{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260507_1900", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-05-07T19:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-04-02T19:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-05-07T19:00:00Z", "n_events": 31658, "n_recent_events": 1876 }, "n_active_cells": 85, "top_probability": 0.7668, "active_cells": [ { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.7668, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.994, "b_trend": 0.0345, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.33, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 433.99, "S_over_Gamma": 13.104, "days_to_criticality": 21.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2979, "grad_tau_local": 0.9689, "depth_trend": 0.07, "spatial_concentration": 77.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 48, "col": 32, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -115.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.7436, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.872, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 1.6, "ell_trend": -0.12, "rate_acceleration": 2.61, "delta_aic_iet": 234.51, "S_over_Gamma": 13.341, "days_to_criticality": -78.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6286, "grad_tau_local": 0.6714, "depth_trend": -0.02, "spatial_concentration": 80.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 47, "col": 30, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.7384, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.982, "b_trend": 0.0272, "ell_km": 3.2, "ell_trend": -0.24, "rate_acceleration": 0.82, "delta_aic_iet": 390.88, "S_over_Gamma": 12.967, "days_to_criticality": 22.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6337, "grad_tau_local": 1.165, "depth_trend": -1.06, "spatial_concentration": 75.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 12, "col": 0, "lat": -35.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.7284, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.547, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 83.6, "ell_trend": -6.01, "rate_acceleration": 2.38, "delta_aic_iet": 123.87, "S_over_Gamma": 15.442, "days_to_criticality": 1790.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.2685, "depth_trend": -12.1, "spatial_concentration": 60.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 13, "col": 1, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.7193, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.425, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 71.3, "ell_trend": -1.17, "rate_acceleration": 3.72, "delta_aic_iet": 169.57, "S_over_Gamma": 7.066, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.6481, "grad_tau_local": 0.5058, "depth_trend": -13.63, "spatial_concentration": 54.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 13, "col": 0, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.7168, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.47, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 83.0, "ell_trend": -5.07, "rate_acceleration": 3.02, "delta_aic_iet": 232.39, "S_over_Gamma": 15.836, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.6481, "depth_trend": -32.58, "spatial_concentration": 65.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 50, "col": 131, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 83.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.7129, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 28.5, "ell_trend": 1.2, "rate_acceleration": 2.22, "delta_aic_iet": 31.69, "S_over_Gamma": 14.029, "days_to_criticality": -3.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.6831, "grad_tau_local": 0.16, "depth_trend": -0.51, "spatial_concentration": 53.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 31, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.7103, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.849, "b_trend": 0.0044, "ell_km": 2.9, "ell_trend": -0.03, "rate_acceleration": 2.45, "delta_aic_iet": 365.41, "S_over_Gamma": 12.814, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3862, "grad_tau_local": 0.5953, "depth_trend": 0.08, "spatial_concentration": 59.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.7103, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.01, "b_trend": -0.0945, "ell_km": 3.8, "ell_trend": -0.86, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 546.25, "S_over_Gamma": 13.558, "days_to_criticality": 2100.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5476, "grad_tau_local": 0.9227, "depth_trend": -0.96, "spatial_concentration": 66.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 48, "col": 31, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.6831, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.931, "b_trend": -0.0565, "ell_km": 1.7, "ell_trend": -0.18, "rate_acceleration": 1.71, "delta_aic_iet": 313.16, "S_over_Gamma": 13.574, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2636, "grad_tau_local": 0.4196, "depth_trend": -0.05, "spatial_concentration": 58.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 30, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 113, "max_mag": 5.7, "probability": 0.6766, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.89, "b_trend": 0.0283, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.37, "rate_acceleration": 2.77, "delta_aic_iet": 402.0, "S_over_Gamma": 13.489, "days_to_criticality": -79.