{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260802_1400", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-06-28T14:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "n_events": 32965, "n_recent_events": 2048 }, "n_active_cells": 86, "top_probability": 0.5095, "active_cells": [ { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.7169, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4098, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.449, "b_trend": -0.2366, "ell_km": 74.9, "ell_trend": 0.99, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 282.87, "S_over_Gamma": 15.289, "days_to_criticality": 73.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.7106, "grad_tau_local": 1.6496, "depth_trend": 9.2, "spatial_concentration": 91.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.997, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "65e21bb680e5702e20689993634e92cd04efab63fb5cf54981dc1a0cc7d0b960", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.997, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f77b0bf50ad9c1bf972ffcd0305aec985229dfd279b32cc1f29d04cc42b23742", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "be565bfd8f0de14439537a9a8fc4c81463248b77df28f0137a5cde44779d501500a728f252986bf69ee3cac298d25e089a5ba5062cdf4fe963cc3aa4049f2801" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f77b0bf50ad9c1bf972ffcd0305aec985229dfd279b32cc1f29d04cc42b23742" }, { "row": 20, "col": 1, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.8116, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4813, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.623, "b_trend": -0.3257, "ell_km": 52.4, "ell_trend": -0.54, "rate_acceleration": 0.83, "delta_aic_iet": 441.41, "S_over_Gamma": 15.504, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9315, "grad_tau_local": 1.8906, "depth_trend": -47.66, "spatial_concentration": 70.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9941, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "ea4375cc406a576627e908a0b0afaa95d38b076353d0e3f83c6cb54fd762110f", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9941, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7c613a739f610dc8779cc134e9aef93de2272a154e9cfa46f3515233e7623290", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0777df8564f1f1edc85f5c1e06b35a87cca797e80812647992ce6bc3f7416aaef406d087f6170ff29e136f6078b5287c54c99fe863cdd74c163c786d381f2c01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7c613a739f610dc8779cc134e9aef93de2272a154e9cfa46f3515233e7623290" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.7805, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7239, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.382, "b_trend": 0.1458, "ell_km": 91.7, "ell_trend": 3.71, "rate_acceleration": 0.64, "delta_aic_iet": 220.24, "S_over_Gamma": 15.573, "days_to_criticality": 133.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0244, "grad_tau_local": 1.0626, "depth_trend": -3.48, "spatial_concentration": 71.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9916, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "cd73fba0b1d490c3f63b9c17a0998d6cab73c89f19a5c0962543b1bdd887f321", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9916, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "017a0eaa76db8b13e3159501a4ef62a2c39b934fef5d712b184f7fa6ae0034a5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "78c328d6a16acbf98b1330a8cf3589ce818f54838ff1db6096b0fad0a95b4a27af6df629ab04ff267723477e6b7cc5f5d1195dee7cc9e905eef4ab530d038e03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "017a0eaa76db8b13e3159501a4ef62a2c39b934fef5d712b184f7fa6ae0034a5" }, { "row": 15, "col": 1, "lat": -29.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.9242, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3866, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.174, "b_trend": -0.1139, "ell_km": 114.2, "ell_trend": 3.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.89, "delta_aic_iet": 167.15, "S_over_Gamma": 16.072, "days_to_criticality": -2.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.4924, "grad_tau_local": 0.6306, "depth_trend": 13.93, "spatial_concentration": 78.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9887, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "4470cbbc0f6772e4be0d879fc09e846351c604dd3f184cf957a9736cb1209377", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9887, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d3a19c1857f8d0b0f725eb81960243edb3b5df336ea8635164ef8570ce5bef71", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "07e0948ce606b1ea0aff5990c3912ff62cb9169afc0a7a4a9bfbaf180da0d22d4da7fb746560cee562ea009d0a0d07bfcc2f838597d5ba77e90deb5e33135b02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d3a19c1857f8d0b0f725eb81960243edb3b5df336ea8635164ef8570ce5bef71" }, { "row": 18, "col": 56, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.7211, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6017, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.526, "b_trend": 0.0618, "ell_km": 35.9, "ell_trend": 1.09, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 269.91, "S_over_Gamma": 15.6, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1524, "grad_tau_local": 0.8824, "depth_trend": 2.84, "spatial_concentration": 41.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9855, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "d8ed6dcf6971b4b7bc7a2aafb9dd7f2916a102f020ac9f935ae614033412abb1", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9855, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "28a7ded8cbd515521e301bc6638f4a3422aa137d8adc70693a433771bf8a0934", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2c6166ee2ae08ff7e6f7882cfe8c995446af94336b06287ebf379d3b45a1a2982cdadc1bd3716deda85b1a5b79253c3138f562cd4f3d42996348a2c85750a105" } }, "receipt_sha256": "28a7ded8cbd515521e301bc6638f4a3422aa137d8adc70693a433771bf8a0934" }, { "row": 21, "col": 3, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.7485, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5049, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.099, "b_trend": -0.0509, "ell_km": 79.6, "ell_trend": -10.4, "rate_acceleration": 0.72, "delta_aic_iet": 275.76, "S_over_Gamma": 15.968, "days_to_criticality": 2095.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.618, "grad_tau_local": 0.5442, "depth_trend": -10.07, "spatial_concentration": 71.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9852, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "b24973ffe488095e470a7710b069d2b0c4c4cc33421d251b05ff438e3f1abc8c", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9852, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a663434922d3b5fdaa9f96dd227ea8f3383d93906ff2e71ac7ab4e524d4e69fa", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0299c1fd925455e40ab8f24079b7450db4408f62d2c4137ac13700796ae0955fd9b29bdbb47f59550c42060e3049df74411314a1b46b694f5f70ed17a280a60e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a663434922d3b5fdaa9f96dd227ea8f3383d93906ff2e71ac7ab4e524d4e69fa" }, { "row": 17, "col": 2, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.9781, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3687, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 43.8, "ell_trend": -7.66, "rate_acceleration": 1.52, "delta_aic_iet": 100.15, "S_over_Gamma": 16.092, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.0583, "grad_tau_local": 0.4518, "depth_trend": 11.67, "spatial_concentration": 68.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9852, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "b24973ffe488095e470a7710b069d2b0c4c4cc33421d251b05ff438e3f1abc8c", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9852, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a663434922d3b5fdaa9f96dd227ea8f3383d93906ff2e71ac7ab4e524d4e69fa", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0299c1fd925455e40ab8f24079b7450db4408f62d2c4137ac13700796ae0955fd9b29bdbb47f59550c42060e3049df74411314a1b46b694f5f70ed17a280a60e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a663434922d3b5fdaa9f96dd227ea8f3383d93906ff2e71ac7ab4e524d4e69fa" }, { "row": 0, "col": 76, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.7926, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6631, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.118, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 61.1, "ell_trend": -1.76, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 152.17, "S_over_Gamma": 15.409, "days_to_criticality": 19.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.1002, "depth_trend": 6.09, "spatial_concentration": 75.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9845, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "0ef1298c06296e5adb7214bee72e9cf47ad86415a83c2355cb4782b6c9be9efe", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9845, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "636c3667865daa10796fc0285162f28b36e37a08055a882a20d17f8d6b6c994f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f2c756db3ca807aec23a63e8e1e23d5df8b1811e7a7488bbafb32a552b75a9688836cadb6c87807c682c526ced520e49364de7f90d08f0ed517d81e676446607" } }, "receipt_sha256": "636c3667865daa10796fc0285162f28b36e37a08055a882a20d17f8d6b6c994f" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.8971, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5498, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.141, "b_trend": 0.3427, "ell_km": 38.8, "ell_trend": 1.51, "rate_acceleration": 1.14, "delta_aic_iet": 296.14, "S_over_Gamma": 15.568, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4455, "grad_tau_local": 0.5712, "depth_trend": 5.57, "spatial_concentration": 61.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9803, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "7ba0ddfff247f6e82f002ae573701fffdb3af7f26ee09b4032ec723cd37af059", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9803, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "53d4f06ed650061c77ddc0b325bcbfadd0182e28629eae34866162fcb6a4a4a7", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a6ced749e084cce8b87c0b6e0ee342cf6318331f4f9d689d05f762f312ddbb5e467ad53bf49e7d0e65e9c87fe2bee28a38060b685b8df94584f28db0d7a98008" } }, "receipt_sha256": "53d4f06ed650061c77ddc0b325bcbfadd0182e28629eae34866162fcb6a4a4a7" }, { "row": 0, "col": 77, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -25.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.7477, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6637, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.112, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 66.4, "ell_trend": -1.16, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 142.47, "S_over_Gamma": 16.176, "days_to_criticality": 2098.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.0463, "depth_trend": 12.52, "spatial_concentration": 63.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9785, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "8ed9360747270c6792dc04f85f40beed904d031057091155909d9ac2621b6f05", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9785, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "440b7f56065d35e959192005d1f25d439941e59d7acd9789e1dba15a60b818b4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "be5fb87a3e1c918077bbe2ad0433e9efa4f48d93b0348cbcf65456104f452c07d52992c1e0dbb93adafa8dd05c81ccd22fcfbfa12a12de644abe4c1d912c620c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "440b7f56065d35e959192005d1f25d439941e59d7acd9789e1dba15a60b818b4" }, { "row": 22, "col": 173, "lat": -15.0, "lon": 167.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.0929, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5241, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.15, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 82.6, "ell_trend": -6.17, "rate_acceleration": 0.74, "delta_aic_iet": 180.63, "S_over_Gamma": 15.741, "days_to_criticality": 1791.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5214, "grad_tau_local": 0.1056, "depth_trend": 5.13, "spatial_concentration": 87.