{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260730_0000", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-06-25T00:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "n_events": 32922, "n_recent_events": 2048 }, "n_active_cells": 87, "top_probability": 0.0372, "active_cells": [ { "row": 17, "col": 2, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 43.2, "ell_trend": -3.95, "rate_acceleration": 1.41, "delta_aic_iet": 100.4, "S_over_Gamma": 16.131, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.0413, "grad_tau_local": 0.4401, "depth_trend": 9.98, "spatial_concentration": 66.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8689, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "3920ae03de06891f3031c10f11c1e61a3ba502afb5e56c58eba7bbf0231a4594", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8689, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "19bf794d1e8d877534d8c9728d893e260a1542a0448cf80bc315016daa18e2e0" }, "receipt_sha256": "19bf794d1e8d877534d8c9728d893e260a1542a0448cf80bc315016daa18e2e0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 4, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.635, "b_trend": 0.1119, "ell_km": 13.0, "ell_trend": -8.38, "rate_acceleration": 1.53, "delta_aic_iet": 808.56, "S_over_Gamma": 14.397, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5221, "grad_tau_local": 1.3194, "depth_trend": 4.16, "spatial_concentration": 66.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8325, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "74f0d48f8cafd830e00e0d553fd82bce8b1d28813c625216673f1f778cf47f57", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8325, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2af5fad62445089bba5af1842ab8eef88bae03d26a22197f890cc7512b127ecd" }, "receipt_sha256": "2af5fad62445089bba5af1842ab8eef88bae03d26a22197f890cc7512b127ecd" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 43, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.644, "b_trend": 0.0739, "ell_km": 79.4, "ell_trend": -1.45, "rate_acceleration": 2.39, "delta_aic_iet": 849.24, "S_over_Gamma": 13.444, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9947, "grad_tau_local": 3.105, "depth_trend": -9.82, "spatial_concentration": 159.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8076, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "05a9b9403b124ff00120bed2c589feff4e4fe9428daeb35142e1f4fd9fe5e43f", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8076, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ab8ccd83fdb48fb76c72f23a39609483d77dd734ae7023d0ede266eba308646e" }, "receipt_sha256": "ab8ccd83fdb48fb76c72f23a39609483d77dd734ae7023d0ede266eba308646e" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 32, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.643, "b_trend": 0.0702, "ell_km": 73.7, "ell_trend": -0.95, "rate_acceleration": 2.39, "delta_aic_iet": 791.23, "S_over_Gamma": 13.46, "days_to_criticality": 21.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1969, "grad_tau_local": 0.9787, "depth_trend": -8.95, "spatial_concentration": 73.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8047, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "5cb4ba926caf6ab238a76d712f03481b416a9dbde67219b189c5df8b2cfa7c55", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8047, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "16f2b1411681f53d89d05fcbf7a09c01bd8b2415de17b6462a1eb015439fd5e8" }, "receipt_sha256": "16f2b1411681f53d89d05fcbf7a09c01bd8b2415de17b6462a1eb015439fd5e8" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 77, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.629, "b_trend": 0.1133, "ell_km": 14.1, "ell_trend": -5.96, "rate_acceleration": 1.62, "delta_aic_iet": 1008.19, "S_over_Gamma": 13.894, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6813, "grad_tau_local": 0.8445, "depth_trend": 0.13, "spatial_concentration": 73.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8024, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "23723a7da5e5f8a5e33055db15aba88cfdad1454246b6b10a47f5fe614fb025a", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8024, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "93d6222d80323373855577aa28ff4c2a4a76b77fde276948d82b4e4292b76e42" }, "receipt_sha256": "93d6222d80323373855577aa28ff4c2a4a76b77fde276948d82b4e4292b76e42" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.637, "b_trend": 0.1185, "ell_km": 13.1, "ell_trend": -9.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.59, "delta_aic_iet": 838.32, "S_over_Gamma": 13.845, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.192, "grad_tau_local": 1.444, "depth_trend": 1.66, "spatial_concentration": 85.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7911, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "73d24fd38cfbb07d847546747489fcc65aa2f8184cf182ca576a9d80ca8c4632", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7911, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "04d7be7b337abb0ac7bede12a13beb4f0e8a8b4d0fb39dca5082f8fa5f4ff1b0" }, "receipt_sha256": "04d7be7b337abb0ac7bede12a13beb4f0e8a8b4d0fb39dca5082f8fa5f4ff1b0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.621, "b_trend": 0.1034, "ell_km": 13.8, "ell_trend": -7.22, "rate_acceleration": 1.65, "delta_aic_iet": 894.78, "S_over_Gamma": 13.63, "days_to_criticality": 38.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0389, "grad_tau_local": 1.6923, "depth_trend": 0.4, "spatial_concentration": 64.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7905, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "41615597d997a4d5c67d54130542c00fe95986deb69eda46b56ea5988ba764fa", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7905, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6ac6dba4c14af1013b945abaec1fe2f5a637b3faf4b323a94088e27f09e06e61" }, "receipt_sha256": "6ac6dba4c14af1013b945abaec1fe2f5a637b3faf4b323a94088e27f09e06e61" }, { "row": 23, "col": 82, "lat": -13.0, "lon": -15.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.7, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 8.0, "delta_aic_iet": -22.63, "S_over_Gamma": 10.994, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.3573, "grad_tau_local": 0.1187, "depth_trend": -0.17, "spatial_concentration": 45.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7873, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "0fcbd6ae1991b9dad0c2c6c0f08ea40ae7dcb4c0eb1c8bf421c043ce716bb3fa", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7873, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0678a994c47874d7e3f7e358ee61a57c5fd80e64e9d8b2a266ce223007abd95e" }, "receipt_sha256": "0678a994c47874d7e3f7e358ee61a57c5fd80e64e9d8b2a266ce223007abd95e" }, { "row": 47, "col": 139, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 99.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": null, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": null, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 0.029, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 0, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 0.1488, "grad_tau_local": 0.0121, "depth_trend": null, "spatial_concentration": 47.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7651, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "b53d85247bf3553a6f37ecbe08826fc28bf6f3fd3776721486e6f71f9f9db304", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7651, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "59a444a188b51440b2cbefe9705e8173540f0e24234d80ecc60f27b13fb663b2" }, "receipt_sha256": "59a444a188b51440b2cbefe9705e8173540f0e24234d80ecc60f27b13fb663b2" }, { "row": 37, "col": 43, "lat": 15.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 102, "max_mag": 7.3, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.85, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 43.9, "ell_trend": 2.32, "rate_acceleration": 3.62, "delta_aic_iet": 223.75, "S_over_Gamma": 15.865, "days_to_criticality": 71.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7593, "grad_tau_local": 0.3097, "depth_trend": -23.33, "spatial_concentration": 93.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7633, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "9eb0d949fa12b765361b6b5abdb615adb8e667e5e4063bb4d3084aff4a04727b", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7633, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "44bf7254ec4368edec563610a4f9b3e4009e9c734bcc8812436874548523e119" }, "receipt_sha256": "44bf7254ec4368edec563610a4f9b3e4009e9c734bcc8812436874548523e119" }, { "row": 46, "col": 155, "lat": 33.0, "lon": 131.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 6.8, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 17.8, "ell_trend": 2.57, "rate_acceleration": 2.0, "delta_aic_iet": 50.95, "S_over_Gamma": 16.976, "days_to_criticality": 18.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.8793, "grad_tau_local": 0.7196, "depth_trend": -13.41, "spatial_concentration": 38.