -88.78, 44.56 ], [ -88.77, 44.53 ], [ -88.79, 44.51 ], [ -88.81, 44.52 ], [ -88.84, 44.52 ], [ -88.9, 44.49 ], [ -88.93, 44.5 ], [ -88.94, 44.51 ], [ -88.94, 44.55 ], [ -88.91, 44.58 ], [ -88.87, 44.6 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250581", "lat": 45.6569, "lon": -90.4223, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2214, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 328.0, "ebshear": 15.0, "srh01": 410.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2214 }, "coherence_score": 0.2214, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6412725448608398, "grad_tau": 0.044321030378341675, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.09628744423389435, "S_field": 0.23497335612773895, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9398934245109558, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.41, 45.69 ], [ -90.38, 45.69 ], [ -90.37, 45.68 ], [ -90.37, 45.65 ], [ -90.38, 45.63 ], [ -90.41, 45.63 ], [ -90.45, 45.61 ], [ -90.46, 45.62 ], [ -90.48, 45.62 ], [ -90.48, 45.67 ], [ -90.47, 45.68 ], [ -90.42, 45.68 ], [ -90.41, 45.69 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250604", "lat": 44.9857, "lon": -89.33, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2214, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 64.0, "ebshear": 27.0, "srh01": 334.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2214 }, "coherence_score": 0.2214, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6666256785392761, "grad_tau": 0.011517021805047989, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.021565623581409454, "S_field": 0.2463514357805252, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9854057431221008, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.3, 45.02 ], [ -89.29, 45.01 ], [ -89.26, 45.01 ], [ -89.26, 44.97 ], [ -89.28, 44.95 ], [ -89.32, 44.93 ], [ -89.38, 44.93 ], [ -89.4, 44.95 ], [ -89.4, 44.99 ], [ -89.39, 45.0 ], [ -89.37, 45.0 ], [ -89.36, 45.01 ], [ -89.31, 45.01 ], [ -89.3, 45.02 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250637", "lat": 45.5682, "lon": -90.8573, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2214, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 445.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 459.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.27, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.2214 }, "coherence_score": 0.2214, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6412725448608398, "grad_tau": 0.044321030378341675, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.09628744423389435, "S_field": 0.23497335612773895, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9398934245109558, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.84, 45.6 ], [ -90.83, 45.59 ], [ -90.81, 45.59 ], [ -90.82, 45.55 ], [ -90.86, 45.52 ], [ -90.89, 45.51 ], [ -90.91, 45.54 ], [ -90.91, 45.57 ], [ -90.87, 45.59 ], [ -90.85, 45.59 ], [ -90.84, 45.6 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250384", "lat": 46.7855, "lon": -88.4691, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.206, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 11.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 279.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.206 }, "coherence_score": 0.206, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.48796942830085754, "grad_tau": 0.103814996778965, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.1448219269514084, "S_field": 0.18059976398944855, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7223990559577942, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.46, 46.83 ], [ -88.41, 46.83 ], [ -88.39, 46.81 ], [ -88.39, 46.78 ], [ -88.43, 46.74 ], [ -88.47, 46.72 ], [ -88.51, 46.72 ], [ -88.56, 46.78 ], [ -88.56, 46.8 ], [ -88.52, 46.8 ], [ -88.46, 46.83 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250503", "lat": 35.6395, "lon": -120.9305, "motion_east": 7.5, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1733, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 287.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 159.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1733 }, "coherence_score": 0.1733, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.10174807906150818, "grad_tau": 0.012032657861709595, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.00956596340984106, "S_field": 0.039996806532144547, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.15998722612857819, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -120.9, 35.73 ], [ -120.86, 35.73 ], [ -120.85, 35.71 ], [ -120.86, 35.7 ], [ -120.86, 35.66 ], [ -120.85, 35.65 ], [ -120.85, 35.58 ], [ -120.88, 35.55 ], [ -120.93, 35.55 ], [ -120.95, 35.57 ], [ -120.97, 35.57 ], [ -120.99, 35.55 ], [ -121.04, 35.55 ], [ -121.06, 35.56 ], [ -121.06, 35.61 ], [ -121.0, 35.66 ], [ -120.96, 35.67 ], [ -120.94, 35.69 ], [ -120.93, 35.69 ], [ -120.9, 35.72 ], [ -120.9, 35.73 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250182", "lat": 30.2163, "lon": -99.8256, "motion_east": 6.0, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1726, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 966.0, "ebshear": 51.0, "srh01": 118.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.21, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1726 }, "coherence_score": 0.1726, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5698295831680298, "grad_tau": 0.06156238913536072, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.03632180765271187, "S_field": 0.2049221694469452, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8196886777877808, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.71, 30.43 ], [ -99.66, 30.43 ], [ -99.66, 30.42 ], [ -99.64, 30.41 ], [ -99.64, 30.36 ], [ -99.67, 30.33 ], [ -99.69, 30.29 ], [ -99.77, 30.21 ], [ -99.78, 30.21 ], [ -99.8, 30.19 ], [ -99.82, 30.15 ], [ -99.85, 30.12 ], [ -99.86, 30.12 ], [ -99.88, 30.1 ], [ -99.88, 30.09 ], [ -99.96, 30.01 ], [ -100.0, 30.0 ], [ -100.01, 30.01 ], [ -100.01, 30.06 ], [ -99.99, 30.08 ], [ -99.98, 30.11 ], [ -99.94, 30.15 ], [ -99.92, 30.16 ], [ -99.85, 30.3 ], [ -99.82, 30.33 ], [ -99.79, 30.34 ], [ -99.71, 30.43 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250490", "lat": 48.9669, "lon": -89.7562, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1694, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 7.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 224.