{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260714_1200", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-06-09T12:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "n_events": 32405, "n_recent_events": 1835 }, "n_active_cells": 90, "top_probability": 0.0342, "active_cells": [ { "row": 0, "col": 76, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.06, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 65.9, "ell_trend": -1.43, "rate_acceleration": 0.77, "delta_aic_iet": 150.31, "S_over_Gamma": 16.452, "days_to_criticality": 20.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.1069, "depth_trend": 0.18, "spatial_concentration": 75.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7748, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "e8d16e53d734f026726d2e1b259a7f1f3485fdae484c00d095f965d79396375d", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7748, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7d0c75db93e298c3da689d957878ed34dc92ad160d54e19d7c5ae80d870c893c" }, "receipt_sha256": "7d0c75db93e298c3da689d957878ed34dc92ad160d54e19d7c5ae80d870c893c" }, { "row": 44, "col": 142, "lat": 29.0, "lon": 105.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.1, "ell_trend": -7.01, "rate_acceleration": 3.0, "delta_aic_iet": 48.09, "S_over_Gamma": 13.612, "days_to_criticality": 2098.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.2404, "grad_tau_local": 0.1463, "depth_trend": 2.89, "spatial_concentration": 71.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7681, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "2da0bf9c653d6de82a0ab62ba79ba25cc11a9d312cf3e5d05c957ec3eb71c91d", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7681, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "991248aced1e95d62d37d4bceb468fb57ea8bc68f8df51ab88865513146b2c00" }, "receipt_sha256": "991248aced1e95d62d37d4bceb468fb57ea8bc68f8df51ab88865513146b2c00" }, { "row": 2, "col": 77, "lat": -55.0, "lon": -25.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 86.2, "ell_trend": 1.22, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 110.18, "S_over_Gamma": 10.276, "days_to_criticality": 49.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.9917, "grad_tau_local": 0.4887, "depth_trend": 1.85, "spatial_concentration": 47.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7644, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "6838c0d3107248bc0fd1d8f07020d0ec6c01de0fab24c0bd57b4fb88cec02173", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7644, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aa3e5b82276659251179a58b2abe4cc9aa76f963e68b19f67f99a49e28ed33b1" }, "receipt_sha256": "aa3e5b82276659251179a58b2abe4cc9aa76f963e68b19f67f99a49e28ed33b1" }, { "row": 18, "col": 175, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 63.8, "ell_trend": -9.54, "rate_acceleration": 1.19, "delta_aic_iet": 139.5, "S_over_Gamma": 16.24, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.7679, "grad_tau_local": 0.6099, "depth_trend": -8.95, "spatial_concentration": 66.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7557, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "3c8b26cb06e748c027ece1e0f855b4318f3e5c5d1e3a8545e86a585ceae7ab02", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7557, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4e2c7a4c10819851f5d53bf1b63815781688239ee62db361a75e1dab0cbf3967" }, "receipt_sha256": "4e2c7a4c10819851f5d53bf1b63815781688239ee62db361a75e1dab0cbf3967" }, { "row": 19, "col": 174, "lat": -21.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.163, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 105.3, "ell_trend": -1.85, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 146.6, "S_over_Gamma": 16.025, "days_to_criticality": 17.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.1231, "grad_tau_local": 0.6816, "depth_trend": -10.18, "spatial_concentration": 70.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7406, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "2cd7b63dffa5b60bbe47513da35c0ae29e1522b4473ae391a3fb7e6b08349864", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7406, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e872422937db7c587ae57fc369b861db543ac9c00e52d342b2e4947ccb7d7cee" }, "receipt_sha256": "e872422937db7c587ae57fc369b861db543ac9c00e52d342b2e4947ccb7d7cee" }, { "row": 25, "col": 149, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.987, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 100.7, "ell_trend": 4.19, "rate_acceleration": 1.37, "delta_aic_iet": 73.76, "S_over_Gamma": 14.825, "days_to_criticality": 256.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.8295, "grad_tau_local": 0.695, "depth_trend": -15.4, "spatial_concentration": 68.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7278, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "e06abb04df11c8964c3097983a70a626c4682621a5ce99e2a7b3d7ca3a72c013", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7278, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "62bf61cfad5c6fd4c83cab525dea497340da3d081d6c431095cd161934b50dc3" }, "receipt_sha256": "62bf61cfad5c6fd4c83cab525dea497340da3d081d6c431095cd161934b50dc3" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.899, "b_trend": -0.0571, "ell_km": 5.5, "ell_trend": 0.45, "rate_acceleration": 1.47, "delta_aic_iet": 226.18, "S_over_Gamma": 13.525, "days_to_criticality": 67.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3809, "grad_tau_local": 0.2138, "depth_trend": -2.71, "spatial_concentration": 33.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7099, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "1d2874932b724b03cad754c4dde9ca430de15232ca25b3f2d7835b0eec83316d", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7099, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "496ebb06e350ef3cc1fbb803128f82a960c4a0924ae1cbc1702289e22686e4a4" }, "receipt_sha256": "496ebb06e350ef3cc1fbb803128f82a960c4a0924ae1cbc1702289e22686e4a4" }, { "row": 45, "col": 124, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 42.9, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 1.5, "delta_aic_iet": 22.6, "S_over_Gamma": 13.962, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.8736, "grad_tau_local": 0.4363, "depth_trend": -2.75, "spatial_concentration": 86.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7058, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "c04b6c48438328ecb8335c5dd6ecc1c2c1bf05338e2cef5f9a5199cc248cbf54", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7058, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fc2c9a648f51499c67f6813c9e4e630798b4dc1b3ad08fa692a0d357241eb540" }, "receipt_sha256": "fc2c9a648f51499c67f6813c9e4e630798b4dc1b3ad08fa692a0d357241eb540" }, { "row": 38, "col": 149, "lat": 17.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.6, "ell_trend": -1.68, "rate_acceleration": 4.89, "delta_aic_iet": 89.1, "S_over_Gamma": 15.557, "days_to_criticality": 1488.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.6029, "grad_tau_local": 0.7005, "depth_trend": -18.25, "spatial_concentration": 74.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6997, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "7e93c285fa0275da7fdd3c5289899478a02e009cd758a13642813f247e80ec84", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6997, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2fcb899c9209a0c67813a00e848d8d077ec60a114a85ebdd071b4997c622c592" }, "receipt_sha256": "2fcb899c9209a0c67813a00e848d8d077ec60a114a85ebdd071b4997c622c592" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 61, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.216, "b_trend": -0.0474, "ell_km": 33.1, "ell_trend": 0.22, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 1224.7, "S_over_Gamma": 13.998, "days_to_criticality": -0.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6704, "grad_tau_local": 1.6057, "depth_trend": -1.52, "spatial_concentration": 47.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6908, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "30550aefe0caed003c0aebc6154b824c6e6dccc30554e2ed4ffb89411728f530", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6908, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8545a35b50a560ba3befecf47106e103b458c72d4bc2c57fed4b68cafe8fed13" }, "receipt_sha256": "8545a35b50a560ba3befecf47106e103b458c72d4bc2c57fed4b68cafe8fed13" }, { "row": 48, "col": 137, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 95.0, "n_events": 28, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.4, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 31.0, "delta_aic_iet": -86.33, "S_over_Gamma": 7.614, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.0693, "grad_tau_local": 0.0684, "depth_trend": 0.08, "spatial_concentration": 41.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6896, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "efcefd9518377bad2bcce9227d6942630a2901d2ecc885e65f5a790be2386623", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6896, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7a2668d5fcbf2f2c88e18ceb40e8ac16eac136e187b59693ba58deb76f66fdc8" }, "receipt_sha256": "7a2668d5fcbf2f2c88e18ceb40e8ac16eac136e187b59693ba58deb76f66fdc8" }, { "row": 35, "col": 56, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 34.5, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 21.