{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260811_0200", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-07-07T02:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "n_events": 33190, "n_recent_events": 2218 }, "n_active_cells": 92, "top_probability": 0.5091, "active_cells": [ { "row": 18, "col": 0, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.7597, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4303, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.565, "b_trend": -0.1237, "ell_km": 56.3, "ell_trend": -0.99, "rate_acceleration": 0.92, "delta_aic_iet": 282.51, "S_over_Gamma": 15.242, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.9181, "depth_trend": 1.6, "spatial_concentration": 84.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9942, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "ebcd2463c83e27ae731ed91ae4e46227afc1c7e105e44e7e44e58d3801d339c2", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9942, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "700d62aa30f5856c8e62298bcf8594137e5b3b685a68a9fd0a3d13f7f1089e35", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "06c017d66e60360433615ffb0fad286fa7ce328a2d7b36c1b6cb734f88797e40f3282b1baa12ebb18a5b2303cfaaa530d0b71378860f95b1680396649512bf05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "700d62aa30f5856c8e62298bcf8594137e5b3b685a68a9fd0a3d13f7f1089e35" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.7584, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6997, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.367, "b_trend": 0.1533, "ell_km": 92.5, "ell_trend": 3.74, "rate_acceleration": 0.6, "delta_aic_iet": 218.09, "S_over_Gamma": 15.464, "days_to_criticality": 126.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.005, "grad_tau_local": 1.0796, "depth_trend": -7.41, "spatial_concentration": 71.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9906, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "d2f57165b99c68581a809bec44271d07590a0d408067dded71a6db0e9829e713", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9906, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b0b7d2583d3a793974e6861d4753b82f343e1b422e61705c3afe6248c56315df", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9e59cfbe85305a9c2fac68d0720bcc0a4c236c11a08c02e2b5b9bd11c9ec45ae437c240403abc65b29558781a92ed962fce3838b7c130369cff7ad80b234b308" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b0b7d2583d3a793974e6861d4753b82f343e1b422e61705c3afe6248c56315df" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 46, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.2407, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.744, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.151, "b_trend": -0.0894, "ell_km": 39.3, "ell_trend": -4.86, "rate_acceleration": 4.26, "delta_aic_iet": 364.36, "S_over_Gamma": 15.847, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.3805, "grad_tau_local": 0.9353, "depth_trend": -27.74, "spatial_concentration": 86.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9892, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "e6a109c9b8cfa518279fe46a1254f48d2397eac83d6a51f02921369992730fdf", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9892, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5381f3f1e3e3e7143d43385d644ff916d11e38264525e6a5c771e3d9a56c5d8d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6c11a5a4aca2024bb7568fdd30710eea8e50912820dc959a9701baab4299d1cc44f49177b621eba15a782a954c3762e5b04450f5e8af134bfbe65b29c9d1be02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5381f3f1e3e3e7143d43385d644ff916d11e38264525e6a5c771e3d9a56c5d8d" }, { "row": 32, "col": 153, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.8312, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6746, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.157, "b_trend": 0.0039, "ell_km": 49.1, "ell_trend": 0.23, "rate_acceleration": 3.21, "delta_aic_iet": 450.91, "S_over_Gamma": 15.801, "days_to_criticality": 1075.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.6224, "grad_tau_local": 1.4379, "depth_trend": -9.02, "spatial_concentration": 74.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9879, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "abaa68891da22e98f7dda7fd4113845baf5e3de4ba424c05293e2d0a64703cd3", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9879, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b2ecd8455832d1324c82114c143391995e2c288c7f1096ec61bdc7fe94fee6ee", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "45207096ca8a785ddbfb78150879e7893d2c5e6691b4ce6e00c9118057d4e5ceb6682335262af1a18a7b147e9104d6aacc2dd38e98ea5c5a0f5b8542e898d501" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b2ecd8455832d1324c82114c143391995e2c288c7f1096ec61bdc7fe94fee6ee" }, { "row": 27, "col": 141, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 103.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.9104, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5671, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 113.5, "ell_trend": 14.83, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 52.54, "S_over_Gamma": 16.518, "days_to_criticality": 30.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3353, "grad_tau_local": 0.1457, "depth_trend": -21.82, "spatial_concentration": 83.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9843, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "74d61c4fdbbc7975dec44b4c914a827b6a740e44e52971f085e31f07d94130f3", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9843, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "105bce1e4f97aabc8662d585507773e3cf0dfed5030e534af1888eccbda179d9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "fc02a90ea595a5645771c19fc558b89fca4d7f1bbb7fc5ab6c01a75ec1b9103149f0b17b0f8b3ce3263d3e5c1a935adaf8c46d78754a96543c59112487206c0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "105bce1e4f97aabc8662d585507773e3cf0dfed5030e534af1888eccbda179d9" }, { "row": 18, "col": 56, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.7046, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5154, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.516, "b_trend": 0.051, "ell_km": 35.7, "ell_trend": 1.04, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 271.26, "S_over_Gamma": 15.103, "days_to_criticality": 214.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1479, "grad_tau_local": 0.863, "depth_trend": 3.53, "spatial_concentration": 41.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9824, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "45365a3dce99bb504390a3d0aa975f9377aaa96beb4098338fa9f67464ae4099", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9824, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5c0731fbb76e6a21738f9830842758339014637f7a3dfcae9a6e06b00499e692", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bddd1f1397b880ac6783801ec4377e8319430499128f0b6da3d1714f0abb6abd674f07309aeadbe003536a8afb5960d7ed36e288c7c30cbc2ca7b00974fde103" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5c0731fbb76e6a21738f9830842758339014637f7a3dfcae9a6e06b00499e692" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.8127, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4112, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.133, "b_trend": 0.4314, "ell_km": 38.6, "ell_trend": 1.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 297.24, "S_over_Gamma": 14.342, "days_to_criticality": 18.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.422, "grad_tau_local": 0.5591, "depth_trend": 8.76, "spatial_concentration": 61.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9738, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "48454be0e0d31b4dcf67692d7cd47966b7e8b82809778cc053a7c5058c35a4f7", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9738, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "02270a3f1cd25c351b678843c2d2e0eccef346f6caa5df27e50650c8b3bc48fe", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9936f2b1c4f7b0278c7548436322d584e28371835aca561af6dfe71ff13fd1b5b453fabca178e3216257976d31e839588e78c6ebde8ddcc7e0d40c5b864b4009" } }, "receipt_sha256": "02270a3f1cd25c351b678843c2d2e0eccef346f6caa5df27e50650c8b3bc48fe" }, { "row": 0, "col": 76, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.7294, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4995, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.122, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 62.7, "ell_trend": -1.07, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 154.57, "S_over_Gamma": 15.409, "days_to_criticality": 7.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.1138, "depth_trend": 6.57, "spatial_concentration": 75.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9721, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "3a19af57935666fae4b327c45de1975da92afec7f251fc4ba6d4cde3599a66ff", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9721, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a77035fe1fbdc5f8c68d04acacc77a0326c4480ba7baf2d9e150ceb01e1efdfc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ef596496e13817042e35301fe206c9846725e5c5b3986c75c4321b32d620bf698f644a02c256fd12359fa8df7e06bdef6a897940effa0ebd90d095fd18a46205" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a77035fe1fbdc5f8c68d04acacc77a0326c4480ba7baf2d9e150ceb01e1efdfc" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.7, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.6142, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6059, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.316, "b_trend": -0.1024, "ell_km": 35.7, "ell_trend": -11.78, "rate_acceleration": 0.52, "delta_aic_iet": 552.73, "S_over_Gamma": 15.443, "days_to_criticality": 2096.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.2595, "grad_tau_local": 0.7969, "depth_trend": -7.77, "spatial_concentration": 76.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9715, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "017e16667c125f80629bf3695b3caa0d4acb1e8b3cc21d20d47e7fc0399607cd", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9715, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c98fece958cdab4e0792bf9d5e177710160c65e2eb7952f78402982118d37f2d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c182d7db22a8ea0c387ed57abd376ae60149a4a0bb5bde30839be1d7609a865b185b24620572f103d8e37d8a911831a3d9066ef0f82f85fca7e660d3b52bb70f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c98fece958cdab4e0792bf9d5e177710160c65e2eb7952f78402982118d37f2d" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.6258, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4573, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.071, "b_trend": 0.0773, "ell_km": 66.6, "ell_trend": -2.74, "rate_acceleration": 1.1, "delta_aic_iet": 230.75, "S_over_Gamma": 15.344, "days_to_criticality": 2096.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6052, "grad_tau_local": 0.3906, "depth_trend": -3.27, "spatial_concentration": 83.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.97, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "a9189816595b455a1b6750e33b29c170c1b3bdc65d6e4964af7769a1a2cb1acf", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.97, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "58709116aa6e46db6a70d700a13eb8fc1a902d777c3fc32bb5d67fa82ca0221e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4931ae39c2a4d298f8880c9ef682d78eae310c1ac7445e64b66050355ba430170b44d715ef07400686d31c2a7a0a3543ab633e47bce565cea7b68d2a6226060c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "58709116aa6e46db6a70d700a13eb8fc1a902d777c3fc32bb5d67fa82ca0221e" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.8053, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.545, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.547, "b_trend": -0.4261, "ell_km": 64.4, "ell_trend": 0.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 287.54, "S_over_Gamma": 15.277, "days_to_criticality": 362.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.7406, "depth_trend": -5.59, "spatial_concentration": 96.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.968, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "cfe893edefed41773e045326e111ef435312683439b055f96ddf498115fe0a3d", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.968, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "094d2ade828b4a6ebfe5fbdad88e5cda18d5b705429a31c910a297e283255c2d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6e828523e2480bf8b30234430e64ac9d3a212726626017c6cffed970e291cd7681e795a85bacd6497e4694a809496b5acdc52845f32b9b8d881af06aed06480b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "094d2ade828b4a6ebfe5fbdad88e5cda18d5b705429a31c910a297e283255c2d" }, { "row": 22, "col": 173, "lat": -15.0, "lon": 167.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.0853, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3391, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.145, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 80.9, "ell_trend": -5.25, "rate_acceleration": 0.83, "delta_aic_iet": 179.75, "S_over_Gamma": 15.295, "days_to_criticality": 1785.