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1694 }, "coherence_score": 0.1694, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.22980019450187683, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.25737622380256653, "S_field": 0.12112648040056229, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.48450592160224915, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.84, 49.01 ], [ -89.73, 49.01 ], [ -89.72, 49.0 ], [ -89.7, 49.0 ], [ -89.66, 48.97 ], [ -89.66, 48.93 ], [ -89.69, 48.91 ], [ -89.74, 48.91 ], [ -89.75, 48.92 ], [ -89.8, 48.93 ], [ -89.85, 48.97 ], [ -89.85, 49.0 ], [ -89.84, 49.01 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250636", "lat": 48.5633, "lon": -89.6333, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1653, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 10.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 221.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1653 }, "coherence_score": 0.1653, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.22980019450187683, "grad_tau": 0.19571974873542786, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.2094201296567917, "S_field": 0.14034463465213776, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.561378538608551, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.65, 48.6 ], [ -89.61, 48.6 ], [ -89.6, 48.59 ], [ -89.59, 48.53 ], [ -89.62, 48.51 ], [ -89.64, 48.51 ], [ -89.67, 48.55 ], [ -89.67, 48.58 ], [ -89.65, 48.6 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250596", "lat": 44.5689, "lon": -88.2117, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1649, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 37.0, "ebshear": 17.0, "srh01": 227.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1649 }, "coherence_score": 0.1649, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5687798261642456, "grad_tau": 0.07757455855607986, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.08765925467014313, "S_field": 0.19696834683418274, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.787873387336731, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.24, 44.62 ], [ -88.19, 44.62 ], [ -88.18, 44.61 ], [ -88.16, 44.61 ], [ -88.15, 44.59 ], [ -88.12, 44.58 ], [ -88.12, 44.55 ], [ -88.14, 44.53 ], [ -88.16, 44.53 ], [ -88.19, 44.51 ], [ -88.21, 44.52 ], [ -88.26, 44.52 ], [ -88.28, 44.53 ], [ -88.3, 44.55 ], [ -88.3, 44.57 ], [ -88.29, 44.59 ], [ -88.28, 44.59 ], [ -88.24, 44.62 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250616", "lat": 44.6876, "lon": -87.7997, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1635, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 36.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 225.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1635 }, "coherence_score": 0.1635, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5687798261642456, "grad_tau": 0.07757455855607986, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.08765925467014313, "S_field": 0.19696834683418274, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.787873387336731, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.68, 44.91 ], [ -87.66, 44.9 ], [ -87.56, 44.89 ], [ -87.55, 44.88 ], [ -87.51, 44.87 ], [ -87.49, 44.85 ], [ -87.49, 44.78 ], [ -87.54, 44.71 ], [ -87.54, 44.7 ], [ -87.51, 44.64 ], [ -87.49, 44.62 ], [ -87.49, 44.6 ], [ -87.46, 44.57 ], [ -87.46, 44.55 ], [ -87.48, 44.53 ], [ -87.51, 44.54 ], [ -87.53, 44.52 ], [ -87.55, 44.52 ], [ -87.56, 44.51 ], [ -87.6, 44.51 ], [ -87.62, 44.53 ], [ -87.65, 44.53 ], [ -87.67, 44.55 ], [ -87.75, 44.55 ], [ -87.78, 44.53 ], [ -87.8, 44.49 ], [ -87.8, 44.44 ], [ -87.81, 44.45 ], [ -87.9, 44.45 ], [ -87.92, 44.46 ], [ -87.99, 44.53 ], [ -88.03, 44.55 ], [ -88.09, 44.56 ], [ -88.09, 44.59 ], [ -88.04, 44.65 ], [ -88.05, 44.66 ], [ -88.09, 44.66 ], [ -88.1, 44.67 ], [ -88.12, 44.66 ], [ -88.13, 44.67 ], [ -88.17, 44.67 ], [ -88.2, 44.7 ], [ -88.2, 44.76 ], [ -88.19, 44.78 ], [ -88.15, 44.82 ], [ -88.14, 44.82 ], [ -88.1, 44.87 ], [ -88.08, 44.88 ], [ -87.94, 44.88 ], [ -87.93, 44.87 ], [ -87.86, 44.87 ], [ -87.85, 44.86 ], [ -87.81, 44.86 ], [ -87.8, 44.87 ], [ -87.76, 44.88 ], [ -87.74, 44.9 ], [ -87.69, 44.9 ], [ -87.68, 44.91 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250639", "lat": 44.9278, "lon": -87.03, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1628, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 34.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 224.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1628 }, "coherence_score": 0.1628, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4799942374229431, "grad_tau": 0.0929182842373848, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.09663501381874084, "S_field": 0.15513363480567932, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6205345392227173, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.06, 44.96 ], [ -87.0, 44.96 ], [ -86.98, 44.94 ], [ -86.98, 44.92 ], [ -87.0, 44.88 ], [ -87.04, 44.88 ], [ -87.07, 44.91 ], [ -87.08, 44.94 ], [ -87.06, 44.96 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250550", "lat": 44.6853, "lon": -88.5837, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1594, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 51.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 219.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1594 }, "coherence_score": 0.1594, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6350670456886292, "grad_tau": 0.04899875074625015, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.06467834860086441, "S_field": 0.2299930453300476, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9199721813201904, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.75, 44.83 ], [ -88.69, 44.83 ], [ -88.66, 44.81 ], [ -88.62, 44.8 ], [ -88.6, 44.78 ], [ -88.6, 44.75 ], [ -88.55, 44.71 ], [ -88.47, 44.71 ], [ -88.45, 44.7 ], [ -88.45, 44.69 ], [ -88.43, 44.67 ], [ -88.42, 44.67 ], [ -88.38, 44.64 ], [ -88.37, 44.62 ], [ -88.37, 44.59 ], [ -88.36, 44.58 ], [ -88.4, 44.56 ], [ -88.44, 44.51 ], [ -88.49, 44.51 ], [ -88.54, 44.56 ], [ -88.55, 44.56 ], [ -88.6, 44.62 ], [ -88.64, 44.64 ], [ -88.7, 44.64 ], [ -88.71, 44.65 ], [ -88.74, 44.65 ], [ -88.78, 44.72 ], [ -88.78, 44.74 ], [ -88.8, 44.76 ], [ -88.8, 44.8 ], [ -88.79, 44.8 ], [ -88.75, 44.83 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250297", "lat": 48.6683, "lon": -89.3667, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1558, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3.0, "ebshear": 5.0, "srh01": 207.