{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260701_1300", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-05-27T13:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "n_events": 32316, "n_recent_events": 1978 }, "n_active_cells": 88, "top_probability": 0.507, "active_cells": [ { "row": 48, "col": 137, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 95.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.507, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.4, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 17.0, "delta_aic_iet": -21.61, "S_over_Gamma": 8.009, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.857, "grad_tau_local": 0.0669, "depth_trend": -0.44, "spatial_concentration": 51.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8537, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "823b57ac154fb7de174f3e113c35103d63321a45c2dc07f930aacdf580d125cf", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8537, "probability": 0.507011, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0645b7969f556683b572897b3b4fb8cf7115295b2b603c41eaedfa3dfa474220" }, "receipt_sha256": "0645b7969f556683b572897b3b4fb8cf7115295b2b603c41eaedfa3dfa474220" }, { "row": 35, "col": 56, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0447, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 22.3, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 16.5, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 2.247, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.1519, "grad_tau_local": 0.6888, "depth_trend": -1.46, "spatial_concentration": 76.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8117, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0455, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "99b1e4141ce91e48cb9f8b9f7c187caadecedf6a44c6d3b29684735cb3b4e10e", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8117, "probability": 0.04466, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.045455, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c5857dda62132103810841d983caa1cdae1e75b5fa2c7f0dbc199dc9b18efbd0" }, "receipt_sha256": "c5857dda62132103810841d983caa1cdae1e75b5fa2c7f0dbc199dc9b18efbd0" }, { "row": 35, "col": 55, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 7.5, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.8, "ell_trend": 2.3, "rate_acceleration": 1.91, "delta_aic_iet": 11.19, "S_over_Gamma": 0.208, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 1.7187, "grad_tau_local": 0.5513, "depth_trend": -2.85, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8044, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "2ae1a112cfc2961f2af89672ccbeae992a37be1b1f633574d4a074f3ab3b789e", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8044, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ab4252bbe9994afd5a22bf4ad1710def7f15cd3674b485f6b4b40e3c0fc317ee" }, "receipt_sha256": "ab4252bbe9994afd5a22bf4ad1710def7f15cd3674b485f6b4b40e3c0fc317ee" }, { "row": 49, "col": 101, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 23.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.348, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 10.3, "ell_trend": -1.42, "rate_acceleration": 1.41, "delta_aic_iet": 69.07, "S_over_Gamma": 14.529, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.4408, "grad_tau_local": 0.4066, "depth_trend": -4.86, "spatial_concentration": 71.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7567, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "8fffb427d032b4d2b2d4309d32071ae6062325edc3f55e63dbc0f2a8b2f80176", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7567, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "94619836ca13204d586260d12bcf57e5d48518e034caf2341b7d99e3afd63d69" }, "receipt_sha256": "94619836ca13204d586260d12bcf57e5d48518e034caf2341b7d99e3afd63d69" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 29, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.62, "b_trend": 0.0524, "ell_km": 75.9, "ell_trend": -1.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.55, "delta_aic_iet": 735.33, "S_over_Gamma": 13.58, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.8397, "depth_trend": -12.4, "spatial_concentration": 116.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7332, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "aa6ef5b967566bf294711ac8afddf0960a3d80e5175616e0c8243737ce213c6b", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7332, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "69b958f212b645b8078bc16333d004c0c76504b87a6e3859f0a5497c0fccd11b" }, "receipt_sha256": "69b958f212b645b8078bc16333d004c0c76504b87a6e3859f0a5497c0fccd11b" }, { "row": 55, "col": 4, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.622, "b_trend": 0.1325, "ell_km": 11.9, "ell_trend": -11.04, "rate_acceleration": 1.13, "delta_aic_iet": 787.15, "S_over_Gamma": 14.55, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2266, "grad_tau_local": 1.3337, "depth_trend": -5.66, "spatial_concentration": 72.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7231, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "a7aee65215b22aaae17052d72f2b45d80a9c0ba39ede7aae42d172d86ed83f18", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7231, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "948931730600bc8bb02a6e5dd9195fd2f7c862ec22571db422e61e2d56214d6c" }, "receipt_sha256": "948931730600bc8bb02a6e5dd9195fd2f7c862ec22571db422e61e2d56214d6c" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.09, "b_trend": 0.0164, "ell_km": 66.5, "ell_trend": -2.35, "rate_acceleration": 1.1, "delta_aic_iet": 246.56, "S_over_Gamma": 15.376, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.7157, "grad_tau_local": 0.4479, "depth_trend": -11.7, "spatial_concentration": 84.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7229, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "ec334fc1ce74cc58d31d3bfa204b7f88e8e04dd68aa1396cffd1f0f1117f1238", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7229, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "89688a898a45e089c09f2b9efdf36d0c0ace7eae253da39e4f58417f777a7416" }, "receipt_sha256": "89688a898a45e089c09f2b9efdf36d0c0ace7eae253da39e4f58417f777a7416" }, { "row": 38, "col": 149, "lat": 17.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 17.3, "ell_trend": -0.82, "rate_acceleration": 3.65, "delta_aic_iet": 86.18, "S_over_Gamma": 15.455, "days_to_criticality": 2097.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4331, "grad_tau_local": 0.6978, "depth_trend": -22.12, "spatial_concentration": 72.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7204, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "a2e0a9f4738f0548e521d059b0a45729c108edbc12cf1cd7f1db821bb066296c", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7204, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e657a107680992ff5669142e95d024716fe406ecd65fd6744b962b26922d244d" }, "receipt_sha256": "e657a107680992ff5669142e95d024716fe406ecd65fd6744b962b26922d244d" }, { "row": 17, "col": 56, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.678, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 28.5, "ell_trend": 1.24, "rate_acceleration": 0.92, "delta_aic_iet": 147.74, "S_over_Gamma": 15.151, "days_to_criticality": 18.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0625, "grad_tau_local": 0.8389, "depth_trend": 20.32, "spatial_concentration": 54.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7204, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "a2e0a9f4738f0548e521d059b0a45729c108edbc12cf1cd7f1db821bb066296c", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7204, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e657a107680992ff5669142e95d024716fe406ecd65fd6744b962b26922d244d" }, "receipt_sha256": "e657a107680992ff5669142e95d024716fe406ecd65fd6744b962b26922d244d" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.864, "b_trend": 0.0649, "ell_km": 92.0, "ell_trend": -2.51, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 626.17, "S_over_Gamma": 13.364, "days_to_criticality": 20.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8922, "grad_tau_local": 1.6866, "depth_trend": 2.4, "spatial_concentration": 71.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7064, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "669f55cd15111d49e630208500ea3bec09d9d502e09092b34728fb2d6cbcb01d", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7064, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c87300afa08579550164735a9b310ffb4ca2401c816d5c61ccb80d33e6bbb225" }, "receipt_sha256": "c87300afa08579550164735a9b310ffb4ca2401c816d5c61ccb80d33e6bbb225" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 38, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.65, "b_trend": 0.0436, "ell_km": 84.3, "ell_trend": -1.76, "rate_acceleration": 1.62, "delta_aic_iet": 771.87, "S_over_Gamma": 13.511, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.8397, "grad_tau_local": 2.9191, "depth_trend": -11.01, "spatial_concentration": 153.