{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260615_0800", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-06-15T08:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-05-11T08:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-06-15T08:00:00Z", "n_events": 31838, "n_recent_events": 1685 }, "n_active_cells": 78, "top_probability": 0.7322, "active_cells": [ { "row": 49, "col": 101, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 23.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.7322, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.33, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 11.8, "ell_trend": 0.16, "rate_acceleration": 1.89, "delta_aic_iet": 69.7, "S_over_Gamma": 16.593, "days_to_criticality": 1523.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3485, "grad_tau_local": 0.3849, "depth_trend": -6.38, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 29, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.7319, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.934, "b_trend": -0.0749, "ell_km": 5.4, "ell_trend": 0.51, "rate_acceleration": 1.3, "delta_aic_iet": 203.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.316, "days_to_criticality": 20.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.109, "grad_tau_local": 0.1918, "depth_trend": -3.9, "spatial_concentration": 34.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 16, "col": 54, "lat": -27.0, "lon": -71.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.7171, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.1, "ell_trend": -0.71, "rate_acceleration": 1.35, "delta_aic_iet": 54.02, "S_over_Gamma": 14.581, "days_to_criticality": -3.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1265, "grad_tau_local": 0.55, "depth_trend": -0.51, "spatial_concentration": 74.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 85, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.6836, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.25, "b_trend": 0.1181, "ell_km": 36.4, "ell_trend": -0.83, "rate_acceleration": 1.75, "delta_aic_iet": 1233.86, "S_over_Gamma": 14.005, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6321, "grad_tau_local": 1.7239, "depth_trend": -1.07, "spatial_concentration": 47.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.6828, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.088, "b_trend": 0.0879, "ell_km": 71.3, "ell_trend": -2.69, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 233.04, "S_over_Gamma": 15.345, "days_to_criticality": 21.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.7408, "grad_tau_local": 0.4301, "depth_trend": -9.92, "spatial_concentration": 84.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 11, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.6811, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.923, "b_trend": -0.0742, "ell_km": 5.4, "ell_trend": 0.51, "rate_acceleration": 1.34, "delta_aic_iet": 199.9, "S_over_Gamma": 11.227, "days_to_criticality": 20.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.9137, "grad_tau_local": 1.0221, "depth_trend": -4.53, "spatial_concentration": 33.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 33, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.6784, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.624, "b_trend": 0.0251, "ell_km": 75.0, "ell_trend": -1.61, "rate_acceleration": 1.42, "delta_aic_iet": 726.9, "S_over_Gamma": 13.543, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.7135, "depth_trend": -11.45, "spatial_concentration": 117.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 34, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.6773, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.656, "b_trend": 0.0103, "ell_km": 83.2, "ell_trend": -2.1, "rate_acceleration": 1.5, "delta_aic_iet": 752.54, "S_over_Gamma": 13.407, "days_to_criticality": 2098.1, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7135, "grad_tau_local": 2.8541, "depth_trend": -7.64, "spatial_concentration": 152.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 38, "col": 149, "lat": 17.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.6755, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 37.9, "ell_trend": -0.47, "rate_acceleration": 1.92, "delta_aic_iet": 62.48, "S_over_Gamma": 14.804, "days_to_criticality": 25.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.0778, "grad_tau_local": 0.6859, "depth_trend": -14.22, "spatial_concentration": 66.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 17, "col": 56, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.6678, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.673, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 29.5, "ell_trend": 1.18, "rate_acceleration": 0.89, "delta_aic_iet": 148.07, "S_over_Gamma": 15.543, "days_to_criticality": 18.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0763, "grad_tau_local": 0.8482, "depth_trend": 15.6, "spatial_concentration": 53.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 34, "col": 153, "lat": 9.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.6661, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.118, "b_trend": -0.015, "ell_km": 52.2, "ell_trend": 5.8, "rate_acceleration": 0.41, "delta_aic_iet": 315.92, "S_over_Gamma": 16.227, "days_to_criticality": 28.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8867, "grad_tau_local": 1.8041, "depth_trend": -6.11, "spatial_concentration": 71.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 77, "max_mag": 7.8, "probability": 0.6621, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.076, "b_trend": -0.1064, "ell_km": 24.0, "ell_trend": -16.59, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 383.52, "S_over_Gamma": 16.29, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5185, "grad_tau_local": 1.0735, "depth_trend": -25.26, "spatial_concentration": 80.