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6725, "grad_tau_local": 0.3926, "depth_trend": -0.59, "spatial_concentration": 78.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 87, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.6725, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.681, "b_trend": -0.0048, "ell_km": 43.6, "ell_trend": 7.13, "rate_acceleration": 1.9, "delta_aic_iet": 618.42, "S_over_Gamma": 13.085, "days_to_criticality": 56.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9593, "grad_tau_local": 0.569, "depth_trend": -2.15, "spatial_concentration": 85.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 14, "col": 0, "lat": -31.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.6707, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.284, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 83.3, "ell_trend": -9.07, "rate_acceleration": 2.69, "delta_aic_iet": 303.4, "S_over_Gamma": 15.959, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.1029, "depth_trend": -37.21, "spatial_concentration": 67.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 22, "col": 3, "lat": -15.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.656, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.919, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 72.3, "ell_trend": -2.11, "rate_acceleration": 2.26, "delta_aic_iet": 206.51, "S_over_Gamma": 15.71, "days_to_criticality": 2095.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3939, "grad_tau_local": 0.9054, "depth_trend": -29.27, "spatial_concentration": 48.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.6393, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.669, "b_trend": -0.0621, "ell_km": 89.2, "ell_trend": -2.83, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 719.47, "S_over_Gamma": 13.172, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.453, "grad_tau_local": 2.7485, "depth_trend": -7.61, "spatial_concentration": 155.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.638, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.642, "b_trend": 0.0913, "ell_km": 11.5, "ell_trend": -1.64, "rate_acceleration": 3.84, "delta_aic_iet": 859.43, "S_over_Gamma": 13.389, "days_to_criticality": 2097.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6491, "grad_tau_local": 0.1317, "depth_trend": -14.01, "spatial_concentration": 67.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.6296, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.103, "b_trend": -0.0751, "ell_km": 75.3, "ell_trend": -7.0, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 211.08, "S_over_Gamma": 15.581, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5843, "grad_tau_local": 0.3705, "depth_trend": -17.82, "spatial_concentration": 83.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.6231, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.426, "b_trend": -0.197, "ell_km": 87.5, "ell_trend": 2.59, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 231.59, "S_over_Gamma": 15.561, "days_to_criticality": 44.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1319, "grad_tau_local": 1.0187, "depth_trend": 7.1, "spatial_concentration": 70.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.622, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.914, "b_trend": 0.0129, "ell_km": 2.7, "ell_trend": -0.23, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 359.11, "S_over_Gamma": 13.264, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0328, "grad_tau_local": 0.6007, "depth_trend": -0.94, "spatial_concentration": 76.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.6208, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.631, "b_trend": -0.0687, "ell_km": 79.1, "ell_trend": -2.08, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 652.81, "S_over_Gamma": 13.425, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.453, "depth_trend": -9.63, "spatial_concentration": 118.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 57, "col": 7, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.6202, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.712, "b_trend": -0.0023, "ell_km": 12.3, "ell_trend": 6.79, "rate_acceleration": 1.63, "delta_aic_iet": 565.9, "S_over_Gamma": 14.013, "days_to_criticality": 46.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1668, "grad_tau_local": 1.4973, "depth_trend": -1.34, "spatial_concentration": 73.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.6085, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.449, "b_trend": 0.1186, "ell_km": 15.8, "ell_trend": -9.39, "rate_acceleration": 3.24, "delta_aic_iet": 379.02, "S_over_Gamma": 12.142, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.2552, "grad_tau_local": 1.1383, "depth_trend": -48.93, "spatial_concentration": 111.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.5947, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.505, "b_trend": -0.112, "ell_km": 22.1, "ell_trend": -11.78, "rate_acceleration": 2.19, "delta_aic_iet": 601.49, "S_over_Gamma": 13.731, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.3512, "depth_trend": -26.76, "spatial_concentration": 68.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.5888, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.402, "b_trend": -0.1523, "ell_km": 103.6, "ell_trend": 5.67, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 211.68, "S_over_Gamma": 15.822, "days_to_criticality": 187.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2998, "grad_tau_local": 0.6497, "depth_trend": 32.3, "spatial_concentration": 63.