{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260708_0100", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-06-03T01:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "n_events": 32321, "n_recent_events": 1968 }, "n_active_cells": 87, "top_probability": 0.5077, "active_cells": [ { "row": 59, "col": 74, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -31.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.5077, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.5, "ell_trend": -2.09, "rate_acceleration": 1.5, "delta_aic_iet": -19.61, "S_over_Gamma": 13.061, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.3565, "grad_tau_local": 0.0806, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 101.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8195, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "42537b941a6d62cca9bf9fff6cc159ee41a573545d996308b3f710bb29b3ca51", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8195, "probability": 0.507736, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a1a699387a876d2fe9ea810dc7531d87a1dad6000a8ab15059e2b8ef9e034cff" }, "receipt_sha256": "a1a699387a876d2fe9ea810dc7531d87a1dad6000a8ab15059e2b8ef9e034cff" }, { "row": 38, "col": 149, "lat": 17.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 15.1, "ell_trend": -1.6, "rate_acceleration": 4.38, "delta_aic_iet": 87.86, "S_over_Gamma": 15.562, "days_to_criticality": 10.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.5412, "grad_tau_local": 0.7016, "depth_trend": -19.74, "spatial_concentration": 74.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.747, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "37543ea22f844621cf99b66a63692bacac8300356881e2e6c747d6e28161d175", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.747, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "03c1b618e00560709d12671bedba7d7041fb08d216629aeed40815626cbfac7c" }, "receipt_sha256": "03c1b618e00560709d12671bedba7d7041fb08d216629aeed40815626cbfac7c" }, { "row": 49, "col": 101, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 23.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.354, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 10.4, "ell_trend": -1.42, "rate_acceleration": 1.43, "delta_aic_iet": 69.01, "S_over_Gamma": 14.529, "days_to_criticality": 2093.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.4493, "grad_tau_local": 0.4019, "depth_trend": -4.55, "spatial_concentration": 71.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7388, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "34eddc55b7b4480fc26fcff125be3ef567e90f903dba9141462a670d178cd0fd", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7388, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e7b2872d593f83126d0a7358d459692e090f7cd4335d6444bbe428521673711a" }, "receipt_sha256": "e7b2872d593f83126d0a7358d459692e090f7cd4335d6444bbe428521673711a" }, { "row": 48, "col": 137, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 95.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.0, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 23.0, "delta_aic_iet": -57.32, "S_over_Gamma": 7.79, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.9057, "grad_tau_local": 0.0676, "depth_trend": -0.35, "spatial_concentration": 45.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7343, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "2ada371b2e89e40acce495d46a5f77bc42ab54f82f673cb9fe1939a5479abfe0", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7343, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1cae3f149e7bfcfb7f6b6cdc2aeff082c4e404c7a95f7751faeae45e6ed5ca71" }, "receipt_sha256": "1cae3f149e7bfcfb7f6b6cdc2aeff082c4e404c7a95f7751faeae45e6ed5ca71" }, { "row": 0, "col": 76, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.061, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 71.0, "ell_trend": -2.2, "rate_acceleration": 0.75, "delta_aic_iet": 148.47, "S_over_Gamma": 16.018, "days_to_criticality": 15.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.1094, "depth_trend": 3.01, "spatial_concentration": 76.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7264, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "729eeade4651a28365b650ffefc9d2a0d41970603dac47e84865ad2954d958a3", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7264, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0ec1154227e5de212c586070b904558257d24b8a5e9a47d94c330ac6d5a9e699" }, "receipt_sha256": "0ec1154227e5de212c586070b904558257d24b8a5e9a47d94c330ac6d5a9e699" }, { "row": 35, "col": 56, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 26.2, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 19.5, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 2.151, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.1432, "grad_tau_local": 0.6881, "depth_trend": -2.29, "spatial_concentration": 77.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7171, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "8a3ba0116557454070eafd2939a727d69a4a6a3ec52f6e6cc8e9e03a28914bd0", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7171, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c20b16a3e7962dffcc4b423d348657c94722422b0c37566c1c6e688956e401b6" }, "receipt_sha256": "c20b16a3e7962dffcc4b423d348657c94722422b0c37566c1c6e688956e401b6" }, { "row": 2, "col": 77, "lat": -55.0, "lon": -25.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.448, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 88.0, "ell_trend": 4.61, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 107.81, "S_over_Gamma": 10.276, "days_to_criticality": 112.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.9823, "grad_tau_local": 0.479, "depth_trend": 1.04, "spatial_concentration": 47.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.704, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "c0dfd90731bcc1a9bb6d26e51e946edd90a4f84f9be1ffa38cec08b0f571fc4c", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.704, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2d906549004b2ca0dc417c5d805ceea9b00a41640c273c570a88813f5415f4ae" }, "receipt_sha256": "2d906549004b2ca0dc417c5d805ceea9b00a41640c273c570a88813f5415f4ae" }, { "row": 25, "col": 149, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 113.3, "ell_trend": 5.98, "rate_acceleration": 1.42, "delta_aic_iet": 72.14, "S_over_Gamma": 15.942, "days_to_criticality": 149.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.6167, "grad_tau_local": 0.7175, "depth_trend": -23.0, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6735, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "522be321a461be4f58fe2820ccc67a072b4babf63762ecff91d734505d416598", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6735, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b66b7d0e11db8e16dc4974a5f69f88ed539c8775b857cbf71bef1d53f35a4635" }, "receipt_sha256": "b66b7d0e11db8e16dc4974a5f69f88ed539c8775b857cbf71bef1d53f35a4635" }, { "row": 16, "col": 54, "lat": -27.0, "lon": -71.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 20.9, "ell_trend": 0.33, "rate_acceleration": 1.35, "delta_aic_iet": 58.95, "S_over_Gamma": 15.142, "days_to_criticality": 44.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1055, "grad_tau_local": 0.536, "depth_trend": -5.69, "spatial_concentration": 74.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6701, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "08fbc335e3d3e4a5cce480413073661c1683d5fa73e25287b27bcac705bcd71d", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6701, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "92d1179520d08b62fee12a4e8d7f2361668916ad2a317c4da1ea03945ee6628f" }, "receipt_sha256": "92d1179520d08b62fee12a4e8d7f2361668916ad2a317c4da1ea03945ee6628f" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 253, "max_mag": 6.5, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.124, "b_trend": -0.1061, "ell_km": 36.6, "ell_trend": -12.01, "rate_acceleration": 3.23, "delta_aic_iet": 297.37, "S_over_Gamma": 15.682, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.867, "grad_tau_local": 0.9257, "depth_trend": -15.21, "spatial_concentration": 87.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6694, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "8e0f21d6e8428a1f568409059ddba79a59b60f5833d8226cd1a9dcb2d502ed6b", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6694, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4c43b73a2def2ee08afd3b163b807305f0bf9985854cd77a38cc3ef066961036" }, "receipt_sha256": "4c43b73a2def2ee08afd3b163b807305f0bf9985854cd77a38cc3ef066961036" }, { "row": 45, "col": 161, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 59.9, "ell_trend": 10.92, "rate_acceleration": 1.74, "delta_aic_iet": 99.94, "S_over_Gamma": 15.799, "days_to_criticality": 24.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2609, "grad_tau_local": 0.7605, "depth_trend": -2.24, "spatial_concentration": 69.