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.05, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1558 }, "coherence_score": 0.1558, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.22980019450187683, "grad_tau": 0.19571974873542786, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.2094201296567917, "S_field": 0.14034463465213776, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.561378538608551, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.41, 48.73 ], [ -89.32, 48.73 ], [ -89.28, 48.69 ], [ -89.27, 48.67 ], [ -89.27, 48.64 ], [ -89.32, 48.6 ], [ -89.35, 48.6 ], [ -89.4, 48.63 ], [ -89.43, 48.63 ], [ -89.47, 48.67 ], [ -89.47, 48.7 ], [ -89.41, 48.73 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250638", "lat": 45.005, "lon": -87.1625, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1522, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 32.0, "ebshear": 11.0, "srh01": 208.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1522 }, "coherence_score": 0.1522, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4799942374229431, "grad_tau": 0.0929182842373848, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.09663501381874084, "S_field": 0.15513363480567932, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6205345392227173, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.2, 45.06 ], [ -87.17, 45.05 ], [ -87.14, 45.02 ], [ -87.13, 45.02 ], [ -87.11, 44.98 ], [ -87.11, 44.94 ], [ -87.12, 44.93 ], [ -87.16, 44.95 ], [ -87.19, 44.98 ], [ -87.21, 45.02 ], [ -87.21, 45.05 ], [ -87.2, 45.06 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250561", "lat": 33.576, "lon": -98.822, "motion_east": 3.4, "motion_south": -9.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1471, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 883.0, "ebshear": 41.0, "srh01": 160.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.05, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1471 }, "coherence_score": 0.1471, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5881098508834839, "grad_tau": 0.054275769740343094, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.043420616537332535, "S_field": 0.21236607432365417, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8494642972946167, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.88, 33.65 ], [ -98.82, 33.65 ], [ -98.76, 33.62 ], [ -98.72, 33.58 ], [ -98.72, 33.54 ], [ -98.75, 33.52 ], [ -98.79, 33.52 ], [ -98.8, 33.53 ], [ -98.82, 33.53 ], [ -98.83, 33.54 ], [ -98.85, 33.54 ], [ -98.89, 33.56 ], [ -98.91, 33.58 ], [ -98.91, 33.63 ], [ -98.88, 33.65 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250644", "lat": 33.3844, "lon": -98.5589, "motion_east": 4.2, "motion_south": -7.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1465, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 967.0, "ebshear": 41.0, "srh01": 199.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1465 }, "coherence_score": 0.1465, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5560842752456665, "grad_tau": 0.06815913319587708, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.06781833618879318, "S_field": 0.1967819184064865, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.787127673625946, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.58, 33.42 ], [ -98.55, 33.42 ], [ -98.52, 33.39 ], [ -98.52, 33.36 ], [ -98.53, 33.35 ], [ -98.56, 33.34 ], [ -98.59, 33.36 ], [ -98.6, 33.4 ], [ -98.58, 33.42 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250651", "lat": 44.916, "lon": -87.337, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1422, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 25.0, "ebshear": 9.0, "srh01": 192.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1422 }, "coherence_score": 0.1422, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4799942374229431, "grad_tau": 0.0929182842373848, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.09663501381874084, "S_field": 0.15513363480567932, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6205345392227173, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.41, 45.02 ], [ -87.36, 45.02 ], [ -87.34, 45.0 ], [ -87.34, 44.95 ], [ -87.33, 44.93 ], [ -87.29, 44.91 ], [ -87.26, 44.88 ], [ -87.25, 44.88 ], [ -87.24, 44.86 ], [ -87.25, 44.84 ], [ -87.3, 44.84 ], [ -87.33, 44.86 ], [ -87.35, 44.86 ], [ -87.36, 44.87 ], [ -87.36, 44.89 ], [ -87.37, 44.9 ], [ -87.39, 44.9 ], [ -87.39, 44.93 ], [ -87.41, 44.96 ], [ -87.41, 45.02 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250569", "lat": 47.1496, "lon": -87.6146, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1365, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 20.0, "ebshear": 9.0, "srh01": 182.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1365 }, "coherence_score": 0.1365, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4382375478744507, "grad_tau": 0.10476268827915192, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.10764366388320923, "S_field": 0.15611575543880463, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6244630217552185, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.64, 47.3 ], [ -87.58, 47.3 ], [ -87.57, 47.29 ], [ -87.57, 47.27 ], [ -87.59, 47.24 ], [ -87.59, 47.18 ], [ -87.57, 47.15 ], [ -87.57, 47.08 ], [ -87.56, 47.07 ], [ -87.56, 47.04 ], [ -87.55, 47.03 ], [ -87.55, 47.0 ], [ -87.56, 46.98 ], [ -87.61, 46.98 ], [ -87.66, 47.04 ], [ -87.67, 47.08 ], [ -87.68, 47.09 ], [ -87.68, 47.13 ], [ -87.67, 47.14 ], [ -87.69, 47.17 ], [ -87.69, 47.23 ], [ -87.66, 47.24 ], [ -87.64, 47.26 ], [ -87.64, 47.3 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250609", "lat": 35.2831, "lon": -99.4262, "motion_east": 2.4, "motion_south": -7.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1362, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 915.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 102.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1362 }, "coherence_score": 0.1362, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.36031851172447205, "grad_tau": 0.08130495995283127, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.04898624122142792, "S_field": 0.11059918254613876, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.44239673018455505, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.41, 35.42 ], [ -99.36, 35.42 ], [ -99.35, 35.38 ], [ -99.32, 35.36 ], [ -99.31, 35.37 ], [ -99.29, 35.37 ], [ -99.28, 35.36 ], [ -99.24, 35.36 ], [ -99.23, 35.34 ], [ -99.21, 35.37 ], [ -99.19, 35.37 ], [ -99.18, 35.36 ], [ -99.18, 35.32 ], [ -99.19, 35.31 ], [ -99.28, 35.3 ], [ -99.3, 35.28 ], [ -99.32, 35.27 ], [ -99.33, 35.28 ], [ -99.36, 35.25 ], [ -99.4, 35.24 ], [ -99.41, 35.23 ], [ -99.47, 35.23 ], [ -99.52, 35.19 ], [ -99.52, 35.18 ], [ -99.55, 35.14 ], [ -99.58, 35.14 ], [ -99.59, 35.13 ], [ -99.61, 35.14 ], [ -99.72, 35.13 ], [ -99.72, 35.18 ], [ -99.71, 35.19 ], [ -99.67, 35.19 ], [ -99.66, 35.18 ], [ -99.62, 35.2 ], [ -99.54, 35.29 ], [ -99.53, 35.29 ], [ -99.5, 35.32 ], [ -99.48, 35.32 ], [ -99.47, 35.33 ], [ -99.46, 35.36 ], [ -99.43, 35.38 ], [ -99.41, 35.42 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250646", "lat": 32.357, "lon": -98.555, "motion_east": 5.5, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1362, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1191.0, "ebshear": 41.0, "srh01": 182.