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 4, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.658, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.621, "b_trend": 0.1327, "ell_km": 12.1, "ell_trend": -11.19, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 781.66, "S_over_Gamma": 13.415, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0862, "grad_tau_local": 1.3175, "depth_trend": -12.39, "spatial_concentration": 72.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 27, "col": 163, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 147.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.6537, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.104, "b_trend": 0.1382, "ell_km": 27.7, "ell_trend": -14.88, "rate_acceleration": 2.4, "delta_aic_iet": 262.2, "S_over_Gamma": 15.244, "days_to_criticality": 2097.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1145, "grad_tau_local": 0.1726, "depth_trend": -13.5, "spatial_concentration": 62.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 18, "col": 56, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.6501, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.53, "b_trend": 0.0415, "ell_km": 36.5, "ell_trend": 0.46, "rate_acceleration": 0.96, "delta_aic_iet": 265.51, "S_over_Gamma": 15.706, "days_to_criticality": 517.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.3481, "grad_tau_local": 0.861, "depth_trend": 1.64, "spatial_concentration": 43.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 17, "col": 179, "lat": -25.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.6437, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.351, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 61.8, "ell_trend": -0.23, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 225.09, "S_over_Gamma": 15.573, "days_to_criticality": 2097.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.3391, "depth_trend": -2.49, "spatial_concentration": 79.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.6341, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.645, "b_trend": 0.152, "ell_km": 12.1, "ell_trend": -2.49, "rate_acceleration": 1.71, "delta_aic_iet": 880.05, "S_over_Gamma": 13.473, "days_to_criticality": 2098.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9457, "grad_tau_local": 0.1154, "depth_trend": -6.52, "spatial_concentration": 67.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 36, "col": 45, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -89.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.6274, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.941, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 18.5, "ell_trend": 18.83, "rate_acceleration": 0.88, "delta_aic_iet": 177.13, "S_over_Gamma": 15.77, "days_to_criticality": 21.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.7471, "grad_tau_local": 0.239, "depth_trend": 8.97, "spatial_concentration": 74.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.6089, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.628, "b_trend": 0.1099, "ell_km": 13.1, "ell_trend": -9.0, "rate_acceleration": 1.28, "delta_aic_iet": 950.22, "S_over_Gamma": 13.615, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.9792, "grad_tau_local": 0.8646, "depth_trend": -19.0, "spatial_concentration": 70.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.6069, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.653, "b_trend": -0.0115, "ell_km": 75.4, "ell_trend": -1.78, "rate_acceleration": 1.49, "delta_aic_iet": 654.74, "S_over_Gamma": 13.416, "days_to_criticality": 2097.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6912, "grad_tau_local": 0.8096, "depth_trend": -5.0, "spatial_concentration": 77.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 33, "col": 153, "lat": 7.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.6056, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.024, "b_trend": 0.0658, "ell_km": 65.3, "ell_trend": 7.15, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 431.85, "S_over_Gamma": 15.324, "days_to_criticality": 51.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6144, "grad_tau_local": 1.0888, "depth_trend": 4.26, "spatial_concentration": 72.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.5946, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.703, "b_trend": 0.0017, "ell_km": 29.6, "ell_trend": 1.95, "rate_acceleration": 2.2, "delta_aic_iet": 620.26, "S_over_Gamma": 13.244, "days_to_criticality": 40.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2424, "grad_tau_local": 0.5493, "depth_trend": -7.01, "spatial_concentration": 85.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 32, "col": 153, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.5912, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.094, "b_trend": 0.0645, "ell_km": 63.1, "ell_trend": 6.94, "rate_acceleration": 0.96, "delta_aic_iet": 498.75, "S_over_Gamma": 15.734, "days_to_criticality": 46.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.7831, "grad_tau_local": 0.7124, "depth_trend": 0.27, "spatial_concentration": 71.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 14, "col": 54, "lat": -31.0, "lon": -71.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.5887, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.046, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 16.5, "ell_trend": -0.34, "rate_acceleration": 0.8, "delta_aic_iet": 130.28, "S_over_Gamma": 15.312, "days_to_criticality": 20.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.985, "grad_tau_local": 0.4979, "depth_trend": -8.51, "spatial_concentration": 70.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.5885, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.986, "b_trend": 0.0794, "ell_km": 3.8, "ell_trend": -0.59, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 529.12, "S_over_Gamma": 13.369, "days_to_criticality": 24.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5398, "grad_tau_local": 0.9486, "depth_trend": -0.88, "spatial_concentration": 67.