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9771, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "6c2e2150eaeed8144cd53970f124e2b246b8f62814e829e7b5ad90fca72c9008", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9771, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "53761a694a658942ebecb1f740f867b19c1f33700843e9e1a9df2845640cb326", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "32948f85d37fa4553bfb5746c072b03b4ed0f86392b7d6ce9c78cb6eb5f67bd4285720f34a581cb17067d530a0e52055db2f32a40af28332d3ba370f2144c400" } }, "receipt_sha256": "53761a694a658942ebecb1f740f867b19c1f33700843e9e1a9df2845640cb326" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 49, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.0874, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6901, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.14, "b_trend": -0.0741, "ell_km": 37.4, "ell_trend": -4.96, "rate_acceleration": 3.98, "delta_aic_iet": 328.59, "S_over_Gamma": 15.637, "days_to_criticality": 20.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.2018, "grad_tau_local": 0.9349, "depth_trend": -28.47, "spatial_concentration": 87.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.976, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "2bc37223a7b596ff9201cabcf3d60d1d96122143f9a3414351c5b8e13c7c8757", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.976, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3e2e3c73831616f24a14fb8e8261db3829324afd3c1fbde247b5940336cef95a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7b6159e829f6c3946ccad6d8854acb794a58d72b5656c0ac669a0b5203ad5e3b2b73b098f13c50805c66f9e30f33bb8806d98cba59a0f196c3619a40c64fa800" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3e2e3c73831616f24a14fb8e8261db3829324afd3c1fbde247b5940336cef95a" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.6528, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6837, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.08, "b_trend": 0.0706, "ell_km": 66.0, "ell_trend": -2.12, "rate_acceleration": 1.14, "delta_aic_iet": 230.61, "S_over_Gamma": 15.531, "days_to_criticality": 20.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5844, "grad_tau_local": 0.4656, "depth_trend": -6.61, "spatial_concentration": 83.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9738, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "48454be0e0d31b4dcf67692d7cd47966b7e8b82809778cc053a7c5058c35a4f7", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9738, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a0f7ae2e41657cd6b1650574c7deeb5a99698ef88b7667f2f790635d202c6216", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3019c5c862ffa4ae8b159f6d2a65b6e493d82c0926e3875a3aa46a7be99d65baa7f68bc798113b81e26de5ab25c257f92fa327e9228d8390600da5cd9373450c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a0f7ae2e41657cd6b1650574c7deeb5a99698ef88b7667f2f790635d202c6216" }, { "row": 54, "col": 167, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 155.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.8522, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6976, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.299, "b_trend": 0.0119, "ell_km": 73.6, "ell_trend": -4.36, "rate_acceleration": 0.4, "delta_aic_iet": 504.45, "S_over_Gamma": 15.759, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2039, "grad_tau_local": 1.4297, "depth_trend": 11.86, "spatial_concentration": 79.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9701, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "88657e8d1ea8f8ae1f10fcf9fdfeeda26bb8f7cee6c34b023746b2f5ce7187d0", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9701, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6781509e372d0570c4c9dc495e552e66f3012b7f8c2ebf5700f236db080075eb", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8f0360eca96a8ed48baf9a636f5541f30c98c94cd8f86fe4f7e27496a8ba9ea90e41ab058a5572da6a1c7877841eb3ea60a2b23a53c78e1a850c64693af8590c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6781509e372d0570c4c9dc495e552e66f3012b7f8c2ebf5700f236db080075eb" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.7302, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5696, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.553, "b_trend": -0.4156, "ell_km": 65.4, "ell_trend": 0.81, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 289.71, "S_over_Gamma": 15.131, "days_to_criticality": 117.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.7106, "depth_trend": -12.85, "spatial_concentration": 96.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9684, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "b60dba793c378c354152c3b7f8cb8a96c4faab1651bbc037d6d9ad1b9594415e", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9684, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3c7af648747e428b7b82764e6eb9e1b31df3ab6835f9d35067bed53717b096f6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "45418d8ea731c41bf04039bb93a50d9d307cfb592d37460a8b53b806420056e85f6cfdc06526bc297d483623b7d7ed92775f5907b2e67a5a687592a1aeb9c505" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3c7af648747e428b7b82764e6eb9e1b31df3ab6835f9d35067bed53717b096f6" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.7946, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6636, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.3, "b_trend": 0.0694, "ell_km": 107.2, "ell_trend": -10.86, "rate_acceleration": 1.2, "delta_aic_iet": 191.53, "S_over_Gamma": 15.882, "days_to_criticality": 2096.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.175, "grad_tau_local": 0.6638, "depth_trend": 16.75, "spatial_concentration": 58.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9673, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "a8ca5348d9ef989a9e570caeda99d52b67405a9895b44ee8b63a10ce3703f272", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9673, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2a1aeb517ae0ce3a04314f5726b9028deff0ae4442abaacca521e826c2b97cfc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6d7af53ca39277e9685cf0bce6899e25df9be11bde7433a4081fcc5add70f0582498f1b19ed345de35aac6364c610a6fc16f9229c3dae17b7db9c6c0cf6bcb01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2a1aeb517ae0ce3a04314f5726b9028deff0ae4442abaacca521e826c2b97cfc" }, { "row": 19, "col": 174, "lat": -21.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.7434, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1468, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.137, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 87.3, "ell_trend": 2.12, "rate_acceleration": 1.66, "delta_aic_iet": 175.85, "S_over_Gamma": 15.439, "days_to_criticality": 22.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.2745, "grad_tau_local": 0.6837, "depth_trend": -24.18, "spatial_concentration": 72.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9639, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "8e423c343e246243e1b7c449dcd1d94e6e064715264c90858d7e8d714e7390b9", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9639, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2b3249e2cf2cfba23f4d17ac4086dd8df067e7e72fe7b1c8d8e43dd5a9518f3f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7ffb2315e8f46b267436986fd6b87a5141d1704061579fe9d9f6fb72d4491af414e96c2bb028785ddd31888c733be17a79bd1a3f66dc4cd9e6db2a3c797db601" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2b3249e2cf2cfba23f4d17ac4086dd8df067e7e72fe7b1c8d8e43dd5a9518f3f" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.7192, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6882, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.11, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 28.9, "ell_trend": 6.27, "rate_acceleration": 0.74, "delta_aic_iet": 240.62, "S_over_Gamma": 15.358, "days_to_criticality": 34.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.13, "grad_tau_local": 0.3164, "depth_trend": 43.31, "spatial_concentration": 87.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9543, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "259b2188433156be78cb5a09fcdaebcdc85ebfa3c40997a9607f8c02fad6a1d3", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9543, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c09ad1650ae134b64af4a85166dca9a562726679181720a6633e4b0db39ffeb8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4966c97feaa1a5fee863275b718ef5bd7a572f5b7104006e5ead32f11ba0fdd0c50ec29896b4d65791ec0fa49bd3f50f29402de4a2bead93270449e2cfea7705" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c09ad1650ae134b64af4a85166dca9a562726679181720a6633e4b0db39ffeb8" }, { "row": 13, "col": 0, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.7422, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3553, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.505, "b_trend": -0.029, "ell_km": 67.9, "ell_trend": -15.35, "rate_acceleration": 0.54, "delta_aic_iet": 246.31, "S_over_Gamma": 14.195, "days_to_criticality": 2097.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.7228, "depth_trend": -15.24, "spatial_concentration": 66.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.943, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "29c03c76cbdd26c68acc0358b19d69fee268c37217a692d069f2b47417f497d2", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.943, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b971d97b39dedcfb1be93e81985652310b09f2d89942c4be97f8af98d0af98ad", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9e41cd04ba212a2a8b467b016d7f264558cf74933e42567190f131421f5a8481b254eec9797ab0b43ebe3e9e5bcbe4b8ee53a43830beb9f2197348a909c86307" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b971d97b39dedcfb1be93e81985652310b09f2d89942c4be97f8af98d0af98ad" }, { "row": 36, "col": 151, "lat": 13.0, "lon": 123.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.7952, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.331, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 23.5, "ell_trend": 0.45, "rate_acceleration": 0.59, "delta_aic_iet": 135.6, "S_over_Gamma": 15.995, "days_to_criticality": 14.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7469, "grad_tau_local": 0.806, "depth_trend": 31.32, "spatial_concentration": 85.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9324, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "b5876a57f804f670d6f998fe90ebfc3ecc257369c2ec6ec2ca6798c9a56e740e", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9324, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "67bf36e6f0fca78b52104e0f7581f71ad29f7036236a7cec81bc096e1c3c71fd", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ed712659bc5d7fdfbac382b737f7bb6a36ca924306b8484ee1cff5cff4b85e29018ccb71a88078e8044177d5ee895ecd9c673b9df9cb15323be30c8f8b179a0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "67bf36e6f0fca78b52104e0f7581f71ad29f7036236a7cec81bc096e1c3c71fd" }, { "row": 17, "col": 56, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.8231, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5693, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.512, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 29.6, "ell_trend": 1.43, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 146.01, "S_over_Gamma": 15.506, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9857, "grad_tau_local": 0.7997, "depth_trend": 10.07, "spatial_concentration": 66.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9312, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "c626b13102eeef4061bbb7cded93375354e71d3e3fb64eb1e78e62d5f04c7011", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9312, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "869af81e32e5c9b1bba1f314100b8190dac11d45d41c93c72a4458dc60e3ea8a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "69bafb549e0c6b16cdf283bc9469a5ee4c52a9663f1636ae0f50234620648df805124594cac4cdb1407dc4fcff4b3b1c157ee0916c7be489c96c03afb2985806" } }, "receipt_sha256": "869af81e32e5c9b1bba1f314100b8190dac11d45d41c93c72a4458dc60e3ea8a" }, { "row": 20, "col": 0, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.7095, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3577, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.808, "b_trend": -0.2841, "ell_km": 54.7, "ell_trend": 1.05, "rate_acceleration": 0.88, "delta_aic_iet": 364.61, "S_over_Gamma": 15.255, "days_to_criticality": 345.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.9315, "depth_trend": -11.09, "spatial_concentration": 69.