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7498, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "085288bda1d4c75e121288164c8df80cd441c6418ab5207e74bd454fa6a2ebbf", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7498, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2b0cd6cbd7c904123aca3565dbcc65680b147faaa938ebcbe6f9bdf3e379a14d" }, "receipt_sha256": "2b0cd6cbd7c904123aca3565dbcc65680b147faaa938ebcbe6f9bdf3e379a14d" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.67, "b_trend": 0.115, "ell_km": 12.8, "ell_trend": -2.78, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 942.31, "S_over_Gamma": 13.352, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.1058, "grad_tau_local": 0.1632, "depth_trend": 3.59, "spatial_concentration": 69.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.712, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "8b812b09c7d65f5011500c4bdaeeac059e83955e9a9bd0c63d53c3e0ec086055", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.712, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4e6a884511fe262ff0914b7da91464c7e00d3422cbed4c67bcc9d7dfe5c499db" }, "receipt_sha256": "4e6a884511fe262ff0914b7da91464c7e00d3422cbed4c67bcc9d7dfe5c499db" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.094, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 29.2, "ell_trend": 6.86, "rate_acceleration": 0.73, "delta_aic_iet": 240.03, "S_over_Gamma": 15.597, "days_to_criticality": 30.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.164, "grad_tau_local": 0.3079, "depth_trend": 43.63, "spatial_concentration": 88.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7005, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "3406ce7ce3a514ee54a23a97b19427cdbc8e577d0c5c0d73006787e4ee9db53e", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7005, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ccc458bba36400e1ceef319babe977732b8983d3e610062bd9e5a59db19b3a5f" }, "receipt_sha256": "ccc458bba36400e1ceef319babe977732b8983d3e610062bd9e5a59db19b3a5f" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 37, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.62, "b_trend": 0.0818, "ell_km": 73.9, "ell_trend": -0.56, "rate_acceleration": 2.02, "delta_aic_iet": 756.72, "S_over_Gamma": 13.394, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.9947, "depth_trend": -9.34, "spatial_concentration": 117.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6966, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "e84c1cacb461fbe5a8f9127e579a0137ff80c10bb96fe827f61750e0478aede9", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6966, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8c38c3d37ef0bc02cc1079016b54f8304f8b3f7bb608265dcfe58941f57a2b73" }, "receipt_sha256": "8c38c3d37ef0bc02cc1079016b54f8304f8b3f7bb608265dcfe58941f57a2b73" }, { "row": 0, "col": 76, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.091, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 64.1, "ell_trend": -1.34, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 151.11, "S_over_Gamma": 16.303, "days_to_criticality": 19.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.1001, "depth_trend": 3.36, "spatial_concentration": 74.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6912, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "0ee2d57107c1fd8d5d424d7e78930fb734efd2b3c9424f88c2415d54809e1cb5", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6912, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d012d04feca4085a24ea67f2a2c5934e829d3a200ca391189c5bc07829f97871" }, "receipt_sha256": "d012d04feca4085a24ea67f2a2c5934e829d3a200ca391189c5bc07829f97871" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 36, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.227, "b_trend": -0.0468, "ell_km": 34.5, "ell_trend": -2.08, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 1349.06, "S_over_Gamma": 13.648, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5644, "grad_tau_local": 1.3879, "depth_trend": -5.08, "spatial_concentration": 63.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6869, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "26c2bd6bc23b6fecdf3a346f5b83b3468afc23a5defe604126ba12525b9aa018", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6869, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7784e8452e5ea24cbd108bee1f25ca968cf7d988364d1b94caaa66e2cb3de724" }, "receipt_sha256": "7784e8452e5ea24cbd108bee1f25ca968cf7d988364d1b94caaa66e2cb3de724" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.845, "b_trend": -0.0282, "ell_km": 5.0, "ell_trend": 0.36, "rate_acceleration": 1.53, "delta_aic_iet": 224.8, "S_over_Gamma": 13.461, "days_to_criticality": 97.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3951, "grad_tau_local": 0.213, "depth_trend": -2.13, "spatial_concentration": 33.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6849, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "536ed4b12d1fb721c65cc364342cf9033a166369ea726687469a52fd61cbdcd7", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6849, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ba7734829d92bdd10970e65a2b27659423370d21db24e45db7166a151aff35d3" }, "receipt_sha256": "ba7734829d92bdd10970e65a2b27659423370d21db24e45db7166a151aff35d3" }, { "row": 28, "col": 159, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 139.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.115, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.3, "ell_trend": 1.62, "rate_acceleration": 0.76, "delta_aic_iet": 138.02, "S_over_Gamma": 15.64, "days_to_criticality": 40.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9926, "grad_tau_local": 0.2067, "depth_trend": -4.18, "spatial_concentration": 74.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6816, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "2b4fa0c73142941f10b7f2a27fbf0d904022d70790a6165c0bee76f04b32a3b7", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6816, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "707595430eaed5d12569f33dd8677fa21b130f0e440dafc5159eb990f2078b0b" }, "receipt_sha256": "707595430eaed5d12569f33dd8677fa21b130f0e440dafc5159eb990f2078b0b" }, { "row": 13, "col": 54, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -71.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.092, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 12.6, "ell_trend": 0.16, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 130.53, "S_over_Gamma": 14.776, "days_to_criticality": -0.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4098, "grad_tau_local": 0.7654, "depth_trend": -17.86, "spatial_concentration": 65.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6703, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "191def1ba141f9175b8d7da60c4f7dd69baabb144f390331dbfbeac06fb45320", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6703, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dea92d1df7cdf9f0442870d3a709dc224acb3f88a44c8cdf871c14af6eb36ea1" }, "receipt_sha256": "dea92d1df7cdf9f0442870d3a709dc224acb3f88a44c8cdf871c14af6eb36ea1" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 55, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.217, "b_trend": 0.12, "ell_km": 33.0, "ell_trend": -0.24, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 1227.25, "S_over_Gamma": 14.01, "days_to_criticality": 21.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.7545, "grad_tau_local": 1.621, "depth_trend": -2.0, "spatial_concentration": 48.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6676, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "602a59303f21c5723f01973cd3cc79c3cbf9645d5346fc321ba52721ed5f15a5", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6676, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2efe0aac9b89a7ebd3df8e8106db2222043ba4b666dc7f44fd4209f970b577da" }, "receipt_sha256": "2efe0aac9b89a7ebd3df8e8106db2222043ba4b666dc7f44fd4209f970b577da" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.875, "b_trend": 0.0571, "ell_km": 93.6, "ell_trend": -1.17, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 593.29, "S_over_Gamma": 13.368, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3031, "grad_tau_local": 1.9551, "depth_trend": 5.03, "spatial_concentration": 73.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.667, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "562a59d8c5350abc4469daf13f7ff9d674543fdd8c12d5e492b5c21e6fe52f6e", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.667, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0e834a1372c9cf1b50c7a946fe2f9dd3dd12c56594848b0b2410a9dfbe133c9a" }, "receipt_sha256": "0e834a1372c9cf1b50c7a946fe2f9dd3dd12c56594848b0b2410a9dfbe133c9a" }, { "row": 36, "col": 43, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.02, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 44.0, "ell_trend": 1.92, "rate_acceleration": 4.17, "delta_aic_iet": 159.28, "S_over_Gamma": 15.706, "days_to_criticality": 92.