{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260814_0300", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-07-10T03:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "n_events": 33347, "n_recent_events": 2269 }, "n_active_cells": 92, "top_probability": 0.509, "active_cells": [ { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.7891, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.734, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.37, "b_trend": 0.1336, "ell_km": 94.2, "ell_trend": 3.37, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 212.69, "S_over_Gamma": 15.708, "days_to_criticality": 1.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.034, "grad_tau_local": 1.0817, "depth_trend": -8.24, "spatial_concentration": 71.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9943, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "b33581edabdf13ba0d3c9af2ee11f2eb24d7fcb46bc95529931df66f66a43340", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9943, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ec621d6ac1440b88c03440601dc7c9c6ae52301da7eaa27269bacb5984bdb97f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3be76567058db859fd8b6569ec3011009d65d07b673cdca06ca27dc1e66e9401f79b712576b4e704d6edd8b15e2ef9616bdc469ea72742fd5b9271939f777700" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ec621d6ac1440b88c03440601dc7c9c6ae52301da7eaa27269bacb5984bdb97f" }, { "row": 18, "col": 0, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.821, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4283, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.579, "b_trend": -0.0773, "ell_km": 56.4, "ell_trend": -0.86, "rate_acceleration": 0.92, "delta_aic_iet": 282.8, "S_over_Gamma": 15.358, "days_to_criticality": 20.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.9199, "depth_trend": 1.4, "spatial_concentration": 84.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9929, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "8081348a70999a0f3a237448cc448059197435e108a081dbb24953d76f699062", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9929, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a588ca10f6b8544b65da72e806062100e8cf2c632816e559208502c399f26149", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d6e8a430cd53b4630e623fcacee37d366765baf033cffb2c6cda5f7247207ba0e996470936596874d340aab39a69706ad76fd546aa9dbee3078e26dfe6243704" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a588ca10f6b8544b65da72e806062100e8cf2c632816e559208502c399f26149" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 42, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.1365, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7586, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.148, "b_trend": -0.0825, "ell_km": 39.1, "ell_trend": -4.72, "rate_acceleration": 4.3, "delta_aic_iet": 385.71, "S_over_Gamma": 15.73, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.3931, "grad_tau_local": 0.9297, "depth_trend": -26.67, "spatial_concentration": 87.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9894, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "f4508c787a462e4731eb65d4693ad02aca21c1887cd98726de94ce43370d7bc3", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9894, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "75a5abc16a6f0593097daa6efd3a73de7c1e9e53a7398477406b01262aa670f1", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8fecedfadb11598441201527043fbcdc9c878cdd494b79a84bcbbed4db8c1032faf5d43d421ffc844b5fdad2f58a07a6554a8a07ef831fa2a8712f0794963f07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "75a5abc16a6f0593097daa6efd3a73de7c1e9e53a7398477406b01262aa670f1" }, { "row": 32, "col": 153, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.7884, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6346, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.154, "b_trend": -0.003, "ell_km": 48.7, "ell_trend": -0.24, "rate_acceleration": 3.21, "delta_aic_iet": 471.45, "S_over_Gamma": 15.205, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.6331, "grad_tau_local": 1.4315, "depth_trend": -7.06, "spatial_concentration": 73.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9862, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "b3f62fa3c04d752eeb5402f6b1d93474189d7c4bbcaed99c112dabf459e46a01", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9862, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7f36a1a712ad8d16a17d0091fd85aa2b7c0964b0f2bf36a05c659ca96261e5ab", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1dfba987e6e535fc3211331ce5e0569277a5a3a053a7fba370ba79f5953759691cef7322f1a838be244b6572d893c76201724620f33129967ca7397d895b2a03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7f36a1a712ad8d16a17d0091fd85aa2b7c0964b0f2bf36a05c659ca96261e5ab" }, { "row": 18, "col": 56, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.7267, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5422, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.536, "b_trend": 0.0503, "ell_km": 35.1, "ell_trend": 0.95, "rate_acceleration": 1.2, "delta_aic_iet": 271.6, "S_over_Gamma": 15.544, "days_to_criticality": 244.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1591, "grad_tau_local": 0.8614, "depth_trend": 2.52, "spatial_concentration": 42.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9807, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "8f2ad34e48cf6df04b329ce0e710daabd84d2dc0734c63ab4fc01d9cd3ea32af", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9807, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a42160e18ab18113609d8edfe5a0b5401f8105e4db76d7078df1a9f8fbeb0323", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f3b4c3322ce274addc15eaa6a550b8e88efb1d15fc6abca06f17497a03360b5ac76c580d8ed1d8b38ed02ab11518f4a76055d8e69a653914ef4c778bef029e0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a42160e18ab18113609d8edfe5a0b5401f8105e4db76d7078df1a9f8fbeb0323" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.664, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6218, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.085, "b_trend": 0.0962, "ell_km": 66.5, "ell_trend": -3.37, "rate_acceleration": 1.15, "delta_aic_iet": 232.41, "S_over_Gamma": 15.36, "days_to_criticality": 2094.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.616, "grad_tau_local": 0.3858, "depth_trend": -2.24, "spatial_concentration": 84.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9769, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "098d9b7226423c0e27fdcaf9afbe85cb98472f59a08ac134e4065050e97215e8", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9769, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "467f6c3b0d5d71866b3aab838b3a5a0e1762ba362d33d8c1ed632b95e9d34255", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ff2019732bab7c75e7d5abfcfb5d95657ce438aa34a186bab7c9864e0b01ac725dab4c8241127d3568fd2c4468c33d6146b0dd3a0b87b92c2c5d8efd2aa92f0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "467f6c3b0d5d71866b3aab838b3a5a0e1762ba362d33d8c1ed632b95e9d34255" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.8435, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4419, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.139, "b_trend": 0.4234, "ell_km": 37.9, "ell_trend": 1.23, "rate_acceleration": 1.14, "delta_aic_iet": 301.02, "S_over_Gamma": 14.811, "days_to_criticality": 222.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4294, "grad_tau_local": 0.5854, "depth_trend": 6.57, "spatial_concentration": 61.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9762, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "97b3d72a2f88bcae97b91372b9f253fbd3102147f34bc1b0a4f1a7026b212335", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9762, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dcc1241e0846e867aff75559f05fb25e52771942413075f9382217edafe1f48a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2c856ed1cb19521b8e5243d2834e0cf7962fea7dc77dcba57a28651ba7e8496b89e9db48e3fbf3d8eae094f04caf990fab85e71146f0f48ed590084423fa3103" } }, "receipt_sha256": "dcc1241e0846e867aff75559f05fb25e52771942413075f9382217edafe1f48a" }, { "row": 54, "col": 167, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 155.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.748, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.673, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.125, "b_trend": 0.0553, "ell_km": 57.5, "ell_trend": -3.29, "rate_acceleration": 0.58, "delta_aic_iet": 419.22, "S_over_Gamma": 15.753, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6111, "grad_tau_local": 1.1951, "depth_trend": 8.18, "spatial_concentration": 83.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9749, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "c77c1ee5697db57ec72501b837385e429a06ea9c0e0f50f913af98ff699ccf3c", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9749, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "93dcde36fcfb9d3d364b9ff156eb59e11a68f55effc9b794c732b299d805bb0f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "82a9dfd6d7736e233202cba3590c04e335a3e97263d20c8c3b23b2505831f9ff4ce3ceb602c1d6d90361a3f910b5fdcbf46e5471f6e861d706b2497ffd44bb05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "93dcde36fcfb9d3d364b9ff156eb59e11a68f55effc9b794c732b299d805bb0f" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.8766, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.612, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.352, "b_trend": 0.166, "ell_km": 105.3, "ell_trend": -12.41, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 192.17, "S_over_Gamma": 15.58, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.2123, "grad_tau_local": 0.6525, "depth_trend": 11.24, "spatial_concentration": 59.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9735, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "45ebfe49462c49e7a042ed5a4160fd41ac8e2d693544fb56303e242bf609c1c7", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9735, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2e28912477387b786fb1f7766b121a1f2f1e77a3bf2feca4ed9607cf02113c38", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a88cd3347598cdbcb14b88736d693c7b25191020162f9d7dbea58103b75b6f50157669a11e53d761e878d475c2dacd2fb4dc9c3af00f8fdc31bdc0d45a1ed500" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2e28912477387b786fb1f7766b121a1f2f1e77a3bf2feca4ed9607cf02113c38" }, { "row": 0, "col": 76, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.7162, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.399, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.091, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 62.4, "ell_trend": -2.07, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 155.97, "S_over_Gamma": 15.373, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.1013, "depth_trend": 9.7, "spatial_concentration": 75.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9723, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "260c25aa840528be7325f51fdcb9c434b23aba661b507d235c9d1c49717d8f80", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9723, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "433b4eef24b491a2e5ee12f16d83116d4cccdc3b3f11cb8fbf6df1c401bd0ee0", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "70ef07efd67ed063f0c2b5c94ce83850f70e3c85736e2e4dde0d50706b382f7c1fedcbba541fa3b8b5e6330491e5c097907fda1cddeae8e8d3b88aa80664900e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "433b4eef24b491a2e5ee12f16d83116d4cccdc3b3f11cb8fbf6df1c401bd0ee0" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.7, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.5921, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5153, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.223, "b_trend": -0.1037, "ell_km": 35.8, "ell_trend": -13.29, "rate_acceleration": 0.51, "delta_aic_iet": 568.04, "S_over_Gamma": 15.442, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.2865, "grad_tau_local": 0.8051, "depth_trend": -6.93, "spatial_concentration": 75.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9674, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "0c3e1528b52835609cf5b81e637e2bd5c3c245d7bbc51ddf36947dd3f70f96b3", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9674, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1ca72bb0e69de0ad01fc7d667f35e784b275b5b2da3bafd9cab0d50a4954ad35", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "83015b0e202b5b7c050e53141733f503404c63d3e2dd5adf011190b1a98f5da716ae3f019ab71eb5efdb78e8a79269a209ce5c3f44774abe8f5cb0fbd1a3ac06" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1ca72bb0e69de0ad01fc7d667f35e784b275b5b2da3bafd9cab0d50a4954ad35" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.7807, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5183, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.563, "b_trend": -0.346, "ell_km": 63.2, "ell_trend": 0.67, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 285.13, "S_over_Gamma": 15.277, "days_to_criticality": 20.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.73, "depth_trend": -2.99, "spatial_concentration": 96.