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 2.115, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.1463, "grad_tau_local": 0.6953, "depth_trend": -2.0, "spatial_concentration": 79.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6783, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "83896cf6bb19fef9f04d839d762509bb58a175fee164c8fd949f6b99d0cc6a81", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6783, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8e0d114fd1d30f05b2ecfa994200f65914700f43d203955fda1a685926733386" }, "receipt_sha256": "8e0d114fd1d30f05b2ecfa994200f65914700f43d203955fda1a685926733386" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 43, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.23, "b_trend": 0.0059, "ell_km": 34.8, "ell_trend": -2.21, "rate_acceleration": 1.13, "delta_aic_iet": 1349.46, "S_over_Gamma": 13.576, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5033, "grad_tau_local": 1.3657, "depth_trend": -4.48, "spatial_concentration": 63.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6663, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "0be28d3311f0bcc3afe34517e90c00a10ed19e0809b97c76963106d4422edd61", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6663, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0d72bf5d3f4c4df448f741627e589832419436331809526603171d0e4310672c" }, "receipt_sha256": "0d72bf5d3f4c4df448f741627e589832419436331809526603171d0e4310672c" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.249, "b_trend": 0.0266, "ell_km": 18.7, "ell_trend": -2.03, "rate_acceleration": 1.23, "delta_aic_iet": 918.7, "S_over_Gamma": 13.304, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.861, "grad_tau_local": 2.1218, "depth_trend": -2.23, "spatial_concentration": 57.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.664, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "5c011bed3e17924d563b554675164ff548e682dfcacc1695889d932503cbd726", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.664, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b500049a4816d1d700a305d95f726b7c5fc83008b1778434335b2d0e4d4e3ec6" }, "receipt_sha256": "b500049a4816d1d700a305d95f726b7c5fc83008b1778434335b2d0e4d4e3ec6" }, { "row": 18, "col": 2, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.011, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 154.4, "ell_trend": -8.72, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 91.3, "S_over_Gamma": 17.238, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3555, "grad_tau_local": 0.6173, "depth_trend": 40.87, "spatial_concentration": 65.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6573, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "4ea4aa7a121d4c3662a472779c8cbefcb27808a8b1152e3233ea7ddd84542864", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6573, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0350e4a4913774dd998d993011ae291fd1251b4b4053dd03d1ad3c06d0730cc1" }, "receipt_sha256": "0350e4a4913774dd998d993011ae291fd1251b4b4053dd03d1ad3c06d0730cc1" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.499, "b_trend": 0.0627, "ell_km": 27.1, "ell_trend": 6.67, "rate_acceleration": 0.85, "delta_aic_iet": 195.74, "S_over_Gamma": 13.52, "days_to_criticality": 11.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1304, "grad_tau_local": 0.9413, "depth_trend": 0.51, "spatial_concentration": 83.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.652, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "15e80b220d7ec11906e1a1678337b86f2637a40beeacf86f40f592fc0d8f09db", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.652, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "983a694a9dbdbb539bf33a0f19d07fccce31ec1e301882a4e15dd2a7594cd8eb" }, "receipt_sha256": "983a694a9dbdbb539bf33a0f19d07fccce31ec1e301882a4e15dd2a7594cd8eb" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.057, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.4, "ell_trend": 6.7, "rate_acceleration": 0.63, "delta_aic_iet": 237.79, "S_over_Gamma": 15.545, "days_to_criticality": 39.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.0333, "grad_tau_local": 0.2676, "depth_trend": 37.09, "spatial_concentration": 88.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6476, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "ea3c694c59ed8ddd8f8e4ecbfad4084dbf030de4e60b91c8fa3757d58bf2e099", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6476, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "652fa7d197b37e94e94062e0b69587457aaeb2a5d2043577ffd2e93c69dfec5d" }, "receipt_sha256": "652fa7d197b37e94e94062e0b69587457aaeb2a5d2043577ffd2e93c69dfec5d" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.884, "b_trend": 0.0599, "ell_km": 94.0, "ell_trend": -1.47, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 625.22, "S_over_Gamma": 13.178, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8997, "grad_tau_local": 1.6972, "depth_trend": 4.45, "spatial_concentration": 70.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6453, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "4b8cff4cd85225d1e5e32a4e5b82e078473f95f0cfcf080551e76efe18a71fc5", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6453, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d7d9819403bb7d69a130e4a87319fd9c3052b469acafbc083159ae0288e8848d" }, "receipt_sha256": "d7d9819403bb7d69a130e4a87319fd9c3052b469acafbc083159ae0288e8848d" }, { "row": 18, "col": 0, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.457, "b_trend": -0.1001, "ell_km": 59.8, "ell_trend": 0.39, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 274.27, "S_over_Gamma": 15.097, "days_to_criticality": 73.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.8387, "depth_trend": -6.2, "spatial_concentration": 86.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6406, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "978f7a98d36544e3f2fcb317c7e58fe3fd31fe740d18ac0fbe683675def0159c", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6406, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "defab9f970b4bf5b9230f3e1d27c497b12aef9d19bcbc0ff1b71c4e1ea8bf19a" }, "receipt_sha256": "defab9f970b4bf5b9230f3e1d27c497b12aef9d19bcbc0ff1b71c4e1ea8bf19a" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.616, "b_trend": 0.0886, "ell_km": 74.7, "ell_trend": -0.78, "rate_acceleration": 1.64, "delta_aic_iet": 737.97, "S_over_Gamma": 13.583, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.8419, "depth_trend": -11.34, "spatial_concentration": 117.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6394, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "c0effcb1253e9a36550e791831106d6ba1b5d20daa54aae809420db0f36a70c1", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6394, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7b7e73a26174ab0383d50116a306636f2a6ea4afa9863b3f681a00732bf1fa90" }, "receipt_sha256": "7b7e73a26174ab0383d50116a306636f2a6ea4afa9863b3f681a00732bf1fa90" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.101, "b_trend": 0.1627, "ell_km": 16.1, "ell_trend": -1.55, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 738.63, "S_over_Gamma": 14.089, "days_to_criticality": 23.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4991, "grad_tau_local": 2.2673, "depth_trend": -1.28, "spatial_concentration": 42.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6356, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "8ce556457f4250558224753807f5e3cb0249bc8f1111b6cd6b43930186d487f8", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6356, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e3d94fcab46a20d6f376c568ba55e9dde530cce4baf3b2b4b16d96eb0ca094aa" }, "receipt_sha256": "e3d94fcab46a20d6f376c568ba55e9dde530cce4baf3b2b4b16d96eb0ca094aa" }, { "row": 2, "col": 76, "lat": -55.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 88.2, "ell_trend": 2.04, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 119.84, "S_over_Gamma": 16.268, "days_to_criticality": 281.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.4271, "grad_tau_local": 0.1751, "depth_trend": -3.89, "spatial_concentration": 58.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6305, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "7330ca970b954367cf16bb9018ca23eb20843d350dad043f237d72efc516c3a2", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6305, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c9979dd1478effc8cea1c29272544693790fb1992ba650794e17d1d30c4ec0f7" }, "receipt_sha256": "c9979dd1478effc8cea1c29272544693790fb1992ba650794e17d1d30c4ec0f7" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.241, "b_trend": -0.1095, "ell_km": 35.6, "ell_trend": -12.29, "rate_acceleration": 0.68, "delta_aic_iet": 594.86, "S_over_Gamma": 15.711, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.34, "grad_tau_local": 0.812, "depth_trend": -15.15, "spatial_concentration": 76.