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.4026, "grad_tau_local": 0.1205, "depth_trend": 8.18, "spatial_concentration": 87.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9654, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "5ddbddb7899018b1efdd60284795c9abdbba321a5afc62112651123f0482f325", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9654, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b784302060e1002276e4fce5f919a49dbbb03bd1da35fc02034e34a31412f4cc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5e5e0d48b3a1faade82072ca82c1f66da44579222cc6c8285bd2a9aa9ea1e57fa632d075622aa5b0fa4dd344700260fb024656e0a1e2582e89df2d59f905ef00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b784302060e1002276e4fce5f919a49dbbb03bd1da35fc02034e34a31412f4cc" }, { "row": 22, "col": 3, "lat": -15.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.3414, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6701, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.046, "b_trend": 0.0225, "ell_km": 71.3, "ell_trend": -5.21, "rate_acceleration": 0.72, "delta_aic_iet": 220.15, "S_over_Gamma": 16.181, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.5819, "grad_tau_local": 0.9185, "depth_trend": -7.73, "spatial_concentration": 53.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.963, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "ff2f1a85519509fc5858720c79c1a393f6ba2e0e0b27dfe59d5e0c40aa9138b0", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.963, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "11a9ce30a6b1b58844d262f92534aa1ac7d47cef4f940ac5f36cd915b1b1ea0e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4d7f1ff7c97963281968a1aa7316a6f42193c1d2b744c712f9cc88ca12f63423b6f5ae7994f5c1723b0bb7274fe717b54ed0670b6f9f05f34ab322dc1a9c0f0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "11a9ce30a6b1b58844d262f92534aa1ac7d47cef4f940ac5f36cd915b1b1ea0e" }, { "row": 0, "col": 77, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -25.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.5545, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0721, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.116, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 68.1, "ell_trend": -0.58, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 145.73, "S_over_Gamma": 15.786, "days_to_criticality": 7.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.0649, "depth_trend": 12.02, "spatial_concentration": 63.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9629, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "ab5d2bf480f1c0db0095e08e174f8b25796b4a7ea010075b0b8c8f156eac9cd8", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9629, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f64ad20078d33d4185fa19c850994ef1c0f02450c31a7d2011c4653c5deace82", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2ff8b8dfc5353c8ce13aa25ab8ec2e82988a165e1a17bfef95765c7ee1b2525a47bf17c604131e13e93a61bab20fa126df4079c6d74e4fbd99fc8dac13ccc50a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f64ad20078d33d4185fa19c850994ef1c0f02450c31a7d2011c4653c5deace82" }, { "row": 15, "col": 1, "lat": -29.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.8292, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3107, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.18, "b_trend": -0.0618, "ell_km": 102.9, "ell_trend": -1.15, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 180.29, "S_over_Gamma": 16.429, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.5802, "grad_tau_local": 0.6636, "depth_trend": 7.0, "spatial_concentration": 77.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9608, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "3f6eafa18f95dac0db5bdc5ed0e555dc98636afd7ba6df5a47ddb6f660c3fbb0", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9608, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1725661006f2e02b9cec420e66738e90ffc33cdca283c00d1223d68cff49cce6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "aae3f90db20b2544bf9d695cb3e77a91766a4837e076bf9617667ef6c2a2fcc4d8b3565dba90b14a14e5e9111ab5dc16070172826584791db280463d1c75b30f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1725661006f2e02b9cec420e66738e90ffc33cdca283c00d1223d68cff49cce6" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.7438, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4851, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.357, "b_trend": 0.1025, "ell_km": 106.1, "ell_trend": -12.59, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 190.86, "S_over_Gamma": 15.024, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1472, "grad_tau_local": 0.6577, "depth_trend": 14.83, "spatial_concentration": 59.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9527, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "30ccd3ee484b728268e17c6814a735f243e1b7bff6292d70996bb370b3cc9298", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9527, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5902778e99f39bac52f95be231b68802819d18a37a6459c0773b0616c912b75c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "91bce3d4e5ce2722742f8787d68640d87f6ab9fb2cd4b431c8fe3819279305d571ece4a8077e18e807f1467646a8421c6dfe2897081155dfce9d66d884d68509" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5902778e99f39bac52f95be231b68802819d18a37a6459c0773b0616c912b75c" }, { "row": 17, "col": 56, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.8226, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4631, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.528, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 29.9, "ell_trend": 1.51, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 145.76, "S_over_Gamma": 15.589, "days_to_criticality": 18.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0163, "grad_tau_local": 0.7794, "depth_trend": 8.66, "spatial_concentration": 66.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9485, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "a65a0ceb9ae55bc52658170220ad82aa83e085acf951101b57650ec257a7556d", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9485, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bf88d243587e498af974746a2c39baf357734e4b3f3b9ff6bb2753dcf17784ee", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "efdbed99f050511a5163bf8070cd32702ab68ff378d615968ef179c115141e9174b1a800737841a227ff59e0fda9dce8b279b7b6d1df309ac4af9c3f1aec0809" } }, "receipt_sha256": "bf88d243587e498af974746a2c39baf357734e4b3f3b9ff6bb2753dcf17784ee" }, { "row": 54, "col": 167, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 155.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.703, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6201, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.158, "b_trend": 0.0099, "ell_km": 60.0, "ell_trend": -2.42, "rate_acceleration": 0.53, "delta_aic_iet": 435.24, "S_over_Gamma": 15.644, "days_to_criticality": 1797.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7198, "grad_tau_local": 1.2296, "depth_trend": 6.06, "spatial_concentration": 83.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.948, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "7101df9a056be01a2d2cf3fc023c1a7cb919e4d4fa504e50b75569578a87dede", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.948, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8de4fd4cfe2dd48fcfef472c5260be16d68bf82b1028a74de07bd8736519bfbe", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f7df8040398d9ebd4e214f5ff5b51e8a0d7a16194f9eec7d826218bdb3d4b6effdfe62c0c52880f11b750025ac2e71a09412c33d8fbe71ed2f4f1b7944152f0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8de4fd4cfe2dd48fcfef472c5260be16d68bf82b1028a74de07bd8736519bfbe" }, { "row": 36, "col": 151, "lat": 13.0, "lon": 123.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.6982, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2595, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 23.8, "ell_trend": 0.38, "rate_acceleration": 0.61, "delta_aic_iet": 136.97, "S_over_Gamma": 15.857, "days_to_criticality": 155.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.827, "grad_tau_local": 0.8224, "depth_trend": 32.11, "spatial_concentration": 84.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9458, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "1fd5bf3652d0f86fc9a6507c7f56619ea0eaef5fa2900aac85a18fcf20e89ec7", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9458, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "55777b3a7d312d577e9ea8721fb1e453d5749610e88dfdeb54741cb524d1f823", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "65f778c99b0abfd62d27dd9d43ae43bc69c3a655aee4c0064f22b0aebd1eda9aa5eeb3513c914b6d32f24a1d1875b1150d2fc679f271aaecacceb008278ef607" } }, "receipt_sha256": "55777b3a7d312d577e9ea8721fb1e453d5749610e88dfdeb54741cb524d1f823" }, { "row": 55, "col": 168, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.4967, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.644, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.27, "b_trend": 0.0445, "ell_km": 50.6, "ell_trend": -5.76, "rate_acceleration": 0.26, "delta_aic_iet": 878.62, "S_over_Gamma": 15.736, "days_to_criticality": 2097.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.1594, "grad_tau_local": 1.9855, "depth_trend": 5.22, "spatial_concentration": 80.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.945, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "e2faedffd45babebaf14f96dc9916931f5a48e06339d96e651835f187376809b", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.945, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "55102940b5a74ff4d95e24b538aa563af97cc53bb34f5129903a300ecedb77f8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "37a1b19b8cf7eb01ef0fee558d824747ba93f4c328face650cd55446ad925edc0109ace24f2deb2941bc9eae2c6263b15a7d765e445ed9afd9b4d7dc6efacb0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "55102940b5a74ff4d95e24b538aa563af97cc53bb34f5129903a300ecedb77f8" }, { "row": 17, "col": 2, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.9282, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2873, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 47.7, "ell_trend": -5.24, "rate_acceleration": 1.9, "delta_aic_iet": 106.73, "S_over_Gamma": 16.173, "days_to_criticality": 19.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.1845, "grad_tau_local": 0.4422, "depth_trend": 10.04, "spatial_concentration": 71.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9447, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "a4c16172bd4b77100cb9fc600642d1748cf0dca3524b072f6dab9a5a3149162d", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9447, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e9e01afaa53dfb0beaa1429fc66932b38b764192152c769543027cc0545b04a0", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8db409c072fa5194e39ed7f443b8de38e32c371caec34be3466d23f9dcf526277998e75e43c7bafaa198564b34ab9580d36c38f1133f603e60294e381188d404" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e9e01afaa53dfb0beaa1429fc66932b38b764192152c769543027cc0545b04a0" }, { "row": 20, "col": 0, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.6996, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4267, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.792, "b_trend": -0.2574, "ell_km": 54.2, "ell_trend": 1.19, "rate_acceleration": 0.89, "delta_aic_iet": 366.97, "S_over_Gamma": 14.987, "days_to_criticality": 63.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.9655, "depth_trend": -5.57, "spatial_concentration": 70.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9323, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "fe83e6afdb481415db0db3b62d3fb8b90658871b81fb5e84cec950c754123bea", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9323, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5bf0006e7585c37e617e14d105187aee8759a0be46bdd0f2f98692e62c9a5e92", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1ece1635d8b97f1afead01280ae993338c7c0b4b8109206c60697399ba01e9b490bd72da9b2d9aa55336fdacccae024e0ddb89bca065855f8d7fcc35bb21d109" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5bf0006e7585c37e617e14d105187aee8759a0be46bdd0f2f98692e62c9a5e92" }, { "row": 13, "col": 0, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.6876, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3745, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.321, "b_trend": 0.0257, "ell_km": 68.6, "ell_trend": -15.1, "rate_acceleration": 0.53, "delta_aic_iet": 251.81, "S_over_Gamma": 14.201, "days_to_criticality": 2094.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.7368, "depth_trend": -15.72, "spatial_concentration": 66.