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 13, "col": 53, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -73.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.5877, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 11.1, "ell_trend": -5.25, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 83.27, "S_over_Gamma": 15.814, "days_to_criticality": 16.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.695, "grad_tau_local": 0.7744, "depth_trend": -0.98, "spatial_concentration": 67.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 33, "col": 53, "lat": 7.0, "lon": -73.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.581, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 8.5, "ell_trend": -0.45, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 64.84, "S_over_Gamma": 15.291, "days_to_criticality": 11.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3942, "grad_tau_local": 0.1312, "depth_trend": 82.76, "spatial_concentration": 67.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 21, "col": 0, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.5776, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.749, "b_trend": 0.0792, "ell_km": 45.7, "ell_trend": 0.54, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 200.2, "S_over_Gamma": 15.497, "days_to_criticality": -0.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.2469, "depth_trend": -14.7, "spatial_concentration": 74.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.5701, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.766, "b_trend": -0.0827, "ell_km": 18.5, "ell_trend": 0.9, "rate_acceleration": 0.72, "delta_aic_iet": 1073.34, "S_over_Gamma": 13.256, "days_to_criticality": 18.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8824, "grad_tau_local": 1.2651, "depth_trend": 3.21, "spatial_concentration": 77.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.5696, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.684, "b_trend": 0.4497, "ell_km": 20.4, "ell_trend": -1.96, "rate_acceleration": 0.79, "delta_aic_iet": 894.45, "S_over_Gamma": 14.15, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9026, "grad_tau_local": 2.28, "depth_trend": -1.5, "spatial_concentration": 43.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 44, "col": 142, "lat": 29.0, "lon": 105.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.5626, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 10.0, "ell_trend": -9.09, "rate_acceleration": 2.59, "delta_aic_iet": 47.65, "S_over_Gamma": 15.243, "days_to_criticality": 1796.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.5082, "grad_tau_local": 0.2106, "depth_trend": 0.01, "spatial_concentration": 67.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 53, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.5598, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.266, "b_trend": 0.4366, "ell_km": 31.7, "ell_trend": -0.82, "rate_acceleration": 1.69, "delta_aic_iet": 1233.44, "S_over_Gamma": 13.965, "days_to_criticality": 20.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4653, "grad_tau_local": 1.8153, "depth_trend": 0.41, "spatial_concentration": 46.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 38, "col": 57, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.5533, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.241, "b_trend": 0.4852, "ell_km": 24.3, "ell_trend": -0.16, "rate_acceleration": 1.74, "delta_aic_iet": 1030.88, "S_over_Gamma": 13.682, "days_to_criticality": 20.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3412, "grad_tau_local": 2.3834, "depth_trend": 0.63, "spatial_concentration": 39.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.5532, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.476, "b_trend": 0.1686, "ell_km": 16.9, "ell_trend": -10.4, "rate_acceleration": 2.74, "delta_aic_iet": 444.96, "S_over_Gamma": 14.386, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3512, "grad_tau_local": 1.1347, "depth_trend": -33.55, "spatial_concentration": 120.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 50, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.5511, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.354, "b_trend": 0.1227, "ell_km": 37.1, "ell_trend": -3.86, "rate_acceleration": 1.35, "delta_aic_iet": 1413.72, "S_over_Gamma": 13.668, "days_to_criticality": 21.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.7653, "grad_tau_local": 1.1936, "depth_trend": -1.48, "spatial_concentration": 65.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.5494, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.661, "b_trend": -0.1, "ell_km": 81.8, "ell_trend": -3.46, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 629.69, "S_over_Gamma": 13.535, "days_to_criticality": 20.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4741, "grad_tau_local": 0.903, "depth_trend": -4.45, "spatial_concentration": 74.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.5468, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.715, "b_trend": 0.1594, "ell_km": 10.4, "ell_trend": 0.42, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 364.39, "S_over_Gamma": 13.328, "days_to_criticality": 72.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5425, "grad_tau_local": 0.6121, "depth_trend": 1.73, "spatial_concentration": 79.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 72, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -35.