{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260423_0300", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-04-23T03:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-03-19T03:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-04-23T03:00:00Z", "n_events": 31559, "n_recent_events": 2044 }, "n_active_cells": 79, "top_probability": 0.8147, "active_cells": [ { "row": 13, "col": 0, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.8147, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.455, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 97.9, "ell_trend": -5.81, "rate_acceleration": 2.03, "delta_aic_iet": 213.62, "S_over_Gamma": 15.766, "days_to_criticality": 2097.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.623, "depth_trend": -8.55, "spatial_concentration": 67.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 13, "col": 1, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.7519, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.257, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 82.5, "ell_trend": -1.67, "rate_acceleration": 2.42, "delta_aic_iet": 162.06, "S_over_Gamma": 17.254, "days_to_criticality": 2097.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.623, "grad_tau_local": 0.5049, "depth_trend": -10.15, "spatial_concentration": 50.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.7196, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.041, "b_trend": -0.1303, "ell_km": 3.8, "ell_trend": -0.91, "rate_acceleration": 1.19, "delta_aic_iet": 527.26, "S_over_Gamma": 13.265, "days_to_criticality": 2098.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4667, "grad_tau_local": 0.8592, "depth_trend": -1.01, "spatial_concentration": 66.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 48, "col": 31, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.7019, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.977, "b_trend": -0.0146, "ell_km": 1.8, "ell_trend": -0.21, "rate_acceleration": 1.48, "delta_aic_iet": 314.66, "S_over_Gamma": 13.068, "days_to_criticality": 20.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1219, "grad_tau_local": 0.399, "depth_trend": -0.06, "spatial_concentration": 59.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 132, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.6965, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.259, "b_trend": 0.3951, "ell_km": 29.9, "ell_trend": -0.21, "rate_acceleration": 1.51, "delta_aic_iet": 1260.04, "S_over_Gamma": 14.08, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4927, "grad_tau_local": 1.8766, "depth_trend": 2.26, "spatial_concentration": 47.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.6939, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.107, "b_trend": 0.0267, "ell_km": 72.7, "ell_trend": -5.27, "rate_acceleration": 0.81, "delta_aic_iet": 211.71, "S_over_Gamma": 15.438, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6461, "grad_tau_local": 0.3795, "depth_trend": -16.79, "spatial_concentration": 83.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 43, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.6899, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.326, "b_trend": 0.0298, "ell_km": 36.4, "ell_trend": -2.42, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 1448.79, "S_over_Gamma": 13.725, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.9025, "grad_tau_local": 1.1625, "depth_trend": -0.17, "spatial_concentration": 66.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.6838, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.666, "b_trend": -0.0094, "ell_km": 80.7, "ell_trend": 12.48, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 528.83, "S_over_Gamma": 13.527, "days_to_criticality": 10.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6406, "grad_tau_local": 0.5532, "depth_trend": 3.93, "spatial_concentration": 78.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 58, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -63.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.6756, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.177, "b_trend": -0.1534, "ell_km": 38.9, "ell_trend": -6.07, "rate_acceleration": 3.27, "delta_aic_iet": 548.95, "S_over_Gamma": 13.421, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.3564, "grad_tau_local": 2.5767, "depth_trend": -6.08, "spatial_concentration": 46.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 38, "col": 40, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -99.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.6751, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 29.9, "ell_trend": 3.5, "rate_acceleration": 3.12, "delta_aic_iet": 52.61, "S_over_Gamma": 13.171, "days_to_criticality": 73.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.2352, "grad_tau_local": 0.2955, "depth_trend": 0.02, "spatial_concentration": 83.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 24, "col": 171, "lat": -11.0, "lon": 163.