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9284, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "1c31a5ae9a300f20ea06725bbca9b8a5fa942b36a801431875876ef198a945c1", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9284, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a27cfa43706d5e48c18fd0b2351bd3bf711e5c444d62921fa24adf2f615f3eae", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5e205166d5a18c826f771a7e58117d3a0b9376e3e64d6bd6471d5fa89ea347478b1c3242c56b3e4ebcd3eea7d2ced3677fa50650d35d34f4ddbca6522a502000" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a27cfa43706d5e48c18fd0b2351bd3bf711e5c444d62921fa24adf2f615f3eae" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.6838, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6286, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.107, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 29.1, "ell_trend": 5.39, "rate_acceleration": 0.79, "delta_aic_iet": 238.92, "S_over_Gamma": 14.904, "days_to_criticality": 52.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.0678, "grad_tau_local": 0.3255, "depth_trend": 42.62, "spatial_concentration": 87.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9265, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "306148b794b1ef69ba603ae99aa5caf57f407f938ffbaf2966cdaf082258902b", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9265, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "65c0150d2740d68e022b88d0773a700f64944695c7667b7c9f64f036af0aabe8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "acbce13a534746a2a14ba8d59781f9808595d82c0510450f4a038501f94bdc37920dd1100165a64c23ed60a5b8e29966112e22d844a401c2a276005fd1e87901" } }, "receipt_sha256": "65c0150d2740d68e022b88d0773a700f64944695c7667b7c9f64f036af0aabe8" }, { "row": 49, "col": 161, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.4005, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5388, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.995, "b_trend": 0.0831, "ell_km": 35.4, "ell_trend": 2.87, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 579.39, "S_over_Gamma": 15.372, "days_to_criticality": 47.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.1572, "grad_tau_local": 0.7487, "depth_trend": 7.96, "spatial_concentration": 77.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9155, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "dd4b5c1f3e37d5210f75cf98c1052cc635771b458fb219e88b6119601858ea02", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9155, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c288efdacc15331adb3a1d7174d3144ad4c84ebaf9a71ea259f1a99fb83dfa1f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "85d58e19c88b9efe4ba3224d3626bcf7e46f9ccf1d31b65e1b1a78ac1e029a93cc9ae426fd663b21a92ce1d7849f8ec528eda093e0c2a5f69fef5b97cc04b508" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c288efdacc15331adb3a1d7174d3144ad4c84ebaf9a71ea259f1a99fb83dfa1f" }, { "row": 56, "col": 169, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.6489, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5382, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.202, "b_trend": 0.0145, "ell_km": 61.9, "ell_trend": -6.86, "rate_acceleration": 0.23, "delta_aic_iet": 694.2, "S_over_Gamma": 15.572, "days_to_criticality": 2095.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.5824, "grad_tau_local": 2.7599, "depth_trend": 3.22, "spatial_concentration": 52.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9023, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "e101eda253bb58e57babc6658ede2e5dd6849edc421f86e684b51583c6547977", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9023, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "810f6f4d198683244e9ff1e39a949196d89a088f9eaef5f426330b6c89a368d6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "611115bb49b8f90eff1f75a43ae1342baa5fd5fcd4e70797a7ade0baa172625c0817ce65e63093b857c0f220586a5cc31f4f5682d3878f252ba8d287f3c40802" } }, "receipt_sha256": "810f6f4d198683244e9ff1e39a949196d89a088f9eaef5f426330b6c89a368d6" }, { "row": 52, "col": 164, "lat": 45.0, "lon": 149.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.5225, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3838, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.322, "b_trend": -0.1691, "ell_km": 45.7, "ell_trend": -1.5, "rate_acceleration": 0.6, "delta_aic_iet": 168.77, "S_over_Gamma": 13.748, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4434, "grad_tau_local": 0.102, "depth_trend": -3.03, "spatial_concentration": 79.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8988, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "8631d491a746176d8009bdfc398430b529ddcbcad8925656a4b74186f908f0f2", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8988, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1474ebee9cb3269dace4c2df2a817ef10f9ff552649943ae4717c4b99849f54c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "171be7145747290e8d3c2f641299a7a954911b5c993c86445af767b4d4910dc06f5f6a3b538e20892333bfe9c33a04244b704ccf58aff3062d1dafe122a5cf04" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1474ebee9cb3269dace4c2df2a817ef10f9ff552649943ae4717c4b99849f54c" }, { "row": 23, "col": 52, "lat": -13.0, "lon": -75.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.7594, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2798, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 108.9, "ell_trend": -5.61, "rate_acceleration": 1.35, "delta_aic_iet": 35.2, "S_over_Gamma": 15.73, "days_to_criticality": 2098.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.5745, "grad_tau_local": 0.3022, "depth_trend": -11.53, "spatial_concentration": 66.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8941, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "1bf3539fe2f1a87c1da824ac0d5ae86a5d5f19a80efa2ebaed6999933cad6359", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8941, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5d62da9b379ebcfcdb2cb606cdcd0009631123d4065ac78b408e444e196a8ae2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b981a7bfc1407a5bb81b1588171e4f7260f459531b55bea28b0dfc4134bb323a34aa5726aa3e2ab0386f7d992e4eaf00e05cd66d6968bf8afc4d5ae32658bd08" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5d62da9b379ebcfcdb2cb606cdcd0009631123d4065ac78b408e444e196a8ae2" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.5091, "prob_30d_local": 0.049, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6212, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.925, "b_trend": 0.0831, "ell_km": 35.5, "ell_trend": 2.7, "rate_acceleration": 0.74, "delta_aic_iet": 461.87, "S_over_Gamma": 15.695, "days_to_criticality": 50.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7967, "grad_tau_local": 1.0557, "depth_trend": 7.1, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.891, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "b421038fa2b4a0e92b8cc2886f57c5954ff2c1bf8e9f9480f2e7b4a86e7bfaab", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.891, "probability": 0.509085, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1c2134b35fdf0ec867bec64a051f343ec01c5b9d50155aa805d4a202b4d2d71a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a6c292d59e1a50694274c1f54672d7df3bb913af8af02a322ee845959bc20e4027b7c49697db97125245006d7ab8ca025aefe3077c6412df4df1f90719a53f09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1c2134b35fdf0ec867bec64a051f343ec01c5b9d50155aa805d4a202b4d2d71a" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5027, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5278, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.209, "b_trend": 0.0104, "ell_km": 62.9, "ell_trend": -7.13, "rate_acceleration": 0.26, "delta_aic_iet": 961.82, "S_over_Gamma": 15.482, "days_to_criticality": 2097.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.9239, "grad_tau_local": 0.725, "depth_trend": 4.94, "spatial_concentration": 86.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8652, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "e3920f509ada8d7cf54fbbc84eba67bed09ce4b8ee5360dbdf865037bd944bb7", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8652, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "99d501e8c6cf9ec7897aa50673ce5c975f430f664dfd8137f68dca04a484a2ff", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2171e04922c59a07b2aba10990bf00b253c70930aa7d6aa9dbb05ca6ae9ea1a97d3bed63c73b0d27133428102058383b469f4d57379121f75896b33924bb3f0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "99d501e8c6cf9ec7897aa50673ce5c975f430f664dfd8137f68dca04a484a2ff" }, { "row": 13, "col": 54, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -71.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.7398, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5233, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.118, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 12.9, "ell_trend": 0.18, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 137.39, "S_over_Gamma": 14.755, "days_to_criticality": -1.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4749, "grad_tau_local": 0.7819, "depth_trend": -25.03, "spatial_concentration": 64.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8515, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "179af41d712d82771a76333b455bb1eba7bc6e0b791659c068009859d2c9a2eb", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8515, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3e1898fa8858503398c6650407a0548e2a7d73e4149d0063a76d074164d777a8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8ba753647868f3015aa9b40573b2d4e87b7100035ff8fd262a453fb29eced9facfc499f2c89f2fb31b6270376bb43931002b23fcfcf146102713f0cd76339b08" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3e1898fa8858503398c6650407a0548e2a7d73e4149d0063a76d074164d777a8" }, { "row": 18, "col": 175, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6241, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0764, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.276, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 75.1, "ell_trend": -5.63, "rate_acceleration": 1.58, "delta_aic_iet": 152.08, "S_over_Gamma": 15.638, "days_to_criticality": 4.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9188, "grad_tau_local": 0.6358, "depth_trend": -1.75, "spatial_concentration": 64.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.817, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "94b25b714cf8ad1bf47961c2ba7bd8cb20c58421d09ba7e3224eb0aeff86b86d", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.817, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "48dc4e9f381e5fafa0918d0e9e42c56eaee5ce19e1058cb2400b21e3968fdec5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "425d7070918c5eff6a00b3996c90f2b3bc99afdaf6c949081921edc87be65cd1da9eed356c53a3d2ac23192ba2bc07b587b7d2be36d80beda4a759071cf9170d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "48dc4e9f381e5fafa0918d0e9e42c56eaee5ce19e1058cb2400b21e3968fdec5" }, { "row": 17, "col": 179, "lat": -25.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.8741, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2041, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 56.7, "ell_trend": -1.79, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 202.83, "S_over_Gamma": 15.495, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.4074, "depth_trend": -6.56, "spatial_concentration": 86.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8161, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "61982a70481f81122fc6d08659c39558913d0e5acbbec508d496cf9f900256e1", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8161, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "36f1737c23075f368d676c26e6989e184911cb084b3a24c4ca75bc388bd2f382", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "93daa10f6b44e8dac47d62f157a5350a6d08fc5cceb5a7723a3234d4aa51966b6896ca086688db42bb64a10991969473dbdff7baed6b89d1df84026afe309504" } }, "receipt_sha256": "36f1737c23075f368d676c26e6989e184911cb084b3a24c4ca75bc388bd2f382" }, { "row": 21, "col": 0, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.7986, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1822, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.63, "b_trend": 0.165, "ell_km": 46.0, "ell_trend": 0.39, "rate_acceleration": 0.7, "delta_aic_iet": 211.13, "S_over_Gamma": 15.57, "days_to_criticality": 68.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.2507, "depth_trend": -21.55, "spatial_concentration": 81.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8066, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "7d9c5f6fe1c2fb284f021697bb464fcce872831e464c86e1c3bddebdc2b09800", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8066, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e9876bfaba69fc178185374fbf6e3637820ef836f5a0705e4c4bc19511355bb9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "82c36568cc8d32cd7cca4a572b9dd70080e9587c8db57825c441875e872b0905f140468e9abb92186dc07bd1450ace360912a0219d648cc9398a432a82439b00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e9876bfaba69fc178185374fbf6e3637820ef836f5a0705e4c4bc19511355bb9" }, { "row": 36, "col": 43, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6571, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.304, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.075, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 45.0, "ell_trend": -0.9, "rate_acceleration": 5.85, "delta_aic_iet": 120.89, "S_over_Gamma": 15.312, "days_to_criticality": 2097.