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.5457, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 10.2, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 3.5, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 13.236, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.3222, "grad_tau_local": 0.0455, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 68.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 44, "col": 40, "lat": 29.0, "lon": -99.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.5383, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 7.0, "ell_trend": -2.96, "rate_acceleration": 1.56, "delta_aic_iet": 27.73, "S_over_Gamma": 12.417, "days_to_criticality": 15.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.6916, "grad_tau_local": 0.6217, "depth_trend": 0.69, "spatial_concentration": 32.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 45, "col": 38, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -103.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.5348, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.99, "b_trend": -0.0528, "ell_km": 3.9, "ell_trend": -0.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 536.88, "S_over_Gamma": 12.794, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.897, "grad_tau_local": 1.3786, "depth_trend": -0.1, "spatial_concentration": 60.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.5234, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.169, "b_trend": 0.4476, "ell_km": 29.2, "ell_trend": -2.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.9, "delta_aic_iet": 1009.54, "S_over_Gamma": 13.204, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1147, "grad_tau_local": 2.1105, "depth_trend": 1.35, "spatial_concentration": 54.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.5143, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.854, "b_trend": 0.1971, "ell_km": 86.5, "ell_trend": 2.07, "rate_acceleration": 1.33, "delta_aic_iet": 785.22, "S_over_Gamma": 13.433, "days_to_criticality": 294.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3074, "grad_tau_local": 0.4978, "depth_trend": 3.41, "spatial_concentration": 68.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.513, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.046, "b_trend": 0.1647, "ell_km": 82.8, "ell_trend": 2.35, "rate_acceleration": 1.34, "delta_aic_iet": 756.82, "S_over_Gamma": 13.351, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8317, "grad_tau_local": 1.4957, "depth_trend": 4.33, "spatial_concentration": 68.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 30, "col": 152, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.511, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.285, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 35.4, "ell_trend": -1.52, "rate_acceleration": 5.47, "delta_aic_iet": 375.08, "S_over_Gamma": 13.63, "days_to_criticality": 17.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2698, "grad_tau_local": 1.3758, "depth_trend": -37.47, "spatial_concentration": 93.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.5087, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.879, "b_trend": 0.0333, "ell_km": 88.9, "ell_trend": -0.75, "rate_acceleration": 1.38, "delta_aic_iet": 575.73, "S_over_Gamma": 13.361, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0173, "grad_tau_local": 1.9429, "depth_trend": 5.71, "spatial_concentration": 73.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.5058, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.834, "b_trend": 0.0781, "ell_km": 102.0, "ell_trend": 0.92, "rate_acceleration": 1.36, "delta_aic_iet": 546.77, "S_over_Gamma": 13.312, "days_to_criticality": 150.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3909, "grad_tau_local": 1.0706, "depth_trend": 2.06, "spatial_concentration": 78.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 33, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -113.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.5044, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 1.9, "ell_trend": -0.38, "rate_acceleration": 2.45, "delta_aic_iet": 65.94, "S_over_Gamma": 13.206, "days_to_criticality": 22.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.9089, "grad_tau_local": 0.6308, "depth_trend": -0.78, "spatial_concentration": 77.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.5044, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.156, "b_trend": -0.1038, "ell_km": 27.2, "ell_trend": 7.6, "rate_acceleration": 0.74, "delta_aic_iet": 241.59, "S_over_Gamma": 15.453, "days_to_criticality": 9.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1536, "grad_tau_local": 0.2655, "depth_trend": 12.9, "spatial_concentration": 89.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.5004, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.779, "b_trend": -0.0848, "ell_km": 18.5, "ell_trend": 0.74, "rate_acceleration": 0.69, "delta_aic_iet": 1042.06, "S_over_Gamma": 13.273, "days_to_criticality": 188.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.1062, "grad_tau_local": 0.7324, "depth_trend": 1.54, "spatial_concentration": 81.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 46, "col": 38, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -103.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.4967, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.99, "b_trend": -0.0464, "ell_km": 3.9, "ell_trend": -0.