{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260714_0700", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-06-09T07:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "n_events": 32398, "n_recent_events": 1836 }, "n_active_cells": 90, "top_probability": 0.0341, "active_cells": [ { "row": 0, "col": 76, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.06, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 65.9, "ell_trend": -1.43, "rate_acceleration": 0.77, "delta_aic_iet": 150.31, "S_over_Gamma": 16.452, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.1069, "depth_trend": 0.18, "spatial_concentration": 75.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7748, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "e8d16e53d734f026726d2e1b259a7f1f3485fdae484c00d095f965d79396375d", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7748, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "988f3d43e9b946d29989f389b2539a5045d64485568a6d73dcf9b41edaeded15" }, "receipt_sha256": "988f3d43e9b946d29989f389b2539a5045d64485568a6d73dcf9b41edaeded15" }, { "row": 44, "col": 142, "lat": 29.0, "lon": 105.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.1, "ell_trend": -7.01, "rate_acceleration": 3.0, "delta_aic_iet": 48.09, "S_over_Gamma": 13.612, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.2422, "grad_tau_local": 0.1465, "depth_trend": 2.89, "spatial_concentration": 71.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7681, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "2da0bf9c653d6de82a0ab62ba79ba25cc11a9d312cf3e5d05c957ec3eb71c91d", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7681, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bceef2d04c883d9088aabc052c22ebaf1edbaa36b970a10e5d93212b0449eb90" }, "receipt_sha256": "bceef2d04c883d9088aabc052c22ebaf1edbaa36b970a10e5d93212b0449eb90" }, { "row": 2, "col": 77, "lat": -55.0, "lon": -25.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 86.2, "ell_trend": 1.22, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 110.18, "S_over_Gamma": 10.276, "days_to_criticality": 50.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.9917, "grad_tau_local": 0.4887, "depth_trend": 1.85, "spatial_concentration": 47.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7644, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "6838c0d3107248bc0fd1d8f07020d0ec6c01de0fab24c0bd57b4fb88cec02173", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7644, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f95654129ba361960bb2994593201bc293a52ed977313a19e41b4002a2965812" }, "receipt_sha256": "f95654129ba361960bb2994593201bc293a52ed977313a19e41b4002a2965812" }, { "row": 18, "col": 175, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 63.8, "ell_trend": -9.54, "rate_acceleration": 1.19, "delta_aic_iet": 139.5, "S_over_Gamma": 16.24, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.7719, "grad_tau_local": 0.612, "depth_trend": -8.95, "spatial_concentration": 66.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7557, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "3c8b26cb06e748c027ece1e0f855b4318f3e5c5d1e3a8545e86a585ceae7ab02", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7557, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "68dbbb92e3c407d09b8fee8a04eca52c51d0d9fcd782d52513eb5264d41a0254" }, "receipt_sha256": "68dbbb92e3c407d09b8fee8a04eca52c51d0d9fcd782d52513eb5264d41a0254" }, { "row": 19, "col": 174, "lat": -21.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.163, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 105.3, "ell_trend": -1.85, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 146.6, "S_over_Gamma": 16.025, "days_to_criticality": 17.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.1315, "grad_tau_local": 0.6877, "depth_trend": -10.18, "spatial_concentration": 70.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.745, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "3dbdef467042c026ac93420d0139c0accd9390c46f787d094263c73ca12b116f", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.745, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "04e9bf8fba1a9e0bbc7e83fd89998d9aae8cfafa4ec1c61883f2eeb571036aeb" }, "receipt_sha256": "04e9bf8fba1a9e0bbc7e83fd89998d9aae8cfafa4ec1c61883f2eeb571036aeb" }, { "row": 35, "col": 56, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 34.5, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 21.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 2.115, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.1436, "grad_tau_local": 0.6937, "depth_trend": -2.0, "spatial_concentration": 79.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7256, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "a1bfdf3e9be7bbfbd9e606c6e2067d20f18d5f7bbd6ffa08f7cddd353f54bf70", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7256, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "12070547bfda26ad0239ad60bb2a2ee1ddd50f5c76b2e3f7618b91f8b8ef5698" }, "receipt_sha256": "12070547bfda26ad0239ad60bb2a2ee1ddd50f5c76b2e3f7618b91f8b8ef5698" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.902, "b_trend": -0.0571, "ell_km": 5.5, "ell_trend": 0.45, "rate_acceleration": 1.47, "delta_aic_iet": 226.77, "S_over_Gamma": 13.542, "days_to_criticality": 67.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3922, "grad_tau_local": 0.2138, "depth_trend": -2.78, "spatial_concentration": 33.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7099, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "1d2874932b724b03cad754c4dde9ca430de15232ca25b3f2d7835b0eec83316d", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7099, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "32a76ce2211a3dd12524b74b2891bf04582c88747774b8e41a68e1a4e18e0aee" }, "receipt_sha256": "32a76ce2211a3dd12524b74b2891bf04582c88747774b8e41a68e1a4e18e0aee" }, { "row": 45, "col": 124, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 42.9, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 1.5, "delta_aic_iet": 22.6, "S_over_Gamma": 13.962, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.8845, "grad_tau_local": 0.4388, "depth_trend": -2.75, "spatial_concentration": 86.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7058, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "c04b6c48438328ecb8335c5dd6ecc1c2c1bf05338e2cef5f9a5199cc248cbf54", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7058, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a7ab39ad2dcb51ad375b6dc3bacfaf46ae0ea07e37fb56e1c6afebb34c4cb5bb" }, "receipt_sha256": "a7ab39ad2dcb51ad375b6dc3bacfaf46ae0ea07e37fb56e1c6afebb34c4cb5bb" }, { "row": 38, "col": 149, "lat": 17.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.5, "ell_trend": -1.69, "rate_acceleration": 4.89, "delta_aic_iet": 89.1, "S_over_Gamma": 15.557, "days_to_criticality": 1488.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.596, "grad_tau_local": 0.6987, "depth_trend": -18.25, "spatial_concentration": 74.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6944, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "84dab8cecb8a8176bc946354a996f51ec6a7378a522e197fe93b1301eb152e16", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6944, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fc1c43515a06c0852dfe5d9494bf42f205b5efb177d9c349dca9a1c5f1b55d10" }, "receipt_sha256": "fc1c43515a06c0852dfe5d9494bf42f205b5efb177d9c349dca9a1c5f1b55d10" }, { "row": 48, "col": 137, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 95.0, "n_events": 28, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.4, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 31.0, "delta_aic_iet": -86.33, "S_over_Gamma": 7.614, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.0703, "grad_tau_local": 0.0687, "depth_trend": 0.08, "spatial_concentration": 41.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6896, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "efcefd9518377bad2bcce9227d6942630a2901d2ecc885e65f5a790be2386623", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6896, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "36fc43e1d2241c96ed556b3bc836cd0c76aea7c686f892ba0c0111aeccd2e973" }, "receipt_sha256": "36fc43e1d2241c96ed556b3bc836cd0c76aea7c686f892ba0c0111aeccd2e973" }, { "row": 59, "col": 74, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -31.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.8, "ell_trend": -1.96, "rate_acceleration": 1.65, "delta_aic_iet": -25.16, "S_over_Gamma": 12.983, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.37, "grad_tau_local": 0.0819, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 101.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6791, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "a946b2708846124289de7da173dddce5c1fbfffcf92a8bccecd737df678d1ad4", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6791, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4ecf2ef5149893f95e2e834b307ee722207affa6c7f96cc5f256389a4c699a3a" }, "receipt_sha256": "4ecf2ef5149893f95e2e834b307ee722207affa6c7f96cc5f256389a4c699a3a" }, { "row": 25, "col": 149, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 110.8, "ell_trend": 5.68, "rate_acceleration": 1.32, "delta_aic_iet": 73.64, "S_over_Gamma": 14.758, "days_to_criticality": 152.