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9669, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "6e00075e99a32ef6614bd219178a1d0b7ee4f6b614cdca7b866544a37e81560e", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9669, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "690c2e96d2f548648c47eaab1af337a0e93619684a673efb88b89b55a94b8e30", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4f365585a58ebca10c38060a7d562ef451df40cb97281cdaedb7b3a496a917fa8de2f35b0d55c8278d5cc9d3eb8f46e8bbb6d2bbf0c2f4dacb78aaa4fc4f3d06" } }, "receipt_sha256": "690c2e96d2f548648c47eaab1af337a0e93619684a673efb88b89b55a94b8e30" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.9812, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6964, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.098, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 29.0, "ell_trend": 4.76, "rate_acceleration": 0.82, "delta_aic_iet": 239.73, "S_over_Gamma": 15.613, "days_to_criticality": 77.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1411, "grad_tau_local": 0.3289, "depth_trend": 41.19, "spatial_concentration": 88.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9641, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "7ad60954ff2ca45db42d947de84b17aef774c9f11986a651490a72d585f294df", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9641, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7ab6910cd5b46eff37083e76c134d118b33bae162030b4218abf69538f0b5feb", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "16831de62f938fdbc3219930d1e252ff020a545b910be0a5edf3aca4ad72ddf9ed9f2a5f3011d4e0c7575c78b7a676361bdf8a45ba62cf78ba92a4956876580b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7ab6910cd5b46eff37083e76c134d118b33bae162030b4218abf69538f0b5feb" }, { "row": 22, "col": 173, "lat": -15.0, "lon": 167.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.0808, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.282, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.134, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 83.1, "ell_trend": -4.16, "rate_acceleration": 0.83, "delta_aic_iet": 174.79, "S_over_Gamma": 15.082, "days_to_criticality": 2095.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.395, "grad_tau_local": 0.1302, "depth_trend": 9.43, "spatial_concentration": 86.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9556, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "dcb95dfed4f509af0c53adfee74d600fdca696ae7bf9e5ba4fa09f9db5a40884", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9556, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5fa56436c19d3ec6f1f2db69d67696ae567b999487021c726c426e6a9fc0ccce", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "add6aa331e71d06d3105a07bab300cf219f5104a22b2ab79dff76ffaef534e93d3ecf2153ca7771e027220458bc3331fe7c8b53f4140d3bb37627c7173744f09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5fa56436c19d3ec6f1f2db69d67696ae567b999487021c726c426e6a9fc0ccce" }, { "row": 27, "col": 141, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 103.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.771, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5621, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 116.1, "ell_trend": 15.72, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 53.41, "S_over_Gamma": 15.963, "days_to_criticality": 21.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3241, "grad_tau_local": 0.1443, "depth_trend": -20.46, "spatial_concentration": 82.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.954, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "c40521807c8fad354ee111f1a21f037ed130d703399b531b2ece90481f9f1817", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.954, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c7e24bab954aed40c309ad6401bd4afe73eb3eafb8e512f87e97435f89f61cbf", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b06d1531422fc1af66251caaa9c425293574afab6a9c40ad6e75b0bf93f5d86bcc483cdd119e64c54a3cffc5ee64f220514b33ce7b8a66b019a0dbdc305a3003" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c7e24bab954aed40c309ad6401bd4afe73eb3eafb8e512f87e97435f89f61cbf" }, { "row": 15, "col": 1, "lat": -29.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.8547, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3031, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.148, "b_trend": -0.059, "ell_km": 100.0, "ell_trend": -1.25, "rate_acceleration": 1.14, "delta_aic_iet": 191.3, "S_over_Gamma": 15.281, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.6568, "grad_tau_local": 0.6822, "depth_trend": 2.88, "spatial_concentration": 75.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.952, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "03bf8e5a21e44850786a1afda31a7302ca355668a49a322fe1cb8c15552ccff8", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.952, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ad70acb5496ce9f33bf5c109d87db6f9cc4f2399fe6696f51384bb771d7d2050", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6443a1918ebc9f768886e34fe11876c02faade04d25b3f14ab0679e4a0000a4cb12e0edb3385fec1c20831b7449836ccbb286267d045dde2babf790651fb9907" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ad70acb5496ce9f33bf5c109d87db6f9cc4f2399fe6696f51384bb771d7d2050" }, { "row": 20, "col": 0, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.6968, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4702, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.764, "b_trend": -0.2342, "ell_km": 53.3, "ell_trend": 1.12, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 364.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.175, "days_to_criticality": 38.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.9388, "depth_trend": -6.37, "spatial_concentration": 69.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9482, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "4036fad93bfd17fcd6df561d16fcc0d6b2700476446f584ee05ce75c50572ddd", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9482, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7add2976f00b3a6ed9f146646515ab9bde410f1d48549b9a5fda5914d7d71d21", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0ac62e1ed1457c7dc088695dc8f5f59e2ff1488cc130aa642009ba3159e538d5b352ffdd9330acdb63d60ce579fc79a026a98fc3b7f38a481b5a8becc15c8f04" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7add2976f00b3a6ed9f146646515ab9bde410f1d48549b9a5fda5914d7d71d21" }, { "row": 35, "col": 46, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -87.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.7846, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5644, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 93.4, "ell_trend": 1.17, "rate_acceleration": 1.23, "delta_aic_iet": 100.13, "S_over_Gamma": 15.505, "days_to_criticality": 136.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.5246, "grad_tau_local": 0.4242, "depth_trend": -11.1, "spatial_concentration": 63.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.937, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "caa13c2d860a494f60276782334c9de7da2b527c6fbf9cd7dbe9ae410413ab2d", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.937, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4d5d20de1505ff1fa5b1ff9da06a940b82454f4213b70ec6fe4d534af97b83b6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e1b32fbc89c56a7bd2a2bb48fc03cd47997d301a4a059a8cf732e5158dd3872fdd8c5293b9e3cb35cbc15de27513501d8418b9dd083812f7d51f22c8f04fa900" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4d5d20de1505ff1fa5b1ff9da06a940b82454f4213b70ec6fe4d534af97b83b6" }, { "row": 22, "col": 3, "lat": -15.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.2458, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6494, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.059, "b_trend": 0.0225, "ell_km": 72.1, "ell_trend": -5.16, "rate_acceleration": 0.74, "delta_aic_iet": 215.87, "S_over_Gamma": 16.042, "days_to_criticality": 2095.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.5469, "grad_tau_local": 0.9177, "depth_trend": -5.23, "spatial_concentration": 53.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9357, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "9a0ba38016ad0b4669ccb73c81e6469a5493203e856a3a741ac04d9defc2b5b2", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9357, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f078948fac4ce68a41ab95827bc5896b391f9a009b2bfdc49bcf6a965bb6a7ff", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "77235027567ef56180beaeccd49dac7ed339caecdc138f36bd98e292250d7b1d1b3edda6dd26367b55c04af13ff2fdc2e5702dc02314c5067afecab8c2006702" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f078948fac4ce68a41ab95827bc5896b391f9a009b2bfdc49bcf6a965bb6a7ff" }, { "row": 13, "col": 0, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.688, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4902, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.339, "b_trend": 0.0273, "ell_km": 70.8, "ell_trend": -14.88, "rate_acceleration": 0.61, "delta_aic_iet": 246.18, "S_over_Gamma": 14.23, "days_to_criticality": 2091.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.7472, "depth_trend": -13.63, "spatial_concentration": 66.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9314, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "07b1e04359c717f7b69a173233fe076027a47e969afe9c6cf96006b8d863a3e5", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9314, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "59c65e348216761d78e79168b7a5cab2af4186aa0c009eabb994f4d807ea2c45", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8abe3dfd6a99591650272574e2746dd3870a1939075f4ae45c80ec1c4692867acbf57a9f9cb6a1abb68c05675f0bfe906b6be1e929444bf8e86d7c1a949c830a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "59c65e348216761d78e79168b7a5cab2af4186aa0c009eabb994f4d807ea2c45" }, { "row": 17, "col": 56, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.7723, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2951, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.542, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 29.4, "ell_trend": 1.52, "rate_acceleration": 1.1, "delta_aic_iet": 148.28, "S_over_Gamma": 15.003, "days_to_criticality": 15.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9825, "grad_tau_local": 0.7862, "depth_trend": 6.3, "spatial_concentration": 67.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9275, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "b6d83a0b8b3e5fcc1c9b234b625c029cb20440f08c2a758db3e8ca78b8a7fa3f", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9275, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "de12f611e0b506aba77f2fc67478ce9c25eae5044f3195d8fe961cca09602587", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b321f69169a6f0c81e007bf399f92bf1ad78929df6317f9d1e430b8896b153110368be1497886ee27a6396b076beb132418e98b090bb1485a45c82fa3a770e03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "de12f611e0b506aba77f2fc67478ce9c25eae5044f3195d8fe961cca09602587" }, { "row": 17, "col": 2, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.8879, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2566, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 49.1, "ell_trend": -5.29, "rate_acceleration": 1.95, "delta_aic_iet": 107.61, "S_over_Gamma": 16.14, "days_to_criticality": 1790.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.2076, "grad_tau_local": 0.429, "depth_trend": -4.08, "spatial_concentration": 72.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9255, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "4e70a1246fa54e7993174f507650acc7bc7389c0f56d9c9de7b078471567d962", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9255, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4efad25efbb6c09afd809326f4d48fe4f35ec9cbe65c595183c26fde22d23ea2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9ed696ad76f12ff30b4f2ad17bb7348557aca8150a299ae231c65226c36285ca8e9f400f42508f7c7fb2672c97bef36f655cdbf7d617ca047eac9aa204a7c703" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4efad25efbb6c09afd809326f4d48fe4f35ec9cbe65c595183c26fde22d23ea2" }, { "row": 55, "col": 168, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.4561, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6236, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.257, "b_trend": 0.0692, "ell_km": 49.8, "ell_trend": -5.68, "rate_acceleration": 0.28, "delta_aic_iet": 887.28, "S_over_Gamma": 15.618, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.9777, "grad_tau_local": 1.955, "depth_trend": 3.65, "spatial_concentration": 81.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9146, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "7956edb76d2b00b61f3beed1f6eb05d93e08cea275122149c31b165541a3f5b5", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9146, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e996d02d71536ecf80c3b16be0f8b6ce617370e1c3b50a8b4c613d20f39a6fb1", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5c0cb9e3159407d9b7e5b872021d08af5abc9b681a62a0e8ebdbb413d89967e7e4b07ba39e1b423aa56568edc04178c075ca8577167136f896d8399d21e17c0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e996d02d71536ecf80c3b16be0f8b6ce617370e1c3b50a8b4c613d20f39a6fb1" }, { "row": 49, "col": 161, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.3103, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4616, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.992, "b_trend": 0.097, "ell_km": 35.4, "ell_trend": 2.79, "rate_acceleration": 0.64, "delta_aic_iet": 576.81, "S_over_Gamma": 15.372, "days_to_criticality": 48.