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 538.02, "S_over_Gamma": 13.565, "days_to_criticality": 26.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9783, "grad_tau_local": 0.5462, "depth_trend": -0.08, "spatial_concentration": 65.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.4895, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.87, "b_trend": 0.0301, "ell_km": 88.8, "ell_trend": -0.89, "rate_acceleration": 1.38, "delta_aic_iet": 600.25, "S_over_Gamma": 13.39, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5793, "grad_tau_local": 1.7244, "depth_trend": 3.49, "spatial_concentration": 70.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 20, "col": 1, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.4835, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.611, "b_trend": -0.1445, "ell_km": 54.4, "ell_trend": 1.04, "rate_acceleration": 1.28, "delta_aic_iet": 434.82, "S_over_Gamma": 15.296, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9666, "grad_tau_local": 1.8423, "depth_trend": -41.24, "spatial_concentration": 71.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 37, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.4796, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.334, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 36.2, "ell_trend": -4.93, "rate_acceleration": 4.69, "delta_aic_iet": 477.76, "S_over_Gamma": 15.569, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.636, "grad_tau_local": 0.5187, "depth_trend": -34.27, "spatial_concentration": 75.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.4763, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.849, "b_trend": 0.2472, "ell_km": 82.3, "ell_trend": 1.52, "rate_acceleration": 1.33, "delta_aic_iet": 783.19, "S_over_Gamma": 13.236, "days_to_criticality": 392.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.4451, "grad_tau_local": 0.978, "depth_trend": 3.91, "spatial_concentration": 68.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 58, "col": 12, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.4748, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.816, "b_trend": 0.1388, "ell_km": 110.6, "ell_trend": 19.6, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 459.19, "S_over_Gamma": 12.933, "days_to_criticality": 5.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9192, "grad_tau_local": 0.3738, "depth_trend": 7.28, "spatial_concentration": 77.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.473, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.544, "b_trend": 0.0486, "ell_km": 28.9, "ell_trend": 2.97, "rate_acceleration": 0.63, "delta_aic_iet": 191.72, "S_over_Gamma": 13.745, "days_to_criticality": 15.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1702, "grad_tau_local": 0.9548, "depth_trend": 0.08, "spatial_concentration": 83.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.4648, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.791, "b_trend": -0.0698, "ell_km": 18.6, "ell_trend": 1.06, "rate_acceleration": 0.51, "delta_aic_iet": 1102.15, "S_over_Gamma": 13.523, "days_to_criticality": 19.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.685, "grad_tau_local": 1.1228, "depth_trend": 1.23, "spatial_concentration": 85.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 161, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 30, "max_mag": 7.4, "probability": 0.4643, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.998, "b_trend": -0.2318, "ell_km": 29.3, "ell_trend": 0.83, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 456.12, "S_over_Gamma": 15.735, "days_to_criticality": 19.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6794, "grad_tau_local": 0.6467, "depth_trend": 11.6, "spatial_concentration": 81.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.4635, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.905, "b_trend": -0.1014, "ell_km": 28.5, "ell_trend": 2.39, "rate_acceleration": 0.86, "delta_aic_iet": 394.98, "S_over_Gamma": 15.663, "days_to_criticality": 18.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3533, "grad_tau_local": 0.8786, "depth_trend": 5.92, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.4585, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.411, "b_trend": -0.1979, "ell_km": 79.0, "ell_trend": 2.8, "rate_acceleration": 1.15, "delta_aic_iet": 296.68, "S_over_Gamma": 15.35, "days_to_criticality": 105.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.7425, "grad_tau_local": 1.661, "depth_trend": 6.34, "spatial_concentration": 90.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 59, "col": 14, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.4548, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.894, "b_trend": 0.1569, "ell_km": 78.8, "ell_trend": 4.81, "rate_acceleration": 1.24, "delta_aic_iet": 611.0, "S_over_Gamma": 13.124, "days_to_criticality": 82.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9349, "grad_tau_local": 0.997, "depth_trend": 2.7, "spatial_concentration": 92.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 33, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.4541, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.638, "b_trend": 0.1042, "ell_km": 11.2, "ell_trend": -11.7, "rate_acceleration": 4.12, "delta_aic_iet": 813.06, "S_over_Gamma": 13.571, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.125, "grad_tau_local": 0.6273, "depth_trend": -17.38, "spatial_concentration": 79.