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7049, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "f949ed3ba9bffb665ee6be45d3648b46ca55c516b6d98090e24fd5e7ae109688", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7049, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "373cf36076ce07c11d29707bc8b3a3fdad830cd17f95dabbcc18d70a7bef1920" }, "receipt_sha256": "373cf36076ce07c11d29707bc8b3a3fdad830cd17f95dabbcc18d70a7bef1920" }, { "row": 39, "col": 11, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.907, "b_trend": -0.0565, "ell_km": 5.5, "ell_trend": 0.52, "rate_acceleration": 1.51, "delta_aic_iet": 217.64, "S_over_Gamma": 11.768, "days_to_criticality": 21.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.034, "grad_tau_local": 1.0946, "depth_trend": -3.14, "spatial_concentration": 32.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6996, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "8b5e2bff7a8275adb9d18fcdec758107c7dcaeba3aa1b19f9b2009e777da9fc1", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6996, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4877b735b3d52a78ba1942d434d8787a77033e79966fd648e79fa93f800cb123" }, "receipt_sha256": "4877b735b3d52a78ba1942d434d8787a77033e79966fd648e79fa93f800cb123" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.869, "b_trend": 0.0761, "ell_km": 91.5, "ell_trend": -2.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 589.91, "S_over_Gamma": 13.0, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2146, "grad_tau_local": 1.9565, "depth_trend": 3.12, "spatial_concentration": 73.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6976, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "8c5044a7b9a6f6c43e2b15856f32d95f0a9a304c457e03d0150d342fcd415201", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6976, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9b9238e5b357faaa82d66a70efecb31cc4aa888352694742bf9b260507835f1a" }, "receipt_sha256": "9b9238e5b357faaa82d66a70efecb31cc4aa888352694742bf9b260507835f1a" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 32, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.508, "b_trend": -0.0555, "ell_km": 17.9, "ell_trend": -10.72, "rate_acceleration": 1.73, "delta_aic_iet": 669.51, "S_over_Gamma": 13.603, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.8924, "depth_trend": -18.9, "spatial_concentration": 78.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.692, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "a5a345c246a35c988d9a997b8234030830d5081c4404b87146d2d4c6752f4f03", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.692, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c82093a5288fc3a66a0ab1391955663e3d83d0fdbe1041baf85dceb36ca49f7c" }, "receipt_sha256": "c82093a5288fc3a66a0ab1391955663e3d83d0fdbe1041baf85dceb36ca49f7c" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.458, "b_trend": 0.3174, "ell_km": 13.5, "ell_trend": -10.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.85, "delta_aic_iet": 382.05, "S_over_Gamma": 14.31, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.8094, "grad_tau_local": 1.3744, "depth_trend": -21.49, "spatial_concentration": 112.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.691, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "0d51ada41beb106adb0e28d242e6c07426c8d1c72e8a8b131d803c5afedfea0d", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.691, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f1838207f6ae170c7aead83fe8ad115880717fefdc29239736bba681332fb72c" }, "receipt_sha256": "f1838207f6ae170c7aead83fe8ad115880717fefdc29239736bba681332fb72c" }, { "row": 17, "col": 179, "lat": -25.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.331, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 62.1, "ell_trend": -0.26, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 213.78, "S_over_Gamma": 15.446, "days_to_criticality": 2098.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.347, "depth_trend": 1.33, "spatial_concentration": 79.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.691, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "0d51ada41beb106adb0e28d242e6c07426c8d1c72e8a8b131d803c5afedfea0d", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.691, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f1838207f6ae170c7aead83fe8ad115880717fefdc29239736bba681332fb72c" }, "receipt_sha256": "f1838207f6ae170c7aead83fe8ad115880717fefdc29239736bba681332fb72c" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.655, "b_trend": 0.1392, "ell_km": 12.0, "ell_trend": -2.67, "rate_acceleration": 1.62, "delta_aic_iet": 880.15, "S_over_Gamma": 13.341, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0813, "grad_tau_local": 0.0936, "depth_trend": -2.0, "spatial_concentration": 68.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6812, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "3651be7b19cd8c69c42c476ba1aed07e1b6cf0fad54f8ddd424400df63270509", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6812, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d339d30944e0b7b0f07b0274c426d52bf70fcd1f3fe227c2b1db481e67b9b3cd" }, "receipt_sha256": "d339d30944e0b7b0f07b0274c426d52bf70fcd1f3fe227c2b1db481e67b9b3cd" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 33, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.917, "b_trend": -0.051, "ell_km": 5.5, "ell_trend": 0.52, "rate_acceleration": 1.5, "delta_aic_iet": 219.37, "S_over_Gamma": 13.473, "days_to_criticality": 21.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3212, "grad_tau_local": 0.2045, "depth_trend": -2.6, "spatial_concentration": 33.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6781, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "f78917af4c5f36e9f09f62d66a7b879dabf6b755f8ab1936fdc30c8c74d85d90", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6781, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c9db68f9325e841a286e3c810de3c8e31e8baddc7bbc555bb9b2f01a986c0d61" }, "receipt_sha256": "c9db68f9325e841a286e3c810de3c8e31e8baddc7bbc555bb9b2f01a986c0d61" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 65, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.238, "b_trend": 0.2743, "ell_km": 34.5, "ell_trend": -0.88, "rate_acceleration": 1.43, "delta_aic_iet": 1219.56, "S_over_Gamma": 14.055, "days_to_criticality": 21.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6467, "grad_tau_local": 1.6268, "depth_trend": -1.15, "spatial_concentration": 47.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6658, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "686f0c5ae665dbcc2609d4d61c2ad77bc53c85ba6720b7fb084e17a5c1f15903", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6658, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b5bfca92ac8bda372ac2b991fdf2c1c0062f757f3672f5c72982b64ec97e77f2" }, "receipt_sha256": "b5bfca92ac8bda372ac2b991fdf2c1c0062f757f3672f5c72982b64ec97e77f2" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 38, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.24, "b_trend": -0.0229, "ell_km": 36.9, "ell_trend": -3.89, "rate_acceleration": 1.27, "delta_aic_iet": 1345.99, "S_over_Gamma": 13.685, "days_to_criticality": 2100.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5292, "grad_tau_local": 1.2805, "depth_trend": -5.16, "spatial_concentration": 65.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6552, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "17dc0b353dddf5351895cea7c82e7af63bfa6b609f8343ac6ce60befdfa6a7fc", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6552, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f05ba5ec66bdb0b5b9c3197fbb613f96a79eb1be38adaae430fdbe26695e605b" }, "receipt_sha256": "f05ba5ec66bdb0b5b9c3197fbb613f96a79eb1be38adaae430fdbe26695e605b" }, { "row": 25, "col": 153, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 34.6, "ell_trend": -3.26, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 105.01, "S_over_Gamma": 10.989, "days_to_criticality": 2096.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9156, "grad_tau_local": 1.592, "depth_trend": -6.68, "spatial_concentration": 83.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6523, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "f39ba5749ac6aeb77ebaa82752445b40b4b9491850dbeddbf87e6dfa44ed1a9d", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6523, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a79be70272bbb261f46fc79b71e48b676a36370b428e273e13ea23dbae83c79a" }, "receipt_sha256": "a79be70272bbb261f46fc79b71e48b676a36370b428e273e13ea23dbae83c79a" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.807, "b_trend": 0.0966, "ell_km": 104.6, "ell_trend": 0.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 591.83, "S_over_Gamma": 12.852, "days_to_criticality": 148.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8404, "grad_tau_local": 0.9215, "depth_trend": 3.46, "spatial_concentration": 77.