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.1345, "grad_tau_local": 0.7591, "depth_trend": 8.51, "spatial_concentration": 77.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9045, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "609d126e5224e1ac74ee4232dbd4c744032427b130e1be675a1d5f8a7d77e99d", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9045, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c2ac91c6d2735d57e2a1ab509fa993deef797241fcc4306ddcd448b5b0e740d6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "85a8b349a8a98df9574d3427650932515b9f18358ef142b4509166ee014b0dead7d9c28225c385eb13402b3b792039fe81bc877ca6958cae78b053f639aaaf04" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c2ac91c6d2735d57e2a1ab509fa993deef797241fcc4306ddcd448b5b0e740d6" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.0548, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6227, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.928, "b_trend": 0.0962, "ell_km": 35.6, "ell_trend": 2.62, "rate_acceleration": 0.72, "delta_aic_iet": 470.26, "S_over_Gamma": 15.831, "days_to_criticality": 52.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7838, "grad_tau_local": 1.0678, "depth_trend": 7.45, "spatial_concentration": 69.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.886, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "5c5930efd2952ee5c9047c1207859c1dc516913799182aadd6bf2326233abf12", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.886, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9054236132041f7cc70630a1a1fa8a0525be3b517fa20c444de04598a36fef57", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8e260323e5d630892510eba36098659f5084ab47f73899c355b352649fa954e1a15447df68423fd4279abde99ee564d8c4ac18513e60834ba3212b425375300e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9054236132041f7cc70630a1a1fa8a0525be3b517fa20c444de04598a36fef57" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.509, "prob_30d_local": 0.6535, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4381, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.196, "b_trend": 0.0141, "ell_km": 61.9, "ell_trend": -7.09, "rate_acceleration": 0.29, "delta_aic_iet": 1019.52, "S_over_Gamma": 15.587, "days_to_criticality": 2094.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.7389, "grad_tau_local": 0.7295, "depth_trend": 3.55, "spatial_concentration": 87.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8859, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "5a7cbd5485e62f43914640e3404b90f930a7a8d94face93325fce4d6732a4185", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8859, "probability": 0.508952, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e5bd9ffd120a4d00d8e885a0fd1135bf4679bfe115aa298879aa173c35a16fc4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9ca6d86a5170a43aef50e2a7ae9d06cf9f73589cd914cb9f910f39126882e0d49a0c9cab9fa596107faa87fdf30d32555524fb050482a6a71d4063146cafe002" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e5bd9ffd120a4d00d8e885a0fd1135bf4679bfe115aa298879aa173c35a16fc4" }, { "row": 56, "col": 169, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6397, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4947, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.194, "b_trend": 0.0161, "ell_km": 61.5, "ell_trend": -6.8, "rate_acceleration": 0.25, "delta_aic_iet": 764.43, "S_over_Gamma": 15.476, "days_to_criticality": 2092.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.4075, "grad_tau_local": 2.7176, "depth_trend": 3.14, "spatial_concentration": 51.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8686, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "1f71867cc91c8bcfc77890b27e2b4aef39a093080fbfec7695ca413bfd488bac", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8686, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "50c9b48a8b90bf350e034bd6368234cfc672ad89bc2fc6751ece5f4801753429", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "674dd47328743a03bbe3a1f79d8db0a3befe1457bb926e9a3d4e4b8faa7ed3208603bc69b0826af5628da7c36dced929f5634f03ae04ce25b4170500d2e9ea01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "50c9b48a8b90bf350e034bd6368234cfc672ad89bc2fc6751ece5f4801753429" }, { "row": 45, "col": 155, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 131.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.7604, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4022, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.965, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 22.2, "ell_trend": 0.06, "rate_acceleration": 2.48, "delta_aic_iet": 93.59, "S_over_Gamma": 15.904, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.5254, "grad_tau_local": 0.4386, "depth_trend": -7.32, "spatial_concentration": 52.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.862, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "ded66a6fb8edb17356fb0b4c75f53edb584aef6cddc34e47d721947ac30145e3", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.862, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c497df7287efd3733cc01e7b2fceea8315644033ac641774a67bc72d86936ff2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f02de020d71bed63c1e5b74abef04f35116fcc827e24ebcab5e01ed1c3206e7b24928d1181eaff843b1495d9f1ef2f192a67abf47d9944acc500f3668143ee04" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c497df7287efd3733cc01e7b2fceea8315644033ac641774a67bc72d86936ff2" }, { "row": 21, "col": 0, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.8628, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2246, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.586, "b_trend": 0.158, "ell_km": 45.2, "ell_trend": 0.35, "rate_acceleration": 0.72, "delta_aic_iet": 214.01, "S_over_Gamma": 15.652, "days_to_criticality": 70.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.236, "depth_trend": -22.47, "spatial_concentration": 80.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8609, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "b27aea49744be43349c83d9806a49f6cfa9ab7ad0b252ca1141760021f99b927", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8609, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f0f825fa7a078cf3f89fff60c332d6c5d16cb7b69d7d29561d16f6e1a24b216b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "57819729d7d544fc3bf7fc7dd9e33a445acae68a893faf6a01c83a40b28ed66fe6d016eec1c81cc87fc43b28094c53f841a279d3ab7207cf473c030d78aa680e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f0f825fa7a078cf3f89fff60c332d6c5d16cb7b69d7d29561d16f6e1a24b216b" }, { "row": 23, "col": 52, "lat": -13.0, "lon": -75.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.7254, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2546, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 122.4, "ell_trend": -2.49, "rate_acceleration": 1.4, "delta_aic_iet": 34.05, "S_over_Gamma": 15.73, "days_to_criticality": 2095.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.567, "grad_tau_local": 0.3038, "depth_trend": -11.22, "spatial_concentration": 66.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8478, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "0366c77e275c6df1143379e289f0ab3861f957557fe6e8d834c3f5d3c374dc96", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8478, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d61376acf1bea780262f0b464438a27776f79a1e90ef9585e33dd2272f89f103", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c400bfad3af018d0de1f12efeac5e4f3e4e8c3790990bdddfcea0dd68a467db25f3ad9f79704625afcae8ea1813ecd07668d81b7c0880bde2a5f0d782c7add05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d61376acf1bea780262f0b464438a27776f79a1e90ef9585e33dd2272f89f103" }, { "row": 17, "col": 179, "lat": -25.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.8533, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1781, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 56.7, "ell_trend": -1.65, "rate_acceleration": 0.89, "delta_aic_iet": 207.36, "S_over_Gamma": 15.518, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.403, "depth_trend": -6.52, "spatial_concentration": 87.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7917, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "e1f7ece60c717a89964f6322c46184499fa7216deb346b1c52625ab3fa60dfba", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7917, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "52eadade9528b57525f3273d27a1f2c19912afcdb7a7864df1059a3319b248df", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b8a96bc628db19da886b5dabc27d938605fa8e698043d314c29c7d0aca3f113b3acf734e6fc9a9551e7bdcdc1025ee177f09e85eebee5fc30f9aa56ee00d8605" } }, "receipt_sha256": "52eadade9528b57525f3273d27a1f2c19912afcdb7a7864df1059a3319b248df" }, { "row": 36, "col": 43, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 38, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6799, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4049, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.114, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 44.6, "ell_trend": -1.41, "rate_acceleration": 6.75, "delta_aic_iet": 100.31, "S_over_Gamma": 15.83, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.4126, "grad_tau_local": 1.3607, "depth_trend": -14.32, "spatial_concentration": 64.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.778, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "65327db9b64d2fdc3ce0f850e3017e7e4319c5330e280aa43e1081ebe2f4d50e", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.778, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f617c1ca67cbac137035468653394da08e970c8c6480464d3a23198746ac7d19", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3f5428bb5950af7883882379ad10520cd9dca2260ed72b5d758d26b18841e0b4eabfa8c08cff7ea5132066a308b354a534a634d2a36b8c72deb62fc5d8682908" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f617c1ca67cbac137035468653394da08e970c8c6480464d3a23198746ac7d19" }, { "row": 44, "col": 142, "lat": 29.0, "lon": 105.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.8322, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5681, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 10.5, "ell_trend": -2.72, "rate_acceleration": 1.34, "delta_aic_iet": 52.61, "S_over_Gamma": 14.778, "days_to_criticality": 22.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.3437, "grad_tau_local": 0.0667, "depth_trend": 1.5, "spatial_concentration": 73.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7429, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "5f98851ed4975a742373ba665b28d2d73fa0919390d9543a73b71ac38b7ea71c", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7429, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d44c0cb6bdbb083a6aad8f95aa62916e67f66dd1bc2ec56db2045c8ecc4055e6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "baa8c6e20653674955748676c1f42f3673de09491c82e883be0cf681e6f8c11a0b723c7bebb1020af5c582a5baccb0be2a2359c32b28c8fb2c52a5fa87b34a02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d44c0cb6bdbb083a6aad8f95aa62916e67f66dd1bc2ec56db2045c8ecc4055e6" }, { "row": 13, "col": 53, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -73.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6425, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2892, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 11.7, "ell_trend": 0.62, "rate_acceleration": 1.44, "delta_aic_iet": 105.47, "S_over_Gamma": 15.335, "days_to_criticality": 5.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.8864, "grad_tau_local": 0.8298, "depth_trend": -11.68, "spatial_concentration": 71.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7425, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "6379bb540e17240404ec9ed862f882b3a928301843247f03c09b0a6fc79ac457", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7425, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9ff68062accc37f9b1e01338b3f9dba1d802e935edb17ae55816f9d7efb806a5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "88a603e958e3de51d136e4328eb35420974670d632c832cf4064d86a2350c55dd73567ef4b9b9e71c776cff4d5fa378b837b249c8e21b9b4d2bfbc9c6069f303" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9ff68062accc37f9b1e01338b3f9dba1d802e935edb17ae55816f9d7efb806a5" }, { "row": 28, "col": 159, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 139.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6577, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2932, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.207, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 30.3, "ell_trend": 3.08, "rate_acceleration": 1.41, "delta_aic_iet": 152.12, "S_over_Gamma": 16.072, "days_to_criticality": 70.