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.6746, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 46.3, "ell_trend": -4.05, "rate_acceleration": 2.62, "delta_aic_iet": 99.14, "S_over_Gamma": 14.45, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.0655, "grad_tau_local": 0.249, "depth_trend": -14.76, "spatial_concentration": 79.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 19, "col": 124, "lat": -21.0, "lon": 69.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.6663, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.0, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 10.09, "delta_aic_iet": -25.11, "S_over_Gamma": 5.32, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.01, "grad_tau_local": 0.11, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 83.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 14, "col": 0, "lat": -31.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.7, "probability": 0.6631, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.253, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 95.2, "ell_trend": -7.88, "rate_acceleration": 2.3, "delta_aic_iet": 267.07, "S_over_Gamma": 15.729, "days_to_criticality": 2097.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.0955, "depth_trend": -30.36, "spatial_concentration": 68.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.6528, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.9, "b_trend": -0.1054, "ell_km": 26.6, "ell_trend": 2.41, "rate_acceleration": 0.77, "delta_aic_iet": 372.93, "S_over_Gamma": 15.812, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3012, "grad_tau_local": 0.8133, "depth_trend": 8.01, "spatial_concentration": 68.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 24, "col": 170, "lat": -11.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.652, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 43.7, "ell_trend": -5.28, "rate_acceleration": 2.76, "delta_aic_iet": 95.41, "S_over_Gamma": 15.7, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.8452, "grad_tau_local": 0.4655, "depth_trend": -19.63, "spatial_concentration": 84.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.6432, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.632, "b_trend": 0.0539, "ell_km": 11.9, "ell_trend": -0.09, "rate_acceleration": 3.11, "delta_aic_iet": 816.17, "S_over_Gamma": 13.537, "days_to_criticality": 22.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.5245, "grad_tau_local": 0.2274, "depth_trend": -14.34, "spatial_concentration": 72.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 44, "col": 142, "lat": 29.0, "lon": 105.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.6323, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 28.3, "ell_trend": -8.88, "rate_acceleration": 1.91, "delta_aic_iet": 40.08, "S_over_Gamma": 15.269, "days_to_criticality": 2095.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.4074, "grad_tau_local": 0.1943, "depth_trend": -1.57, "spatial_concentration": 67.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.6282, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.665, "b_trend": -0.1077, "ell_km": 90.4, "ell_trend": -2.69, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 724.61, "S_over_Gamma": 13.574, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5219, "grad_tau_local": 2.7256, "depth_trend": -8.55, "spatial_concentration": 155.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 160, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.6254, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.972, "b_trend": -0.0066, "ell_km": 27.6, "ell_trend": -9.92, "rate_acceleration": 0.92, "delta_aic_iet": 421.1, "S_over_Gamma": 15.508, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4552, "grad_tau_local": 1.2041, "depth_trend": 7.75, "spatial_concentration": 84.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.6241, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.674, "b_trend": 0.4949, "ell_km": 20.3, "ell_trend": -1.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.71, "delta_aic_iet": 933.41, "S_over_Gamma": 14.491, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0294, "grad_tau_local": 2.3168, "depth_trend": -0.37, "spatial_concentration": 42.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 30, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 79, "max_mag": 5.7, "probability": 0.622, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.932, "b_trend": -0.0087, "ell_km": 2.1, "ell_trend": -0.53, "rate_acceleration": 3.05, "delta_aic_iet": 405.32, "S_over_Gamma": 13.63, "days_to_criticality": -45.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.4265, "grad_tau_local": 0.3805, "depth_trend": -0.46, "spatial_concentration": 75.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.6205, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.63, "b_trend": -0.1041, "ell_km": 80.8, "ell_trend": -1.99, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 661.36, "S_over_Gamma": 13.574, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.5219, "depth_trend": -9.33, "spatial_concentration": 119.