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.8132, "grad_tau_local": 0.6948, "depth_trend": -13.8, "spatial_concentration": 68.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6645, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "6ad924c845d473d96ee1a918afd7fafdd4ca058c6138c34bee3326eb0cc3d343", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6645, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "285ed5ad7fc66b106c2188cac65ca7a745e962434fc27e92ac91f65540e7ad14" }, "receipt_sha256": "285ed5ad7fc66b106c2188cac65ca7a745e962434fc27e92ac91f65540e7ad14" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.239, "b_trend": -0.1106, "ell_km": 35.6, "ell_trend": -12.28, "rate_acceleration": 0.68, "delta_aic_iet": 594.86, "S_over_Gamma": 15.711, "days_to_criticality": 2100.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.3388, "grad_tau_local": 0.8118, "depth_trend": -15.09, "spatial_concentration": 76.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.661, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "e3e300a0f2dad8ea041378dac17fd7da2ec014700cded31d32932475d3b96a23", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.661, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a60c6bd8688019f1a6e9427512d12c26c1fd88ffbdda94c379b5f01aa2b2effa" }, "receipt_sha256": "a60c6bd8688019f1a6e9427512d12c26c1fd88ffbdda94c379b5f01aa2b2effa" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 65, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.218, "b_trend": -0.0492, "ell_km": 34.4, "ell_trend": 0.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.19, "delta_aic_iet": 1225.47, "S_over_Gamma": 14.032, "days_to_criticality": 20.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6785, "grad_tau_local": 1.6016, "depth_trend": -1.46, "spatial_concentration": 47.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6601, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "71d224f691b2125dcf0ec82029b745fcccd38ac8821fc6db88104ec8c6cd9ca8", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6601, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "360caa55e23adec8331743d45a9dcc5856cde8c3459281c7de4a4cbe6de294d9" }, "receipt_sha256": "360caa55e23adec8331743d45a9dcc5856cde8c3459281c7de4a4cbe6de294d9" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 45, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.231, "b_trend": -0.0207, "ell_km": 36.2, "ell_trend": -2.11, "rate_acceleration": 1.13, "delta_aic_iet": 1350.54, "S_over_Gamma": 13.576, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4995, "grad_tau_local": 1.3639, "depth_trend": -4.41, "spatial_concentration": 63.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6561, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "1342ac7ce5a174669305dc6ffe67622e3f4af14f0ef0dd486358e6a23e5839e5", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6561, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b45e15ca89aa98fc78c67d0fee39f3ba7c03241d1e117a198d6a0b5ff26db44e" }, "receipt_sha256": "b45e15ca89aa98fc78c67d0fee39f3ba7c03241d1e117a198d6a0b5ff26db44e" }, { "row": 18, "col": 2, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.011, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 153.0, "ell_trend": -9.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 91.3, "S_over_Gamma": 17.238, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3555, "grad_tau_local": 0.6173, "depth_trend": 40.39, "spatial_concentration": 65.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6528, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "25bd6861d4be59fe6a1db2638f5886c380f78bf992607629e545e39cf53e99f1", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6528, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "190d493655ab6e71a436671557c45a414b8f2890996bcaf161c5d79ee617db1e" }, "receipt_sha256": "190d493655ab6e71a436671557c45a414b8f2890996bcaf161c5d79ee617db1e" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.5, "b_trend": 0.0627, "ell_km": 27.2, "ell_trend": 6.8, "rate_acceleration": 0.85, "delta_aic_iet": 195.74, "S_over_Gamma": 13.52, "days_to_criticality": 11.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1309, "grad_tau_local": 0.9432, "depth_trend": 0.51, "spatial_concentration": 83.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.652, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "15e80b220d7ec11906e1a1678337b86f2637a40beeacf86f40f592fc0d8f09db", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.652, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f955993f40f7eedabdd60dc137eaee109bb9481d0ab3d3e43fb7dbbfe1044d9d" }, "receipt_sha256": "f955993f40f7eedabdd60dc137eaee109bb9481d0ab3d3e43fb7dbbfe1044d9d" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.054, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.4, "ell_trend": 6.65, "rate_acceleration": 0.63, "delta_aic_iet": 237.79, "S_over_Gamma": 15.546, "days_to_criticality": 40.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.0495, "grad_tau_local": 0.2613, "depth_trend": 36.98, "spatial_concentration": 88.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6476, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "ea3c694c59ed8ddd8f8e4ecbfad4084dbf030de4e60b91c8fa3757d58bf2e099", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6476, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dde158fc7c8e50f6249fa7d65a3a78a9b4c1160c65dcf4a7c51922eedbec7bee" }, "receipt_sha256": "dde158fc7c8e50f6249fa7d65a3a78a9b4c1160c65dcf4a7c51922eedbec7bee" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.249, "b_trend": 0.0509, "ell_km": 19.7, "ell_trend": -1.87, "rate_acceleration": 1.22, "delta_aic_iet": 916.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.289, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.838, "grad_tau_local": 2.1252, "depth_trend": -2.12, "spatial_concentration": 57.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6467, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "ea2d8394f8d715044e4cee375fa44e5dd3b61a28050eae5810c4357bf2d45d0c", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6467, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dff46508ddd245fc0b07e6353139a910a174bd79eedb0d5a279c7e84dc2b4db0" }, "receipt_sha256": "dff46508ddd245fc0b07e6353139a910a174bd79eedb0d5a279c7e84dc2b4db0" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.884, "b_trend": 0.0599, "ell_km": 94.2, "ell_trend": -1.47, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 625.08, "S_over_Gamma": 13.178, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9026, "grad_tau_local": 1.6972, "depth_trend": 4.32, "spatial_concentration": 70.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6453, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "4b8cff4cd85225d1e5e32a4e5b82e078473f95f0cfcf080551e76efe18a71fc5", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6453, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "261660b3596b350faf72daa1069e1f6f5b1e5e14701aa99e9f4951d1232269ae" }, "receipt_sha256": "261660b3596b350faf72daa1069e1f6f5b1e5e14701aa99e9f4951d1232269ae" }, { "row": 18, "col": 0, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.454, "b_trend": -0.1011, "ell_km": 59.7, "ell_trend": 0.36, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 274.27, "S_over_Gamma": 15.097, "days_to_criticality": 216.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.8387, "depth_trend": -6.3, "spatial_concentration": 86.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6406, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "978f7a98d36544e3f2fcb317c7e58fe3fd31fe740d18ac0fbe683675def0159c", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6406, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "10f2a3051d5b416c1938dee7e4fdb1a063d6beb06a1844c0a1b12f57a9db2b8d" }, "receipt_sha256": "10f2a3051d5b416c1938dee7e4fdb1a063d6beb06a1844c0a1b12f57a9db2b8d" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.616, "b_trend": 0.0868, "ell_km": 74.6, "ell_trend": -0.83, "rate_acceleration": 1.64, "delta_aic_iet": 733.35, "S_over_Gamma": 13.583, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.8421, "depth_trend": -11.6, "spatial_concentration": 117.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6394, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "c0effcb1253e9a36550e791831106d6ba1b5d20daa54aae809420db0f36a70c1", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6394, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e257ce42ca0b02dd75d4767499d26e6d9f04cab2ad52eb0c2cb35b4dea0a614b" }, "receipt_sha256": "e257ce42ca0b02dd75d4767499d26e6d9f04cab2ad52eb0c2cb35b4dea0a614b" }, { "row": 2, "col": 76, "lat": -55.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 88.2, "ell_trend": 2.04, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 119.84, "S_over_Gamma": 16.268, "days_to_criticality": 281.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.4271, "grad_tau_local": 0.1751, "depth_trend": -3.89, "spatial_concentration": 58.