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.2898, "grad_tau_local": 0.2084, "depth_trend": -12.22, "spatial_concentration": 73.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7233, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "6b712ed7fc30fd5c08216bb69c55cf9419d351217762bfb18050e25ee853bc6f", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7233, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e1ffd8a7e30e75e7078dd222f6a011b73aa4947d4b3455bad9a1ea9c127b7bba", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c0639ffdca5c7f25b769e85124825c8603da47c000e0609fdf165ec721f7a5eb77876d01048d4b6a1100b4e562cb53932977575eefe1adb66c84220a7f7fbc02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e1ffd8a7e30e75e7078dd222f6a011b73aa4947d4b3455bad9a1ea9c127b7bba" }, { "row": 37, "col": 43, "lat": 15.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 152, "max_mag": 7.3, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.1217, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6653, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.919, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 44.6, "ell_trend": -2.4, "rate_acceleration": 5.64, "delta_aic_iet": 213.56, "S_over_Gamma": 15.301, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4214, "grad_tau_local": 0.4267, "depth_trend": -28.2, "spatial_concentration": 89.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.698, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "6242f2312fd42ea2e43eacdbc0658477b788152cc19de74bbe3ea60e8de99ceb", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.698, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1e8de885863884972406a9abaa13934d9cac9886367b3e8e838c50d73778dc5f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "14816a3a3199000001f347a03430c8518f86aafafec868594bc9bd6c9d06b183b5ec75d9d82b6e5a5c24b1fbb4f114690391acb1846f58fc4b56b4c1f114780c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1e8de885863884972406a9abaa13934d9cac9886367b3e8e838c50d73778dc5f" }, { "row": 28, "col": 155, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 131.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6724, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2909, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 34.7, "ell_trend": -0.56, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 77.46, "S_over_Gamma": 15.072, "days_to_criticality": 5.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7637, "grad_tau_local": 0.813, "depth_trend": 8.17, "spatial_concentration": 83.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6792, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "496ceec5bb3767f9d3b3db14c8284bc483fdd8234999657e5d688ebc92d82d36", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6792, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4a0adb4285833395fcefebea6ca08afdbe5dd88a4eba30f97cf1fb05e336d55c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d33ff311cf35639ba1cb63fb6a7b123f638f082fe9c030dca8167b98e1a7f65a6415cac567556dcc3572e7f713fee8d0a2dd5acea488dc50c45aa5278766d50b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4a0adb4285833395fcefebea6ca08afdbe5dd88a4eba30f97cf1fb05e336d55c" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.1055, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5832, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.198, "b_trend": 0.0197, "ell_km": 60.1, "ell_trend": -6.41, "rate_acceleration": 0.25, "delta_aic_iet": 701.75, "S_over_Gamma": 15.549, "days_to_criticality": 2092.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.2138, "grad_tau_local": 1.959, "depth_trend": 2.49, "spatial_concentration": 47.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.663, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "dff46396439e7ec464596a309835b0451d4004dc8f36d9ea3af9269f7cb8afca", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.663, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "75653871fb11c7455b4a82ffe390107be6c756268fd5d8a2cecb3e73d5ae43bd", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "300be3e2734d0b8314f811ca28c518749660f4c8bd1c89a65d417f428ce5b0163e1ddd6bea6b71ac32732a652272dd3f1919891ca5c25fc2bcf3d7f83e6f4305" } }, "receipt_sha256": "75653871fb11c7455b4a82ffe390107be6c756268fd5d8a2cecb3e73d5ae43bd" }, { "row": 23, "col": 82, "lat": -13.0, "lon": -15.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.8115, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1349, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 36.8, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 13.0, "delta_aic_iet": -88.38, "S_over_Gamma": 10.688, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.45, "grad_tau_local": 0.1271, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 41.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6515, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "0db9ac71d3cc1d8d18a3ee989a2dcb467f5cba77050d429e39e0c241e4a00dc3", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6515, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b89f2806383a0fa03ff427bfe55e84db0c54253e0ea7c439a0eed081c90aa768", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "054c1300630baae034db6da5461a59fcba65aa94948a775c4d8aaddcb43874f80ceaf671a821c7867bc1cc7c416685b00ed6d5b8f692f4a7cff691f287cce509" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b89f2806383a0fa03ff427bfe55e84db0c54253e0ea7c439a0eed081c90aa768" }, { "row": 46, "col": 155, "lat": 33.0, "lon": 131.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 6.8, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.1749, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4546, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.1, "ell_trend": 2.81, "rate_acceleration": 4.58, "delta_aic_iet": 39.35, "S_over_Gamma": 16.852, "days_to_criticality": 29.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.0096, "grad_tau_local": 0.7414, "depth_trend": -34.18, "spatial_concentration": 37.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6513, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "8ad19381063565b27f21f1c3a03a9f2b0de0c41e4ef8e2fbd6c30bbebedd9b4a", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6513, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b01969c7629ad9db8eb691cc0066c81182cfb663f70c38984c70224f0b560680", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7e78e0051b1d00b55fa836bfeb38d1c94d28e05d5beb86117613228b8fa71f7d26fe5c293e9dad6795941c7422da6463fba3e5aef3271f625471743a721e8e0c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b01969c7629ad9db8eb691cc0066c81182cfb663f70c38984c70224f0b560680" }, { "row": 36, "col": 45, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -89.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.8515, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6353, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.965, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 106.5, "ell_trend": 6.67, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 138.67, "S_over_Gamma": 15.828, "days_to_criticality": 154.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2316, "grad_tau_local": 0.4403, "depth_trend": -11.83, "spatial_concentration": 78.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.625, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "1484002011489c8f323ca9c7a936ea9484f520adf77df99a9ff8e5adada7ca4f", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.625, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "43cde10eb253ebebd5ccb84ffdb193447215b43a535bb7cfaa628734fa524ba5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c38fd4618935e5d466dd40b637ddc521a6e6247c9cca0c5660dd97ec21702fef123eb56f08a33e2f67219c9d7e02e8878bfc3fd6705ca3d7cfd5e12a1c254d0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "43cde10eb253ebebd5ccb84ffdb193447215b43a535bb7cfaa628734fa524ba5" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 28, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.9181, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6294, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.869, "b_trend": -0.0298, "ell_km": 5.3, "ell_trend": 0.25, "rate_acceleration": 1.84, "delta_aic_iet": 251.64, "S_over_Gamma": 13.557, "days_to_criticality": 23.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4903, "grad_tau_local": 0.2326, "depth_trend": -2.89, "spatial_concentration": 34.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6189, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "26c3937e2afb383ed286746be051cfbe516f2ebd4e1fbd8d223a70e6da17139e", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6189, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d4e4d888beb411a47471d0ea6e1b629e363a4cd14106f36b2e4ecd1a9b773d50", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1a3d6ed2c4dbf44a322b54fc155d65a1b30b0aff5bfb8f2bf1772d48337c8e7915205acc90b3c722edddfe42b3cf6f65d72a7499013297a4ec037d71f7f79c05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d4e4d888beb411a47471d0ea6e1b629e363a4cd14106f36b2e4ecd1a9b773d50" }, { "row": 47, "col": 139, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 99.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.8826, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2991, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 7.3, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 27.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 0.447, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 0.5352, "grad_tau_local": 0.0236, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 46.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5909, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "33e1440928974f18052d7fc76043db6870190d5abcb45597b3cf5cef45ab9091", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5909, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cc9498a31d1c52ffd0250fc53c828d096a59df010c9c5f774d15c90d4354d9c6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6cad5f5296eda41e1c774544874c476bf7e6f46f6cf6cbef264aa8a3f4c0e89d66bf382f8e36e397088eb2a4b5c436cecf0196a2822ba9c335397a91e079b304" } }, "receipt_sha256": "cc9498a31d1c52ffd0250fc53c828d096a59df010c9c5f774d15c90d4354d9c6" }, { "row": 49, "col": 75, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -29.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6847, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1967, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 33.3, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 6.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 8.339, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.3146, "grad_tau_local": 0.0404, "depth_trend": -0.17, "spatial_concentration": 82.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5699, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "2c35bcf65bac3cb02b3cb742d24881ad2206aa2c8be4b5eb86e4af7117218c19", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5699, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e300ed929de022e81eece67dc9fb9d81bc890367255554d7ed35c0bf94cebb21", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "57fd80223363c8b39deb3e6e240665a24b482fe97e6747270fb1bb93be14e3b1d1f52c2a8de0152b48af356aee280dd1b4af5da0aaebd45cc1fe3696930b6e0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e300ed929de022e81eece67dc9fb9d81bc890367255554d7ed35c0bf94cebb21" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 33, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6129, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6711, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.752, "b_trend": 0.0848, "ell_km": 19.9, "ell_trend": -0.99, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 869.41, "S_over_Gamma": 13.389, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5584, "grad_tau_local": 0.3103, "depth_trend": -2.75, "spatial_concentration": 76.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5547, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "90bca88f14e3c95ec6ad7b2e89848bfc9f60830fe1e95553c6bdd258ca509f4f", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5547, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3c353a2191cc6b1e3120f55a15ddf89b9f48ba116b97f4e6742e45be6bd84798", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "33b348458687331945947b5b69329adae498916b5592d87db8749fbb3fd891a9948060be29c50faf972ddbf19199a29bab55c19228c0e56d77e5e8109f9d370c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3c353a2191cc6b1e3120f55a15ddf89b9f48ba116b97f4e6742e45be6bd84798" }, { "row": 37, "col": 67, "lat": 15.0, "lon": -45.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.7019, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.285, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 7.9, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 2.57, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 0.503, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 0.4569, "grad_tau_local": 0.0767, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 72.