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6264, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "2e49a441dcf82ecf59ea5272bdec30579ef6f025ab2875e212ab92f4705a4962", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6264, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f42f695018bb24fbcf7ff3555acfe3bd0fccc88d74e0190eb1ae8b362c46a7bf" }, "receipt_sha256": "f42f695018bb24fbcf7ff3555acfe3bd0fccc88d74e0190eb1ae8b362c46a7bf" }, { "row": 59, "col": 74, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -31.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.8, "ell_trend": -1.96, "rate_acceleration": 1.65, "delta_aic_iet": -25.16, "S_over_Gamma": 12.983, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.37, "grad_tau_local": 0.0819, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 101.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6252, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "3f4f7bc241248b32caf5e2d3d50fdeeda27f0bed866cedab91dacc448b33ba02", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6252, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6cc40c93d4808fd0c5b22cef78c8e53ce7a837a4914e86799196ca5c692fb726" }, "receipt_sha256": "6cc40c93d4808fd0c5b22cef78c8e53ce7a837a4914e86799196ca5c692fb726" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.37, "b_trend": 0.0448, "ell_km": 94.1, "ell_trend": 2.92, "rate_acceleration": 0.72, "delta_aic_iet": 223.6, "S_over_Gamma": 15.653, "days_to_criticality": 18.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0886, "grad_tau_local": 1.0777, "depth_trend": 9.05, "spatial_concentration": 71.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6211, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "a33fe78e16f33487bfd2f198665d7ce9bdf7dd52e416877b43fa10603e48702c", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6211, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d8d40da42ddacec1268a08f878d08a12bd8066d46b0caf55b5082bad1ac37f53" }, "receipt_sha256": "d8d40da42ddacec1268a08f878d08a12bd8066d46b0caf55b5082bad1ac37f53" }, { "row": 29, "col": 150, "lat": -1.0, "lon": 121.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 6.7, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.795, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 24.4, "ell_trend": 8.94, "rate_acceleration": 1.55, "delta_aic_iet": 108.02, "S_over_Gamma": 15.239, "days_to_criticality": 93.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2283, "grad_tau_local": 1.2405, "depth_trend": -48.36, "spatial_concentration": 45.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6199, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "8e53546b1c6f6adf9ead91017686dcc7f4c90c9bc1b688ec3dde8747cba371b8", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6199, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "11eecb7713d5fbdcedf216f7463f061950718cfbc79f0758b2d59d7f4e59f78a" }, "receipt_sha256": "11eecb7713d5fbdcedf216f7463f061950718cfbc79f0758b2d59d7f4e59f78a" }, { "row": 55, "col": 4, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.621, "b_trend": 0.1323, "ell_km": 12.2, "ell_trend": -10.45, "rate_acceleration": 1.14, "delta_aic_iet": 750.65, "S_over_Gamma": 13.588, "days_to_criticality": 2095.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1688, "grad_tau_local": 1.3214, "depth_trend": -1.84, "spatial_concentration": 72.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6199, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "8e53546b1c6f6adf9ead91017686dcc7f4c90c9bc1b688ec3dde8747cba371b8", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6199, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "11eecb7713d5fbdcedf216f7463f061950718cfbc79f0758b2d59d7f4e59f78a" }, "receipt_sha256": "11eecb7713d5fbdcedf216f7463f061950718cfbc79f0758b2d59d7f4e59f78a" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 59, "max_mag": 6.5, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.137, "b_trend": -0.0766, "ell_km": 37.7, "ell_trend": -11.89, "rate_acceleration": 3.52, "delta_aic_iet": 289.56, "S_over_Gamma": 15.993, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.1322, "grad_tau_local": 0.9333, "depth_trend": -26.86, "spatial_concentration": 87.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6144, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "10b41c8c26f9963dc70e2b819ee693db073bf95c0c82481cc552bd7f28daf8ee", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6144, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "39a0c525333effc09512e17f06e226da725904dea131e487785c87e92513ef5a" }, "receipt_sha256": "39a0c525333effc09512e17f06e226da725904dea131e487785c87e92513ef5a" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.887, "b_trend": 0.0647, "ell_km": 93.1, "ell_trend": -1.52, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 586.26, "S_over_Gamma": 13.102, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.251, "grad_tau_local": 1.9641, "depth_trend": 4.93, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6092, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "d4f6edf74dd84a854345732b96c4ea2fa87fef3903514dcdec26fe33d202807f", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6092, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8921bc7c298f8e1bb027c6ad4896aca3ad964bb44ab47bb79a502378d01dc6ea" }, "receipt_sha256": "8921bc7c298f8e1bb027c6ad4896aca3ad964bb44ab47bb79a502378d01dc6ea" }, { "row": 59, "col": 12, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.864, "b_trend": -0.0775, "ell_km": 79.1, "ell_trend": 1.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.81, "delta_aic_iet": 575.56, "S_over_Gamma": 12.238, "days_to_criticality": 21.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7729, "grad_tau_local": 1.13, "depth_trend": 6.12, "spatial_concentration": 72.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6086, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "32a0fc2e5b6c39ceecb9cbffd48f88ed7787b4ef034fac538db0bbd58cc461a7", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6086, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0aef07c4cd8e526dba77ba846bca253b2f82a789d08681973da37a98649eaa88" }, "receipt_sha256": "0aef07c4cd8e526dba77ba846bca253b2f82a789d08681973da37a98649eaa88" }, { "row": 18, "col": 56, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.578, "b_trend": 0.085, "ell_km": 35.7, "ell_trend": 0.56, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 263.24, "S_over_Gamma": 15.782, "days_to_criticality": 19.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.2075, "grad_tau_local": 0.8745, "depth_trend": 5.66, "spatial_concentration": 41.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.602, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "cf2192f8d27c7ae94df8ebbbacc466f69a51dff4fd0d5c5fbeda41ef51264116", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.602, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3891c4c04c3426d50f0366ab46979df5bb3a58ab67ec2cb31ff78366f638a75b" }, "receipt_sha256": "3891c4c04c3426d50f0366ab46979df5bb3a58ab67ec2cb31ff78366f638a75b" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.611, "b_trend": 0.162, "ell_km": 10.6, "ell_trend": -0.45, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 361.23, "S_over_Gamma": 13.43, "days_to_criticality": 20.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.466, "grad_tau_local": 0.6152, "depth_trend": -0.01, "spatial_concentration": 80.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.599, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "444839b17b397d71e1d3157ed512e6e1f2e8f24bfb21bd399f3e84726e9bd8d4", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.599, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d1576bc75a6de3fbb6e8f72056cfc1ce36689ce79b8705b46ea03355f59a6f19" }, "receipt_sha256": "d1576bc75a6de3fbb6e8f72056cfc1ce36689ce79b8705b46ea03355f59a6f19" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.822, "b_trend": 0.0907, "ell_km": 106.6, "ell_trend": -0.12, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 590.41, "S_over_Gamma": 13.22, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9018, "grad_tau_local": 0.9218, "depth_trend": 4.48, "spatial_concentration": 77.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5989, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "7391a2dd42d2bd814b8ca5722375984fc0a7a56a20b100551fbea6c9caa76a9a", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5989, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8a89fd924be88324d6cbf9ba7cc036f7d352b6870f8e79c3a0e244a0322a89e7" }, "receipt_sha256": "8a89fd924be88324d6cbf9ba7cc036f7d352b6870f8e79c3a0e244a0322a89e7" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.846, "b_trend": -0.0393, "ell_km": 85.7, "ell_trend": 1.29, "rate_acceleration": 0.83, "delta_aic_iet": 600.41, "S_over_Gamma": 13.263, "days_to_criticality": 21.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.7099, "grad_tau_local": 0.2081, "depth_trend": 5.2, "spatial_concentration": 81.