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6305, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "7330ca970b954367cf16bb9018ca23eb20843d350dad043f237d72efc516c3a2", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6305, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "42a684189ac0b13e2901dabe29cee31c7beb84ef528d663ad5b2003df5a2729d" }, "receipt_sha256": "42a684189ac0b13e2901dabe29cee31c7beb84ef528d663ad5b2003df5a2729d" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.101, "b_trend": 0.1601, "ell_km": 16.8, "ell_trend": -1.41, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 735.99, "S_over_Gamma": 14.089, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.495, "grad_tau_local": 2.2662, "depth_trend": -1.28, "spatial_concentration": 42.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.622, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "ce21f028ad68fba95f0ae263fd4c74d915939242a7829a5dedd369b0bf6d8ea2", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.622, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3aaf12bd64964770576e4812474bb048b4e5b2a22ea45f99d343ed7c8eccc955" }, "receipt_sha256": "3aaf12bd64964770576e4812474bb048b4e5b2a22ea45f99d343ed7c8eccc955" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.375, "b_trend": 0.0448, "ell_km": 93.2, "ell_trend": 2.92, "rate_acceleration": 0.72, "delta_aic_iet": 226.59, "S_over_Gamma": 15.653, "days_to_criticality": 18.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0874, "grad_tau_local": 1.0776, "depth_trend": 8.88, "spatial_concentration": 71.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6211, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "a33fe78e16f33487bfd2f198665d7ce9bdf7dd52e416877b43fa10603e48702c", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6211, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "24f6e023b90f3f50872d094c6522e4101f83a3dccd9d2c6d3fb47fb3e7b1d6ac" }, "receipt_sha256": "24f6e023b90f3f50872d094c6522e4101f83a3dccd9d2c6d3fb47fb3e7b1d6ac" }, { "row": 29, "col": 150, "lat": -1.0, "lon": 121.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 6.7, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.795, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 24.4, "ell_trend": 8.94, "rate_acceleration": 1.55, "delta_aic_iet": 108.02, "S_over_Gamma": 15.239, "days_to_criticality": 93.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2252, "grad_tau_local": 1.2409, "depth_trend": -48.36, "spatial_concentration": 45.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6199, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "8e53546b1c6f6adf9ead91017686dcc7f4c90c9bc1b688ec3dde8747cba371b8", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6199, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2e5f0d0c05d16050a4e3a98efaacbc004e5727543a9e68adfb27511cbef44894" }, "receipt_sha256": "2e5f0d0c05d16050a4e3a98efaacbc004e5727543a9e68adfb27511cbef44894" }, { "row": 55, "col": 4, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.622, "b_trend": 0.1327, "ell_km": 12.2, "ell_trend": -10.45, "rate_acceleration": 1.14, "delta_aic_iet": 750.65, "S_over_Gamma": 13.588, "days_to_criticality": 2095.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1709, "grad_tau_local": 1.3218, "depth_trend": -1.85, "spatial_concentration": 72.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6199, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "8e53546b1c6f6adf9ead91017686dcc7f4c90c9bc1b688ec3dde8747cba371b8", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6199, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2e5f0d0c05d16050a4e3a98efaacbc004e5727543a9e68adfb27511cbef44894" }, "receipt_sha256": "2e5f0d0c05d16050a4e3a98efaacbc004e5727543a9e68adfb27511cbef44894" }, { "row": 59, "col": 12, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.867, "b_trend": -0.0723, "ell_km": 79.1, "ell_trend": 1.43, "rate_acceleration": 0.83, "delta_aic_iet": 573.45, "S_over_Gamma": 12.238, "days_to_criticality": 58.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7586, "grad_tau_local": 1.1221, "depth_trend": 6.12, "spatial_concentration": 72.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6145, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "f961a977d6df4c91667783a8303b9808734c4ee42662052f7ab0af4c966992eb", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6145, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2835ea8274a8093a156613efa7231e65a3d4c7264ec7268320df163d3b6a51a3" }, "receipt_sha256": "2835ea8274a8093a156613efa7231e65a3d4c7264ec7268320df163d3b6a51a3" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 60, "max_mag": 6.5, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.137, "b_trend": -0.0766, "ell_km": 37.7, "ell_trend": -11.89, "rate_acceleration": 3.52, "delta_aic_iet": 289.56, "S_over_Gamma": 15.993, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.1298, "grad_tau_local": 0.9344, "depth_trend": -26.86, "spatial_concentration": 87.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6144, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "10b41c8c26f9963dc70e2b819ee693db073bf95c0c82481cc552bd7f28daf8ee", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6144, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f58ec5b49c05cc1ec4434b135d8f84722e21ee0af82b17b14a296092dc19c41d" }, "receipt_sha256": "f58ec5b49c05cc1ec4434b135d8f84722e21ee0af82b17b14a296092dc19c41d" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.887, "b_trend": 0.0647, "ell_km": 93.3, "ell_trend": -1.52, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 585.86, "S_over_Gamma": 13.102, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2511, "grad_tau_local": 1.9641, "depth_trend": 5.03, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6092, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "d4f6edf74dd84a854345732b96c4ea2fa87fef3903514dcdec26fe33d202807f", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6092, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aabd2eb07f3b503549fb9a3a3b09b26b50e2e3f63a353e956f90f9cb73b270a2" }, "receipt_sha256": "aabd2eb07f3b503549fb9a3a3b09b26b50e2e3f63a353e956f90f9cb73b270a2" }, { "row": 18, "col": 56, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.578, "b_trend": 0.085, "ell_km": 35.7, "ell_trend": 0.56, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 263.24, "S_over_Gamma": 15.782, "days_to_criticality": 20.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.2053, "grad_tau_local": 0.8743, "depth_trend": 5.66, "spatial_concentration": 41.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.602, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "cf2192f8d27c7ae94df8ebbbacc466f69a51dff4fd0d5c5fbeda41ef51264116", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.602, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "24caad62930c5244afdd56396b28dbd2aee825b17532be4c93ac56ee14993a70" }, "receipt_sha256": "24caad62930c5244afdd56396b28dbd2aee825b17532be4c93ac56ee14993a70" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.822, "b_trend": 0.0907, "ell_km": 106.8, "ell_trend": -0.12, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 592.21, "S_over_Gamma": 13.42, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9171, "grad_tau_local": 0.9207, "depth_trend": 4.58, "spatial_concentration": 77.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6013, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "a6e4673ddd952659176896aa417764d463062c3349c1fbb2235f9c08deafdab6", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6013, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "89c14b3322608a7580abfe2edd061dd058782c2d4a9ba777e54ff26fd49c165f" }, "receipt_sha256": "89c14b3322608a7580abfe2edd061dd058782c2d4a9ba777e54ff26fd49c165f" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.611, "b_trend": 0.162, "ell_km": 10.6, "ell_trend": -0.45, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 360.68, "S_over_Gamma": 13.442, "days_to_criticality": 20.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4724, "grad_tau_local": 0.6151, "depth_trend": -0.04, "spatial_concentration": 80.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.599, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "444839b17b397d71e1d3157ed512e6e1f2e8f24bfb21bd399f3e84726e9bd8d4", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.599, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b0673c1995f90c4eee5dd3eba4877b8e325088dc29f100a48faa73aaea9f0f4c" }, "receipt_sha256": "b0673c1995f90c4eee5dd3eba4877b8e325088dc29f100a48faa73aaea9f0f4c" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.844, "b_trend": -0.0454, "ell_km": 84.9, "ell_trend": -0.23, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 787.7, "S_over_Gamma": 13.248, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7772, "grad_tau_local": 0.8381, "depth_trend": 1.69, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5987, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "e6856cd897fbbf89170ae012a490c474de62c2e71bfbde0c4cb10df2a3b2dbca", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5987, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9b3ce8c73c6b1069c3849f0d4dd29f41aa4379ab96923f342f4747461d0a551b" }, "receipt_sha256": "9b3ce8c73c6b1069c3849f0d4dd29f41aa4379ab96923f342f4747461d0a551b" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.849, "b_trend": -0.0304, "ell_km": 85.7, "ell_trend": 1.74, "rate_acceleration": 0.85, "delta_aic_iet": 598.67, "S_over_Gamma": 13.263, "days_to_criticality": 55.