{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260703_0100", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-05-29T01:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "n_events": 32352, "n_recent_events": 2023 }, "n_active_cells": 86, "top_probability": 0.5071, "active_cells": [ { "row": 48, "col": 137, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 95.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.5071, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 18.0, "delta_aic_iet": -26.64, "S_over_Gamma": 7.939, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.8677, "grad_tau_local": 0.0665, "depth_trend": -0.42, "spatial_concentration": 50.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8463, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "9604a70caba8a09b89633b8609cca8c28182dda19453991645ad2334eaaaab97", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8463, "probability": 0.507125, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "45f5d6654a280556bcaed10dc07c60b977fc89a2c2ffd3fe524b8bf402942425" }, "receipt_sha256": "45f5d6654a280556bcaed10dc07c60b977fc89a2c2ffd3fe524b8bf402942425" }, { "row": 35, "col": 56, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 22.3, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 16.5, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 2.247, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.153, "grad_tau_local": 0.6889, "depth_trend": -1.46, "spatial_concentration": 76.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7845, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "d4398fc82a9dab32c8f5d9720f0fa28b4373f5739221f67771dbaa2ff87d35cc", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7845, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "94963eeb30a0df05a73d2936fb0b9edb28a91b545d7ae3e3616ae554b42630f9" }, "receipt_sha256": "94963eeb30a0df05a73d2936fb0b9edb28a91b545d7ae3e3616ae554b42630f9" }, { "row": 35, "col": 55, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 7.5, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.8, "ell_trend": 2.3, "rate_acceleration": 1.91, "delta_aic_iet": 11.19, "S_over_Gamma": 0.208, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 1.7198, "grad_tau_local": 0.5514, "depth_trend": -2.85, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7791, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "78e59622fc1a6c9c90253aed0b5bd607b2eb4940d990e2b0b21ab1332f9f25d5", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7791, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4478c14f5b6d2d46d177f9a96a2eab695ea24198c9b61f37317606806cbaa296" }, "receipt_sha256": "4478c14f5b6d2d46d177f9a96a2eab695ea24198c9b61f37317606806cbaa296" }, { "row": 49, "col": 101, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 23.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.348, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 10.3, "ell_trend": -1.42, "rate_acceleration": 1.41, "delta_aic_iet": 69.07, "S_over_Gamma": 14.529, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.4913, "grad_tau_local": 0.4041, "depth_trend": -4.86, "spatial_concentration": 71.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.765, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "6fd1f33ce251cf8653e8874fa5c6f1cd5db11caacac0bf67538617834e6f32b5", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.765, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "060fa8d656e728fa4fcf52c3d596112b3607b77a7ee07eaf0c5cb46dd0401d2f" }, "receipt_sha256": "060fa8d656e728fa4fcf52c3d596112b3607b77a7ee07eaf0c5cb46dd0401d2f" }, { "row": 38, "col": 149, "lat": 17.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.5, "ell_trend": -2.23, "rate_acceleration": 3.97, "delta_aic_iet": 89.63, "S_over_Gamma": 15.61, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4947, "grad_tau_local": 0.6985, "depth_trend": -22.14, "spatial_concentration": 73.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.749, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "af0f7cc0857e12322c0aa9a0990010d24f2e39d15e96adc1d228883ff4f9436b", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.749, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "89d81c7ca8d2cf703f029551755e3c8f39769b9ab6758e855612e5889c569ab2" }, "receipt_sha256": "89d81c7ca8d2cf703f029551755e3c8f39769b9ab6758e855612e5889c569ab2" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 28, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.618, "b_trend": 0.0569, "ell_km": 75.6, "ell_trend": -1.38, "rate_acceleration": 1.56, "delta_aic_iet": 733.71, "S_over_Gamma": 13.537, "days_to_criticality": 20.6, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.8225, "depth_trend": -12.68, "spatial_concentration": 116.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7258, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "3a814a990f187692a75c768187ce0e0cba6c62e247df13ec1820bd5f6b168b98", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7258, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0871345f26515ec87c980dad28cc2625345eb573b123873ec53bb407f5229876" }, "receipt_sha256": "0871345f26515ec87c980dad28cc2625345eb573b123873ec53bb407f5229876" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.859, "b_trend": 0.0486, "ell_km": 92.3, "ell_trend": -2.0, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 622.77, "S_over_Gamma": 13.397, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9111, "grad_tau_local": 1.6874, "depth_trend": 3.13, "spatial_concentration": 71.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7123, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "60e29ba262d5d9bd69651e903bfcde42f2df4c922b3a55122ef5627eef61ccbf", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7123, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ac6e475c9f1c55d1968db6d95a53900fe04086452e982f5ebb2eeee337c3ac2b" }, "receipt_sha256": "ac6e475c9f1c55d1968db6d95a53900fe04086452e982f5ebb2eeee337c3ac2b" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.09, "b_trend": 0.0164, "ell_km": 66.9, "ell_trend": -2.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.1, "delta_aic_iet": 246.56, "S_over_Gamma": 15.376, "days_to_criticality": 2098.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.7186, "grad_tau_local": 0.4403, "depth_trend": -11.83, "spatial_concentration": 84.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7122, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "118d7883f4612b992604e69eb94a2ca473daa82366892fa993d4b516b20df273", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7122, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "beb208832440e8a689f4a6b1215d9c455e0c002c54d8de4acf121b327382bac4" }, "receipt_sha256": "beb208832440e8a689f4a6b1215d9c455e0c002c54d8de4acf121b327382bac4" }, { "row": 17, "col": 56, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.661, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 28.8, "ell_trend": 1.87, "rate_acceleration": 0.9, "delta_aic_iet": 146.12, "S_over_Gamma": 15.151, "days_to_criticality": 13.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0557, "grad_tau_local": 0.837, "depth_trend": 19.06, "spatial_concentration": 54.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7111, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "9b1026802ea42a9ae92e7c14ffa2a65ba44f8be4ffe87ca3a7b48e1d3f1f516c", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7111, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e285d924ed0e64a613f86a204a0781c09ef25335e5fef513228e8b54be2e5e47" }, "receipt_sha256": "e285d924ed0e64a613f86a204a0781c09ef25335e5fef513228e8b54be2e5e47" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 38, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.649, "b_trend": 0.045, "ell_km": 84.1, "ell_trend": -1.82, "rate_acceleration": 1.63, "delta_aic_iet": 771.54, "S_over_Gamma": 13.533, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.8225, "grad_tau_local": 2.9039, "depth_trend": -11.11, "spatial_concentration": 153.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7092, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "1726d95fca72fd1beee0fdb99b5ab3e15df811d05fc9b61dc1eae80368269f9d", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7092, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "75c0cf1cde789d5f66e0e25ee9e4f7bce747acd37c1e7da37aa7ec0eee492775" }, "receipt_sha256": "75c0cf1cde789d5f66e0e25ee9e4f7bce747acd37c1e7da37aa7ec0eee492775" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.864, "b_trend": 0.0592, "ell_km": 91.8, "ell_trend": -1.91, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 586.2, "S_over_Gamma": 13.0, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2281, "grad_tau_local": 1.9588, "depth_trend": 3.23, "spatial_concentration": 73.