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1362 }, "coherence_score": 0.1362, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5915539860725403, "grad_tau": 0.05929114669561386, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.053954944014549255, "S_field": 0.21322178840637207, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8528871536254883, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.57, 32.4 ], [ -98.52, 32.39 ], [ -98.52, 32.37 ], [ -98.51, 32.36 ], [ -98.52, 32.33 ], [ -98.55, 32.31 ], [ -98.57, 32.31 ], [ -98.61, 32.33 ], [ -98.61, 32.37 ], [ -98.57, 32.4 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250655", "lat": 32.16, "lon": -98.82, "motion_east": 6.8, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1356, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1194.0, "ebshear": 45.0, "srh01": 181.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1356 }, "coherence_score": 0.1356, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6393895149230957, "grad_tau": 0.020523881539702415, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.017804468050599098, "S_field": 0.23720616102218628, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9488246440887451, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.83, 32.19 ], [ -98.8, 32.16 ], [ -98.78, 32.16 ], [ -98.78, 32.13 ], [ -98.84, 32.13 ], [ -98.85, 32.14 ], [ -98.85, 32.18 ], [ -98.83, 32.19 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250552", "lat": 32.5333, "lon": -98.8433, "motion_east": 4.9, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1333, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1049.0, "ebshear": 40.0, "srh01": 177.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1333 }, "coherence_score": 0.1333, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6291821002960205, "grad_tau": 0.029995528981089592, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.026696020737290382, "S_field": 0.23229046165943146, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9291618466377258, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.86, 32.57 ], [ -98.82, 32.57 ], [ -98.8, 32.55 ], [ -98.8, 32.5 ], [ -98.82, 32.48 ], [ -98.86, 32.48 ], [ -98.89, 32.52 ], [ -98.88, 32.56 ], [ -98.86, 32.57 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250622", "lat": 36.0153, "lon": -120.7394, "motion_east": 5.9, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1293, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 192.0, "ebshear": 31.0, "srh01": 170.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1293 }, "coherence_score": 0.1293, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.11065579205751419, "grad_tau": 0.006327326875180006, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.0053782276809215546, "S_field": 0.0448220819234848, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.1792883276939392, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -120.82, 36.11 ], [ -120.77, 36.1 ], [ -120.71, 36.05 ], [ -120.69, 36.05 ], [ -120.66, 36.03 ], [ -120.63, 36.03 ], [ -120.62, 35.98 ], [ -120.63, 35.97 ], [ -120.68, 35.97 ], [ -120.73, 35.92 ], [ -120.78, 35.92 ], [ -120.8, 35.95 ], [ -120.8, 35.98 ], [ -120.81, 35.99 ], [ -120.8, 36.04 ], [ -120.82, 36.06 ], [ -120.82, 36.11 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250395", "lat": 48.3843, "lon": -89.1171, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1268, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 24.0, "ebshear": 9.0, "srh01": 163.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1268 }, "coherence_score": 0.1268, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.22064965963363647, "grad_tau": 0.18808595836162567, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.14247511327266693, "S_field": 0.1345967799425125, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.53838711977005, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.12, 48.47 ], [ -89.06, 48.47 ], [ -89.02, 48.42 ], [ -89.02, 48.37 ], [ -89.07, 48.33 ], [ -89.11, 48.33 ], [ -89.12, 48.34 ], [ -89.13, 48.33 ], [ -89.14, 48.34 ], [ -89.17, 48.34 ], [ -89.19, 48.35 ], [ -89.19, 48.41 ], [ -89.18, 48.41 ], [ -89.12, 48.47 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250531", "lat": 48.286, "lon": -87.636, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1238, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 19.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 158.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1238 }, "coherence_score": 0.1238, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.19849787652492523, "grad_tau": 0.17062042653560638, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.13479013741016388, "S_field": 0.11833151429891586, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.47332605719566345, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.64, 48.31 ], [ -87.62, 48.31 ], [ -87.62, 48.29 ], [ -87.61, 48.28 ], [ -87.61, 48.26 ], [ -87.63, 48.24 ], [ -87.67, 48.26 ], [ -87.67, 48.3 ], [ -87.65, 48.3 ], [ -87.64, 48.31 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250242", "lat": 45.7138, "lon": -84.7173, "motion_east": 6.7, "motion_south": 1.9, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1221, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 25.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 157.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1221 }, "coherence_score": 0.1221, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.2837468981742859, "grad_tau": 0.08562987297773361, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.06721945106983185, "S_field": 0.07457316666841507, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.2982926666736603, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -84.75, 45.79 ], [ -84.7, 45.79 ], [ -84.69, 45.78 ], [ -84.67, 45.78 ], [ -84.66, 45.77 ], [ -84.64, 45.77 ], [ -84.6, 45.75 ], [ -84.56, 45.71 ], [ -84.49, 45.67 ], [ -84.49, 45.62 ], [ -84.52, 45.6 ], [ -84.62, 45.6 ], [ -84.63, 45.61 ], [ -84.68, 45.62 ], [ -84.75, 45.66 ], [ -84.77, 45.66 ], [ -84.81, 45.68 ], [ -84.84, 45.68 ], [ -84.88, 45.7 ], [ -84.89, 45.72 ], [ -84.89, 45.75 ], [ -84.88, 45.76 ], [ -84.86, 45.76 ], [ -84.85, 45.77 ], [ -84.78, 45.77 ], [ -84.75, 45.79 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250643", "lat": 36.8847, "lon": -120.034, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1221, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 133.0, "ebshear": 23.0, "srh01": 117.