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.7023, "grad_tau_local": 0.2149, "depth_trend": 5.2, "spatial_concentration": 81.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5953, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "170af72023a4547a53dc7f4b2ffbd1cb6eb9b6530e64bb409d80def15fda5572", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5953, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "10a604469128a3347bf386c0e144f58b779a802c36239b0ee45a6ab79dfc8652" }, "receipt_sha256": "10a604469128a3347bf386c0e144f58b779a802c36239b0ee45a6ab79dfc8652" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.842, "b_trend": -0.1022, "ell_km": 89.1, "ell_trend": -0.29, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 793.8, "S_over_Gamma": 13.348, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5505, "grad_tau_local": 0.4713, "depth_trend": 2.28, "spatial_concentration": 68.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5949, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "da8eb85e34555f78c91f7806515051ad2edb087e56e750a3ccfdb20dd5b5dab2", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5949, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d41de9e5404c517efe4b25b7a740b1d6f34135dfe76845c72e117d43fb023b21" }, "receipt_sha256": "d41de9e5404c517efe4b25b7a740b1d6f34135dfe76845c72e117d43fb023b21" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.525, "b_trend": -0.4712, "ell_km": 64.9, "ell_trend": 2.55, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 294.91, "S_over_Gamma": 15.631, "days_to_criticality": 19.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6781, "depth_trend": -12.21, "spatial_concentration": 97.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5898, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "8f520d7ae19713f48053aacad04aee009fe2a14f9e4a3e39be560705d93d90d7", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5898, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d79aefd228e37426a5b64f300e3625aee5224c71a8a0b68c36e4ade00860d463" }, "receipt_sha256": "d79aefd228e37426a5b64f300e3625aee5224c71a8a0b68c36e4ade00860d463" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.654, "b_trend": 0.1315, "ell_km": 12.3, "ell_trend": -4.68, "rate_acceleration": 1.45, "delta_aic_iet": 878.28, "S_over_Gamma": 13.43, "days_to_criticality": 2098.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0662, "grad_tau_local": 0.103, "depth_trend": -0.49, "spatial_concentration": 68.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5891, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "f144444cff92423681ce1ac0ca5f4a273b4265b3e8caad46c61b51cf4eb2cf14", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5891, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7ba0f518fb72920de4b842670c94745e3d5c9ae4c884b6c7eb8985ff96f94aed" }, "receipt_sha256": "7ba0f518fb72920de4b842670c94745e3d5c9ae4c884b6c7eb8985ff96f94aed" }, { "row": 31, "col": 154, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.456, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 96.1, "ell_trend": -4.79, "rate_acceleration": 0.74, "delta_aic_iet": 239.44, "S_over_Gamma": 15.664, "days_to_criticality": 2100.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.166, "grad_tau_local": 1.8297, "depth_trend": -10.09, "spatial_concentration": 45.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5859, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "54fafb583f4ba7d1ce113816638417c9aa68531a36dcbe9f1b181b25d89e3679", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5859, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0bd186bc1f8f8e376e8aefe9fcd2f314092baef35724be6d832d5275b47d4041" }, "receipt_sha256": "0bd186bc1f8f8e376e8aefe9fcd2f314092baef35724be6d832d5275b47d4041" }, { "row": 28, "col": 159, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 139.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.116, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 25.4, "ell_trend": 5.28, "rate_acceleration": 0.57, "delta_aic_iet": 128.14, "S_over_Gamma": 14.795, "days_to_criticality": 5.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.8543, "grad_tau_local": 0.2102, "depth_trend": 2.56, "spatial_concentration": 76.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5858, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "ed0d3d14698e8e03ca65482a2fe19819294c81ebfbf002e61537a697a32e60fa", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5858, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ce0f778b5746d2533e01d3752f207b4331f596dc78acecb44123091abb264ee9" }, "receipt_sha256": "ce0f778b5746d2533e01d3752f207b4331f596dc78acecb44123091abb264ee9" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.943, "b_trend": 0.0569, "ell_km": 3.5, "ell_trend": -0.18, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 538.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.574, "days_to_criticality": 21.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6454, "grad_tau_local": 0.8381, "depth_trend": -0.44, "spatial_concentration": 71.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5821, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "1414311194916b2a1b153fd97a4af261cbf08039fc83f2673bd19ee77d55300d", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5821, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "361a178aa0421f68a4c654a670df98bddbc41bbda8f6ef67f9cd6a33fbf8e45b" }, "receipt_sha256": "361a178aa0421f68a4c654a670df98bddbc41bbda8f6ef67f9cd6a33fbf8e45b" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.056, "b_trend": -0.0527, "ell_km": 84.9, "ell_trend": -0.08, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 752.09, "S_over_Gamma": 13.315, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9689, "grad_tau_local": 1.5546, "depth_trend": 5.05, "spatial_concentration": 68.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5812, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "0b567af930c26fc21f7d5d9aeb7b3c274371a700806a35d9cdd8f25b601ca314", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5812, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0001eccda667fbc0c95283941c591ffefe71393938dbfc49a19c2d97b435063c" }, "receipt_sha256": "0001eccda667fbc0c95283941c591ffefe71393938dbfc49a19c2d97b435063c" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 42, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.644, "b_trend": 0.0558, "ell_km": 82.9, "ell_trend": -1.0, "rate_acceleration": 1.7, "delta_aic_iet": 746.55, "S_over_Gamma": 13.5, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.8421, "grad_tau_local": 2.9174, "depth_trend": -10.33, "spatial_concentration": 152.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5799, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "f08ad5c318335c56b0340e2695dd87f138221d39ba2a57438fd9c5489dacea63", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5799, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8f1b9b992fb5e51c49b4685b48547042bf5fd6c964ab8f40ef9d328ad54e5ef0" }, "receipt_sha256": "8f1b9b992fb5e51c49b4685b48547042bf5fd6c964ab8f40ef9d328ad54e5ef0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.511, "b_trend": -0.0318, "ell_km": 16.1, "ell_trend": -9.87, "rate_acceleration": 1.82, "delta_aic_iet": 664.21, "S_over_Gamma": 13.592, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 3.0083, "depth_trend": -12.39, "spatial_concentration": 84.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5743, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "860ba458fd4677180fb26343af8042ca7d50388f43dc18f90401946824b9d7ec", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5743, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cea594b17503c5f5ec0ab132d9654499271708e06f92870e78814438cfea3060" }, "receipt_sha256": "cea594b17503c5f5ec0ab132d9654499271708e06f92870e78814438cfea3060" }, { "row": 35, "col": 55, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 7.5, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.4, "ell_trend": 7.23, "rate_acceleration": 2.32, "delta_aic_iet": -2.44, "S_over_Gamma": 0.208, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 1.7089, "grad_tau_local": 0.552, "depth_trend": -1.67, "spatial_concentration": 61.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5731, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "5ae3835659611771c588aab437ac7908c2cf26e3683a4e4641b3671ad6b57ff3", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5731, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a13dce77f1b4ea7e7436e44fc478abc8e4a79afeee253a007977885c10925d9a" }, "receipt_sha256": "a13dce77f1b4ea7e7436e44fc478abc8e4a79afeee253a007977885c10925d9a" }, { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.434, "b_trend": -0.2665, "ell_km": 75.8, "ell_trend": 2.64, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 291.05, "S_over_Gamma": 15.623, "days_to_criticality": 19.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.6781, "grad_tau_local": 1.64, "depth_trend": 13.18, "spatial_concentration": 91.