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.8434, "grad_tau_local": 1.2124, "depth_trend": -10.31, "spatial_concentration": 68.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6627, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "d6a7bbfb437863c2fd5737827d8af24ba52da676f094841f4e085214c5df2329", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6627, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3e82a873bea4fa5ea8cc9bd6874db790a046c70d31652ab56cd21fb6ffe092a5" }, "receipt_sha256": "3e82a873bea4fa5ea8cc9bd6874db790a046c70d31652ab56cd21fb6ffe092a5" }, { "row": 2, "col": 76, "lat": -55.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 83.3, "ell_trend": 0.08, "rate_acceleration": 1.15, "delta_aic_iet": 118.55, "S_over_Gamma": 15.848, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.4343, "grad_tau_local": 0.1714, "depth_trend": 4.74, "spatial_concentration": 59.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6496, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "09f061286932f040a0615807741e1c58828f7c43bd2bae50aa684638c7aa94f6", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6496, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2031a22ccb0a9e404e6d4167cfc09e7db2c440d6d9a9dd3a2c329dc61769f352" }, "receipt_sha256": "2031a22ccb0a9e404e6d4167cfc09e7db2c440d6d9a9dd3a2c329dc61769f352" }, { "row": 38, "col": 149, "lat": 17.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 15.1, "ell_trend": -0.45, "rate_acceleration": 5.82, "delta_aic_iet": 83.27, "S_over_Gamma": 9.249, "days_to_criticality": 35.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.502, "grad_tau_local": 0.6829, "depth_trend": -17.31, "spatial_concentration": 78.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6451, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "393a4766df987afcd963ce48ac8f1a758a27352c447ded8842eaa6a80a4cdbe6", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6451, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d6c233f5cdaf2d53879650e4e6b40f65dfaf6c8bd59f481518fb665524717880" }, "receipt_sha256": "d6c233f5cdaf2d53879650e4e6b40f65dfaf6c8bd59f481518fb665524717880" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 30, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.235, "b_trend": 0.1179, "ell_km": 17.9, "ell_trend": -1.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 910.29, "S_over_Gamma": 13.293, "days_to_criticality": 21.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9567, "grad_tau_local": 2.0749, "depth_trend": -4.81, "spatial_concentration": 57.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6423, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "dd63368b82227da316f44a8c0f6ebfda77ec08eaf52685efd8cbf5b4ec3c41c1", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6423, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a7d593731391a0cbd10f610530ace3567f157aae6c6b8588b3876327e986bc4e" }, "receipt_sha256": "a7d593731391a0cbd10f610530ace3567f157aae6c6b8588b3876327e986bc4e" }, { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.454, "b_trend": -0.2197, "ell_km": 74.3, "ell_trend": 2.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 284.53, "S_over_Gamma": 14.99, "days_to_criticality": 99.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.6914, "grad_tau_local": 1.649, "depth_trend": 9.96, "spatial_concentration": 91.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6409, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "106e4ee29b8bc2071142397c07d75e97b2e69f2ba0729a1ac550046801dbb1e4", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6409, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c8ec6ef24ef12a9f690a05a601026121babba47bffc9e6c338fbf5bfa4e9231b" }, "receipt_sha256": "c8ec6ef24ef12a9f690a05a601026121babba47bffc9e6c338fbf5bfa4e9231b" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.09, "b_trend": 0.1487, "ell_km": 15.1, "ell_trend": -0.96, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 720.02, "S_over_Gamma": 14.405, "days_to_criticality": 20.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5635, "grad_tau_local": 2.2656, "depth_trend": -3.4, "spatial_concentration": 43.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6403, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "2666dc126955623cdb03b01188daac8829eaff94f1da9ac8bb83c0f66f1292f5", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6403, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6204fb9c77c26bee1d50cfd86e8d3f73bdcd63f8e291ec0915daf3ae1dcfd41b" }, "receipt_sha256": "6204fb9c77c26bee1d50cfd86e8d3f73bdcd63f8e291ec0915daf3ae1dcfd41b" }, { "row": 36, "col": 151, "lat": 13.0, "lon": 123.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 23.3, "ell_trend": 0.11, "rate_acceleration": 0.53, "delta_aic_iet": 136.09, "S_over_Gamma": 16.148, "days_to_criticality": 602.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7232, "grad_tau_local": 0.8058, "depth_trend": 28.6, "spatial_concentration": 85.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6385, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "5653348717f00bb500cc327f10b206c6ff20c9b595eee3bccc7bd72e71e89782", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6385, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f4e7e07a81684580c85d4b445734cf14ad9ce3c5878f59a3f41a9c843ab89551" }, "receipt_sha256": "f4e7e07a81684580c85d4b445734cf14ad9ce3c5878f59a3f41a9c843ab89551" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.137, "b_trend": 0.3258, "ell_km": 38.9, "ell_trend": 1.57, "rate_acceleration": 1.15, "delta_aic_iet": 296.4, "S_over_Gamma": 15.568, "days_to_criticality": 154.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4749, "grad_tau_local": 0.5792, "depth_trend": 5.61, "spatial_concentration": 61.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6342, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "078d6bfa61acd391cb551be373d7bdfb114a329aae51aa6ad1b11476fc7e3a71", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6342, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3320087104b2709888cf562ab309b5561da5117b4edfd33d0591107666adf46d" }, "receipt_sha256": "3320087104b2709888cf562ab309b5561da5117b4edfd33d0591107666adf46d" }, { "row": 59, "col": 74, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -31.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.6, "ell_trend": -0.52, "rate_acceleration": 3.38, "delta_aic_iet": -76.99, "S_over_Gamma": 12.674, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.4931, "grad_tau_local": 0.1039, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 71.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6265, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "909d4c3771fa941c7648d59739de7de4d6f8e966e83bda47bedc6be33ace95c8", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6265, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e5282eb193fbf3be068b50f66601552c72104752b199460cceba44be48ab3fc8" }, "receipt_sha256": "e5282eb193fbf3be068b50f66601552c72104752b199460cceba44be48ab3fc8" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.653, "b_trend": 0.1108, "ell_km": 12.4, "ell_trend": -9.48, "rate_acceleration": 1.23, "delta_aic_iet": 882.63, "S_over_Gamma": 13.334, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5726, "grad_tau_local": 0.6264, "depth_trend": 2.07, "spatial_concentration": 77.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6235, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "2b592be60f31d6825ae2207e964dfbfe99f317bfc5f098871ba599f5fd321b81", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6235, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "492435ebcc615aefa4bdb2486828543c082dd891ea6e7c705ab573297e8b24c5" }, "receipt_sha256": "492435ebcc615aefa4bdb2486828543c082dd891ea6e7c705ab573297e8b24c5" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.88, "b_trend": 0.0563, "ell_km": 94.3, "ell_trend": -1.26, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 629.41, "S_over_Gamma": 12.72, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9011, "grad_tau_local": 1.689, "depth_trend": 4.48, "spatial_concentration": 71.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6216, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "3a0d08a8e9d2b3227d639f9f8ea7da542774b2bbb0ded9bdc33e793a50ee68cc", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6216, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fda9678f12cec6b59f8c72ae88953ea48eef1ec12ac11498526cf8e0c34c8a74" }, "receipt_sha256": "fda9678f12cec6b59f8c72ae88953ea48eef1ec12ac11498526cf8e0c34c8a74" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.72, "b_trend": 0.0047, "ell_km": 30.5, "ell_trend": -4.87, "rate_acceleration": 1.74, "delta_aic_iet": 652.81, "S_over_Gamma": 13.177, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2469, "grad_tau_local": 0.4755, "depth_trend": -7.7, "spatial_concentration": 84.