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.4521, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.952, "b_trend": -0.081, "ell_km": 5.0, "ell_trend": 0.43, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 189.53, "S_over_Gamma": 13.297, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9825, "grad_tau_local": 0.1989, "depth_trend": -1.99, "spatial_concentration": 34.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 47, "col": 102, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 25.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.7, "probability": 0.4503, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 29.8, "ell_trend": 9.87, "rate_acceleration": 1.97, "delta_aic_iet": 99.71, "S_over_Gamma": 15.54, "days_to_criticality": 93.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3673, "grad_tau_local": 0.3683, "depth_trend": -10.91, "spatial_concentration": 58.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.4445, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.034, "b_trend": 0.2577, "ell_km": 83.0, "ell_trend": 5.66, "rate_acceleration": 1.3, "delta_aic_iet": 588.19, "S_over_Gamma": 12.941, "days_to_criticality": 70.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4697, "grad_tau_local": 0.1692, "depth_trend": 2.4, "spatial_concentration": 82.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 31, "col": 153, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.4398, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.326, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 36.1, "ell_trend": -6.87, "rate_acceleration": 4.05, "delta_aic_iet": 588.81, "S_over_Gamma": 15.707, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.8696, "grad_tau_local": 0.6741, "depth_trend": -29.06, "spatial_concentration": 80.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.4394, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.007, "b_trend": -0.0503, "ell_km": 3.9, "ell_trend": -0.33, "rate_acceleration": 1.19, "delta_aic_iet": 434.53, "S_over_Gamma": 13.186, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.9572, "grad_tau_local": 0.8731, "depth_trend": -0.17, "spatial_concentration": 35.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 18, "col": 179, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.4389, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.167, "b_trend": -0.327, "ell_km": 62.0, "ell_trend": -1.26, "rate_acceleration": 1.27, "delta_aic_iet": 234.15, "S_over_Gamma": 15.54, "days_to_criticality": 2094.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.4195, "depth_trend": -0.51, "spatial_concentration": 120.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 47, "col": 103, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 27.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.4351, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 25.3, "ell_trend": 4.09, "rate_acceleration": 2.39, "delta_aic_iet": 94.48, "S_over_Gamma": 15.406, "days_to_criticality": 129.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.0722, "grad_tau_local": 0.6271, "depth_trend": -10.63, "spatial_concentration": 77.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 20, "col": 2, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.432, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.034, "b_trend": 0.1776, "ell_km": 84.2, "ell_trend": -1.01, "rate_acceleration": 1.55, "delta_aic_iet": 212.43, "S_over_Gamma": 15.816, "days_to_criticality": 2096.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.6511, "grad_tau_local": 0.1627, "depth_trend": -1.34, "spatial_concentration": 82.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 18, "col": 0, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.4299, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.503, "b_trend": -0.1274, "ell_km": 62.6, "ell_trend": -0.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.3, "delta_aic_iet": 293.94, "S_over_Gamma": 15.468, "days_to_criticality": 2095.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.9053, "depth_trend": -24.06, "spatial_concentration": 85.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.4207, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.812, "b_trend": 0.1913, "ell_km": 23.7, "ell_trend": 0.0, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 241.8, "S_over_Gamma": 13.44, "days_to_criticality": 18.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4578, "grad_tau_local": 1.294, "depth_trend": -1.66, "spatial_concentration": 47.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.4147, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.639, "b_trend": 0.0658, "ell_km": 11.6, "ell_trend": -11.82, "rate_acceleration": 3.07, "delta_aic_iet": 775.73, "S_over_Gamma": 13.924, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6015, "grad_tau_local": 1.3386, "depth_trend": -28.07, "spatial_concentration": 85.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.4126, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.769, "b_trend": -0.0759, "ell_km": 18.6, "ell_trend": 0.94, "rate_acceleration": 0.73, "delta_aic_iet": 1199.19, "S_over_Gamma": 13.33, "days_to_criticality": 18.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2728, "grad_tau_local": 1.6526, "depth_trend": 3.69, "spatial_concentration": 74.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.4031, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.856, "b_trend": 0.0209, "ell_km": 122.9, "ell_trend": 9.78, "rate_acceleration": 1.35, "delta_aic_iet": 420.23, "S_over_Gamma": 13.16, "days_to_criticality": 39.