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1221 }, "coherence_score": 0.1221, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.11100449413061142, "grad_tau": 0.005784207489341497, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.0033837612718343735, "S_field": 0.043524641543626785, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.17409856617450714, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -120.08, 36.97 ], [ -120.06, 36.96 ], [ -120.03, 36.96 ], [ -120.01, 36.94 ], [ -120.02, 36.92 ], [ -120.01, 36.91 ], [ -120.01, 36.88 ], [ -119.98, 36.84 ], [ -119.98, 36.79 ], [ -119.99, 36.78 ], [ -120.04, 36.78 ], [ -120.07, 36.82 ], [ -120.07, 36.87 ], [ -120.08, 36.88 ], [ -120.08, 36.97 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250647", "lat": 31.6309, "lon": -99.8827, "motion_east": 7.5, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1179, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2252.0, "ebshear": 43.0, "srh01": 149.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1179 }, "coherence_score": 0.1179, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6366785764694214, "grad_tau": 0.024799810722470284, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.017525197938084602, "S_field": 0.23563024401664734, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9425209760665894, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.86, 31.68 ], [ -99.85, 31.67 ], [ -99.86, 31.61 ], [ -99.88, 31.59 ], [ -99.88, 31.58 ], [ -99.92, 31.58 ], [ -99.92, 31.6 ], [ -99.9, 31.63 ], [ -99.9, 31.66 ], [ -99.88, 31.66 ], [ -99.86, 31.68 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250611", "lat": 31.8387, "lon": -99.7787, "motion_east": 7.6, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1174, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2414.0, "ebshear": 44.0, "srh01": 148.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1174 }, "coherence_score": 0.1174, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6366785764694214, "grad_tau": 0.024799810722470284, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.017525197938084602, "S_field": 0.23563024401664734, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9425209760665894, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.82, 31.91 ], [ -99.76, 31.91 ], [ -99.71, 31.87 ], [ -99.71, 31.85 ], [ -99.72, 31.84 ], [ -99.72, 31.82 ], [ -99.74, 31.78 ], [ -99.77, 31.77 ], [ -99.78, 31.78 ], [ -99.81, 31.78 ], [ -99.82, 31.79 ], [ -99.83, 31.83 ], [ -99.84, 31.84 ], [ -99.83, 31.9 ], [ -99.82, 31.91 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250658", "lat": 30.98, "lon": -99.3863, "motion_east": 11.1, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1158, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 465.0, "ebshear": 47.0, "srh01": 145.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.05, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1158 }, "coherence_score": 0.1158, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6168047189712524, "grad_tau": 0.04363631457090378, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.03098178468644619, "S_field": 0.22617092728614807, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9046837091445923, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.4, 31.01 ], [ -99.34, 31.01 ], [ -99.33, 30.99 ], [ -99.38, 30.94 ], [ -99.4, 30.94 ], [ -99.42, 30.95 ], [ -99.42, 30.99 ], [ -99.4, 31.01 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250654", "lat": 33.6475, "lon": -99.3487, "motion_east": 4.9, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1148, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 882.0, "ebshear": 48.0, "srh01": 143.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1148 }, "coherence_score": 0.1148, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5230354070663452, "grad_tau": 0.07258427143096924, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.037380900233983994, "S_field": 0.1816742718219757, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7266970872879028, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.4, 33.68 ], [ -99.39, 33.68 ], [ -99.38, 33.66 ], [ -99.36, 33.66 ], [ -99.34, 33.68 ], [ -99.28, 33.68 ], [ -99.26, 33.65 ], [ -99.26, 33.62 ], [ -99.28, 33.6 ], [ -99.34, 33.6 ], [ -99.36, 33.62 ], [ -99.37, 33.62 ], [ -99.37, 33.63 ], [ -99.39, 33.65 ], [ -99.4, 33.65 ], [ -99.4, 33.68 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250568", "lat": 48.3156, "lon": -88.9256, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1146, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 26.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 140.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1146 }, "coherence_score": 0.1146, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.22064965963363647, "grad_tau": 0.18808595836162567, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.14247511327266693, "S_field": 0.1345967799425125, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.53838711977005, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.95, 48.35 ], [ -88.91, 48.35 ], [ -88.89, 48.33 ], [ -88.88, 48.31 ], [ -88.9, 48.27 ], [ -88.94, 48.28 ], [ -88.95, 48.29 ], [ -88.96, 48.31 ], [ -88.95, 48.35 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250468", "lat": 47.861, "lon": -88.796, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1133, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 22.0, "ebshear": 8.0, "srh01": 140.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1133 }, "coherence_score": 0.1133, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.3748672604560852, "grad_tau": 0.13639332354068756, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.09547533094882965, "S_field": 0.1560613065958023, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6242452263832092, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.81, 47.91 ], [ -88.78, 47.91 ], [ -88.74, 47.88 ], [ -88.74, 47.82 ], [ -88.75, 47.81 ], [ -88.81, 47.8 ], [ -88.84, 47.83 ], [ -88.85, 47.85 ], [ -88.83, 47.89 ], [ -88.81, 47.91 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250632", "lat": 29.7312, "lon": -101.0288, "motion_east": 8.0, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1133, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2362.0, "ebshear": 47.0, "srh01": 140.