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5498, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "d7d083bac9d4e479162427eea1b5336514ed44a0b5dd13f6a3add48eac7c8ab3", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5498, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2e3a2bd567cfc2f4520867a4d6b2d9b628707437ecf6186140a80956e07caf8a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "299ffcd53bcf585c89f318b546b3a4362d19c0ebc80861a5f171fb2618ef8815708af99fccfc07527121ce6e6b6b6970d6c679c5389f89afa9c2a53d10c8d402" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2e3a2bd567cfc2f4520867a4d6b2d9b628707437ecf6186140a80956e07caf8a" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 65, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6144, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7322, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.226, "b_trend": 0.0089, "ell_km": 37.4, "ell_trend": 1.11, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 1257.34, "S_over_Gamma": 13.948, "days_to_criticality": 20.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.8371, "grad_tau_local": 1.6118, "depth_trend": -2.99, "spatial_concentration": 48.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4958, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "59ab7d99bc7e99779d378fb91869429d7117130cb7b637dfb0ef425737157966", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4958, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e4d73d03c5e9172a20d74baf5d2abf9d76a765a42d85cac16958c38e4a14d7fe", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "dfcccc93013867bea33297ac0fed4c5482859a423b2a1f6caaa3db55e5bd9600cc18a040dcc7e0249d75f3e27b702386c15bd0eb823181ad79841cf6db228c07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e4d73d03c5e9172a20d74baf5d2abf9d76a765a42d85cac16958c38e4a14d7fe" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 40, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6144, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7286, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.238, "b_trend": -0.0081, "ell_km": 38.5, "ell_trend": 0.41, "rate_acceleration": 1.15, "delta_aic_iet": 1366.52, "S_over_Gamma": 13.694, "days_to_criticality": 37.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5987, "grad_tau_local": 1.4389, "depth_trend": -4.61, "spatial_concentration": 62.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4907, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "8eafe120afbb14be536bc92c624a6794a7d083ad51addb17c5b4b90d3d7c561f", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4907, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d6a30e9d4b45fe1c6483ab8a5b143a1b41286dad68ff0e4a6982d625839917f7", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "22bb81f84d8912755783d16f6e3daa512f25bed46e0d50b0be3a3c14882b1c44bf739836a26493f9251d86c22a102efeece4c0b7d3f3adb9c5b0ff670d0af205" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d6a30e9d4b45fe1c6483ab8a5b143a1b41286dad68ff0e4a6982d625839917f7" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.8869, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2661, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.919, "b_trend": -0.0056, "ell_km": 3.5, "ell_trend": 0.29, "rate_acceleration": 0.9, "delta_aic_iet": 551.22, "S_over_Gamma": 13.608, "days_to_criticality": 20.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7447, "grad_tau_local": 0.8344, "depth_trend": 0.11, "spatial_concentration": 74.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4691, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "014de72492fcc42966b5391bfe203a5d4c625600d7241f4334e30d3dffd92c8c", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4691, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "57ad045fc93d1bab88667131fb04f952afb91274974228b24e3a1c6feb354ee4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2b61473260a07b31b7c71c07d4b90160bbd6f5ee693bd1a799b48d2ec7febf52b139be7bf656ca961ef32fcbf0de374cabd247d215b9af61b404d239e9947d01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "57ad045fc93d1bab88667131fb04f952afb91274974228b24e3a1c6feb354ee4" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6541, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6189, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.106, "b_trend": 0.0318, "ell_km": 16.2, "ell_trend": -0.33, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 698.17, "S_over_Gamma": 14.19, "days_to_criticality": 21.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5077, "grad_tau_local": 2.2888, "depth_trend": -2.25, "spatial_concentration": 43.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4502, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "d4f649db83c5d7f9abf7ef02e7e5dc2f4df7432cfd9404737447531f1d125ca2", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4502, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "14bf2f3c16d81db1afbf060f205cc9187bbe7be9c0ff5bc29407c3375af5698a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4ab81b2d65c18ce1d3d71dad32390626d56d55ec3bfc72de899be54b87ee86c75e9845994c08427b1b72e73502f09a2f09d1207e069b4af651ab2f26420b7209" } }, "receipt_sha256": "14bf2f3c16d81db1afbf060f205cc9187bbe7be9c0ff5bc29407c3375af5698a" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6017, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6723, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.745, "b_trend": 0.0903, "ell_km": 21.7, "ell_trend": 0.11, "rate_acceleration": 0.96, "delta_aic_iet": 766.73, "S_over_Gamma": 13.561, "days_to_criticality": 21.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2706, "grad_tau_local": 0.6563, "depth_trend": -4.07, "spatial_concentration": 92.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4476, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "0634924d1ec4921eec1bd5ac7c288518a407c6b1131e6f49b1f7b48d1ec68da9", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4476, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9b6f595072195bbfa9df15763cf39127c62701d27b58fc4865663003c8e86644", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "be17064de945a570c410394afeaf4e73d007d545d690ab5c29ce6db4130aebb7cdc21273164a6a6d28af57ffa12e8849cf1031ffdda47c534d0577add68db906" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9b6f595072195bbfa9df15763cf39127c62701d27b58fc4865663003c8e86644" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 30, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6017, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3772, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.622, "b_trend": 0.1355, "ell_km": 73.4, "ell_trend": 0.41, "rate_acceleration": 1.72, "delta_aic_iet": 726.24, "S_over_Gamma": 13.553, "days_to_criticality": -0.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.9616, "depth_trend": -7.32, "spatial_concentration": 117.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4396, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "f04318968f81b65ab36a5422e260f0ff7488e5106727de69f6451c3c9fa67920", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4396, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2e535d3b2091e10c8f17e22885d362b12fce766da16e952151825f291898512a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0ef7ec0614fb038bab317198ba122bd8363d00fb93e1b6d2033464249ae66dcd60f19216ef248c5dde9a1f0202556cdec856f548c6126aad0e79505b37b30e04" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2e535d3b2091e10c8f17e22885d362b12fce766da16e952151825f291898512a" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 137, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6955, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1983, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.535, "b_trend": 0.0041, "ell_km": 10.1, "ell_trend": -9.21, "rate_acceleration": 2.95, "delta_aic_iet": 417.6, "S_over_Gamma": 13.814, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.3611, "grad_tau_local": 1.7691, "depth_trend": -6.01, "spatial_concentration": 124.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4394, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "95e3228e5e86455a6749b99fba6defc1072ba688ede3f8bf1acec0c5e9cff9dd", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4394, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0004d168f378b66dca897aed1666223dd9252905f1ed589556f9bd15c7025c7b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "41548a5bd5d05df6c56b899de124a1fee94e25e0c83be4814dd0050a0d9c64e5a1fdf95dda4ee6fc3c01c74ada00ea1895f8a6264e11c62a63d67659dc8f380e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0004d168f378b66dca897aed1666223dd9252905f1ed589556f9bd15c7025c7b" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 32, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.5731, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4687, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.643, "b_trend": 0.0948, "ell_km": 65.8, "ell_trend": -1.49, "rate_acceleration": 2.29, "delta_aic_iet": 819.19, "S_over_Gamma": 13.33, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3356, "grad_tau_local": 1.1329, "depth_trend": -10.53, "spatial_concentration": 71.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4368, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "b9b552dec19e02c3986883ef53f44f92de0d8fa8ed08f784c3954d0e7a565ed5", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4368, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "92e975527691575d647cac39ceb0d6149395e1f33d6bb342882b74b89471c0e4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "38d21ff35e2d222e0f7a88866f863e349eeb379882006be795556d1f678e8fae6f9081f17031da5fb40b34d6f7a41c6225e22f40c5e2fc0981608b917615d505" } }, "receipt_sha256": "92e975527691575d647cac39ceb0d6149395e1f33d6bb342882b74b89471c0e4" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.59, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.499, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.856, "b_trend": -0.2077, "ell_km": 84.3, "ell_trend": 0.38, "rate_acceleration": 0.71, "delta_aic_iet": 606.59, "S_over_Gamma": 12.933, "days_to_criticality": 303.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6823, "grad_tau_local": 0.2274, "depth_trend": 5.61, "spatial_concentration": 80.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4353, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "9da90cfa2e5a8d34187ae87e4131549e3fd2204cd501170a7badb8f4991dd03b", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4353, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5634c6feb2d2bcfa80857d90d505da829a4695d54635f68aa0f00500ef044c82", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5aa4a16fd214c19375490aabcbeefda9a84c23b1f76c7f8b8fa5849e6b4d24b8079119bbd63aa04ea6013f860f310ddee821ccb9d53255da055b1204bacfad03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5634c6feb2d2bcfa80857d90d505da829a4695d54635f68aa0f00500ef044c82" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6824, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4604, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.742, "b_trend": 0.0576, "ell_km": 22.1, "ell_trend": -0.6, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 911.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.442, "days_to_criticality": 21.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.818, "grad_tau_local": 1.0896, "depth_trend": -2.51, "spatial_concentration": 62.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4312, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "e2cbcfa5f6c40cc5f1c9ee2cabe4170d5ff8fcdb8c4b0d2b7f34ae4fb9efe42f", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4312, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5bef2680cb224c6766b414720ef4f1826ebb39529de03efccfea2c193886a46b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8f43bc1c50508d44f33c12af4464f1820186c9e807e80f37ee1252274b0b591f0e76ef95dc7a647823dd8835a02caabbf053dd8a2975af743e27bd6af76ad70a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5bef2680cb224c6766b414720ef4f1826ebb39529de03efccfea2c193886a46b" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6809, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6233, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.992, "b_trend": 0.0977, "ell_km": 2.5, "ell_trend": 0.2, "rate_acceleration": 0.82, "delta_aic_iet": 460.23, "S_over_Gamma": 13.049, "days_to_criticality": 20.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3811, "grad_tau_local": 0.9067, "depth_trend": -0.79, "spatial_concentration": 79.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4294, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "bf8a551b15778eb5f188ab6aa8b662e39d4a7bcddde7ac195ab9e4677473779c", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4294, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "399b2cb88095c68ca58105908b569695bdfe3319f6e8433e5222ff12a21097a9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "13d05fff30f8de0e8db70971ff3b8ad8c78a93f3d1773ed5227874aa868a5fe8556f4e2f6a2828e86cc751c735e0a364ef5e5236f61255bbe2651fba54599402" } }, "receipt_sha256": "399b2cb88095c68ca58105908b569695bdfe3319f6e8433e5222ff12a21097a9" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6098, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4588, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.07, "b_trend": -0.1534, "ell_km": 84.2, "ell_trend": -0.27, "rate_acceleration": 0.86, "delta_aic_iet": 778.26, "S_over_Gamma": 13.211, "days_to_criticality": 2097.