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2213, "grad_tau_local": 1.3512, "depth_trend": -13.25, "spatial_concentration": 68.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7819, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "ed10ddeb4ffe531f35f1487bd52355122ba3501e9f72a847f7945d74c81f5aba", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7819, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bc613ac780d26563bb5e94cd2bcd5e776c63dec4c7a33fc973de4f50fed12b1a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c08ed724257beae51b3d34f71be44e68294cf31e1b8ae65d21b1ad63e170fc962dd8779133e9f45ac289e3e5085b0a2bbe90645318728d60cb6ad69bf8101404" } }, "receipt_sha256": "bc613ac780d26563bb5e94cd2bcd5e776c63dec4c7a33fc973de4f50fed12b1a" }, { "row": 13, "col": 53, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -73.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6509, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.304, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 11.3, "ell_trend": 0.62, "rate_acceleration": 1.42, "delta_aic_iet": 107.15, "S_over_Gamma": 15.335, "days_to_criticality": 8.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9063, "grad_tau_local": 0.8373, "depth_trend": -11.36, "spatial_concentration": 71.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.78, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "f4e58b489906146b52012d9574bf843f0c6497e189de35ea8601ad586906bf35", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.78, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5c86a8655752c1bde2b631f71331473ec527a232e51718ccc09a481e427ff75f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1887f0a5191ec2fd83c45b05430452bfa0f52069ec4b41d48300f9637cd6c25d1d06381b8e2bf004bff760d54b8a8a79d40d7495048baec8a04900c61947ec01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5c86a8655752c1bde2b631f71331473ec527a232e51718ccc09a481e427ff75f" }, { "row": 44, "col": 142, "lat": 29.0, "lon": 105.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.8299, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5509, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.3, "ell_trend": -1.78, "rate_acceleration": 1.33, "delta_aic_iet": 50.73, "S_over_Gamma": 14.679, "days_to_criticality": 14.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.2887, "grad_tau_local": 0.0668, "depth_trend": 0.81, "spatial_concentration": 73.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7619, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "f9d238ad5099aaea8110674a4a262c2e8d61d8fa3d79e8781ea82237aee5b66c", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7619, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "17c68c6f27a66c081f42f62438ca74e98ebc82d35b5a28a545ab541b505ea3d7", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6968889e9db6ddc2369e21697635ba86be8ce53bee1b17ec6aae1f80cdbb168bd0eaf1155966521232e039ac5504ca149f53750291770421d4c9884a25fb4302" } }, "receipt_sha256": "17c68c6f27a66c081f42f62438ca74e98ebc82d35b5a28a545ab541b505ea3d7" }, { "row": 28, "col": 159, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 139.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6821, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0974, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.141, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 31.0, "ell_trend": 2.51, "rate_acceleration": 1.26, "delta_aic_iet": 152.84, "S_over_Gamma": 15.761, "days_to_criticality": 41.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.2972, "grad_tau_local": 0.2173, "depth_trend": -8.36, "spatial_concentration": 73.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7348, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "2907f3f243580e1d3a97a673a9634b6a8b1dbf9b75ac4b0fa686c9b7cc132fc4", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7348, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b654fe4fb41e1209b2a7a90d2b092043554b8d41404002358a30afcff3d2664e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "083ca5e055fcd323e8aa42e9b7795987005dee156563724bd349eab7b4bb5eead3e5c5f3b52b1d4feb9559bbbc68debea87389acc47c8f4c4f6193bbb2413503" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b654fe4fb41e1209b2a7a90d2b092043554b8d41404002358a30afcff3d2664e" }, { "row": 47, "col": 139, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 99.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.9135, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3313, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 7.3, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 27.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 0.447, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 0.5317, "grad_tau_local": 0.0217, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 46.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7053, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "e37c0b668682ee0cb89b1c5f518f4d944e24d90e23b96e858908f9411482fa59", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7053, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4b8f507c94961af8417f976afaea4c3f07af81f6fff8ca6032b2243a7f4546e2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4cb204759a7b8a11f4b66a31833559a091d14b9bf24a4890b22fb65e382ff7e45fcccdbf140133b480de794df7695223d40153045b3bd72323aab6ff80bd1c0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4b8f507c94961af8417f976afaea4c3f07af81f6fff8ca6032b2243a7f4546e2" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.115, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6199, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.207, "b_trend": 0.0181, "ell_km": 60.3, "ell_trend": -6.47, "rate_acceleration": 0.23, "delta_aic_iet": 642.66, "S_over_Gamma": 15.697, "days_to_criticality": 2095.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.4028, "grad_tau_local": 2.0027, "depth_trend": 2.96, "spatial_concentration": 48.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7009, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "ee29dcd4ad2034b6c01e7514dba26c45db1aaada3c4a4fe7dfc0b2cb2ebfe152", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7009, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "320d9eb2ca3217b3533cca1930c2a742bed6ee81ae6599fc0184ea8814590595", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d4c4c66d9082cdc704554b4788af58a6f11c1a278f936bb608f92edcd6975967587e49ae9752efe1a11cb01ede2d553e1dea9615f3a29a41085de2154b68e407" } }, "receipt_sha256": "320d9eb2ca3217b3533cca1930c2a742bed6ee81ae6599fc0184ea8814590595" }, { "row": 23, "col": 82, "lat": -13.0, "lon": -15.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.8428, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1761, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 36.8, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 13.0, "delta_aic_iet": -88.38, "S_over_Gamma": 10.688, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.45, "grad_tau_local": 0.1271, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 41.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6758, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "0f1ba5fab8d6fc61a532179bc87555dcaff7c8fa46e6ac6022cd198802b871f9", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6758, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "97efdc6a57cfabb2b6f32543bd55775daad9bdeb046a8472a6f97015a41ad948", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3955b7fd5e5533b53a6f59d333f91370bb4baea2ca4b59f3d3a09d24ea3f045e17c171f83e4de25d53253ba5cf0c04dda5853de8d87b6791da7a7132e58d2507" } }, "receipt_sha256": "97efdc6a57cfabb2b6f32543bd55775daad9bdeb046a8472a6f97015a41ad948" }, { "row": 37, "col": 43, "lat": 15.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 150, "max_mag": 7.3, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.1241, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6705, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.892, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 45.0, "ell_trend": -1.45, "rate_acceleration": 4.98, "delta_aic_iet": 219.76, "S_over_Gamma": 15.202, "days_to_criticality": 2097.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.3181, "grad_tau_local": 0.351, "depth_trend": -26.53, "spatial_concentration": 90.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6747, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "443944d57c68915f6a705693cfe8bf78a1ccae50033af14fc84653b7d7b6f2ed", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6747, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fab66706c5dde6d3f3ae6a6f853a479a9ff1a67287597e30edbaba2c227aa452", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3d160d1c67d1237ad4b6c927e4ac164481790a978676a3f434117780204937e1315d2f906c6bc389c9f36c942c81116535254e7ec402038a8afe1573e013e30b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "fab66706c5dde6d3f3ae6a6f853a479a9ff1a67287597e30edbaba2c227aa452" }, { "row": 46, "col": 155, "lat": 33.0, "lon": 131.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 6.8, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.1762, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4428, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 18.9, "ell_trend": 4.91, "rate_acceleration": 3.55, "delta_aic_iet": 42.67, "S_over_Gamma": 16.828, "days_to_criticality": 23.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.9995, "grad_tau_local": 0.7456, "depth_trend": -41.6, "spatial_concentration": 37.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6162, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "d5b68c6bfcf408cf513698c250fdd735c230df89af1bad39721a29678884a395", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6162, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "32d0d949dbea89a593ade48f5c31e7b02d86e5d4d7b9146bbc7226cd8a06bb75", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bfaa0f23074c1434c23888664bafdbf6cd1fde567e689bc2dae25657a2499655cc2abdbe916ce9c767427430ed5bf9be5dbcad0bda78316f90d99a7c8df3ac04" } }, "receipt_sha256": "32d0d949dbea89a593ade48f5c31e7b02d86e5d4d7b9146bbc7226cd8a06bb75" }, { "row": 28, "col": 155, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 131.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6977, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3012, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 36.5, "ell_trend": -0.62, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 79.27, "S_over_Gamma": 15.061, "days_to_criticality": 8.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7465, "grad_tau_local": 0.8047, "depth_trend": 5.97, "spatial_concentration": 83.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6155, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "86d8ef02df3b4fe7d587dc159d3008423f5d1442f0eaab8a8a88a6315b48e838", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6155, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c86b64b161f1ba3507ab6ac8f755a4f45cab94600efb8311a72d6449f23c519d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b387181249fe0b73521f1b635d760bbe2eeb0ec01bc85548c46a4223c7e3b81f756cf0d8d3dbaaf31ed027c6fe1ca4d6110f8f66264d02ea505c65687a124f0c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c86b64b161f1ba3507ab6ac8f755a4f45cab94600efb8311a72d6449f23c519d" }, { "row": 37, "col": 67, "lat": 15.0, "lon": -45.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.7307, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.293, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 16.1, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 2.57, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 0.503, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 0.4567, "grad_tau_local": 0.0765, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 73.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5861, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "de7b85c11dd8a398a9e238e20ef323b9706331e0564e969e6230d6b3334a7624", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5861, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e37a5f89e71bb077585fa4f21cfcbf4094bf1dbf14551068656ca995156c4b97", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b0628d8f27edac8996579e2067b4bd7c318ab29c0a474a3a479c53ce09afefef45d78b4a7e54b78b2476e8f4bb37f2e4778c237796b263181e70c6f5e982150d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e37a5f89e71bb077585fa4f21cfcbf4094bf1dbf14551068656ca995156c4b97" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.8511, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5771, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.887, "b_trend": -0.0267, "ell_km": 5.4, "ell_trend": 0.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.73, "delta_aic_iet": 247.31, "S_over_Gamma": 13.452, "days_to_criticality": 61.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4025, "grad_tau_local": 0.2298, "depth_trend": -2.83, "spatial_concentration": 33.