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9258, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "c4403d37d94d5675ba094fd83d0a6b052868535318aa2a1aef9830c1269af93c", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9258, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "42835852798ededc5db0699b5584fd6dd3e73a1f734134c8bb72c002707de066", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f2977a9794ba6ea976c10fe627a386af675179a21a58ea048d97f54ed01d529bf9f9d9b3f8fb414dea0ab53791fbcdcd50c30b7fadcce06548ae9928e64bc40e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "42835852798ededc5db0699b5584fd6dd3e73a1f734134c8bb72c002707de066" }, { "row": 18, "col": 175, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.6551, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1429, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.294, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 65.0, "ell_trend": -7.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.52, "delta_aic_iet": 150.98, "S_over_Gamma": 15.804, "days_to_criticality": 1793.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9115, "grad_tau_local": 0.6306, "depth_trend": -3.23, "spatial_concentration": 65.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9224, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "f8df4d028f7d152b6bd9c7ba6ad8b96c0125c3e6c2812d1ce19cc93410e4a109", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9224, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a24fb12c8674539f59a5d202c19aa8ef617bd67508fc9362d6637d9bcf4fec88", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "be2f140865cc8b4a7d20fdd4659044ed439d3d33eb6fa7f199a5c96dfd60f7526fa78a90d06d4b10cceb281020acf8f0105f0b4a093d8edb87fad73a5c69c601" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a24fb12c8674539f59a5d202c19aa8ef617bd67508fc9362d6637d9bcf4fec88" }, { "row": 47, "col": 139, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 99.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.9625, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3872, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": null, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": null, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 0.207, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 0, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 0.4161, "grad_tau_local": 0.0163, "depth_trend": null, "spatial_concentration": 47.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.921, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "2771f253687d8d37bafc3999227c288bd73718f262c547ea24fb4be8b010f59d", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.921, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5732d41eb9a5625f9254eed399b69ab527d540573c6de117389a7954ae47ccae", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d38265b545520cc847f094fdb046425d7d230bfc5fba6b29de555f0e398df2ee81fb971d29488c7a3b38e36bacefdd82892d61c1227d0b32839afdca52db3504" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5732d41eb9a5625f9254eed399b69ab527d540573c6de117389a7954ae47ccae" }, { "row": 13, "col": 54, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -71.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.8126, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.662, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.102, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.0, "ell_trend": 0.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 131.32, "S_over_Gamma": 14.776, "days_to_criticality": 20.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4069, "grad_tau_local": 0.7726, "depth_trend": -22.91, "spatial_concentration": 65.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9139, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "a55c0d26cc3bb02b0dfa495a57580c91ff77c05c3cd508214b35146b050cc7dd", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9139, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a9d37ae9e6f7cee1ef64db5e8982475556cb0cc5d3415a24e61090daa3ac5a54", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "759ce9b1451b1d611163ab8239d8abe2cb0bfd336193f20b222b3e612aca2a8e8b58452e243605c933012492c987e60a2cfc53933d2828f7a7511d438ab65807" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a9d37ae9e6f7cee1ef64db5e8982475556cb0cc5d3415a24e61090daa3ac5a54" }, { "row": 46, "col": 155, "lat": 33.0, "lon": 131.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 6.8, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.2646, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4874, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.7, "ell_trend": 3.52, "rate_acceleration": 2.75, "delta_aic_iet": 45.69, "S_over_Gamma": 16.938, "days_to_criticality": 20.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.9714, "grad_tau_local": 0.7333, "depth_trend": -27.91, "spatial_concentration": 37.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9121, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "5d66ee53b0f55d2ad4f6635440661cee707360a93055f10e1d9ce58ea4d8cd1f", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9121, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "05c4a7352a28aca5f03a1a7ebcfd2dbed42f65b2ff252e929794b5b14e34d98f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "40d8ed938f5568defd642566a4cf93b404ab354c2281b47d95a06a99b9051d50b1d70908d7656f31a19d5eba92191ba5f0921552eaa060c093ef5e174835c10e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "05c4a7352a28aca5f03a1a7ebcfd2dbed42f65b2ff252e929794b5b14e34d98f" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.0553, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6389, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.93, "b_trend": 0.0764, "ell_km": 35.3, "ell_trend": 2.57, "rate_acceleration": 0.72, "delta_aic_iet": 437.92, "S_over_Gamma": 15.395, "days_to_criticality": 49.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7064, "grad_tau_local": 1.0406, "depth_trend": 6.25, "spatial_concentration": 69.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9091, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "f59ce9c115085bb9e75a5bbc1081a0425b2b4e62a47e0a56782c988cbcf5b89d", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9091, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "064bb73852b6fc79855f356668c7548934be54b39928306793e694e386c682cb", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5ce7cc773c045450f8aae09438c9d8e8c5c51dd73f279e53588d8c5c9d2d83d2a1cb650fd9ea9df25691edbf35ece4d7f8ec9d3381e3811fd1117f645757bb03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "064bb73852b6fc79855f356668c7548934be54b39928306793e694e386c682cb" }, { "row": 28, "col": 159, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 139.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.8975, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1959, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.095, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.0, "ell_trend": 1.77, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 139.8, "S_over_Gamma": 15.8, "days_to_criticality": 180.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.053, "grad_tau_local": 0.2284, "depth_trend": -9.36, "spatial_concentration": 74.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9058, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "47172a557ff53be9391a1a2b1d2d5883011086b188bab0d961f29db6d161ef70", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9058, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ac2035fb693ec2fd02779ea0b4c92f7e3238abce2fa1be59d64fbe324ffe54ec", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "69e799fa6d2bf5c3bfe0bbf24de67b48e9fe196bc22c24d91bf8a0dbbb693c5e48d3870378a408622ae12c37ed73ab13f5c7186ec45fc0e97c683568a8435c03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ac2035fb693ec2fd02779ea0b4c92f7e3238abce2fa1be59d64fbe324ffe54ec" }, { "row": 36, "col": 43, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.6919, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5103, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.054, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 44.2, "ell_trend": 1.97, "rate_acceleration": 4.85, "delta_aic_iet": 148.23, "S_over_Gamma": 15.651, "days_to_criticality": 138.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.032, "grad_tau_local": 1.2882, "depth_trend": -11.18, "spatial_concentration": 68.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8893, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "ff0907446802b8ebb16deba943da94a99e7d8f885e30d2f9231f33b41901f969", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8893, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f6763299bf017b7dc76f501d9fd8265c1455264fd36fff14088af8f734e5127e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "fbb6a553355bffcd071447e5d062b4dfc07d2e9afe95fad5a409983a200030c808236a90e5c0a049f48c01b54514788e80e1dbc7cd998e02c63ac945a2065309" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f6763299bf017b7dc76f501d9fd8265c1455264fd36fff14088af8f734e5127e" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.5095, "prob_30d_local": 0.3212, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5085, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.243, "b_trend": 0.0043, "ell_km": 69.1, "ell_trend": -6.86, "rate_acceleration": 0.19, "delta_aic_iet": 552.2, "S_over_Gamma": 15.432, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 11.7955, "grad_tau_local": 0.6361, "depth_trend": 6.3, "spatial_concentration": 84.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8742, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "e045ad196ea3ce66b8f7864dbba4d9932e2a9c19fa85d05bd86a388b2714ac75", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8742, "probability": 0.509501, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ace308f8c35d9a6a513d9f33afc5ee104ffc24b3a8862ae4c8b04663dadc2f70", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "44dd609f814b1725bf9163f7826c6f1ab28bd6f88183039a737c8f103d6a6297074ddc0c34805327ba8d61af65103479134a57882e0729efd8b9e2b16f9c8806" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ace308f8c35d9a6a513d9f33afc5ee104ffc24b3a8862ae4c8b04663dadc2f70" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.5461, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5805, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.326, "b_trend": -0.1335, "ell_km": 35.7, "ell_trend": -16.65, "rate_acceleration": 0.59, "delta_aic_iet": 568.56, "S_over_Gamma": 15.439, "days_to_criticality": 1790.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.2228, "grad_tau_local": 0.7942, "depth_trend": -10.59, "spatial_concentration": 76.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8717, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "809e795e922339316059cc5984c28fa9b6eb565265210f92b828d06eb5578546", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8717, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "67b53f8f646d134cf482ad1c685f23230bad91b6d844739abe4ebf1292f91c8a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "032a28beb9624c9c43bd50a380738f423fb2cd27304a8cd8a8b1163cca26567d9f6e15b9ba8ea27cfcf7c4ccce2b65b851b8cffc666d7db57e092b8245c35c0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "67b53f8f646d134cf482ad1c685f23230bad91b6d844739abe4ebf1292f91c8a" }, { "row": 33, "col": 153, "lat": 7.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.0286, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5422, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.092, "b_trend": 0.0343, "ell_km": 44.2, "ell_trend": 1.2, "rate_acceleration": 2.88, "delta_aic_iet": 416.8, "S_over_Gamma": 15.453, "days_to_criticality": 220.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.0487, "grad_tau_local": 1.5671, "depth_trend": 0.2, "spatial_concentration": 55.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8693, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "ae39c158d73c65c9fc5e78089703bf3e8ac6a1f717d1317bface210541b04dea", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8693, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8208bab5c06704573da60c3614128f6e1a1de422109e92c244dcd0110c871e91", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ac9575369a71f82f27ff0950dd0d994bd48ff97907c8feb792f7d7ac51723b52d9d50b3b8c936cac66406544a6d3f468c754319ebc971c962407ff122913b30d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8208bab5c06704573da60c3614128f6e1a1de422109e92c244dcd0110c871e91" }, { "row": 23, "col": 82, "lat": -13.0, "lon": -15.