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6615, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "b3a17c249c33d763a7b4a6c0c779bc75cf3ce9f505989391a7bb3b09b567e8bf", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6615, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6771b01ca8408dbe70c5bd120e4d60fa7b42ec739bbd96e0112b913c8dc1b1ba" }, "receipt_sha256": "6771b01ca8408dbe70c5bd120e4d60fa7b42ec739bbd96e0112b913c8dc1b1ba" }, { "row": 13, "col": 54, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -71.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.105, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 12.3, "ell_trend": 0.09, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 124.1, "S_over_Gamma": 15.285, "days_to_criticality": 19.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.37, "grad_tau_local": 0.761, "depth_trend": -13.38, "spatial_concentration": 64.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6587, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "bc4a1cf74bd3812d9ad1a227ceae0ed8c830580308c07a67f55ff7265346869c", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6587, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d4dc199ad7ca6552effbf0bc3336c6336e1f912fcb6bd4958adb50aaaab9ebac" }, "receipt_sha256": "d4dc199ad7ca6552effbf0bc3336c6336e1f912fcb6bd4958adb50aaaab9ebac" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 46, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.225, "b_trend": -0.0579, "ell_km": 37.6, "ell_trend": -2.48, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 1340.88, "S_over_Gamma": 13.673, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5286, "grad_tau_local": 1.3111, "depth_trend": -4.35, "spatial_concentration": 64.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6561, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "1342ac7ce5a174669305dc6ffe67622e3f4af14f0ef0dd486358e6a23e5839e5", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6561, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1ad2d87070cacfb0d1b2c728cf3110631fe84d03c87a7ac6cd205e21c0ce5c49" }, "receipt_sha256": "1ad2d87070cacfb0d1b2c728cf3110631fe84d03c87a7ac6cd205e21c0ce5c49" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.064, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.6, "ell_trend": 6.76, "rate_acceleration": 0.61, "delta_aic_iet": 238.01, "S_over_Gamma": 15.362, "days_to_criticality": 37.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.0232, "grad_tau_local": 0.2454, "depth_trend": 38.18, "spatial_concentration": 89.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6545, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "6bb57f9df7889aedd84b4f8eb53b546c1c9b3644861104b4527feea5305ff403", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6545, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2bb86ed5ce7c0bf840709c690199a3719c1be78d889e49933a202078fe644e02" }, "receipt_sha256": "2bb86ed5ce7c0bf840709c690199a3719c1be78d889e49933a202078fe644e02" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 65, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.218, "b_trend": -0.0031, "ell_km": 35.6, "ell_trend": 0.21, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 1218.63, "S_over_Gamma": 13.995, "days_to_criticality": -0.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6484, "grad_tau_local": 1.6179, "depth_trend": -1.09, "spatial_concentration": 47.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6487, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "d975bf356d4761411b090f4f2beb2a9d3dc1971aec0f735fd664ef45c70b1fb9", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6487, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "283299e408da960abd15759345faf2ffae6873ae66c390c2af9648b41708d41d" }, "receipt_sha256": "283299e408da960abd15759345faf2ffae6873ae66c390c2af9648b41708d41d" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.237, "b_trend": 0.012, "ell_km": 21.7, "ell_trend": -1.55, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 909.84, "S_over_Gamma": 13.193, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7912, "grad_tau_local": 2.1443, "depth_trend": -1.41, "spatial_concentration": 57.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6444, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "e6937ddd3c828f62bdac2e01fb7b17f8aec76f9e2d041516630b75d75abf5768", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6444, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0e62f9c8ded618882b7bd78a26d130c0c6e5f5ccfe6d6b87e7dace74ebc42acc" }, "receipt_sha256": "0e62f9c8ded618882b7bd78a26d130c0c6e5f5ccfe6d6b87e7dace74ebc42acc" }, { "row": 38, "col": 55, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.667, "b_trend": 0.0425, "ell_km": 16.9, "ell_trend": -1.17, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 543.0, "S_over_Gamma": 14.042, "days_to_criticality": 18.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4254, "grad_tau_local": 2.0718, "depth_trend": -0.68, "spatial_concentration": 37.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6406, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "978f7a98d36544e3f2fcb317c7e58fe3fd31fe740d18ac0fbe683675def0159c", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6406, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "718a315246d019ad6b932c00b77c2a5f55ca1a94d2dee8dfa7d1e57aa48770c6" }, "receipt_sha256": "718a315246d019ad6b932c00b77c2a5f55ca1a94d2dee8dfa7d1e57aa48770c6" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.908, "b_trend": -0.0357, "ell_km": 5.4, "ell_trend": 0.47, "rate_acceleration": 1.49, "delta_aic_iet": 213.64, "S_over_Gamma": 13.416, "days_to_criticality": 69.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3042, "grad_tau_local": 0.2089, "depth_trend": -2.47, "spatial_concentration": 33.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6378, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "0abde53a4270e9ff6d7df4ea6b5566962e2231d9d6e9c81022bc62ab44bc912c", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6378, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b4ebe9a08f5055d4f02422651eb402c7a0141b32b5778266328106d9885c5879" }, "receipt_sha256": "b4ebe9a08f5055d4f02422651eb402c7a0141b32b5778266328106d9885c5879" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.614, "b_trend": 0.0572, "ell_km": 76.0, "ell_trend": -0.97, "rate_acceleration": 1.52, "delta_aic_iet": 731.41, "S_over_Gamma": 13.521, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.7763, "depth_trend": -12.98, "spatial_concentration": 116.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.635, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "698ca3800f3ea4891e166561396ea38fb25212d4cab05f47e001393c17010db3", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.635, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "af432873b6ef9ba9252d4e9a017de325552dce3e7eb1ba1b35e2623d461bdb43" }, "receipt_sha256": "af432873b6ef9ba9252d4e9a017de325552dce3e7eb1ba1b35e2623d461bdb43" }, { "row": 35, "col": 55, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 7.5, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.2, "ell_trend": 4.73, "rate_acceleration": 2.18, "delta_aic_iet": 2.32, "S_over_Gamma": 0.208, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 1.7108, "grad_tau_local": 0.5487, "depth_trend": -1.53, "spatial_concentration": 66.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6209, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "96db8cf54cabb00eaa0204fac5b701209536d4e03f6dbd9e8261d5f926f487bc", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6209, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "41c7a22eefb20c9f187f2b7a5243b7f7eb92a54ae4b9c30f48cef8b7169467d8" }, "receipt_sha256": "41c7a22eefb20c9f187f2b7a5243b7f7eb92a54ae4b9c30f48cef8b7169467d8" }, { "row": 55, "col": 4, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.622, "b_trend": 0.1239, "ell_km": 12.0, "ell_trend": -10.54, "rate_acceleration": 1.15, "delta_aic_iet": 771.22, "S_over_Gamma": 13.592, "days_to_criticality": 2096.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1504, "grad_tau_local": 1.3247, "depth_trend": -4.25, "spatial_concentration": 72.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6199, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "8e53546b1c6f6adf9ead91017686dcc7f4c90c9bc1b688ec3dde8747cba371b8", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6199, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "38659345252b225fe5141aa71ce2a96973a4dc6ae20b14ea6b0287d35f6c88b7" }, "receipt_sha256": "38659345252b225fe5141aa71ce2a96973a4dc6ae20b14ea6b0287d35f6c88b7" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.225, "b_trend": -0.1082, "ell_km": 35.4, "ell_trend": -11.1, "rate_acceleration": 0.86, "delta_aic_iet": 578.11, "S_over_Gamma": 15.604, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.2121, "grad_tau_local": 0.7659, "depth_trend": -18.08, "spatial_concentration": 75.