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 26, "col": 163, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 147.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.5874, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.092, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 65.9, "ell_trend": -16.84, "rate_acceleration": 1.3, "delta_aic_iet": 119.77, "S_over_Gamma": 15.396, "days_to_criticality": 2097.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6206, "grad_tau_local": 0.8954, "depth_trend": 29.46, "spatial_concentration": 69.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 6.9, "probability": 0.5854, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.152, "b_trend": 0.398, "ell_km": 40.0, "ell_trend": 1.09, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 295.49, "S_over_Gamma": 15.153, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5416, "grad_tau_local": 0.6377, "depth_trend": 3.0, "spatial_concentration": 62.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 13, "col": 54, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -71.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.5852, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.099, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.6, "ell_trend": 0.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 128.1, "S_over_Gamma": 15.605, "days_to_criticality": 20.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3838, "grad_tau_local": 0.7734, "depth_trend": -8.58, "spatial_concentration": 63.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.5833, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.669, "b_trend": 0.1561, "ell_km": 11.4, "ell_trend": -0.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 350.21, "S_over_Gamma": 13.405, "days_to_criticality": 21.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4751, "grad_tau_local": 0.6274, "depth_trend": 0.29, "spatial_concentration": 80.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 44, "col": 40, "lat": 29.0, "lon": -99.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 2.7, "probability": 0.5798, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 5.4, "ell_trend": -3.21, "rate_acceleration": 1.67, "delta_aic_iet": 27.44, "S_over_Gamma": 12.255, "days_to_criticality": 1793.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3088, "grad_tau_local": 0.7874, "depth_trend": 0.62, "spatial_concentration": 31.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 45, "col": 160, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.7, "probability": 0.5768, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 57.9, "ell_trend": 13.19, "rate_acceleration": 1.19, "delta_aic_iet": 116.87, "S_over_Gamma": 15.359, "days_to_criticality": 7.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.8954, "grad_tau_local": 0.5218, "depth_trend": 0.78, "spatial_concentration": 71.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.5684, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.342, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 35.5, "ell_trend": -9.59, "rate_acceleration": 4.74, "delta_aic_iet": 535.01, "S_over_Gamma": 15.426, "days_to_criticality": 2098.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.8735, "grad_tau_local": 0.6232, "depth_trend": -26.66, "spatial_concentration": 75.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.5677, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.625, "b_trend": 0.1667, "ell_km": 11.7, "ell_trend": -11.99, "rate_acceleration": 1.72, "delta_aic_iet": 824.5, "S_over_Gamma": 13.629, "days_to_criticality": 2098.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3796, "grad_tau_local": 0.6551, "depth_trend": -9.56, "spatial_concentration": 78.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.5365, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.133, "b_trend": 0.077, "ell_km": 65.0, "ell_trend": -3.92, "rate_acceleration": 0.09, "delta_aic_iet": -1753.38, "S_over_Gamma": 15.549, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.4033, "grad_tau_local": 2.2341, "depth_trend": 7.96, "spatial_concentration": 47.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.5358, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.502, "b_trend": -0.0717, "ell_km": 21.4, "ell_trend": -11.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.78, "delta_aic_iet": 664.33, "S_over_Gamma": 13.823, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.4693, "depth_trend": -25.91, "spatial_concentration": 68.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.5322, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.881, "b_trend": -0.0521, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.42, "rate_acceleration": 1.48, "delta_aic_iet": 453.01, "S_over_Gamma": 13.438, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2048, "grad_tau_local": 0.5191, "depth_trend": -0.46, "spatial_concentration": 80.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.5315, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.229, "b_trend": 0.1104, "ell_km": 40.9, "ell_trend": -3.95, "rate_acceleration": 1.37, "delta_aic_iet": 1405.62, "S_over_Gamma": 13.673, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6862, "grad_tau_local": 1.2103, "depth_trend": -4.66, "spatial_concentration": 64.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.5275, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.131, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 28.3, "ell_trend": 7.95, "rate_acceleration": 0.68, "delta_aic_iet": 240.77, "S_over_Gamma": 15.59, "days_to_criticality": 17.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.9933, "grad_tau_local": 0.2185, "depth_trend": 36.11, "spatial_concentration": 89.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 48, "col": 160, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.5189, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.64, "b_trend": 0.264, "ell_km": 64.3, "ell_trend": 12.67, "rate_acceleration": 0.88, "delta_aic_iet": 206.07, "S_over_Gamma": 15.252, "days_to_criticality": 5.