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.704, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "c0dfd90731bcc1a9bb6d26e51e946edd90a4f84f9be1ffa38cec08b0f571fc4c", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.704, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7dbb13a9c2508f84e9b8f1bfb7f7c1b25352b73d9ce1fb45c2e1bfc53d45276f" }, "receipt_sha256": "7dbb13a9c2508f84e9b8f1bfb7f7c1b25352b73d9ce1fb45c2e1bfc53d45276f" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 41, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.233, "b_trend": -0.0431, "ell_km": 37.2, "ell_trend": -4.13, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 1345.13, "S_over_Gamma": 13.689, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.535, "grad_tau_local": 1.2862, "depth_trend": -5.06, "spatial_concentration": 65.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6678, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "85783b73b89ebb60912b49f8460582afbb0d81c95d5cd8eeeb14df5768cf9b7c", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6678, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c86689a81fb714bd7f93aa45bf05d085928fefec9c4aa04548ed25476b386b5c" }, "receipt_sha256": "c86689a81fb714bd7f93aa45bf05d085928fefec9c4aa04548ed25476b386b5c" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 67, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.23, "b_trend": 0.2649, "ell_km": 35.0, "ell_trend": -1.05, "rate_acceleration": 1.3, "delta_aic_iet": 1221.53, "S_over_Gamma": 14.009, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6432, "grad_tau_local": 1.627, "depth_trend": -1.19, "spatial_concentration": 47.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6677, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "2f711a171f16cf39686034620e94dd7e75c3d143ef6631bcd1d1e783ea27a506", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6677, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "11d93dbcbf7e6e31e3fa576ccd2658dd1fcff6d68eeb9fb040dda25121f08dec" }, "receipt_sha256": "11d93dbcbf7e6e31e3fa576ccd2658dd1fcff6d68eeb9fb040dda25121f08dec" }, { "row": 39, "col": 11, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.905, "b_trend": -0.0325, "ell_km": 5.3, "ell_trend": 0.48, "rate_acceleration": 1.49, "delta_aic_iet": 214.29, "S_over_Gamma": 11.782, "days_to_criticality": 74.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.0299, "grad_tau_local": 1.0911, "depth_trend": -2.92, "spatial_concentration": 32.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6672, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "7699223f9dacf3e3bc49cddd4793a4a2206fcbfaeb65930bd0a1fab77e165101", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6672, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5f7bb1e71f188aa3b8ce60875b5f3416983400a71baf9de965e0c39f55d2cce0" }, "receipt_sha256": "5f7bb1e71f188aa3b8ce60875b5f3416983400a71baf9de965e0c39f55d2cce0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 4, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.622, "b_trend": 0.1325, "ell_km": 11.9, "ell_trend": -11.04, "rate_acceleration": 1.14, "delta_aic_iet": 782.2, "S_over_Gamma": 14.491, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2099, "grad_tau_local": 1.3353, "depth_trend": -5.66, "spatial_concentration": 72.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6623, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "05e19c6029f8fb19d28b6ed65ffb11cb332ba1b441f72dda2633e25fd1829de2", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6623, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d238202b4b44b09b7a75d642f928f42c00d1f0c4bea2ae05a1e832e92fe4fd7d" }, "receipt_sha256": "d238202b4b44b09b7a75d642f928f42c00d1f0c4bea2ae05a1e832e92fe4fd7d" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.655, "b_trend": 0.1398, "ell_km": 12.0, "ell_trend": -2.67, "rate_acceleration": 1.63, "delta_aic_iet": 882.56, "S_over_Gamma": 13.244, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0656, "grad_tau_local": 0.0963, "depth_trend": -1.82, "spatial_concentration": 68.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.662, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "9e21deb23afe758fb0e37a4edc12495ac9db494f46d251ae85e48f5cede957a8", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.662, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "30f49c1253c38fe1cc972f5662cdfc3d5d1da8616d9a2033bd092698c2999575" }, "receipt_sha256": "30f49c1253c38fe1cc972f5662cdfc3d5d1da8616d9a2033bd092698c2999575" }, { "row": 17, "col": 179, "lat": -25.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.331, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 62.0, "ell_trend": -0.51, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 213.04, "S_over_Gamma": 15.315, "days_to_criticality": 20.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.3635, "depth_trend": 1.11, "spatial_concentration": 80.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6562, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "a6e63acda168a8864f72a2cca5ee0775899ab19b001579b5cc1d32e888107b22", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6562, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9b236341a809b50439806d4d902182c5d545dec2927b4dbb0703fe80b10058f9" }, "receipt_sha256": "9b236341a809b50439806d4d902182c5d545dec2927b4dbb0703fe80b10058f9" }, { "row": 25, "col": 153, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 36.0, "ell_trend": -3.09, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 108.51, "S_over_Gamma": 10.989, "days_to_criticality": 2095.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.928, "grad_tau_local": 1.5967, "depth_trend": -10.51, "spatial_concentration": 82.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6551, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "0019acc1648300c6c1ea45161cd779ed8eae8884961f86d88cb882ecb2ebded9", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6551, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "264846d972fbcfc0c49bad1c6c8cdabf061fcf200de1252a7fef77e51581d60a" }, "receipt_sha256": "264846d972fbcfc0c49bad1c6c8cdabf061fcf200de1252a7fef77e51581d60a" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.454, "b_trend": 0.3149, "ell_km": 13.8, "ell_trend": -10.23, "rate_acceleration": 1.87, "delta_aic_iet": 383.93, "S_over_Gamma": 14.308, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.8122, "grad_tau_local": 1.3782, "depth_trend": -21.01, "spatial_concentration": 113.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6428, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "1a3f3df28f375f97b6aeb88219170beaae53e80fac78814af2ed5db79791cedd", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6428, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ba92297e8a12e9c16d85bdcde2e1c122cbd850a4a4ab522d5fdb46950bcc34a2" }, "receipt_sha256": "ba92297e8a12e9c16d85bdcde2e1c122cbd850a4a4ab522d5fdb46950bcc34a2" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 32, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.915, "b_trend": -0.0274, "ell_km": 5.3, "ell_trend": 0.48, "rate_acceleration": 1.48, "delta_aic_iet": 216.66, "S_over_Gamma": 13.484, "days_to_criticality": 74.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3119, "grad_tau_local": 0.2046, "depth_trend": -2.65, "spatial_concentration": 33.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6417, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "96afb705b5593ffbdfb58a55f050417ba9edf3a6b2791b31144e295ce3f537f8", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6417, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "70f60d779b67037bbb9c76392bca48a386cd5ff37f4d874d6073661d8836e07d" }, "receipt_sha256": "70f60d779b67037bbb9c76392bca48a386cd5ff37f4d874d6073661d8836e07d" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.804, "b_trend": 0.0857, "ell_km": 104.7, "ell_trend": 0.65, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 591.64, "S_over_Gamma": 12.852, "days_to_criticality": 74.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8541, "grad_tau_local": 0.9248, "depth_trend": 3.37, "spatial_concentration": 77.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6393, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "f2e821e0341dfcb1de6816e6cf36d770a49dc9e88b3e97adfb43600ac30b799c", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6393, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "eea4c8e12ee98675046150c90ff684191343638fd6aa105d9a15457d0dc64fb8" }, "receipt_sha256": "eea4c8e12ee98675046150c90ff684191343638fd6aa105d9a15457d0dc64fb8" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.046, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.2, "ell_trend": 6.88, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 236.58, "S_over_Gamma": 15.657, "days_to_criticality": 29.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.0155, "grad_tau_local": 0.2501, "depth_trend": 38.73, "spatial_concentration": 88.