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.619, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "befd1f544675db6367ace0f4246a301d4b257b27e23ad0c225466ba56eb2fcba", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.619, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "41401fc82439c091d9744df6274b638f75f963aa67f1ff8b7449ca90f08aa84e" }, "receipt_sha256": "41401fc82439c091d9744df6274b638f75f963aa67f1ff8b7449ca90f08aa84e" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.077, "b_trend": -0.077, "ell_km": 84.6, "ell_trend": -0.21, "rate_acceleration": 0.92, "delta_aic_iet": 742.82, "S_over_Gamma": 13.08, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9238, "grad_tau_local": 1.5736, "depth_trend": 4.94, "spatial_concentration": 68.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6163, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "a8111bbfb198d650ee49113eef2ca1402815244c6e0e2fc4468c7bc4514d3a96", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6163, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "85c27fd3e7aa5e6df5c73303ddcd97d29c178c2dfde68bb2f4cb2b9fcff55add" }, "receipt_sha256": "85c27fd3e7aa5e6df5c73303ddcd97d29c178c2dfde68bb2f4cb2b9fcff55add" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.855, "b_trend": -0.1552, "ell_km": 85.2, "ell_trend": 0.83, "rate_acceleration": 0.81, "delta_aic_iet": 611.38, "S_over_Gamma": 13.022, "days_to_criticality": 73.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.646, "grad_tau_local": 0.2457, "depth_trend": 4.87, "spatial_concentration": 81.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6158, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "38cf6ad85abc27ef930f6f7c9ac3ff50479240cc744acfa60ee5b6944e30ddb7", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6158, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fd51fba85cd13de912cf51b34fd7641a259cfceca8a1f973f7d7f1d1d89426c0" }, "receipt_sha256": "fd51fba85cd13de912cf51b34fd7641a259cfceca8a1f973f7d7f1d1d89426c0" }, { "row": 21, "col": 0, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.654, "b_trend": 0.1341, "ell_km": 45.4, "ell_trend": 0.11, "rate_acceleration": 0.81, "delta_aic_iet": 211.96, "S_over_Gamma": 15.556, "days_to_criticality": 181.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.2533, "depth_trend": -21.73, "spatial_concentration": 82.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.613, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "2e8f7f6e45a1334cb23545ce4bed9e4915dd750629bbcaa4ad19de64fe5b0dfc", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.613, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "50a85b2c1bdea800e68598054ec9505521486ace750edaa9832afbe074a4730b" }, "receipt_sha256": "50a85b2c1bdea800e68598054ec9505521486ace750edaa9832afbe074a4730b" }, { "row": 18, "col": 56, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.518, "b_trend": 0.0625, "ell_km": 36.1, "ell_trend": 1.11, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 270.99, "S_over_Gamma": 15.901, "days_to_criticality": 20.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1964, "grad_tau_local": 0.8836, "depth_trend": 2.92, "spatial_concentration": 41.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6116, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "a485a13497212f490028475b349b94fc40ada09bb22af06f6583c26772d8fa91", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6116, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c5b49e9c5c825c49043ad7e9d8f8c01c410b9b4cc10d16a4938b675bdd8300de" }, "receipt_sha256": "c5b49e9c5c825c49043ad7e9d8f8c01c410b9b4cc10d16a4938b675bdd8300de" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.859, "b_trend": 0.001, "ell_km": 85.1, "ell_trend": -0.19, "rate_acceleration": 0.96, "delta_aic_iet": 782.68, "S_over_Gamma": 12.875, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7605, "grad_tau_local": 0.8414, "depth_trend": 1.71, "spatial_concentration": 69.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6115, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "80b07cd97e6059aa1229466fe26f006b7bd618eea4baf67d0d939fc2e6ba7f75", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6115, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1785af1665b60c6600bb08e48f7a7d5b26c9e77186de33674a1618f81189c2f8" }, "receipt_sha256": "1785af1665b60c6600bb08e48f7a7d5b26c9e77186de33674a1618f81189c2f8" }, { "row": 0, "col": 77, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -25.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.084, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 69.3, "ell_trend": -0.72, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 141.03, "S_over_Gamma": 16.072, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.0461, "depth_trend": 8.53, "spatial_concentration": 62.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6076, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "3c7c557d1dfa818efdf57e41dd2938b4d7be72ff6cd13b457f35208b9039c2e1", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6076, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f5522a33b1f4f315923c5800c4df993f08f3a893a64ba66af4033eea6bd5047d" }, "receipt_sha256": "f5522a33b1f4f315923c5800c4df993f08f3a893a64ba66af4033eea6bd5047d" }, { "row": 13, "col": 0, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.366, "b_trend": -0.0119, "ell_km": 67.8, "ell_trend": -15.45, "rate_acceleration": 0.65, "delta_aic_iet": 240.78, "S_over_Gamma": 15.613, "days_to_criticality": 2092.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.7109, "depth_trend": -16.01, "spatial_concentration": 66.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6057, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "6387c210d8e321f728e31cc28b74b14c0d9deae5958d653c8ec979e2d975f50e", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6057, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6c60732811d2d1efc9c27a15835be246da8c3cfbbffc2f098913010568a42775" }, "receipt_sha256": "6c60732811d2d1efc9c27a15835be246da8c3cfbbffc2f098913010568a42775" }, { "row": 15, "col": 1, "lat": -29.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.08, "b_trend": -0.0601, "ell_km": 109.4, "ell_trend": 2.88, "rate_acceleration": 0.7, "delta_aic_iet": 154.88, "S_over_Gamma": 16.454, "days_to_criticality": -0.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.4365, "grad_tau_local": 0.6251, "depth_trend": 9.29, "spatial_concentration": 80.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6007, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "d53aa0fd90a9599649f1569978800be654d0dab1ce99609365f00576a0667e0f", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6007, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "43906351ec16d6dad1d5b27b058d982b3572f1e87f704305975621e2490ffa32" }, "receipt_sha256": "43906351ec16d6dad1d5b27b058d982b3572f1e87f704305975621e2490ffa32" }, { "row": 56, "col": 2, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 2.9, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.645, "b_trend": 0.0777, "ell_km": 67.3, "ell_trend": 0.04, "rate_acceleration": 2.44, "delta_aic_iet": 708.72, "S_over_Gamma": 13.471, "days_to_criticality": 187.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.8729, "grad_tau_local": 2.152, "depth_trend": -10.39, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5959, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "3011585663b5e44d217ad1d5e01d8e2f095cd4700e4b40f970625c09507986fc", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5959, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ae109326c8fe1251dfce653f84d8d9e9dbeb01118bdfa8bf294029d840083972" }, "receipt_sha256": "ae109326c8fe1251dfce653f84d8d9e9dbeb01118bdfa8bf294029d840083972" }, { "row": 46, "col": 39, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -101.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.5, "ell_trend": 0.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 180.61, "S_over_Gamma": 13.323, "days_to_criticality": 21.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1454, "grad_tau_local": 1.0612, "depth_trend": -0.67, "spatial_concentration": 63.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5959, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "3011585663b5e44d217ad1d5e01d8e2f095cd4700e4b40f970625c09507986fc", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5959, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ae109326c8fe1251dfce653f84d8d9e9dbeb01118bdfa8bf294029d840083972" }, "receipt_sha256": "ae109326c8fe1251dfce653f84d8d9e9dbeb01118bdfa8bf294029d840083972" }, { "row": 20, "col": 0, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.804, "b_trend": -0.3165, "ell_km": 53.6, "ell_trend": 1.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 361.23, "S_over_Gamma": 15.255, "days_to_criticality": 120.