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 38, "col": 57, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.6155, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.321, "b_trend": 0.4517, "ell_km": 23.1, "ell_trend": 0.18, "rate_acceleration": 1.62, "delta_aic_iet": 1039.4, "S_over_Gamma": 13.809, "days_to_criticality": 21.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3615, "grad_tau_local": 2.3987, "depth_trend": 1.55, "spatial_concentration": 39.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.6108, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.46, "b_trend": 0.0995, "ell_km": 16.7, "ell_trend": -7.63, "rate_acceleration": 2.88, "delta_aic_iet": 363.52, "S_over_Gamma": 15.051, "days_to_criticality": 2098.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.1454, "grad_tau_local": 1.1467, "depth_trend": -47.9, "spatial_concentration": 111.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 45, "col": 38, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -103.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.6016, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.947, "b_trend": 0.0877, "ell_km": 4.0, "ell_trend": -0.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.2, "delta_aic_iet": 550.34, "S_over_Gamma": 12.837, "days_to_criticality": 21.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9379, "grad_tau_local": 1.3979, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 61.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 46, "col": 39, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -101.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.6005, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.974, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.3, "ell_trend": -0.01, "rate_acceleration": 1.23, "delta_aic_iet": 199.71, "S_over_Gamma": 12.842, "days_to_criticality": 21.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.4409, "grad_tau_local": 0.9283, "depth_trend": 0.14, "spatial_concentration": 59.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 199, "max_mag": 7.4, "probability": 0.5986, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.273, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 38.3, "ell_trend": 0.84, "rate_acceleration": 3.81, "delta_aic_iet": 513.07, "S_over_Gamma": 15.52, "days_to_criticality": 330.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.4284, "grad_tau_local": 0.5771, "depth_trend": -37.32, "spatial_concentration": 76.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 22, "col": 3, "lat": -15.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.5983, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.884, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 73.6, "ell_trend": -1.09, "rate_acceleration": 2.05, "delta_aic_iet": 196.11, "S_over_Gamma": 16.006, "days_to_criticality": 2096.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.2334, "grad_tau_local": 0.8895, "depth_trend": -20.57, "spatial_concentration": 47.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.5979, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.259, "b_trend": 0.4854, "ell_km": 29.0, "ell_trend": -0.87, "rate_acceleration": 0.8, "delta_aic_iet": 1061.86, "S_over_Gamma": 13.165, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.184, "grad_tau_local": 2.158, "depth_trend": 1.22, "spatial_concentration": 53.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.5885, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.771, "b_trend": -0.0899, "ell_km": 18.6, "ell_trend": 1.17, "rate_acceleration": 0.59, "delta_aic_iet": 1019.47, "S_over_Gamma": 13.451, "days_to_criticality": 68.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7584, "grad_tau_local": 1.2524, "depth_trend": 3.44, "spatial_concentration": 82.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.5879, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.516, "b_trend": -0.1169, "ell_km": 25.4, "ell_trend": -10.6, "rate_acceleration": 2.09, "delta_aic_iet": 583.04, "S_over_Gamma": 13.579, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.3069, "depth_trend": -26.36, "spatial_concentration": 61.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.5851, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.48, "b_trend": -0.2938, "ell_km": 87.2, "ell_trend": 0.33, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 224.38, "S_over_Gamma": 15.094, "days_to_criticality": 17.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0575, "grad_tau_local": 1.0345, "depth_trend": 7.4, "spatial_concentration": 70.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.5818, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.957, "b_trend": 0.0857, "ell_km": 4.0, "ell_trend": -0.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.2, "delta_aic_iet": 443.16, "S_over_Gamma": 12.979, "days_to_criticality": 21.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.9898, "grad_tau_local": 0.8997, "depth_trend": -0.08, "spatial_concentration": 36.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 21, "col": 0, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.5796, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.836, "b_trend": 0.0019, "ell_km": 45.9, "ell_trend": -0.5, "rate_acceleration": 0.88, "delta_aic_iet": 193.12, "S_over_Gamma": 14.919, "days_to_criticality": 2090.