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6392, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "2c1a79c417b1fd24822b1f94883f97e733705b518e385a0291fb0ad35148be9c", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6392, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e9887ecf09be63e86e5db577533939db0ac8f9e60d204b7acc503c8f82706b27" }, "receipt_sha256": "e9887ecf09be63e86e5db577533939db0ac8f9e60d204b7acc503c8f82706b27" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.159, "b_trend": 0.4071, "ell_km": 39.3, "ell_trend": 1.11, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 301.07, "S_over_Gamma": 15.429, "days_to_criticality": 19.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.55, "grad_tau_local": 0.6161, "depth_trend": 3.6, "spatial_concentration": 63.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6315, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "15d636a2daa3c2de07d46182e7f19031c2c0ca8530d7b73c0a9c635eec89cf06", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6315, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f2a1173a7379bcdaf263e972c7b6d06dca4b8d4dd3c061608cd4887d442133ed" }, "receipt_sha256": "f2a1173a7379bcdaf263e972c7b6d06dca4b8d4dd3c061608cd4887d442133ed" }, { "row": 31, "col": 154, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.581, "b_trend": 0.0498, "ell_km": 95.3, "ell_trend": -3.62, "rate_acceleration": 0.64, "delta_aic_iet": 222.6, "S_over_Gamma": 15.58, "days_to_criticality": 1791.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.029, "grad_tau_local": 1.784, "depth_trend": -13.0, "spatial_concentration": 45.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6299, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "f605650912f3caf635a05d690bd70c492b7830e1c96e2c8ef3f6c4d84748f7ca", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6299, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5a14876e03aa3ef3e889d2e0ba14f7be088626e61bb1dc4159cdc699de7b880b" }, "receipt_sha256": "5a14876e03aa3ef3e889d2e0ba14f7be088626e61bb1dc4159cdc699de7b880b" }, { "row": 18, "col": 0, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.462, "b_trend": -0.1639, "ell_km": 60.8, "ell_trend": 0.8, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 273.51, "S_over_Gamma": 15.564, "days_to_criticality": 148.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.837, "depth_trend": -2.82, "spatial_concentration": 88.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6292, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "1a223b88a86065e4ce3ff093f4253ff92ac3db357a747a897253103ae2a08de6", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6292, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1f8c8645eb845d6b7c968ee6716f6160cdc57d7cefacbdf2051e7cacd3149c79" }, "receipt_sha256": "1f8c8645eb845d6b7c968ee6716f6160cdc57d7cefacbdf2051e7cacd3149c79" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.829, "b_trend": 0.0601, "ell_km": 89.0, "ell_trend": -0.23, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 798.38, "S_over_Gamma": 13.34, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.528, "grad_tau_local": 0.4674, "depth_trend": 1.86, "spatial_concentration": 68.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.627, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "e248714990d3c2c7b3e7e2ddc2fe1e1cab1a15f72e8b0b4d1f3bedd6b6720f83", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.627, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "acb1b99a2b4873766cb3f3e6fe101492c5d778b346049baccfee41ba4137a7b5" }, "receipt_sha256": "acb1b99a2b4873766cb3f3e6fe101492c5d778b346049baccfee41ba4137a7b5" }, { "row": 38, "col": 55, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.662, "b_trend": 0.0228, "ell_km": 17.0, "ell_trend": -1.18, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 548.4, "S_over_Gamma": 14.594, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4733, "grad_tau_local": 2.0777, "depth_trend": -3.45, "spatial_concentration": 36.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.626, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "efd067d8497794900370ca88ab3df0a90d8e0c868fe45781c207150dcf4782b9", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.626, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cd27267b456d62ce2e18a84bd91c898f66f604b2090a373ba3dd638ef5dfb7d4" }, "receipt_sha256": "cd27267b456d62ce2e18a84bd91c898f66f604b2090a373ba3dd638ef5dfb7d4" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.506, "b_trend": -0.0532, "ell_km": 18.1, "ell_trend": -10.91, "rate_acceleration": 1.74, "delta_aic_iet": 666.86, "S_over_Gamma": 13.604, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.9031, "depth_trend": -18.19, "spatial_concentration": 79.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6258, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "ae169f52a0389d2f56a11ee38d88705578877e7fe16b790d5e5bc29006121ff2", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6258, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7206c287e7fb90a79844e47e064bbfef5bf9db1dcaaafe75864dc6fa59f52bb0" }, "receipt_sha256": "7206c287e7fb90a79844e47e064bbfef5bf9db1dcaaafe75864dc6fa59f52bb0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.831, "b_trend": 0.1127, "ell_km": 84.9, "ell_trend": -0.27, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 790.55, "S_over_Gamma": 13.275, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7528, "grad_tau_local": 0.8535, "depth_trend": 1.18, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6198, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "cb6f03d846c99d1e238d08c833142e2faeb7f07131a29e28dd978f2108b75788", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6198, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8c1065f1fc5368c048cd5fb7b4c710f8943a882ee6062e680a449e694134a790" }, "receipt_sha256": "8c1065f1fc5368c048cd5fb7b4c710f8943a882ee6062e680a449e694134a790" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.87, "b_trend": 0.2105, "ell_km": 23.7, "ell_trend": 0.79, "rate_acceleration": 0.96, "delta_aic_iet": 263.76, "S_over_Gamma": 13.424, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7572, "grad_tau_local": 1.2575, "depth_trend": -0.7, "spatial_concentration": 47.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6196, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "94497c04a777b5a2b13310aa10dddebbdf61b32b4068df5ab349a7f7530568ac", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6196, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d25a90c624b43a3536fc413dfd0bcdc8fc1c134a70f12afd2c2c213f29d7243a" }, "receipt_sha256": "d25a90c624b43a3536fc413dfd0bcdc8fc1c134a70f12afd2c2c213f29d7243a" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.653, "b_trend": 0.0325, "ell_km": 76.3, "ell_trend": -1.7, "rate_acceleration": 1.64, "delta_aic_iet": 664.23, "S_over_Gamma": 13.273, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.7909, "grad_tau_local": 0.8151, "depth_trend": -10.14, "spatial_concentration": 77.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6179, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "bbee6571d60915e62bcf5caac6a958cc3fed19a60748c3fa1d885940a2b02529", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6179, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7dc77bcc65d410ab8c16a8260ce3011bcd4039cda112cca19fa5bbb70b23e845" }, "receipt_sha256": "7dc77bcc65d410ab8c16a8260ce3011bcd4039cda112cca19fa5bbb70b23e845" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.249, "b_trend": 0.1244, "ell_km": 21.4, "ell_trend": -2.88, "rate_acceleration": 1.22, "delta_aic_iet": 913.27, "S_over_Gamma": 13.111, "days_to_criticality": 22.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8039, "grad_tau_local": 2.1365, "depth_trend": -2.25, "spatial_concentration": 57.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.617, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "4a0487f783189156dd8d6cae3d5181d7ca7b3552473e63ea188a8e43fa4a373c", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.617, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b4876f7061e58e42bda5426f934df71e2b468c8023c1773fd1e5703c68ef6f9b" }, "receipt_sha256": "b4876f7061e58e42bda5426f934df71e2b468c8023c1773fd1e5703c68ef6f9b" }, { "row": 45, "col": 161, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 70.7, "ell_trend": 17.45, "rate_acceleration": 1.7, "delta_aic_iet": 92.69, "S_over_Gamma": 15.799, "days_to_criticality": 25.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2069, "grad_tau_local": 0.7887, "depth_trend": -2.33, "spatial_concentration": 70.