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.9076, "depth_trend": -11.45, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5935, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "cd9b74db6164f332cc6e424a5ede695c8b1d490e3b6b8a83fa57c43f3dbbd230", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5935, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "53279867e49698c2d0fefe742274f2de474e74fc09635d59bb14d9745e853f15" }, "receipt_sha256": "53279867e49698c2d0fefe742274f2de474e74fc09635d59bb14d9745e853f15" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.846, "b_trend": -0.0135, "ell_km": 89.1, "ell_trend": -0.24, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 794.8, "S_over_Gamma": 13.252, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5467, "grad_tau_local": 0.4278, "depth_trend": 1.26, "spatial_concentration": 68.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5932, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "bb36abc772a28fc133c316fdfddb4a9a615d2fb1f02afb220787d8841e6fb942", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5932, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "82e20fe648b9b06556401bb0b9289a52db0454d8e4b3b341ccb2c609e9fbf869" }, "receipt_sha256": "82e20fe648b9b06556401bb0b9289a52db0454d8e4b3b341ccb2c609e9fbf869" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.833, "b_trend": 0.1427, "ell_km": 107.8, "ell_trend": 0.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 587.83, "S_over_Gamma": 12.884, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9107, "grad_tau_local": 0.9107, "depth_trend": 4.64, "spatial_concentration": 76.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5918, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "0708f581e7401722121be9f31e10b94b2f65adf7d89d76f47286395ee61ca6a6", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5918, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "504f60cef2b30e4ac3cb163bbbee61683956b20686840a1e4394bdebcf39abbc" }, "receipt_sha256": "504f60cef2b30e4ac3cb163bbbee61683956b20686840a1e4394bdebcf39abbc" }, { "row": 58, "col": 12, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.81, "b_trend": 0.0427, "ell_km": 125.5, "ell_trend": 14.3, "rate_acceleration": 0.86, "delta_aic_iet": 515.74, "S_over_Gamma": 13.077, "days_to_criticality": 45.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9366, "grad_tau_local": 0.4325, "depth_trend": 1.36, "spatial_concentration": 75.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5899, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "2a5ca7de6e691477d15d11913939fd64635d846e638de9d003a86b106ea18879", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5899, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8560abde45e320b814472e7b742cc0d167b39ef15b37b795975789883e88e95c" }, "receipt_sha256": "8560abde45e320b814472e7b742cc0d167b39ef15b37b795975789883e88e95c" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 34, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.538, "b_trend": -0.0187, "ell_km": 12.4, "ell_trend": -9.22, "rate_acceleration": 2.34, "delta_aic_iet": 698.75, "S_over_Gamma": 13.799, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 3.5733, "depth_trend": -9.64, "spatial_concentration": 105.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5838, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "4d87bb6b1ae4c3f9b0a463f19dfdda76457309c574778fc397919c5930915dc4", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5838, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "332d22b39905099cc11c82233070efc97893b3de7947e310667e2e0d5d304a92" }, "receipt_sha256": "332d22b39905099cc11c82233070efc97893b3de7947e310667e2e0d5d304a92" }, { "row": 19, "col": 174, "lat": -21.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 95.4, "ell_trend": 4.56, "rate_acceleration": 1.44, "delta_aic_iet": 161.14, "S_over_Gamma": 15.477, "days_to_criticality": 0.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.1979, "grad_tau_local": 0.6854, "depth_trend": -19.16, "spatial_concentration": 71.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5807, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "a14ceb12adb21487d89d410c6d9b91933333c6325a0b72e7c8e91a6f27e9ebeb", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5807, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b3ac1f70afdaff86b339abcee4749973934fccd2c67ee498f25ca7db8cfe9945" }, "receipt_sha256": "b3ac1f70afdaff86b339abcee4749973934fccd2c67ee498f25ca7db8cfe9945" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.851, "b_trend": 0.1662, "ell_km": 24.7, "ell_trend": 1.15, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 294.58, "S_over_Gamma": 13.511, "days_to_criticality": 19.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8911, "grad_tau_local": 1.2547, "depth_trend": -1.27, "spatial_concentration": 50.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5771, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "3f8f3ff5522d9328d9a4716a0a53ebeed966131ee4e20b6dc2df4b7bb347013c", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5771, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6e26ea63b3d54b8d91201c1d1ed2521d476b332675e6857519f0a5d553b457be" }, "receipt_sha256": "6e26ea63b3d54b8d91201c1d1ed2521d476b332675e6857519f0a5d553b457be" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.388, "b_trend": 0.1336, "ell_km": 91.5, "ell_trend": 3.87, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 222.15, "S_over_Gamma": 15.423, "days_to_criticality": 116.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9713, "grad_tau_local": 1.0399, "depth_trend": -2.92, "spatial_concentration": 71.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.576, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "0effadd746bd2e8daa93c16ff51c88964a285db57028e49fc127986ef7835636", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.576, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7d2047fa75c5edbb9a8a96057ce8c1ff46e0935cd3c5cec3b06e06eb16abc16e" }, "receipt_sha256": "7d2047fa75c5edbb9a8a96057ce8c1ff46e0935cd3c5cec3b06e06eb16abc16e" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.557, "b_trend": -0.4512, "ell_km": 64.8, "ell_trend": 1.17, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 289.6, "S_over_Gamma": 15.19, "days_to_criticality": 56.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6914, "depth_trend": -12.64, "spatial_concentration": 96.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.572, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "b10e40d7a2572d4fd272cf12a3fdf9eca1736b0c2773fea8649192a8b08150fc", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.572, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bb17eca58721b7aec31de406e7b00e542862c24f85dc11fad262bf3549845734" }, "receipt_sha256": "bb17eca58721b7aec31de406e7b00e542862c24f85dc11fad262bf3549845734" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.857, "b_trend": -0.0549, "ell_km": 108.2, "ell_trend": -8.38, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 491.16, "S_over_Gamma": 12.925, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6517, "grad_tau_local": 0.5658, "depth_trend": -0.43, "spatial_concentration": 78.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5697, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "56664c722acabee9287961e005a6d25f978be51681ab1d92e7d328d21b8ad4c6", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5697, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "371c8f1e23fcf4bf32d22e93d15f74f7fd6d99ab82c67aad8ef94be4871f7b7e" }, "receipt_sha256": "371c8f1e23fcf4bf32d22e93d15f74f7fd6d99ab82c67aad8ef94be4871f7b7e" }, { "row": 49, "col": 30, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.88, "b_trend": -0.0398, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": 0.35, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 411.4, "S_over_Gamma": 13.242, "days_to_criticality": 17.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.5754, "grad_tau_local": 0.5085, "depth_trend": -0.68, "spatial_concentration": 85.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5622, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "8da0ed002c54c762091ea14369a3f9c5b5812959b577b423a8e0188be208cf6b", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5622, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c22e3a30f59057ecc5d8693a90a1652ce0cd27c554ba08eaccca3167a97f0866" }, "receipt_sha256": "c22e3a30f59057ecc5d8693a90a1652ce0cd27c554ba08eaccca3167a97f0866" }, { "row": 59, "col": 12, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.106, "b_trend": -0.2043, "ell_km": 78.4, "ell_trend": 0.52, "rate_acceleration": 0.79, "delta_aic_iet": 582.49, "S_over_Gamma": 12.546, "days_to_criticality": 140.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.652, "grad_tau_local": 1.2139, "depth_trend": 4.32, "spatial_concentration": 72.