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.2046, "depth_trend": -0.41, "spatial_concentration": 69.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 46, "col": 38, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -103.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.567, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.947, "b_trend": 0.0497, "ell_km": 4.0, "ell_trend": -0.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.2, "delta_aic_iet": 552.35, "S_over_Gamma": 13.585, "days_to_criticality": 21.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0363, "grad_tau_local": 0.5655, "depth_trend": 0.03, "spatial_concentration": 65.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 22, "col": 173, "lat": -15.0, "lon": 167.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 7.3, "probability": 0.5622, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.137, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 90.0, "ell_trend": 1.54, "rate_acceleration": 0.83, "delta_aic_iet": 171.71, "S_over_Gamma": 15.78, "days_to_criticality": 56.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2056, "grad_tau_local": 0.1739, "depth_trend": -1.83, "spatial_concentration": 89.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.556, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.175, "b_trend": -0.0579, "ell_km": 28.4, "ell_trend": 5.99, "rate_acceleration": 0.79, "delta_aic_iet": 244.67, "S_over_Gamma": 15.316, "days_to_criticality": 2.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1597, "grad_tau_local": 0.241, "depth_trend": 13.68, "spatial_concentration": 90.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.5513, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.016, "b_trend": 0.1945, "ell_km": 82.3, "ell_trend": 3.21, "rate_acceleration": 1.44, "delta_aic_iet": 755.27, "S_over_Gamma": 13.18, "days_to_criticality": 162.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8414, "grad_tau_local": 1.5036, "depth_trend": 1.41, "spatial_concentration": 68.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 53, "col": 25, "lat": 47.0, "lon": -129.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.5442, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 16.0, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 6.0, "delta_aic_iet": 12.32, "S_over_Gamma": 10.642, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.917, "grad_tau_local": 0.6722, "depth_trend": -0.14, "spatial_concentration": 68.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.5413, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.487, "b_trend": 0.0711, "ell_km": 18.2, "ell_trend": -8.44, "rate_acceleration": 2.5, "delta_aic_iet": 434.49, "S_over_Gamma": 14.259, "days_to_criticality": 2098.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3069, "grad_tau_local": 1.1339, "depth_trend": -34.79, "spatial_concentration": 117.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 31, "col": 153, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.5253, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.28, "b_trend": -0.0221, "ell_km": 38.4, "ell_trend": 0.18, "rate_acceleration": 3.23, "delta_aic_iet": 601.8, "S_over_Gamma": 15.671, "days_to_criticality": 2096.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.9287, "grad_tau_local": 0.501, "depth_trend": -32.42, "spatial_concentration": 76.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 161, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 28, "max_mag": 7.4, "probability": 0.5222, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.99, "b_trend": -0.0346, "ell_km": 27.5, "ell_trend": -5.34, "rate_acceleration": 0.84, "delta_aic_iet": 439.49, "S_over_Gamma": 15.229, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.5484, "grad_tau_local": 0.654, "depth_trend": 13.33, "spatial_concentration": 80.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 44, "col": 40, "lat": 29.0, "lon": -99.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.519, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 7.3, "ell_trend": -2.92, "rate_acceleration": 2.68, "delta_aic_iet": 24.53, "S_over_Gamma": 11.634, "days_to_criticality": 1788.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.6714, "grad_tau_local": 0.6308, "depth_trend": 0.65, "spatial_concentration": 33.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.5147, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.942, "b_trend": -0.1296, "ell_km": 5.1, "ell_trend": 0.51, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 194.49, "S_over_Gamma": 13.416, "days_to_criticality": 19.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.0255, "grad_tau_local": 0.2059, "depth_trend": -1.63, "spatial_concentration": 35.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 46, "col": 37, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.5118, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.964, "b_trend": 0.0752, "ell_km": 4.0, "ell_trend": -0.