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6162, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "d5b68c6bfcf408cf513698c250fdd735c230df89af1bad39721a29678884a395", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6162, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a76bccfef40de10d23de4797ec088df14853e831511cc5637b49fcb61a83ed22" }, "receipt_sha256": "a76bccfef40de10d23de4797ec088df14853e831511cc5637b49fcb61a83ed22" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.847, "b_trend": -0.0138, "ell_km": 86.0, "ell_trend": 2.48, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 598.85, "S_over_Gamma": 12.971, "days_to_criticality": 224.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6234, "grad_tau_local": 0.221, "depth_trend": 5.36, "spatial_concentration": 81.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6126, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "9880b165d1c82bbe8cee7d5489d7860449ed3405fd3181ce9c59afcc53946b21", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6126, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b19f136ec877be903517e73578cbc5d9213e4a183dc46844e621cfbff10330a9" }, "receipt_sha256": "b19f136ec877be903517e73578cbc5d9213e4a183dc46844e621cfbff10330a9" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.104, "b_trend": 0.274, "ell_km": 17.8, "ell_trend": -2.15, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 742.43, "S_over_Gamma": 14.411, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6115, "grad_tau_local": 2.256, "depth_trend": -3.82, "spatial_concentration": 43.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6106, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "2f92b1ccdcb96c275f5778bf2b6e65dc74629d3bfa488d8512368cce3dcc8020", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6106, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a648961c617cbf73efe2d440e535a44596d63aef399309d9a64f1449c9bfb3a0" }, "receipt_sha256": "a648961c617cbf73efe2d440e535a44596d63aef399309d9a64f1449c9bfb3a0" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.248, "b_trend": -0.1481, "ell_km": 35.2, "ell_trend": -10.44, "rate_acceleration": 4.98, "delta_aic_iet": 578.68, "S_over_Gamma": 15.548, "days_to_criticality": 2097.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.1763, "grad_tau_local": 0.7497, "depth_trend": -20.14, "spatial_concentration": 76.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6105, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "21892b5a20373922f60dadc7d778e91846cc56a71762b12a5c8a8a9899868a7b", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6105, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "19b0f59b03daf9ce3a795948e634aacefd8aa8a65f7529080acaec21c7b9035c" }, "receipt_sha256": "19b0f59b03daf9ce3a795948e634aacefd8aa8a65f7529080acaec21c7b9035c" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.721, "b_trend": 0.0057, "ell_km": 29.8, "ell_trend": -1.11, "rate_acceleration": 2.32, "delta_aic_iet": 617.11, "S_over_Gamma": 13.115, "days_to_criticality": 2097.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3299, "grad_tau_local": 0.5358, "depth_trend": -8.36, "spatial_concentration": 83.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6077, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "c52bc76fc3bcad98bb6f53b83bda533c87215768242714acbd7c6976edd5e58f", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6077, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a66ad3c957d3301b8aa94b8d29b63866fe76dc8b44b86ed196994cdcb1ee3758" }, "receipt_sha256": "a66ad3c957d3301b8aa94b8d29b63866fe76dc8b44b86ed196994cdcb1ee3758" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 246, "max_mag": 7.8, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.131, "b_trend": -0.059, "ell_km": 35.4, "ell_trend": -12.2, "rate_acceleration": 2.96, "delta_aic_iet": 331.26, "S_over_Gamma": 15.913, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.7848, "grad_tau_local": 0.9209, "depth_trend": -12.23, "spatial_concentration": 87.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6077, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "c52bc76fc3bcad98bb6f53b83bda533c87215768242714acbd7c6976edd5e58f", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6077, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a66ad3c957d3301b8aa94b8d29b63866fe76dc8b44b86ed196994cdcb1ee3758" }, "receipt_sha256": "a66ad3c957d3301b8aa94b8d29b63866fe76dc8b44b86ed196994cdcb1ee3758" }, { "row": 18, "col": 175, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.255, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 95.2, "ell_trend": -5.45, "rate_acceleration": 0.65, "delta_aic_iet": 114.22, "S_over_Gamma": 15.917, "days_to_criticality": 1798.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.5419, "grad_tau_local": 0.5871, "depth_trend": -0.58, "spatial_concentration": 68.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6057, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "6387c210d8e321f728e31cc28b74b14c0d9deae5958d653c8ec979e2d975f50e", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6057, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a88d5a3dba25454934fd2de807ae054fb62ad3b589a493b4defa741f4909ef57" }, "receipt_sha256": "a88d5a3dba25454934fd2de807ae054fb62ad3b589a493b4defa741f4909ef57" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.622, "b_trend": 0.1136, "ell_km": 12.6, "ell_trend": -10.19, "rate_acceleration": 1.24, "delta_aic_iet": 862.98, "S_over_Gamma": 13.885, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8038, "grad_tau_local": 1.4992, "depth_trend": -13.01, "spatial_concentration": 65.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5992, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "5b2ed2cb47a658bdab2c3e1e6c1bd9be127d1813ae6e15a6466e01f9a1eccfd4", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5992, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f94a603f75405fc7ffd8e23438288434466225ea3dba9ce380ecd7aabf8d4313" }, "receipt_sha256": "f94a603f75405fc7ffd8e23438288434466225ea3dba9ce380ecd7aabf8d4313" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.324, "b_trend": 0.0011, "ell_km": 90.2, "ell_trend": 2.82, "rate_acceleration": 0.63, "delta_aic_iet": 219.95, "S_over_Gamma": 15.563, "days_to_criticality": 162.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1114, "grad_tau_local": 1.0713, "depth_trend": 12.24, "spatial_concentration": 71.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5957, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "38fa2f12fd6ee8891e229d99b7cde8b002d84a3eeac01dd76bcf3e6362fe5c2a", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5957, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ae98a72d028b8587aaa20ca622e756d361260d41b9abb06c84b93d3911f07bab" }, "receipt_sha256": "ae98a72d028b8587aaa20ca622e756d361260d41b9abb06c84b93d3911f07bab" }, { "row": 45, "col": 160, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 59.8, "ell_trend": 14.42, "rate_acceleration": 1.45, "delta_aic_iet": 122.99, "S_over_Gamma": 15.866, "days_to_criticality": 9.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6502, "grad_tau_local": 0.4624, "depth_trend": -3.44, "spatial_concentration": 71.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5955, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "24495c89fc993f0103714fdf35cea41b7f005365d9c67260585832a745d40285", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5955, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7759c9a69f2d9533f351c81967c0e3a17be7ef96cd0a14c82b0802c1abc06807" }, "receipt_sha256": "7759c9a69f2d9533f351c81967c0e3a17be7ef96cd0a14c82b0802c1abc06807" }, { "row": 21, "col": 0, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.72, "b_trend": 0.0983, "ell_km": 43.7, "ell_trend": 0.44, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 213.49, "S_over_Gamma": 15.346, "days_to_criticality": 158.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.3391, "depth_trend": 2.04, "spatial_concentration": 80.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5911, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "873d9bf9d94fbd885a7a4ab4229c623d09155ca4fe9a98536faecbb509c09388", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5911, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2e14f49899a503cb8e2052785f7df5348124705962166b0e834d928beb606379" }, "receipt_sha256": "2e14f49899a503cb8e2052785f7df5348124705962166b0e834d928beb606379" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.626, "b_trend": 0.1194, "ell_km": 13.0, "ell_trend": -7.92, "rate_acceleration": 1.24, "delta_aic_iet": 943.0, "S_over_Gamma": 13.678, "days_to_criticality": 22.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0708, "grad_tau_local": 0.8836, "depth_trend": -11.35, "spatial_concentration": 69.