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5719, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "c205ebe2a6cc8dd79f9a38eb9145b9c280ae399f5a9307f73920dfcd940acdc4", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5719, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a1c9dffa79fb8f8ad95558a4a549f573c8eb922beb674021ec30e54e7e3db8fc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ad7b7f8cee542d2886c2c26d71487361cd1df533a9e01f3c2d74d0d6973494add5d88a071f0d64a62b6f2bfe05cfd080515639e0a8ea126c2cc7220d3e88f405" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a1c9dffa79fb8f8ad95558a4a549f573c8eb922beb674021ec30e54e7e3db8fc" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 121, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6768, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1903, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.534, "b_trend": 0.0043, "ell_km": 10.1, "ell_trend": -9.3, "rate_acceleration": 2.78, "delta_aic_iet": 411.03, "S_over_Gamma": 13.775, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2043, "grad_tau_local": 1.731, "depth_trend": -6.08, "spatial_concentration": 125.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5391, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "c45a45efe0f4b8b6ee4bc12d85b7462d83197353d1055ddeb76a814c8c0d9b74", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5391, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cde4d53504e8f0d629f4321dd1f52bb0271f476b72a36fc78465d8686bb6172b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a285fca6cfbcdba1de1238859bec37b8868752df7efcafbad24f112a703f5627da3ac5e60349f0353197feab3df961cd28f0b7a75642a7e59950dfc45aaad406" } }, "receipt_sha256": "cde4d53504e8f0d629f4321dd1f52bb0271f476b72a36fc78465d8686bb6172b" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 67, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6736, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7389, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.223, "b_trend": 0.0033, "ell_km": 36.7, "ell_trend": 1.22, "rate_acceleration": 1.14, "delta_aic_iet": 1251.46, "S_over_Gamma": 13.966, "days_to_criticality": 20.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.8183, "grad_tau_local": 1.6038, "depth_trend": -2.93, "spatial_concentration": 48.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5252, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "e7baa78128cb89c82dcd93064b0d29cad240c383d98762912e91635edfc0fc62", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5252, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fffff561332cff91cf5606ae1e8dadee25e957007aab615142667d2f215d5425", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "664fa610d2483d9e42c47d82dc0eecb5f642f1ec8372bd5cf205879b402b061f1b2ae06929f7de912247b947a5677789525c1f3f38895b86235b32cc5d73e20a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "fffff561332cff91cf5606ae1e8dadee25e957007aab615142667d2f215d5425" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6295, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5028, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.073, "b_trend": -0.0102, "ell_km": 85.7, "ell_trend": 0.13, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 798.26, "S_over_Gamma": 13.322, "days_to_criticality": -0.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7718, "grad_tau_local": 0.8953, "depth_trend": 1.17, "spatial_concentration": 68.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4939, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "b9a193cae46120378ba48bd60cbdd55fd939c568e434a839d71b07b6ab7a687f", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4939, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0e9d7fc276fb166cd9846a80912eec34c612200b339f199678ec31857e49e9e2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7b923a0b7bde5d2a345f3f8fbad0eb744307f0f8897e657312be2bfc447e174be4a58fcc5f0d288f57e9f9808c23228a38a416807ef9afcba0dd6604bbe11609" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0e9d7fc276fb166cd9846a80912eec34c612200b339f199678ec31857e49e9e2" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 36, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6035, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.703, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.237, "b_trend": -0.0949, "ell_km": 37.9, "ell_trend": 0.49, "rate_acceleration": 1.13, "delta_aic_iet": 1364.16, "S_over_Gamma": 13.634, "days_to_criticality": 57.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5717, "grad_tau_local": 1.4296, "depth_trend": -4.54, "spatial_concentration": 62.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4883, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "fbb24ecdabc37a88e0b2fedd2705e880fe50c1f5caa1f8766f13bbbb9509df2a", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4883, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6478091b2f992c36f40ba9552d0e25ef6c8b489a369661121657a42420644f82", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3435c9bb94ac11f719b98c0067e1e6025ed4d78869395aef12c4f4f2c0ffca69163ea01f14e30ed71526844656e85780c6a681d28a4a66d4d1fcba0e2e8cb709" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6478091b2f992c36f40ba9552d0e25ef6c8b489a369661121657a42420644f82" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 118, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5627, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4587, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.63, "b_trend": 0.1125, "ell_km": 14.1, "ell_trend": -5.75, "rate_acceleration": 1.6, "delta_aic_iet": 1020.9, "S_over_Gamma": 13.868, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9416, "grad_tau_local": 0.8333, "depth_trend": 2.41, "spatial_concentration": 75.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4826, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "5cecaf50c85d74264a8bb930b0f81c07ac7aa177032e905504b15ed3b19c6579", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4826, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a6caa47a4b334704d540027200edfb94f20c2e137518e1fe926fb851d28b5852", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e65eac0e7ef777796acadd97caa1661e3c1cae2571716db0b203d0a491cc4f1f64b75324114a890b5778994a9f4de62751df7933482ba29491c726fcc46e030b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a6caa47a4b334704d540027200edfb94f20c2e137518e1fe926fb851d28b5852" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6195, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.426, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.839, "b_trend": -0.021, "ell_km": 89.8, "ell_trend": -0.14, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 826.25, "S_over_Gamma": 13.182, "days_to_criticality": 1.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5486, "grad_tau_local": 0.4507, "depth_trend": -0.04, "spatial_concentration": 68.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4642, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "2c66375b193cde9778849b563f355996782e43095da04314c72456129b1d513d", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4642, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7b011904ed226ff7ac116d219eac9ceecdd680bc86579972d40292b33e08fe51", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bc3a629dae28a4c5f947211d5bfcfcd858f4b14d7882f0f02732386f34cf9d41ed03a729836f36bc438b37e8b7c67da10bca8f891a35a3007693587a47f0b102" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7b011904ed226ff7ac116d219eac9ceecdd680bc86579972d40292b33e08fe51" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 38, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5908, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3935, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.644, "b_trend": 0.0871, "ell_km": 66.3, "ell_trend": -1.57, "rate_acceleration": 2.39, "delta_aic_iet": 809.99, "S_over_Gamma": 13.478, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3223, "grad_tau_local": 1.1058, "depth_trend": -10.91, "spatial_concentration": 71.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4589, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "ffbfd29aa4636a4b1ab7a7a9b40deaad0945892f7ea38a2be19bd4ec509e35cc", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4589, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bc5f26dd2096f1e8189acc013e5e0733aaae1d6d796e3d1ece40479a70e6a6cd", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "281fb031ccaae7c181350f89c60c16f8f06aff3fde00fb88d5143e1121f5376ca3d8961550c407f28344ccb9cdda9fd8a36ff765ec5f3acdc3e54104c942050e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "bc5f26dd2096f1e8189acc013e5e0733aaae1d6d796e3d1ece40479a70e6a6cd" }, { "row": 61, "col": 13, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.7541, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4475, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.832, "b_trend": 0.0893, "ell_km": 87.7, "ell_trend": -1.06, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 530.54, "S_over_Gamma": 13.733, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3073, "grad_tau_local": 2.1385, "depth_trend": 1.28, "spatial_concentration": 69.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4514, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "a754a62b975eac54595cdefeb6108553fcece33506ec5d9d1b87e72a527ff1b0", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4514, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f1bf7ba926c1218fbbcae8c44909dcc3811600ab68e93062b4c11b9a05b941ea", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a2c55423c003594cdb003b243793a6f3b4a4c7a692e9c77961632bdade145aa152c5928e18407fe5aaad8414915abe48bd276847b0ed7a131fe0c8bf8497240b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f1bf7ba926c1218fbbcae8c44909dcc3811600ab68e93062b4c11b9a05b941ea" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.8645, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3178, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.771, "b_trend": 0.1623, "ell_km": 21.3, "ell_trend": 0.19, "rate_acceleration": 0.92, "delta_aic_iet": 706.15, "S_over_Gamma": 13.454, "days_to_criticality": 73.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3852, "grad_tau_local": 1.1695, "depth_trend": 0.13, "spatial_concentration": 77.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4406, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "9b2e448c0438d4be371d2cfd01c990578bb03f6c111cce12ba401712ed4a01e9", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4406, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9ffde1f730b58788afde1f0d78697ad75b8da20d19a3e2b2367a57ac7546f31d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a99f3e1f9aa2da880efe796ead7e5085f513d8429ae62c28799a653f139046b9e649880528b6f4f9047ecd29f9dcbde7703a3b2f43fb10dcb79c03689bc6590b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9ffde1f730b58788afde1f0d78697ad75b8da20d19a3e2b2367a57ac7546f31d" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6986, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6967, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.868, "b_trend": 0.0636, "ell_km": 95.0, "ell_trend": -1.26, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 603.17, "S_over_Gamma": 13.039, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3007, "grad_tau_local": 1.9643, "depth_trend": 3.2, "spatial_concentration": 73.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4332, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "933f458b0c942d87a02f7b02fcf8fee49c532748556bc29098f65795e19488af", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4332, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ceeb951fc616c6de79e4eeff306e21d993adf5c141a30015cb7fd9c6977596f2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ff91a68093d139e5931dc5ff54164a206d2e0f70eefbde45f9b477a1dce90a037caee47bebb3b5ac51ead7281404e2442c4ce2fd0fe86e52d6c840d5a2b7080f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ceeb951fc616c6de79e4eeff306e21d993adf5c141a30015cb7fd9c6977596f2" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 2.9, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5936, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0759, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.599, "b_trend": -0.0208, "ell_km": 10.9, "ell_trend": -0.82, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 360.21, "S_over_Gamma": 13.244, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3784, "grad_tau_local": 0.6463, "depth_trend": 0.03, "spatial_concentration": 80.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4304, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "f8c2bdf2dc6255f12c9c90f4cd2e452973483c0a0222a2bcd5894b37957575ba", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4304, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "13975bac36f0f940685125f28360bb98edea11ac5c955e4c3972eb81c0f1d4db", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "025067d57910d708200795e95f92397a5a5719b87cecfaf7153662eda2e2940caf0af472118c498ecc4e0db1919d0bf4a7fa5fc64da0c7130161b12963b89708" } }, "receipt_sha256": "13975bac36f0f940685125f28360bb98edea11ac5c955e4c3972eb81c0f1d4db" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.7146, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.652, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.623, "b_trend": 0.1019, "ell_km": 13.9, "ell_trend": -6.95, "rate_acceleration": 1.65, "delta_aic_iet": 909.32, "S_over_Gamma": 13.647, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1341, "grad_tau_local": 1.7609, "depth_trend": 2.48, "spatial_concentration": 64.