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5953, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "170af72023a4547a53dc7f4b2ffbd1cb6eb9b6530e64bb409d80def15fda5572", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5953, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d3c0ff54b43b5134be241969b80830d768bd85c9c907ebf12477018666b1f8e5" }, "receipt_sha256": "d3c0ff54b43b5134be241969b80830d768bd85c9c907ebf12477018666b1f8e5" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.844, "b_trend": -0.0454, "ell_km": 84.8, "ell_trend": -0.23, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 785.71, "S_over_Gamma": 13.248, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7727, "grad_tau_local": 0.846, "depth_trend": 1.59, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.59, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "1cb2419a2c4c2fe66b03080e04e9b244f638b90b5b37b9acb14f5239e6543caa", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.59, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8888df2a3d33bdcdccc2bb6b4f4cd850b6bbd264681b43a9c65164d9adb63057" }, "receipt_sha256": "8888df2a3d33bdcdccc2bb6b4f4cd850b6bbd264681b43a9c65164d9adb63057" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.842, "b_trend": -0.1022, "ell_km": 89.0, "ell_trend": -0.29, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 794.73, "S_over_Gamma": 13.348, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5511, "grad_tau_local": 0.4737, "depth_trend": 2.41, "spatial_concentration": 68.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5891, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "f144444cff92423681ce1ac0ca5f4a273b4265b3e8caad46c61b51cf4eb2cf14", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5891, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "052886555edda3831502d63cd25f8cc478388b907e7c81420fa20a23cf24e3ef" }, "receipt_sha256": "052886555edda3831502d63cd25f8cc478388b907e7c81420fa20a23cf24e3ef" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.654, "b_trend": 0.1315, "ell_km": 12.3, "ell_trend": -4.68, "rate_acceleration": 1.44, "delta_aic_iet": 875.96, "S_over_Gamma": 13.43, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0574, "grad_tau_local": 0.1073, "depth_trend": -0.52, "spatial_concentration": 68.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5891, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "f144444cff92423681ce1ac0ca5f4a273b4265b3e8caad46c61b51cf4eb2cf14", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5891, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "052886555edda3831502d63cd25f8cc478388b907e7c81420fa20a23cf24e3ef" }, "receipt_sha256": "052886555edda3831502d63cd25f8cc478388b907e7c81420fa20a23cf24e3ef" }, { "row": 28, "col": 159, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 139.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.116, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 25.4, "ell_trend": 5.28, "rate_acceleration": 0.57, "delta_aic_iet": 128.14, "S_over_Gamma": 14.795, "days_to_criticality": 5.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.8546, "grad_tau_local": 0.2103, "depth_trend": 2.56, "spatial_concentration": 76.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5858, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "ed0d3d14698e8e03ca65482a2fe19819294c81ebfbf002e61537a697a32e60fa", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5858, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "084562599e211c324b080610e3c967660366ef207112c333d85e4f74f3041604" }, "receipt_sha256": "084562599e211c324b080610e3c967660366ef207112c333d85e4f74f3041604" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.529, "b_trend": -0.4702, "ell_km": 65.0, "ell_trend": 2.61, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 294.91, "S_over_Gamma": 15.629, "days_to_criticality": 18.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6781, "depth_trend": -12.1, "spatial_concentration": 97.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5853, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "e7ee3962f7fd284e3988c2fc3e3ecc657c608a0e370174786b9b79aa4e34c46a", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5853, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ffcc8fb9fc18db7c62e9adcefaa9056f7cbf47c627ca499971536e6f8e6cc8a3" }, "receipt_sha256": "ffcc8fb9fc18db7c62e9adcefaa9056f7cbf47c627ca499971536e6f8e6cc8a3" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.941, "b_trend": 0.0562, "ell_km": 3.5, "ell_trend": -0.18, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 537.54, "S_over_Gamma": 13.574, "days_to_criticality": 22.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6457, "grad_tau_local": 0.8395, "depth_trend": -0.47, "spatial_concentration": 71.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5821, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "1414311194916b2a1b153fd97a4af261cbf08039fc83f2673bd19ee77d55300d", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5821, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1265c20221ec8f6d7978b3d4ce4fe3b8d125b3d8a53bbf2270163e4389d337e3" }, "receipt_sha256": "1265c20221ec8f6d7978b3d4ce4fe3b8d125b3d8a53bbf2270163e4389d337e3" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.056, "b_trend": -0.0527, "ell_km": 84.9, "ell_trend": -0.08, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 752.09, "S_over_Gamma": 13.315, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9728, "grad_tau_local": 1.5548, "depth_trend": 5.05, "spatial_concentration": 68.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5812, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "0b567af930c26fc21f7d5d9aeb7b3c274371a700806a35d9cdd8f25b601ca314", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5812, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f4df44178e96a9ed15a9f83e6a6e2ed27c310043cff770b578f727e6dc329c75" }, "receipt_sha256": "f4df44178e96a9ed15a9f83e6a6e2ed27c310043cff770b578f727e6dc329c75" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 42, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.644, "b_trend": 0.0558, "ell_km": 82.9, "ell_trend": -1.0, "rate_acceleration": 1.7, "delta_aic_iet": 746.55, "S_over_Gamma": 13.5, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.8419, "grad_tau_local": 2.9171, "depth_trend": -10.32, "spatial_concentration": 152.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5799, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "f08ad5c318335c56b0340e2695dd87f138221d39ba2a57438fd9c5489dacea63", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5799, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "43b681799fc6854cbdd19dc97413eda89b1436529be857dfff481d480ee49066" }, "receipt_sha256": "43b681799fc6854cbdd19dc97413eda89b1436529be857dfff481d480ee49066" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.51, "b_trend": -0.0332, "ell_km": 16.1, "ell_trend": -9.72, "rate_acceleration": 1.82, "delta_aic_iet": 666.55, "S_over_Gamma": 13.593, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 3.0256, "depth_trend": -12.65, "spatial_concentration": 84.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5758, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "f6ed2546ca522dd427962cb14ebdc879ba9b38443c35043c49c2e435503f2c3f", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5758, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "82592f58f69e7a4634595476fad37987fa9e2d6bedf54416598ff54374893ac8" }, "receipt_sha256": "82592f58f69e7a4634595476fad37987fa9e2d6bedf54416598ff54374893ac8" }, { "row": 35, "col": 55, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 7.5, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.4, "ell_trend": 7.23, "rate_acceleration": 2.32, "delta_aic_iet": -2.44, "S_over_Gamma": 0.208, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 1.711, "grad_tau_local": 0.5534, "depth_trend": -1.67, "spatial_concentration": 61.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5731, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "5ae3835659611771c588aab437ac7908c2cf26e3683a4e4641b3671ad6b57ff3", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5731, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d3fe4c1879d7f391b10a8cffd1d24a21cb071c6a385ccddae77592d60243d424" }, "receipt_sha256": "d3fe4c1879d7f391b10a8cffd1d24a21cb071c6a385ccddae77592d60243d424" }, { "row": 31, "col": 153, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.143, "b_trend": -0.1012, "ell_km": 34.0, "ell_trend": -16.22, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 750.82, "S_over_Gamma": 15.814, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.7438, "grad_tau_local": 0.7108, "depth_trend": -11.11, "spatial_concentration": 73.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5712, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "d403e554a78bee379a97af6eac3bc090fb427900da50e51d7a1822dc0c93b62c", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5712, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "47a632fcb4333946f8babae46f59fcc39ed215f70440687b36b5ae6e71e957bb" }, "receipt_sha256": "47a632fcb4333946f8babae46f59fcc39ed215f70440687b36b5ae6e71e957bb" }, { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.43, "b_trend": -0.2674, "ell_km": 76.1, "ell_trend": 2.72, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 292.72, "S_over_Gamma": 15.623, "days_to_criticality": 209.