{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260624_0100", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-06-24T01:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-05-20T01:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-06-24T01:00:00Z", "n_events": 32098, "n_recent_events": 1852 }, "n_active_cells": 78, "top_probability": 0.8717, "active_cells": [ { "row": 48, "col": 137, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 95.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.8717, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 16.1, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 12.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 7.911, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.7997, "grad_tau_local": 0.0623, "depth_trend": 0.08, "spatial_concentration": 57.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 101, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 23.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.7448, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.332, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 10.0, "ell_trend": -0.9, "rate_acceleration": 1.52, "delta_aic_iet": 67.13, "S_over_Gamma": 16.703, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3784, "grad_tau_local": 0.3849, "depth_trend": -5.28, "spatial_concentration": 68.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.728, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.082, "b_trend": 0.1406, "ell_km": 69.6, "ell_trend": -2.11, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 237.42, "S_over_Gamma": 15.165, "days_to_criticality": 21.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6925, "grad_tau_local": 0.4321, "depth_trend": -12.2, "spatial_concentration": 84.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.718, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.918, "b_trend": -0.0968, "ell_km": 5.3, "ell_trend": 0.52, "rate_acceleration": 1.46, "delta_aic_iet": 208.91, "S_over_Gamma": 13.382, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.2038, "grad_tau_local": 0.1997, "depth_trend": -2.86, "spatial_concentration": 33.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 36, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.7072, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.653, "b_trend": 0.1701, "ell_km": 12.1, "ell_trend": -2.26, "rate_acceleration": 1.73, "delta_aic_iet": 888.98, "S_over_Gamma": 13.251, "days_to_criticality": 2097.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0658, "grad_tau_local": 0.0813, "depth_trend": -3.23, "spatial_concentration": 68.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 28, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.6905, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.711, "b_trend": 0.0275, "ell_km": 30.5, "ell_trend": 1.93, "rate_acceleration": 2.33, "delta_aic_iet": 614.31, "S_over_Gamma": 13.27, "days_to_criticality": 103.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3368, "grad_tau_local": 0.5373, "depth_trend": -8.29, "spatial_concentration": 84.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.6904, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.652, "b_trend": 0.033, "ell_km": 82.7, "ell_trend": -1.24, "rate_acceleration": 1.59, "delta_aic_iet": 764.68, "S_over_Gamma": 13.424, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7571, "grad_tau_local": 2.8947, "depth_trend": -7.51, "spatial_concentration": 153.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 17, "col": 179, "lat": -25.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.6658, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.356, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 63.4, "ell_trend": 0.01, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 215.45, "S_over_Gamma": 15.164, "days_to_criticality": 2097.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.3394, "depth_trend": -1.38, "spatial_concentration": 81.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 33, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.6612, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.504, "b_trend": -0.0597, "ell_km": 19.9, "ell_trend": -10.66, "rate_acceleration": 1.71, "delta_aic_iet": 660.51, "S_over_Gamma": 13.731, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6769, "depth_trend": -21.63, "spatial_concentration": 74.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 38, "col": 149, "lat": 17.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.6569, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 16.5, "ell_trend": -1.66, "rate_acceleration": 2.58, "delta_aic_iet": 73.77, "S_over_Gamma": 14.559, "days_to_criticality": 1781.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.1855, "grad_tau_local": 0.6849, "depth_trend": -18.93, "spatial_concentration": 69.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.6544, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.326, "b_trend": -0.0471, "ell_km": 87.9, "ell_trend": 2.94, "rate_acceleration": 0.56, "delta_aic_iet": 216.31, "S_over_Gamma": 14.892, "days_to_criticality": 19.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9952, "grad_tau_local": 1.0693, "depth_trend": 8.43, "spatial_concentration": 71.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 36, "col": 45, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -89.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.6519, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.969, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 26.2, "ell_trend": 19.8, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 181.84, "S_over_Gamma": 15.824, "days_to_criticality": 20.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.7707, "grad_tau_local": 0.2539, "depth_trend": 2.73, "spatial_concentration": 73.