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5837, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "02daa33ca97f77b86968fa63f29e914d76b5795cdb6fcc86e3cd55e542d6b91a", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5837, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7c7a442536ac809cefe399d6627026c784e71f5594670a0013e6c406e7525ad0" }, "receipt_sha256": "7c7a442536ac809cefe399d6627026c784e71f5594670a0013e6c406e7525ad0" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.5, "b_trend": 0.1051, "ell_km": 27.7, "ell_trend": 5.49, "rate_acceleration": 0.85, "delta_aic_iet": 200.17, "S_over_Gamma": 13.891, "days_to_criticality": 12.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.149, "grad_tau_local": 0.9291, "depth_trend": 0.37, "spatial_concentration": 83.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5832, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "adf8f89629ea9ae8c5f1c1d75a8e6c365d5558a5dbf7a7b08df5f7dcd49a393a", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5832, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dd5ddd8251cc4faf200cffd66746c5ff3fabb07e2a09226f26f63b123395c55b" }, "receipt_sha256": "dd5ddd8251cc4faf200cffd66746c5ff3fabb07e2a09226f26f63b123395c55b" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.625, "b_trend": 0.2041, "ell_km": 10.4, "ell_trend": -0.41, "rate_acceleration": 1.15, "delta_aic_iet": 352.18, "S_over_Gamma": 13.129, "days_to_criticality": 17.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4424, "grad_tau_local": 0.6128, "depth_trend": -0.07, "spatial_concentration": 81.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5797, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "7a004b2ee3f15ca604f6f2b0c713533b2e582418bd4b2b83257e260bd55a42e4", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5797, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f22a6db1de9edbf1d121b3958acd30df7500f377b1a7aa45ca4cdd6655d719ef" }, "receipt_sha256": "f22a6db1de9edbf1d121b3958acd30df7500f377b1a7aa45ca4cdd6655d719ef" }, { "row": 59, "col": 12, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.095, "b_trend": 0.0049, "ell_km": 79.4, "ell_trend": 2.1, "rate_acceleration": 0.85, "delta_aic_iet": 573.62, "S_over_Gamma": 13.095, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7361, "grad_tau_local": 1.0971, "depth_trend": 4.92, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5792, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "31c044c469c1613163bf3e31f3380b2ab7d0e414662ae86b635a8408880dacca", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5792, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c1ecf3c5a121a7a7be9e6839eab8e6de01caac965bb4dfc4b7020ff0311f6f65" }, "receipt_sha256": "c1ecf3c5a121a7a7be9e6839eab8e6de01caac965bb4dfc4b7020ff0311f6f65" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.637, "b_trend": 0.1495, "ell_km": 11.6, "ell_trend": -11.59, "rate_acceleration": 1.66, "delta_aic_iet": 823.89, "S_over_Gamma": 13.468, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4312, "grad_tau_local": 0.6642, "depth_trend": -5.06, "spatial_concentration": 77.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5731, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "5ae3835659611771c588aab437ac7908c2cf26e3683a4e4641b3671ad6b57ff3", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5731, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c5b529ae6402898f9b7e02b0995659b0464a7048eeddba5e53a1eff545eddebd" }, "receipt_sha256": "c5b529ae6402898f9b7e02b0995659b0464a7048eeddba5e53a1eff545eddebd" }, { "row": 29, "col": 150, "lat": -1.0, "lon": 121.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 6.7, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.811, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": 9.89, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 97.26, "S_over_Gamma": 15.436, "days_to_criticality": 61.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1066, "grad_tau_local": 1.2206, "depth_trend": -22.24, "spatial_concentration": 47.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5701, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "9a8c5c1ea98a2d1ce70dc1d17fcb163ae809113709376118e3bb2e5dc0d3e240", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5701, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8a5812c4c7ec90e551e2a78849bc690306994842b4bdc738a1ad41b4a74a691f" }, "receipt_sha256": "8a5812c4c7ec90e551e2a78849bc690306994842b4bdc738a1ad41b4a74a691f" }, { "row": 62, "col": 8, "lat": 65.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.3, "ell_trend": -1.04, "rate_acceleration": 3.67, "delta_aic_iet": 67.73, "S_over_Gamma": 10.792, "days_to_criticality": 1798.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3186, "grad_tau_local": 0.8887, "depth_trend": -3.82, "spatial_concentration": 77.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5683, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "c716715a2003e1f30d435f7e139ea6d36c792db98b511019b501adf8e1790477", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5683, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0ccd60f1f3ee9421d69374a599aa20ba07b873d500d7f939546e493512ad82d4" }, "receipt_sha256": "0ccd60f1f3ee9421d69374a599aa20ba07b873d500d7f939546e493512ad82d4" }, { "row": 16, "col": 54, "lat": -27.0, "lon": -71.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.7, "ell_trend": 2.36, "rate_acceleration": 1.24, "delta_aic_iet": 52.94, "S_over_Gamma": 15.142, "days_to_criticality": 10.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1023, "grad_tau_local": 0.5457, "depth_trend": -1.99, "spatial_concentration": 74.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5611, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "6ed5664ae739ebe783d74a7c826cb6890a37503c97f5adc693c4d0ea7a890be2", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5611, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ead3d901919232d8ca19d36b46573c37d85ca1aa7fb9e6ed2fee7fb686376519" }, "receipt_sha256": "ead3d901919232d8ca19d36b46573c37d85ca1aa7fb9e6ed2fee7fb686376519" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.966, "b_trend": 0.0601, "ell_km": 3.6, "ell_trend": -0.43, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 528.59, "S_over_Gamma": 13.254, "days_to_criticality": 18.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5889, "grad_tau_local": 0.8347, "depth_trend": -0.45, "spatial_concentration": 70.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5544, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "ac36e5d5b1ef38e75b9c7763897a30300575710af454370a8b3a99dd05e4e847", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5544, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "103d3f283802fea88096c286163684bceaecf67d32a64adcce33f43e2d147ad0" }, "receipt_sha256": "103d3f283802fea88096c286163684bceaecf67d32a64adcce33f43e2d147ad0" }, { "row": 36, "col": 45, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -89.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.906, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 26.3, "ell_trend": 16.68, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 177.2, "S_over_Gamma": 15.042, "days_to_criticality": 28.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.7069, "grad_tau_local": 0.2476, "depth_trend": 4.41, "spatial_concentration": 74.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5503, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "c164b2cf78c4b4298b5dd0e1f6ace7a7547753e20b8f68c88c70c4c462e53a3f", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5503, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ac3c9bf7edf992ac11fadf5a680456b36dcb21e56551f553cf5b33fc25aca85d" }, "receipt_sha256": "ac3c9bf7edf992ac11fadf5a680456b36dcb21e56551f553cf5b33fc25aca85d" }, { "row": 46, "col": 38, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -103.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.962, "b_trend": -0.1848, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": -0.11, "rate_acceleration": 0.89, "delta_aic_iet": 481.16, "S_over_Gamma": 12.615, "days_to_criticality": 67.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7467, "grad_tau_local": 0.5869, "depth_trend": -0.24, "spatial_concentration": 60.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5497, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "955029f94cb6c039dd8d6f62cf049717e6e35a4731b6b8429ec5b34fc3e4eaea", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5497, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ab11cc591c0104bc9a52dddd46eb536b6fce8948b000ec8068f65cc2cfbeb1b4" }, "receipt_sha256": "ab11cc591c0104bc9a52dddd46eb536b6fce8948b000ec8068f65cc2cfbeb1b4" }, { "row": 26, "col": 164, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 149.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.237, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 65.4, "ell_trend": -15.17, "rate_acceleration": 1.26, "delta_aic_iet": 126.19, "S_over_Gamma": 15.059, "days_to_criticality": 2097.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6856, "grad_tau_local": 0.6786, "depth_trend": 35.12, "spatial_concentration": 81.