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6393, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "f2e821e0341dfcb1de6816e6cf36d770a49dc9e88b3e97adfb43600ac30b799c", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6393, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9b7c494daef34a5174ecd45bd0781dc5e5a83cc96926cd38cec1936d1f9fe4d0" }, "receipt_sha256": "9b7c494daef34a5174ecd45bd0781dc5e5a83cc96926cd38cec1936d1f9fe4d0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 30, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.721, "b_trend": 0.0045, "ell_km": 30.5, "ell_trend": -1.13, "rate_acceleration": 2.3, "delta_aic_iet": 615.23, "S_over_Gamma": 13.115, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3377, "grad_tau_local": 0.5337, "depth_trend": -8.5, "spatial_concentration": 83.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6362, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "ba37bdddc6872ecc16cbb835c1f239a301adb232b92a128fcf77950311f89e93", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6362, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "11087705af205d8803d05bb4e1c3444a5e1bc45268379e978d52888380fe1355" }, "receipt_sha256": "11087705af205d8803d05bb4e1c3444a5e1bc45268379e978d52888380fe1355" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.163, "b_trend": 0.4071, "ell_km": 39.0, "ell_trend": 1.04, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 301.28, "S_over_Gamma": 15.429, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5533, "grad_tau_local": 0.6173, "depth_trend": 3.01, "spatial_concentration": 62.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6337, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "11d14ac40dbfdf1279d7074dbd850e5dd454d3407cfdc2ee0c59fb35442269fd", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6337, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3e00a20564d6781c7da4c3d69a6a607981a8980dc309f54fd3223713eeed970d" }, "receipt_sha256": "3e00a20564d6781c7da4c3d69a6a607981a8980dc309f54fd3223713eeed970d" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.829, "b_trend": 0.1253, "ell_km": 89.2, "ell_trend": -0.43, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 797.62, "S_over_Gamma": 13.34, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5126, "grad_tau_local": 0.4583, "depth_trend": 1.86, "spatial_concentration": 68.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6304, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "753d2f9306b6033f1a47d64dd047cfe9b4c3f38eb2241feca35cf6e1a319baf8", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6304, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e8f4ca74f8e20e929bc50dbe6ee2aadc307940456ede4a30524ae8032f608271" }, "receipt_sha256": "e8f4ca74f8e20e929bc50dbe6ee2aadc307940456ede4a30524ae8032f608271" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 206, "max_mag": 7.8, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.084, "b_trend": -0.0789, "ell_km": 33.3, "ell_trend": -12.64, "rate_acceleration": 2.59, "delta_aic_iet": 380.55, "S_over_Gamma": 16.069, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.5672, "grad_tau_local": 0.9316, "depth_trend": -10.15, "spatial_concentration": 86.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6258, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "ae169f52a0389d2f56a11ee38d88705578877e7fe16b790d5e5bc29006121ff2", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6258, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "135008d711c33d6212dd2519755b5c3b7c203a7ed2053b63face5def263d81db" }, "receipt_sha256": "135008d711c33d6212dd2519755b5c3b7c203a7ed2053b63face5def263d81db" }, { "row": 45, "col": 161, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 73.4, "ell_trend": 17.29, "rate_acceleration": 1.63, "delta_aic_iet": 93.38, "S_over_Gamma": 15.799, "days_to_criticality": 28.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2215, "grad_tau_local": 0.7957, "depth_trend": -4.82, "spatial_concentration": 70.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6235, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "2b592be60f31d6825ae2207e964dfbfe99f317bfc5f098871ba599f5fd321b81", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6235, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "189feb84b2460e55b5938cfd5883a14b7d45f7c1143522e97c359e3dcb8ce14a" }, "receipt_sha256": "189feb84b2460e55b5938cfd5883a14b7d45f7c1143522e97c359e3dcb8ce14a" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.497, "b_trend": 0.1051, "ell_km": 26.8, "ell_trend": 5.35, "rate_acceleration": 0.85, "delta_aic_iet": 202.21, "S_over_Gamma": 13.957, "days_to_criticality": 15.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1598, "grad_tau_local": 0.9334, "depth_trend": 0.37, "spatial_concentration": 83.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.621, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "49f17d6bb6dde272ead38da22e8de8fcbbc6feda72fce9a44431a82f54d9d4a8", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.621, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e4cfe30c273758b8049eedcd9372384ccca429f2b66c8b9d1ff07189654fafa0" }, "receipt_sha256": "e4cfe30c273758b8049eedcd9372384ccca429f2b66c8b9d1ff07189654fafa0" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.623, "b_trend": 0.2031, "ell_km": 10.3, "ell_trend": -0.43, "rate_acceleration": 1.15, "delta_aic_iet": 354.42, "S_over_Gamma": 13.131, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4519, "grad_tau_local": 0.6056, "depth_trend": -0.12, "spatial_concentration": 81.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6201, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "f1dc45bbfc33a9c69e6c177bccba5d5b24ff4e5e5070e79838ee2f5399521de1", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6201, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8cc90f9b7c8a212397764913675e472e1dd36fc9604ccad7a68af054971b88ae" }, "receipt_sha256": "8cc90f9b7c8a212397764913675e472e1dd36fc9604ccad7a68af054971b88ae" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.845, "b_trend": -0.0127, "ell_km": 86.2, "ell_trend": 2.53, "rate_acceleration": 0.89, "delta_aic_iet": 598.59, "S_over_Gamma": 13.217, "days_to_criticality": 216.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6375, "grad_tau_local": 0.2035, "depth_trend": 5.12, "spatial_concentration": 81.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6199, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "8e53546b1c6f6adf9ead91017686dcc7f4c90c9bc1b688ec3dde8747cba371b8", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6199, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "204a494e1b03ea0be461648ee1a12d6d7ee04491c96111aeb13524a3b78d537e" }, "receipt_sha256": "204a494e1b03ea0be461648ee1a12d6d7ee04491c96111aeb13524a3b78d537e" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.831, "b_trend": 0.1216, "ell_km": 84.9, "ell_trend": -0.48, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 789.08, "S_over_Gamma": 13.274, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7358, "grad_tau_local": 0.8522, "depth_trend": 1.17, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6198, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "cb6f03d846c99d1e238d08c833142e2faeb7f07131a29e28dd978f2108b75788", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6198, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ff2cf9d5c11447434fd98b6ee9ead671a130261e88f9e700eb67ad267008c820" }, "receipt_sha256": "ff2cf9d5c11447434fd98b6ee9ead671a130261e88f9e700eb67ad267008c820" }, { "row": 31, "col": 154, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.581, "b_trend": 0.0498, "ell_km": 96.0, "ell_trend": -3.23, "rate_acceleration": 0.64, "delta_aic_iet": 223.84, "S_over_Gamma": 15.58, "days_to_criticality": 2093.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9921, "grad_tau_local": 1.7718, "depth_trend": -12.79, "spatial_concentration": 45.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6195, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "9ca38bb0c288eee9058d0af3eba7be0ee7e1fa4cbbc05149e40a45638fa4706e", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6195, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9e63b5e118d993c36e7758458db7bfb6f98429648d42831f3d698c2eaa39b353" }, "receipt_sha256": "9e63b5e118d993c36e7758458db7bfb6f98429648d42831f3d698c2eaa39b353" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.256, "b_trend": 0.2889, "ell_km": 21.2, "ell_trend": -2.71, "rate_acceleration": 1.19, "delta_aic_iet": 917.27, "S_over_Gamma": 13.111, "days_to_criticality": 2100.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8011, "grad_tau_local": 2.1348, "depth_trend": -3.09, "spatial_concentration": 57.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6191, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "fd34b9b1d9f86ed030c373ae2f246d0f7bd10e72b360bbce674c8d400eec8f7b", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6191, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ffe2b8304e83da49f5295e534afce8e9f4481f4f13225720e451278e42e16916" }, "receipt_sha256": "ffe2b8304e83da49f5295e534afce8e9f4481f4f13225720e451278e42e16916" }, { "row": 18, "col": 175, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.255, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 95.2, "ell_trend": -5.45, "rate_acceleration": 0.65, "delta_aic_iet": 114.22, "S_over_Gamma": 15.917, "days_to_criticality": 1799.