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5599, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "aa8842d15051ea7663460696e969760614f34450c0ad4fd7f935369b5ea1d51a", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5599, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3106de9f0d7c8469b2fa70a3e53bb28dc92a920535cdf922a1ccdb49af192821" }, "receipt_sha256": "3106de9f0d7c8469b2fa70a3e53bb28dc92a920535cdf922a1ccdb49af192821" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.141, "b_trend": -0.1787, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": -0.0, "rate_acceleration": 0.75, "delta_aic_iet": 384.7, "S_over_Gamma": 13.292, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5849, "grad_tau_local": 0.7625, "depth_trend": 0.04, "spatial_concentration": 38.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5597, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "d946b84be1d84db49e439a100a3a2a293a88c0253265077c999565ca8e26e42a", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5597, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7f0e88a771a7968755d2f1de6b1aae69892d13f9e44bc5b1f8ac1816c208f8dc" }, "receipt_sha256": "7f0e88a771a7968755d2f1de6b1aae69892d13f9e44bc5b1f8ac1816c208f8dc" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.791, "b_trend": 0.1501, "ell_km": 20.3, "ell_trend": 0.27, "rate_acceleration": 0.78, "delta_aic_iet": 771.25, "S_over_Gamma": 13.407, "days_to_criticality": 25.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.4296, "grad_tau_local": 1.1999, "depth_trend": -1.01, "spatial_concentration": 80.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5563, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "7e4e575baa561212f0bd8ddb39d5d088c7cac559c8a8af02ce432902c3bb7e6c", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5563, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d979903790132dbc4f721fd18984cf2e9f753282c473e633aba61a964a54598d" }, "receipt_sha256": "d979903790132dbc4f721fd18984cf2e9f753282c473e633aba61a964a54598d" }, { "row": 50, "col": 35, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.819, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": -0.23, "rate_acceleration": 1.34, "delta_aic_iet": 56.22, "S_over_Gamma": 13.902, "days_to_criticality": 21.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6644, "grad_tau_local": 0.417, "depth_trend": -4.13, "spatial_concentration": 80.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5519, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "e2f59523436a60f2c9eb6b81730b2152c55b3c9ce3edd584f57d5beeb2389d38", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5519, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b4bf57f799a2f18873e053c196231ad0b358d2fa2b56a199084dbd94e8f9c6bc" }, "receipt_sha256": "b4bf57f799a2f18873e053c196231ad0b358d2fa2b56a199084dbd94e8f9c6bc" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 58, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.499, "b_trend": 0.1826, "ell_km": 11.0, "ell_trend": -10.19, "rate_acceleration": 2.63, "delta_aic_iet": 349.79, "S_over_Gamma": 9.877, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.2577, "grad_tau_local": 1.6522, "depth_trend": -11.26, "spatial_concentration": 108.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.547, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "82cd4216f1d7eee0c4607c242cfdc33eaf9b302943124f6d42c871c09857ef52", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.547, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9ce61668df7bf15479ac644e674cb477c973890c78f4954105c8ad788854ad41" }, "receipt_sha256": "9ce61668df7bf15479ac644e674cb477c973890c78f4954105c8ad788854ad41" }, { "row": 58, "col": 13, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.877, "b_trend": 0.0921, "ell_km": 78.4, "ell_trend": 3.91, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 583.95, "S_over_Gamma": 13.323, "days_to_criticality": 181.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9007, "grad_tau_local": 1.1629, "depth_trend": 0.81, "spatial_concentration": 71.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5445, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "4314a363a7f3aa419ad95be2a6d1f925972fbbc424367a235552f31fbf3ed025", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5445, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "27bdfacfe0733ddb6f7f5b90b74b531bea5d76f5360023cdf5697f0c8d3ebe4b" }, "receipt_sha256": "27bdfacfe0733ddb6f7f5b90b74b531bea5d76f5360023cdf5697f0c8d3ebe4b" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 2.9, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.613, "b_trend": 0.0619, "ell_km": 10.5, "ell_trend": -0.66, "rate_acceleration": 1.13, "delta_aic_iet": 355.38, "S_over_Gamma": 13.406, "days_to_criticality": 19.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.367, "grad_tau_local": 0.6079, "depth_trend": 0.28, "spatial_concentration": 80.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5359, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "9d7a204f94c70160c11b546d1c19a7f39e165c5c3a4e843edd8cafbbc5773594", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5359, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "615b5d276540b01f65628f7e3730fc11f5ef0d4378fe81f6cb7ccea097e4b25b" }, "receipt_sha256": "615b5d276540b01f65628f7e3730fc11f5ef0d4378fe81f6cb7ccea097e4b25b" }, { "row": 44, "col": 142, "lat": 29.0, "lon": 105.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -3.67, "rate_acceleration": 1.9, "delta_aic_iet": 49.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.556, "days_to_criticality": 1.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.1942, "grad_tau_local": 0.0534, "depth_trend": 2.77, "spatial_concentration": 72.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5326, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "f0fbedadc4e3a921adbbcb67a9310eceb2cd4ddfd74c117b7df418dafe5e56f8", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5326, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "75168c1f49e4483f1c871b348e63fd6233263fc514ddfd0d9283d40963b12252" }, "receipt_sha256": "75168c1f49e4483f1c871b348e63fd6233263fc514ddfd0d9283d40963b12252" }, { "row": 20, "col": 1, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.614, "b_trend": -0.3397, "ell_km": 51.4, "ell_trend": -0.48, "rate_acceleration": 0.9, "delta_aic_iet": 438.43, "S_over_Gamma": 14.633, "days_to_criticality": 20.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9076, "grad_tau_local": 1.887, "depth_trend": -50.14, "spatial_concentration": 70.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5321, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "46ae2514ea86dfbbaa0e73bbae86d83569cd1ccd748a1f24467f42b366ed4c50", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5321, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d2822e9c045c971bba2b87ed7b4b2d9492cbd4342df7e994ff61e6c320f5d09f" }, "receipt_sha256": "d2822e9c045c971bba2b87ed7b4b2d9492cbd4342df7e994ff61e6c320f5d09f" }, { "row": 18, "col": 175, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.259, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 66.3, "ell_trend": -7.01, "rate_acceleration": 1.44, "delta_aic_iet": 148.32, "S_over_Gamma": 15.825, "days_to_criticality": 1797.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.8511, "grad_tau_local": 0.6251, "depth_trend": -5.27, "spatial_concentration": 65.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5306, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "07b882023d52712d1a3485b34c94af67204ec7107bd1f4d7f6e877f9143c4919", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5306, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b126cbc64fd582a97acb2bee1b554e274ea357b7c8b84643aff10df6d00896c1" }, "receipt_sha256": "b126cbc64fd582a97acb2bee1b554e274ea357b7c8b84643aff10df6d00896c1" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 51, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.133, "b_trend": -0.0647, "ell_km": 37.1, "ell_trend": -5.13, "rate_acceleration": 3.85, "delta_aic_iet": 320.79, "S_over_Gamma": 15.53, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.1241, "grad_tau_local": 0.9159, "depth_trend": -28.61, "spatial_concentration": 87.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5282, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "60ecfaa0d685f3d29169408ff523c4238c3e4a983ca4c50fbcefe0106d4946e9", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5282, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aa4b8baf83805851cd32a80aceea023ed1e53881f02d4262047a894a914a4254" }, "receipt_sha256": "aa4b8baf83805851cd32a80aceea023ed1e53881f02d4262047a894a914a4254" }, { "row": 47, "col": 160, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 119.9, "ell_trend": 8.51, "rate_acceleration": 1.1, "delta_aic_iet": 137.62, "S_over_Gamma": 15.054, "days_to_criticality": 58.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.554, "grad_tau_local": 0.6601, "depth_trend": 8.29, "spatial_concentration": 86.