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9752, "grad_tau_local": 1.5225, "depth_trend": 1.86, "spatial_concentration": 68.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4273, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "44aee6c038e5bb2ee42eadd924e76df770ce2a708ab052c6c59ea782a93bfea0", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4273, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4f3eba02fa8c27fcd00c1b68693c77c8810af283c78611b493188dfbebc64c4d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5766df60262593daa182e3f18f70fd777f7dfac86d6c5d44a1c66c04a177c4d3785976a8967a38e10297c475d2fa4858b2a57829ef7203c8b1c4725c046baf00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4f3eba02fa8c27fcd00c1b68693c77c8810af283c78611b493188dfbebc64c4d" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 122, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.5698, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3498, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.63, "b_trend": 0.1171, "ell_km": 14.2, "ell_trend": -5.67, "rate_acceleration": 1.56, "delta_aic_iet": 1042.7, "S_over_Gamma": 13.703, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9917, "grad_tau_local": 0.8453, "depth_trend": 3.23, "spatial_concentration": 75.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4266, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "fcdf2f8d1e912b4f0589ea152827c6141ff6ea2e1851c2d85540cb4b1c6dbd78", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4266, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "178b5c1cd4db0e9412bb2e1a2eb89d925cbf44b381492c101bba8d5e4d451184", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "01828e9a4325cc091c596d271c9139bb4dd058dad378548f4f6b97ca89948d790707f567593ec34910069da3667ffb7ba67fcebe1287a3d5a6957e1ef72cbe0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "178b5c1cd4db0e9412bb2e1a2eb89d925cbf44b381492c101bba8d5e4d451184" }, { "row": 61, "col": 13, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.7094, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3911, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.835, "b_trend": 0.1239, "ell_km": 87.4, "ell_trend": -1.53, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 527.37, "S_over_Gamma": 13.727, "days_to_criticality": 2097.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3295, "grad_tau_local": 2.1482, "depth_trend": 1.2, "spatial_concentration": 69.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4257, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "8dab27c0c42cab37ee557540d6976142b290cf2d05317e4429ea4f52fcdfa203", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4257, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "16c7ef9ec141bd94b4c8f53a22701a7cba929c9ae7f3b6bf69953bfe4ea0cfd3", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2db38f7bb61fb15044327c94bca5098e1a3d4598110828bae1b3646510c1ea43770220ec9925ea46bb294c3daee3d96ffdc7fb3a25b104079c116b4a28b39500" } }, "receipt_sha256": "16c7ef9ec141bd94b4c8f53a22701a7cba929c9ae7f3b6bf69953bfe4ea0cfd3" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.5904, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6607, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.636, "b_trend": 0.1103, "ell_km": 13.3, "ell_trend": -8.87, "rate_acceleration": 1.64, "delta_aic_iet": 874.19, "S_over_Gamma": 13.741, "days_to_criticality": 22.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2923, "grad_tau_local": 1.4659, "depth_trend": 3.68, "spatial_concentration": 82.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4241, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "1536a550f9d47d64eaf3efacc1de12e0c38d1ec58f2c4d3f74ffeeda8b342713", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4241, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "828941118b51205241dade925585ed0df16d9274a632b51432a5296f37a57b36", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f1a33b24f56fba9a14a7e5da14e722034ea70e72375824f976d5ef2deda23bc90f01d71890aeca7376a008a84a64b19689747941991fc3c50deb2d832eb0a80e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "828941118b51205241dade925585ed0df16d9274a632b51432a5296f37a57b36" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 30, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.5009, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5507, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.653, "b_trend": 0.1037, "ell_km": 12.4, "ell_trend": -9.3, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 909.73, "S_over_Gamma": 13.503, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6969, "grad_tau_local": 0.62, "depth_trend": 3.64, "spatial_concentration": 77.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4214, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "615c7c1d8b69d0e0850c7d242789683c997d58919f74c654b1055803e73720a1", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4214, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "795614d21b9898570db60f132a857a6cec105a190cebf169ede4a87bd8432a80", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "939c5615e23973a07f4cb8e96d232280a8e46fc20c1e0813e5fd963499675d8a84593aa6c466c33a65005daca187155d05a92418a8651d32839b7d459839900f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "795614d21b9898570db60f132a857a6cec105a190cebf169ede4a87bd8432a80" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.4036, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1886, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.646, "b_trend": 0.0845, "ell_km": 70.9, "ell_trend": -1.84, "rate_acceleration": 2.15, "delta_aic_iet": 871.68, "S_over_Gamma": 13.306, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9616, "grad_tau_local": 3.174, "depth_trend": -8.6, "spatial_concentration": 163.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4166, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "f58274581f03276e4ae92477d4793f079aa5506b1c60f1932431c7097d2f44c8", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4166, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2a1f2115baff0ec53444be6448d86846d4189d3c960e8aeec2ed7ba860204531", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "282a79598afbbc620e98e52ef362fc30ea3e7dac40f077f8ae2f0a548d57453f3dd36735f7ed03aa8907eecea389b40ea11a116d840337f91ae7b29ea3177602" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2a1f2115baff0ec53444be6448d86846d4189d3c960e8aeec2ed7ba860204531" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.7838, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7194, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.871, "b_trend": 0.1009, "ell_km": 94.5, "ell_trend": -1.72, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 602.7, "S_over_Gamma": 13.288, "days_to_criticality": 2097.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3403, "grad_tau_local": 1.9492, "depth_trend": 2.69, "spatial_concentration": 73.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.416, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "83a19e6f9bf749e5061bee29aa02fe79b9f845c7a642ffce8fc9e5315db709a0", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.416, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e5a9a5f1caae69d52f0370512bd2cdbb9442080256b74c76ef491905eea73656", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "229b325493d13fd4cf300a57307e137a95eb7c08b7c5e9293a037f24b0c46fb5b9f0f36d322d4afa2e82c8c4358fc7178fabecfb49ea5697592c55c34777730a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e5a9a5f1caae69d52f0370512bd2cdbb9442080256b74c76ef491905eea73656" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.5706, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1659, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.27, "b_trend": -0.0061, "ell_km": 19.4, "ell_trend": -0.84, "rate_acceleration": 1.28, "delta_aic_iet": 924.33, "S_over_Gamma": 13.302, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9611, "grad_tau_local": 2.07, "depth_trend": -3.54, "spatial_concentration": 57.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4156, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "abc87e29791590e2993438df75f0eb33423d37e0cc69b072bd2583b570b7c052", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4156, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7dbfe8a9564fc77d6101c9385913dc2e2569c3e8e3286ed37b7a86c7b557e2cc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "108fc1dfd301d8c23277e50e8caaab2260cab596b663a70d1db063e0245e11d5a059e70687333e7f83b992e6849da1c71438011f3badc554a6b0eb809cf44707" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7dbfe8a9564fc77d6101c9385913dc2e2569c3e8e3286ed37b7a86c7b557e2cc" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.7572, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1724, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.76, "b_trend": 0.155, "ell_km": 21.5, "ell_trend": 0.1, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 706.52, "S_over_Gamma": 13.456, "days_to_criticality": 22.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3898, "grad_tau_local": 1.1635, "depth_trend": -0.36, "spatial_concentration": 76.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4152, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "f2710e7180abf3ff409096e146719964f5313bbd877e87496bc5c532a21906c0", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4152, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ffa92872ed839d1fb61c4bc7f2b2f71e90f0d1b6499fdcd05c859d1d886d2c65", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "67d55ea40bd1d0cb54289f2fa6b60e4da36baae73dce306ecc45a09950ab8a7efa9217544cb3ce964ab28a36ad615f9f7f4967cbde5a62166ad4e16f0ad5be0d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ffa92872ed839d1fb61c4bc7f2b2f71e90f0d1b6499fdcd05c859d1d886d2c65" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6058, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.299, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.841, "b_trend": 0.0195, "ell_km": 88.6, "ell_trend": -0.15, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 829.08, "S_over_Gamma": 13.013, "days_to_criticality": 2097.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5356, "grad_tau_local": 0.4307, "depth_trend": 0.06, "spatial_concentration": 68.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4139, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "79d159ffd04c7c02568c1bf7853ad807ccbc980de0dcbb7a7e1915bdb5148949", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4139, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b1b6418983367c74a9c195ad91eadc4c9d1fbc8bea22f4a8bb12f447f93a0904", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5c272f05968e031a3ed41dc7c96bb506fbdf1ac1ae701db41eb12cbeac831941f212890e0c3292dfde64f05bdacc1e531eab5629efa8d9c9248698a0c9c03d0c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b1b6418983367c74a9c195ad91eadc4c9d1fbc8bea22f4a8bb12f447f93a0904" }, { "row": 56, "col": 2, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6348, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2581, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.644, "b_trend": 0.1003, "ell_km": 59.8, "ell_trend": -0.91, "rate_acceleration": 2.39, "delta_aic_iet": 748.17, "S_over_Gamma": 13.817, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9736, "grad_tau_local": 2.2236, "depth_trend": -11.76, "spatial_concentration": 67.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4129, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "2ec0eb4c9013687b8527a5588844a64525eb15396618d8d9340c55051ff8c920", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4129, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a5df0615a157d6e74f3ad05853c1a939cc8ec4a94c6f79dc97907d6e04314014", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2989a4dee8fbc66aa2fcfa80a91d99f1f8be10598fdddd921871c901a341d210c992ff9ba14da8218177079b7831f5607f76b18a34e9ce15951ecf76dafc1b00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a5df0615a157d6e74f3ad05853c1a939cc8ec4a94c6f79dc97907d6e04314014" }, { "row": 50, "col": 28, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6084, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.133, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.874, "b_trend": 0.0003, "ell_km": 6.4, "ell_trend": -0.14, "rate_acceleration": 1.14, "delta_aic_iet": 381.04, "S_over_Gamma": 12.968, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2659, "grad_tau_local": 0.8351, "depth_trend": 0.14, "spatial_concentration": 77.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4117, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "3d3863ef1068c14b1958895cc2e675a97dfd1168a16b5963b7db565adfcf6185", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4117, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0943ce7e243fb05155cea96266f3da3119f2a63bcaf43e0ff6195e37dc65205a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a10c54f644d3c49573c82aa453652444e076d417994ccf92d76c43cbd6a75327f3a1f5ab1818c9b831ea10d110abf8b792f2c9a4f89b9c31a455be89d918170c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0943ce7e243fb05155cea96266f3da3119f2a63bcaf43e0ff6195e37dc65205a" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.5846, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0609, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.593, "b_trend": -0.0179, "ell_km": 10.8, "ell_trend": -0.77, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 350.62, "S_over_Gamma": 13.131, "days_to_criticality": 19.