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5075, "grad_tau_local": 0.6851, "depth_trend": 6.48, "spatial_concentration": 79.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.5109, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.835, "b_trend": 0.0959, "ell_km": 102.4, "ell_trend": 0.12, "rate_acceleration": 1.1, "delta_aic_iet": 570.65, "S_over_Gamma": 12.122, "days_to_criticality": 1258.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6563, "grad_tau_local": 0.9343, "depth_trend": 2.23, "spatial_concentration": 78.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.5102, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.095, "b_trend": 0.3081, "ell_km": 22.4, "ell_trend": -2.1, "rate_acceleration": 0.86, "delta_aic_iet": 840.57, "S_over_Gamma": 14.067, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8658, "grad_tau_local": 2.2553, "depth_trend": -3.91, "spatial_concentration": 41.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.509, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.623, "b_trend": 0.1059, "ell_km": 12.7, "ell_trend": -11.2, "rate_acceleration": 1.29, "delta_aic_iet": 848.67, "S_over_Gamma": 13.942, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.7043, "grad_tau_local": 1.4871, "depth_trend": -21.44, "spatial_concentration": 66.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.5064, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.443, "b_trend": 0.3241, "ell_km": 14.9, "ell_trend": -10.11, "rate_acceleration": 2.06, "delta_aic_iet": 397.45, "S_over_Gamma": 13.651, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.5136, "grad_tau_local": 1.2039, "depth_trend": -30.88, "spatial_concentration": 114.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.5063, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.219, "b_trend": 0.1741, "ell_km": 30.5, "ell_trend": -2.53, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 983.79, "S_over_Gamma": 12.808, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9581, "grad_tau_local": 2.0817, "depth_trend": -3.08, "spatial_concentration": 56.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 47, "col": 36, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -107.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.5, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 5.5, "ell_trend": -0.41, "rate_acceleration": 2.04, "delta_aic_iet": 31.41, "S_over_Gamma": 5.756, "days_to_criticality": 18.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7011, "grad_tau_local": 0.1363, "depth_trend": 1.59, "spatial_concentration": 67.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 50, "col": 29, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.4936, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.84, "b_trend": -0.0012, "ell_km": 3.3, "ell_trend": 0.09, "rate_acceleration": 4.13, "delta_aic_iet": 312.51, "S_over_Gamma": 11.971, "days_to_criticality": 183.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3429, "grad_tau_local": 0.9666, "depth_trend": -1.68, "spatial_concentration": 56.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.4934, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.028, "b_trend": -0.2067, "ell_km": 3.8, "ell_trend": -0.19, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 398.39, "S_over_Gamma": 13.326, "days_to_criticality": 20.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.7604, "grad_tau_local": 0.7669, "depth_trend": -0.14, "spatial_concentration": 38.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 46, "col": 32, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -115.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.4858, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.826, "b_trend": -0.0338, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": -0.65, "rate_acceleration": 1.42, "delta_aic_iet": 366.94, "S_over_Gamma": 13.234, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2919, "grad_tau_local": 0.9657, "depth_trend": -0.82, "spatial_concentration": 61.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.4856, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.137, "b_trend": 0.0649, "ell_km": 72.5, "ell_trend": -5.09, "rate_acceleration": 0.11, "delta_aic_iet": -2033.25, "S_over_Gamma": 13.996, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.1964, "grad_tau_local": 0.9542, "depth_trend": 9.37, "spatial_concentration": 80.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.4855, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.365, "b_trend": -0.0378, "ell_km": 94.4, "ell_trend": -7.62, "rate_acceleration": 1.37, "delta_aic_iet": 186.1, "S_over_Gamma": 15.824, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0376, "grad_tau_local": 0.6732, "depth_trend": 22.89, "spatial_concentration": 59.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 168, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.4835, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.162, "b_trend": 0.0326, "ell_km": 66.2, "ell_trend": -4.74, "rate_acceleration": 0.12, "delta_aic_iet": -1438.18, "S_over_Gamma": 15.482, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.5986, "grad_tau_local": 2.2056, "depth_trend": 8.7, "spatial_concentration": 77.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.4791, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.857, "b_trend": 0.037, "ell_km": 89.8, "ell_trend": -1.93, "rate_acceleration": 1.15, "delta_aic_iet": 608.36, "S_over_Gamma": 13.111, "days_to_criticality": 19.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7528, "grad_tau_local": 1.6742, "depth_trend": 3.45, "spatial_concentration": 71.