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.6781, "grad_tau_local": 1.64, "depth_trend": 9.93, "spatial_concentration": 91.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5697, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "56664c722acabee9287961e005a6d25f978be51681ab1d92e7d328d21b8ad4c6", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5697, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ba8b6f60b0c9a504041fb7727e6e75423c95f3d51898e3441a7fcd4e288a250f" }, "receipt_sha256": "ba8b6f60b0c9a504041fb7727e6e75423c95f3d51898e3441a7fcd4e288a250f" }, { "row": 31, "col": 154, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.461, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 95.2, "ell_trend": -4.97, "rate_acceleration": 0.74, "delta_aic_iet": 239.44, "S_over_Gamma": 15.664, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.1674, "grad_tau_local": 1.8298, "depth_trend": -10.23, "spatial_concentration": 45.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5658, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "308b93e12d57423492b1bbf9a81e5ac2ecd33e1b7b7ec27ce45b52a5b590c244", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5658, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1f886f6361fd35ae8b990c3455e9888158b158bf0aef04daacc8a03faeb0ce79" }, "receipt_sha256": "1f886f6361fd35ae8b990c3455e9888158b158bf0aef04daacc8a03faeb0ce79" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.172, "b_trend": 0.3467, "ell_km": 38.6, "ell_trend": 1.06, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 289.05, "S_over_Gamma": 14.954, "days_to_criticality": 250.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4703, "grad_tau_local": 0.5941, "depth_trend": 5.7, "spatial_concentration": 61.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.56, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "9ca3938724affb3b6dd05fa3d857c65a0fedc61d8b206ba387cb868c0a1ef981", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.56, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3644f37120a12723fbc3ae3967d6938856e3fd93e3cf67f99e7796797926c547" }, "receipt_sha256": "3644f37120a12723fbc3ae3967d6938856e3fd93e3cf67f99e7796797926c547" }, { "row": 30, "col": 152, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.167, "b_trend": -0.1237, "ell_km": 34.8, "ell_trend": -6.61, "rate_acceleration": 0.78, "delta_aic_iet": 501.32, "S_over_Gamma": 15.066, "days_to_criticality": 2095.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.2384, "grad_tau_local": 1.3588, "depth_trend": -20.73, "spatial_concentration": 90.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5591, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "a7961c14f06f5ca8ca7bf539f12bb3a0e61dfa2c58114bb93ea626597821877a", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5591, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f549ea4ea8b4223b0a1fa87ad5d1f6f2537d22f85b540f6762a8bdfab1d17330" }, "receipt_sha256": "f549ea4ea8b4223b0a1fa87ad5d1f6f2537d22f85b540f6762a8bdfab1d17330" }, { "row": 62, "col": 8, "lat": 65.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.3, "ell_trend": -1.04, "rate_acceleration": 4.2, "delta_aic_iet": 63.56, "S_over_Gamma": 10.792, "days_to_criticality": 17.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3289, "grad_tau_local": 0.8865, "depth_trend": -3.28, "spatial_concentration": 76.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5574, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "5743d6bf3326e45e8f773c78273b1cad18af597feda7d55b6a3c75e2742e6f3a", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5574, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "78b3d4b17c23a1acb0a8a306ee6d6522bc3280d45c24f3f6a9ea66190fdedded" }, "receipt_sha256": "78b3d4b17c23a1acb0a8a306ee6d6522bc3280d45c24f3f6a9ea66190fdedded" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.988, "b_trend": 0.1163, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.06, "rate_acceleration": 0.64, "delta_aic_iet": 414.64, "S_over_Gamma": 13.286, "days_to_criticality": 21.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3057, "grad_tau_local": 0.9532, "depth_trend": -0.14, "spatial_concentration": 79.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5537, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "7d1a5be866260465f12b00e2418eb96b65745022dd4b887c6adc1703d4df5905", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5537, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6b5c0385ec436e5113529bb5601f5410dc06238d99de2133c970ed40ec6dab95" }, "receipt_sha256": "6b5c0385ec436e5113529bb5601f5410dc06238d99de2133c970ed40ec6dab95" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.877, "b_trend": 0.2305, "ell_km": 25.1, "ell_trend": 1.17, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 273.27, "S_over_Gamma": 13.415, "days_to_criticality": 17.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7978, "grad_tau_local": 1.2565, "depth_trend": -1.44, "spatial_concentration": 49.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5496, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "e2d34a4962e96b7e3b1cba537f59c97c62bcdb0c7bc8a1967881d21d55f7a09c", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5496, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "416d7788a823f362b5edb3673e30b8ad7b08e852086f29e18a9fefd784af4668" }, "receipt_sha256": "416d7788a823f362b5edb3673e30b8ad7b08e852086f29e18a9fefd784af4668" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.619, "b_trend": 0.1142, "ell_km": 13.0, "ell_trend": -9.58, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 823.59, "S_over_Gamma": 13.77, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.7396, "grad_tau_local": 1.496, "depth_trend": -7.97, "spatial_concentration": 65.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5483, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "7b8a5485a5096876834926f0784557707f5322a4d16a6b1c5b6a4a1f15bb488b", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5483, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8a0fde06f97c395bfff17a7fb40ac7a289d488bcdd78c1c08b3fac2a3bb915c9" }, "receipt_sha256": "8a0fde06f97c395bfff17a7fb40ac7a289d488bcdd78c1c08b3fac2a3bb915c9" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 32, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.463, "b_trend": 0.2545, "ell_km": 12.8, "ell_trend": -9.79, "rate_acceleration": 1.94, "delta_aic_iet": 370.98, "S_over_Gamma": 14.646, "days_to_criticality": 24.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9996, "grad_tau_local": 1.4314, "depth_trend": -14.75, "spatial_concentration": 111.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.548, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "ab150c73e4b7a5bf67eed443c11f9569ce4ca7d6acc0d2a9580f79d9d09c5c1d", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.548, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "343e87a7aac1b4b148aa367aa5414ff1c1cb4553de4fb728da9172ac68feaeca" }, "receipt_sha256": "343e87a7aac1b4b148aa367aa5414ff1c1cb4553de4fb728da9172ac68feaeca" }, { "row": 25, "col": 153, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 35.8, "ell_trend": -1.14, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 102.33, "S_over_Gamma": 10.656, "days_to_criticality": 10.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9086, "grad_tau_local": 1.5886, "depth_trend": -22.14, "spatial_concentration": 80.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5456, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "ec22ab07a858a421173928cabcf8960ba52a5d783e17d445626c65ca5a042db9", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5456, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dfbc51d2ea1be4ed6f6871316ec6deac7fd7b8a10a4a97361d098d8fc3538fff" }, "receipt_sha256": "dfbc51d2ea1be4ed6f6871316ec6deac7fd7b8a10a4a97361d098d8fc3538fff" }, { "row": 48, "col": 37, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 4.2, "ell_trend": -0.22, "rate_acceleration": 2.12, "delta_aic_iet": 32.95, "S_over_Gamma": 11.274, "days_to_criticality": 24.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2605, "grad_tau_local": 0.547, "depth_trend": 0.84, "spatial_concentration": 77.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5444, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "1516e52130fef2e9d1f34003be5133132dd75e8a10ea56d83ae82b8a96e91fec", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5444, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4f598a1e73f0591f6121b84e77ce1b86587251da17f45e57b9e646f0b0800e2b" }, "receipt_sha256": "4f598a1e73f0591f6121b84e77ce1b86587251da17f45e57b9e646f0b0800e2b" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.099, "b_trend": 0.1005, "ell_km": 65.6, "ell_trend": -2.56, "rate_acceleration": 1.1, "delta_aic_iet": 238.29, "S_over_Gamma": 15.522, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6362, "grad_tau_local": 0.4401, "depth_trend": -8.6, "spatial_concentration": 83.