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4295, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "68fe9254149d7c93e8ad9493c74d290764ac7ffe161c2e8353c5a6f843a908dc", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4295, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2aac1c103403c117173fa9ecc3a7b7283383af6f078f9dc1c704cb935d2d7df1", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "26d9de05dbfa760b1e60fbc73a86f1cd660037fa9c39f3a78598863a878f20706d2a3accad6382c7aae06824ef1a4e9ba1ce6fbcbb7bd07c83bac8661c4fad06" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2aac1c103403c117173fa9ecc3a7b7283383af6f078f9dc1c704cb935d2d7df1" }, { "row": 50, "col": 28, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6203, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1456, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.869, "b_trend": -0.0165, "ell_km": 6.7, "ell_trend": -0.1, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 377.15, "S_over_Gamma": 12.907, "days_to_criticality": 21.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2443, "grad_tau_local": 0.8057, "depth_trend": 0.27, "spatial_concentration": 78.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4294, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "bf8a551b15778eb5f188ab6aa8b662e39d4a7bcddde7ac195ab9e4677473779c", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4294, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "88fbc9114fc6a9f514f12b381e147674f8822a093e2c1f128f22219fba3ea561", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c3c9c8ea0c8c03c39a5faaee06ea788855045a6907e6dcd01044ee8413c70424480327c2047bc46b87b5b03241b4d23c0cfe6b0dbf0401127b2bbc05cbc13002" } }, "receipt_sha256": "88fbc9114fc6a9f514f12b381e147674f8822a093e2c1f128f22219fba3ea561" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 61, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.8139, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4268, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.52, "b_trend": 0.0796, "ell_km": 10.0, "ell_trend": -7.81, "rate_acceleration": 2.91, "delta_aic_iet": 282.37, "S_over_Gamma": 10.237, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.6485, "grad_tau_local": 1.8953, "depth_trend": -7.95, "spatial_concentration": 104.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4284, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "abbd450c6e9f7221e82629354e2294f42bc8bda8b5215fae9221fb2e2ecc3c62", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4284, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "65e929ebc530eb1c8ee1d3b74f3fc28d892e385db606f1e5407443d4b06fc09a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "56b691a7d5696e855d06e3d3144370ff13c391fd6ee2fb8d77c77f6108409961334c8067b84d260d65b74f505794c3e63ba140e49d41eeb15caa9a4af821cd08" } }, "receipt_sha256": "65e929ebc530eb1c8ee1d3b74f3fc28d892e385db606f1e5407443d4b06fc09a" }, { "row": 56, "col": 2, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6428, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2666, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.644, "b_trend": 0.0921, "ell_km": 60.2, "ell_trend": -0.96, "rate_acceleration": 2.49, "delta_aic_iet": 738.85, "S_over_Gamma": 13.542, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9337, "grad_tau_local": 2.2142, "depth_trend": -12.81, "spatial_concentration": 67.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4262, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "2796a27fa6ae00d4ef41f5a89b87a4ac46ef2b7b919187d4d6dcbea3e6baf28a", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4262, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9748757c1467b334454d9dd5c95ddcb2e8321714291c7c0f19dd4d469c7112b4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "724be21be99c52d87bae8188d1667880e4138b8f3e3bb9a35f2c9b32adcf8b25ef90eb945e717ecae5cc00fd03567feee824a785e31204491a2e84047419190c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9748757c1467b334454d9dd5c95ddcb2e8321714291c7c0f19dd4d469c7112b4" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5922, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3977, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.487, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.0, "ell_trend": 4.94, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 215.0, "S_over_Gamma": 13.182, "days_to_criticality": 60.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1424, "grad_tau_local": 0.9513, "depth_trend": 0.43, "spatial_concentration": 82.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4242, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "da8051a2e7126418a8dbfcc5d0110c34be27a391f987c03addf65fba01c081e9", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4242, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "97b3d4cf30cd4daa9674f844f5cb258c1bbb06ee76e6aa0a1d63541b7a291440", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "49b368b5220c4de78d3d0a93a20bfddf419632a61b271569c8a44f843d7c91ca38c698ad3d7f8f3accefc314728fcb2f39af7b6d49ef66d18a83941ee3e7f200" } }, "receipt_sha256": "97b3d4cf30cd4daa9674f844f5cb258c1bbb06ee76e6aa0a1d63541b7a291440" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.696, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6148, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.998, "b_trend": 0.1004, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": 0.23, "rate_acceleration": 0.73, "delta_aic_iet": 442.81, "S_over_Gamma": 12.999, "days_to_criticality": 20.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3196, "grad_tau_local": 0.9234, "depth_trend": -0.65, "spatial_concentration": 79.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4234, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "3c9123575e3bb140164a9e5857040967e6a676a55c0df1a6676099eee172705f", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4234, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "01102dcd4378661b7530df95c7be4ad60cf5e5bc5e9982b87bc7301037bb2c31", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f47e4b4625683a71cd4f89c7e2027346a6d413d9885f61b088239a5ef0a95141e801cd0bb96c9d120940e76497b621df6e824b97b464bb6a8c015a4ad2a65303" } }, "receipt_sha256": "01102dcd4378661b7530df95c7be4ad60cf5e5bc5e9982b87bc7301037bb2c31" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.8381, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2798, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.917, "b_trend": 0.042, "ell_km": 3.5, "ell_trend": 0.34, "rate_acceleration": 0.86, "delta_aic_iet": 543.89, "S_over_Gamma": 13.535, "days_to_criticality": 20.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6789, "grad_tau_local": 0.8385, "depth_trend": 0.08, "spatial_concentration": 73.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.417, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "db8c0c062e1e9a3ee4c7ef4e799b7653192f06324bdac6c6e589948f88cfc344", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.417, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "01eab837a8c33775904b95f02b94bd7098ea902612e21350c6e78493973062e4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a18193c5eee877a564a4050148900e1dc0d3405aeac21c5a0fec5a97d4944e382ae5df650fe863548ee7041dc8858dc87be2129bd1592ed314e55fb8281fb50b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "01eab837a8c33775904b95f02b94bd7098ea902612e21350c6e78493973062e4" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.0343, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.554, "b_trend": 0.0143, "ell_km": 10.7, "ell_trend": -7.64, "rate_acceleration": 2.48, "delta_aic_iet": 698.07, "S_over_Gamma": 13.751, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.2043, "depth_trend": -6.36, "spatial_concentration": 122.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4123, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "627f3eaea9cbcfd775bee6253b56cef7cf00be084b22b1b421071a7313d71f25", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4123, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b9c11553c9def382e5c88f1897a7a32a1470273635397ee4de2862a0a6416881", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0f260fb56066b70b770f375a397193f0b5bfce0589c1878aed17feff619aec1932d3eb5fb9551e3932269aefd0ebdfc186d14793c93e713f9d97effe5d5ae201" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b9c11553c9def382e5c88f1897a7a32a1470273635397ee4de2862a0a6416881" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6025, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6146, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.637, "b_trend": 0.1077, "ell_km": 13.2, "ell_trend": -9.03, "rate_acceleration": 1.63, "delta_aic_iet": 858.12, "S_over_Gamma": 13.247, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2207, "grad_tau_local": 1.4548, "depth_trend": 3.04, "spatial_concentration": 82.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4121, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "cddba3abf765561b138767db1f3e899d10d1009962b17ee96c692015da3296d8", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4121, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9650dc0b2090c7ddf594ac781ad83b5d0a88f5ee4e8601cdf7a074112391e958", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5fdeda41494b007e67376579e5239fe9d72aa4352a78baffa88d8ef261a56fd2f9438374b052bb5f60b666ba2425b358ab86644f9cb1c3e41d635757de35e403" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9650dc0b2090c7ddf594ac781ad83b5d0a88f5ee4e8601cdf7a074112391e958" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6058, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5441, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.871, "b_trend": 0.0652, "ell_km": 95.6, "ell_trend": -1.26, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 635.86, "S_over_Gamma": 13.229, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8829, "grad_tau_local": 1.7679, "depth_trend": 3.88, "spatial_concentration": 70.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4121, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "cddba3abf765561b138767db1f3e899d10d1009962b17ee96c692015da3296d8", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4121, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9650dc0b2090c7ddf594ac781ad83b5d0a88f5ee4e8601cdf7a074112391e958", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5fdeda41494b007e67376579e5239fe9d72aa4352a78baffa88d8ef261a56fd2f9438374b052bb5f60b666ba2425b358ab86644f9cb1c3e41d635757de35e403" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9650dc0b2090c7ddf594ac781ad83b5d0a88f5ee4e8601cdf7a074112391e958" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6775, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6118, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.105, "b_trend": 0.0115, "ell_km": 16.1, "ell_trend": -0.12, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 693.62, "S_over_Gamma": 14.369, "days_to_criticality": 20.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.512, "grad_tau_local": 2.2768, "depth_trend": -3.02, "spatial_concentration": 43.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4092, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "37250c05b2c51697612bc6c96bb7efdba36eca6b36efb81816ec2be029c4beaa", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4092, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bf9bc67a0c2f6e3e4b2487bd2070dced8301e97a9962973c8592f21db7c60c4d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3334c41eb748f8987ec7e14e5e46a497c35f6fbcd9fe44149fa3dfe2e1544812ebf3fc188a9b6451a91e4e40e4ae558f3eb2af8c0138bb23042e252170348f0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "bf9bc67a0c2f6e3e4b2487bd2070dced8301e97a9962973c8592f21db7c60c4d" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5418, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2416, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.648, "b_trend": 0.0791, "ell_km": 71.6, "ell_trend": -1.91, "rate_acceleration": 2.34, "delta_aic_iet": 860.54, "S_over_Gamma": 13.399, "days_to_criticality": 19.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9592, "grad_tau_local": 3.1674, "depth_trend": -9.25, "spatial_concentration": 162.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4064, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "479b8d7b0000fab8d03cad02fb675399be7a645b6a48735079dda53ea8f64c04", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4064, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8e362e4fefe9948df0c4d436d19fde011912df2655b655eba9ded8829092fbc1", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "33b3bbbd80f164c36339496072285a457d4a626fb181def838a6ac39d7d5a59ab0b6d788f92c88bfd1fff761803cf1aa445d232a4bb7d80080ced2bf507b810c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8e362e4fefe9948df0c4d436d19fde011912df2655b655eba9ded8829092fbc1" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 2.7, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5784, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1669, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.848, "b_trend": 0.1373, "ell_km": 109.0, "ell_trend": 0.