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 17, "col": 56, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.6484, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.669, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.7, "ell_trend": 0.9, "rate_acceleration": 0.92, "delta_aic_iet": 147.47, "S_over_Gamma": 15.533, "days_to_criticality": 57.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0575, "grad_tau_local": 0.8384, "depth_trend": 15.45, "spatial_concentration": 54.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 168, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.644, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.164, "b_trend": 0.0397, "ell_km": 66.0, "ell_trend": -5.4, "rate_acceleration": 0.11, "delta_aic_iet": -1176.42, "S_over_Gamma": 15.434, "days_to_criticality": 2097.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.9024, "grad_tau_local": 3.0408, "depth_trend": 8.33, "spatial_concentration": 76.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.643, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.62, "b_trend": 0.0413, "ell_km": 74.1, "ell_trend": -1.2, "rate_acceleration": 1.49, "delta_aic_iet": 719.27, "S_over_Gamma": 13.582, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.7571, "depth_trend": -11.42, "spatial_concentration": 115.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 6.6, "probability": 0.6383, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.126, "b_trend": 0.0526, "ell_km": 64.9, "ell_trend": -5.77, "rate_acceleration": 0.09, "delta_aic_iet": -1712.16, "S_over_Gamma": 15.729, "days_to_criticality": 1797.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.328, "grad_tau_local": 2.06, "depth_trend": 7.59, "spatial_concentration": 47.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.6376, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.655, "b_trend": 0.0171, "ell_km": 75.3, "ell_trend": -1.3, "rate_acceleration": 1.57, "delta_aic_iet": 659.42, "S_over_Gamma": 13.516, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.7731, "grad_tau_local": 0.8439, "depth_trend": -4.62, "spatial_concentration": 76.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.6373, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.634, "b_trend": 0.167, "ell_km": 11.7, "ell_trend": -11.59, "rate_acceleration": 1.73, "delta_aic_iet": 844.17, "S_over_Gamma": 13.269, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3975, "grad_tau_local": 0.6763, "depth_trend": -5.84, "spatial_concentration": 78.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 137, "max_mag": 7.8, "probability": 0.6353, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.06, "b_trend": -0.1311, "ell_km": 28.5, "ell_trend": -13.54, "rate_acceleration": 1.84, "delta_aic_iet": 400.4, "S_over_Gamma": 16.042, "days_to_criticality": 2098.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.0192, "grad_tau_local": 1.0954, "depth_trend": -6.97, "spatial_concentration": 83.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 45, "col": 160, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.7, "probability": 0.6343, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 79.2, "ell_trend": 14.14, "rate_acceleration": 1.37, "delta_aic_iet": 121.53, "S_over_Gamma": 15.712, "days_to_criticality": 6.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9386, "grad_tau_local": 0.5149, "depth_trend": 4.59, "spatial_concentration": 72.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 19, "col": 174, "lat": -21.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.6342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 101.7, "ell_trend": -3.23, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 132.8, "S_over_Gamma": 16.139, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9027, "grad_tau_local": 0.7183, "depth_trend": -9.42, "spatial_concentration": 71.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 6.9, "probability": 0.6323, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.154, "b_trend": 0.4229, "ell_km": 38.0, "ell_trend": 1.33, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 299.02, "S_over_Gamma": 15.719, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5249, "grad_tau_local": 0.6088, "depth_trend": 1.57, "spatial_concentration": 62.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 13, "col": 54, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -71.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.6303, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.088, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 12.4, "ell_trend": 0.12, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 130.28, "S_over_Gamma": 15.403, "days_to_criticality": -3.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3804, "grad_tau_local": 0.7694, "depth_trend": -9.26, "spatial_concentration": 65.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 45, "col": 161, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.6297, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 91.5, "ell_trend": 17.35, "rate_acceleration": 1.52, "delta_aic_iet": 95.97, "S_over_Gamma": 16.957, "days_to_criticality": 7.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.4188, "grad_tau_local": 0.8614, "depth_trend": -2.44, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.6252, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.451, "b_trend": 0.3289, "ell_km": 14.6, "ell_trend": -10.5, "rate_acceleration": 1.86, "delta_aic_iet": 386.02, "S_over_Gamma": 13.94, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.6464, "grad_tau_local": 1.2864, "depth_trend": -25.3, "spatial_concentration": 113.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 62, "col": 8, "lat": 65.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.6149, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": 0.58, "rate_acceleration": 2.79, "delta_aic_iet": 63.49, "S_over_Gamma": 10.828, "days_to_criticality": 546.