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6176, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "2372fbc027b4bcf900d88f6770f19a95598743959c526a0ea94fc04cfa4e6bdb", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6176, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1bc99ef60e51cdd44bc05b8a0a5039f10c203854e95bfd96741342f667bb8a3d" }, "receipt_sha256": "1bc99ef60e51cdd44bc05b8a0a5039f10c203854e95bfd96741342f667bb8a3d" }, { "row": 48, "col": 37, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.8, "ell_trend": -0.23, "rate_acceleration": 2.12, "delta_aic_iet": 32.95, "S_over_Gamma": 11.274, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2834, "grad_tau_local": 0.5471, "depth_trend": 0.84, "spatial_concentration": 77.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6162, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "d5b68c6bfcf408cf513698c250fdd735c230df89af1bad39721a29678884a395", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6162, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "47410faf961d463eb43991b7fde0adb2822d6f11e561ed4fc04a0bfd2821c774" }, "receipt_sha256": "47410faf961d463eb43991b7fde0adb2822d6f11e561ed4fc04a0bfd2821c774" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.879, "b_trend": 0.0769, "ell_km": 92.9, "ell_trend": -2.6, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 576.81, "S_over_Gamma": 12.504, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1625, "grad_tau_local": 1.9601, "depth_trend": 4.76, "spatial_concentration": 73.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6098, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "d22a3fcf49c525dc3a375f722bad425352e21daaf52e4c82e2f50400118216b9", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6098, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8645fcdae70bab1ee5d4d03c14a86e8043a5fb53048fa96ee3d172eea687a1d0" }, "receipt_sha256": "8645fcdae70bab1ee5d4d03c14a86e8043a5fb53048fa96ee3d172eea687a1d0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.095, "b_trend": 0.3295, "ell_km": 17.9, "ell_trend": -1.08, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 738.16, "S_over_Gamma": 14.288, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5521, "grad_tau_local": 2.2659, "depth_trend": -1.97, "spatial_concentration": 43.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.607, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "6c7abb047ec3fea119ba50af8d2c48cf7aabcdcdc73e0381670cddade0f80254", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.607, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f6551845281659d83cff329d81710831fc1a26eed979c3f50d6a6252235e5dbd" }, "receipt_sha256": "f6551845281659d83cff329d81710831fc1a26eed979c3f50d6a6252235e5dbd" }, { "row": 25, "col": 153, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 35.0, "ell_trend": -1.46, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 101.55, "S_over_Gamma": 10.779, "days_to_criticality": 20.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.8766, "grad_tau_local": 1.5849, "depth_trend": -16.39, "spatial_concentration": 81.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6057, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "6387c210d8e321f728e31cc28b74b14c0d9deae5958d653c8ec979e2d975f50e", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6057, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "abe3c188b0ff5f7ea09643fac4577ebabe06480eadf1595a2fa08e455f111000" }, "receipt_sha256": "abe3c188b0ff5f7ea09643fac4577ebabe06480eadf1595a2fa08e455f111000" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.873, "b_trend": 0.0685, "ell_km": 93.6, "ell_trend": -2.66, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 613.83, "S_over_Gamma": 13.212, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8596, "grad_tau_local": 1.6769, "depth_trend": 3.89, "spatial_concentration": 71.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6046, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "d0f93740847a6499e2a317d5a19f259c5e0945e8a34e8e2e718d7554ec9551bd", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6046, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9bf2c0913fbf673f72d821bed52c13c199da909611d8c0e7f103c18bb13ee95c" }, "receipt_sha256": "9bf2c0913fbf673f72d821bed52c13c199da909611d8c0e7f103c18bb13ee95c" }, { "row": 14, "col": 54, "lat": -31.0, "lon": -71.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.012, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.8, "ell_trend": -0.15, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 139.46, "S_over_Gamma": 14.424, "days_to_criticality": 19.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.9548, "grad_tau_local": 0.4902, "depth_trend": -10.92, "spatial_concentration": 70.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6045, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "ffec89904ba32af0567c13da191a8e3976070118e49b7c28bac971911aac9877", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6045, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "35a888ba9db7f41fa94c9820d7f04655dbb6c61ae9c496bc22e41444e3c44901" }, "receipt_sha256": "35a888ba9db7f41fa94c9820d7f04655dbb6c61ae9c496bc22e41444e3c44901" }, { "row": 2, "col": 76, "lat": -55.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.46, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 89.8, "ell_trend": 5.47, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 120.42, "S_over_Gamma": 15.858, "days_to_criticality": 88.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.3932, "grad_tau_local": 0.1872, "depth_trend": -3.64, "spatial_concentration": 58.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6021, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "2c1d48712be7c9f9aab3a5e56c6ea4f3d3e092bd54eb8c7d2255423c773fdade", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6021, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8b4d8149934d586c88d35e80a8bcceb1363d444f746775b035b5784dea609a80" }, "receipt_sha256": "8b4d8149934d586c88d35e80a8bcceb1363d444f746775b035b5784dea609a80" }, { "row": 18, "col": 175, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.307, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 90.8, "ell_trend": -6.39, "rate_acceleration": 0.69, "delta_aic_iet": 114.9, "S_over_Gamma": 15.91, "days_to_criticality": 11.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.5315, "grad_tau_local": 0.5816, "depth_trend": -2.34, "spatial_concentration": 68.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5995, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "dda4bf9a9170d0dcfcee55e7065875612e09d2b82846d45c788c0aa65bbd1ced", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5995, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8db640e5c38baad3d755a04bee6f62c69f6a7f7febaa684e1158c36e217a7b8d" }, "receipt_sha256": "8db640e5c38baad3d755a04bee6f62c69f6a7f7febaa684e1158c36e217a7b8d" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.859, "b_trend": -0.0022, "ell_km": 86.4, "ell_trend": 2.33, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 599.05, "S_over_Gamma": 13.06, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6664, "grad_tau_local": 0.1721, "depth_trend": 4.85, "spatial_concentration": 81.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5985, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "3ab0182555f86a1669c8ee905df1cd0311ff1e188cd010a7d1f3e6a5b488a64a", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5985, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "abae08e27d4fc61d0aaf53867965a56673cd7c9849465c7ac480c628010f4148" }, "receipt_sha256": "abae08e27d4fc61d0aaf53867965a56673cd7c9849465c7ac480c628010f4148" }, { "row": 21, "col": 0, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.702, "b_trend": 0.1094, "ell_km": 44.0, "ell_trend": -0.09, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 212.73, "S_over_Gamma": 15.231, "days_to_criticality": 1791.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.3274, "depth_trend": -0.06, "spatial_concentration": 80.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5982, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "9f05643bd530da4e45afa3c7535ab1d444aa8b48622d5d2af8622e401257958f", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5982, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5afb42383747d81a0849f23c037ecba040ca70639dd9d541dc9dcb1f3aca90fd" }, "receipt_sha256": "5afb42383747d81a0849f23c037ecba040ca70639dd9d541dc9dcb1f3aca90fd" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.324, "b_trend": 0.0516, "ell_km": 89.6, "ell_trend": 3.16, "rate_acceleration": 0.65, "delta_aic_iet": 218.92, "S_over_Gamma": 15.64, "days_to_criticality": 19.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0774, "grad_tau_local": 1.0644, "depth_trend": 12.48, "spatial_concentration": 71.