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.9356, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3854, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.4, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 9.0, "delta_aic_iet": -33.39, "S_over_Gamma": 10.947, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.3344, "grad_tau_local": 0.103, "depth_trend": -0.15, "spatial_concentration": 43.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8672, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "307683abc2f3df865f0b79c4e34987d0ed505fbdc7e7f5cf3b270e67a427204a", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8672, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "16630de3f6f642adc3cb1bc7664650793c6d77eece7af64f6eac32655df72344", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "939fc510c91e44c9a60e645e065d980e0d71a65da4eb34d78c70c2cd0ac54de75d926e05b68408ee074fd29072b5280303d610b0fcb33cf1ecdba0d351f9390b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "16630de3f6f642adc3cb1bc7664650793c6d77eece7af64f6eac32655df72344" }, { "row": 21, "col": 0, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.8423, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1804, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.665, "b_trend": 0.0416, "ell_km": 46.3, "ell_trend": -0.03, "rate_acceleration": 0.74, "delta_aic_iet": 208.92, "S_over_Gamma": 15.256, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.2543, "depth_trend": -22.98, "spatial_concentration": 82.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8425, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "c12e45bfb7ccdab1a2ad24d7e56678ef05388a01b2b498094c281f4f73837944", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8425, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4f797c50a636053500f61bba52714a51b95c670167e97472f7578ecfd240f2bc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "28e8eef968cd9fe5c72c122eb1599b4d67125f68f5127ee3972a9b79bd07a203dbc9137b5c4d3fd3de741333b93d482f53d2a70c645ad6765a1cc6a9edf0fc0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4f797c50a636053500f61bba52714a51b95c670167e97472f7578ecfd240f2bc" }, { "row": 37, "col": 43, "lat": 15.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 127, "max_mag": 7.3, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.5206, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7545, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.878, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 44.1, "ell_trend": 2.48, "rate_acceleration": 4.2, "delta_aic_iet": 225.64, "S_over_Gamma": 15.758, "days_to_criticality": 70.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0702, "grad_tau_local": 0.3177, "depth_trend": -22.17, "spatial_concentration": 92.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.839, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "76364c59f2fcfa3941ef76bc650e99fc6355aebd264a4571c5af15ba9d36d507", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.839, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5ccf336d788a1352074c80726a45f95de9e891dbf731e32387a1f9c73f3a7ffc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bc9664b3d805b1b722fc3c6b753c1b0e0e3dc58aac128b412495de0dbd2673897dd9323eaa504bfce477f57b9dc504c119537c72650ea352b254055d0c2a1108" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5ccf336d788a1352074c80726a45f95de9e891dbf731e32387a1f9c73f3a7ffc" }, { "row": 28, "col": 155, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 131.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.8546, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3633, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 31.3, "ell_trend": 0.62, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 76.1, "S_over_Gamma": 15.097, "days_to_criticality": 55.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6975, "grad_tau_local": 0.8135, "depth_trend": 6.11, "spatial_concentration": 83.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.808, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "34bf3c7a434c81222f362f6e7609aadb04b5f72d30ec27956afd366115753b76", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.808, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "62b1670cf51292f5387e3867504dafc3a638ccf6cbb25ec8fb0da7df8823e1a3", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4cf6c20b9b5cc85722a87de02b52e7e8fbea2c27444f29030aa15e286181bf0d55f71d680f15a950303f87fcb35b225e57b5402d9bb59443c1560a2700226a07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "62b1670cf51292f5387e3867504dafc3a638ccf6cbb25ec8fb0da7df8823e1a3" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6624, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.345, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.992, "b_trend": 0.1211, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": 0.18, "rate_acceleration": 0.66, "delta_aic_iet": 428.18, "S_over_Gamma": 13.14, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2918, "grad_tau_local": 0.9519, "depth_trend": -0.21, "spatial_concentration": 79.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7599, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "7e3652086fb47af6c0fd905c2bacaf8275cc2383152598ba2f0b539ec08975b0", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7599, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "44d068c82032fcb887f9cf057ef295a252febee0fccd98530b1d18db96733b8e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8126b80e256d0f32a5ab9e72de13b676567282fc5d5fae77655e142d6369653b84ca3fa20216db14e3e6a4fa504866a8cced2ed3176819d8f76967c1306ccd0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "44d068c82032fcb887f9cf057ef295a252febee0fccd98530b1d18db96733b8e" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 59, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.9533, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7516, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.217, "b_trend": 0.1232, "ell_km": 34.6, "ell_trend": -0.37, "rate_acceleration": 1.13, "delta_aic_iet": 1229.88, "S_over_Gamma": 14.013, "days_to_criticality": 21.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.7887, "grad_tau_local": 1.6184, "depth_trend": -2.44, "spatial_concentration": 48.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7156, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "7d956aa98d2cbc42bbe9714707ba24f6e514a39a5ba86baa000e46307261dc95", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7156, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4ec384cfce4f897fc9eb04eed05ee4f2a748dcd9851d0f1dbde85db4c3351bc0", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "50fec2344b46b094b781f77d104166c78fd5a019ad815fe29e557f993983cd9afabfc929a76d75d6ff1ea75ab102e6e5dc039f6212901e02d798971fbebe7308" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4ec384cfce4f897fc9eb04eed05ee4f2a748dcd9851d0f1dbde85db4c3351bc0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 88, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6856, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5625, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.625, "b_trend": 0.105, "ell_km": 14.0, "ell_trend": -5.87, "rate_acceleration": 1.6, "delta_aic_iet": 1018.14, "S_over_Gamma": 13.933, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7578, "grad_tau_local": 0.8468, "depth_trend": 0.41, "spatial_concentration": 73.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6796, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "4d0d122b9e408e047979c3cb7548ace58e07de55126cfd3629b77f0e0e099c44", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6796, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5ba582e2ad6f2dfd8454bf552d4b6d1a1cc773be4472a3b58b247d8c42df33e3", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c1f9067fe77634a4e2a949885a92d244e959b636ca7dd7906357149cb2646bacff6e082c45586a45480b8e618ee784a9606a65b3b2bcf6f9f9c125ee5c053202" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5ba582e2ad6f2dfd8454bf552d4b6d1a1cc773be4472a3b58b247d8c42df33e3" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 34, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6026, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5927, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.634, "b_trend": 0.0673, "ell_km": 71.4, "ell_trend": -1.44, "rate_acceleration": 2.39, "delta_aic_iet": 802.3, "S_over_Gamma": 13.404, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2147, "grad_tau_local": 1.0224, "depth_trend": -10.62, "spatial_concentration": 73.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6169, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "43d27edf427f83c85ea463beff5bd99fb6e9926e808cabf6c513b29cf0810b98", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6169, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d026ffc538bc89f36867180c084b21947c4299484b18afe060fe3857787bdb11", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b251b151ed01550a8bd748ff580e96a22773c5615513e8f82fc9145d64dd8aecc765aec60d30574afacb5f53e5cad2441b95290368b3b1ce74030acb2729140f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d026ffc538bc89f36867180c084b21947c4299484b18afe060fe3857787bdb11" }, { "row": 59, "col": 74, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -31.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6943, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3074, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.4, "ell_trend": -0.58, "rate_acceleration": 3.56, "delta_aic_iet": -85.19, "S_over_Gamma": 12.645, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.5061, "grad_tau_local": 0.1049, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 71.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5837, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "02daa33ca97f77b86968fa63f29e914d76b5795cdb6fcc86e3cd55e542d6b91a", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5837, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "004a74f69219b609c5d2c8a40486acddc48e38d177608299131639cb6978232a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b297fd34290b81ea2631952d62bed143b96e1ee79749d901f27d7b20474c7887ac40e6f5f2a1e4ec15a7a47aeb593f06d5a5fa3338f57f666f1dc620efda030c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "004a74f69219b609c5d2c8a40486acddc48e38d177608299131639cb6978232a" }, { "row": 44, "col": 142, "lat": 29.0, "lon": 105.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6762, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4282, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -3.67, "rate_acceleration": 1.9, "delta_aic_iet": 49.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.556, "days_to_criticality": -2.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.2168, "grad_tau_local": 0.0629, "depth_trend": 2.77, "spatial_concentration": 72.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5782, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "894c0500c5ce8ed036980319ec1a2e37dab6d549d8a7f0c61f582d1456337310", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5782, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7f3914e5da9df9dda3dc29f7d4a1634f711ad413c91939968cf03a6c3a112bd6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f96868055e9944e062cabb01b23f47aabe6b1e603c2c079b805fd14b1ada1b31007f55d8146a55c327de9a2d49cdf80ee9eedec9e4dda42892a01555982a5901" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7f3914e5da9df9dda3dc29f7d4a1634f711ad413c91939968cf03a6c3a112bd6" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 63, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6382, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2417, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.513, "b_trend": 0.0568, "ell_km": 11.1, "ell_trend": -9.87, "rate_acceleration": 2.57, "delta_aic_iet": 439.73, "S_over_Gamma": 14.094, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.5678, "grad_tau_local": 1.5875, "depth_trend": -8.78, "spatial_concentration": 127.