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9284, "grad_tau_local": 0.5775, "depth_trend": 8.2, "spatial_concentration": 80.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 53, "col": 25, "lat": 47.0, "lon": -129.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.4022, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 18.2, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 6.75, "delta_aic_iet": 6.69, "S_over_Gamma": 10.637, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9224, "grad_tau_local": 0.7004, "depth_trend": -0.17, "spatial_concentration": 67.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 54, "col": 167, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 155.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.3943, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.169, "b_trend": -0.0162, "ell_km": 87.1, "ell_trend": -4.1, "rate_acceleration": 0.29, "delta_aic_iet": 172.97, "S_over_Gamma": 15.201, "days_to_criticality": 2096.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8558, "grad_tau_local": 1.298, "depth_trend": 19.9, "spatial_concentration": 71.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 33, "col": 153, "lat": 7.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.3938, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.157, "b_trend": 0.0234, "ell_km": 63.2, "ell_trend": -0.19, "rate_acceleration": 0.42, "delta_aic_iet": 394.1, "S_over_Gamma": 15.111, "days_to_criticality": -1.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3194, "grad_tau_local": 0.956, "depth_trend": -1.57, "spatial_concentration": 79.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 36, "col": 162, "lat": 13.0, "lon": 145.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.3679, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 60.3, "ell_trend": 6.75, "rate_acceleration": 0.68, "delta_aic_iet": 191.11, "S_over_Gamma": 14.824, "days_to_criticality": 16.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4334, "grad_tau_local": 0.7948, "depth_trend": 28.93, "spatial_concentration": 70.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 19, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -141.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.3601, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.795, "b_trend": 0.054, "ell_km": 10.0, "ell_trend": -0.82, "rate_acceleration": 0.28, "delta_aic_iet": -1890.97, "S_over_Gamma": 13.29, "days_to_criticality": 21.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4693, "grad_tau_local": 1.0626, "depth_trend": 0.01, "spatial_concentration": 58.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 20, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -139.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.3321, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.79, "b_trend": 0.0519, "ell_km": 10.0, "ell_trend": -0.83, "rate_acceleration": 0.26, "delta_aic_iet": -2064.15, "S_over_Gamma": 9.929, "days_to_criticality": 18.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9785, "grad_tau_local": 1.5997, "depth_trend": -0.18, "spatial_concentration": 40.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 24, "col": 171, "lat": -11.0, "lon": 163.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.255, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 48.5, "ell_trend": -1.06, "rate_acceleration": 2.95, "delta_aic_iet": 106.4, "S_over_Gamma": 14.371, "days_to_criticality": 2.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.1316, "grad_tau_local": 0.264, "depth_trend": -13.55, "spatial_concentration": 79.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 168, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.2442, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.163, "b_trend": 0.0525, "ell_km": 66.6, "ell_trend": -4.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.19, "delta_aic_iet": -1772.28, "S_over_Gamma": 15.46, "days_to_criticality": 2093.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.3283, "grad_tau_local": 2.4957, "depth_trend": 8.29, "spatial_concentration": 77.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 54, "col": 168, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.2399, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.19, "b_trend": 0.0124, "ell_km": 102.8, "ell_trend": -7.37, "rate_acceleration": 0.2, "delta_aic_iet": -496.13, "S_over_Gamma": 11.684, "days_to_criticality": 2093.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6671, "grad_tau_local": 1.5267, "depth_trend": 14.74, "spatial_concentration": 61.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.2297, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.13, "b_trend": 0.0846, "ell_km": 65.3, "ell_trend": -2.16, "rate_acceleration": 0.17, "delta_aic_iet": -1957.92, "S_over_Gamma": 15.321, "days_to_criticality": 1790.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 11.8855, "grad_tau_local": 1.7811, "depth_trend": 7.69, "spatial_concentration": 47.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.2208, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.137, "b_trend": 0.0576, "ell_km": 72.8, "ell_trend": -3.48, "rate_acceleration": 0.17, "delta_aic_iet": -2387.16, "S_over_Gamma": 12.236, "days_to_criticality": 1793.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.8799, "grad_tau_local": 0.7451, "depth_trend": 8.74, "spatial_concentration": 80.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" } ] }