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5418, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "4a78b57f51dc921d9773a4d4b980a3d213b642a8f94f54a79a8ad2ed0ec052bf", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5418, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d57436a34c7a96a6bcad15c0b868b29f31f2ed2daa44fe38f10b24a7381bba8c" }, "receipt_sha256": "d57436a34c7a96a6bcad15c0b868b29f31f2ed2daa44fe38f10b24a7381bba8c" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.645, "b_trend": 0.0508, "ell_km": 75.1, "ell_trend": -0.72, "rate_acceleration": 1.72, "delta_aic_iet": 667.88, "S_over_Gamma": 13.495, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8187, "grad_tau_local": 0.7868, "depth_trend": -10.14, "spatial_concentration": 77.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5319, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "aeb1851cde445d96bfc140cc56e40b85d2eef2f808e7f5e88376dd388e21d3e7", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5319, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c850ef1bbbd78a1f23157980212a018497710e675d56d1d90d7e7ac3932e327d" }, "receipt_sha256": "c850ef1bbbd78a1f23157980212a018497710e675d56d1d90d7e7ac3932e327d" }, { "row": 26, "col": 164, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 149.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.218, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 59.8, "ell_trend": -14.46, "rate_acceleration": 1.36, "delta_aic_iet": 127.14, "S_over_Gamma": 15.046, "days_to_criticality": 2094.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6468, "grad_tau_local": 0.6759, "depth_trend": 20.46, "spatial_concentration": 81.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5237, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "e51b4df3407a71c1e792a5cc03af2abe48f7a41bf48ddafb8f367060be9ad866", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5237, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fa9c908a48b0450ad32267404ff430b8b27c6d8454157fb20c7ea06427f17354" }, "receipt_sha256": "fa9c908a48b0450ad32267404ff430b8b27c6d8454157fb20c7ea06427f17354" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.719, "b_trend": 0.0129, "ell_km": 30.5, "ell_trend": -3.12, "rate_acceleration": 2.14, "delta_aic_iet": 598.34, "S_over_Gamma": 12.983, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3074, "grad_tau_local": 0.5413, "depth_trend": -9.29, "spatial_concentration": 83.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5132, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "ee23ec9ffe4258ac25c51c3acbf3509112d81ca4d540f72e1a862597116dac33", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5132, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a7abf22ee000163d104d71a8caf370f523557a3f33637b087ab17bd71cf4b441" }, "receipt_sha256": "a7abf22ee000163d104d71a8caf370f523557a3f33637b087ab17bd71cf4b441" }, { "row": 36, "col": 44, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -91.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.911, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 58.6, "ell_trend": 11.5, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 151.96, "S_over_Gamma": 14.913, "days_to_criticality": 48.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.622, "grad_tau_local": 0.4706, "depth_trend": 12.92, "spatial_concentration": 80.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.511, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "467118e698758503af797af0608aefb438996dba51bcf7a1fa17e537cb32316d", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.511, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "892585710a8b96f4b2d6790d9bbfe2f1385ab455034d305a9f9ce032523ef2df" }, "receipt_sha256": "892585710a8b96f4b2d6790d9bbfe2f1385ab455034d305a9f9ce032523ef2df" }, { "row": 32, "col": 153, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.151, "b_trend": 0.0907, "ell_km": 52.2, "ell_trend": 2.54, "rate_acceleration": 2.69, "delta_aic_iet": 441.15, "S_over_Gamma": 15.272, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.5236, "grad_tau_local": 1.3392, "depth_trend": -1.04, "spatial_concentration": 72.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5081, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "b6a22e83f25cf2b8603169fffe1b2717961994088fe7ad37776f87e249a637da", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5081, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a3838caab248e061abe2c56610c6decdeb9e1100fd61c0f21094820e9b4ebcc7" }, "receipt_sha256": "a3838caab248e061abe2c56610c6decdeb9e1100fd61c0f21094820e9b4ebcc7" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.623, "b_trend": 0.1419, "ell_km": 12.4, "ell_trend": -11.73, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 776.51, "S_over_Gamma": 13.456, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9068, "grad_tau_local": 1.4538, "depth_trend": -5.29, "spatial_concentration": 89.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5043, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "3a8a7375f0eea05a8510d98f34478329cd5ad37c38618e1f479913e76e3f5428", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5043, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "97130316abe7c64d3ce7dbed83b05c1d783ce02a2d72db0ece15053cc56a4094" }, "receipt_sha256": "97130316abe7c64d3ce7dbed83b05c1d783ce02a2d72db0ece15053cc56a4094" }, { "row": 50, "col": 35, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 2.7, "ell_trend": -0.16, "rate_acceleration": 0.8, "delta_aic_iet": 54.64, "S_over_Gamma": 13.173, "days_to_criticality": 2097.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5635, "grad_tau_local": 0.4206, "depth_trend": -3.32, "spatial_concentration": 82.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5008, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "019c290da4f7c649b81c24e9136f42498a27f60172f4ad06ddffd54b9594c903", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5008, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c35085d2b525a54b4dcd5d6e28c35d755e67838ef7e10a033e4e5047554a35e1" }, "receipt_sha256": "c35085d2b525a54b4dcd5d6e28c35d755e67838ef7e10a033e4e5047554a35e1" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.623, "b_trend": 0.1221, "ell_km": 13.4, "ell_trend": -7.38, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 910.26, "S_over_Gamma": 13.534, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0461, "grad_tau_local": 0.8508, "depth_trend": -6.7, "spatial_concentration": 69.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4952, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "eb39e2e75a0e4772ee2dab0ffda23f60aff0cb2921a7e1006050dfc145c6a0b2", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4952, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f0885aa79f9641cc136ecf29bb027cd40a12e10ba24d59d534217807ee4ead5a" }, "receipt_sha256": "f0885aa79f9641cc136ecf29bb027cd40a12e10ba24d59d534217807ee4ead5a" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.891, "b_trend": -0.1034, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.35, "rate_acceleration": 1.57, "delta_aic_iet": 452.71, "S_over_Gamma": 13.44, "days_to_criticality": 23.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1028, "grad_tau_local": 0.5178, "depth_trend": 0.18, "spatial_concentration": 77.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4762, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "706be56da9f6a7f4f72478b867e9edc6a2ab80f28c981fff574e4663e131924b", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4762, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c2f8660b0845343563a94b424e702a9e8da28ccb4e40169cdce7df8f12984f35" }, "receipt_sha256": "c2f8660b0845343563a94b424e702a9e8da28ccb4e40169cdce7df8f12984f35" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.104, "b_trend": -0.2012, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": -0.08, "rate_acceleration": 0.78, "delta_aic_iet": 373.15, "S_over_Gamma": 13.29, "days_to_criticality": 21.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5407, "grad_tau_local": 0.7637, "depth_trend": 0.07, "spatial_concentration": 39.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4739, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "be208d7edda704a284bec7e1531d11acb945189fda92ae443e041bcba04668e4", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4739, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e1bf15b23de09ea8ce1b739d19a8d8dbeb034f5665fbfb96abe21974e70ba73b" }, "receipt_sha256": "e1bf15b23de09ea8ce1b739d19a8d8dbeb034f5665fbfb96abe21974e70ba73b" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.32, "b_trend": 0.0706, "ell_km": 104.0, "ell_trend": -11.3, "rate_acceleration": 1.32, "delta_aic_iet": 184.41, "S_over_Gamma": 15.122, "days_to_criticality": 2094.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0175, "grad_tau_local": 0.6795, "depth_trend": 17.65, "spatial_concentration": 60.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4713, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "e6230a79be12c1e89b54b29905c2f022b5372b867b7284eac66722a298e8e71a", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4713, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "67c8f67398f4af535445e2d19c441ae6b0cf4ac7f69e503a168b31de605b7eea" }, "receipt_sha256": "67c8f67398f4af535445e2d19c441ae6b0cf4ac7f69e503a168b31de605b7eea" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 46, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.481, "b_trend": 0.1399, "ell_km": 13.4, "ell_trend": -11.05, "rate_acceleration": 1.95, "delta_aic_iet": 460.42, "S_over_Gamma": 14.423, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.0256, "grad_tau_local": 1.452, "depth_trend": -12.42, "spatial_concentration": 126.