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.543, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "581d15b1668aba4487cb71077a1c833fd70fed7ebfef0b3f33da684743dece2c", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.543, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7b1f53f7ea5a99df0af8c5028afd879b1ab32415034870588b358a126821eae6" }, "receipt_sha256": "7b1f53f7ea5a99df0af8c5028afd879b1ab32415034870588b358a126821eae6" }, { "row": 56, "col": 2, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.652, "b_trend": 0.0421, "ell_km": 70.1, "ell_trend": -0.41, "rate_acceleration": 1.6, "delta_aic_iet": 601.17, "S_over_Gamma": 13.678, "days_to_criticality": -0.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6904, "grad_tau_local": 1.9878, "depth_trend": -11.18, "spatial_concentration": 72.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5393, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "d8654ece4c683f3dcd192abff4cf7469d9935b251dab1fd0a8e6e6de4626b157", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5393, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "86728a8378d1a6ca3cc26997b073ecfa3391963a959e7cc8cba0c24926050d91" }, "receipt_sha256": "86728a8378d1a6ca3cc26997b073ecfa3391963a959e7cc8cba0c24926050d91" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.349, "b_trend": 0.1023, "ell_km": 102.8, "ell_trend": -9.38, "rate_acceleration": 1.38, "delta_aic_iet": 184.92, "S_over_Gamma": 15.614, "days_to_criticality": 2097.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.065, "grad_tau_local": 0.7011, "depth_trend": 26.48, "spatial_concentration": 59.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5021, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "3a323b1473718ceb30b2c11ce58b4997f6ac663392e174fc4c91c7cadb85bbc7", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5021, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c0c2e99ca868062090dcca065b851cba705c4421b7295a8c9c750ee04441428b" }, "receipt_sha256": "c0c2e99ca868062090dcca065b851cba705c4421b7295a8c9c750ee04441428b" }, { "row": 32, "col": 153, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.147, "b_trend": 0.0961, "ell_km": 54.7, "ell_trend": 4.79, "rate_acceleration": 2.22, "delta_aic_iet": 465.79, "S_over_Gamma": 15.467, "days_to_criticality": 94.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.3184, "grad_tau_local": 1.2321, "depth_trend": 0.17, "spatial_concentration": 72.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4972, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "50983cf93fd8bb42d675677a4eb4889856a4fedfaa20cd264138f2729ad5b79a", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4972, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bce30694bad1fb64b4750517bb56d69e6909d64ace73e489deb19a26bb01c2fd" }, "receipt_sha256": "bce30694bad1fb64b4750517bb56d69e6909d64ace73e489deb19a26bb01c2fd" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 44, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.475, "b_trend": 0.2969, "ell_km": 14.6, "ell_trend": -11.74, "rate_acceleration": 1.88, "delta_aic_iet": 470.41, "S_over_Gamma": 14.462, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9031, "grad_tau_local": 1.3798, "depth_trend": -18.13, "spatial_concentration": 126.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4965, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "ba511c0a05a404cabdd7587f5807eaed7be7501506dc62a2d6e496c3df9d834c", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4965, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "51a0c8949fc48749d3fa18250a581630f7de4bb4697c1df3b25cada5b9718d0f" }, "receipt_sha256": "51a0c8949fc48749d3fa18250a581630f7de4bb4697c1df3b25cada5b9718d0f" }, { "row": 36, "col": 44, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -91.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.893, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 22.1, "ell_trend": 13.57, "rate_acceleration": 0.96, "delta_aic_iet": 167.17, "S_over_Gamma": 14.915, "days_to_criticality": 25.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.6552, "grad_tau_local": 0.533, "depth_trend": 13.07, "spatial_concentration": 79.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4903, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "ce36b91d82c95ec8193511a45ea5c9db670797f43c85759439674b868f9155f0", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4903, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e652a81400b4559980324b1e785f6ecb7ecea68354c03218b4ab880e7f33e847" }, "receipt_sha256": "e652a81400b4559980324b1e785f6ecb7ecea68354c03218b4ab880e7f33e847" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.531, "b_trend": -0.5509, "ell_km": 64.5, "ell_trend": 2.38, "rate_acceleration": 0.9, "delta_aic_iet": 284.28, "S_over_Gamma": 15.658, "days_to_criticality": 202.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6381, "depth_trend": -18.35, "spatial_concentration": 96.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4842, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "ebba9dadd3f1c2c7908fe9d3ebdd209b083c1f15e9ed301b37a399219e85d161", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4842, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c666143c78c9c3202c7006d4426b45dd0ee764cf673cf2d8ce894bf3bdef3bb8" }, "receipt_sha256": "c666143c78c9c3202c7006d4426b45dd0ee764cf673cf2d8ce894bf3bdef3bb8" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.626, "b_trend": 0.1484, "ell_km": 12.1, "ell_trend": -12.29, "rate_acceleration": 1.26, "delta_aic_iet": 797.61, "S_over_Gamma": 13.76, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.951, "grad_tau_local": 1.4383, "depth_trend": -9.14, "spatial_concentration": 89.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.481, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "c4ae306fc607a058997e290c515cf311871682202c75d1dd003105c45f84a188", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.481, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5e4333d97e045ad9f8cc8e56c8488825a27105d0e1fe0e00f1e76992741e6b50" }, "receipt_sha256": "5e4333d97e045ad9f8cc8e56c8488825a27105d0e1fe0e00f1e76992741e6b50" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.971, "b_trend": -0.2014, "ell_km": 3.8, "ell_trend": -0.16, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 379.47, "S_over_Gamma": 13.153, "days_to_criticality": 28.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5549, "grad_tau_local": 0.7681, "depth_trend": 0.03, "spatial_concentration": 38.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.478, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "78efa49ad9d3074e795c45b9829844c2b4efaaf5af4efb6a1be97cf84a450631", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.478, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "92322d8c36d9965e395013d143b0a25c900ca6ef5ef5c6063f2e3d7af0e19a66" }, "receipt_sha256": "92322d8c36d9965e395013d143b0a25c900ca6ef5ef5c6063f2e3d7af0e19a66" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.986, "b_trend": 0.1147, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.66, "delta_aic_iet": 423.7, "S_over_Gamma": 12.96, "days_to_criticality": 8.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2647, "grad_tau_local": 0.9408, "depth_trend": 0.1, "spatial_concentration": 78.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4772, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "2cee985769e30f944b5e367f5a3eb225415ed616c5919ec7faba4a559af24941", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4772, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "28dcdae21e8a4841208c4ae0e1f373c07c9cf45f0775d3bc93af5525eb170ab5" }, "receipt_sha256": "28dcdae21e8a4841208c4ae0e1f373c07c9cf45f0775d3bc93af5525eb170ab5" }, { "row": 39, "col": 58, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -63.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.12, "b_trend": -0.3529, "ell_km": 43.1, "ell_trend": -3.94, "rate_acceleration": 1.62, "delta_aic_iet": 577.97, "S_over_Gamma": 14.094, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.491, "grad_tau_local": 2.6004, "depth_trend": -4.94, "spatial_concentration": 46.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4739, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "be208d7edda704a284bec7e1531d11acb945189fda92ae443e041bcba04668e4", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4739, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ec09fba1ef9957808f4eda81cae20a71a929a9f9a62d73c36b00ce5defb49366" }, "receipt_sha256": "ec09fba1ef9957808f4eda81cae20a71a929a9f9a62d73c36b00ce5defb49366" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.783, "b_trend": 0.0239, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": -0.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.78, "delta_aic_iet": 1255.88, "S_over_Gamma": 13.212, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0899, "grad_tau_local": 1.2424, "depth_trend": 1.81, "spatial_concentration": 78.