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.573, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "bf9fe5e33186c4eb7aef33c76579438500b3e6970fbdbadd93e0ec8ef059d973", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.573, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "45e226d0d384847c05515789a8f76bb2fda8ceda4aa99a3d9856c095d9570694" }, "receipt_sha256": "45e226d0d384847c05515789a8f76bb2fda8ceda4aa99a3d9856c095d9570694" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 32, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.463, "b_trend": 0.3352, "ell_km": 12.8, "ell_trend": -9.73, "rate_acceleration": 1.96, "delta_aic_iet": 368.76, "S_over_Gamma": 14.646, "days_to_criticality": 2097.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9943, "grad_tau_local": 1.4248, "depth_trend": -15.03, "spatial_concentration": 111.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5714, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "6a73218cbef83c0c0275f46036b6afd00caa9a586f0c003e548042b0a0bd0cfa", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5714, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b735a191817c9d36f93493fa1297b94c239000753a418f86ea2f3342eebea488" }, "receipt_sha256": "b735a191817c9d36f93493fa1297b94c239000753a418f86ea2f3342eebea488" }, { "row": 31, "col": 153, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.142, "b_trend": -0.1016, "ell_km": 34.0, "ell_trend": -16.22, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 750.82, "S_over_Gamma": 15.814, "days_to_criticality": 2100.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.7423, "grad_tau_local": 0.7107, "depth_trend": -11.07, "spatial_concentration": 73.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5712, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "d403e554a78bee379a97af6eac3bc090fb427900da50e51d7a1822dc0c93b62c", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5712, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "964f8c88573c47adbe0617514ae8370b92891a3e65b89a1a29888c6facde8eb3" }, "receipt_sha256": "964f8c88573c47adbe0617514ae8370b92891a3e65b89a1a29888c6facde8eb3" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.172, "b_trend": 0.3467, "ell_km": 38.6, "ell_trend": 1.06, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 289.05, "S_over_Gamma": 14.954, "days_to_criticality": 251.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4678, "grad_tau_local": 0.5936, "depth_trend": 5.7, "spatial_concentration": 61.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.56, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "9ca3938724affb3b6dd05fa3d857c65a0fedc61d8b206ba387cb868c0a1ef981", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.56, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fd3ab01cd1610c6964348ef04dde618bf4d94b65f6d1be3eebb6017596a839de" }, "receipt_sha256": "fd3ab01cd1610c6964348ef04dde618bf4d94b65f6d1be3eebb6017596a839de" }, { "row": 30, "col": 152, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.165, "b_trend": -0.1248, "ell_km": 34.8, "ell_trend": -6.6, "rate_acceleration": 0.78, "delta_aic_iet": 501.32, "S_over_Gamma": 15.066, "days_to_criticality": 2095.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.2365, "grad_tau_local": 1.3594, "depth_trend": -20.71, "spatial_concentration": 90.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5591, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "a7961c14f06f5ca8ca7bf539f12bb3a0e61dfa2c58114bb93ea626597821877a", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5591, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a010aeb56a979af160385e1cdab00305642d75961b4b759e1bf56a8d9e89ae99" }, "receipt_sha256": "a010aeb56a979af160385e1cdab00305642d75961b4b759e1bf56a8d9e89ae99" }, { "row": 62, "col": 8, "lat": 65.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.3, "ell_trend": -1.04, "rate_acceleration": 4.2, "delta_aic_iet": 63.56, "S_over_Gamma": 10.792, "days_to_criticality": 18.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3285, "grad_tau_local": 0.8862, "depth_trend": -3.28, "spatial_concentration": 76.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5574, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "5743d6bf3326e45e8f773c78273b1cad18af597feda7d55b6a3c75e2742e6f3a", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5574, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aafce7c4ee327a7468addbd869154282d58daaffb618d6265d2b91cf6782a7b2" }, "receipt_sha256": "aafce7c4ee327a7468addbd869154282d58daaffb618d6265d2b91cf6782a7b2" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.988, "b_trend": 0.1095, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.66, "delta_aic_iet": 412.19, "S_over_Gamma": 13.229, "days_to_criticality": 25.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2972, "grad_tau_local": 0.9539, "depth_trend": -0.12, "spatial_concentration": 79.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5537, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "7d1a5be866260465f12b00e2418eb96b65745022dd4b887c6adc1703d4df5905", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5537, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c77a12862de3502483d78f4529ff5142427c9338a54b1fd1d05ba1cf8dbd8e1d" }, "receipt_sha256": "c77a12862de3502483d78f4529ff5142427c9338a54b1fd1d05ba1cf8dbd8e1d" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.877, "b_trend": 0.2305, "ell_km": 25.1, "ell_trend": 1.17, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 273.27, "S_over_Gamma": 13.415, "days_to_criticality": 17.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7964, "grad_tau_local": 1.2558, "depth_trend": -1.44, "spatial_concentration": 49.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5496, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "e2d34a4962e96b7e3b1cba537f59c97c62bcdb0c7bc8a1967881d21d55f7a09c", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5496, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bf106b507e02779ada7d347d7b45b994c2f8a1f1cfbe3af42002a5f023604480" }, "receipt_sha256": "bf106b507e02779ada7d347d7b45b994c2f8a1f1cfbe3af42002a5f023604480" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.62, "b_trend": 0.1145, "ell_km": 13.0, "ell_trend": -9.58, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 823.59, "S_over_Gamma": 13.77, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.7409, "grad_tau_local": 1.4965, "depth_trend": -7.98, "spatial_concentration": 65.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5483, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "7b8a5485a5096876834926f0784557707f5322a4d16a6b1c5b6a4a1f15bb488b", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5483, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f7adcf6af24450e14e713478f0ae9f9fdb1fbbd9b2fae2d2ede86732895ba1d0" }, "receipt_sha256": "f7adcf6af24450e14e713478f0ae9f9fdb1fbbd9b2fae2d2ede86732895ba1d0" }, { "row": 25, "col": 153, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 34.8, "ell_trend": -1.5, "rate_acceleration": 1.15, "delta_aic_iet": 101.69, "S_over_Gamma": 10.656, "days_to_criticality": 13.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9068, "grad_tau_local": 1.5884, "depth_trend": -22.01, "spatial_concentration": 80.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5456, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "ec22ab07a858a421173928cabcf8960ba52a5d783e17d445626c65ca5a042db9", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5456, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3a70073b3b6e20acdb3b5d99bad677d3b7be51e91b27f15ceb8f03bc9a781867" }, "receipt_sha256": "3a70073b3b6e20acdb3b5d99bad677d3b7be51e91b27f15ceb8f03bc9a781867" }, { "row": 48, "col": 37, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 4.2, "ell_trend": -0.22, "rate_acceleration": 2.12, "delta_aic_iet": 32.95, "S_over_Gamma": 11.274, "days_to_criticality": 24.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2611, "grad_tau_local": 0.5472, "depth_trend": 0.84, "spatial_concentration": 77.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5444, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "1516e52130fef2e9d1f34003be5133132dd75e8a10ea56d83ae82b8a96e91fec", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5444, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dfe5568f291aa884108cad8293b6e477795023174b2d9f8733f9ebb80e3b5c11" }, "receipt_sha256": "dfe5568f291aa884108cad8293b6e477795023174b2d9f8733f9ebb80e3b5c11" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.099, "b_trend": 0.1005, "ell_km": 65.6, "ell_trend": -2.56, "rate_acceleration": 1.1, "delta_aic_iet": 238.29, "S_over_Gamma": 15.522, "days_to_criticality": 2098.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6326, "grad_tau_local": 0.4418, "depth_trend": -8.6, "spatial_concentration": 83.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5418, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "4a78b57f51dc921d9773a4d4b980a3d213b642a8f94f54a79a8ad2ed0ec052bf", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5418, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "61b5d55cc57ade2fd8ad6d0597fb95e1e7d48868e2bd3b324a6d954a7828d7a8" }, "receipt_sha256": "61b5d55cc57ade2fd8ad6d0597fb95e1e7d48868e2bd3b324a6d954a7828d7a8" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.719, "b_trend": 0.0129, "ell_km": 30.5, "ell_trend": -3.12, "rate_acceleration": 2.14, "delta_aic_iet": 597.75, "S_over_Gamma": 13.108, "days_to_criticality": 2098.