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.4946, "grad_tau_local": 0.5707, "depth_trend": -0.58, "spatial_concentration": 68.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6189, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "26c3937e2afb383ed286746be051cfbe516f2ebd4e1fbd8d223a70e6da17139e", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6189, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "22ea74289130acad949c5c613c99a724aa479d102afd1cc4ef57d96face9fe76" }, "receipt_sha256": "22ea74289130acad949c5c613c99a724aa479d102afd1cc4ef57d96face9fe76" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.653, "b_trend": 0.0324, "ell_km": 76.6, "ell_trend": -1.57, "rate_acceleration": 1.63, "delta_aic_iet": 666.16, "S_over_Gamma": 13.52, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8215, "grad_tau_local": 0.8142, "depth_trend": -9.05, "spatial_concentration": 77.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6184, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "3ae58afc2c353622ea86b351ccbdf99a927647bc52aded802682f818e88b4981", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6184, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4ff38c070905636d8de73aa4457734d42ea905f9d35776b9622a290987ae031f" }, "receipt_sha256": "4ff38c070905636d8de73aa4457734d42ea905f9d35776b9622a290987ae031f" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.869, "b_trend": 0.2071, "ell_km": 23.9, "ell_trend": 1.11, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 263.43, "S_over_Gamma": 13.187, "days_to_criticality": 19.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7278, "grad_tau_local": 1.253, "depth_trend": -1.0, "spatial_concentration": 48.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6114, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "bcc3e3513ede547fcb6872473bdd82f1dfdc597c13a4586c8a065bcd0f67504f", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6114, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "779e379783cf19fd274728212f7a93bccd348f504ba70c23e0a85d2190309818" }, "receipt_sha256": "779e379783cf19fd274728212f7a93bccd348f504ba70c23e0a85d2190309818" }, { "row": 45, "col": 160, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 63.3, "ell_trend": 14.29, "rate_acceleration": 1.4, "delta_aic_iet": 122.04, "S_over_Gamma": 16.162, "days_to_criticality": 11.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6777, "grad_tau_local": 0.4619, "depth_trend": -5.37, "spatial_concentration": 73.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6086, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "32a0fc2e5b6c39ceecb9cbffd48f88ed7787b4ef034fac538db0bbd58cc461a7", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6086, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "907816321fe351343c51f7a73ddc3bb7679df7825365b19a8efaeb470bc15de1" }, "receipt_sha256": "907816321fe351343c51f7a73ddc3bb7679df7825365b19a8efaeb470bc15de1" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.066, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 26.9, "ell_trend": 7.22, "rate_acceleration": 0.66, "delta_aic_iet": 234.39, "S_over_Gamma": 15.545, "days_to_criticality": 24.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.9973, "grad_tau_local": 0.248, "depth_trend": 37.31, "spatial_concentration": 88.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6008, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "4e72ee25bf18d27b2cf7c9184ea75fcbb641eb80604c66ad44ccd256981d1c1b", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6008, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fd26ab3f4fca4391f21d0cb84db3e704808d6010c0e2a148b04b2e5c620ed2dc" }, "receipt_sha256": "fd26ab3f4fca4391f21d0cb84db3e704808d6010c0e2a148b04b2e5c620ed2dc" }, { "row": 16, "col": 54, "lat": -27.0, "lon": -71.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.7, "ell_trend": 2.36, "rate_acceleration": 1.24, "delta_aic_iet": 52.94, "S_over_Gamma": 15.142, "days_to_criticality": 11.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1103, "grad_tau_local": 0.5455, "depth_trend": -1.99, "spatial_concentration": 74.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5984, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "b7946e6b99c11bfa19cd2cae39a083c2a96a5a9cb71f70e59dcbd02a2b7f1b72", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5984, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "65e6f219da8861d3a8fc762490a269584b70484df03bbc4702de034c38b8a8ca" }, "receipt_sha256": "65e6f219da8861d3a8fc762490a269584b70484df03bbc4702de034c38b8a8ca" }, { "row": 62, "col": 8, "lat": 65.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.3, "ell_trend": -1.6, "rate_acceleration": 3.81, "delta_aic_iet": 66.2, "S_over_Gamma": 10.792, "days_to_criticality": 1795.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.2676, "grad_tau_local": 0.8576, "depth_trend": -4.29, "spatial_concentration": 75.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5963, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "c780977ba67305ce060aaf9706010e393dfe150996785a03e04e9e39efc440dc", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5963, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5c98b559319335fe0c783406f546e0a46800c517817c975c2cec7dd6fb70db95" }, "receipt_sha256": "5c98b559319335fe0c783406f546e0a46800c517817c975c2cec7dd6fb70db95" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.324, "b_trend": -0.0025, "ell_km": 88.8, "ell_trend": 2.61, "rate_acceleration": 0.62, "delta_aic_iet": 215.05, "S_over_Gamma": 15.642, "days_to_criticality": 17.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0998, "grad_tau_local": 1.0646, "depth_trend": 12.64, "spatial_concentration": 71.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5957, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "38fa2f12fd6ee8891e229d99b7cde8b002d84a3eeac01dd76bcf3e6362fe5c2a", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5957, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e9b5828513fcaa52c8d35e4fc5303735ed973dc6690362853b08647dcdbe825b" }, "receipt_sha256": "e9b5828513fcaa52c8d35e4fc5303735ed973dc6690362853b08647dcdbe825b" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.622, "b_trend": 0.1136, "ell_km": 12.6, "ell_trend": -10.19, "rate_acceleration": 1.23, "delta_aic_iet": 866.61, "S_over_Gamma": 13.885, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8142, "grad_tau_local": 1.501, "depth_trend": -13.16, "spatial_concentration": 65.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.594, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "22b013e3f334da2ebd278192c60d0630a258cced61ae96bb5c420bac2a762b58", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.594, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "74422a8f62d19d34298cae792aeaf945a4b15c1177c814a2691adc1bc85f0b0e" }, "receipt_sha256": "74422a8f62d19d34298cae792aeaf945a4b15c1177c814a2691adc1bc85f0b0e" }, { "row": 2, "col": 76, "lat": -55.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.469, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 89.4, "ell_trend": 5.53, "rate_acceleration": 0.83, "delta_aic_iet": 111.18, "S_over_Gamma": 16.245, "days_to_criticality": 89.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.3641, "grad_tau_local": 0.1856, "depth_trend": 1.75, "spatial_concentration": 58.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.592, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "52980e294e2116de264dc768665ed7f473b51f433ed6b706160eda52fbd3af27", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.592, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0d332e9396eb24ff366ef7caa74d0366a54439c97fce3b23505099ed9b7b1147" }, "receipt_sha256": "0d332e9396eb24ff366ef7caa74d0366a54439c97fce3b23505099ed9b7b1147" }, { "row": 21, "col": 0, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.671, "b_trend": 0.1026, "ell_km": 44.0, "ell_trend": 0.62, "rate_acceleration": 0.88, "delta_aic_iet": 214.38, "S_over_Gamma": 15.621, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.3302, "depth_trend": 1.75, "spatial_concentration": 80.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5914, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "6c9b6a735f6f59b149f9ad9ae25c6e9cb78c200b82d2aa613548ccc940695a0b", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5914, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "491dad94485dd5902e954864cd6accc6d9eb2058adfbe8865230b550a3432231" }, "receipt_sha256": "491dad94485dd5902e954864cd6accc6d9eb2058adfbe8865230b550a3432231" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.109, "b_trend": 0.3297, "ell_km": 17.7, "ell_trend": -2.05, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 742.55, "S_over_Gamma": 14.432, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6271, "grad_tau_local": 2.2495, "depth_trend": -3.95, "spatial_concentration": 42.