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1133 }, "coherence_score": 0.1133, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4715816080570221, "grad_tau": 0.08179512619972229, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.05725659057497978, "S_field": 0.16050150990486145, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6420060396194458, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -101.03, 29.77 ], [ -101.02, 29.76 ], [ -100.99, 29.76 ], [ -100.99, 29.7 ], [ -101.03, 29.68 ], [ -101.07, 29.68 ], [ -101.07, 29.73 ], [ -101.03, 29.77 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250653", "lat": 35.6015, "lon": -99.33, "motion_east": 2.2, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1128, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 850.0, "ebshear": 25.0, "srh01": 139.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.08, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1128 }, "coherence_score": 0.1128, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.36031851172447205, "grad_tau": 0.08130495995283127, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.04898624122142792, "S_field": 0.11059918254613876, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.44239673018455505, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.29, 35.72 ], [ -99.27, 35.71 ], [ -99.27, 35.68 ], [ -99.28, 35.67 ], [ -99.27, 35.66 ], [ -99.27, 35.63 ], [ -99.29, 35.59 ], [ -99.3, 35.53 ], [ -99.32, 35.49 ], [ -99.36, 35.44 ], [ -99.4, 35.44 ], [ -99.42, 35.46 ], [ -99.41, 35.48 ], [ -99.42, 35.5 ], [ -99.37, 35.59 ], [ -99.36, 35.66 ], [ -99.34, 35.68 ], [ -99.34, 35.69 ], [ -99.33, 35.69 ], [ -99.29, 35.72 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250648", "lat": 31.5154, "lon": -99.8923, "motion_east": 7.4, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1069, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1523.0, "ebshear": 48.0, "srh01": 127.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1069 }, "coherence_score": 0.1069, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6366785764694214, "grad_tau": 0.024799810722470284, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.017525197938084602, "S_field": 0.23563024401664734, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9425209760665894, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.91, 31.56 ], [ -99.88, 31.56 ], [ -99.88, 31.55 ], [ -99.86, 31.54 ], [ -99.85, 31.52 ], [ -99.84, 31.47 ], [ -99.86, 31.45 ], [ -99.91, 31.45 ], [ -99.92, 31.47 ], [ -99.92, 31.51 ], [ -99.93, 31.52 ], [ -99.93, 31.54 ], [ -99.91, 31.56 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250621", "lat": 36.4622, "lon": -99.1489, "motion_east": 4.5, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.106, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 711.0, "ebshear": 27.0, "srh01": 125.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.106 }, "coherence_score": 0.106, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.28118234872817993, "grad_tau": 0.07420820742845535, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.041309237480163574, "S_field": 0.0793866217136383, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.3175464868545532, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.16, 36.51 ], [ -99.13, 36.51 ], [ -99.1, 36.47 ], [ -99.12, 36.43 ], [ -99.15, 36.41 ], [ -99.16, 36.42 ], [ -99.18, 36.42 ], [ -99.18, 36.48 ], [ -99.16, 36.51 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250657", "lat": 31.3625, "lon": -99.9542, "motion_east": 6.6, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1032, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1250.0, "ebshear": 49.0, "srh01": 119.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.1032 }, "coherence_score": 0.1032, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6181894540786743, "grad_tau": 0.03899402171373367, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.023201441392302513, "S_field": 0.22736132144927979, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9094452857971191, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.94, 31.4 ], [ -99.91, 31.4 ], [ -99.9, 31.39 ], [ -99.9, 31.33 ], [ -99.93, 31.29 ], [ -99.99, 31.3 ], [ -100.01, 31.34 ], [ -100.0, 31.35 ], [ -100.0, 31.37 ], [ -99.98, 31.39 ], [ -99.95, 31.39 ], [ -99.94, 31.4 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250546", "lat": 36.4721, "lon": -99.4305, "motion_east": 3.4, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0995, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 580.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 111.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.0995 }, "coherence_score": 0.0995, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.28118234872817993, "grad_tau": 0.07420820742845535, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.041309237480163574, "S_field": 0.0793866217136383, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.3175464868545532, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.41, 36.55 ], [ -99.36, 36.55 ], [ -99.35, 36.54 ], [ -99.35, 36.53 ], [ -99.33, 36.51 ], [ -99.34, 36.47 ], [ -99.37, 36.44 ], [ -99.4, 36.44 ], [ -99.44, 36.41 ], [ -99.45, 36.41 ], [ -99.48, 36.37 ], [ -99.51, 36.37 ], [ -99.53, 36.38 ], [ -99.56, 36.41 ], [ -99.55, 36.46 ], [ -99.48, 36.5 ], [ -99.44, 36.54 ], [ -99.42, 36.54 ], [ -99.41, 36.55 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250590", "lat": 37.3614, "lon": -119.5679, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0973, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 297.0, "ebshear": 25.0, "srh01": 106.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.0973 }, "coherence_score": 0.0973, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.10534754395484924, "grad_tau": 0.010112583637237549, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.005359669215977192, "S_field": 0.04055409878492355, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.1622163951396942, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -119.6, 37.42 ], [ -119.57, 37.42 ], [ -119.57, 37.41 ], [ -119.52, 37.36 ], [ -119.53, 37.34 ], [ -119.52, 37.32 ], [ -119.53, 37.31 ], [ -119.58, 37.31 ], [ -119.59, 37.32 ], [ -119.58, 37.33 ], [ -119.59, 37.34 ], [ -119.59, 37.37 ], [ -119.58, 37.39 ], [ -119.6, 37.42 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250562", "lat": 32.7605, "lon": -99.7779, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0969, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2293.0, "ebshear": 29.0, "srh01": 105.