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4684, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "4485aaefcec2702103231147deccea8621a8bcd5956fb5195f373e5782fc17f0", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4684, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1917be310b7f8dcdf0395252f142559dd10940ea470fbc2807a974461792f499" }, "receipt_sha256": "1917be310b7f8dcdf0395252f142559dd10940ea470fbc2807a974461792f499" }, { "row": 56, "col": 2, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.645, "b_trend": 0.0593, "ell_km": 68.5, "ell_trend": 0.26, "rate_acceleration": 1.68, "delta_aic_iet": 593.09, "S_over_Gamma": 13.49, "days_to_criticality": -1.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.66, "grad_tau_local": 1.9854, "depth_trend": -11.08, "spatial_concentration": 72.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4671, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "76c4333c58d9f483d719c37cc8c0a52bf5387c97b83c6e2481f7bac73e4e186e", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4671, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2064625b8cc85b8b0bd7cdc3bb8b416e91a40078d4783502fb9833463ac61213" }, "receipt_sha256": "2064625b8cc85b8b0bd7cdc3bb8b416e91a40078d4783502fb9833463ac61213" }, { "row": 38, "col": 60, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -59.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.3, "ell_trend": -0.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.5, "delta_aic_iet": -2.21, "S_over_Gamma": 11.132, "days_to_criticality": 1129.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.8899, "grad_tau_local": 0.8906, "depth_trend": 1.85, "spatial_concentration": 58.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4646, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "f241c4352e7c71dc85bf8f37b621c4d969b3ca493142d57720b79767b59a5834", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4646, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3a6d0afa97059dd7d3336435cb57a489e43ccf28dd3de99f0b73a858993c3818" }, "receipt_sha256": "3a6d0afa97059dd7d3336435cb57a489e43ccf28dd3de99f0b73a858993c3818" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.891, "b_trend": -0.0201, "ell_km": 106.7, "ell_trend": -5.64, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 449.38, "S_over_Gamma": 12.318, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9926, "grad_tau_local": 0.5358, "depth_trend": -0.03, "spatial_concentration": 78.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4535, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "eba95d72764838c8c2bbf69b7dae540dce9944479693d9b64cdc90f5d1519cbd", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4535, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4b8ba798d39a90784312afa7b32aa0fcf6afeaa3a705ff3b9b275bb2a4f6f44e" }, "receipt_sha256": "4b8ba798d39a90784312afa7b32aa0fcf6afeaa3a705ff3b9b275bb2a4f6f44e" }, { "row": 47, "col": 36, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -107.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 4.8, "ell_trend": -0.47, "rate_acceleration": 4.27, "delta_aic_iet": 73.29, "S_over_Gamma": 5.446, "days_to_criticality": 15.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5733, "grad_tau_local": 0.0813, "depth_trend": 3.43, "spatial_concentration": 51.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4491, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "43fd2b6226b65c6c628d64edc172aa785fc88058904417c107a86ad287924a79", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4491, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ce6e803c2944a381ccfcdc87371d088d7b27fa1bbb9d00b368fd73f81ae5cf9c" }, "receipt_sha256": "ce6e803c2944a381ccfcdc87371d088d7b27fa1bbb9d00b368fd73f81ae5cf9c" }, { "row": 46, "col": 32, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -115.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.837, "b_trend": -0.0656, "ell_km": 2.5, "ell_trend": -0.39, "rate_acceleration": 1.27, "delta_aic_iet": 361.19, "S_over_Gamma": 12.712, "days_to_criticality": 17.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0918, "grad_tau_local": 0.9711, "depth_trend": -0.18, "spatial_concentration": 60.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4441, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "444d0c720e7ebe3d2498ae093e58bdac0c9cff5dfe3e5bc81e81689a471c4118", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4441, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "777085b9c799d4fb819c12030158bfaacf8e85417b02bd3e629c7185803102de" }, "receipt_sha256": "777085b9c799d4fb819c12030158bfaacf8e85417b02bd3e629c7185803102de" }, { "row": 26, "col": 155, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 131.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.292, "b_trend": 0.0923, "ell_km": 89.9, "ell_trend": 1.34, "rate_acceleration": 0.7, "delta_aic_iet": 191.53, "S_over_Gamma": 15.476, "days_to_criticality": 84.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2755, "grad_tau_local": 1.5095, "depth_trend": 8.25, "spatial_concentration": 66.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4383, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "41071c4cd294f062991cd2a8d432f90cb0be1518892fbacd1e7f359a198c8f20", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4383, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2562a7d8dac2b8fbf22117a7b8a0a93821d07cb9b1ed5d77cc1261da70a8e055" }, "receipt_sha256": "2562a7d8dac2b8fbf22117a7b8a0a93821d07cb9b1ed5d77cc1261da70a8e055" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.814, "b_trend": 0.1234, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": 0.58, "rate_acceleration": 0.35, "delta_aic_iet": 1051.83, "S_over_Gamma": 13.645, "days_to_criticality": 71.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9732, "grad_tau_local": 1.5874, "depth_trend": 0.5, "spatial_concentration": 89.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4288, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "4b2ebf7b001d8fffafbdd3c78852c3f39a6093936bc6eff3a005b92978b99d34", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4288, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2d73d5791173e9b56b3965be690c71fa92d09a7ded4d5edd1cbca7d51a6d9387" }, "receipt_sha256": "2d73d5791173e9b56b3965be690c71fa92d09a7ded4d5edd1cbca7d51a6d9387" }, { "row": 33, "col": 153, "lat": 7.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.102, "b_trend": 0.0914, "ell_km": 48.6, "ell_trend": 1.78, "rate_acceleration": 2.62, "delta_aic_iet": 375.41, "S_over_Gamma": 15.673, "days_to_criticality": 98.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.0949, "grad_tau_local": 1.5098, "depth_trend": 3.68, "spatial_concentration": 57.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4064, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "479b8d7b0000fab8d03cad02fb675399be7a645b6a48735079dda53ea8f64c04", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4064, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8ffdccd64552ebc7a046401874b3f3326dd391ced63a8a0fe8b2823111bdd555" }, "receipt_sha256": "8ffdccd64552ebc7a046401874b3f3326dd391ced63a8a0fe8b2823111bdd555" }, { "row": 45, "col": 161, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 70.4, "ell_trend": 11.5, "rate_acceleration": 1.98, "delta_aic_iet": 94.96, "S_over_Gamma": 15.689, "days_to_criticality": 28.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2742, "grad_tau_local": 0.7488, "depth_trend": -5.54, "spatial_concentration": 68.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4057, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "1071dc03c37f6289c6dd2e191976ad66ad025099827ecb19802b0d78adb964d9", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4057, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "95bd9d1a29a6d3535d7edb596927c30f39ffb2be6a56a313975f1bb76217ba50" }, "receipt_sha256": "95bd9d1a29a6d3535d7edb596927c30f39ffb2be6a56a313975f1bb76217ba50" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.635, "b_trend": 0.1431, "ell_km": 11.9, "ell_trend": -11.91, "rate_acceleration": 1.53, "delta_aic_iet": 819.34, "S_over_Gamma": 13.352, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4074, "grad_tau_local": 0.6687, "depth_trend": -2.78, "spatial_concentration": 77.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4045, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "c877ae52520de1e3d883d05d64f281392617b43ddec0c61abad46a559ad80fe9", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4045, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b1b21059882b857d0f91b4ab2aecbfd4c30f72a3f32bf3716e0f8740ce273693" }, "receipt_sha256": "b1b21059882b857d0f91b4ab2aecbfd4c30f72a3f32bf3716e0f8740ce273693" }, { "row": 54, "col": 167, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 155.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.154, "b_trend": -0.0055, "ell_km": 86.4, "ell_trend": -4.