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5911, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "873d9bf9d94fbd885a7a4ab4229c623d09155ca4fe9a98536faecbb509c09388", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5911, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "32ffe580932351745fb74e2e7a9b8a3a44dd3917c0ec791f2696d0eb1e46520a" }, "receipt_sha256": "32ffe580932351745fb74e2e7a9b8a3a44dd3917c0ec791f2696d0eb1e46520a" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.626, "b_trend": 0.1194, "ell_km": 13.1, "ell_trend": -7.92, "rate_acceleration": 1.22, "delta_aic_iet": 947.08, "S_over_Gamma": 13.678, "days_to_criticality": 24.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0869, "grad_tau_local": 0.8813, "depth_trend": -11.55, "spatial_concentration": 70.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5865, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "0aae5be67182698e340a769f75b55e40bf7627605746ddd177e40b75633054f0", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5865, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8df04f6e7fe093e08e893713ea6fc27e4ccafaec11ab431c643d5d12e23eedeb" }, "receipt_sha256": "8df04f6e7fe093e08e893713ea6fc27e4ccafaec11ab431c643d5d12e23eedeb" }, { "row": 59, "col": 12, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.095, "b_trend": 0.0081, "ell_km": 79.7, "ell_trend": 2.21, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 573.32, "S_over_Gamma": 13.33, "days_to_criticality": 20.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7383, "grad_tau_local": 1.1132, "depth_trend": 4.68, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5861, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "de7b85c11dd8a398a9e238e20ef323b9706331e0564e969e6230d6b3334a7624", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5861, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c26f14cdcbc2013f641f4e34766e576bc069af528530b56af81ab644c448e3f1" }, "receipt_sha256": "c26f14cdcbc2013f641f4e34766e576bc069af528530b56af81ab644c448e3f1" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.636, "b_trend": 0.1495, "ell_km": 11.6, "ell_trend": -11.59, "rate_acceleration": 1.65, "delta_aic_iet": 831.99, "S_over_Gamma": 13.468, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4382, "grad_tau_local": 0.669, "depth_trend": -5.26, "spatial_concentration": 77.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5844, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "92b36761e99ece971672cb42be580a26aac61d7aa5d55f0b58188201e0ff62b1", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5844, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8ea240f2b2bcca7f5a261256f65e710cd098dbebe5e253f4242e169323a85c6f" }, "receipt_sha256": "8ea240f2b2bcca7f5a261256f65e710cd098dbebe5e253f4242e169323a85c6f" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.964, "b_trend": 0.0593, "ell_km": 3.6, "ell_trend": -0.43, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 530.07, "S_over_Gamma": 13.246, "days_to_criticality": 20.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5992, "grad_tau_local": 0.8298, "depth_trend": -0.46, "spatial_concentration": 70.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5648, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "d887f7f214e7bf3a1e30eab2abcd535e667043a8582f01e77421f6e8f0c461d1", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5648, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "57a26a67e6d33d1e5b7d617604ba016293be00cdf3c12aadbda77f4509a1ff5d" }, "receipt_sha256": "57a26a67e6d33d1e5b7d617604ba016293be00cdf3c12aadbda77f4509a1ff5d" }, { "row": 18, "col": 0, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.46, "b_trend": -0.1642, "ell_km": 60.7, "ell_trend": 0.83, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 274.47, "S_over_Gamma": 15.348, "days_to_criticality": 72.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.8382, "depth_trend": -2.99, "spatial_concentration": 88.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5619, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "d3e3bd10546863c8475c30c4874a8b4f98c0ef83de4c5b0018c8ede2c0fd9972", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5619, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c9f77d22e509ef224b374628d8fee507ef26c99c66b912f2a6ebe55c762452f9" }, "receipt_sha256": "c9f77d22e509ef224b374628d8fee507ef26c99c66b912f2a6ebe55c762452f9" }, { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.436, "b_trend": -0.2574, "ell_km": 73.9, "ell_trend": 2.88, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 277.73, "S_over_Gamma": 15.674, "days_to_criticality": 19.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.6361, "grad_tau_local": 1.6372, "depth_trend": -8.21, "spatial_concentration": 91.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5576, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "e45345efe4ac0ea5a365596f3d76e638ffa775f9c448b9365f66651b9a5bb87d", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5576, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "da6e6233c7d880e35359e17b8283b09c68ba9e3e90bcff7a5ebf57b65f101df8" }, "receipt_sha256": "da6e6233c7d880e35359e17b8283b09c68ba9e3e90bcff7a5ebf57b65f101df8" }, { "row": 46, "col": 38, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -103.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.962, "b_trend": -0.1883, "ell_km": 3.8, "ell_trend": -0.12, "rate_acceleration": 0.89, "delta_aic_iet": 481.37, "S_over_Gamma": 12.912, "days_to_criticality": 38.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7609, "grad_tau_local": 0.5932, "depth_trend": -0.26, "spatial_concentration": 60.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5547, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "90bca88f14e3c95ec6ad7b2e89848bfc9f60830fe1e95553c6bdd258ca509f4f", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5547, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "82bc80bd840bf9ce4f2e71dcee8e7bb1cacd77bd7571ff64a2a72b144fc28cda" }, "receipt_sha256": "82bc80bd840bf9ce4f2e71dcee8e7bb1cacd77bd7571ff64a2a72b144fc28cda" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.345, "b_trend": -0.1481, "ell_km": 34.9, "ell_trend": -10.46, "rate_acceleration": 4.92, "delta_aic_iet": 578.07, "S_over_Gamma": 15.549, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.1341, "grad_tau_local": 0.7326, "depth_trend": -20.49, "spatial_concentration": 76.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5527, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "68abf942ab80fa7bceb2d86f666dfb67371f314a0a9edd78922bab84d46946bf", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5527, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "99c95f25a59ba8233c6dbfd4928b4c0a2e619e607dd79ed73a83aa915591e487" }, "receipt_sha256": "99c95f25a59ba8233c6dbfd4928b4c0a2e619e607dd79ed73a83aa915591e487" }, { "row": 26, "col": 164, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 149.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.231, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 66.0, "ell_trend": -15.24, "rate_acceleration": 1.22, "delta_aic_iet": 125.72, "S_over_Gamma": 16.223, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7031, "grad_tau_local": 0.6802, "depth_trend": 38.35, "spatial_concentration": 82.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5497, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "955029f94cb6c039dd8d6f62cf049717e6e35a4731b6b8429ec5b34fc3e4eaea", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5497, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7154de198b535ffb6f800a61d8b650b704424850fa83d3b65bb73ef7caf1be86" }, "receipt_sha256": "7154de198b535ffb6f800a61d8b650b704424850fa83d3b65bb73ef7caf1be86" }, { "row": 56, "col": 2, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.652, "b_trend": 0.045, "ell_km": 70.3, "ell_trend": -0.2, "rate_acceleration": 1.59, "delta_aic_iet": 598.33, "S_over_Gamma": 13.678, "days_to_criticality": -0.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7038, "grad_tau_local": 1.9969, "depth_trend": -10.83, "spatial_concentration": 72.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5474, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "8935af69da4faf2ea5b5134cfabd39fc8a3d974bd7bcb07bf27f3c0500fb8b85", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5474, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "842394e0c5bc23c159e867578865338e19a49bea8d6ecae7e419c573c0e6c4df" }, "receipt_sha256": "842394e0c5bc23c159e867578865338e19a49bea8d6ecae7e419c573c0e6c4df" }, { "row": 36, "col": 45, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -89.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.906, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 26.1, "ell_trend": 16.68, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 177.2, "S_over_Gamma": 15.042, "days_to_criticality": 29.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.7139, "grad_tau_local": 0.2577, "depth_trend": 4.61, "spatial_concentration": 74.