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.0969 }, "coherence_score": 0.0969, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6226879358291626, "grad_tau": 0.04013511538505554, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.0210709348320961, "S_field": 0.2282070368528366, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9128281474113464, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.03, 32.99 ], [ -100.0, 32.99 ], [ -99.97, 32.96 ], [ -99.96, 32.96 ], [ -99.95, 32.92 ], [ -99.91, 32.89 ], [ -99.87, 32.94 ], [ -99.81, 32.94 ], [ -99.81, 32.89 ], [ -99.82, 32.88 ], [ -99.81, 32.86 ], [ -99.82, 32.84 ], [ -99.84, 32.83 ], [ -99.83, 32.82 ], [ -99.82, 32.82 ], [ -99.79, 32.79 ], [ -99.78, 32.79 ], [ -99.76, 32.81 ], [ -99.74, 32.8 ], [ -99.71, 32.8 ], [ -99.68, 32.76 ], [ -99.64, 32.75 ], [ -99.61, 32.72 ], [ -99.57, 32.72 ], [ -99.56, 32.71 ], [ -99.55, 32.72 ], [ -99.53, 32.72 ], [ -99.51, 32.71 ], [ -99.49, 32.67 ], [ -99.47, 32.65 ], [ -99.4, 32.61 ], [ -99.4, 32.54 ], [ -99.45, 32.51 ], [ -99.47, 32.51 ], [ -99.49, 32.52 ], [ -99.5, 32.54 ], [ -99.54, 32.55 ], [ -99.59, 32.5 ], [ -99.63, 32.5 ], [ -99.65, 32.51 ], [ -99.67, 32.54 ], [ -99.67, 32.62 ], [ -99.68, 32.63 ], [ -99.74, 32.62 ], [ -99.78, 32.64 ], [ -99.79, 32.66 ], [ -99.89, 32.64 ], [ -99.92, 32.67 ], [ -99.92, 32.74 ], [ -99.91, 32.75 ], [ -99.91, 32.77 ], [ -99.96, 32.81 ], [ -100.04, 32.83 ], [ -100.04, 32.84 ], [ -100.07, 32.88 ], [ -100.07, 32.9 ], [ -100.08, 32.91 ], [ -100.07, 32.92 ], [ -100.08, 32.93 ], [ -100.08, 32.95 ], [ -100.07, 32.97 ], [ -100.03, 32.99 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250362", "lat": 49.8048, "lon": -119.6086, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0947, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 21.0, "ebshear": 5.0, "srh01": 8.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.0947 }, "coherence_score": 0.0947, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.0007414328865706921, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.0, "S_field": 0.0006603385554626584, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.0026413542218506336, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -119.61, 49.92 ], [ -119.54, 49.92 ], [ -119.49, 49.87 ], [ -119.48, 49.83 ], [ -119.47, 49.82 ], [ -119.47, 49.8 ], [ -119.52, 49.74 ], [ -119.54, 49.74 ], [ -119.55, 49.73 ], [ -119.58, 49.73 ], [ -119.59, 49.74 ], [ -119.66, 49.74 ], [ -119.69, 49.76 ], [ -119.71, 49.76 ], [ -119.72, 49.75 ], [ -119.73, 49.77 ], [ -119.73, 49.82 ], [ -119.72, 49.82 ], [ -119.69, 49.86 ], [ -119.68, 49.86 ], [ -119.61, 49.92 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250511", "lat": 47.2007, "lon": -110.4143, "motion_east": 6.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0947, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 242.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 3.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.0947 }, "coherence_score": 0.0947, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.010765532031655312, "grad_tau": 0.0007940149516798556, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.1910224202438258e-05, "S_field": 0.004625523928552866, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.018502095714211464, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -110.38, 47.35 ], [ -110.34, 47.34 ], [ -110.31, 47.31 ], [ -110.29, 47.26 ], [ -110.25, 47.21 ], [ -110.24, 47.17 ], [ -110.25, 47.15 ], [ -110.28, 47.13 ], [ -110.35, 47.13 ], [ -110.37, 47.11 ], [ -110.37, 47.1 ], [ -110.4, 47.1 ], [ -110.41, 47.09 ], [ -110.42, 47.1 ], [ -110.45, 47.1 ], [ -110.48, 47.13 ], [ -110.52, 47.14 ], [ -110.52, 47.18 ], [ -110.53, 47.19 ], [ -110.55, 47.19 ], [ -110.55, 47.21 ], [ -110.54, 47.21 ], [ -110.52, 47.23 ], [ -110.52, 47.26 ], [ -110.51, 47.27 ], [ -110.47, 47.27 ], [ -110.4, 47.34 ], [ -110.38, 47.35 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250515", "lat": 44.6233, "lon": -83.3125, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0947, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1.0, "ebshear": 0.0, "srh01": 67.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.0947 }, "coherence_score": 0.0947, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.14576564729213715, "grad_tau": 0.056163039058446884, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.01881461776793003, "S_field": 0.028374526649713516, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.11349810659885406, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -83.34, 44.68 ], [ -83.32, 44.66 ], [ -83.29, 44.66 ], [ -83.27, 44.64 ], [ -83.26, 44.62 ], [ -83.26, 44.58 ], [ -83.28, 44.56 ], [ -83.33, 44.56 ], [ -83.34, 44.57 ], [ -83.36, 44.61 ], [ -83.36, 44.66 ], [ -83.34, 44.68 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250521", "lat": 36.1035, "lon": -99.253, "motion_east": 4.8, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0947, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 818.0, "ebshear": 25.0, "srh01": 98.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.09, "flash_rate": 4.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.0947 }, "coherence_score": 0.0947, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.28118234872817993, "grad_tau": 0.07420820742845535, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.041309237480163574, "S_field": 0.0793866217136383, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.3175464868545532, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.21, 36.25 ], [ -99.18, 36.25 ], [ -99.14, 36.23 ], [ -99.15, 36.22 ], [ -99.15, 36.18 ], [ -99.21, 36.1 ], [ -99.21, 36.07 ], [ -99.28, 35.99 ], [ -99.3, 35.94 ], [ -99.31, 35.93 ], [ -99.36, 35.93 ], [ -99.37, 35.94 ], [ -99.37, 35.97 ], [ -99.33, 36.02 ], [ -99.31, 36.08 ], [ -99.25, 36.14 ], [ -99.24, 36.16 ], [ -99.25, 36.19 ], [ -99.23, 36.23 ], [ -99.21, 36.25 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250577", "lat": 33.7106, "lon": -99.4887, "motion_east": 5.3, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0947, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 885.0, "ebshear": 36.0, "srh01": 63.