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5957, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "38fa2f12fd6ee8891e229d99b7cde8b002d84a3eeac01dd76bcf3e6362fe5c2a", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5957, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "304f5b1137ef8d95ff3063fedfcac38ced8f3023bfa062528a9d849b16dd06e4" }, "receipt_sha256": "304f5b1137ef8d95ff3063fedfcac38ced8f3023bfa062528a9d849b16dd06e4" }, { "row": 29, "col": 150, "lat": -1.0, "lon": 121.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 6.7, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.814, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.1, "ell_trend": 10.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.33, "delta_aic_iet": 102.27, "S_over_Gamma": 15.291, "days_to_criticality": 70.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.031, "grad_tau_local": 1.2678, "depth_trend": -34.46, "spatial_concentration": 44.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5951, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "abace97eeb11acd496d46c5443f6ee15839df7df39a885227a3844106fb812c1", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5951, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "abfcd0467b980596f1bf93f0f090253f5a59a61c2d3af2a74d322f9f66cc78cb" }, "receipt_sha256": "abfcd0467b980596f1bf93f0f090253f5a59a61c2d3af2a74d322f9f66cc78cb" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.657, "b_trend": 0.1299, "ell_km": 12.1, "ell_trend": -2.92, "rate_acceleration": 1.59, "delta_aic_iet": 870.05, "S_over_Gamma": 12.985, "days_to_criticality": 2096.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9875, "grad_tau_local": 0.1152, "depth_trend": -1.11, "spatial_concentration": 69.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.595, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "c626505d5d5caf382c16ef50232444d3d00d7b4eef5ab5d2eac9ef933398712b", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.595, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ae9555ce96575899183ec499290804b7fefbb1a0202d08814bbdc385071566b9" }, "receipt_sha256": "ae9555ce96575899183ec499290804b7fefbb1a0202d08814bbdc385071566b9" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 36, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.645, "b_trend": 0.0558, "ell_km": 84.5, "ell_trend": -1.29, "rate_acceleration": 1.59, "delta_aic_iet": 762.07, "S_over_Gamma": 13.401, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7763, "grad_tau_local": 2.8835, "depth_trend": -11.16, "spatial_concentration": 153.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5931, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "bb0d3ca1589ace6311f39226d4f68ff0031d5dc7ad3177ee0524db5e606dd7d2", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5931, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "70ab923ed82e7e006cab6fc0b29bb431e38d4bf40f3383b706950e50152a1000" }, "receipt_sha256": "70ab923ed82e7e006cab6fc0b29bb431e38d4bf40f3383b706950e50152a1000" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.879, "b_trend": 0.2191, "ell_km": 24.0, "ell_trend": 0.98, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 266.26, "S_over_Gamma": 13.453, "days_to_criticality": 19.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7582, "grad_tau_local": 1.2501, "depth_trend": -1.22, "spatial_concentration": 49.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5928, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "033cd799211bcd9e4a4ef41d03b84ea0823a8c901fc0a976e20eb26b164099f4", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5928, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8217f97b2f299ed99cf8cdfaafa5635ee5f2e399e620f9256e82824098dafa1d" }, "receipt_sha256": "8217f97b2f299ed99cf8cdfaafa5635ee5f2e399e620f9256e82824098dafa1d" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.813, "b_trend": 0.0976, "ell_km": 105.5, "ell_trend": -0.1, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 582.28, "S_over_Gamma": 12.852, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8328, "grad_tau_local": 0.9181, "depth_trend": 4.16, "spatial_concentration": 77.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5925, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "8ffe1972d8d4d0c2ad18451c5c611a276ea79be6e108111c3124e40f24b0b3d0", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5925, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2efcfe38fcbf18a9ceef9834ec637fc738dc49ed73356f3a8a1836678ff9498c" }, "receipt_sha256": "2efcfe38fcbf18a9ceef9834ec637fc738dc49ed73356f3a8a1836678ff9498c" }, { "row": 36, "col": 45, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -89.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.906, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 25.3, "ell_trend": 13.6, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 177.56, "S_over_Gamma": 15.302, "days_to_criticality": 53.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.7227, "grad_tau_local": 0.2575, "depth_trend": 6.09, "spatial_concentration": 74.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5881, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "c1bfb3eb215e6d78688ad9aea4fbc382c31ba43721307a692ef8116baa2c9874", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5881, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c327b231caed9650a229f3ea82d05c7851800d64f1ae3bce7d9944293f371669" }, "receipt_sha256": "c327b231caed9650a229f3ea82d05c7851800d64f1ae3bce7d9944293f371669" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.453, "b_trend": 0.334, "ell_km": 13.7, "ell_trend": -9.82, "rate_acceleration": 1.77, "delta_aic_iet": 383.94, "S_over_Gamma": 14.418, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.8272, "grad_tau_local": 1.3828, "depth_trend": -19.82, "spatial_concentration": 112.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.581, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "f92276c9b3d4560be337df4a1a0edbf189cca435c956c58bb12841e830313631", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.581, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "658bc52e448cc725f7565ebc1459c59ae81b6da4d06c89b88a0f3c672ecd5228" }, "receipt_sha256": "658bc52e448cc725f7565ebc1459c59ae81b6da4d06c89b88a0f3c672ecd5228" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.857, "b_trend": -0.0236, "ell_km": 85.3, "ell_trend": -0.22, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 748.7, "S_over_Gamma": 13.227, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9262, "grad_tau_local": 1.545, "depth_trend": 4.35, "spatial_concentration": 69.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5742, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "88416c79744ef7672c19e1712c41c9a5b54662dbc3350cb6e17b0e7e173b547e", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5742, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ba1d311bbb40619e73ba284e5e6733ed960c41bdfd1c6692da16d276a98181e0" }, "receipt_sha256": "ba1d311bbb40619e73ba284e5e6733ed960c41bdfd1c6692da16d276a98181e0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.843, "b_trend": 0.0228, "ell_km": 89.5, "ell_trend": -0.59, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 787.82, "S_over_Gamma": 13.35, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5008, "grad_tau_local": 0.4959, "depth_trend": 2.12, "spatial_concentration": 68.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5737, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "4c7366a9920e8a7f1c0d3c2f40380245c9cdfad2176eed6e1970bae10ec3a223", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5737, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "62d296791ae63c734fbe22ca8d14c8e80ca1e5b57c0f95583a05ca5aee50ed80" }, "receipt_sha256": "62d296791ae63c734fbe22ca8d14c8e80ca1e5b57c0f95583a05ca5aee50ed80" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.172, "b_trend": 0.4097, "ell_km": 38.8, "ell_trend": 1.11, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 294.52, "S_over_Gamma": 15.178, "days_to_criticality": 14.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4985, "grad_tau_local": 0.5976, "depth_trend": 4.18, "spatial_concentration": 62.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5726, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "3fc1fc4dbe69dea70fd530d654f67e9f325eba404aecc192132ac2cda90f3d05", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5726, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6f1af63cebcc1537df56f107eada0980e0a93cf90ed2f97e2713fd33ae000f45" }, "receipt_sha256": "6f1af63cebcc1537df56f107eada0980e0a93cf90ed2f97e2713fd33ae000f45" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.1, "b_trend": 0.0249, "ell_km": 66.4, "ell_trend": -2.73, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 243.79, "S_over_Gamma": 15.103, "days_to_criticality": 2098.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.66, "grad_tau_local": 0.434, "depth_trend": -9.2, "spatial_concentration": 83.