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.19, "delta_aic_iet": 476.14, "S_over_Gamma": 12.976, "days_to_criticality": 21.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.3194, "grad_tau_local": 0.6776, "depth_trend": -0.24, "spatial_concentration": 57.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 30, "col": 152, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.5101, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.22, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 36.9, "ell_trend": 2.73, "rate_acceleration": 4.45, "delta_aic_iet": 456.44, "S_over_Gamma": 15.602, "days_to_criticality": 64.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3102, "grad_tau_local": 1.1919, "depth_trend": -48.58, "spatial_concentration": 94.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.7, "probability": 0.5064, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.61, "b_trend": -0.4102, "ell_km": 66.3, "ell_trend": 1.83, "rate_acceleration": 1.23, "delta_aic_iet": 306.81, "S_over_Gamma": 14.982, "days_to_criticality": 17.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6817, "depth_trend": -19.62, "spatial_concentration": 95.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.5027, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.788, "b_trend": -0.0745, "ell_km": 18.6, "ell_trend": 0.97, "rate_acceleration": 0.51, "delta_aic_iet": 967.97, "S_over_Gamma": 13.635, "days_to_criticality": 20.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.691, "grad_tau_local": 1.117, "depth_trend": 1.14, "spatial_concentration": 85.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.4923, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.709, "b_trend": 0.0727, "ell_km": 10.3, "ell_trend": 0.46, "rate_acceleration": 0.84, "delta_aic_iet": 367.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.333, "days_to_criticality": 56.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.535, "grad_tau_local": 0.5911, "depth_trend": 1.63, "spatial_concentration": 80.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.4896, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.779, "b_trend": -0.0885, "ell_km": 18.6, "ell_trend": 1.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.56, "delta_aic_iet": 984.46, "S_over_Gamma": 13.38, "days_to_criticality": 20.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.0947, "grad_tau_local": 0.7857, "depth_trend": 1.49, "spatial_concentration": 79.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 5, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.4876, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.611, "b_trend": 0.0669, "ell_km": 11.4, "ell_trend": -9.22, "rate_acceleration": 3.88, "delta_aic_iet": 643.55, "S_over_Gamma": 13.907, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3963, "grad_tau_local": 1.8584, "depth_trend": -16.44, "spatial_concentration": 76.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.4871, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.999, "b_trend": 0.2574, "ell_km": 81.6, "ell_trend": 6.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.46, "delta_aic_iet": 588.85, "S_over_Gamma": 12.92, "days_to_criticality": 58.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4881, "grad_tau_local": 0.1985, "depth_trend": -0.38, "spatial_concentration": 82.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 58, "col": 12, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.4867, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.811, "b_trend": 0.1168, "ell_km": 114.3, "ell_trend": 17.14, "rate_acceleration": 1.29, "delta_aic_iet": 450.73, "S_over_Gamma": 13.276, "days_to_criticality": 1.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.953, "grad_tau_local": 0.367, "depth_trend": 8.1, "spatial_concentration": 77.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 9, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.4855, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.779, "b_trend": -0.0888, "ell_km": 18.6, "ell_trend": 1.09, "rate_acceleration": 0.53, "delta_aic_iet": 814.7, "S_over_Gamma": 13.283, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7525, "grad_tau_local": 2.3365, "depth_trend": 1.08, "spatial_concentration": 68.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 18, "col": 0, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.4796, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.503, "b_trend": -0.1852, "ell_km": 61.7, "ell_trend": -0.94, "rate_acceleration": 1.24, "delta_aic_iet": 293.77, "S_over_Gamma": 15.503, "days_to_criticality": 17.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.8879, "depth_trend": -18.4, "spatial_concentration": 84.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.4755, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.858, "b_trend": 0.0209, "ell_km": 127.7, "ell_trend": 10.97, "rate_acceleration": 1.41, "delta_aic_iet": 413.58, "S_over_Gamma": 13.255, "days_to_criticality": 32.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9484, "grad_tau_local": 0.5583, "depth_trend": 8.82, "spatial_concentration": 80.