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.2107, "grad_tau_local": 0.8418, "depth_trend": -2.35, "spatial_concentration": 70.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.6105, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.626, "b_trend": 0.1214, "ell_km": 12.7, "ell_trend": -10.68, "rate_acceleration": 1.29, "delta_aic_iet": 866.25, "S_over_Gamma": 13.82, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8037, "grad_tau_local": 1.5236, "depth_trend": -15.69, "spatial_concentration": 66.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 16, "col": 54, "lat": -27.0, "lon": -71.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.6077, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.2, "ell_trend": -0.53, "rate_acceleration": 1.35, "delta_aic_iet": 54.02, "S_over_Gamma": 14.581, "days_to_criticality": 7.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1094, "grad_tau_local": 0.5413, "depth_trend": -0.36, "spatial_concentration": 74.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 14, "col": 0, "lat": -31.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.6021, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.264, "b_trend": -0.04, "ell_km": 63.9, "ell_trend": -17.41, "rate_acceleration": 2.23, "delta_aic_iet": 296.78, "S_over_Gamma": 15.993, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.0537, "depth_trend": -21.48, "spatial_concentration": 65.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 36, "col": 44, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -91.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.5993, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.882, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 23.7, "ell_trend": 15.57, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 174.71, "S_over_Gamma": 15.673, "days_to_criticality": 20.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.7025, "grad_tau_local": 0.5234, "depth_trend": 20.91, "spatial_concentration": 78.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.5972, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.654, "b_trend": 0.1564, "ell_km": 10.7, "ell_trend": -0.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 346.97, "S_over_Gamma": 13.397, "days_to_criticality": 19.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5197, "grad_tau_local": 0.6268, "depth_trend": -0.13, "spatial_concentration": 79.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.5966, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.992, "b_trend": 0.0402, "ell_km": 3.8, "ell_trend": -0.47, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 533.09, "S_over_Gamma": 13.133, "days_to_criticality": 21.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6009, "grad_tau_local": 0.8367, "depth_trend": -0.71, "spatial_concentration": 68.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.5918, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.84, "b_trend": 0.0944, "ell_km": 103.4, "ell_trend": -0.11, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 580.77, "S_over_Gamma": 12.747, "days_to_criticality": 2100.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7563, "grad_tau_local": 0.9086, "depth_trend": 2.57, "spatial_concentration": 77.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.586, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.102, "b_trend": -0.0177, "ell_km": 27.3, "ell_trend": 7.56, "rate_acceleration": 0.65, "delta_aic_iet": 240.1, "S_over_Gamma": 15.561, "days_to_criticality": 15.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.962, "grad_tau_local": 0.2514, "depth_trend": 37.68, "spatial_concentration": 89.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 46, "col": 38, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -103.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.5824, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.968, "b_trend": -0.1905, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": -0.12, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 491.64, "S_over_Gamma": 12.912, "days_to_criticality": 23.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.775, "grad_tau_local": 0.6126, "depth_trend": -0.3, "spatial_concentration": 61.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.5811, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.132, "b_trend": 0.0276, "ell_km": 72.3, "ell_trend": -5.96, "rate_acceleration": 0.1, "delta_aic_iet": -1901.3, "S_over_Gamma": 14.313, "days_to_criticality": 2097.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.1648, "grad_tau_local": 0.6576, "depth_trend": 9.14, "spatial_concentration": 80.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.5778, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.63, "b_trend": 0.1288, "ell_km": 13.0, "ell_trend": -8.0, "rate_acceleration": 1.27, "delta_aic_iet": 952.25, "S_over_Gamma": 13.943, "days_to_criticality": 24.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1003, "grad_tau_local": 0.8821, "depth_trend": -13.59, "spatial_concentration": 70.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.5505, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.471, "b_trend": 0.3135, "ell_km": 15.6, "ell_trend": -11.86, "rate_acceleration": 1.86, "delta_aic_iet": 461.07, "S_over_Gamma": 14.419, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.6769, "grad_tau_local": 1.3007, "depth_trend": -22.2, "spatial_concentration": 125.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 32, "col": 153, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.5339, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.086, "b_trend": 0.0607, "ell_km": 62.9, "ell_trend": 5.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.44, "delta_aic_iet": 522.75, "S_over_Gamma": 15.678, "days_to_criticality": 79.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.0587, "grad_tau_local": 0.8821, "depth_trend": -2.96, "spatial_concentration": 71.