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.96, "delta_aic_iet": 576.62, "S_over_Gamma": 12.493, "days_to_criticality": 3.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8165, "grad_tau_local": 0.9919, "depth_trend": 4.62, "spatial_concentration": 77.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4032, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "b9ae43055693354dc7c59b04230aaeb1ad4831a2f4f36a704acb5f1add4b5cc4", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4032, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ae88180553e71513afbc46b52e2113f5bb27ec4dd4d03bd1ca32c0fed658cd9b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c393c875f5e9f107f24a150b612259b2e62968b0798ca4bb35aa2bfcd0c5d44d7c859ef84bc19a56aeab4bbfd4b24b4a3fb848e83a4e242a2788de9cc462cd09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ae88180553e71513afbc46b52e2113f5bb27ec4dd4d03bd1ca32c0fed658cd9b" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5774, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1763, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.267, "b_trend": -0.0103, "ell_km": 19.1, "ell_trend": -0.62, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 921.53, "S_over_Gamma": 13.297, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9493, "grad_tau_local": 2.06, "depth_trend": -3.92, "spatial_concentration": 57.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "76ac2cde7665454a2feeeb3ff8bf3c4b85272509b98228dbc1e8f7a8c979a647", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c8ddac4e48be4bd4011d602975dad1eb1e0d10bd6b964e22c5bd0ccc60df7216", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4739df30d1cfe323f983a3fbb92ef82847de4447bbb3879579b3c7dcda317fe3ad3d4ee6b3f25ea7989e0eef5df82d894b053809b1744977ae390f4cba19e20f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c8ddac4e48be4bd4011d602975dad1eb1e0d10bd6b964e22c5bd0ccc60df7216" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6182, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5105, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.854, "b_trend": -0.0135, "ell_km": 102.0, "ell_trend": -11.14, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 489.12, "S_over_Gamma": 13.364, "days_to_criticality": 2098.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6653, "grad_tau_local": 0.5395, "depth_trend": -4.18, "spatial_concentration": 78.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3995, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "cc95bb12ab5624bf62c3df7456aac90b49a4fedb6529da11d51b4ff68e26dc29", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3995, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6c0793132f66f2ea7150cc1184806196db186645fd544a7308e2b4175cd8c2a7", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9492a73924622e25be7f0ce01376916b6b6f8ac99bead24c1d4e97a1c613f75a08e6e0c00b4eb060c8ba9f6c4d9eef6c8f6ccbfc102426b581499b8eedeb3a07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6c0793132f66f2ea7150cc1184806196db186645fd544a7308e2b4175cd8c2a7" }, { "row": 46, "col": 31, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5833, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1932, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.887, "b_trend": -0.0686, "ell_km": 2.7, "ell_trend": -0.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.3, "delta_aic_iet": 443.67, "S_over_Gamma": 13.097, "days_to_criticality": 20.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1139, "grad_tau_local": 1.2631, "depth_trend": 0.72, "spatial_concentration": 74.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3994, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "f61c3396b72b39166837808b6c0c5abf476f533db9b1f730a42fe9ddceb162e2", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3994, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c887c0b70dc613a24cdc0d5e12801df3bcd10a8a265e023d91b81c95113a7169", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f2cd24aa5e0ec2b8f51bcdee732c6bbf109112a43986b288dcafe80a75e303ccdf07bf69a909eabd986caf97ba882c92317e0bdce39bb6ab8cfcc40adcdd3108" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c887c0b70dc613a24cdc0d5e12801df3bcd10a8a265e023d91b81c95113a7169" }, { "row": 46, "col": 32, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -115.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5718, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1236, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.86, "b_trend": -0.068, "ell_km": 2.8, "ell_trend": -0.33, "rate_acceleration": 0.54, "delta_aic_iet": 350.42, "S_over_Gamma": 13.143, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0526, "grad_tau_local": 0.9568, "depth_trend": 1.03, "spatial_concentration": 60.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3981, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "17e78322ae1fd7f612658dae865025c8d41cb6a9fe4e34574c071c62b6a2d10b", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3981, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6fb83a6de6d7e451f83781f4c67ddbe8242fa8c9a3dca04aac3c5b80bdddb259", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "de2f70d6809e920e7336b8c1bab5903a3ec3d65b27a0b6a3b803c9b9b12e2e24e821515127ad9c1504ff35359e951b64ecf97ae1f0599cbc569508d17e96fb0d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6fb83a6de6d7e451f83781f4c67ddbe8242fa8c9a3dca04aac3c5b80bdddb259" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6053, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4208, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.077, "b_trend": -0.1884, "ell_km": 85.2, "ell_trend": 0.6, "rate_acceleration": 0.73, "delta_aic_iet": 606.41, "S_over_Gamma": 13.128, "days_to_criticality": 74.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6865, "grad_tau_local": 0.2462, "depth_trend": 5.77, "spatial_concentration": 80.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3941, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "2ab7d0b4d0b7acec14f98697bb4c67480a50df1dc99edcdaacc2f916ac8440a3", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3941, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1e9ab7d0374bba6b598469acddcd6a8e3721132f39df9382314827818d3d0c28", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "655fb6a1bc4e1b8b75f329dd2403ae151356cb5c86247b92e2e3ccdad6c23140c78778b98c87ce0a61982e415664cf731e3b2e3c06defca3f0e5cbba1138f007" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1e9ab7d0374bba6b598469acddcd6a8e3721132f39df9382314827818d3d0c28" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.4387, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2328, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.654, "b_trend": 0.1048, "ell_km": 12.4, "ell_trend": -9.25, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 887.06, "S_over_Gamma": 13.433, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6511, "grad_tau_local": 0.6354, "depth_trend": 2.6, "spatial_concentration": 77.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3822, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "79e0de75fdb1a45ca9268a61faaf3e6a30fb3c0a6f9c43c69b2971d339069c90", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3822, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e08fb1e421a7dd2e2d13cb1fffdd90bd82008bdf1478cab8b73266c726e5de59", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c750273ce33e86ed70723340ea51ba30c1b1a14becd36698f982e308d7ae5abde37b4fd6ac31a272cc088a3257fb147bc0f7881edf57101f9d9e77b969c9c60d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e08fb1e421a7dd2e2d13cb1fffdd90bd82008bdf1478cab8b73266c726e5de59" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 30, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.602, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3801, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.759, "b_trend": 0.0931, "ell_km": 19.8, "ell_trend": -0.95, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 876.97, "S_over_Gamma": 13.248, "days_to_criticality": 19.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5472, "grad_tau_local": 0.3192, "depth_trend": -1.86, "spatial_concentration": 76.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3793, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "c42d566b89ea375fe804d1c36f726d8796105a8c84aa8d4dbfc97c5f6fcf043a", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3793, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d5363377cb922bfcb05fb95e0096a62966da7ee2b507a8d980e227f783177182", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "458ea7e2326f15c1e1755302481a857ebd9f7c16044551627fee7e19a97779daee86b25472fed6b4a6c66b1c3fc983b1c788601f413ad8048f596a10b5b6ce01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d5363377cb922bfcb05fb95e0096a62966da7ee2b507a8d980e227f783177182" }, { "row": 45, "col": 38, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -103.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6124, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1532, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.97, "b_trend": -0.1553, "ell_km": 3.6, "ell_trend": 0.03, "rate_acceleration": 0.76, "delta_aic_iet": 484.97, "S_over_Gamma": 12.495, "days_to_criticality": 18.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6318, "grad_tau_local": 1.2001, "depth_trend": -0.13, "spatial_concentration": 61.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3786, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "fb6115220bc5c10f94548320a2f2a6790c3f016b3871662d45f9691d17780fa4", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3786, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0b923ee441e36507d5d5f7381a971b9fe2c8fe2ab2af6234c5f262b6f7ec8804", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e2e800858a0ed032a3adcd06e55b8c7becc1115f0956e19acc3189336ea808363ea9fafe63ecf17a851d1338cdeabec9d7f05f81b4617c62efb52b2ee5217f0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0b923ee441e36507d5d5f7381a971b9fe2c8fe2ab2af6234c5f262b6f7ec8804" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5975, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5788, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.752, "b_trend": 0.107, "ell_km": 21.5, "ell_trend": 0.21, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 766.49, "S_over_Gamma": 13.38, "days_to_criticality": 20.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2682, "grad_tau_local": 0.6508, "depth_trend": -4.09, "spatial_concentration": 92.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3778, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "7ac82380c91658c29735f73eaae049e658bea96e21b7881f82b2076818b17a32", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3778, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e49c062c6221759efa275cf684f96111895646f750025498d143fcc640ab4762", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "16f9404332eee78ebecb510b1ee5281e61edc4cac7a2fd8a1ab856b156f0f4f19abbdab2992af223d618452b17fa554a2c079aeb54d0ab183e645010d213540b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e49c062c6221759efa275cf684f96111895646f750025498d143fcc640ab4762" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5718, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4486, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.673, "b_trend": 0.1072, "ell_km": 12.9, "ell_trend": -5.25, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 959.89, "S_over_Gamma": 13.242, "days_to_criticality": 2097.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.1471, "grad_tau_local": 0.168, "depth_trend": 3.52, "spatial_concentration": 68.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3708, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "f422eeb82e9a70711e86b75e4f686c0d5e5c3761b3dc9481fc174386426e16fe", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3708, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f4e78d72bfce6241e87989723cc5fbf7db51b0e3bf2a71d08e28d291128eaac7", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b6360d6d133692db6f06efcb4423c6cf44537a101baa64258d3f01afd7d50c7b4404b822fc2bce70e9f84c5f644700b401f78d2253d4c566dad1d6c6ac8ab507" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f4e78d72bfce6241e87989723cc5fbf7db51b0e3bf2a71d08e28d291128eaac7" }, { "row": 48, "col": 30, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5966, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1487, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.938, "b_trend": -0.094, "ell_km": 2.7, "ell_trend": 0.24, "rate_acceleration": 0.71, "delta_aic_iet": 693.55, "S_over_Gamma": 12.981, "days_to_criticality": 19.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2896, "grad_tau_local": 0.5003, "depth_trend": -0.63, "spatial_concentration": 56.