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5422, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "501ea67966a03e91d877de75cbe76277f20d8eee265ef95b91cab61e5a4f0a55", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5422, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7971a832cfdab2bc77e16d65d3439f320cdd0aec39e22f86e9b9d7a1d6d5d74a" }, "receipt_sha256": "7971a832cfdab2bc77e16d65d3439f320cdd0aec39e22f86e9b9d7a1d6d5d74a" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.349, "b_trend": 0.1023, "ell_km": 103.4, "ell_trend": -9.38, "rate_acceleration": 1.38, "delta_aic_iet": 186.6, "S_over_Gamma": 15.735, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0848, "grad_tau_local": 0.7031, "depth_trend": 28.16, "spatial_concentration": 59.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5415, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "ff3ba077922d3706209585c7fa75bfcd361189a598fe5797807286c6d1d066b0", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5415, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0b7774059c749add27ab94015006f9d2b6d58b43147e9af5a886bb57d7bc8a3c" }, "receipt_sha256": "0b7774059c749add27ab94015006f9d2b6d58b43147e9af5a886bb57d7bc8a3c" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 43, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.478, "b_trend": 0.2972, "ell_km": 14.4, "ell_trend": -11.81, "rate_acceleration": 1.86, "delta_aic_iet": 472.71, "S_over_Gamma": 14.396, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.8924, "grad_tau_local": 1.3784, "depth_trend": -18.61, "spatial_concentration": 126.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5353, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "db1d89f3206649bb45fd5ae17e7bd64febc8f5bc95940595b53bbec4dd797acd", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5353, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "85fb984a94d5e60814ffa6447ebb0ed2e08a736b35dda0297dd30e77fcb3cc88" }, "receipt_sha256": "85fb984a94d5e60814ffa6447ebb0ed2e08a736b35dda0297dd30e77fcb3cc88" }, { "row": 14, "col": 0, "lat": -31.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.245, "b_trend": 0.0068, "ell_km": 63.1, "ell_trend": -16.91, "rate_acceleration": 2.38, "delta_aic_iet": 297.46, "S_over_Gamma": 15.798, "days_to_criticality": 2097.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.0674, "depth_trend": -16.95, "spatial_concentration": 65.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5073, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "0f5fa0bd60b7c8327926c6628eb305635e1f938ce5693013c44e73d475621c61", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5073, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f75568066dc773f468995f39207db84303a5bd74de9fc253a051aa0dfa0aac4d" }, "receipt_sha256": "f75568066dc773f468995f39207db84303a5bd74de9fc253a051aa0dfa0aac4d" }, { "row": 49, "col": 30, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.88, "b_trend": -0.0202, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": 0.18, "rate_acceleration": 2.21, "delta_aic_iet": 417.38, "S_over_Gamma": 12.955, "days_to_criticality": 16.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6084, "grad_tau_local": 0.45, "depth_trend": -0.66, "spatial_concentration": 84.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5071, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "810bde5769c5313f01ff82d0539a621cff06a071cb65377b415ea5063abba2c3", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5071, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "331d77b4bef8a0d63456eed3b03e454c1d1514fab07e03ad1bc38e51740fb823" }, "receipt_sha256": "331d77b4bef8a0d63456eed3b03e454c1d1514fab07e03ad1bc38e51740fb823" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.626, "b_trend": 0.1484, "ell_km": 12.1, "ell_trend": -12.29, "rate_acceleration": 1.24, "delta_aic_iet": 800.59, "S_over_Gamma": 13.76, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9598, "grad_tau_local": 1.4394, "depth_trend": -9.25, "spatial_concentration": 89.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5048, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "f1a674941e2257434b4ebe124a63d470db4b2c443d8fce7da20c49787f4114d5", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5048, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b8cc5835836ed4a9b6f65e18b14f8e48cee3f3f72eef484551a52885e5fe8815" }, "receipt_sha256": "b8cc5835836ed4a9b6f65e18b14f8e48cee3f3f72eef484551a52885e5fe8815" }, { "row": 36, "col": 44, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -91.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.893, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 24.5, "ell_trend": 13.57, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 170.4, "S_over_Gamma": 14.915, "days_to_criticality": 27.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.6739, "grad_tau_local": 0.5254, "depth_trend": 13.68, "spatial_concentration": 78.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5022, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "24cadd1e9623d71cbe08b3c2c9f2b9b1a14065607915a7a454e4a2fdff709acc", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5022, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fa47c59d628c06840fd578588626e1820994d725895211c8f364fb7ebaf70c46" }, "receipt_sha256": "fa47c59d628c06840fd578588626e1820994d725895211c8f364fb7ebaf70c46" }, { "row": 32, "col": 153, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.109, "b_trend": 0.0682, "ell_km": 57.4, "ell_trend": 4.96, "rate_acceleration": 1.95, "delta_aic_iet": 505.41, "S_over_Gamma": 15.429, "days_to_criticality": 90.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.2199, "grad_tau_local": 1.1519, "depth_trend": -2.14, "spatial_concentration": 71.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4944, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "eb9f7386b7f8ff34cc780a670ec1b7b94124ba718969a2d336ec9d425892aea4", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4944, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "83e3fbd578d2a9f138b65236684239546010e1af4c6f52d6fa1f2c963ee483a4" }, "receipt_sha256": "83e3fbd578d2a9f138b65236684239546010e1af4c6f52d6fa1f2c963ee483a4" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.991, "b_trend": 0.1046, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.16, "rate_acceleration": 0.66, "delta_aic_iet": 427.91, "S_over_Gamma": 13.089, "days_to_criticality": 15.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2858, "grad_tau_local": 0.9381, "depth_trend": 0.15, "spatial_concentration": 78.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4884, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "477c9dd010e9ed218fc2464ad47edfc963adb602f9a88fd7b9fed61483b2a896", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4884, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bbf4bf6e4d313fc383facf6882bf32b1c74c52757a604a8d6116de946b676dd8" }, "receipt_sha256": "bbf4bf6e4d313fc383facf6882bf32b1c74c52757a604a8d6116de946b676dd8" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.971, "b_trend": -0.2178, "ell_km": 3.8, "ell_trend": -0.13, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 381.81, "S_over_Gamma": 13.232, "days_to_criticality": 32.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5713, "grad_tau_local": 0.7685, "depth_trend": 0.03, "spatial_concentration": 38.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4881, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "f0afe0a92b6095878be47831b25a3e2e074ece80f87a84ef6085bcaad895c3e2", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4881, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bd7df75e4ea993644bd3cb568ca3218ceeff372477a3c97159f6976958b00f91" }, "receipt_sha256": "bd7df75e4ea993644bd3cb568ca3218ceeff372477a3c97159f6976958b00f91" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.782, "b_trend": 0.0219, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": 0.05, "rate_acceleration": 0.8, "delta_aic_iet": 1249.62, "S_over_Gamma": 13.439, "days_to_criticality": 20.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0917, "grad_tau_local": 1.2361, "depth_trend": 1.95, "spatial_concentration": 78.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4722, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "5ff6753320075d53f77c31c53e083cd584aaff3ad52af5c517a8e7fa3eb1abe2", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4722, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ffcce601781d37d4ca36c21412c8f6dbaaed2bb6b110a8c3fff5a760c9b1fb0e" }, "receipt_sha256": "ffcce601781d37d4ca36c21412c8f6dbaaed2bb6b110a8c3fff5a760c9b1fb0e" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.537, "b_trend": -0.506, "ell_km": 64.4, "ell_trend": 2.41, "rate_acceleration": 0.92, "delta_aic_iet": 284.75, "S_over_Gamma": 15.516, "days_to_criticality": 201.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6361, "depth_trend": -18.68, "spatial_concentration": 97.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4667, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "5c03d1b59ec58c63d7670ffb427c9a6aa7b009bab8d7dbfea51b7c783dc8eeb3", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4667, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "533b487d5053e994461f9fff9893fecbc7349b80ea3bb94bc6671d4a96fae695" }, "receipt_sha256": "533b487d5053e994461f9fff9893fecbc7349b80ea3bb94bc6671d4a96fae695" }, { "row": 39, "col": 58, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -63.