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5249, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "a3e785262b41d1bb502f29fcfaad170820edeab283c1298eca9f42b2a4ae0d6f", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5249, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e48dc05f606c4a60cc52c86b7a998abb6be7b86fcfda6c2709f7dd362447c088", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5a8bfcd0f384c806d366c09505cbf2cb11b4ef130e1881942842a9ba38017ea34c3350a254a9f74433a9724dc812bc529b50a29ca4cc6636d699f8ec956f9800" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e48dc05f606c4a60cc52c86b7a998abb6be7b86fcfda6c2709f7dd362447c088" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.727, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6656, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.842, "b_trend": -0.0749, "ell_km": 90.0, "ell_trend": 0.14, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 803.59, "S_over_Gamma": 13.384, "days_to_criticality": 45.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5822, "grad_tau_local": 0.4301, "depth_trend": 0.85, "spatial_concentration": 68.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5168, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "3fc65ec6638dee22b12dee51569920793d3b95e23d801fda94afa1f797b878a2", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5168, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b2a425d4e8f40971cbf183410bd55d8eaba77c055ce218a93613735134636164", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b29e85bed729cd398a845c6d4b433bb9b55635f42260827d17528b24f53acf4d9f54979cd31317c0b2146f46d23a4a65670a95ee646c81729aeff95f9ee3c303" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b2a425d4e8f40971cbf183410bd55d8eaba77c055ce218a93613735134636164" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.9703, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2513, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.936, "b_trend": 0.0718, "ell_km": 3.5, "ell_trend": 0.03, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 527.03, "S_over_Gamma": 13.573, "days_to_criticality": 19.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6459, "grad_tau_local": 0.8311, "depth_trend": -0.07, "spatial_concentration": 73.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.504, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "7dfddb004e595a8df30d2cf48546188b68d9ad48a75fb697d4985b1f2a4c6d97", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.504, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8a8d03994a7b16c38d763e22bfe1d28d165d0d74aeb9ec0a4fb643b9ea773ac9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "29d9a060ab658b4a9d63c556cbdb784614a29fdc0f4ed472fe4f24ebf734dfd35297d2bbe6b5311c36a9e79d06c7b5b7d23f5430f0520d2aa4ac94689a6f3606" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8a8d03994a7b16c38d763e22bfe1d28d165d0d74aeb9ec0a4fb643b9ea773ac9" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 35, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.614, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7126, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.226, "b_trend": -0.1008, "ell_km": 35.9, "ell_trend": -2.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.1, "delta_aic_iet": 1352.29, "S_over_Gamma": 13.666, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5762, "grad_tau_local": 1.4042, "depth_trend": -5.14, "spatial_concentration": 63.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4919, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "cfc637005b9b6c6b7104330040908b93ac6eafd5200d046cb04af27166b60166", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4919, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5349fbb7e2103510ef2482e79d0718f733f425adc67445333b3f2891390d9cdf", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "95964395d990dc42d26523cb1ef137958709e908997b6fb1ff40c633d5307b1bab2c2ee9cb02165edffea4b2f8bf9619ccf9c13ed02eb332a0a43966cfe7990c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5349fbb7e2103510ef2482e79d0718f733f425adc67445333b3f2891390d9cdf" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6605, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3394, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.886, "b_trend": -0.0182, "ell_km": 5.2, "ell_trend": 0.28, "rate_acceleration": 1.52, "delta_aic_iet": 228.65, "S_over_Gamma": 13.533, "days_to_criticality": 68.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3583, "grad_tau_local": 0.213, "depth_trend": -2.63, "spatial_concentration": 33.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4626, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "8c7c67d8033edf4c9c7fb48f6229564cee2d8d38e64ceb2cf69b657d0da89656", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4626, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "354517bf5d0158ccd8d6c59d286488a8d038f43c0271a504783149cec4471821", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c7b36af5090fe8f28fa59d065f5d3eabc44ab46003d986401fd4934332630415e188f43c17f64a7e9a745566a60af7d2893bb1ae4f5c251b44c3cfe7ea6c870c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "354517bf5d0158ccd8d6c59d286488a8d038f43c0271a504783149cec4471821" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.674, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.49, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.076, "b_trend": -0.0839, "ell_km": 85.5, "ell_trend": 0.19, "rate_acceleration": 0.89, "delta_aic_iet": 748.85, "S_over_Gamma": 13.36, "days_to_criticality": 572.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9534, "grad_tau_local": 1.5799, "depth_trend": 3.19, "spatial_concentration": 68.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4503, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "5554fcddf95c1abb2f5ea97d1d1101332f2f0da8d52ce13af36f53c8b5bb67d7", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4503, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "62410510ab07e65cbbcbd8ff779e1833e9d594a0cac4c9d834175d9ac6244bab", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a3686637f03e6e2138a7fa0d277fd4c3a73494fa44b3e098c6266e8b5aef2c0710d7dbb12753dd0f03a73e1b98a9980680f53be9568dfd32aebea5a54a20150c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "62410510ab07e65cbbcbd8ff779e1833e9d594a0cac4c9d834175d9ac6244bab" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6503, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6475, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.617, "b_trend": 0.0953, "ell_km": 13.8, "ell_trend": -6.92, "rate_acceleration": 1.6, "delta_aic_iet": 907.49, "S_over_Gamma": 13.611, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0712, "grad_tau_local": 1.715, "depth_trend": 0.75, "spatial_concentration": 64.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.45, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "500422ba227b370015d9b5df0292a47b0c4583c0ac88770bbc6297daa8289a1d", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.45, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9d51035b824d8d395841a5f4ed58aa37cb6cab5814c1c0f7112a7d7f3c698dd4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a9149acc3a368a4390729f892e419b4995b31f96bb3ba2d151cfbd63cf2e5e407dc36e6f82f988f3b8207874c46928015c3eed58fdacde03408ea05878dd360d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9d51035b824d8d395841a5f4ed58aa37cb6cab5814c1c0f7112a7d7f3c698dd4" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.4364, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2039, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.636, "b_trend": 0.0709, "ell_km": 77.2, "ell_trend": -1.73, "rate_acceleration": 2.4, "delta_aic_iet": 858.64, "S_over_Gamma": 13.397, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9705, "grad_tau_local": 3.1138, "depth_trend": -11.21, "spatial_concentration": 160.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4435, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "fdf1541ec5f913cf4d3c85c38b4bca3ad67ae1c866953958e0a6e9abd5dceb05", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4435, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "16e4e8d5a565a52a4ad8bdf8632756fe54210e968d45d29485761dfb84046ba8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d61d220cd4d200d2d249a51954cdfba4293103e3bb178d8df8dc7a68a2ef7135769fbacc8dd85b42a45d7695991ec8cd7cc3e2214446e918b0fa99247afbd108" } }, "receipt_sha256": "16e4e8d5a565a52a4ad8bdf8632756fe54210e968d45d29485761dfb84046ba8" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6238, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4576, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.87, "b_trend": 0.0473, "ell_km": 95.1, "ell_trend": -1.38, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 597.61, "S_over_Gamma": 13.236, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3154, "grad_tau_local": 1.9754, "depth_trend": 4.29, "spatial_concentration": 73.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.435, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "4e9a10c288d856f1fc806c8b4c29708103125969ce34593f77f90b6e533044fb", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.435, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "13b78b8820954e2d95d4a5c93baae6f53b4b8fc3f928482dff7f87ab4b6cdfc9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7ab86cd26cc6cdfcd46e03b8c68068d8a2f64766fefed010c1cc7b8c51ec49979c32cdee7bb4ed4d5261eb25c64e29a265c72b7e25aa2c2f43b66bfdff67060d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "13b78b8820954e2d95d4a5c93baae6f53b4b8fc3f928482dff7f87ab4b6cdfc9" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 54, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6741, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3599, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.498, "b_trend": 0.1706, "ell_km": 10.9, "ell_trend": -8.13, "rate_acceleration": 2.64, "delta_aic_iet": 331.12, "S_over_Gamma": 10.032, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.2841, "grad_tau_local": 1.645, "depth_trend": -10.68, "spatial_concentration": 108.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4312, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "e2cbcfa5f6c40cc5f1c9ee2cabe4170d5ff8fcdb8c4b0d2b7f34ae4fb9efe42f", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4312, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e9afb97b87a7ffbd8ae404921f320f460cbee74393e951b6b7e711c632ac1078", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f3097d0cb01577e4761f534eb50790c19474f72a1d03835b400d129a05434a97dfee36cf963821176821c63c59a0ffab66ac76edc04878849d7d3b3c7216690e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e9afb97b87a7ffbd8ae404921f320f460cbee74393e951b6b7e711c632ac1078" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6242, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5348, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.859, "b_trend": -0.057, "ell_km": 109.6, "ell_trend": -10.44, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 492.44, "S_over_Gamma": 12.925, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6479, "grad_tau_local": 0.5504, "depth_trend": -1.58, "spatial_concentration": 77.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4266, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "fcdf2f8d1e912b4f0589ea152827c6141ff6ea2e1851c2d85540cb4b1c6dbd78", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4266, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c13b573c48f39eec2457a3d5cfd23b85eb37c5aee8c60a927449936a2cefe711", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "87cd6c26afb8ce1816556be139c3147951ff2d59fab24923bc0c06f3b1522b11bb417208e690fdd52429575c0f64e9d173a487f488ba95903e1a561f1035a302" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c13b573c48f39eec2457a3d5cfd23b85eb37c5aee8c60a927449936a2cefe711" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6167, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4446, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.856, "b_trend": -0.0071, "ell_km": 86.2, "ell_trend": 0.34, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 789.53, "S_over_Gamma": 12.935, "days_to_criticality": 0.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.787, "grad_tau_local": 0.8495, "depth_trend": 1.34, "spatial_concentration": 69.