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.5313, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.876, "b_trend": -0.043, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.56, "delta_aic_iet": 457.26, "S_over_Gamma": 13.47, "days_to_criticality": 22.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.134, "grad_tau_local": 0.5075, "depth_trend": -0.37, "spatial_concentration": 79.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.5309, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.628, "b_trend": 0.1568, "ell_km": 12.2, "ell_trend": -11.76, "rate_acceleration": 1.32, "delta_aic_iet": 806.57, "S_over_Gamma": 13.934, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9474, "grad_tau_local": 1.4238, "depth_trend": -11.58, "spatial_concentration": 88.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.5264, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.501, "b_trend": 0.0741, "ell_km": 26.8, "ell_trend": 4.73, "rate_acceleration": 0.84, "delta_aic_iet": 195.48, "S_over_Gamma": 13.56, "days_to_criticality": 9.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1294, "grad_tau_local": 0.9524, "depth_trend": 0.24, "spatial_concentration": 84.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 20, "col": 1, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.5261, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.612, "b_trend": -0.3233, "ell_km": 51.4, "ell_trend": 0.59, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 441.73, "S_over_Gamma": 15.509, "days_to_criticality": 93.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.0017, "grad_tau_local": 1.8767, "depth_trend": -54.27, "spatial_concentration": 71.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.5259, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.979, "b_trend": -0.1968, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": -0.14, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 391.14, "S_over_Gamma": 13.085, "days_to_criticality": 21.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6233, "grad_tau_local": 0.7662, "depth_trend": -0.01, "spatial_concentration": 38.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.5189, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.782, "b_trend": 0.0204, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": 0.31, "rate_acceleration": 0.84, "delta_aic_iet": 1239.62, "S_over_Gamma": 13.141, "days_to_criticality": 24.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0952, "grad_tau_local": 1.2632, "depth_trend": 1.7, "spatial_concentration": 78.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 33, "col": 153, "lat": 7.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.5159, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.016, "b_trend": 0.0828, "ell_km": 62.7, "ell_trend": 5.51, "rate_acceleration": 1.49, "delta_aic_iet": 447.92, "S_over_Gamma": 15.731, "days_to_criticality": 90.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.8188, "grad_tau_local": 1.2075, "depth_trend": 3.78, "spatial_concentration": 66.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.5095, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.534, "b_trend": -0.6197, "ell_km": 66.7, "ell_trend": 2.75, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 296.38, "S_over_Gamma": 15.765, "days_to_criticality": 159.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6223, "depth_trend": -21.34, "spatial_concentration": 95.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.5088, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.875, "b_trend": 0.0488, "ell_km": 89.4, "ell_trend": -2.63, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 620.29, "S_over_Gamma": 13.309, "days_to_criticality": 2100.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8081, "grad_tau_local": 1.6687, "depth_trend": 1.9, "spatial_concentration": 70.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.5076, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.413, "b_trend": -0.0465, "ell_km": 105.2, "ell_trend": -8.09, "rate_acceleration": 1.44, "delta_aic_iet": 185.68, "S_over_Gamma": 15.703, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0621, "grad_tau_local": 0.6907, "depth_trend": 21.97, "spatial_concentration": 60.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 47, "col": 36, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -107.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.505, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 5.6, "ell_trend": -0.59, "rate_acceleration": 3.84, "delta_aic_iet": 52.25, "S_over_Gamma": 5.449, "days_to_criticality": 16.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5922, "grad_tau_local": 0.0983, "depth_trend": 2.71, "spatial_concentration": 54.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.5023, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.342, "b_trend": -0.1345, "ell_km": 35.5, "ell_trend": -10.3, "rate_acceleration": 4.79, "delta_aic_iet": 552.12, "S_over_Gamma": 15.808, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.0968, "grad_tau_local": 0.6874, "depth_trend": -23.27, "spatial_concentration": 75.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.4997, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.882, "b_trend": 0.0609, "ell_km": 89.0, "ell_trend": -2.5, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 585.58, "S_over_Gamma": 13.296, "days_to_criticality": 2100.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1644, "grad_tau_local": 1.9278, "depth_trend": 3.81, "spatial_concentration": 73.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 54, "col": 168, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.4973, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.183, "b_trend": 0.0141, "ell_km": 102.9, "ell_trend": -8.08, "rate_acceleration": 0.15, "delta_aic_iet": -224.69, "S_over_Gamma": 14.308, "days_to_criticality": 2097.