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.4701, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.935, "b_trend": 0.0458, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.19, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 350.33, "S_over_Gamma": 13.448, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9337, "grad_tau_local": 0.5661, "depth_trend": -0.82, "spatial_concentration": 74.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.4687, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.812, "b_trend": 0.0649, "ell_km": 103.4, "ell_trend": 0.5, "rate_acceleration": 1.52, "delta_aic_iet": 534.67, "S_over_Gamma": 13.004, "days_to_criticality": 254.8, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6516, "grad_tau_local": 0.9083, "depth_trend": 2.27, "spatial_concentration": 78.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.4665, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.404, "b_trend": -0.2306, "ell_km": 83.2, "ell_trend": 10.48, "rate_acceleration": 0.68, "delta_aic_iet": 219.89, "S_over_Gamma": 15.414, "days_to_criticality": 69.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.3297, "grad_tau_local": 0.7261, "depth_trend": 25.6, "spatial_concentration": 64.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.4663, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.656, "b_trend": -0.1313, "ell_km": 82.3, "ell_trend": -3.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 622.91, "S_over_Gamma": 13.493, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4268, "grad_tau_local": 0.8687, "depth_trend": -6.19, "spatial_concentration": 74.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.4639, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.798, "b_trend": 0.1635, "ell_km": 23.9, "ell_trend": -0.31, "rate_acceleration": 1.24, "delta_aic_iet": 235.83, "S_over_Gamma": 13.582, "days_to_criticality": 22.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.61, "grad_tau_local": 1.2577, "depth_trend": -1.91, "spatial_concentration": 48.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 43, "col": 154, "lat": 27.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.4629, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.401, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.0, "ell_trend": 1.09, "rate_acceleration": 0.5, "delta_aic_iet": -23.79, "S_over_Gamma": 14.476, "days_to_criticality": 81.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2921, "grad_tau_local": 0.7101, "depth_trend": 7.94, "spatial_concentration": 86.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.4578, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.831, "b_trend": 0.2483, "ell_km": 86.1, "ell_trend": 3.1, "rate_acceleration": 1.46, "delta_aic_iet": 778.71, "S_over_Gamma": 13.355, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3555, "grad_tau_local": 0.5096, "depth_trend": 0.61, "spatial_concentration": 67.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 58, "col": 13, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.4562, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.851, "b_trend": 0.1519, "ell_km": 81.3, "ell_trend": 10.46, "rate_acceleration": 1.4, "delta_aic_iet": 508.91, "S_over_Gamma": 12.934, "days_to_criticality": 6.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7357, "grad_tau_local": 1.1791, "depth_trend": 5.74, "spatial_concentration": 73.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 20, "col": 2, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 7.5, "probability": 0.452, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 98.1, "ell_trend": 1.84, "rate_acceleration": 1.42, "delta_aic_iet": 208.13, "S_over_Gamma": 16.003, "days_to_criticality": 50.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.544, "grad_tau_local": 0.1309, "depth_trend": 14.44, "spatial_concentration": 78.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.4446, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.771, "b_trend": -0.0858, "ell_km": 18.7, "ell_trend": 1.19, "rate_acceleration": 0.58, "delta_aic_iet": 1133.22, "S_over_Gamma": 13.035, "days_to_criticality": 67.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.1578, "grad_tau_local": 1.7109, "depth_trend": 3.66, "spatial_concentration": 76.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.4436, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.843, "b_trend": 0.0363, "ell_km": 90.9, "ell_trend": -0.08, "rate_acceleration": 1.45, "delta_aic_iet": 578.99, "S_over_Gamma": 12.854, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6471, "grad_tau_local": 1.6852, "depth_trend": 3.63, "spatial_concentration": 69.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 59, "col": 14, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 2.9, "probability": 0.4436, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.049, "b_trend": 0.1743, "ell_km": 77.7, "ell_trend": 5.23, "rate_acceleration": 1.42, "delta_aic_iet": 601.76, "S_over_Gamma": 13.548, "days_to_criticality": 73.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0149, "grad_tau_local": 0.926, "depth_trend": 0.89, "spatial_concentration": 91.