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.0947 }, "coherence_score": 0.0947, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5230354070663452, "grad_tau": 0.07258427143096924, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.037380900233983994, "S_field": 0.1816742718219757, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7266970872879028, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.5, 33.77 ], [ -99.49, 33.77 ], [ -99.46, 33.73 ], [ -99.45, 33.74 ], [ -99.43, 33.72 ], [ -99.42, 33.7 ], [ -99.42, 33.65 ], [ -99.46, 33.64 ], [ -99.47, 33.65 ], [ -99.51, 33.65 ], [ -99.53, 33.67 ], [ -99.54, 33.71 ], [ -99.55, 33.72 ], [ -99.55, 33.74 ], [ -99.54, 33.74 ], [ -99.5, 33.77 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250633", "lat": 50.07, "lon": -119.356, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0947, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 26.0, "ebshear": 5.0, "srh01": 32.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.0947 }, "coherence_score": 0.0947, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.0007622267585247755, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.0, "S_field": 0.0005401347298175097, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.0021605389192700386, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -119.37, 50.12 ], [ -119.35, 50.12 ], [ -119.32, 50.09 ], [ -119.32, 50.05 ], [ -119.34, 50.03 ], [ -119.34, 50.02 ], [ -119.37, 50.02 ], [ -119.39, 50.04 ], [ -119.39, 50.09 ], [ -119.37, 50.12 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250634", "lat": 49.5327, "lon": -119.7909, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0947, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 108.0, "ebshear": 6.0, "srh01": 4.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.0947 }, "coherence_score": 0.0947, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.0007414328865706921, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.0, "S_field": 0.0006603385554626584, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.0026413542218506336, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -119.83, 49.56 ], [ -119.81, 49.55 ], [ -119.79, 49.55 ], [ -119.78, 49.56 ], [ -119.75, 49.55 ], [ -119.75, 49.5 ], [ -119.76, 49.49 ], [ -119.78, 49.49 ], [ -119.79, 49.51 ], [ -119.83, 49.54 ], [ -119.83, 49.56 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250635", "lat": 48.79, "lon": -121.8244, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0947, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 0.0, "ebshear": 0.0, "srh01": 17.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.08, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.0947 }, "coherence_score": 0.0947, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.0007412477862089872, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 6.300606037257239e-05, "S_field": 0.0009070917731150985, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.003628367092460394, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -121.86, 48.83 ], [ -121.77, 48.83 ], [ -121.77, 48.75 ], [ -121.79, 48.74 ], [ -121.8, 48.75 ], [ -121.85, 48.75 ], [ -121.85, 48.81 ], [ -121.87, 48.82 ], [ -121.86, 48.83 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250641", "lat": 37.8989, "lon": -120.6622, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0947, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 495.0, "ebshear": 32.0, "srh01": 45.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.0947 }, "coherence_score": 0.0947, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.10634936392307281, "grad_tau": 0.009896745905280113, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.002103058621287346, "S_field": 0.042473409324884415, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.16989363729953766, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -120.66, 37.94 ], [ -120.64, 37.94 ], [ -120.63, 37.93 ], [ -120.63, 37.87 ], [ -120.65, 37.85 ], [ -120.69, 37.85 ], [ -120.7, 37.86 ], [ -120.7, 37.91 ], [ -120.66, 37.94 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250642", "lat": 37.684, "lon": -120.814, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0947, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 330.0, "ebshear": 33.0, "srh01": 40.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.0947 }, "coherence_score": 0.0947, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.10634936392307281, "grad_tau": 0.009896745905280113, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.002103058621287346, "S_field": 0.042473409324884415, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.16989363729953766, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -120.83, 37.76 ], [ -120.79, 37.76 ], [ -120.77, 37.74 ], [ -120.77, 37.63 ], [ -120.79, 37.59 ], [ -120.83, 37.59 ], [ -120.85, 37.62 ], [ -120.84, 37.64 ], [ -120.84, 37.75 ], [ -120.83, 37.76 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250659", "lat": 30.3591, "lon": -89.2555, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0947, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 8.0, "ebshear": 1.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.82, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.0947 }, "coherence_score": 0.0947, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.012892104685306549, "grad_tau": 0.0066054691560566425, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.0, "S_field": 0.00034322848659940064, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.0013729139463976026, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.29, 30.4 ], [ -89.28, 30.4 ], [ -89.28, 30.37 ], [ -89.27, 30.36 ], [ -89.25, 30.37 ], [ -89.22, 30.34 ], [ -89.21, 30.34 ], [ -89.21, 30.33 ], [ -89.22, 30.32 ], [ -89.29, 30.32 ], [ -89.29, 30.4 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "250660", "lat": 30.3978, "lon": -89.04, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260412_053039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0947, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 21.0, "ebshear": 2.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.72, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [], "model_scores": { "analytic_prob": 0.0947 }, "coherence_score": 0.0947, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.012892104685306549, "grad_tau": 0.0066054691560566425, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.0, "S_field": 0.00034322848659940064, "Gamma_field": 0.25, "S_over_Gamma": 0.0013729139463976026, "Da": 17.130695343017578, "E_coh": 0.0, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier2_analytic", "coherence_source": "probsevere", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.02, 30.43 ], [ -89.01, 30.41 ], [ -89.01, 30.36 ], [ -89.02, 30.35 ], [ -89.04, 30.39 ], [ -89.1, 30.39 ], [ -89.1, 30.41 ], [ -89.04, 30.41 ], [ -89.02, 30.43 ] ] ] } } ] }