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3677, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "32fb1f783f2b9de6fca1b3749d1c144ad357b478111eea697e7794c9dcfca075", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3677, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dd77c26a71bde69baae91f1df3f6a30d12d866b44342f9ec515f322e36641c82", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bc15a8097b1e11ddc824cbe322145f78663c2d7040618df5611602fa588668d9597fd467aaaf281384e71e78ab5423039feb00c826921fcc261df124c0d3af09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "dd77c26a71bde69baae91f1df3f6a30d12d866b44342f9ec515f322e36641c82" }, { "row": 58, "col": 12, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6115, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3455, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.799, "b_trend": 0.0019, "ell_km": 120.9, "ell_trend": 13.71, "rate_acceleration": 0.84, "delta_aic_iet": 523.22, "S_over_Gamma": 12.444, "days_to_criticality": 49.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9116, "grad_tau_local": 0.4612, "depth_trend": 0.81, "spatial_concentration": 75.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3626, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "e7997a58326ee0d55e66b4db7d8523543450c58d23e5f21819e2147378dffd30", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3626, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a88362a57b579bd33607e1e970ff824a39f6777943752adc16cba92c430ef821", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ece0a1fd8f5b2d5211fa1b5ad7e4f7ad3055f9c8656b7252055c7cd75801203bcd03785ce0304324e1e1699d76f98eaaf6b56d589f8e215dd60cdeb90f7dde00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a88362a57b579bd33607e1e970ff824a39f6777943752adc16cba92c430ef821" }, { "row": 49, "col": 30, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.2832, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1495, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.882, "b_trend": -0.0525, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": 0.37, "rate_acceleration": 0.54, "delta_aic_iet": 412.92, "S_over_Gamma": 12.342, "days_to_criticality": 16.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.5383, "grad_tau_local": 0.4671, "depth_trend": -0.87, "spatial_concentration": 84.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3583, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "effbea58b2510de662e43ba63f7697de9119ebf6f2cdae0a21bddcc2f9afd41b", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3583, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d507ad1a957b76b7e5082e4f20b1c2c6824545ddb8a10d415d68c46c80a10e7e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "155b1000afc247b0b0c7c9164f2bbed613d3c198ca5bc51fac1106c7f66e891c213b594b6bd40283e022cc744f81b6699266f8181d70547672622d2c41094f06" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d507ad1a957b76b7e5082e4f20b1c2c6824545ddb8a10d415d68c46c80a10e7e" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6576, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4583, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.75, "b_trend": 0.068, "ell_km": 21.7, "ell_trend": -0.51, "rate_acceleration": 1.15, "delta_aic_iet": 911.99, "S_over_Gamma": 13.302, "days_to_criticality": 2097.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8183, "grad_tau_local": 1.1173, "depth_trend": -2.86, "spatial_concentration": 61.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3575, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "3aa6bc9091ffc219144d31687c09b9cb7cf41ec203fd5579f7dee241974d1dea", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3575, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c2b8abf236ccbeb44a2146e66cb3b91efe95c1edfcb69d17ddd39aaefd8e28f9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9d8b5a2e06a064d66cbefcd678c8ecd340f09aec02b586e80b61616fa637f2054eb820270c76a66d93c54e17d4898f23a0d8ed35fd6e913983da7bc1e36e8601" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c2b8abf236ccbeb44a2146e66cb3b91efe95c1edfcb69d17ddd39aaefd8e28f9" }, { "row": 58, "col": 13, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5914, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1661, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.872, "b_trend": 0.0902, "ell_km": 77.5, "ell_trend": 2.76, "rate_acceleration": 0.85, "delta_aic_iet": 598.46, "S_over_Gamma": 13.322, "days_to_criticality": 257.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9167, "grad_tau_local": 1.1684, "depth_trend": 0.31, "spatial_concentration": 71.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3549, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "36e7b254b75c412663b9be9ddbc518119d97ca60b22084a08d60701fcd44b957", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3549, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7142a6aa35e57b3a4aaadbba4cd22f35090ba824d3025680ce9d07880dbed38a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7ef261c7bf2d6c0e07b3003d184399ba11184b25f3e6ac5a0088097c7f41fc0348d7bafd5bc8d0d1d5440b8532809d6bec783ef1ca402f0d099ce4308341b806" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7142a6aa35e57b3a4aaadbba4cd22f35090ba824d3025680ce9d07880dbed38a" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6766, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1917, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.739, "b_trend": 0.0591, "ell_km": 21.9, "ell_trend": -0.39, "rate_acceleration": 1.23, "delta_aic_iet": 910.22, "S_over_Gamma": 13.276, "days_to_criticality": 2097.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7299, "grad_tau_local": 1.2175, "depth_trend": -2.76, "spatial_concentration": 70.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3418, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "d8df0b4eb7ed1f632c15d74e0e3b22ade15aed699516a24ea9522babf5c38fa7", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3418, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9f604827d941c83aa0523be27860b9594f20dbca77a20256dc0aee6b5b81eb1e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5d10bce04b1497b62254a52f6b9b24e6d1f4d24c57975d234fb9bffec0a22ad432d14068175f37fdc65ee42083c2c59ab2b2ff7767567b1d0a25f233635b3b09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9f604827d941c83aa0523be27860b9594f20dbca77a20256dc0aee6b5b81eb1e" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6126, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0546, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.851, "b_trend": 0.1368, "ell_km": 24.7, "ell_trend": 1.37, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 295.94, "S_over_Gamma": 13.389, "days_to_criticality": 16.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9293, "grad_tau_local": 1.2549, "depth_trend": -0.63, "spatial_concentration": 50.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3412, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "686f4932c2c02f45918e6e50e4fd146d21bf96948ae96888151cbd23b6d397c0", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3412, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b51dcc0d64dd492ec287581cb21285eb6767ea89050690f51550ffaaa1ec47e4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "faa562ac3c5e09c3a1f02db069c4458882e189b41c2a79198e2f6d69603a69c6107d673fe11a3eb62e1982a23ea71fac93cad9aaf32c7a5ac9d2e4c250473b0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b51dcc0d64dd492ec287581cb21285eb6767ea89050690f51550ffaaa1ec47e4" }, { "row": 48, "col": 31, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6578, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0536, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.916, "b_trend": -0.1046, "ell_km": 2.0, "ell_trend": -0.12, "rate_acceleration": 0.96, "delta_aic_iet": 343.63, "S_over_Gamma": 13.476, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0863, "grad_tau_local": 0.4726, "depth_trend": -0.97, "spatial_concentration": 55.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.33, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "1cf5754e16502b6a0076ac13385c866d4c01f58b12b35f86ca20aa1c8a665e16", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.33, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ac6950f13902b4b457dc4dcc815a741f493d7ccce19aa00cba3725272a53c229", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6e0bafdff59b8cca7e9f4a7ec281bb157946c1326045ed57ec3fecec814e73148684f00daed7cdf67062a6a40f1395c9e1c560cd615be0a53fe0e45d6a84d307" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ac6950f13902b4b457dc4dcc815a741f493d7ccce19aa00cba3725272a53c229" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.6202, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1993, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.136, "b_trend": -0.1931, "ell_km": 3.6, "ell_trend": 0.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.73, "delta_aic_iet": 386.7, "S_over_Gamma": 13.215, "days_to_criticality": 18.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5714, "grad_tau_local": 0.7539, "depth_trend": 0.05, "spatial_concentration": 37.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3121, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "84184366b7faa4bb74861e1a15566152aa91dc1635496973691e1c9d5d6187ff", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3121, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "92d80e1087419e2dae58c51fe9fd0922b2eee13d3229bacd9308968560006568", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3d1ad24a472128ad3bacfe7eaae26245005625dea648d2ea428a1e07f58bae386e7d138dac6065efdf97982eee732998252d01aa32bf2787b327b2aed3db9007" } }, "receipt_sha256": "92d80e1087419e2dae58c51fe9fd0922b2eee13d3229bacd9308968560006568" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 36, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5804, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2986, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.734, "b_trend": 0.0171, "ell_km": 32.6, "ell_trend": -7.78, "rate_acceleration": 1.57, "delta_aic_iet": 679.17, "S_over_Gamma": 13.225, "days_to_criticality": 2097.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3159, "grad_tau_local": 0.4844, "depth_trend": -7.43, "spatial_concentration": 84.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3112, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "dfe215bc870d77d51cd0529fa3493ce6c9d54d1518c6d0102e3943780ca1f608", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3112, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c3b69f2cc2386ac6dfce40f741a684765e20da09e841f9590128386f954d7deb", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "dc380617a506593df1d31e59fc43f78f6383bfbee900e5c28caa7fecab935eb9432dd72bf57570c4eaca561ea3ccfdf7fecd819b11c9f09e0ef11441702c4e0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c3b69f2cc2386ac6dfce40f741a684765e20da09e841f9590128386f954d7deb" }, { "row": 50, "col": 35, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.611, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.066, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": -0.22, "rate_acceleration": 1.5, "delta_aic_iet": 54.12, "S_over_Gamma": 13.644, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6199, "grad_tau_local": 0.4184, "depth_trend": -4.91, "spatial_concentration": 80.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3018, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "09938113f3a15626ce56ca8c0d01d1e85c09e0265bc424f9ff0f40d408275cea", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3018, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dcbbdfce1ec85f96364c5d53a3983a7ddc0de8b8d28bb5613feb93350c0656ed", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "05c05109ab9bdb6a32ce0231fd8c73f8ad510f2223c2902f133931028acd8df4fe38e0e033c9112eafdf908952b2a37c8e2334bf404a4fb0689cdfa4527fcf0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "dcbbdfce1ec85f96364c5d53a3983a7ddc0de8b8d28bb5613feb93350c0656ed" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 33, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0357, "prob_30d_local": 0.5956, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3013, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.623, "b_trend": 0.0985, "ell_km": 74.0, "ell_trend": 0.29, "rate_acceleration": 1.78, "delta_aic_iet": 731.45, "S_over_Gamma": 13.444, "days_to_criticality": 0.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.9592, "depth_trend": -6.72, "spatial_concentration": 117.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2604, "confidence_lo": 0.0357, "confidence_hi": 0.0357, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "78377821cb8dda4ec500d72127a1a9b8657093c6de2aca23ab98484ae8cdff9a", "input_sha256": "a79cc022f2536760c7b60f0c1576bc07f3ced610cab42630a6652edba8eb010e", "issued_at": "2026-08-11T02:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2604, "probability": 0.035719, "confidence_lo": 0.035691, "confidence_hi": 0.035721, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f300216b5b34bf1e777a811a5b133fbaa8fc64aacc7dec7a0e7c6b6e45c72c4f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3273616ed6ea85eae1a1574f0a8e9537eb21f0ce061b2eabdd33f499b83972db5a7af292e7f596e2bc30e4e3238dd86fb8ea1633e1205d1946c26301b3c0e90e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f300216b5b34bf1e777a811a5b133fbaa8fc64aacc7dec7a0e7c6b6e45c72c4f" } ] }