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 33, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -113.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.4387, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.0, "ell_trend": -0.14, "rate_acceleration": 2.0, "delta_aic_iet": 61.42, "S_over_Gamma": 14.247, "days_to_criticality": 20.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8141, "grad_tau_local": 0.5909, "depth_trend": 2.52, "spatial_concentration": 81.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.4358, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.636, "b_trend": -0.0474, "ell_km": 12.6, "ell_trend": -9.21, "rate_acceleration": 2.48, "delta_aic_iet": 940.97, "S_over_Gamma": 13.589, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8467, "grad_tau_local": 0.8841, "depth_trend": -21.23, "spatial_concentration": 71.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.431, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.851, "b_trend": 0.0367, "ell_km": 91.1, "ell_trend": -0.03, "rate_acceleration": 1.44, "delta_aic_iet": 557.24, "S_over_Gamma": 13.411, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0383, "grad_tau_local": 1.9494, "depth_trend": 5.47, "spatial_concentration": 72.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.4025, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.628, "b_trend": 0.0121, "ell_km": 11.9, "ell_trend": -9.4, "rate_acceleration": 2.89, "delta_aic_iet": 753.98, "S_over_Gamma": 13.125, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4889, "grad_tau_local": 1.3479, "depth_trend": -23.35, "spatial_concentration": 85.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 168, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.3998, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.161, "b_trend": 0.0252, "ell_km": 66.6, "ell_trend": -4.29, "rate_acceleration": 0.2, "delta_aic_iet": -1989.52, "S_over_Gamma": 15.619, "days_to_criticality": 1799.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.2769, "grad_tau_local": 1.7798, "depth_trend": 8.0, "spatial_concentration": 77.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 32, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.3765, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.626, "b_trend": 0.06, "ell_km": 11.7, "ell_trend": -9.93, "rate_acceleration": 3.3, "delta_aic_iet": 743.82, "S_over_Gamma": 13.683, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0617, "grad_tau_local": 0.6348, "depth_trend": -22.46, "spatial_concentration": 79.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 49, "col": 100, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 21.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.3555, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.387, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 18.6, "ell_trend": 3.22, "rate_acceleration": 1.68, "delta_aic_iet": 74.59, "S_over_Gamma": 14.845, "days_to_criticality": 66.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.0583, "grad_tau_local": 0.4631, "depth_trend": -6.88, "spatial_concentration": 68.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.354, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.133, "b_trend": 0.0948, "ell_km": 65.4, "ell_trend": -1.16, "rate_acceleration": 0.17, "delta_aic_iet": -2184.95, "S_over_Gamma": 15.021, "days_to_criticality": 21.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 11.8987, "grad_tau_local": 1.9391, "depth_trend": 7.67, "spatial_concentration": 46.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 54, "col": 168, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 157.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.3249, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.188, "b_trend": -0.0342, "ell_km": 103.4, "ell_trend": -6.56, "rate_acceleration": 0.2, "delta_aic_iet": -617.5, "S_over_Gamma": 15.922, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.6528, "grad_tau_local": 1.7292, "depth_trend": 14.02, "spatial_concentration": 61.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 60, "col": 20, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -139.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.3238, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.792, "b_trend": 0.0286, "ell_km": 10.1, "ell_trend": -1.98, "rate_acceleration": 0.32, "delta_aic_iet": -2177.66, "S_over_Gamma": 13.034, "days_to_criticality": 2097.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4348, "grad_tau_local": 1.3496, "depth_trend": -0.2, "spatial_concentration": 40.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" }, { "row": 36, "col": 45, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -89.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.2281, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 21.1, "ell_trend": 22.28, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 169.18, "S_over_Gamma": 15.226, "days_to_criticality": -9.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.6519, "grad_tau_local": 0.2276, "depth_trend": 25.35, "spatial_concentration": 74.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0" } ] }