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4254, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "39edbe3c6cd39b7f781ddca2e8ca65dc3e188722cbef367e0b16ddb722279844", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4254, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4b2758e2277d21ce6cff5fddba49a462d5e7f900fd76f58d214cf70aeb070ea9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e270ff91fb2288f5357db381a036ece747dd1290594298d20ce3eab7b80bfe2c3b22ef3c52f949d525b0e24dea2487ac528af61b9ea497f8afa8b5b860f33608" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4b2758e2277d21ce6cff5fddba49a462d5e7f900fd76f58d214cf70aeb070ea9" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 28, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6246, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5366, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.765, "b_trend": 0.0799, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": -0.94, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 877.34, "S_over_Gamma": 13.342, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6319, "grad_tau_local": 0.3745, "depth_trend": -1.38, "spatial_concentration": 76.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4148, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "06c5977aa69ce4c6f87d3591559557eccede7e9dde4a3ba9be2378e55d8fcb51", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4148, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c7c5a6be4b39d92184d0472e5ce9cc3b1a197f876845a0df118cd49401319143", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a4b92fcbb3bcb2ae6949d00c1e20d9094f0ccc69af157d0ee497aa455fb9cf5f9499965c34b57736d0bb9a74705883d6c412ce972248ed5366e6b6e6625f550a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c7c5a6be4b39d92184d0472e5ce9cc3b1a197f876845a0df118cd49401319143" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.627, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5376, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.087, "b_trend": 0.1964, "ell_km": 15.6, "ell_trend": -1.01, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 714.03, "S_over_Gamma": 14.257, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5515, "grad_tau_local": 2.2681, "depth_trend": -3.14, "spatial_concentration": 43.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4139, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "79d159ffd04c7c02568c1bf7853ad807ccbc980de0dcbb7a7e1915bdb5148949", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4139, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fd5760fa483dba6a4532edb1cd0079dc12bbb525261c3a21f977e839fb7c095b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ee8ea48fe200ef5164c07ecfbeed59d931e7fd8c99f35bfc9b4c6a9342386647f77fbe3bcb7a530a9bcdfa5dfb9e2caae84bea1807a5e2571700c252b2359c09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "fd5760fa483dba6a4532edb1cd0079dc12bbb525261c3a21f977e839fb7c095b" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6319, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6214, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.633, "b_trend": 0.1071, "ell_km": 13.2, "ell_trend": -8.82, "rate_acceleration": 1.58, "delta_aic_iet": 855.11, "S_over_Gamma": 13.687, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2044, "grad_tau_local": 1.4494, "depth_trend": 2.01, "spatial_concentration": 84.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4138, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "fea051af1959fdd555221bd489e270e121b37d4d2ad5498e50673f63251e6fb7", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4138, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "027505048c788d5047c11ed9d297eca899d78a91e45d55041a13925a849d7dad", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "736afca290590408745b0e09015e2b889f41219f6ce6513148ab8a1a217f551b130bc22c145bc7a96385bbf884e84f39959c19a2ac4127e8e0159b2348a9790f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "027505048c788d5047c11ed9d297eca899d78a91e45d55041a13925a849d7dad" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 30, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.5963, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1946, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.234, "b_trend": 0.0753, "ell_km": 18.5, "ell_trend": -1.64, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 917.92, "S_over_Gamma": 13.136, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9597, "grad_tau_local": 2.0629, "depth_trend": -4.63, "spatial_concentration": 57.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4135, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "4b435398824a7f464ebb5184000e9385fdf7c9cb8ed1636c626b3146c0f2b0a3", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4135, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4ad3de12f77224f939d191e9deed27d9a029e96f2f802545e8699e9ab03b92f7", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ec4c1e485cbd14056ea236a00263a9d21da08692a0c48034bb254fdadef8b33ed52fa874babe3d2571d53c6f58ab78e720b787fc22375840027592da3c87620e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4ad3de12f77224f939d191e9deed27d9a029e96f2f802545e8699e9ab03b92f7" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6141, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4764, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.875, "b_trend": 0.0472, "ell_km": 96.1, "ell_trend": -1.45, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 635.0, "S_over_Gamma": 12.907, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9295, "grad_tau_local": 1.6939, "depth_trend": 3.59, "spatial_concentration": 70.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4132, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "a80a90cab7063deff60e76d454b0dccd22a05651f3d661b6e339ea2bf5966c66", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4132, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1c080a7925570c0ef56a1e92d5fd552d4cd367ebc260ce121751b55c5313df4b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ca04fe8874f192ccd09693edbc534dd22ff5de0b399f7c593dd40a34e484bf57555a0da044770ccb6e4cd08cc3964a58b8bdc416b37c968ecab674028d925003" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1c080a7925570c0ef56a1e92d5fd552d4cd367ebc260ce121751b55c5313df4b" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 33, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6011, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3763, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.616, "b_trend": 0.1058, "ell_km": 73.8, "ell_trend": -0.52, "rate_acceleration": 2.03, "delta_aic_iet": 743.67, "S_over_Gamma": 13.425, "days_to_criticality": 2096.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.9705, "depth_trend": -9.2, "spatial_concentration": 117.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4065, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "7903e75638e3760b181f0221a898ecfa39ba93b970116e326184edc2ce9000af", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4065, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b52cd6f48579adc6baa295df283c0655460700d7dada41e1c1464fd171f7900d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6c2769b6eb40aefe5b3f336a0316f992d65bf485dd616df1eb5aad9528ec7930ab96ac3cdfcd6e4eb1ecc4b1b9dd1b22f3885aa439729ca20bdd39844cfb250b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b52cd6f48579adc6baa295df283c0655460700d7dada41e1c1464fd171f7900d" }, { "row": 49, "col": 30, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.3092, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3147, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.88, "b_trend": -0.0325, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": 0.46, "rate_acceleration": 0.71, "delta_aic_iet": 418.29, "S_over_Gamma": 13.242, "days_to_criticality": 30.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6093, "grad_tau_local": 0.5265, "depth_trend": -0.7, "spatial_concentration": 84.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.406, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "fde0dd38a607fc27ab0f8f98875fec6e66291ba43f3aadb5459599372098941e", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.406, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "41dbfa9c301b689adcc506c739864accaacc1eaf83bcd32ec823ba6730f708cd", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "dc00474f2e89895c5de38ecbae32f595b6076d6e17876ce8004f3010e95a66d5db2ad1daf3b34531d5e3ee8c1742c54a6547268215fb4eda5de9fae6f2bf030b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "41dbfa9c301b689adcc506c739864accaacc1eaf83bcd32ec823ba6730f708cd" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.0203, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3444, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.536, "b_trend": -0.003, "ell_km": 12.2, "ell_trend": -8.3, "rate_acceleration": 2.34, "delta_aic_iet": 675.74, "S_over_Gamma": 13.642, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 3.5678, "depth_trend": -8.97, "spatial_concentration": 105.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4045, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "c877ae52520de1e3d883d05d64f281392617b43ddec0c61abad46a559ad80fe9", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4045, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b33d116bfa5e994bdeb2a383de6f788cdbf5d6f94ddc2d314bcc61c33964d15f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2edb681baacb2e783d691ac672a4cdd2b5838e5345228f9bb4d4be0d0f33abb1f0cd5bdd377abccdc9b1713542664d2ea48b35bd4ad5a4a9e9a3fb1e71736306" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b33d116bfa5e994bdeb2a383de6f788cdbf5d6f94ddc2d314bcc61c33964d15f" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.599, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.765, "b_trend": 0.098, "ell_km": 21.1, "ell_trend": 0.17, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 780.3, "S_over_Gamma": 13.469, "days_to_criticality": 22.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3743, "grad_tau_local": 0.6861, "depth_trend": -4.04, "spatial_concentration": 92.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4033, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "bf83c94d31f9beb9bb7f86c78a36094beb4c9d5ff38212cf0d429b7ff1e4e489", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4033, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bceeeadc81522d1c982e7f3ac98b8718cd6ea8c9de5bab0c4a68b54d7bca5d59", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c58094a48616d8121aabc8f43473df9567b94d35bfa8cb258f47cdd120a93d872badadf6b9d98835e37047d3ce65113f06b09cba8f38a7e25c611a2212a93701" } }, "receipt_sha256": "bceeeadc81522d1c982e7f3ac98b8718cd6ea8c9de5bab0c4a68b54d7bca5d59" }, { "row": 46, "col": 31, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6477, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3578, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.873, "b_trend": -0.0573, "ell_km": 2.9, "ell_trend": -0.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.36, "delta_aic_iet": 456.27, "S_over_Gamma": 13.318, "days_to_criticality": 32.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2046, "grad_tau_local": 1.3166, "depth_trend": 0.36, "spatial_concentration": 74.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4016, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "48022932e64b58b00f727fd092d6b31443b533dd9d5a12b4a10d75399bac79f5", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4016, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "44078dceb851293b1f397c377e776b53739ce1d977b7349be0828a6436bce3d7", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d42e0bfc9a80afc76d73f9ef1ca9d5ebcb875951521c7bb4fcc667f9e97327d198e9b6ec88816e438aee527a3fbc1e28cd191165d899fdeed86b3919c60a440b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "44078dceb851293b1f397c377e776b53739ce1d977b7349be0828a6436bce3d7" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 2.9, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.599, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1037, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.619, "b_trend": 0.0486, "ell_km": 10.6, "ell_trend": -0.7, "rate_acceleration": 1.1, "delta_aic_iet": 355.54, "S_over_Gamma": 13.333, "days_to_criticality": 2097.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3664, "grad_tau_local": 0.6034, "depth_trend": 0.28, "spatial_concentration": 80.