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.33, "grad_tau_local": 0.5409, "depth_trend": -9.22, "spatial_concentration": 83.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5323, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "a5202db61831ebeb00bef6306d47dd8a3525147fa9af53bd3df2073f37aff838", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5323, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "603c860e353eeff452a714be401206119760b0ddc264b65ad80169edc3ee72a1" }, "receipt_sha256": "603c860e353eeff452a714be401206119760b0ddc264b65ad80169edc3ee72a1" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.646, "b_trend": 0.0513, "ell_km": 75.1, "ell_trend": -0.72, "rate_acceleration": 1.72, "delta_aic_iet": 667.88, "S_over_Gamma": 13.495, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8193, "grad_tau_local": 0.7872, "depth_trend": -10.15, "spatial_concentration": 77.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5319, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "aeb1851cde445d96bfc140cc56e40b85d2eef2f808e7f5e88376dd388e21d3e7", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5319, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8c75bca12f627f91ed65d8e7fd5318faa805092bcd03480c02b742781a4aab74" }, "receipt_sha256": "8c75bca12f627f91ed65d8e7fd5318faa805092bcd03480c02b742781a4aab74" }, { "row": 26, "col": 164, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 149.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.218, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 59.8, "ell_trend": -14.46, "rate_acceleration": 1.36, "delta_aic_iet": 127.14, "S_over_Gamma": 15.046, "days_to_criticality": 2094.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6469, "grad_tau_local": 0.6759, "depth_trend": 20.46, "spatial_concentration": 81.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5237, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "e51b4df3407a71c1e792a5cc03af2abe48f7a41bf48ddafb8f367060be9ad866", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5237, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "19f5fbb8ae43661e3343c3ffb5dc9395614c5eac3338016816c9c30601d1e8b0" }, "receipt_sha256": "19f5fbb8ae43661e3343c3ffb5dc9395614c5eac3338016816c9c30601d1e8b0" }, { "row": 36, "col": 44, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -91.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.911, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 58.6, "ell_trend": 11.5, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 151.96, "S_over_Gamma": 14.913, "days_to_criticality": 48.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.6218, "grad_tau_local": 0.4706, "depth_trend": 12.92, "spatial_concentration": 80.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.511, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "467118e698758503af797af0608aefb438996dba51bcf7a1fa17e537cb32316d", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.511, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "011efbec6f6e5731e471186a1fc220604200767a5c52b34d4d9fbdb87aa6e648" }, "receipt_sha256": "011efbec6f6e5731e471186a1fc220604200767a5c52b34d4d9fbdb87aa6e648" }, { "row": 32, "col": 153, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.151, "b_trend": 0.0907, "ell_km": 52.2, "ell_trend": 2.54, "rate_acceleration": 2.69, "delta_aic_iet": 441.15, "S_over_Gamma": 15.272, "days_to_criticality": 21.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.5216, "grad_tau_local": 1.3391, "depth_trend": -1.04, "spatial_concentration": 72.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5081, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "b6a22e83f25cf2b8603169fffe1b2717961994088fe7ad37776f87e249a637da", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5081, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cf38f28feb9b51a4141500fe5bbf2b6203fced7e91afacc4beb6f3af64dbc069" }, "receipt_sha256": "cf38f28feb9b51a4141500fe5bbf2b6203fced7e91afacc4beb6f3af64dbc069" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.624, "b_trend": 0.1422, "ell_km": 12.4, "ell_trend": -11.73, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 776.51, "S_over_Gamma": 13.457, "days_to_criticality": 2098.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9089, "grad_tau_local": 1.4548, "depth_trend": -5.3, "spatial_concentration": 89.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5043, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "3a8a7375f0eea05a8510d98f34478329cd5ad37c38618e1f479913e76e3f5428", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5043, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a3252aea9081556b44de11b736700a8ad32f417dbbb73510c456ad72dbdad8be" }, "receipt_sha256": "a3252aea9081556b44de11b736700a8ad32f417dbbb73510c456ad72dbdad8be" }, { "row": 50, "col": 35, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 2.7, "ell_trend": -0.16, "rate_acceleration": 0.8, "delta_aic_iet": 54.64, "S_over_Gamma": 13.173, "days_to_criticality": 2097.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5643, "grad_tau_local": 0.421, "depth_trend": -3.32, "spatial_concentration": 82.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5008, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "019c290da4f7c649b81c24e9136f42498a27f60172f4ad06ddffd54b9594c903", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5008, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "83fa7e1a404668004197d63b3e3cad7c17885e0cbb07a6d1a05640e09b60cba9" }, "receipt_sha256": "83fa7e1a404668004197d63b3e3cad7c17885e0cbb07a6d1a05640e09b60cba9" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.624, "b_trend": 0.1224, "ell_km": 13.4, "ell_trend": -7.38, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 910.26, "S_over_Gamma": 13.534, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0473, "grad_tau_local": 0.851, "depth_trend": -6.71, "spatial_concentration": 69.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4952, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "eb39e2e75a0e4772ee2dab0ffda23f60aff0cb2921a7e1006050dfc145c6a0b2", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4952, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "762b5f1ebf2d6c8a756a4551e62cd3c86b84b4b7b39064a6ce9bdb02cf63ee75" }, "receipt_sha256": "762b5f1ebf2d6c8a756a4551e62cd3c86b84b4b7b39064a6ce9bdb02cf63ee75" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.891, "b_trend": -0.1034, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.35, "rate_acceleration": 1.57, "delta_aic_iet": 455.72, "S_over_Gamma": 13.565, "days_to_criticality": 23.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1166, "grad_tau_local": 0.5169, "depth_trend": 0.21, "spatial_concentration": 78.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4757, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "4e0d95142e92043fb514341ed73933ed9201b9426c71fbef1642473223becb58", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4757, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fe38c822373096442c78caa54b30456c56603b96def6961a4b731ba876178db1" }, "receipt_sha256": "fe38c822373096442c78caa54b30456c56603b96def6961a4b731ba876178db1" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.32, "b_trend": 0.0706, "ell_km": 104.0, "ell_trend": -11.3, "rate_acceleration": 1.32, "delta_aic_iet": 184.41, "S_over_Gamma": 15.122, "days_to_criticality": 2094.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0176, "grad_tau_local": 0.6794, "depth_trend": 17.65, "spatial_concentration": 60.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4713, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "e6230a79be12c1e89b54b29905c2f022b5372b867b7284eac66722a298e8e71a", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4713, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "07979cd432321cdb7a52f3c14b24ca517dbb987fd89c37107a40a9a9f03d102a" }, "receipt_sha256": "07979cd432321cdb7a52f3c14b24ca517dbb987fd89c37107a40a9a9f03d102a" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.104, "b_trend": -0.2012, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": -0.08, "rate_acceleration": 0.78, "delta_aic_iet": 373.15, "S_over_Gamma": 13.29, "days_to_criticality": 21.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5411, "grad_tau_local": 0.7637, "depth_trend": 0.06, "spatial_concentration": 39.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4713, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "e6230a79be12c1e89b54b29905c2f022b5372b867b7284eac66722a298e8e71a", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4713, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "07979cd432321cdb7a52f3c14b24ca517dbb987fd89c37107a40a9a9f03d102a" }, "receipt_sha256": "07979cd432321cdb7a52f3c14b24ca517dbb987fd89c37107a40a9a9f03d102a" }, { "row": 56, "col": 2, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.646, "b_trend": 0.0598, "ell_km": 68.5, "ell_trend": 0.26, "rate_acceleration": 1.68, "delta_aic_iet": 593.09, "S_over_Gamma": 13.49, "days_to_criticality": -0.