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5248, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "ff59938d22a305a68942200cd0408641cd7e064654eabd45b4f7be3e431c3981", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5248, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2e8c920aef57ccd853d2a276696e2c106f562a01645dc41cc1472da44f1357e2" }, "receipt_sha256": "2e8c920aef57ccd853d2a276696e2c106f562a01645dc41cc1472da44f1357e2" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 70, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.514, "b_trend": 0.0678, "ell_km": 11.2, "ell_trend": -11.89, "rate_acceleration": 2.59, "delta_aic_iet": 458.82, "S_over_Gamma": 14.154, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.5733, "grad_tau_local": 1.5862, "depth_trend": -9.35, "spatial_concentration": 126.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5245, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "d7f596708f69b5d533ed408103f428212f660dab82b0523f74ec1d50418ddb9a", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5245, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cb3774fe810e43e877b79ed47367b0ebb9feea888e4ad6ae5aa624a7336b86c5" }, "receipt_sha256": "cb3774fe810e43e877b79ed47367b0ebb9feea888e4ad6ae5aa624a7336b86c5" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.994, "b_trend": 0.1355, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": 0.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.66, "delta_aic_iet": 422.64, "S_over_Gamma": 12.909, "days_to_criticality": 21.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2352, "grad_tau_local": 0.9349, "depth_trend": -0.07, "spatial_concentration": 79.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5212, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "2f562db6c51e6d56a807fb84688969c3df97a63dbacd6fc100069d41d755a9a0", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5212, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f2378d7c1d7df590b1384666967fe4d4b6996d54214cba287b7111e8b6cb0426" }, "receipt_sha256": "f2378d7c1d7df590b1384666967fe4d4b6996d54214cba287b7111e8b6cb0426" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.935, "b_trend": 0.0081, "ell_km": 3.4, "ell_trend": -0.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 531.08, "S_over_Gamma": 13.44, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6187, "grad_tau_local": 0.8225, "depth_trend": -0.07, "spatial_concentration": 72.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5206, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "019c3f52b106da8b798f7becd2902bab4c3891fa4c50c5f3e4c37926c0b6bac4", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5206, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b7e6ba01610df782191a18d890a072e8060bb84bd45da8b6e9cc3a3a70799842" }, "receipt_sha256": "b7e6ba01610df782191a18d890a072e8060bb84bd45da8b6e9cc3a3a70799842" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.325, "b_trend": -0.1343, "ell_km": 35.6, "ell_trend": -12.19, "rate_acceleration": 0.57, "delta_aic_iet": 573.6, "S_over_Gamma": 15.537, "days_to_criticality": 2094.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.2202, "grad_tau_local": 0.8026, "depth_trend": -11.22, "spatial_concentration": 76.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5128, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "6d0242261dd36a668ceeddee2e060fe85152ab2a4e075dcbb8b8d1a048781dcb", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5128, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c738d0c86950a0d7b7adc5064d80c2f25c26e53a181a7a41d7a546fe31292c58" }, "receipt_sha256": "c738d0c86950a0d7b7adc5064d80c2f25c26e53a181a7a41d7a546fe31292c58" }, { "row": 42, "col": 152, "lat": 25.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.199, "b_trend": 0.0042, "ell_km": 10.7, "ell_trend": -4.11, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 149.4, "S_over_Gamma": 14.757, "days_to_criticality": 1782.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.6832, "grad_tau_local": 0.2331, "depth_trend": -10.55, "spatial_concentration": 79.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5115, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "2c042fd07345bb33bc69aa7982bbf296f785754166d43598ca016088cce6cdfc", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5115, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0ce101f7862c36d64cadee4f3ad6dd52d7363a399bfff0311e0d4a6faddbeb6c" }, "receipt_sha256": "0ce101f7862c36d64cadee4f3ad6dd52d7363a399bfff0311e0d4a6faddbeb6c" }, { "row": 22, "col": 173, "lat": -15.0, "lon": 167.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.179, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 82.5, "ell_trend": -6.37, "rate_acceleration": 0.71, "delta_aic_iet": 183.4, "S_over_Gamma": 15.88, "days_to_criticality": 1795.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5243, "grad_tau_local": 0.1157, "depth_trend": 1.18, "spatial_concentration": 87.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.507, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "a9b45f9ae1ac7bb3946e3ab68b4cf4791383f2fd8f788467fee1c39a37afb6d6", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.507, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "27d5aad4999a3575b9796f42f6ae1e94e156c09ce573c0910f7df9af41e15cd5" }, "receipt_sha256": "27d5aad4999a3575b9796f42f6ae1e94e156c09ce573c0910f7df9af41e15cd5" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.321, "b_trend": 0.071, "ell_km": 105.7, "ell_trend": -11.69, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 187.68, "S_over_Gamma": 15.827, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1466, "grad_tau_local": 0.6727, "depth_trend": 11.97, "spatial_concentration": 59.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5045, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "d7c08e1553d4406a793fcbc851895d2f8610fb4a1610eeb43b21ca59dfe6bea5", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5045, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bba69a1e0ace708a1d1e08300a0e209bbe9ffb06874265cd47f7dbbb0ee1cf72" }, "receipt_sha256": "bba69a1e0ace708a1d1e08300a0e209bbe9ffb06874265cd47f7dbbb0ee1cf72" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.493, "b_trend": 0.0879, "ell_km": 26.0, "ell_trend": 4.75, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 201.31, "S_over_Gamma": 13.837, "days_to_criticality": 33.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1249, "grad_tau_local": 0.9612, "depth_trend": 0.56, "spatial_concentration": 82.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4993, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "94592f79b14da6bc12df698eed6e38cf919e20b470ac36693438e8ca685772ec", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4993, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2b933c274ccc159d9e22da96a21e1eff1e3f275ca8e7c43b155a68a310530988" }, "receipt_sha256": "2b933c274ccc159d9e22da96a21e1eff1e3f275ca8e7c43b155a68a310530988" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.77, "b_trend": 0.0847, "ell_km": 19.3, "ell_trend": -0.83, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 897.58, "S_over_Gamma": 13.344, "days_to_criticality": 19.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.7342, "grad_tau_local": 0.382, "depth_trend": -1.24, "spatial_concentration": 76.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4961, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "c43f0657e1ddb2d0ecdf3d69f4b05d239527e1a9036ca1242e39d140a769d13d", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4961, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6c4e941a1647eb0265659db340ed77682149a418418f27effd795c4c15dd629b" }, "receipt_sha256": "6c4e941a1647eb0265659db340ed77682149a418418f27effd795c4c15dd629b" }, { "row": 21, "col": 3, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.099, "b_trend": -0.0509, "ell_km": 81.6, "ell_trend": -10.27, "rate_acceleration": 0.71, "delta_aic_iet": 273.7, "S_over_Gamma": 15.968, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.6158, "grad_tau_local": 0.5426, "depth_trend": -10.68, "spatial_concentration": 71.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4939, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "b9a193cae46120378ba48bd60cbdd55fd939c568e434a839d71b07b6ab7a687f", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4939, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6e4b263887c1385ae5950aa05a0f13abec9369dd76897bda7882c80de6894a87" }, "receipt_sha256": "6e4b263887c1385ae5950aa05a0f13abec9369dd76897bda7882c80de6894a87" }, { "row": 31, "col": 153, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.149, "b_trend": -0.1798, "ell_km": 33.6, "ell_trend": -16.28, "rate_acceleration": 1.13, "delta_aic_iet": 747.78, "S_over_Gamma": 15.139, "days_to_criticality": 2095.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.6106, "grad_tau_local": 0.6894, "depth_trend": -8.3, "spatial_concentration": 72.