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5716, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "c5990b9eaf8cf82e0bcbd4bc8375c4723f7b4c7a53b11375407b39f4f94861f3", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5716, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "727455d8d81d33a5cca00ccabfd8b18837895024b80f6381f044658180410447" }, "receipt_sha256": "727455d8d81d33a5cca00ccabfd8b18837895024b80f6381f044658180410447" }, { "row": 59, "col": 12, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.88, "b_trend": -0.0483, "ell_km": 79.7, "ell_trend": 1.94, "rate_acceleration": 0.83, "delta_aic_iet": 574.51, "S_over_Gamma": 13.436, "days_to_criticality": 69.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7949, "grad_tau_local": 1.1249, "depth_trend": 5.02, "spatial_concentration": 72.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5713, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "fc5a462b798a3fed81672540aa865dbc705645ba76eda8c6c4d6798c2817e371", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5713, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7bbde8144581cc22912c6417708d05cfb52db1eb9448d21f974a9b5f23a5608d" }, "receipt_sha256": "7bbde8144581cc22912c6417708d05cfb52db1eb9448d21f974a9b5f23a5608d" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 29, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.505, "b_trend": -0.0374, "ell_km": 17.8, "ell_trend": -10.45, "rate_acceleration": 1.65, "delta_aic_iet": 675.16, "S_over_Gamma": 13.855, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.9139, "depth_trend": -17.38, "spatial_concentration": 80.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5617, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "35d9734fb9d2816ff998572c72a6bdb7179af65c993fa19ab5850a5fe7da0993", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5617, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f06961325fe004d63d9afe35793eb843e6ec946ecb31d91fc25be6a4ad0fe842" }, "receipt_sha256": "f06961325fe004d63d9afe35793eb843e6ec946ecb31d91fc25be6a4ad0fe842" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.619, "b_trend": 0.1111, "ell_km": 12.7, "ell_trend": -9.67, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 843.29, "S_over_Gamma": 13.942, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.7277, "grad_tau_local": 1.4925, "depth_trend": -11.44, "spatial_concentration": 65.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5617, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "35d9734fb9d2816ff998572c72a6bdb7179af65c993fa19ab5850a5fe7da0993", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5617, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f06961325fe004d63d9afe35793eb843e6ec946ecb31d91fc25be6a4ad0fe842" }, "receipt_sha256": "f06961325fe004d63d9afe35793eb843e6ec946ecb31d91fc25be6a4ad0fe842" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.846, "b_trend": 0.0291, "ell_km": 85.3, "ell_trend": -0.55, "rate_acceleration": 0.96, "delta_aic_iet": 786.44, "S_over_Gamma": 13.15, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7178, "grad_tau_local": 0.8544, "depth_trend": 1.17, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5594, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "f60ab565f1935ba6f6fa391f572cb6f21bb175d2dc303dbe3192489301efa92d", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5594, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "09d07db272d009eb06d182edc08e60de0a29fd56fb0a3efe6863c734c78cff99" }, "receipt_sha256": "09d07db272d009eb06d182edc08e60de0a29fd56fb0a3efe6863c734c78cff99" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.622, "b_trend": 0.1765, "ell_km": 10.3, "ell_trend": -0.55, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 351.4, "S_over_Gamma": 13.128, "days_to_criticality": 20.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4502, "grad_tau_local": 0.6162, "depth_trend": 0.09, "spatial_concentration": 80.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5527, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "68abf942ab80fa7bceb2d86f666dfb67371f314a0a9edd78922bab84d46946bf", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5527, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "26d20f6e2e9575c3e7318ad3aae13c6f1368b65846608bf7d2f183267554f329" }, "receipt_sha256": "26d20f6e2e9575c3e7318ad3aae13c6f1368b65846608bf7d2f183267554f329" }, { "row": 31, "col": 154, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.469, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 96.2, "ell_trend": -3.08, "rate_acceleration": 0.63, "delta_aic_iet": 230.62, "S_over_Gamma": 15.333, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0563, "grad_tau_local": 1.7997, "depth_trend": -10.65, "spatial_concentration": 46.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5508, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "d964c6c7a28d9a21e7538b8652eec518a6ae0073f4df35f71dddc187c3bed5e4", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5508, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "168410e49a469a56d660ea5f2130ca61dd6832fc67d71374125cdc22fe20850a" }, "receipt_sha256": "168410e49a469a56d660ea5f2130ca61dd6832fc67d71374125cdc22fe20850a" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.724, "b_trend": 0.0091, "ell_km": 28.6, "ell_trend": -1.29, "rate_acceleration": 2.31, "delta_aic_iet": 609.96, "S_over_Gamma": 12.827, "days_to_criticality": 16.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2482, "grad_tau_local": 0.5411, "depth_trend": -8.57, "spatial_concentration": 83.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5479, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "d286912bb4a08e4c3009f8a62e457624dcb191ccb4af822d2417f977c4213ca9", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5479, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a27c8bf8195b5d60544826f61585161876d132b32225a788cf74b0013c65f787" }, "receipt_sha256": "a27c8bf8195b5d60544826f61585161876d132b32225a788cf74b0013c65f787" }, { "row": 46, "col": 38, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -103.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.962, "b_trend": -0.1977, "ell_km": 3.6, "ell_trend": -0.09, "rate_acceleration": 0.76, "delta_aic_iet": 479.24, "S_over_Gamma": 13.284, "days_to_criticality": 22.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7553, "grad_tau_local": 0.5929, "depth_trend": -0.23, "spatial_concentration": 60.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5479, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "d286912bb4a08e4c3009f8a62e457624dcb191ccb4af822d2417f977c4213ca9", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5479, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a27c8bf8195b5d60544826f61585161876d132b32225a788cf74b0013c65f787" }, "receipt_sha256": "a27c8bf8195b5d60544826f61585161876d132b32225a788cf74b0013c65f787" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.625, "b_trend": 0.1186, "ell_km": 13.1, "ell_trend": -7.49, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 926.27, "S_over_Gamma": 13.769, "days_to_criticality": 22.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0145, "grad_tau_local": 0.8624, "depth_trend": -9.66, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5454, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "619c62e6128cbc582ca2416c3a0b321b7d10d44c0e6844d4d16d3b3221a8aceb", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5454, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7482aedb31aa4d7828b54b55ab64e2b510c187ffd5b86723bbd70b495f2f1a44" }, "receipt_sha256": "7482aedb31aa4d7828b54b55ab64e2b510c187ffd5b86723bbd70b495f2f1a44" }, { "row": 62, "col": 8, "lat": 65.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.3, "ell_trend": -1.04, "rate_acceleration": 3.92, "delta_aic_iet": 66.0, "S_over_Gamma": 10.792, "days_to_criticality": 1793.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3199, "grad_tau_local": 0.8835, "depth_trend": -3.85, "spatial_concentration": 75.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5418, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "4a78b57f51dc921d9773a4d4b980a3d213b642a8f94f54a79a8ad2ed0ec052bf", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5418, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ad4e0e0ffbc8f759c22e3ae28e7c8f25a0e56ea67f46b5cae71fbabbc8a2b2c5" }, "receipt_sha256": "ad4e0e0ffbc8f759c22e3ae28e7c8f25a0e56ea67f46b5cae71fbabbc8a2b2c5" }, { "row": 49, "col": 30, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.874, "b_trend": 0.0089, "ell_km": 2.5, "ell_trend": 0.38, "rate_acceleration": 2.28, "delta_aic_iet": 411.17, "S_over_Gamma": 12.958, "days_to_criticality": 8.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.5687, "grad_tau_local": 0.4337, "depth_trend": -0.63, "spatial_concentration": 84.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5395, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "41b785f5cb13136046bcd1d22d76a21a0955e43bb04889494c3eef6e6ae491e6", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5395, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "68cdeacec3d4631417738510b9ad8d9beac2b90fad6d6933c3aba44b047c82f0" }, "receipt_sha256": "68cdeacec3d4631417738510b9ad8d9beac2b90fad6d6933c3aba44b047c82f0" }, { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.452, "b_trend": -0.2688, "ell_km": 74.3, "ell_trend": 2.5, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 284.11, "S_over_Gamma": 15.466, "days_to_criticality": 250.