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.4546, "grad_tau_local": 1.6545, "depth_trend": 15.78, "spatial_concentration": 62.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 66, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.4945, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.245, "b_trend": 0.311, "ell_km": 36.9, "ell_trend": -0.48, "rate_acceleration": 1.72, "delta_aic_iet": 1242.99, "S_over_Gamma": 14.01, "days_to_criticality": -0.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6796, "grad_tau_local": 1.7314, "depth_trend": -1.09, "spatial_concentration": 47.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 50, "col": 29, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.4845, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.846, "b_trend": -0.0127, "ell_km": 3.3, "ell_trend": 0.08, "rate_acceleration": 4.08, "delta_aic_iet": 318.93, "S_over_Gamma": 11.994, "days_to_criticality": 20.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3113, "grad_tau_local": 0.9626, "depth_trend": -1.79, "spatial_concentration": 55.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.484, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.854, "b_trend": 0.0136, "ell_km": 86.7, "ell_trend": -0.6, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 788.69, "S_over_Gamma": 13.059, "days_to_criticality": 2100.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4057, "grad_tau_local": 0.46, "depth_trend": 1.97, "spatial_concentration": 68.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 29, "col": 150, "lat": -1.0, "lon": 121.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 6.7, "probability": 0.4766, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.801, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.2, "ell_trend": 8.78, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 91.28, "S_over_Gamma": 16.565, "days_to_criticality": 68.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.9136, "grad_tau_local": 1.1991, "depth_trend": -7.59, "spatial_concentration": 49.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 160, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.4737, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.0, "b_trend": 0.0511, "ell_km": 32.9, "ell_trend": 2.33, "rate_acceleration": 1.34, "delta_aic_iet": 496.93, "S_over_Gamma": 15.171, "days_to_criticality": 34.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6956, "grad_tau_local": 1.4542, "depth_trend": 5.92, "spatial_concentration": 85.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 30, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.4729, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.866, "b_trend": -0.0473, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": 0.27, "rate_acceleration": 2.21, "delta_aic_iet": 427.47, "S_over_Gamma": 12.958, "days_to_criticality": 11.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6355, "grad_tau_local": 0.4461, "depth_trend": -0.75, "spatial_concentration": 82.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.4678, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.869, "b_trend": 0.2666, "ell_km": 24.0, "ell_trend": 0.91, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 259.3, "S_over_Gamma": 13.44, "days_to_criticality": 16.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6986, "grad_tau_local": 1.2341, "depth_trend": -0.24, "spatial_concentration": 48.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.4627, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.867, "b_trend": 0.0806, "ell_km": 84.6, "ell_trend": 2.59, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 602.25, "S_over_Gamma": 13.249, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5891, "grad_tau_local": 0.1924, "depth_trend": 5.03, "spatial_concentration": 81.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 46, "col": 37, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.4621, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.957, "b_trend": -0.1996, "ell_km": 3.8, "ell_trend": -0.14, "rate_acceleration": 1.41, "delta_aic_iet": 437.55, "S_over_Gamma": 12.413, "days_to_criticality": 21.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1411, "grad_tau_local": 0.5667, "depth_trend": 0.23, "spatial_concentration": 86.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.4594, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.983, "b_trend": 0.1057, "ell_km": 2.5, "ell_trend": -0.16, "rate_acceleration": 0.65, "delta_aic_iet": 440.45, "S_over_Gamma": 13.194, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3401, "grad_tau_local": 0.9454, "depth_trend": 0.05, "spatial_concentration": 78.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.4489, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.786, "b_trend": 0.0303, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": 0.26, "rate_acceleration": 0.8, "delta_aic_iet": 1285.9, "S_over_Gamma": 13.371, "days_to_criticality": 21.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4187, "grad_tau_local": 1.6447, "depth_trend": 3.04, "spatial_concentration": 73.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 46, "col": 39, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -101.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.4443, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.4, "ell_trend": 0.05, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 181.89, "S_over_Gamma": 13.229, "days_to_criticality": 23.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1171, "grad_tau_local": 1.0736, "depth_trend": -0.53, "spatial_concentration": 62.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.4416, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.232, "b_trend": 0.4196, "ell_km": 31.3, "ell_trend": -1.83, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 996.47, "S_over_Gamma": 13.008, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9791, "grad_tau_local": 2.1046, "depth_trend": -3.43, "spatial_concentration": 56.