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3797, "grad_tau_local": 0.6515, "depth_trend": 0.17, "spatial_concentration": 80.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4075, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "2e37f4f7a9d93c8a1ecf397fe2fc8cd8bcd2b9b9d406c7f033772b56104681aa", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4075, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e8b49723a7fd36a18dbee4fcc8f3b889ce7865c65bd8754b865b7a2fa65bc1a9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9d160abb71d0039b195f5879e1f58125b6ea6f11db6e8c982214de777073c29743276534bd6f8a99ff26d90da515a42d91b8c08aee85b82958bb50319d54b106" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e8b49723a7fd36a18dbee4fcc8f3b889ce7865c65bd8754b865b7a2fa65bc1a9" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6126, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4383, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.67, "b_trend": 0.1039, "ell_km": 13.0, "ell_trend": -5.9, "rate_acceleration": 1.1, "delta_aic_iet": 987.35, "S_over_Gamma": 13.227, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.1675, "grad_tau_local": 0.2004, "depth_trend": 3.9, "spatial_concentration": 69.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4066, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "03a362df00ef42d5fc771e8760852f02c0a925cccd9aa3701b3adc4f3921e4df", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4066, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "13f76e9cfc63e76305e199d53c3a5f5de75da4b8c2bf08d5a50fd963472fdb30", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "89a0ef99e78a17fa22616016c045d891a23748ddf5248ae69b98786f4b4dcc04cdf4dcb2e86a535733aaa9207dc106bae17faf905998cdadb4e07ff6c214be0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "13f76e9cfc63e76305e199d53c3a5f5de75da4b8c2bf08d5a50fd963472fdb30" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 68, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.8068, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3967, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.523, "b_trend": 0.0353, "ell_km": 10.0, "ell_trend": -7.83, "rate_acceleration": 3.12, "delta_aic_iet": 279.07, "S_over_Gamma": 10.284, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.7393, "grad_tau_local": 1.956, "depth_trend": -7.73, "spatial_concentration": 103.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4042, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "7e476a761ebb5319f5b76ab1339bda9e50366882b721432a601a2e3c48d549b2", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4042, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f1bdc307de0d4515e96d495e1719e27be0784121c7851e43e5aff76e0d1a851b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bb8f098841f23b9e617e0956d5caabcd58dcdb099937ab5b511f568300eccb6dd611991a24fc00b271e294480203ae1160f8d205d4e84072e7e5dfa157224106" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f1bdc307de0d4515e96d495e1719e27be0784121c7851e43e5aff76e0d1a851b" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 35, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.5779, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4742, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.732, "b_trend": 0.0817, "ell_km": 33.6, "ell_trend": -8.08, "rate_acceleration": 1.52, "delta_aic_iet": 692.36, "S_over_Gamma": 13.097, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2968, "grad_tau_local": 0.5111, "depth_trend": -7.63, "spatial_concentration": 84.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4023, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "3c9f47926226186543ead36216309567621e8b41cc1c4c27f5b49dc57beffdef", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4023, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "105e8b627c0eabb766f5492b9a96bc78e0b14aa1bc3b25cedf6434016e41d276", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "21a47c2acd8fad07d4810ce0f23494984b9ac9d97659bc80c218401a06947284c252c0dd3e769fe5c53d06a111a45c02c12733565dcaddf883dcaf9644680d0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "105e8b627c0eabb766f5492b9a96bc78e0b14aa1bc3b25cedf6434016e41d276" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6138, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4779, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.854, "b_trend": 0.0099, "ell_km": 103.2, "ell_trend": -14.7, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 503.57, "S_over_Gamma": 12.932, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6628, "grad_tau_local": 0.5569, "depth_trend": -3.95, "spatial_concentration": 78.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4019, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "2448f49d4c69234ab296712a3afc857dff00e6296a7529ba078c1534f9436d0b", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4019, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7ef6bfc822692b3f0894cfde2672214baa7c20c7542b5f8c136ff8f20e52845e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f1b7b6fd8f168671b5edfab13cf7aec010e05ed5b8e65c960306b8bad37d3bc31232d74824bd0b9f082077c54daf8a94ab6fdde55393bd2db058cd7101a75c0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7ef6bfc822692b3f0894cfde2672214baa7c20c7542b5f8c136ff8f20e52845e" }, { "row": 46, "col": 31, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6551, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2794, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.89, "b_trend": -0.0765, "ell_km": 2.7, "ell_trend": -0.3, "rate_acceleration": 0.74, "delta_aic_iet": 442.56, "S_over_Gamma": 13.526, "days_to_criticality": 23.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1803, "grad_tau_local": 1.2673, "depth_trend": 0.66, "spatial_concentration": 73.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4017, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "937f3abda03fa5f30bf996b6a3a6c86907f6f1977d020cad90c20698c8c8a6b9", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4017, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "19080df9f2cda29aa4906cecb348dd8a3c8fae07d39cfed85d5832859a25f0c9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7c5c0c38a9bd333eb92a1a63dbfdc19b474393d192c67fad64d202204e2e15744496fd6962c273896ec0cda49ebe7086cec5875b1643994c5fff8fae1479ca07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "19080df9f2cda29aa4906cecb348dd8a3c8fae07d39cfed85d5832859a25f0c9" }, { "row": 45, "col": 38, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -103.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6024, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1479, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.974, "b_trend": -0.1319, "ell_km": 3.6, "ell_trend": 0.03, "rate_acceleration": 0.76, "delta_aic_iet": 482.68, "S_over_Gamma": 12.784, "days_to_criticality": 20.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6532, "grad_tau_local": 1.1875, "depth_trend": -0.1, "spatial_concentration": 60.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3994, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "f61c3396b72b39166837808b6c0c5abf476f533db9b1f730a42fe9ddceb162e2", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3994, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a81f4069a1d4c728d24827b1c827839c1a5a467aca0f0b5211feb2d3320522d4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1278d45ec557b130712ddd090d603f250a8ef0be732170ae3fd64bc896fb082472894a50b64975a34027975a2a817b0ff1f09bf026a95282a1ad9ab12b821e0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a81f4069a1d4c728d24827b1c827839c1a5a467aca0f0b5211feb2d3320522d4" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6284, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.248, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.732, "b_trend": 0.0473, "ell_km": 22.2, "ell_trend": -0.47, "rate_acceleration": 1.23, "delta_aic_iet": 913.35, "S_over_Gamma": 13.125, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6532, "grad_tau_local": 1.2299, "depth_trend": -2.8, "spatial_concentration": 71.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3974, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "80a8e8bbdeaacb2bdb2b013bddbe2214a10b0064662f32aef2be9b946606ac1d", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3974, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "02f0908856310354048621e95424f47a58a751b2f30ef2a61b529833f643cc29", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0f5f42fecb80fe074fa2f7120bc89b109af8a341bb6c9f34356db70d753eb1d4fb84b5d7ca97a8e21edc5110e726649deebd048c5987b819c9ed428d7ffede04" } }, "receipt_sha256": "02f0908856310354048621e95424f47a58a751b2f30ef2a61b529833f643cc29" }, { "row": 55, "col": 4, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6781, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3987, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.636, "b_trend": 0.1079, "ell_km": 13.3, "ell_trend": -7.9, "rate_acceleration": 1.61, "delta_aic_iet": 852.19, "S_over_Gamma": 14.483, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7039, "grad_tau_local": 1.3107, "depth_trend": 6.6, "spatial_concentration": 63.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3917, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "56f0b8767d169d16ccaa683e171e6961895e140221e20cdf51ac8bbecb9354ff", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3917, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5fda9b5d8ae916af3a9407c8d75f4806ea629b78f091917552792a9b68e95586", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0bd72f6e18cab0be41e192ab419995314d3d0073cad2f79ac590cafbab3f3ee3ca2a27b8e07cd16703b5d4fd382cd21dbff4d7bb8cb1b121d109a293ba394203" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5fda9b5d8ae916af3a9407c8d75f4806ea629b78f091917552792a9b68e95586" }, { "row": 58, "col": 12, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6169, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3708, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.8, "b_trend": 0.0226, "ell_km": 123.3, "ell_trend": 10.71, "rate_acceleration": 0.8, "delta_aic_iet": 532.11, "S_over_Gamma": 12.835, "days_to_criticality": 72.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9659, "grad_tau_local": 0.4653, "depth_trend": 1.08, "spatial_concentration": 75.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3913, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "feb936c0322c2223f42bc5f9984ca586e00131be90663bf10a8f4ddd735555d5", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3913, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f9b8ec48789fbc3d2ee34d0f95c42a325c707af96afec0d59bac2680990929cf", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "43ae089887ecb5df6dd8eb621f848c58f386e146520e1a325f644a76e51dd77e2117b78c5a6fd1a661caf92387d3af78148f8acc83ab8c60eb0b8c8cbc77f209" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f9b8ec48789fbc3d2ee34d0f95c42a325c707af96afec0d59bac2680990929cf" }, { "row": 46, "col": 32, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -115.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.5875, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2175, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.863, "b_trend": -0.0438, "ell_km": 2.8, "ell_trend": -0.33, "rate_acceleration": 0.56, "delta_aic_iet": 351.99, "S_over_Gamma": 13.473, "days_to_criticality": 20.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1112, "grad_tau_local": 0.9692, "depth_trend": 0.94, "spatial_concentration": 60.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.384, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "2109ce766021a4eab8f60b30efc92edfd3ce5c5b6a5047788be49ec5066a72f6", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.384, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "09c1fc57a224bfb3958b025b840eb48b0f064302bb423293f767f5521531fa00", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a8c3cac5d5b6e60ce9e53ffa8b9e77e5de4b9ea2e0b439b13a1d3869558e6f205e0ae344ed105ab02e4a572285a3144fc72e16a717254dff101f2f7fc9609400" } }, "receipt_sha256": "09c1fc57a224bfb3958b025b840eb48b0f064302bb423293f767f5521531fa00" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.5781, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.346, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.078, "b_trend": 0.0288, "ell_km": 84.5, "ell_trend": 0.11, "rate_acceleration": 0.9, "delta_aic_iet": 799.15, "S_over_Gamma": 12.928, "days_to_criticality": -1.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7367, "grad_tau_local": 0.8942, "depth_trend": 1.22, "spatial_concentration": 68.