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.6434, "grad_tau_local": 1.6338, "depth_trend": -5.2, "spatial_concentration": 91.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5385, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "fbe722a537fbe876534f8f65f0f556c86c482c84986525812dd6b37819e2f8d4", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5385, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6c38ff19b8bf37544528843552f4b3a783ed9001af50a16aa6274e3381b50d3a" }, "receipt_sha256": "6c38ff19b8bf37544528843552f4b3a783ed9001af50a16aa6274e3381b50d3a" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.956, "b_trend": 0.1186, "ell_km": 3.6, "ell_trend": -0.26, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 532.26, "S_over_Gamma": 13.557, "days_to_criticality": 23.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6071, "grad_tau_local": 0.8261, "depth_trend": -0.44, "spatial_concentration": 70.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5378, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "c08759568185f3f3a4283ec57215d4fc7fd34c32444a3d94930222dbc0491f1e", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5378, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c7b32dc859c42bb24394257ae2bef6f9a2db6d8a2f7eff505cdc45e2e92d7148" }, "receipt_sha256": "c7b32dc859c42bb24394257ae2bef6f9a2db6d8a2f7eff505cdc45e2e92d7148" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.648, "b_trend": 0.045, "ell_km": 76.3, "ell_trend": -1.03, "rate_acceleration": 1.61, "delta_aic_iet": 663.13, "S_over_Gamma": 13.276, "days_to_criticality": 21.6, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.7503, "grad_tau_local": 0.8036, "depth_trend": -9.93, "spatial_concentration": 77.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5316, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "8edea329a067f200718c6f91325864f7135e234425c382cca65d212056636f82", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5316, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fa1fb9882daaa077bff6df1949f15cb7aae15be98f4748d52fb9bc89a7b4e0d7" }, "receipt_sha256": "fa1fb9882daaa077bff6df1949f15cb7aae15be98f4748d52fb9bc89a7b4e0d7" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.517, "b_trend": -0.5165, "ell_km": 64.3, "ell_trend": 2.9, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 286.97, "S_over_Gamma": 15.709, "days_to_criticality": 171.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6434, "depth_trend": -12.74, "spatial_concentration": 96.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5141, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "a60d00f480a398d833c1f7bbc9cfe2cb898e3199ae0d893e4969aef82f340bc3", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5141, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4bf73df22eeeb82671fdd7f0e6e871025a0fe6d560bb08e3f98f1c832b024c08" }, "receipt_sha256": "4bf73df22eeeb82671fdd7f0e6e871025a0fe6d560bb08e3f98f1c832b024c08" }, { "row": 32, "col": 153, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.137, "b_trend": 0.1464, "ell_km": 53.1, "ell_trend": 5.12, "rate_acceleration": 2.43, "delta_aic_iet": 461.15, "S_over_Gamma": 15.14, "days_to_criticality": 96.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.3383, "grad_tau_local": 1.2719, "depth_trend": 2.52, "spatial_concentration": 72.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5112, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "d39bdfaba84a4d7e0525887e94f66291783006a40c0b5df5fd0e978ef83916d9", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5112, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4dfa91c1cbcba5451c41460691d02457896f773b4658724d8bf788a213695f3c" }, "receipt_sha256": "4dfa91c1cbcba5451c41460691d02457896f773b4658724d8bf788a213695f3c" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.982, "b_trend": 0.116, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.1, "rate_acceleration": 0.63, "delta_aic_iet": 415.89, "S_over_Gamma": 13.159, "days_to_criticality": 21.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2607, "grad_tau_local": 0.9272, "depth_trend": 0.04, "spatial_concentration": 79.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5046, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "e719e3ad54837d822bff8e758fb9130295852b22c870742825f8effa2e13f92c", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5046, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b6c3c90472ecd5c15a6c503ab23ac0a18089043c61882acf000285b18bcc82e5" }, "receipt_sha256": "b6c3c90472ecd5c15a6c503ab23ac0a18089043c61882acf000285b18bcc82e5" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.627, "b_trend": 0.1395, "ell_km": 12.2, "ell_trend": -11.87, "rate_acceleration": 1.26, "delta_aic_iet": 800.39, "S_over_Gamma": 13.536, "days_to_criticality": 2096.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8913, "grad_tau_local": 1.4485, "depth_trend": -8.2, "spatial_concentration": 89.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4867, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "769a0c3637df169927bac33de91ceef84d1f5067d0e423cd5cd8e751effe15e4", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4867, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8c52c1ed9af16c01f3835d4df4327ec024c4db5290f830c0369cb79f359ba79f" }, "receipt_sha256": "8c52c1ed9af16c01f3835d4df4327ec024c4db5290f830c0369cb79f359ba79f" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 45, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.474, "b_trend": 0.2378, "ell_km": 14.5, "ell_trend": -11.21, "rate_acceleration": 1.79, "delta_aic_iet": 472.41, "S_over_Gamma": 14.371, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9139, "grad_tau_local": 1.3856, "depth_trend": -16.97, "spatial_concentration": 126.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4853, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "a3f900df88d6ac250025e9d1ba8677504b81c12da24ad82094d478987093bd42", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4853, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6f87c95291d87c12eed4032e86b9326fc7963ec506dfe5d3a98476a8907f7aa4" }, "receipt_sha256": "6f87c95291d87c12eed4032e86b9326fc7963ec506dfe5d3a98476a8907f7aa4" }, { "row": 56, "col": 2, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.647, "b_trend": 0.0542, "ell_km": 70.2, "ell_trend": 0.19, "rate_acceleration": 1.58, "delta_aic_iet": 585.33, "S_over_Gamma": 13.736, "days_to_criticality": -0.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6369, "grad_tau_local": 1.9676, "depth_trend": -10.7, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4804, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "d140fd359bf19bb575079753a9e5c06673f3bbd37e9a5b24098f800e7686173e", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4804, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2c703fcb96c3f9f55bfc96dcbca3fddf18ca1492519bfaf24629a351f999b5f8" }, "receipt_sha256": "2c703fcb96c3f9f55bfc96dcbca3fddf18ca1492519bfaf24629a351f999b5f8" }, { "row": 39, "col": 58, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -63.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.118, "b_trend": -0.3336, "ell_km": 43.6, "ell_trend": -3.81, "rate_acceleration": 1.31, "delta_aic_iet": 587.55, "S_over_Gamma": 14.454, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5028, "grad_tau_local": 2.6011, "depth_trend": -5.03, "spatial_concentration": 46.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4731, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "7a1eff8312e54f1b4224088f908ae1bf65ae738dc07367ce1b4f09a2ca75d00e", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4731, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6c80900a7f12de59985413bbae303ab1df0cf56adfe142a53c44c2a95b0a50a3" }, "receipt_sha256": "6c80900a7f12de59985413bbae303ab1df0cf56adfe142a53c44c2a95b0a50a3" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.971, "b_trend": -0.2248, "ell_km": 3.6, "ell_trend": -0.1, "rate_acceleration": 0.83, "delta_aic_iet": 372.87, "S_over_Gamma": 13.355, "days_to_criticality": 22.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5472, "grad_tau_local": 0.773, "depth_trend": 0.01, "spatial_concentration": 38.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4727, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "b31bef6e4500eaac90dfbf7eedd8d7fee2b605d9cf25b624a2d7fccf228d903a", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4727, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fdb2a232f2d2d7fdadad7cf3abca783ab136bbb93b96beef305cd133bf17913e" }, "receipt_sha256": "fdb2a232f2d2d7fdadad7cf3abca783ab136bbb93b96beef305cd133bf17913e" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.497, "b_trend": 0.115, "ell_km": 26.6, "ell_trend": 6.09, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 195.24, "S_over_Gamma": 13.619, "days_to_criticality": 12.