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6607, "grad_tau_local": 1.9857, "depth_trend": -11.09, "spatial_concentration": 72.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4671, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "76c4333c58d9f483d719c37cc8c0a52bf5387c97b83c6e2481f7bac73e4e186e", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4671, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "74b78af09190885224b085b91e30017fa9b389e659b5ccb51222539d5d5f7a1f" }, "receipt_sha256": "74b78af09190885224b085b91e30017fa9b389e659b5ccb51222539d5d5f7a1f" }, { "row": 38, "col": 60, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -59.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.3, "ell_trend": -0.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.5, "delta_aic_iet": -2.21, "S_over_Gamma": 11.132, "days_to_criticality": 1129.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.8895, "grad_tau_local": 0.8905, "depth_trend": 1.85, "spatial_concentration": 58.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4646, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "f241c4352e7c71dc85bf8f37b621c4d969b3ca493142d57720b79767b59a5834", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4646, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4cfaaefd7275240929603f276059bd5ef4c7bef8db92ae53b0bfdb64402273b9" }, "receipt_sha256": "4cfaaefd7275240929603f276059bd5ef4c7bef8db92ae53b0bfdb64402273b9" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.896, "b_trend": 0.0194, "ell_km": 106.6, "ell_trend": -2.63, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 447.41, "S_over_Gamma": 12.318, "days_to_criticality": 2098.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9785, "grad_tau_local": 0.5331, "depth_trend": -0.03, "spatial_concentration": 78.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4557, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "ddf14eec9f666216a712ec3502b6ea6657f76c4d987a57afaff4ff2e4144d6b9", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4557, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5c9b9ae1b6440086589b62727cd7c6baa25493a2298b46c5e9dec5e298e52b92" }, "receipt_sha256": "5c9b9ae1b6440086589b62727cd7c6baa25493a2298b46c5e9dec5e298e52b92" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 45, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.482, "b_trend": 0.1473, "ell_km": 13.4, "ell_trend": -11.12, "rate_acceleration": 1.96, "delta_aic_iet": 458.42, "S_over_Gamma": 14.152, "days_to_criticality": 2097.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.0083, "grad_tau_local": 1.4491, "depth_trend": -12.67, "spatial_concentration": 126.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4546, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "f451fe6866b598f4fa26265760c98dc2d31bd4aa875c27c00a9013b4bac36e57", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4546, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a7fbe7e2749d7f32871f75e2f8e624324e3666b91c79560faacc5e4339f85bac" }, "receipt_sha256": "a7fbe7e2749d7f32871f75e2f8e624324e3666b91c79560faacc5e4339f85bac" }, { "row": 47, "col": 36, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -107.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 4.8, "ell_trend": -0.47, "rate_acceleration": 4.27, "delta_aic_iet": 73.29, "S_over_Gamma": 5.446, "days_to_criticality": 15.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5742, "grad_tau_local": 0.0817, "depth_trend": 3.43, "spatial_concentration": 51.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4491, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "43fd2b6226b65c6c628d64edc172aa785fc88058904417c107a86ad287924a79", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4491, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "10aef5f99d72595508bcfdfff80b330ee0b1c37e6987fec3e488ecfcf423bca2" }, "receipt_sha256": "10aef5f99d72595508bcfdfff80b330ee0b1c37e6987fec3e488ecfcf423bca2" }, { "row": 46, "col": 32, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -115.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.837, "b_trend": -0.0656, "ell_km": 2.5, "ell_trend": -0.39, "rate_acceleration": 1.28, "delta_aic_iet": 355.89, "S_over_Gamma": 12.712, "days_to_criticality": 17.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0958, "grad_tau_local": 0.9734, "depth_trend": -0.14, "spatial_concentration": 60.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4441, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "444d0c720e7ebe3d2498ae093e58bdac0c9cff5dfe3e5bc81e81689a471c4118", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4441, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e3e5593ce0fb1b500e797f8493be4dbcabe40d5251c13bf19d4d2f4c8ee4bc79" }, "receipt_sha256": "e3e5593ce0fb1b500e797f8493be4dbcabe40d5251c13bf19d4d2f4c8ee4bc79" }, { "row": 26, "col": 155, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 131.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.292, "b_trend": 0.0923, "ell_km": 89.9, "ell_trend": 1.34, "rate_acceleration": 0.7, "delta_aic_iet": 191.53, "S_over_Gamma": 15.476, "days_to_criticality": 85.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2746, "grad_tau_local": 1.5092, "depth_trend": 8.25, "spatial_concentration": 66.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4383, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "41071c4cd294f062991cd2a8d432f90cb0be1518892fbacd1e7f359a198c8f20", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4383, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "90643dbe0bd4d95c047319c7ea578969048150d24ae5600ef3f38d1c442049b3" }, "receipt_sha256": "90643dbe0bd4d95c047319c7ea578969048150d24ae5600ef3f38d1c442049b3" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.814, "b_trend": 0.1111, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": 0.61, "rate_acceleration": 0.36, "delta_aic_iet": 1053.83, "S_over_Gamma": 13.645, "days_to_criticality": 67.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9641, "grad_tau_local": 1.5904, "depth_trend": 0.5, "spatial_concentration": 89.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4288, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "4b2ebf7b001d8fffafbdd3c78852c3f39a6093936bc6eff3a005b92978b99d34", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4288, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3ce455d4d11f309d25c4a7c40a05667498febec954228e92b9c6dadc1ad47750" }, "receipt_sha256": "3ce455d4d11f309d25c4a7c40a05667498febec954228e92b9c6dadc1ad47750" }, { "row": 33, "col": 153, "lat": 7.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.102, "b_trend": 0.0914, "ell_km": 48.6, "ell_trend": 1.78, "rate_acceleration": 2.62, "delta_aic_iet": 375.41, "S_over_Gamma": 15.673, "days_to_criticality": 98.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.0921, "grad_tau_local": 1.5103, "depth_trend": 3.68, "spatial_concentration": 57.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4267, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "c6f2c30200dc990505d30dc30dae3cf70a194dd3541b28bdc15217fc9e04deba", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4267, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4d390ab062086fc5601eb61679fcf3eceec5258cc2b19ba66a098fefe774892e" }, "receipt_sha256": "4d390ab062086fc5601eb61679fcf3eceec5258cc2b19ba66a098fefe774892e" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.636, "b_trend": 0.1435, "ell_km": 11.9, "ell_trend": -11.91, "rate_acceleration": 1.53, "delta_aic_iet": 824.36, "S_over_Gamma": 13.352, "days_to_criticality": 2098.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4108, "grad_tau_local": 0.6715, "depth_trend": -2.75, "spatial_concentration": 77.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4231, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "ae1f7acb8d2136d4cfc201f99c5ee668f6f0ed39fa7c83870e024ed8fa4b4e5f", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4231, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2205d7b0dbd413420c790b95eecb53bc0c003f9ef505cf7054c934ec8c99c016" }, "receipt_sha256": "2205d7b0dbd413420c790b95eecb53bc0c003f9ef505cf7054c934ec8c99c016" }, { "row": 45, "col": 161, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 70.4, "ell_trend": 11.51, "rate_acceleration": 1.98, "delta_aic_iet": 94.96, "S_over_Gamma": 15.689, "days_to_criticality": 28.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2704, "grad_tau_local": 0.7481, "depth_trend": -5.54, "spatial_concentration": 68.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4057, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "1071dc03c37f6289c6dd2e191976ad66ad025099827ecb19802b0d78adb964d9", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4057, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e13f19fa930b60cf8485f43413f2cac78caf39dc19b3736f9d011542218c6df1" }, "receipt_sha256": "e13f19fa930b60cf8485f43413f2cac78caf39dc19b3736f9d011542218c6df1" }, { "row": 54, "col": 167, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 155.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.154, "b_trend": -0.0055, "ell_km": 86.4, "ell_trend": -4.