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4699, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "86c07c1e1d6320a0cb43528931d6f39782e026de36b78b2291ed67b55534c5cb", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4699, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1f68fadc9daa7a46d6e68afea83be217fe067b5e53b44f213ba27248abe6fdb5" }, "receipt_sha256": "1f68fadc9daa7a46d6e68afea83be217fe067b5e53b44f213ba27248abe6fdb5" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.878, "b_trend": -0.0132, "ell_km": 107.7, "ell_trend": 2.11, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 437.09, "S_over_Gamma": 12.956, "days_to_criticality": 89.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9627, "grad_tau_local": 0.5236, "depth_trend": 1.69, "spatial_concentration": 78.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4418, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "737b8779bd10f7a6532cbb7acd8d3d61354424e0cc032d95547fbd2622220c81", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4418, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "156a7ba3914cc432b2341591bbe96fb8f2a3765dda60282e1b06429e8e6310b1" }, "receipt_sha256": "156a7ba3914cc432b2341591bbe96fb8f2a3765dda60282e1b06429e8e6310b1" }, { "row": 49, "col": 30, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.875, "b_trend": 0.0087, "ell_km": 2.5, "ell_trend": 0.19, "rate_acceleration": 2.24, "delta_aic_iet": 419.26, "S_over_Gamma": 13.383, "days_to_criticality": 16.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6377, "grad_tau_local": 0.4479, "depth_trend": -0.67, "spatial_concentration": 84.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4377, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "eacc3cdc30e31a7f345ddfb35d3fff230708e3542ce6b59a295852e2f9dc90af", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4377, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8bd41c17df436c07e30fbbff2120440cd07a7f65cb460644f9a5b5848f8eeb6f" }, "receipt_sha256": "8bd41c17df436c07e30fbbff2120440cd07a7f65cb460644f9a5b5848f8eeb6f" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.884, "b_trend": -0.0656, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.3, "rate_acceleration": 1.5, "delta_aic_iet": 457.38, "S_over_Gamma": 13.128, "days_to_criticality": 21.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1252, "grad_tau_local": 0.4708, "depth_trend": -0.21, "spatial_concentration": 78.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4342, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "1ce0cce74e25ba8ed10c35944005d14269f04e2400a2518fd73ac40766c6e743", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4342, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0c655b5a1294bd61d167d15242f367e3fc9b2c01c00cd8495ab2ad8e92a510e3" }, "receipt_sha256": "0c655b5a1294bd61d167d15242f367e3fc9b2c01c00cd8495ab2ad8e92a510e3" }, { "row": 49, "col": 161, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.005, "b_trend": 0.015, "ell_km": 34.2, "ell_trend": 2.71, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 573.11, "S_over_Gamma": 15.345, "days_to_criticality": 32.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0672, "grad_tau_local": 0.6673, "depth_trend": 8.12, "spatial_concentration": 80.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4313, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "3aebd62e1248304aa9c7b699651a9f2664fdcbc5e9b4af5e01a66143fdc19c0b", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4313, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "acaaa2181fb3b51703fe42b99c12c82cc46e916f194b5e0813f6cd87b2c09adb" }, "receipt_sha256": "acaaa2181fb3b51703fe42b99c12c82cc46e916f194b5e0813f6cd87b2c09adb" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 6.9, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.928, "b_trend": 0.0401, "ell_km": 34.5, "ell_trend": 2.61, "rate_acceleration": 1.28, "delta_aic_iet": 457.79, "S_over_Gamma": 15.749, "days_to_criticality": 35.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6492, "grad_tau_local": 1.0765, "depth_trend": 6.47, "spatial_concentration": 70.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4306, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "a9839e56cef01cba4368fef76410e0832d95ed7e3245cfb3b605ff191e146c9b", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4306, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dec883728011079faf1208b5c45f5392d5fb87d4b79d85c7ec4f21c48fac6cbc" }, "receipt_sha256": "dec883728011079faf1208b5c45f5392d5fb87d4b79d85c7ec4f21c48fac6cbc" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.811, "b_trend": 0.0957, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": 0.62, "rate_acceleration": 0.39, "delta_aic_iet": 1043.48, "S_over_Gamma": 13.212, "days_to_criticality": 70.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9213, "grad_tau_local": 1.5964, "depth_trend": 0.11, "spatial_concentration": 89.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4288, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "4b2ebf7b001d8fffafbdd3c78852c3f39a6093936bc6eff3a005b92978b99d34", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4288, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3751bf00dd6b896072aaa579d87d4027a00cd157a11c002fd4c746a5b9b3ac71" }, "receipt_sha256": "3751bf00dd6b896072aaa579d87d4027a00cd157a11c002fd4c746a5b9b3ac71" }, { "row": 46, "col": 39, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -101.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.2, "ell_trend": 0.03, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 182.75, "S_over_Gamma": 13.282, "days_to_criticality": 158.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1194, "grad_tau_local": 1.0531, "depth_trend": -0.56, "spatial_concentration": 62.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4224, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "d997156c83eab24dfd56ec327430a2c0d2ac233bd0bc471ab2f82c8ab2046133", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4224, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ef1b44a8c234388ca0ba71b267a02cf33b32279a8b67592a5a0620c388610980" }, "receipt_sha256": "ef1b44a8c234388ca0ba71b267a02cf33b32279a8b67592a5a0620c388610980" }, { "row": 47, "col": 36, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -107.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 5.0, "ell_trend": -0.49, "rate_acceleration": 3.69, "delta_aic_iet": 68.82, "S_over_Gamma": 5.446, "days_to_criticality": 21.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5897, "grad_tau_local": 0.0956, "depth_trend": 2.53, "spatial_concentration": 53.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4172, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "430bfdf4bfc8badc1e7109c8422c3c9e6e80f92a694df96508ea2a961e80c3ca", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4172, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b13b83450d4fc2c149c55d98fe0d8c88569331b516773166a45b304dcfc00ee4" }, "receipt_sha256": "b13b83450d4fc2c149c55d98fe0d8c88569331b516773166a45b304dcfc00ee4" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.786, "b_trend": 0.0313, "ell_km": 18.5, "ell_trend": -0.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.75, "delta_aic_iet": 1311.57, "S_over_Gamma": 13.175, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3571, "grad_tau_local": 1.5901, "depth_trend": 3.47, "spatial_concentration": 74.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3977, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "5cc5a774cb9cb21999df41bfc54db33f03c0841d1354d21f424d4249b012ec48", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3977, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bb823204f35c62828032675e7e0ff5691fbfde375346a5437898548b6c43175f" }, "receipt_sha256": "bb823204f35c62828032675e7e0ff5691fbfde375346a5437898548b6c43175f" }, { "row": 58, "col": 10, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.821, "b_trend": 0.1547, "ell_km": 16.4, "ell_trend": 0.21, "rate_acceleration": 0.4, "delta_aic_iet": 1049.36, "S_over_Gamma": 5.222, "days_to_criticality": 23.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7582, "grad_tau_local": 1.7812, "depth_trend": 8.73, "spatial_concentration": 96.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3928, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "747e544019665f046ab5d994c9698ca2cfcd01302de21109ee9806ff4339ed8c", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3928, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5cb40c24893b0c717425807c0c0ebc6e33a09223fe9bd4532c6af4fb4f9f9294" }, "receipt_sha256": "5cb40c24893b0c717425807c0c0ebc6e33a09223fe9bd4532c6af4fb4f9f9294" }, { "row": 56, "col": 9, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.796, "b_trend": 0.0289, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": -0.17, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 990.44, "S_over_Gamma": 13.355, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9015, "grad_tau_local": 2.2972, "depth_trend": 0.03, "spatial_concentration": 67.