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 20, "col": 1, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.4747, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.621, "b_trend": -0.2387, "ell_km": 50.8, "ell_trend": 0.84, "rate_acceleration": 1.22, "delta_aic_iet": 437.12, "S_over_Gamma": 15.587, "days_to_criticality": 416.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9773, "grad_tau_local": 1.8738, "depth_trend": -51.39, "spatial_concentration": 71.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.472, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.843, "b_trend": 0.1344, "ell_km": 86.1, "ell_trend": -0.08, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 784.09, "S_over_Gamma": 13.263, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3932, "grad_tau_local": 0.4653, "depth_trend": 3.17, "spatial_concentration": 67.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.4717, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.863, "b_trend": 0.0438, "ell_km": 89.6, "ell_trend": -1.85, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 578.71, "S_over_Gamma": 13.254, "days_to_criticality": 2098.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1304, "grad_tau_local": 1.9224, "depth_trend": 5.06, "spatial_concentration": 73.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.4697, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.62, "b_trend": 0.1516, "ell_km": 12.2, "ell_trend": -12.19, "rate_acceleration": 1.3, "delta_aic_iet": 793.58, "S_over_Gamma": 13.796, "days_to_criticality": 2098.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8391, "grad_tau_local": 1.4498, "depth_trend": -17.35, "spatial_concentration": 88.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.4675, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.543, "b_trend": -0.6332, "ell_km": 65.3, "ell_trend": 2.57, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 302.35, "S_over_Gamma": 15.375, "days_to_criticality": 17.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6039, "depth_trend": -34.14, "spatial_concentration": 94.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.4646, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.974, "b_trend": 0.0813, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.23, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 438.12, "S_over_Gamma": 13.244, "days_to_criticality": 21.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3584, "grad_tau_local": 0.991, "depth_trend": 0.13, "spatial_concentration": 78.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 28, "col": 163, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 147.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.7, "probability": 0.4615, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.973, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": -2.41, "rate_acceleration": 4.26, "delta_aic_iet": 138.37, "S_over_Gamma": 14.805, "days_to_criticality": 2097.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7744, "grad_tau_local": 0.8073, "depth_trend": -52.0, "spatial_concentration": 51.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 46, "col": 37, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.448, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.025, "b_trend": -0.1851, "ell_km": 3.8, "ell_trend": -0.19, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 425.98, "S_over_Gamma": 11.951, "days_to_criticality": 21.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.2182, "grad_tau_local": 0.5929, "depth_trend": -0.16, "spatial_concentration": 70.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 46, "col": 39, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -101.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.446, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.4, "ell_trend": 0.07, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 185.98, "S_over_Gamma": 12.717, "days_to_criticality": 15.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1328, "grad_tau_local": 1.1024, "depth_trend": -0.32, "spatial_concentration": 61.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 30, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.4459, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.873, "b_trend": -0.0533, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": 0.12, "rate_acceleration": 2.2, "delta_aic_iet": 434.23, "S_over_Gamma": 13.551, "days_to_criticality": 11.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7513, "grad_tau_local": 0.4673, "depth_trend": -0.73, "spatial_concentration": 82.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.445, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.869, "b_trend": 0.2534, "ell_km": 23.7, "ell_trend": 0.89, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 266.27, "S_over_Gamma": 13.05, "days_to_criticality": 17.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6639, "grad_tau_local": 1.2461, "depth_trend": -0.13, "spatial_concentration": 48.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.4171, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.87, "b_trend": 0.0802, "ell_km": 83.0, "ell_trend": 2.77, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 607.86, "S_over_Gamma": 13.191, "days_to_criticality": 192.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5642, "grad_tau_local": 0.1961, "depth_trend": 5.86, "spatial_concentration": 81.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.4153, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.931, "b_trend": 0.0464, "ell_km": 32.3, "ell_trend": 2.38, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 411.04, "S_over_Gamma": 15.795, "days_to_criticality": 40.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6761, "grad_tau_local": 1.0685, "depth_trend": 5.54, "spatial_concentration": 70.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 21, "col": 174, "lat": -17.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.4073, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.175, "b_trend": -0.0052, "ell_km": 69.9, "ell_trend": -4.49, "rate_acceleration": 1.63, "delta_aic_iet": 192.28, "S_over_Gamma": 15.029, "days_to_criticality": 2096.