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3976, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "b2fa64e7808f15d9a15c601bdc2188fad4b27d62bceae5ffef540d4052f87f7e", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3976, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c811d85e9a94003b2407624eb4264b3b2c477c9d6ed44afa8f0c3d311c5bf56c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ff82e6b41fd2e3d7295679a6cb7988722bddd4b44944ac82b265eb6a88768e25ca328d09b8aa60b90a0fa74de18574b0e7b214e0b69f06562a4101866dde370e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c811d85e9a94003b2407624eb4264b3b2c477c9d6ed44afa8f0c3d311c5bf56c" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.4468, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4791, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.652, "b_trend": 0.1107, "ell_km": 12.3, "ell_trend": -9.54, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 889.14, "S_over_Gamma": 13.49, "days_to_criticality": 2096.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6053, "grad_tau_local": 0.6188, "depth_trend": 2.45, "spatial_concentration": 77.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3974, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "80a8e8bbdeaacb2bdb2b013bddbe2214a10b0064662f32aef2be9b946606ac1d", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3974, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ffe12e48f84736d711f6137f0e94e6e4025391da67040683c8f7241348cd6462", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ab4330dbbd589acb05d7cb16c723fc4a6f3a2ee1cc591f590277626d3df0e8dcac173f017383dc29f228de8a62f53099d50bb65eae61addd21f05bbb2f7e2202" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ffe12e48f84736d711f6137f0e94e6e4025391da67040683c8f7241348cd6462" }, { "row": 59, "col": 12, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.5978, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3156, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.1, "b_trend": -0.215, "ell_km": 78.6, "ell_trend": 0.67, "rate_acceleration": 0.77, "delta_aic_iet": 585.19, "S_over_Gamma": 12.546, "days_to_criticality": 74.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6614, "grad_tau_local": 1.2172, "depth_trend": 4.37, "spatial_concentration": 72.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3922, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "09ce971d64ee5ee71a6824f66c4234926d1ff30bad6ebb5bb160332f325a8e04", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3922, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3a8bb8c8af9b90109724931a146e607a722ac152b9daac239d2af14ebd56c4d2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7d02ffc1ef869b690f5400340c5780b55785966cfc8a00959894b99d2be2764b6604fc7171e75a5dadfb44559cc974d98c35d9d1e8749fc1ed2fc1077ae8420e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3a8bb8c8af9b90109724931a146e607a722ac152b9daac239d2af14ebd56c4d2" }, { "row": 58, "col": 12, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6181, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3658, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.811, "b_trend": 0.0083, "ell_km": 126.9, "ell_trend": 12.83, "rate_acceleration": 0.84, "delta_aic_iet": 522.35, "S_over_Gamma": 13.264, "days_to_criticality": 60.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.949, "grad_tau_local": 0.4445, "depth_trend": 1.74, "spatial_concentration": 75.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3912, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "a6138b4eb4640ae3fa108ce481eccf2e0d21a3439952d6079ef1b0030334f0d6", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3912, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0bbb9b46d2b3447196c8d25297060f2f0ac071f9e1bdea312ff8c3c830e01dad", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "adf3d661d94d3aafbfdbd79dd709aadea5bd33c2d8cdb2d780e1968fa711bcff8e341a8e9c9850772a9db195d0687ec711025bb6e36fdc5d7c5bfbec0369470e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0bbb9b46d2b3447196c8d25297060f2f0ac071f9e1bdea312ff8c3c830e01dad" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6084, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1225, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.83, "b_trend": 0.0756, "ell_km": 108.6, "ell_trend": 0.1, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 592.32, "S_over_Gamma": 12.884, "days_to_criticality": 290.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9252, "grad_tau_local": 0.917, "depth_trend": 4.86, "spatial_concentration": 76.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3869, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "be7fd9082baafd62321add8b35663ea7036752d00d68944a1bb3aa6c3314e6d6", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3869, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f8e2304e1094303a381cd9286e02989fe6d01cd6c01489bdf167a9e8f1373536", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2b1c45881dbd4f22ac6920660111411f1688f546f8d2e6fe01edb0683232ff8686fa30e1db4991ef95546d0a3355c257658a6045c7b68fd47b38452048d69f0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f8e2304e1094303a381cd9286e02989fe6d01cd6c01489bdf167a9e8f1373536" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6021, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3504, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.083, "b_trend": -0.164, "ell_km": 85.5, "ell_trend": 1.17, "rate_acceleration": 0.79, "delta_aic_iet": 612.27, "S_over_Gamma": 13.023, "days_to_criticality": 108.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.657, "grad_tau_local": 0.25, "depth_trend": 4.6, "spatial_concentration": 81.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3833, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "5e24fcb25bf85f9ee3739bbfca9929b4db22ebdaa066e60210507cfa7967da89", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3833, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5f34779d7f062c7be4b62f6960decb36a65c7614150967be572ee2751b74af81", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "dc5688c6b03d372f72ad3f4de9f0eb9c775ee38b90722e35d5e505a483f1a016b09354e52b02242e522e90e5b52854b009a171fce202d91b030b7f286ae0e70d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5f34779d7f062c7be4b62f6960decb36a65c7614150967be572ee2751b74af81" }, { "row": 45, "col": 39, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -101.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": null, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0509, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.8, "ell_trend": -0.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.85, "delta_aic_iet": 195.47, "S_over_Gamma": 13.284, "days_to_criticality": 25.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.582, "grad_tau_local": 1.3597, "depth_trend": -0.48, "spatial_concentration": 50.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3799, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "a039bbb4008a8b5e41d8099811573b19e9e630921fa851719051e38541bb7fcd", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3799, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "baaca3e54cfa0eee1547fed8c83d9ac46cf628f8903960030be45ffd94c7d6cb", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b96c0e6d9722ad4bea799396d4cea6eb4d7e8e296e3769e21055befd765ae43928583cef4323650e5e17d0744f4415e0e4a5f38f263d15b5cb145047c86a4c0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "baaca3e54cfa0eee1547fed8c83d9ac46cf628f8903960030be45ffd94c7d6cb" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.5945, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1552, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.786, "b_trend": 0.1527, "ell_km": 21.0, "ell_trend": 0.15, "rate_acceleration": 0.83, "delta_aic_iet": 743.86, "S_over_Gamma": 13.064, "days_to_criticality": 25.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3861, "grad_tau_local": 1.1908, "depth_trend": -1.15, "spatial_concentration": 79.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3785, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "0f9123aa6f3c88efe78df57cf54f15c4bc176c09532986944044f41cf25bf4c2", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3785, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "569803fd7859dd10e40b7f4c2f87433618ffebfb7c4560c1c481eaab3db2cab9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "fa5301f8316fbe1c3c06375e9b067f184f51c155c8208e9544cbe1252f649ae8ef406365dfbce7fad7961528c9dff18679902ffd5fe37e59c0581457610c9a08" } }, "receipt_sha256": "569803fd7859dd10e40b7f4c2f87433618ffebfb7c4560c1c481eaab3db2cab9" }, { "row": 46, "col": 32, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -115.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.5709, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1227, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.846, "b_trend": -0.0613, "ell_km": 3.0, "ell_trend": -0.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.27, "delta_aic_iet": 360.43, "S_over_Gamma": 13.285, "days_to_criticality": 22.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1824, "grad_tau_local": 0.9789, "depth_trend": 0.84, "spatial_concentration": 59.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.371, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "de2eb5c512e67b42fe54120565bc2b1d4782e7170370fb417f6b2abd6c701058", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.371, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0c8b98f41d6d9f2682d8c43fc29f79c3993a0f341e4c207de85aa3f0a58429aa", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "415b5f4ea69119fa4309bf036d8d7e609d6a8b800ec603894d0e4313b3d091cb6a76be18103af2adad3882ebf015b3cfaf314469f9b64ba059d148668ff0bf0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0c8b98f41d6d9f2682d8c43fc29f79c3993a0f341e4c207de85aa3f0a58429aa" }, { "row": 56, "col": 9, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6752, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1928, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.764, "b_trend": 0.0668, "ell_km": 20.5, "ell_trend": -0.6, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 803.79, "S_over_Gamma": 13.677, "days_to_criticality": 19.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.177, "grad_tau_local": 1.8017, "depth_trend": -1.88, "spatial_concentration": 52.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3707, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "7b8699841ca61be4d6f828a1caca6507b1aaaa61102d569504712ac24ec2586c", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3707, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2a45f49d81724e105333a51b20e1760123dbbaad4f84c3b5d40902bfbc800aec", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "770c29f75c23bdacab21f2365d4adbfaa0d1955f3353b444aef6bcf915a46a35b4907bd43afb526232176e9d0a98d2ef0792fa9da4221bf5fb2b2b33fe077e0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2a45f49d81724e105333a51b20e1760123dbbaad4f84c3b5d40902bfbc800aec" }, { "row": 50, "col": 35, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6378, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0922, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.819, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": -0.23, "rate_acceleration": 1.34, "delta_aic_iet": 56.22, "S_over_Gamma": 13.902, "days_to_criticality": 18.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6705, "grad_tau_local": 0.4196, "depth_trend": -4.13, "spatial_concentration": 80.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3693, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "c7ee565bcb802d94c09eb32d18c3ea198dbc8b2b888eaa4feb773da17ecef6e3", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3693, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b8949bd985f7f0ef19bde7149e4115882b4862a16be989be77e9cb66fc53548b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d89445e8a447cf470d8a4e8585b8106465a72b68852af813b80fd8051ff2c5e3deb773212c5cedca2da2cba0e2b265dbc1271a807cde527e3e45728d975da60c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b8949bd985f7f0ef19bde7149e4115882b4862a16be989be77e9cb66fc53548b" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.567, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2669, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.897, "b_trend": -0.0952, "ell_km": 2.7, "ell_trend": -0.18, "rate_acceleration": 1.5, "delta_aic_iet": 453.13, "S_over_Gamma": 12.861, "days_to_criticality": 26.