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.28, "delta_aic_iet": 443.29, "S_over_Gamma": 15.224, "days_to_criticality": 1793.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4068, "grad_tau_local": 1.6169, "depth_trend": 20.52, "spatial_concentration": 73.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3928, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "747e544019665f046ab5d994c9698ca2cfcd01302de21109ee9806ff4339ed8c", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3928, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d022b5512e54e3ac3e8c85ed0979c49d035b9cdae44aaef9d09d3a181f386a8f" }, "receipt_sha256": "d022b5512e54e3ac3e8c85ed0979c49d035b9cdae44aaef9d09d3a181f386a8f" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.782, "b_trend": 0.0181, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": -0.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.72, "delta_aic_iet": 1210.49, "S_over_Gamma": 13.094, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0788, "grad_tau_local": 1.2427, "depth_trend": 1.63, "spatial_concentration": 78.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3926, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "71018ca4abee5eb66b9a2441551376142fd6d60b3329c85b54cec8aa6541fb8c", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3926, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2720a3af379794827f841b75cca442900fcf75aa3cf052c0bfff5d0f73f32f8c" }, "receipt_sha256": "2720a3af379794827f841b75cca442900fcf75aa3cf052c0bfff5d0f73f32f8c" }, { "row": 50, "col": 160, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.888, "b_trend": 0.0754, "ell_km": 34.0, "ell_trend": 2.57, "rate_acceleration": 1.38, "delta_aic_iet": 376.9, "S_over_Gamma": 15.05, "days_to_criticality": 39.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0249, "grad_tau_local": 1.8059, "depth_trend": 5.33, "spatial_concentration": 55.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3516, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "ec5035637cd83c9ac14361d1032ce41550c82acc066699e4b0ef9ca82f4aaca2", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3516, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "af0a5cc329df2ee972a1eae32a02aca4acadb80002e911098d33b4ff4acd6dca" }, "receipt_sha256": "af0a5cc329df2ee972a1eae32a02aca4acadb80002e911098d33b4ff4acd6dca" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.786, "b_trend": 0.0293, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": -0.1, "rate_acceleration": 0.69, "delta_aic_iet": 1262.44, "S_over_Gamma": 12.964, "days_to_criticality": 2098.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3558, "grad_tau_local": 1.6048, "depth_trend": 3.53, "spatial_concentration": 74.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3478, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "cb3f72ace421aeb383b5e62efca4c33d6643fc16255f8c84793b2f1e233529aa", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3478, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5bc19aef0779f70ecdbc2ccc46d90f40711204bb091f72e0d6af479ef0ce85c6" }, "receipt_sha256": "5bc19aef0779f70ecdbc2ccc46d90f40711204bb091f72e0d6af479ef0ce85c6" }, { "row": 55, "col": 168, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.169, "b_trend": 0.0297, "ell_km": 65.6, "ell_trend": -5.61, "rate_acceleration": 0.12, "delta_aic_iet": -1005.37, "S_over_Gamma": 14.817, "days_to_criticality": 2093.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.9851, "grad_tau_local": 3.1567, "depth_trend": 8.46, "spatial_concentration": 76.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3233, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "770cf39dcdeee1c7876d1000a5d0dc709e70df7b3c71c1e211b5b25a3d14eca6", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3233, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "26d304c9bc91e763799253d1cb22f1ea0685acc240324c96886b158bf8216da9" }, "receipt_sha256": "26d304c9bc91e763799253d1cb22f1ea0685acc240324c96886b158bf8216da9" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.803, "b_trend": 0.0675, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": 0.69, "rate_acceleration": 0.43, "delta_aic_iet": 1164.55, "S_over_Gamma": 13.486, "days_to_criticality": 55.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.7258, "grad_tau_local": 1.1322, "depth_trend": 1.11, "spatial_concentration": 84.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3152, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "452686c8f501f64e893d4ed2339f2fe4fbd3f7e4750aba0aa774dcb7a3eeac6c", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3152, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "67eafd63c17db73a3e39f84ca68bdfec7d7a24f2006f95f403c9a119eeb20df6" }, "receipt_sha256": "67eafd63c17db73a3e39f84ca68bdfec7d7a24f2006f95f403c9a119eeb20df6" }, { "row": 18, "col": 179, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.48, "b_trend": -0.1977, "ell_km": 59.1, "ell_trend": -0.74, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 219.96, "S_over_Gamma": 15.256, "days_to_criticality": 17.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.4909, "depth_trend": 3.17, "spatial_concentration": 121.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2996, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "7ee0752646c73b3ff18305435c8597d642bf67039f3b73d54945a655dae308eb", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2996, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c5478f7b80c8a9c2826ee8daf81918aa23c689f11ded6ba338bdc324368eb9cd" }, "receipt_sha256": "c5478f7b80c8a9c2826ee8daf81918aa23c689f11ded6ba338bdc324368eb9cd" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 6.9, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.927, "b_trend": 0.0783, "ell_km": 34.5, "ell_trend": 2.47, "rate_acceleration": 1.32, "delta_aic_iet": 469.74, "S_over_Gamma": 15.495, "days_to_criticality": 46.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6386, "grad_tau_local": 1.0697, "depth_trend": 6.64, "spatial_concentration": 70.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2909, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "a4aabfb7c7c6f615caed3078a0951b4262224fa5f4a6b9a1b344902876695091", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2909, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8da8c44520bb262040fa9576a3087fa2e7814ca10fc9ababa5d6e573c3bb9538" }, "receipt_sha256": "8da8c44520bb262040fa9576a3087fa2e7814ca10fc9ababa5d6e573c3bb9538" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 6.6, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.13, "b_trend": 0.0595, "ell_km": 64.5, "ell_trend": -5.48, "rate_acceleration": 0.1, "delta_aic_iet": -1542.98, "S_over_Gamma": 15.555, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.2982, "grad_tau_local": 2.1389, "depth_trend": 7.65, "spatial_concentration": 47.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2737, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "8728cdbce50428cbf7161ede36ed732a34a246f4f4ceb0cc9399347625e4b912", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2737, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9c1afeb39f877a19e6d716b0279b3b24bc0fad26e4cc1aaf3930e7f02b9212af" }, "receipt_sha256": "9c1afeb39f877a19e6d716b0279b3b24bc0fad26e4cc1aaf3930e7f02b9212af" }, { "row": 49, "col": 161, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.002, "b_trend": 0.0646, "ell_km": 34.4, "ell_trend": 2.72, "rate_acceleration": 1.29, "delta_aic_iet": 579.95, "S_over_Gamma": 15.117, "days_to_criticality": 35.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0544, "grad_tau_local": 0.6673, "depth_trend": 8.45, "spatial_concentration": 78.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2698, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "1906535ed0ebb46888f8f7a82400f660d9c01835e2a90d3589dcef25683d1f53", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2698, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "20c48cf85e34ea9b690bdbf5af7810c3b11a30490cf8e2f5b6b909a585bb592f" }, "receipt_sha256": "20c48cf85e34ea9b690bdbf5af7810c3b11a30490cf8e2f5b6b909a585bb592f" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0341, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.798, "b_trend": 0.0508, "ell_km": 18.3, "ell_trend": -0.41, "rate_acceleration": 0.64, "delta_aic_iet": 1169.17, "S_over_Gamma": 13.078, "days_to_criticality": 19.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.167, "grad_tau_local": 0.7129, "depth_trend": 2.58, "spatial_concentration": 80.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.267, "confidence_lo": 0.034, "confidence_hi": 0.0341, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "454a23e45c4de97d2c31b77f7bc2516f6aa415dad2c0f22db1419e0bbfbfafed", "input_sha256": "7ac2e3a801dfabef6ce47e26d91fb7197d7e3ae01dcf65203594d95c153764bc", "issued_at": "2026-07-14T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.267, "probability": 0.034057, "confidence_lo": 0.034018, "confidence_hi": 0.034059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "974be6710464679d8532e7b99b5b218776802546f7c6a5bfa30ddf2e6cb4c456" }, "receipt_sha256": "974be6710464679d8532e7b99b5b218776802546f7c6a5bfa30ddf2e6cb4c456" } ] }