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.122, "b_trend": -0.3354, "ell_km": 42.9, "ell_trend": -3.97, "rate_acceleration": 1.92, "delta_aic_iet": 580.04, "S_over_Gamma": 14.129, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.485, "grad_tau_local": 2.6034, "depth_trend": -3.99, "spatial_concentration": 46.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4662, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "82aca4d2d8db4819493bce201e2cc2b1e56e13504329315853252af923311e5d", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4662, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ef891f3c97ce7dc2e24cbffad54d91a7acd933a60beec714bdc1c70c9394b2f8" }, "receipt_sha256": "ef891f3c97ce7dc2e24cbffad54d91a7acd933a60beec714bdc1c70c9394b2f8" }, { "row": 55, "col": 168, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.168, "b_trend": 0.0122, "ell_km": 65.7, "ell_trend": -5.17, "rate_acceleration": 0.12, "delta_aic_iet": -1209.27, "S_over_Gamma": 15.434, "days_to_criticality": 2098.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.0341, "grad_tau_local": 3.1715, "depth_trend": 8.32, "spatial_concentration": 76.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4587, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "19ddbb630a53812354f1f18c237bf2c0de5b52f1b9616da317d79f8cfe31aff9", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4587, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "20608e3b4e2b41d742367c825226bc5de5ba13fac7c3640e2cf7b897feae7b0d" }, "receipt_sha256": "20608e3b4e2b41d742367c825226bc5de5ba13fac7c3640e2cf7b897feae7b0d" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 6.9, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.928, "b_trend": 0.0399, "ell_km": 34.1, "ell_trend": 2.52, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 457.48, "S_over_Gamma": 15.735, "days_to_criticality": 38.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6226, "grad_tau_local": 1.0733, "depth_trend": 6.59, "spatial_concentration": 70.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4548, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "cacabd6c5b8e190a4e720a408740662e11de9e88933a2326202f4890fe2718a8", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4548, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9a62475842eb02a2023288b85793f7f0135e9ae2ffe1bacf06c015a3f083ca52" }, "receipt_sha256": "9a62475842eb02a2023288b85793f7f0135e9ae2ffe1bacf06c015a3f083ca52" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.878, "b_trend": -0.0132, "ell_km": 109.2, "ell_trend": 2.9, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 437.04, "S_over_Gamma": 12.956, "days_to_criticality": 67.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9467, "grad_tau_local": 0.5289, "depth_trend": 1.59, "spatial_concentration": 79.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4492, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "8883c279cd2901114912aaa168e1d169512c929bca0abd7f70bbf7b7e43d9a55", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4492, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "89936eadc2de8a2df31e1724273515837bce7def2bd644d2e7af172619132187" }, "receipt_sha256": "89936eadc2de8a2df31e1724273515837bce7def2bd644d2e7af172619132187" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.887, "b_trend": -0.0496, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.31, "rate_acceleration": 1.56, "delta_aic_iet": 457.64, "S_over_Gamma": 12.836, "days_to_criticality": 17.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0974, "grad_tau_local": 0.4766, "depth_trend": -0.26, "spatial_concentration": 78.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4462, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "4c9c3db3e0fa7f8237b9cbed8e7520303b57564e51682acf902353e76cf562d9", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4462, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b1ffc638b0ac8c6b861f9b9a27d75b3803886e5684442bb00affad6eef057029" }, "receipt_sha256": "b1ffc638b0ac8c6b861f9b9a27d75b3803886e5684442bb00affad6eef057029" }, { "row": 46, "col": 39, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -101.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.3, "ell_trend": 0.03, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 183.06, "S_over_Gamma": 13.243, "days_to_criticality": 170.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1173, "grad_tau_local": 1.0601, "depth_trend": -0.54, "spatial_concentration": 62.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4422, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "cf34316db9b67c2aaf39a7184ab3a078efd2d0320b0ea7f3bca81a8021008152", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4422, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4c06af1f3d0589240559b611ddf245e17764829213db90d2358b1756c36d02fa" }, "receipt_sha256": "4c06af1f3d0589240559b611ddf245e17764829213db90d2358b1756c36d02fa" }, { "row": 49, "col": 161, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.006, "b_trend": 0.0143, "ell_km": 33.9, "ell_trend": 2.64, "rate_acceleration": 1.23, "delta_aic_iet": 575.78, "S_over_Gamma": 15.347, "days_to_criticality": 35.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0509, "grad_tau_local": 0.6579, "depth_trend": 8.43, "spatial_concentration": 80.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4376, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "ce6c7cd3a695b816b79c711817ed7315e9b28fc2a0fdf8af64ccc365b8d3125c", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4376, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cd86d7fefc38dad4cc0f55a5d65f05b8c693b046fb2cdad29519b36d12f7dd72" }, "receipt_sha256": "cd86d7fefc38dad4cc0f55a5d65f05b8c693b046fb2cdad29519b36d12f7dd72" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.811, "b_trend": 0.0975, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": 0.71, "rate_acceleration": 0.39, "delta_aic_iet": 1023.91, "S_over_Gamma": 13.212, "days_to_criticality": 57.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9071, "grad_tau_local": 1.5909, "depth_trend": 0.2, "spatial_concentration": 89.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4288, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "4b2ebf7b001d8fffafbdd3c78852c3f39a6093936bc6eff3a005b92978b99d34", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4288, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "376e5a0e639d940fa4a6d1c638d2015c125abf29d27a46034a21615816670c8a" }, "receipt_sha256": "376e5a0e639d940fa4a6d1c638d2015c125abf29d27a46034a21615816670c8a" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.136, "b_trend": -0.0068, "ell_km": 72.2, "ell_trend": -5.93, "rate_acceleration": 0.11, "delta_aic_iet": -1814.72, "S_over_Gamma": 14.952, "days_to_criticality": 20.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.5033, "grad_tau_local": 0.6299, "depth_trend": 9.04, "spatial_concentration": 80.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4236, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "ad5c81ceeeec379012d1b82efcea3c64be220931f6e1c747ff1b8c04f3ef4122", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4236, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8c2a502d953963998d90938ea2cab51b92cff794e90f86473d6177c738b49280" }, "receipt_sha256": "8c2a502d953963998d90938ea2cab51b92cff794e90f86473d6177c738b49280" }, { "row": 47, "col": 36, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -107.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 5.1, "ell_trend": -0.57, "rate_acceleration": 3.58, "delta_aic_iet": 66.79, "S_over_Gamma": 5.446, "days_to_criticality": 17.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5903, "grad_tau_local": 0.097, "depth_trend": 2.58, "spatial_concentration": 54.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4172, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "430bfdf4bfc8badc1e7109c8422c3c9e6e80f92a694df96508ea2a961e80c3ca", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4172, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f87991a915413fe47e4ddec7fa710a97b783d3394cad21ea555491fdc2374881" }, "receipt_sha256": "f87991a915413fe47e4ddec7fa710a97b783d3394cad21ea555491fdc2374881" }, { "row": 54, "col": 168, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.184, "b_trend": -0.0199, "ell_km": 102.7, "ell_trend": -8.19, "rate_acceleration": 0.17, "delta_aic_iet": -189.26, "S_over_Gamma": 14.575, "days_to_criticality": 17.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.5955, "grad_tau_local": 1.6879, "depth_trend": 15.45, "spatial_concentration": 62.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4055, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "70aa1ee9ae43abc88b22705a24dc83bdf7e422bde0262bd76448b7d04647bacc", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4055, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "52c45ddc2716179847bf18420e44f5658b670633e3a18927276443792a49ef62" }, "receipt_sha256": "52c45ddc2716179847bf18420e44f5658b670633e3a18927276443792a49ef62" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.786, "b_trend": 0.0328, "ell_km": 18.5, "ell_trend": -0.