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3836, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "0b2552b5306db2b6bf8ee33346a0e93c84c8b8403c1ee28279cca682556009a9", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3836, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5a525f1f0f232b20ae269ff1c37f47f29b14964e210b9bc54167e07548eb695d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "99199933f16a4c43b0ec07e941d6ff28b9f60dd8a67abdb90c331fb53c1d4a51a9b6c741277f45391747cc2542100e2680e5c4fd04892684dc025051c3fecc00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5a525f1f0f232b20ae269ff1c37f47f29b14964e210b9bc54167e07548eb695d" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6015, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5025, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.874, "b_trend": 0.0595, "ell_km": 94.9, "ell_trend": -1.72, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 633.73, "S_over_Gamma": 13.222, "days_to_criticality": 2097.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.89, "grad_tau_local": 1.7616, "depth_trend": 3.84, "spatial_concentration": 71.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3788, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "ffbe42f07a8aeab4fd92b647f9a137699bf26c0d23edae51508f7926326a15e8", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3788, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e4196c7ec21425ef288d1ea33e7516c4fbd37f13f03e6417e443c9ed449c3e20", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "acbe054fcbd987c35ca7dbcf7260cb1e70811f7eafafd0ca8320d9deb88ebd134d224197f4a319f157666d581dffc60c8046dcc3b07098e6a1aeb2741152bc03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e4196c7ec21425ef288d1ea33e7516c4fbd37f13f03e6417e443c9ed449c3e20" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 33, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.0286, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3966, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.555, "b_trend": 0.0195, "ell_km": 10.6, "ell_trend": -7.2, "rate_acceleration": 2.57, "delta_aic_iet": 705.7, "S_over_Gamma": 13.58, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.3611, "depth_trend": -6.34, "spatial_concentration": 125.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3779, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "47d9ce3ed883710c1d6312fc1ee4e5190a092fa62c25740fa251113ddc72166d", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3779, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e5a9cb149708f48126e553005768b0f5566aad78709bbb8e9cfddcda97583dae", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "65599e11bd84c42fd9f014f6a92491bf661685f74ee105a5dbc06390589270daa3f27b392fa817442036f53fa78c1e9a7a76b3fd7573d7567680a5b3bad46201" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e5a9cb149708f48126e553005768b0f5566aad78709bbb8e9cfddcda97583dae" }, { "row": 45, "col": 39, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -101.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": null, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0254, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.8, "ell_trend": 0.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.79, "delta_aic_iet": 196.63, "S_over_Gamma": 13.802, "days_to_criticality": 20.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.5833, "grad_tau_local": 1.3628, "depth_trend": -0.47, "spatial_concentration": 49.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3776, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "66b9e7a8abfe17154321492ca2c667bbba0248fff75cb56671331b688fd8ae71", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3776, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "927bdeb9deb3d2b5d9801b4156688305c6c9dd70999980957957b0745b23f728", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "56b3d577ef09d2412374f6497c959bd39b640ea97167777ab600d604001f295ce64c09ee7f859da9c05d21f66298046267bfe040693325e364f92bea1acf4800" } }, "receipt_sha256": "927bdeb9deb3d2b5d9801b4156688305c6c9dd70999980957957b0745b23f728" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6027, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2261, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.145, "b_trend": -0.1753, "ell_km": 3.6, "ell_trend": 0.03, "rate_acceleration": 0.73, "delta_aic_iet": 384.3, "S_over_Gamma": 13.115, "days_to_criticality": 20.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5663, "grad_tau_local": 0.7573, "depth_trend": 0.07, "spatial_concentration": 37.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3667, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "e8e6e0f10a94bc9d927fa85d4bb9e7d1bac99efebc666ca8b5f9dc72761657d1", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3667, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "66a1b16fa4af6820975fd6b09895d6cd81d20b0097bbd09e990819d54ed4b29b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "612ddff9ab3bb59805b6452b4d8ad5c74d1c504feb4108ec28e7c7c2e12b4130868d204cf02ec29e6b624c2bb69471e4b5fd64de5e5a729d73c96b88ec638705" } }, "receipt_sha256": "66a1b16fa4af6820975fd6b09895d6cd81d20b0097bbd09e990819d54ed4b29b" }, { "row": 58, "col": 13, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6171, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2996, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.871, "b_trend": 0.1043, "ell_km": 81.5, "ell_trend": 0.57, "rate_acceleration": 0.79, "delta_aic_iet": 604.74, "S_over_Gamma": 13.388, "days_to_criticality": 276.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9338, "grad_tau_local": 1.1752, "depth_trend": 0.2, "spatial_concentration": 71.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.364, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "260c0d6df5a9dede4e72815a58761947bc38a1b95e4f27e7f9f16ea0edbd3922", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.364, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f7c487032d49eefb1c75767d8813c023a13be69a037c4075de5903ab4461ba54", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d040bf4fce771d641e9bdca368615b11c451b52c396e46fdd24cca830117b7041973a488f2a93cfa638b28b4f34368d6b273415568be858e6e9150be019a100b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f7c487032d49eefb1c75767d8813c023a13be69a037c4075de5903ab4461ba54" }, { "row": 50, "col": 35, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6369, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0851, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 2.5, "ell_trend": -0.24, "rate_acceleration": 1.63, "delta_aic_iet": 52.81, "S_over_Gamma": 13.933, "days_to_criticality": 2097.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6721, "grad_tau_local": 0.4135, "depth_trend": -4.91, "spatial_concentration": 80.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3581, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "0c013181f582bc47c33fa4cadbf3d4148062cd95712a9c07898a759f42f196cb", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3581, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c60e2886d42783d3f68b2293bab5dd0e6a98ee7743f325ec8f6739b1065eadfc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "667a1a12b70f332a47f7787db915ce95a679388068f5d0c85a96859d8cba51d43514f3d3b752aa7cc0ca933f72402ea653f2a799a6be0f8fa434d48432ccd30c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c60e2886d42783d3f68b2293bab5dd0e6a98ee7743f325ec8f6739b1065eadfc" }, { "row": 49, "col": 30, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.1952, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2617, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.879, "b_trend": -0.0468, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": 0.38, "rate_acceleration": 0.46, "delta_aic_iet": 418.7, "S_over_Gamma": 12.342, "days_to_criticality": 32.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.5592, "grad_tau_local": 0.4909, "depth_trend": -0.71, "spatial_concentration": 84.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3542, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "ed8d5617c880c302b4986ef80d6b73e5d682e4c76dd149453e3434ea7066fd18", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3542, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b36db31c5b66697231a6128aed28f6e9178129fad9676ffc7066d2886525647c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "885ab1c1c00d460bf8dac2b50e15eae2062e2cb1ab6abda29881591d65285b558b269b4bc056f0a982c6e373ceb0f138b2760b8958e87c209bbdece3dc170304" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b36db31c5b66697231a6128aed28f6e9178129fad9676ffc7066d2886525647c" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 2.7, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.5719, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1336, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.851, "b_trend": 0.1311, "ell_km": 108.6, "ell_trend": -0.16, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 573.7, "S_over_Gamma": 12.493, "days_to_criticality": 0.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7964, "grad_tau_local": 0.9802, "depth_trend": 4.21, "spatial_concentration": 77.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3399, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "edfe34097685b5bb3f02807325fc8fa972770ba1817801b0bcac5c16e15b1178", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3399, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "da9995d3364ec16509160bbff5e8b19bc67c496a54a6702987ef908e0c5d3ffb", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7006adb34c95b3fc111016535d7a4a6b50d402811d8117dce576605e3e741993062009ac65403ffacba3240bcb3ceb9a46ebc190e9961d9c261d5a4d37dcba05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "da9995d3364ec16509160bbff5e8b19bc67c496a54a6702987ef908e0c5d3ffb" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.5731, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2932, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.483, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.3, "ell_trend": 4.92, "rate_acceleration": 0.92, "delta_aic_iet": 217.4, "S_over_Gamma": 13.193, "days_to_criticality": 58.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1502, "grad_tau_local": 0.9533, "depth_trend": 0.43, "spatial_concentration": 82.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3376, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "699c570a63c3fa8d7113f293469c4e3ffd8bef311ae612c94d9d3e8ee9627524", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3376, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2f5b7f0741ed484e61242ca0a42719e0ad51c8f3259e3d40efd77fae10fcea4f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "45af6d6506311c224dc5ed24935a7930273688136b59984662d31f8abda29da48a47d2e6e10eb2df5f25a5a2e9bdadd427aba0d98f452e146be94a6ac1b6590f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2f5b7f0741ed484e61242ca0a42719e0ad51c8f3259e3d40efd77fae10fcea4f" }, { "row": 48, "col": 31, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6319, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0293, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.912, "b_trend": -0.1004, "ell_km": 2.0, "ell_trend": -0.04, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 347.53, "S_over_Gamma": 13.476, "days_to_criticality": -14.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1219, "grad_tau_local": 0.4752, "depth_trend": -0.91, "spatial_concentration": 55.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3309, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "488641262d205ef47cd2afdc9ca5ce380064948a14670b3eef563e28c15f3167", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3309, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "56e97c0e8fea6aad7decb264c16100ee90e5108b422bf885283e82c57fc5c8aa", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2d33ee831bac10533a1cf0196405d7b1d062e39623f3787b99413951486ba2a2db978981f82204393a18e3b42e629b85a6d1d26654628ccf85529401cf3a030f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "56e97c0e8fea6aad7decb264c16100ee90e5108b422bf885283e82c57fc5c8aa" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0352, "prob_30d_local": 0.6054, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0298, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.851, "b_trend": 0.1757, "ell_km": 24.9, "ell_trend": 1.74, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 294.14, "S_over_Gamma": 13.273, "days_to_criticality": 19.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8817, "grad_tau_local": 1.2753, "depth_trend": -0.71, "spatial_concentration": 50.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3134, "confidence_lo": 0.0352, "confidence_hi": 0.0352, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1ff3183c413f6d4d9736d9691672fdfb257efb9c6af4836af9db2245839a2149", "input_sha256": "4e3af6ae5fbd3eec9e30d54c6277c72ab3333e9ef5445ee19093cc399e472ff1", "issued_at": "2026-08-14T03:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3134, "probability": 0.035206, "confidence_lo": 0.035179, "confidence_hi": 0.035207, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d3afec6c01c290c53e67b71b66f0bc6b4033d37e619bac568eada6982c693147", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7125a180dac5775d81c617e14c8bbe09ec48c00f37d5b34f86c49c1088999dab2a5cb024a8946af80cfac9a17d687cf8710ce0dbf11a2510ad3b2f258e67350e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d3afec6c01c290c53e67b71b66f0bc6b4033d37e619bac568eada6982c693147" } ] }