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1061, "grad_tau_local": 0.9371, "depth_trend": 0.52, "spatial_concentration": 83.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4624, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "54732935a442a5dc4ee5ae9e1734910b3ccb96fc4af3b95f6e388b11a4bf31a9", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4624, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1f5d2c7a5509870bf391f9422fae0ac9a9cea984e84572f79682e7e081af0123" }, "receipt_sha256": "1f5d2c7a5509870bf391f9422fae0ac9a9cea984e84572f79682e7e081af0123" }, { "row": 54, "col": 167, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 155.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.154, "b_trend": -0.0083, "ell_km": 86.3, "ell_trend": -4.47, "rate_acceleration": 0.27, "delta_aic_iet": 434.46, "S_over_Gamma": 15.23, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3919, "grad_tau_local": 1.6174, "depth_trend": 20.43, "spatial_concentration": 73.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4346, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "c5d1d36bea4cb33b831fec46b553c965b63c79d3db9456b876566902e793b513", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4346, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9ff76969287cf90e38a0d24fec1fefc3ee5c7394d1aafa0fe5b9b1cbc10b113a" }, "receipt_sha256": "9ff76969287cf90e38a0d24fec1fefc3ee5c7394d1aafa0fe5b9b1cbc10b113a" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.887, "b_trend": -0.0828, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.29, "rate_acceleration": 1.45, "delta_aic_iet": 455.49, "S_over_Gamma": 13.239, "days_to_criticality": 2098.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0867, "grad_tau_local": 0.4585, "depth_trend": -0.05, "spatial_concentration": 78.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4327, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "cc4a239b11b2e2c0e374b3d18944c2e58f42831e9da3f9d583a0c0e5d0666821", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4327, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b14513703f94a6f814b64d125c791f05375be9a9444054293bf7e9004230dca6" }, "receipt_sha256": "b14513703f94a6f814b64d125c791f05375be9a9444054293bf7e9004230dca6" }, { "row": 47, "col": 36, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -107.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 4.7, "ell_trend": -0.48, "rate_acceleration": 4.15, "delta_aic_iet": 71.65, "S_over_Gamma": 5.459, "days_to_criticality": 22.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5946, "grad_tau_local": 0.0818, "depth_trend": 3.3, "spatial_concentration": 51.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4301, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "c34c2822cc90ac7d58810089879daa639ff800156be5f58bad32c4f9535c71e5", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4301, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5ce1223b9ac1d93b614435668abef6ba64ac7bef1048b0508472951c0537728c" }, "receipt_sha256": "5ce1223b9ac1d93b614435668abef6ba64ac7bef1048b0508472951c0537728c" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.885, "b_trend": -0.0373, "ell_km": 107.9, "ell_trend": -0.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 445.87, "S_over_Gamma": 13.243, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.012, "grad_tau_local": 0.5342, "depth_trend": -0.7, "spatial_concentration": 79.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4275, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "f766fb07cd80fdecdec6ff7125573da22d1e43c24255ef46da7e1bc4a49440ef", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4275, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cb78cf95306bda5d6b2f8e09c44e138c626b2ce15c74ff0a553533a2d31cd8b4" }, "receipt_sha256": "cb78cf95306bda5d6b2f8e09c44e138c626b2ce15c74ff0a553533a2d31cd8b4" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.637, "b_trend": 0.1415, "ell_km": 11.7, "ell_trend": -11.29, "rate_acceleration": 1.65, "delta_aic_iet": 823.2, "S_over_Gamma": 13.485, "days_to_criticality": 2096.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3851, "grad_tau_local": 0.6486, "depth_trend": -3.66, "spatial_concentration": 77.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4238, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "fe4fc1c7314a91373da0265d16c3dc32458b32300a93ceee3c4696d16dfbbbf0", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4238, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "76aba1dfc46aad506ec19841109c0e61705e6bf88308646c4bf751cba3255b61" }, "receipt_sha256": "76aba1dfc46aad506ec19841109c0e61705e6bf88308646c4bf751cba3255b61" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.783, "b_trend": 0.0245, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": 0.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.77, "delta_aic_iet": 1249.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.212, "days_to_criticality": 15.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0458, "grad_tau_local": 1.2401, "depth_trend": 1.91, "spatial_concentration": 78.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4158, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "6938907ff3b49ca61e5ff95e7b4c7079b322eee5b2cf333f81a65178a3bb8214", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4158, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a6e49af2b98ccee4e667e0a67b0029a8e729577800e01b39fa7264fdb85565e8" }, "receipt_sha256": "a6e49af2b98ccee4e667e0a67b0029a8e729577800e01b39fa7264fdb85565e8" }, { "row": 55, "col": 168, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.169, "b_trend": 0.0307, "ell_km": 65.7, "ell_trend": -5.62, "rate_acceleration": 0.12, "delta_aic_iet": -1136.8, "S_over_Gamma": 14.817, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.9818, "grad_tau_local": 3.1552, "depth_trend": 8.44, "spatial_concentration": 76.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4011, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "aca61adfb8bf1e07126b592af84f15fd27dfa2fa621aab70a8dd24b42c975793", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4011, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9e5f459966f1971b9017ecf13a497492923fcb57d956d3dd744eed6c29201797" }, "receipt_sha256": "9e5f459966f1971b9017ecf13a497492923fcb57d956d3dd744eed6c29201797" }, { "row": 46, "col": 39, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -101.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.2, "ell_trend": 0.03, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 180.62, "S_over_Gamma": 12.914, "days_to_criticality": 26.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1004, "grad_tau_local": 1.0617, "depth_trend": -0.58, "spatial_concentration": 62.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3876, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "e39984b150b41f3419ddd0d62402030a337bee9531f54778bfa6ae60d8d8cc9e", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3876, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3e48811017a6019f89567cb1c705a2dfb79035b1d280022a78ba1613bf518cd3" }, "receipt_sha256": "3e48811017a6019f89567cb1c705a2dfb79035b1d280022a78ba1613bf518cd3" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 6.9, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.926, "b_trend": 0.0644, "ell_km": 34.5, "ell_trend": 2.55, "rate_acceleration": 1.3, "delta_aic_iet": 459.7, "S_over_Gamma": 15.502, "days_to_criticality": 38.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6277, "grad_tau_local": 1.0696, "depth_trend": 6.22, "spatial_concentration": 69.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3475, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "2199b56d72213fb39ed4071e8eb84375c10bb4e042778c7986f4cec48a43b775", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3475, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "815c06835eac284ed255c82308d9d5f463d7892abd377ea42bf1d3f3b827184e" }, "receipt_sha256": "815c06835eac284ed255c82308d9d5f463d7892abd377ea42bf1d3f3b827184e" }, { "row": 49, "col": 161, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.003, "b_trend": 0.039, "ell_km": 34.3, "ell_trend": 2.67, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 569.08, "S_over_Gamma": 15.123, "days_to_criticality": 34.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0423, "grad_tau_local": 0.6572, "depth_trend": 8.36, "spatial_concentration": 79.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3405, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "bdd18204b119bef6b661d2ebef0fe97c8efc471a0c70185e1a5740355fd32158", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3405, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "11dd84080c29fb38431f93278f65e6a668e5bd30f65867421903375a07de3bf4" }, "receipt_sha256": "11dd84080c29fb38431f93278f65e6a668e5bd30f65867421903375a07de3bf4" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.787, "b_trend": 0.0315, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": -0.05, "rate_acceleration": 0.74, "delta_aic_iet": 1304.4, "S_over_Gamma": 13.16, "days_to_criticality": 2094.