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4925, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "76b3da25e0f4b090004d3e1fc9773421b8bace41a8488041a408981a5d8bc7a5", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4925, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c41625a5f98217fa0f3deacd0c57c4d742fadce7e56a3f1b031c8cbaf318db44" }, "receipt_sha256": "c41625a5f98217fa0f3deacd0c57c4d742fadce7e56a3f1b031c8cbaf318db44" }, { "row": 54, "col": 167, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 155.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.174, "b_trend": -0.0099, "ell_km": 85.1, "ell_trend": -4.61, "rate_acceleration": 0.26, "delta_aic_iet": 477.66, "S_over_Gamma": 15.64, "days_to_criticality": 1796.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5857, "grad_tau_local": 1.7306, "depth_trend": 20.98, "spatial_concentration": 74.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4632, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "4a8ad98af91fb10934ae5689b50681a5dfcb00b372bca76aa4e4edd7c8647ad9", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4632, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d8b310256c31a1463a092ebd5c9f69478661098bc792d877e5cef740b4f2c356" }, "receipt_sha256": "d8b310256c31a1463a092ebd5c9f69478661098bc792d877e5cef740b4f2c356" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.771, "b_trend": 0.1031, "ell_km": 20.4, "ell_trend": 0.26, "rate_acceleration": 0.92, "delta_aic_iet": 816.26, "S_over_Gamma": 13.54, "days_to_criticality": 21.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4454, "grad_tau_local": 0.7014, "depth_trend": -2.45, "spatial_concentration": 92.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4586, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "9dcab0e9c04d12afeb1468bb521c4fb653a3d46ed038f6bda2b85265d00ee427", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4586, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d3e17926ece7f1cf679a2f2af212491a0cde9d08e8e1f816486a05cd23d9d9e6" }, "receipt_sha256": "d3e17926ece7f1cf679a2f2af212491a0cde9d08e8e1f816486a05cd23d9d9e6" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.749, "b_trend": 0.0527, "ell_km": 20.5, "ell_trend": -0.33, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 945.36, "S_over_Gamma": 13.367, "days_to_criticality": 20.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7447, "grad_tau_local": 1.1947, "depth_trend": -2.75, "spatial_concentration": 69.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4556, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "44456b6278c15edac2b176b4dc6bc6eb301c40a29bfee1bb94caa2414a727c46", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4556, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a76f80554360965d4a8f317e5e36e39b968c07ad28dfdd37a2659fca899acb5f" }, "receipt_sha256": "a76f80554360965d4a8f317e5e36e39b968c07ad28dfdd37a2659fca899acb5f" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.892, "b_trend": -0.0869, "ell_km": 2.7, "ell_trend": -0.18, "rate_acceleration": 1.56, "delta_aic_iet": 456.43, "S_over_Gamma": 12.951, "days_to_criticality": 43.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0638, "grad_tau_local": 0.4998, "depth_trend": 0.67, "spatial_concentration": 78.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4451, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "12727076c714b9af0fc5bac34690a8e0f14f59fa8bd76a0a50df1d1691016775", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4451, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7c2b8e30062c52f442a465e6d3509e6433741b2f82a6713bad5ef042a639ca38" }, "receipt_sha256": "7c2b8e30062c52f442a465e6d3509e6433741b2f82a6713bad5ef042a639ca38" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.757, "b_trend": 0.0628, "ell_km": 20.4, "ell_trend": -0.45, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 959.48, "S_over_Gamma": 13.071, "days_to_criticality": 20.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8471, "grad_tau_local": 1.1856, "depth_trend": -1.58, "spatial_concentration": 61.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4266, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "fcdf2f8d1e912b4f0589ea152827c6141ff6ea2e1851c2d85540cb4b1c6dbd78", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4266, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6b1a970c9d66c443cbd46ef67c8d8e4d06b9ef718271e8599f48f80f64daf515" }, "receipt_sha256": "6b1a970c9d66c443cbd46ef67c8d8e4d06b9ef718271e8599f48f80f64daf515" }, { "row": 46, "col": 32, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -115.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.843, "b_trend": -0.0432, "ell_km": 3.0, "ell_trend": -0.26, "rate_acceleration": 1.38, "delta_aic_iet": 366.04, "S_over_Gamma": 13.285, "days_to_criticality": 19.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1622, "grad_tau_local": 0.9721, "depth_trend": 0.79, "spatial_concentration": 59.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4024, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "1bfdcabe2d29e54b2278c4a298bfc31e7da908d13f6b432df11f43f9093c9fcf", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4024, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "45a21e1b18d7785830b3d387dc727f602d83ae3821bb5d314d856fa2522a1233" }, "receipt_sha256": "45a21e1b18d7785830b3d387dc727f602d83ae3821bb5d314d856fa2522a1233" }, { "row": 60, "col": 19, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.803, "b_trend": 0.1345, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -0.08, "rate_acceleration": 0.17, "delta_aic_iet": -1434.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.001, "days_to_criticality": 11.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3507, "grad_tau_local": 1.1654, "depth_trend": 0.24, "spatial_concentration": 61.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3941, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "2ab7d0b4d0b7acec14f98697bb4c67480a50df1dc99edcdaacc2f916ac8440a3", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3941, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ddfa3784a66ce17fb51f00d659b465589213eba23577616b38eb588a94835b4d" }, "receipt_sha256": "ddfa3784a66ce17fb51f00d659b465589213eba23577616b38eb588a94835b4d" }, { "row": 48, "col": 31, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.914, "b_trend": -0.0966, "ell_km": 1.9, "ell_trend": -0.05, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 339.04, "S_over_Gamma": 12.744, "days_to_criticality": -12.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1235, "grad_tau_local": 0.4167, "depth_trend": -0.8, "spatial_concentration": 54.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3892, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "4a7f6ad7bc62adbf203d9328f12625cac9b7b5ad864f33b35933dcc6ed1ce277", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3892, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4b19a69be3d70af8db11a92d47b4c859bba9040834949b871b4ac5f0629553ee" }, "receipt_sha256": "4b19a69be3d70af8db11a92d47b4c859bba9040834949b871b4ac5f0629553ee" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.178, "b_trend": -0.0221, "ell_km": 79.0, "ell_trend": -7.08, "rate_acceleration": 0.13, "delta_aic_iet": -1032.12, "S_over_Gamma": 15.644, "days_to_criticality": 2097.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.8599, "grad_tau_local": 0.4798, "depth_trend": 7.12, "spatial_concentration": 81.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3533, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "72a3f251f77f457b48e637ecc841064fdefcf26dc0bbafb002c57f2a07ec772a", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3533, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8d99099611d88c155c1eded0ec871af2a15e3d5c3ec61a6b3dea351e22b6aae8" }, "receipt_sha256": "8d99099611d88c155c1eded0ec871af2a15e3d5c3ec61a6b3dea351e22b6aae8" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.0372, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.936, "b_trend": 0.0831, "ell_km": 35.2, "ell_trend": 2.45, "rate_acceleration": 0.77, "delta_aic_iet": 433.77, "S_over_Gamma": 15.754, "days_to_criticality": 51.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7432, "grad_tau_local": 1.0225, "depth_trend": 7.11, "spatial_concentration": 70.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2732, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.0372, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "bf4959dd07f41a6cd7edff02905941f8fa7ec7e08fc9d75a7f1181f8481df099", "input_sha256": "496e71698bcc16af3f7ec8dda78efa4e09aaf6ff166db62e2c630e81d4859a5b", "issued_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2732, "probability": 0.037232, "confidence_lo": 0.0372, "confidence_hi": 0.037233, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9e39d49ff7234a4b65505f0bb35ab3790e29156f88f595ab885a5d2cde172ede" }, "receipt_sha256": "9e39d49ff7234a4b65505f0bb35ab3790e29156f88f595ab885a5d2cde172ede" } ] }