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.5705, "grad_tau_local": 0.6262, "depth_trend": 20.84, "spatial_concentration": 76.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 47, "col": 103, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 27.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.4069, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.8, "ell_trend": -0.86, "rate_acceleration": 3.0, "delta_aic_iet": 101.31, "S_over_Gamma": 14.864, "days_to_criticality": 2096.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.4491, "grad_tau_local": 0.4962, "depth_trend": -18.11, "spatial_concentration": 79.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 1, "col": 77, "lat": -57.0, "lon": -25.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.3948, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.112, "b_trend": 0.0233, "ell_km": 79.3, "ell_trend": 3.33, "rate_acceleration": 0.75, "delta_aic_iet": 181.81, "S_over_Gamma": 15.791, "days_to_criticality": 101.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.0189, "grad_tau_local": 0.5445, "depth_trend": 2.38, "spatial_concentration": 61.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 58, "col": 12, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.3891, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.835, "b_trend": 0.1184, "ell_km": 117.8, "ell_trend": 20.79, "rate_acceleration": 0.89, "delta_aic_iet": 464.91, "S_over_Gamma": 12.862, "days_to_criticality": 15.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9635, "grad_tau_local": 0.3568, "depth_trend": 7.93, "spatial_concentration": 76.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 20, "col": 2, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.3678, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.281, "b_trend": 0.0778, "ell_km": 58.8, "ell_trend": -4.46, "rate_acceleration": 1.78, "delta_aic_iet": 222.0, "S_over_Gamma": 15.612, "days_to_criticality": 2097.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.7345, "grad_tau_local": 0.2014, "depth_trend": -32.6, "spatial_concentration": 89.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 31, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.3678, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.857, "b_trend": -0.0183, "ell_km": 3.0, "ell_trend": 0.01, "rate_acceleration": 2.07, "delta_aic_iet": 393.41, "S_over_Gamma": 13.332, "days_to_criticality": 17.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3998, "grad_tau_local": 0.7117, "depth_trend": -0.45, "spatial_concentration": 61.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 161, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.366, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.018, "b_trend": 0.0197, "ell_km": 32.2, "ell_trend": 2.37, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 507.37, "S_over_Gamma": 15.905, "days_to_criticality": 37.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.1948, "grad_tau_local": 0.6175, "depth_trend": 9.4, "spatial_concentration": 81.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 58, "col": 13, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.3588, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.888, "b_trend": 0.1439, "ell_km": 78.1, "ell_trend": 10.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 533.21, "S_over_Gamma": 11.414, "days_to_criticality": 31.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7311, "grad_tau_local": 1.1825, "depth_trend": 5.94, "spatial_concentration": 73.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 9, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.3569, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.798, "b_trend": -0.0019, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": 0.21, "rate_acceleration": 0.7, "delta_aic_iet": 925.61, "S_over_Gamma": 13.504, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8852, "grad_tau_local": 2.3406, "depth_trend": 0.44, "spatial_concentration": 67.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 20, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -139.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.3552, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.801, "b_trend": 0.0748, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -0.71, "rate_acceleration": 0.18, "delta_aic_iet": -1820.46, "S_over_Gamma": 11.32, "days_to_criticality": 17.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9268, "grad_tau_local": 1.3251, "depth_trend": -0.13, "spatial_concentration": 42.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 19, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -141.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.3498, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.804, "b_trend": 0.0785, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -0.59, "rate_acceleration": 0.19, "delta_aic_iet": -1633.28, "S_over_Gamma": 12.792, "days_to_criticality": 17.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.133, "grad_tau_local": 1.1076, "depth_trend": 0.07, "spatial_concentration": 57.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.3014, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.8, "b_trend": 0.0189, "ell_km": 18.3, "ell_trend": 0.05, "rate_acceleration": 0.71, "delta_aic_iet": 1082.49, "S_over_Gamma": 13.341, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.1964, "grad_tau_local": 0.6914, "depth_trend": 1.75, "spatial_concentration": 80.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.2882, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.808, "b_trend": 0.0405, "ell_km": 18.5, "ell_trend": 0.94, "rate_acceleration": 0.49, "delta_aic_iet": 1079.68, "S_over_Gamma": 13.498, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.6806, "grad_tau_local": 1.1639, "depth_trend": 1.05, "spatial_concentration": 85.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" } ] }