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.76, "delta_aic_iet": 1307.26, "S_over_Gamma": 13.175, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3396, "grad_tau_local": 1.5745, "depth_trend": 3.69, "spatial_concentration": 74.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3959, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "2bc0877675c2b3c749dd581e707d09d93173259fcce20053e5a253880444be0e", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3959, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6ef45b423c162cb9d8a6344599abb53683bc240c14c6436edd86816c793577a4" }, "receipt_sha256": "6ef45b423c162cb9d8a6344599abb53683bc240c14c6436edd86816c793577a4" }, { "row": 56, "col": 9, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.796, "b_trend": 0.0281, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": -0.11, "rate_acceleration": 0.69, "delta_aic_iet": 981.94, "S_over_Gamma": 13.355, "days_to_criticality": 20.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.884, "grad_tau_local": 2.2768, "depth_trend": 0.12, "spatial_concentration": 67.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3914, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "78cd75d8239613f68958a8c8270f1a190964058b1e94002ae57fc383d8b62c1c", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3914, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "255ee6da85cffb50d5b6ce60ba9c413303e3b88eba71287718da2c91c067fe6d" }, "receipt_sha256": "255ee6da85cffb50d5b6ce60ba9c413303e3b88eba71287718da2c91c067fe6d" }, { "row": 58, "col": 10, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.821, "b_trend": 0.1515, "ell_km": 16.4, "ell_trend": 0.28, "rate_acceleration": 0.4, "delta_aic_iet": 1038.54, "S_over_Gamma": 5.222, "days_to_criticality": 46.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7312, "grad_tau_local": 1.7904, "depth_trend": 8.95, "spatial_concentration": 96.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3801, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "3047bde6828656316575b6d702b83a10b30b3bc117f194c0ec44c384cdc375aa", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3801, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5bcadb198977518456a768bae216ccead13bce17ea0dac56e0e76964fb0ea6ef" }, "receipt_sha256": "5bcadb198977518456a768bae216ccead13bce17ea0dac56e0e76964fb0ea6ef" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 6.6, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.129, "b_trend": 0.0238, "ell_km": 64.8, "ell_trend": -4.79, "rate_acceleration": 0.1, "delta_aic_iet": -1657.67, "S_over_Gamma": 15.205, "days_to_criticality": 2098.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.1397, "grad_tau_local": 2.1728, "depth_trend": 7.63, "spatial_concentration": 47.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3592, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "13fb02aab807481dad1f54eaa8128a2d2890f830d9d49da4dcc9b005ce60cd3b", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3592, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2765dc705cbe99dd633dbefd25c944aa9a3dce4319dd8088e7c9fd1bdba09afa" }, "receipt_sha256": "2765dc705cbe99dd633dbefd25c944aa9a3dce4319dd8088e7c9fd1bdba09afa" }, { "row": 60, "col": 19, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.805, "b_trend": 0.0921, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -1.2, "rate_acceleration": 0.18, "delta_aic_iet": -1561.51, "S_over_Gamma": 13.084, "days_to_criticality": 20.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3043, "grad_tau_local": 1.1702, "depth_trend": 0.12, "spatial_concentration": 60.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3456, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "41ab3bb06ee7675124999363a6c0df97a14220e6b82d7a0041b664faa2afa2ac", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3456, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fdfc0e0fa25398fbdf71f46e1f4bf408692e04c9287cc8e4a02607a4aca462b4" }, "receipt_sha256": "fdfc0e0fa25398fbdf71f46e1f4bf408692e04c9287cc8e4a02607a4aca462b4" }, { "row": 29, "col": 150, "lat": -1.0, "lon": 121.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 6.7, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.811, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 18.9, "ell_trend": 8.61, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 95.72, "S_over_Gamma": 16.444, "days_to_criticality": 64.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0865, "grad_tau_local": 1.2069, "depth_trend": -17.69, "spatial_concentration": 47.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3413, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "b49ebf27cbbe18c764e4c6c6392c73e8f34451bf986b2d9d5cfe00a7cf2c8079", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3413, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d8263bc51f31ed078edb460f058a78a8bf853d91b27f11a00bb8aa0f20c4a50a" }, "receipt_sha256": "d8263bc51f31ed078edb460f058a78a8bf853d91b27f11a00bb8aa0f20c4a50a" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.796, "b_trend": 0.042, "ell_km": 18.3, "ell_trend": -0.32, "rate_acceleration": 0.71, "delta_aic_iet": 1167.51, "S_over_Gamma": 12.886, "days_to_criticality": 20.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.0692, "grad_tau_local": 0.6983, "depth_trend": 2.16, "spatial_concentration": 80.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3312, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "1fc4151c27058ee86c41d9b4d37197ea6cdc71fdda167092d0e33943c1e1eef5", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3312, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b914f5d400bdfe2cf08dc57739db723157ec194dd6c42d9a1b36ec4bf8830bbb" }, "receipt_sha256": "b914f5d400bdfe2cf08dc57739db723157ec194dd6c42d9a1b36ec4bf8830bbb" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.8, "b_trend": 0.0711, "ell_km": 18.5, "ell_trend": 0.77, "rate_acceleration": 0.48, "delta_aic_iet": 1154.03, "S_over_Gamma": 13.439, "days_to_criticality": 69.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.6681, "grad_tau_local": 1.1083, "depth_trend": 1.01, "spatial_concentration": 84.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3064, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "985733a77059c76888ef55b2239ba32bd9a99c1816d9db9f127e2e8f02adfabe", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3064, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3bd0283846d174fa6da303ba92ec0061435880cc45b5e8f4db98f4dfb0918c02" }, "receipt_sha256": "3bd0283846d174fa6da303ba92ec0061435880cc45b5e8f4db98f4dfb0918c02" }, { "row": 60, "col": 20, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -139.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 2.7, "probability": 0.0277, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.804, "b_trend": 0.0484, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -1.21, "rate_acceleration": 0.17, "delta_aic_iet": -1721.79, "S_over_Gamma": 11.96, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2056, "grad_tau_local": 1.3573, "depth_trend": -0.18, "spatial_concentration": 42.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3021, "confidence_lo": 0.0277, "confidence_hi": 0.0277, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "729ee86762ea8e81d1b560da49c843700e634938e0f1a95078e035e0e049cbb4", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3021, "probability": 0.027703, "confidence_lo": 0.027655, "confidence_hi": 0.027704, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "717325957c82748c5de964eec91768ca6e8301a21315b6779bb5a29a9de94604" }, "receipt_sha256": "717325957c82748c5de964eec91768ca6e8301a21315b6779bb5a29a9de94604" }, { "row": 41, "col": 47, "lat": 23.0, "lon": -85.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.0006, "risk_band": "minimal", "scoring_tier": "tier2_heuristic", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": null, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": null, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 0.38, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 0, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 0.8803, "grad_tau_local": 0.2051, "depth_trend": null, "spatial_concentration": 2.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.0, "confidence_lo": 0.0, "confidence_hi": 0.0006, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "8644dad101ba681c0456822926d0d2a885b59bc6e7bb74456362daf11cc69ccb", "input_sha256": "af5570f5a1810b7af78caf4bc70a660f0df51e42baf91d4de5b2328de0e83dfc", "issued_at": "2026-07-01T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.0, "probability": 0.000554, "confidence_lo": 0.0, "confidence_hi": 0.000555, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f55b6fb4cca2627892a58784f88dc73d98ba68e30bf31ab562f71e29f682dd47" }, "receipt_sha256": "f55b6fb4cca2627892a58784f88dc73d98ba68e30bf31ab562f71e29f682dd47" } ] }