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3249, "grad_tau_local": 1.5988, "depth_trend": 3.69, "spatial_concentration": 74.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3317, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "39c3a43d0e5ffa00a017102d9453e2a55bc0cd8e0c8956091c0dbe48927e2b75", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3317, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "70255e1166f4d54f0ebb2b620701dbc7bedf3224661ea3a6ad35c3efbfd3da63" }, "receipt_sha256": "70255e1166f4d54f0ebb2b620701dbc7bedf3224661ea3a6ad35c3efbfd3da63" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 6.6, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.13, "b_trend": 0.0256, "ell_km": 64.7, "ell_trend": -4.79, "rate_acceleration": 0.1, "delta_aic_iet": -1537.14, "S_over_Gamma": 15.271, "days_to_criticality": 2091.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.1625, "grad_tau_local": 2.1716, "depth_trend": 7.7, "spatial_concentration": 47.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3126, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "1246fbfac2ad208a0a7cdb6038d1783928c50872cc185ffe934c22b70fa672b8", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3126, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a8d016bd5bf3053b06ca016822be4e1848c0b236801c1b55b3d49a1331759d7d" }, "receipt_sha256": "a8d016bd5bf3053b06ca016822be4e1848c0b236801c1b55b3d49a1331759d7d" }, { "row": 56, "col": 9, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.797, "b_trend": 0.0296, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": -0.15, "rate_acceleration": 0.65, "delta_aic_iet": 977.55, "S_over_Gamma": 13.182, "days_to_criticality": 15.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8733, "grad_tau_local": 2.2992, "depth_trend": 0.11, "spatial_concentration": 67.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2934, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "b1f0e1a3b043c2533f198c38f582738910cadd75d0f1526b2b78e7b7c367fd8e", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2934, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3cd91ae94d0d43f7fd9c7d75928f99b066aca3c0241c074f2e2c5da16878210c" }, "receipt_sha256": "3cd91ae94d0d43f7fd9c7d75928f99b066aca3c0241c074f2e2c5da16878210c" }, { "row": 54, "col": 168, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.175, "b_trend": -0.0367, "ell_km": 102.9, "ell_trend": -7.67, "rate_acceleration": 0.17, "delta_aic_iet": -106.38, "S_over_Gamma": 14.572, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.6284, "grad_tau_local": 1.6368, "depth_trend": 16.08, "spatial_concentration": 62.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2927, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "6390bf81354fec7ac70b6c1781c76f879a6e3bde8a2333f65917fedf7df1eb77", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2927, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f1ddab5b6abb5e00b39b92b0ebe2670f60550b3f14c110054983606f252dd9a5" }, "receipt_sha256": "f1ddab5b6abb5e00b39b92b0ebe2670f60550b3f14c110054983606f252dd9a5" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.799, "b_trend": 0.0759, "ell_km": 18.5, "ell_trend": 0.79, "rate_acceleration": 0.43, "delta_aic_iet": 1155.57, "S_over_Gamma": 13.348, "days_to_criticality": 192.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.667, "grad_tau_local": 1.1081, "depth_trend": 0.97, "spatial_concentration": 84.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2887, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "c3fb4a4135dac1080ae0eea63d4c377a222ca7629618c405bdff08709fb18b36", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2887, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9f5e2cd7d3256e3e2e8779d3f9d99c3e51181aea8694c6bb957ca4af0940b55a" }, "receipt_sha256": "9f5e2cd7d3256e3e2e8779d3f9d99c3e51181aea8694c6bb957ca4af0940b55a" }, { "row": 36, "col": 44, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -91.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.893, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 22.5, "ell_trend": 11.16, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 172.18, "S_over_Gamma": 14.915, "days_to_criticality": 49.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.6696, "grad_tau_local": 0.5315, "depth_trend": 12.23, "spatial_concentration": 79.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2664, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "c6c39d5be1a53b25917e5c393275ede030b3dd50155ca26fa3fcd3708b10f980", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2664, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f7b2a9b76c70b8373dfca3716ed015dc108d0bd7a812d3efffc3b09279b82f74" }, "receipt_sha256": "f7b2a9b76c70b8373dfca3716ed015dc108d0bd7a812d3efffc3b09279b82f74" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.797, "b_trend": 0.0404, "ell_km": 18.3, "ell_trend": -0.37, "rate_acceleration": 0.66, "delta_aic_iet": 1161.57, "S_over_Gamma": 12.991, "days_to_criticality": 18.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.1087, "grad_tau_local": 0.6986, "depth_trend": 2.27, "spatial_concentration": 80.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2465, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "bfcaf6d56d36a7254665f61aaaef473313199032912e6f26a4669dc51e493248", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2465, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5e0c82c45923ce3682b51a55a6466afd3d1a8e120768464a4fdfbd6390943b77" }, "receipt_sha256": "5e0c82c45923ce3682b51a55a6466afd3d1a8e120768464a4fdfbd6390943b77" }, { "row": 60, "col": 20, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -139.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 2.7, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.804, "b_trend": 0.1164, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": 0.05, "rate_acceleration": 0.16, "delta_aic_iet": -1638.94, "S_over_Gamma": 11.96, "days_to_criticality": 35.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2038, "grad_tau_local": 1.3391, "depth_trend": -0.16, "spatial_concentration": 42.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2414, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "42e951317a77f8f50ada6192c779a7d8389ff21316b9dc3345320617bd35285b", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2414, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d8834fb154e810b5fd767526d54ceeb03d4aaf832e6d88722007fcba83d71ec7" }, "receipt_sha256": "d8834fb154e810b5fd767526d54ceeb03d4aaf832e6d88722007fcba83d71ec7" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0305, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.348, "b_trend": 0.0975, "ell_km": 102.4, "ell_trend": -9.04, "rate_acceleration": 1.43, "delta_aic_iet": 184.36, "S_over_Gamma": 15.55, "days_to_criticality": 2092.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0611, "grad_tau_local": 0.6944, "depth_trend": 20.93, "spatial_concentration": 59.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2203, "confidence_lo": 0.0305, "confidence_hi": 0.0305, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "2c84bde4bc64b1b8cecdd4e9a85260f243c3affc040526a0d1d03d68d85c3d55", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2203, "probability": 0.030515, "confidence_lo": 0.030472, "confidence_hi": 0.030516, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e8f2ec0e3a92fd24c25737bcbfb10d8b50d868cc4acea63acbb4cc6c8bab9548" }, "receipt_sha256": "e8f2ec0e3a92fd24c25737bcbfb10d8b50d868cc4acea63acbb4cc6c8bab9548" }, { "row": 41, "col": 47, "lat": 23.0, "lon": -85.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.0006, "risk_band": "minimal", "scoring_tier": "tier2_heuristic", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": null, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": null, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 0.379, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 0, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 0.8759, "grad_tau_local": 0.2061, "depth_trend": null, "spatial_concentration": 3.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.0, "confidence_lo": 0.0, "confidence_hi": 0.0006, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1dc13801b42e5863c16536f98308bdeac4f504dcdcd9f63b98068ebb1f0cc203", "input_sha256": "af5570f5a1810b7af78caf4bc70a660f0df51e42baf91d4de5b2328de0e83dfc", "issued_at": "2026-07-08T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.0, "probability": 0.000582, "confidence_lo": 0.0, "confidence_hi": 0.000583, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8ca19e91c3d3e0957b5db1a9afbb663d5f0de893602bd87cea80adb17764fb0c" }, "receipt_sha256": "8ca19e91c3d3e0957b5db1a9afbb663d5f0de893602bd87cea80adb17764fb0c" } ] }