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3798, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "d84781ac6f03764d24e8078b6728f1a41aa7ef19239b7fdf5a62d310abe24d76", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3798, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d39c913f5beb43834ccd20ed8a3dc4e2ab3a07cf4238edd856e911fcd9b655b4" }, "receipt_sha256": "d39c913f5beb43834ccd20ed8a3dc4e2ab3a07cf4238edd856e911fcd9b655b4" }, { "row": 22, "col": 173, "lat": -15.0, "lon": 167.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.198, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 82.1, "ell_trend": -4.06, "rate_acceleration": 0.77, "delta_aic_iet": 172.21, "S_over_Gamma": 15.556, "days_to_criticality": 2095.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.3796, "grad_tau_local": 0.1155, "depth_trend": 15.12, "spatial_concentration": 90.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.378, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "5bb3728aaaca0b897a577d1eecac6936933c48006fc96e4a5c4d1548491658a6", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.378, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "394bd3b906407d2483dc00747d9571159980bcfb530379ea91b59561698246c1" }, "receipt_sha256": "394bd3b906407d2483dc00747d9571159980bcfb530379ea91b59561698246c1" }, { "row": 55, "col": 168, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.169, "b_trend": 0.0122, "ell_km": 65.7, "ell_trend": -5.17, "rate_acceleration": 0.12, "delta_aic_iet": -1067.03, "S_over_Gamma": 14.224, "days_to_criticality": 2096.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.8386, "grad_tau_local": 3.1721, "depth_trend": 8.33, "spatial_concentration": 76.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3682, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "8d484db4f36d9138df8c1c8f5fad443125d65ab8ef63fdf2e1c0bd05ecf70b19", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3682, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9a8f72055163ade6a15999ae27f8b1e833c07e296ccd77ad7e37e6316497c588" }, "receipt_sha256": "9a8f72055163ade6a15999ae27f8b1e833c07e296ccd77ad7e37e6316497c588" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.136, "b_trend": -0.0058, "ell_km": 72.2, "ell_trend": -5.93, "rate_acceleration": 0.11, "delta_aic_iet": -1658.38, "S_over_Gamma": 14.952, "days_to_criticality": 18.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.4609, "grad_tau_local": 0.6792, "depth_trend": 9.07, "spatial_concentration": 80.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3612, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "91f5080039d261665922abd782f3db6f3a1467d3882f9bec99a8426e8c1cae1d", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3612, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cd90ea1e18d90ae24a424fa8fb167ad08309e84d1dc703bfb8d173bd633c4213" }, "receipt_sha256": "cd90ea1e18d90ae24a424fa8fb167ad08309e84d1dc703bfb8d173bd633c4213" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 6.6, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.129, "b_trend": 0.0238, "ell_km": 64.7, "ell_trend": -4.79, "rate_acceleration": 0.1, "delta_aic_iet": -1622.7, "S_over_Gamma": 15.205, "days_to_criticality": 2096.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.1224, "grad_tau_local": 2.1521, "depth_trend": 7.68, "spatial_concentration": 47.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3537, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "968caf6dd61382db13553ea46e02bb05f47fb1100546e908e03c0f4f3b60e754", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3537, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "83b7185bc96fd6b6522722955c27b0028406f6a421ef8ac9c658c5919f6da233" }, "receipt_sha256": "83b7185bc96fd6b6522722955c27b0028406f6a421ef8ac9c658c5919f6da233" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.8, "b_trend": 0.0686, "ell_km": 18.5, "ell_trend": 0.7, "rate_acceleration": 0.48, "delta_aic_iet": 1164.17, "S_over_Gamma": 13.437, "days_to_criticality": 57.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.689, "grad_tau_local": 1.128, "depth_trend": 0.82, "spatial_concentration": 84.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3408, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "69a5c87277c770ca3b8e6a0d0c89bf6c87a4dfa776c5cbd5d6945a566b3924c6", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3408, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9a04d8254a237dec07b8a161346ab0b892320a1caa8dac6ea55c7f90fc869e38" }, "receipt_sha256": "9a04d8254a237dec07b8a161346ab0b892320a1caa8dac6ea55c7f90fc869e38" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.796, "b_trend": 0.0423, "ell_km": 18.3, "ell_trend": -0.37, "rate_acceleration": 0.7, "delta_aic_iet": 1179.92, "S_over_Gamma": 12.991, "days_to_criticality": 20.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.1209, "grad_tau_local": 0.6969, "depth_trend": 2.08, "spatial_concentration": 80.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3307, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "d68743040188897ff8cf6483da95639f075cd2b60cf4db5bcd69cb55f32e2ce3", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3307, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ca40a2e3afcac6de49c4b8149381b1e0b85b6946756022558da3f1ab2dda0310" }, "receipt_sha256": "ca40a2e3afcac6de49c4b8149381b1e0b85b6946756022558da3f1ab2dda0310" }, { "row": 60, "col": 20, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -139.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 2.7, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.804, "b_trend": 0.0484, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -1.21, "rate_acceleration": 0.17, "delta_aic_iet": -1721.79, "S_over_Gamma": 11.96, "days_to_criticality": 18.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2079, "grad_tau_local": 1.3579, "depth_trend": -0.18, "spatial_concentration": 42.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3087, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "16a5f210ecd17a1b9a9cdd4e16b3f812cf72ae5e4b1e3aa12e465be7e2eed460", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3087, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f36c496364cf185da2b01d915fa5b132b761163892351f4c68d66dcd7125e9de" }, "receipt_sha256": "f36c496364cf185da2b01d915fa5b132b761163892351f4c68d66dcd7125e9de" }, { "row": 54, "col": 168, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.0281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.184, "b_trend": -0.0172, "ell_km": 102.5, "ell_trend": -8.27, "rate_acceleration": 0.17, "delta_aic_iet": -182.21, "S_over_Gamma": 14.572, "days_to_criticality": 2094.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.5408, "grad_tau_local": 1.6098, "depth_trend": 15.79, "spatial_concentration": 62.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3083, "confidence_lo": 0.0281, "confidence_hi": 0.0281, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "76f4c21ecbb9298e7822b583432a3363664d1edb43643c22a199313e92bc24d8", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3083, "probability": 0.028145, "confidence_lo": 0.028098, "confidence_hi": 0.028146, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5c78195e3ec2637aca813092fc988174932769f3a989d91b8954e9b00d92c324" }, "receipt_sha256": "5c78195e3ec2637aca813092fc988174932769f3a989d91b8954e9b00d92c324" }, { "row": 41, "col": 47, "lat": 23.0, "lon": -85.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.0006, "risk_band": "minimal", "scoring_tier": "tier2_heuristic", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": null, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": null, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 0.379, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 0, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 0.8792, "grad_tau_local": 0.2049, "depth_trend": null, "spatial_concentration": 3.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.0, "confidence_lo": 0.0, "confidence_hi": 0.0006, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e300a61896e925d07f938f19a18ac18218ce73bb91722db3aee8cbea049b4d25", "input_sha256": "af5570f5a1810b7af78caf4bc70a660f0df51e42baf91d4de5b2328de0e83dfc", "issued_at": "2026-07-03T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.0, "probability": 0.00056, "confidence_lo": 0.0, "confidence_hi": 0.000561, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "665c9551cdf84559fe453048abb5c9649a9ced53ea60c7b5b308b99510f11468" }, "receipt_sha256": "665c9551cdf84559fe453048abb5c9649a9ced53ea60c7b5b308b99510f11468" } ] }