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.071, "grad_tau_local": 0.5011, "depth_trend": 0.53, "spatial_concentration": 78.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3681, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "8b1dc42f4e274d9ed3acf78fec9ba8530a6fba91eacc1e0486be401f2d0b3eef", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3681, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1e8f8584f3dba10146c27f5cf0e414edab6694d410280763e3b81c910383b600", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2b11cdb689016483d5e122687ed6a5386a9788ffde0b0318262adb49c4f76bca0a9f0ea9964f08a51df4ba7d887557f9013e7d013c3b0e39766b57331826b505" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1e8f8584f3dba10146c27f5cf0e414edab6694d410280763e3b81c910383b600" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6176, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1907, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.136, "b_trend": -0.1787, "ell_km": 3.6, "ell_trend": -0.0, "rate_acceleration": 0.75, "delta_aic_iet": 382.11, "S_over_Gamma": 13.114, "days_to_criticality": 17.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5658, "grad_tau_local": 0.7568, "depth_trend": 0.05, "spatial_concentration": 38.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3678, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "021898dccf53aaeea8e435a9b288e54333ed0139cf175a751b653e27e9d55808", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3678, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "415f4ef1d40be7cadcd232d00137bffc983aa8827025a503f6b3b0b1e6094333", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "17b52e75495ec3a000c44c22d8d12c8d0a1067f65f60f5c919b68a7f9e1bbfac2fd40d880493308b542df63afe4dff3ef699e2578ba33216048c4e3c10bda50c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "415f4ef1d40be7cadcd232d00137bffc983aa8827025a503f6b3b0b1e6094333" }, { "row": 48, "col": 31, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.5988, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0881, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.915, "b_trend": -0.0938, "ell_km": 1.9, "ell_trend": -0.06, "rate_acceleration": 1.13, "delta_aic_iet": 341.5, "S_over_Gamma": 12.744, "days_to_criticality": -12.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1577, "grad_tau_local": 0.4294, "depth_trend": -0.79, "spatial_concentration": 54.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3528, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "db9a2a78d38ce780ce59a6e9589195d8a7ece793d622c48b673062b7a1a65d69", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3528, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fc72180c1e6a6a40a87f5be649b80bf52c5fc00447607f46041383894b6239bc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b7ff9f8fd708df193a165e9b3b8ad4cf19b36c231d06ce1af7b21edd683ab2e172a0882445fedeb5ec8a9f45c3d3781832f8645852c6681d57e07e171de5090f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "fc72180c1e6a6a40a87f5be649b80bf52c5fc00447607f46041383894b6239bc" }, { "row": 58, "col": 13, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6208, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3348, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.881, "b_trend": 0.0898, "ell_km": 78.7, "ell_trend": 3.03, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 592.06, "S_over_Gamma": 13.323, "days_to_criticality": 38.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9085, "grad_tau_local": 1.1695, "depth_trend": 0.62, "spatial_concentration": 71.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3518, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "b49158a8e6b7fb20f7e6cca3e54a73330cf1e1b5bd578bcc4d4493a503825184", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3518, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3fc28a48b3e61b8644cd28572cf5dc7d74332ad40b156306360db57cde6cb50c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1eb850557e0241448e8b5a86b062290581b901cf4ace50b800f596e0693f727aa03dc3d6c61c46018a8c8e317ecad3c109915882b03ab9964d40f5b876cc3b05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3fc28a48b3e61b8644cd28572cf5dc7d74332ad40b156306360db57cde6cb50c" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6281, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3516, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.753, "b_trend": 0.0635, "ell_km": 21.0, "ell_trend": -0.53, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 930.62, "S_over_Gamma": 12.886, "days_to_criticality": 19.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7786, "grad_tau_local": 1.1495, "depth_trend": -1.63, "spatial_concentration": 61.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.337, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "9782192e71d78376637b336910d0b9da24c0a6b33a7f4fbd5eaae67d081e00dd", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.337, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "80a91b6389acf680129cfce837edcc3e7897ef96b809943f11bfd913974c65a4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f38dc05450a1ab3064b09e89ce4e4dfa9349c6a28363d5bcabdd17e434b9ec4aa4b871b37187d8c2a1c732f55379b7d17b3e14700c707a116473e09870058007" } }, "receipt_sha256": "80a91b6389acf680129cfce837edcc3e7897ef96b809943f11bfd913974c65a4" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.5782, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1555, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.497, "b_trend": 0.1128, "ell_km": 25.7, "ell_trend": 5.25, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 199.21, "S_over_Gamma": 13.515, "days_to_criticality": 34.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1169, "grad_tau_local": 0.9593, "depth_trend": 0.56, "spatial_concentration": 82.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3349, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "cfb3c0a286ac234a57f8c6507334094724f22a8b1348da550b4f0f7e89b47af1", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3349, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "080ffaedceb4207758b3000e4d9d4b91456cd7fdb4ce0104590b7e7b2dead3b5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "679299eb9ee744fbcdc9dc016ab92c09d88a9b8884ad2bbd70dab9208660ad5fe9f4130254f178ac6307e1c5778ae1486bff9311e6921885a9315b4e4859dd0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "080ffaedceb4207758b3000e4d9d4b91456cd7fdb4ce0104590b7e7b2dead3b5" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.5788, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2474, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.745, "b_trend": 0.0539, "ell_km": 21.1, "ell_trend": -0.41, "rate_acceleration": 1.2, "delta_aic_iet": 925.69, "S_over_Gamma": 13.264, "days_to_criticality": 2098.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6806, "grad_tau_local": 1.1854, "depth_trend": -2.71, "spatial_concentration": 70.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3273, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "5c7ea9515883c4d0047cbb55137e73c4e72e87b4cd701c2a6557cb5e42035b23", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3273, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "69745972a0fb9d9ffbb4c8e2a6224ed541250e3514423132adde8d9a513f3964", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b0a45ce6a19f22476943dba1e1078d1885cf84e25ca1c1ab82ad253ddac39d872b8f9437fdb881abdebc3157053f85d22aa58e818b09744549e3131497d67508" } }, "receipt_sha256": "69745972a0fb9d9ffbb4c8e2a6224ed541250e3514423132adde8d9a513f3964" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.6135, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.062, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.849, "b_trend": 0.1394, "ell_km": 24.9, "ell_trend": 1.25, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 297.0, "S_over_Gamma": 13.266, "days_to_criticality": 18.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8841, "grad_tau_local": 1.2674, "depth_trend": -1.4, "spatial_concentration": 50.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.285, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "0a0c93f381645d67a8ff73a41d36a8acc303ff034b68e3486b27e43df2c84fba", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.285, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a4280a8df232a2b1ed1def67a9b6584ee57114fd1e0bc7df99903065727c56f5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2dd0f0a7e4f663759a9796f2a56a91811dfa57d0a9c6f0e96ab2c400cf7148fe5f1b1b010ebf48ded0843716adaaedde9aee6ffabb273702786c56e74b53580e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a4280a8df232a2b1ed1def67a9b6584ee57114fd1e0bc7df99903065727c56f5" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.5726, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5798, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.67, "b_trend": 0.1139, "ell_km": 12.8, "ell_trend": -3.15, "rate_acceleration": 1.2, "delta_aic_iet": 934.97, "S_over_Gamma": 13.216, "days_to_criticality": 17.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.088, "grad_tau_local": 0.1914, "depth_trend": 3.78, "spatial_concentration": 69.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.277, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "e97a27778d8a6583b8e22b8dc8715dcaea6c006a536dcf158e03fc010990f8b8", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.277, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d0fe2f46acda6ca57b57d7dbb2dcd68749f681069194cd4efc25196e96f1f818", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5a6449163c8097a717a20e6119ebc1332f4e909285452c2ea51b34c419d9750d7b7db91b68785c6b15ee995b596203f63ca973055fdddeea7af48f97b0c81b0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d0fe2f46acda6ca57b57d7dbb2dcd68749f681069194cd4efc25196e96f1f818" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.5695, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2593, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.72, "b_trend": 0.0032, "ell_km": 29.2, "ell_trend": -5.21, "rate_acceleration": 1.66, "delta_aic_iet": 649.75, "S_over_Gamma": 13.176, "days_to_criticality": 2098.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2228, "grad_tau_local": 0.4803, "depth_trend": -6.84, "spatial_concentration": 85.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2489, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "d937fbef5270a56b1da2238bdef39cecdbc635c8dca74d4b7ca43bf71ce539db", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2489, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "71839c8e9d583c4a1cbe739b55870c7916019c4686b1b0da6429d9145ec793d1", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6c78aea215ae4a29927fd4fb7e24e65788aa98f44b36897d2d42da7377089ea68924c65c831bc3ddf9fcafc0c34f802a08bbb3c4365321ca1bf02a3ef7571c07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "71839c8e9d583c4a1cbe739b55870c7916019c4686b1b0da6429d9145ec793d1" }, { "row": 60, "col": 19, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0373, "prob_30d_local": 0.5721, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0468, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.803, "b_trend": 0.1345, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -0.08, "rate_acceleration": 0.17, "delta_aic_iet": -1434.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.001, "days_to_criticality": 8.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3528, "grad_tau_local": 1.1642, "depth_trend": 0.24, "spatial_concentration": 61.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2078, "confidence_lo": 0.0373, "confidence_hi": 0.0373, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cfc21fd5cf7c8a540da504173e0d11a9030ca4743ffa1eaa3b0f04409517eb4a", "input_sha256": "1dc535481beed594cf149f51765bc5f2726372794acac9946b2146f7a4162115", "issued_at": "2026-08-02T14:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2078, "probability": 0.037325, "confidence_lo": 0.037294, "confidence_hi": 0.037326, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "34c06625c71e74d57080c0bf8fd2f080533dc7f02641c02e460db7cafe0d96e7", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ddadf6327ada7ee767cc6c55afe02fe1735bbe940990203c90512d2a037c3454a9a3805578693f8a0d50ddd4d80179fdb456265176899a3d14e119952ea1c506" } }, "receipt_sha256": "34c06625c71e74d57080c0bf8fd2f080533dc7f02641c02e460db7cafe0d96e7" } ] }