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.4381, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.106, "b_trend": 0.2534, "ell_km": 23.7, "ell_trend": -1.41, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 854.21, "S_over_Gamma": 14.384, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9486, "grad_tau_local": 2.2598, "depth_trend": -5.16, "spatial_concentration": 41.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.4321, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.881, "b_trend": -0.0201, "ell_km": 112.5, "ell_trend": 3.05, "rate_acceleration": 1.14, "delta_aic_iet": 430.52, "S_over_Gamma": 13.32, "days_to_criticality": 68.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9655, "grad_tau_local": 0.5474, "depth_trend": 2.1, "spatial_concentration": 79.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 32, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.4206, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.227, "b_trend": -0.04, "ell_km": 41.7, "ell_trend": -3.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.38, "delta_aic_iet": 1419.29, "S_over_Gamma": 13.706, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.7291, "grad_tau_local": 1.1931, "depth_trend": -4.89, "spatial_concentration": 65.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 31, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.3785, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.846, "b_trend": -0.0122, "ell_km": 3.0, "ell_trend": 0.01, "rate_acceleration": 2.11, "delta_aic_iet": 388.42, "S_over_Gamma": 12.87, "days_to_criticality": 15.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2386, "grad_tau_local": 0.7346, "depth_trend": -0.56, "spatial_concentration": 61.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 9, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.3735, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.797, "b_trend": 0.0274, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": 0.15, "rate_acceleration": 0.73, "delta_aic_iet": 956.31, "S_over_Gamma": 13.567, "days_to_criticality": 21.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9571, "grad_tau_local": 2.3539, "depth_trend": -0.23, "spatial_concentration": 67.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 19, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -141.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.3654, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.807, "b_trend": 0.0873, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -0.09, "rate_acceleration": 0.19, "delta_aic_iet": -1598.63, "S_over_Gamma": 13.44, "days_to_criticality": 17.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2847, "grad_tau_local": 1.1308, "depth_trend": 0.1, "spatial_concentration": 59.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 20, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -139.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.3584, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.802, "b_trend": 0.0843, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -0.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.18, "delta_aic_iet": -1772.73, "S_over_Gamma": 11.61, "days_to_criticality": 16.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0652, "grad_tau_local": 1.387, "depth_trend": -0.17, "spatial_concentration": 42.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.3436, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.941, "b_trend": 0.0494, "ell_km": 32.9, "ell_trend": 2.44, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 423.0, "S_over_Gamma": 15.207, "days_to_criticality": 35.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.5642, "grad_tau_local": 1.0847, "depth_trend": 6.24, "spatial_concentration": 70.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.3419, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.797, "b_trend": 0.0338, "ell_km": 18.3, "ell_trend": -0.04, "rate_acceleration": 0.74, "delta_aic_iet": 1115.09, "S_over_Gamma": 13.443, "days_to_criticality": 20.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.2638, "grad_tau_local": 0.6713, "depth_trend": 1.67, "spatial_concentration": 80.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.3281, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.802, "b_trend": 0.0609, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": 0.8, "rate_acceleration": 0.52, "delta_aic_iet": 1122.0, "S_over_Gamma": 13.348, "days_to_criticality": 45.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.6873, "grad_tau_local": 1.1878, "depth_trend": 0.94, "spatial_concentration": 85.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 161, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.3044, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.025, "b_trend": 0.0252, "ell_km": 32.8, "ell_trend": 2.46, "rate_acceleration": 1.28, "delta_aic_iet": 531.0, "S_over_Gamma": 15.273, "days_to_criticality": 32.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.1094, "grad_tau_local": 0.5802, "depth_trend": 8.99, "spatial_concentration": 81.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 41, "col": 47, "lat": 23.0, "lon": -85.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.0, "risk_band": "minimal", "scoring_tier": "tier2_heuristic", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": null, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": null, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 0.379, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 0, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 0.8913, "grad_tau_local": 0.2103, "depth_trend": null, "spatial_concentration": 1.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" } ] }