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.28, "delta_aic_iet": 443.29, "S_over_Gamma": 15.224, "days_to_criticality": 1793.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4082, "grad_tau_local": 1.616, "depth_trend": 20.52, "spatial_concentration": 73.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3928, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "747e544019665f046ab5d994c9698ca2cfcd01302de21109ee9806ff4339ed8c", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3928, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bb03686f58ae1419c52de71eaaea295353168a46b73b0ba16d25c304a45c46ec" }, "receipt_sha256": "bb03686f58ae1419c52de71eaaea295353168a46b73b0ba16d25c304a45c46ec" }, { "row": 50, "col": 160, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.888, "b_trend": 0.0682, "ell_km": 34.2, "ell_trend": 2.37, "rate_acceleration": 1.37, "delta_aic_iet": 373.58, "S_over_Gamma": 15.05, "days_to_criticality": 49.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0492, "grad_tau_local": 1.822, "depth_trend": 5.31, "spatial_concentration": 55.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3883, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "73c42a2c4e4642a555034510cc8a051f389b6bfb35024bf23bf89db0f8b00e2a", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3883, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c1f6e46ef91b1515cf1911c7fcd29ce5362cace8090ca2db00650e9512a4116e" }, "receipt_sha256": "c1f6e46ef91b1515cf1911c7fcd29ce5362cace8090ca2db00650e9512a4116e" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.782, "b_trend": 0.0181, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": -0.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.72, "delta_aic_iet": 1209.18, "S_over_Gamma": 13.094, "days_to_criticality": 20.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0707, "grad_tau_local": 1.2416, "depth_trend": 1.61, "spatial_concentration": 78.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3578, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "95fb65456ebf54cc2c41053197bcc8cf7f007644e1803576537ea00710055e69", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3578, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "253846bcbbfac009eaf78e76e47abce82161e5609298af60ea3a49a77c592bf4" }, "receipt_sha256": "253846bcbbfac009eaf78e76e47abce82161e5609298af60ea3a49a77c592bf4" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 6.9, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.926, "b_trend": 0.083, "ell_km": 34.7, "ell_trend": 2.36, "rate_acceleration": 1.33, "delta_aic_iet": 473.23, "S_over_Gamma": 15.834, "days_to_criticality": 49.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6889, "grad_tau_local": 1.0672, "depth_trend": 6.62, "spatial_concentration": 70.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3295, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "691a176dcc5a8b07f6d5de388f13cf18bcdb7ceaaf91fa3013778299acb40e59", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3295, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6a7f1bd84eb0e9d06d9218d1524ca0cf169651e4f6810a1f18429602e0507cf4" }, "receipt_sha256": "6a7f1bd84eb0e9d06d9218d1524ca0cf169651e4f6810a1f18429602e0507cf4" }, { "row": 55, "col": 168, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.169, "b_trend": 0.0297, "ell_km": 65.6, "ell_trend": -5.61, "rate_acceleration": 0.12, "delta_aic_iet": -1005.37, "S_over_Gamma": 14.817, "days_to_criticality": 2093.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.9856, "grad_tau_local": 3.1564, "depth_trend": 8.46, "spatial_concentration": 76.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3233, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "770cf39dcdeee1c7876d1000a5d0dc709e70df7b3c71c1e211b5b25a3d14eca6", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3233, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ad12fa0539c14a6ebb966c95977fc60ccc3daa4113dc09bf0c276815efcf89fe" }, "receipt_sha256": "ad12fa0539c14a6ebb966c95977fc60ccc3daa4113dc09bf0c276815efcf89fe" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.786, "b_trend": 0.0293, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": -0.1, "rate_acceleration": 0.69, "delta_aic_iet": 1262.44, "S_over_Gamma": 12.964, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3513, "grad_tau_local": 1.6072, "depth_trend": 3.53, "spatial_concentration": 74.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3175, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "ade9b70ebba6bac8b1d36042b667082a07f7c89e591b98a14ea9af562dafbdd6", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3175, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d4452190d5902dfadc9022d5ca0b3deba17611306a1bc00ccffd3c9e47fc6f94" }, "receipt_sha256": "d4452190d5902dfadc9022d5ca0b3deba17611306a1bc00ccffd3c9e47fc6f94" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.803, "b_trend": 0.0675, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": 0.69, "rate_acceleration": 0.43, "delta_aic_iet": 1164.55, "S_over_Gamma": 13.486, "days_to_criticality": 55.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.7287, "grad_tau_local": 1.1281, "depth_trend": 1.11, "spatial_concentration": 84.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3128, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "56e810cd58c8aa5a7f95a438d58fa0c60ab5dba0da056eae28bae20975f67b89", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3128, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "47e32e960ea93082e02f6fec6e01d3810df1be7abfeeb9fe553089155755452c" }, "receipt_sha256": "47e32e960ea93082e02f6fec6e01d3810df1be7abfeeb9fe553089155755452c" }, { "row": 49, "col": 161, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.0, "b_trend": 0.0669, "ell_km": 34.6, "ell_trend": 2.53, "rate_acceleration": 1.26, "delta_aic_iet": 574.75, "S_over_Gamma": 15.117, "days_to_criticality": 44.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0743, "grad_tau_local": 0.686, "depth_trend": 8.34, "spatial_concentration": 78.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.312, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "c95527e97c601a0dd9be7abde713db83b9ba4648fbb9315754957140096aae46", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.312, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3344e877dbd6fdcd1ab7bb080707087d2f41aec898417c544342581ec39881e5" }, "receipt_sha256": "3344e877dbd6fdcd1ab7bb080707087d2f41aec898417c544342581ec39881e5" }, { "row": 18, "col": 179, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.483, "b_trend": -0.1977, "ell_km": 59.2, "ell_trend": -0.71, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 219.96, "S_over_Gamma": 15.256, "days_to_criticality": 16.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.49, "depth_trend": 3.31, "spatial_concentration": 121.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2996, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "7ee0752646c73b3ff18305435c8597d642bf67039f3b73d54945a655dae308eb", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2996, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "40bc33dbbd6f2ee38f0e88dc3e8f0db79e9aec2395b86199abf13eb3cd3aa78d" }, "receipt_sha256": "40bc33dbbd6f2ee38f0e88dc3e8f0db79e9aec2395b86199abf13eb3cd3aa78d" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 6.6, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.13, "b_trend": 0.0595, "ell_km": 64.5, "ell_trend": -5.48, "rate_acceleration": 0.1, "delta_aic_iet": -1542.98, "S_over_Gamma": 15.555, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.2984, "grad_tau_local": 2.1389, "depth_trend": 7.65, "spatial_concentration": 47.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2817, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "0485c59bb8287399e3a55fb1a889275fe075fb97a6656ea3177fadf9854b6847", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2817, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3291300ccbf6c68726f45ab08c652fdd5dc42778ba2a8b72f629949bb9f13b1a" }, "receipt_sha256": "3291300ccbf6c68726f45ab08c652fdd5dc42778ba2a8b72f629949bb9f13b1a" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0342, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.798, "b_trend": 0.0508, "ell_km": 18.3, "ell_trend": -0.41, "rate_acceleration": 0.64, "delta_aic_iet": 1169.17, "S_over_Gamma": 13.078, "days_to_criticality": 19.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.1666, "grad_tau_local": 0.716, "depth_trend": 2.58, "spatial_concentration": 80.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2557, "confidence_lo": 0.0342, "confidence_hi": 0.0342, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "cd78cddb006d8af3e17f54f83561a4d68feb06d78ccd950d5e2e1b169eca5a0c", "input_sha256": "7a4903d8a8061bfa164373dd2359814b5077278217fbed08020731a12a242f6e", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T12:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2557, "probability": 0.034195, "confidence_lo": 0.034156, "confidence_hi": 0.034197, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "eadeae44b64a6b9fae56d55ed23efbec09c818a5d9221353b6ec6b3aceecb6fa" }, "receipt_sha256": "eadeae44b64a6b9fae56d55ed23efbec09c818a5d9221353b6ec6b3aceecb6fa" } ] }